through the pipeline - ward petroleumward petroleum—june 2015 . 3 . geological areas where the...
TRANSCRIPT
Ward Petroleum—June 2015
1
In this issue:
The Big Picture 1-6
Engineering moved ! 6
Quotes
Recipes
6
Calendar
FYI
7
Around Ward
8
THE BIG PICTURE
Resource Play act iv i ty i n a st ressed Pri ce
Environment
DAVE STONE
VICE PRESIDENT-
EXPLORATION
June 2015
Start by doing what's
necessary; then do what's
possible; and suddenly you
are doing the impossible.
—Francis of Assisi
Through the Pipeline
When looking at the product price environment we have today, questions arise concerning resource plays in
the Continental United States. We have seen the declining rig activity, now down almost 60% from peak num-
bers of approximately 1,800 rigs, so where will be the focus of the drilling activity be in the future? Resource
plays have wide variability and economics, both when comparing the different plays, as well as within the plays
themselves. Close to home, consider the Woodford Shale in the SCOOP play. The economics are significant-
ly superior in the Wet Gas/Condensate play fairway compared to the Oil Window of the play. Well recover-
ies can be almost double in the Wet Gas/Condensate Window, with less than 30% cost uplift. So where your
leasehold is positioned will greatly influence drilling activity, which is what we are seeing today as the active rigs
re-focus to the better economic play areas.
The map below of the Resource plays in the Continental U. S. outlines the geographical boundaries of these
plays. The dark blue shaded areas represent the areas where these plays will likely be condensed. In addition
many of the plays simply are not commercial (as noted by the red NC over those areas), as the costs are simp-
ly either too high, and/or the geology is not conducive for commercial development in this price environment
in even their core areas of development. It will be interesting to look into the future as product prices begin
to improve and well costs continue dropping, as to how some of these plays will resume activity.
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Continued on Page 2
Ward Petroleum—June 2015
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Analyzing the data further, one can understand why the plays are contracting to the core areas. The next set of
slides will walk the reader through the technical and economic reasons by geographical area, the where and why
for each of the key plays.
Looking at the Northeastern United States, the location of the largest gas resource play in the US, namely the
Marcellus Shale, has development concerns. Well results have been outstanding in core areas of development,
but infrastructure is limited, and political issues are extremely high as New York and New Jersey have banned
“fracking”. It will be interesting to see what happens in Pennsylvania, mainly the Northeastern area to better
understand future activity. Likewise Eastern Ohio is also having significant political concerns.
Next let’s look at the Southeastern United States. Several of the plays are simply not commercial in today’s
environment, as they are primarily either dry gas plays only, or in
Continued on Page 3
Ward Petroleum—June 2015
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geological areas where the reservoir is limited to allow for commercial development. For example, the
Haynesville Shale play in East Texas and Northwest Louisiana, is a dry gas play only, with high well costs.
The wells have strong gas production, but a product price of $5.00/MCF is needed for commerciality, as
production that peaked in 2012 at 7.5 BCFPD has dropped to 4 BCFPD. Similar results have happened in
the Fayetteville Shale and Barnett Shale, but not as dramatic.
Looking at Oklahoma and West/South Texas, the Woodford Shale in SCOOP (Oklahoma Anadarko
Basin) has stayed fairly consistent in the Wet Gas/Condensate fairway, while activity for Woodford on
the Anadarko Shelf is coming to a halt, as the oil window reservoir on the Anadarko Shelf is dealing
with poor reservoir conditions resulting in very steep production declines. Even the “US Flagship play
” the Eagle Ford Shale in south Texas is rapidly re-focusing
Continued on Page 4
Ward Petroleum—June 2015
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The West Texas Permian Basin had been seen as the fastest rising resource play in the Lower Continental United
States before the product price drop, but it also had seen sharp declines in Industry activity. As the “newest”
resource play in the Lower 48, it is unknown how this play will perform as limited full field development has not
yet occurred, namely drilling multiple wells in Drilling and Spacing Units. When considering hydrocarbons in Place,
likely when prices improve, focus of activity will return to the Permian Basin.
Last, looking at the Rockies Basins, the location of one of the largest oil resources plays in the US, namely the
Bakken Play in the Williston Basin of North Dakota and Montana, activity has dropped significantly. The rig count
has dropped from 200 rigs (peak) to under 75 rigs today. One main reason is high price differentials for this oil as
compared to other areas, as large volumes are shipped by train.
The next two slides discuss these play areas.
activity in the over-pressured area within the Wet Gas/Volatile Oil fairway, while significantly limiting
activity in other areas.
Continued on Page 5
Ward Petroleum—June 2015
5
Continued on Page 6
Ward Petroleum—June 2015
6
Perfection is not attaina-
ble, but if we chase per-
fection we can catch
excellence.
—Vince Lombardi
Your work is going to fill
a large part of your life,
and the only way to be
truly satisfied is to do
what you believe is great
work. And the only way
to do great work is to
love what you do. If you
haven't found it yet, keep
looking. Don't settle. As
with all matters of the
heart, you'll know when
you find it.
—Steve Jobs
We can't help everyone,
but everyone can help
someone.
—Ronald Reagan
A successful man is one
who can lay a firm foun-
dation with the bricks
others have thrown at
him.
—David Brinkley
Management is doing
things right; leadership is
doing the right things.
—Peter Drucker
“I fear that we live in an
ahistorical age in which
we believe that we are so
wise that we no longer
need the lessons of the
past, perhaps most dis-
turbingly of all that tech-
nology has put us beyond
the lessons of the past.”
