tikrit journal of pure science

10
Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020 801 Tikrit Journal of Pure Science ISSN: 1813 – 1662 (Print) --- E-ISSN: 2415 – 1726 (Online) Journal Homepage: http://tjps.tu.edu.iq/index.php/j SIS MODEL WITH HARVESTING IN FOOD CHAIN MODEL Sufyan A. Wuhaib , Bilal A. Yaseen Department of Mathematics, College of Computers Sciences and Mathematics, Tikrit University, Tikrit, Iraq DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.25130/tjps.25.2020.017 A r t i c l e i n f o. Article history: -Received: 8 / 9 / 2019 -Accepted: 10 / 11 / 2019 -Available online: / / 2019 Keywords: prey, predator, stability, harvesting, disease. Corresponding Author: Name: Bilal A. Yaseen E-mail: [email protected] Tel: ABSTRACT The aim of this study the mathematical model of the type SIS, healthy prey is infected by disease and the study proved