― J. Rufus Fears, Books
That Have Made History:
Books That Can Change
Your Life
QUOTES
Bacon Wrapped Cheese Hot Dogs
Ingredients:
8 hot dogs
1/2 cup shredded cheese
16 slices bacon, pre-cooked
8 hot dog buns, toasted
Directions:
Preheat oven to 450º. Slice each hot dog lengthwise down the middle almost, but not all the way through. Fill the pocket with a little shredded cheese. (I used Shredded Colby Monterey Jack.)
Wrap the hot dog with two slices of thin-sliced, pre-cooked bacon. Secure bacon with toothpicks if necessary. (I used Costco Hormel frozen fully cooked bacon that I thawed in the microwave for about 30 seconds so that it was easier to wrap around the hot dogs.)
Bake approximately 10 minutes until cheese is melted and bacon and hot dog are hot.
Engineering has moved……
….to Bldg 2
New Conference Room— Mark
Jopling, Judy Trook and Wally Gil-
breath listening to a presentation
New Blinds “Mr. Pioneer Telephone” Wendell
making equipment changes
Jody Kuberskey & Lynn Combs
making adjustments to the
bulletin board
Jody Kuberskey moving lots of
boxes
In summary, we are indeed in interesting times, and our industry has prevailed in the past, even as
OPEC attempts to “undermine” our drive to be less dependent on their product. Prices will re-
cover, costs have come down, and Ward is positioned properly in the highest value plays within
our basins of activity. So we will stay diligent to execute properly and effectively, and look for
opportunities to expand in our core areas at reasonable costs.
More to come.
Dave
Ward Petroleum—June 2015
7
JUNE
BIRTHDAYS
Gary Guest 6-01
Connie Claypole 6-04
Pat Douglass 6-06
John Keeling 6-14
Jordan Revielle 6-14
Rick Tozzi 6-27
Mike Cocheres 6-30
ANNIVERSARIES
Susan Hessel 6-11
14 years
Kevin Smith 6-15
28 years
Melodie Turnbow 6-19
26 years
Ryan Phillips 6-23
1 year
The first American president to support the concept of Father's day was President Calvin Coolidge, who did so in 1924.
It was in the year 1966 that President Lyndon Johnson signed a presidential proclamation that resulted in the declara-tion of the third Sunday of June as Father's Day.
The declaration of 3rd Sunday of June as Father's Day was signed as a law, and made permanent, by President Richard Nixon, in the year 1972.
JULY
BIRTHDAYS
Myra Ward 7-01
Kevin Smith 7-01
Cheryl Holmes 7-04
Carol Ryan 7-19
Lew Ward 7-24
Lynn Combs 7-28
ANNIVERSARIES
Bob McKinnon 7-01-80 35 years
Steven Eckert 7-02-84 31 years
Karen Hurley 7-11-83 32 years
Judy Trook 7-23-07 8 years
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
1 2 3 4 5 PD 6
D Day WWII
7 8 9 10 8 Blood
Mobile 12 13
14
Flag Day 15 16 17 18 19 PD 20
21
Father’s Day 22 23 24 25 26 27
28 29 30
June 2015
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
1 2 3 PD 4
Independence
Day
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15 16 17 PD 18
19 20 21 22 23 24 25
26 27 28 29 30 31 PD
July 2015
Ward Picnic will be
July 22nd
RSVP Jody
Ward Petroleum—June 2015
8
We’re on the Web
wardpetroleum.com
Ward Petroleum Corporation
FOREIGN OIL IMPORTS DID NOT MAKE THIS NEWSLETTER POSSIBLE
Around Ward Allie Webb s a Graphic Design student at Autry Technology
Center and the granddaughter of Ward Employee June Webb.
Allie is President of the 2015-16 SkillsUSA Oklahoma State
Officer Team.
"My goal in life is to help other people achieve their goals, as well
as true happiness. I hope I can do this by meeting new people
throughout the state and showing them that they are just as
important and I am. As long as I'm helping people for the rest of
my life, I'm doing something right."
When asked what the 11,987 SkillsUSA Oklahoma membership
number meant to her, she replied..
" This isn't just a number to me. It represents the students as
individuals, coming together for a common objective. It
represents each person stepping out of the comfort zone they've
put themselves in, and making huge improvements for themselves,
no matter how scary it may seem. Each person is so unique and
special, and without them, we wouldn't have anything. We work
to serve those 11,987 people, and we are very humble when
doing so."
Allie Webb, SkillsUSA Oklahoma President,
Enid Office
502 S. Fillmore
Enid, OK 73703
Phone: 580-234-3229
Fax: 580-242-6850
Fort Collins Office
215 W. Oak, Ste 1000
Fort Collins, CO 80521
Phone: 970-449-4632
Fax: 970-449-4637
Oklahoma City Office
14000 Quail Springs Parkway, Ste 3500
Oklahoma City, OK 73134
Phone: 405-242-4484
Fax: 405-242-4334
SkillsUSA Oklahoma is not an
extracurricular activity like a
drama club or a basketball
team. Students are motivated
to excel as they acquire job and
leadership skills; to understand
the democratic process
through their local chapter
work; to work together to
improve school, workplace, and
community; and to earn individ-
ual recognition for both skill
and leadership achievement.
LeaAnn has a New Granddaughter!
Harper Mae Turley
Born 5/7/2015 at 11:46 p.m. at
Mercy Hospital Northwest Arkansas
6.6 lbs
Parents – Jill and Michael Turley (Fayetteville AR)
Grandparents – Lea Ann and Richard Strait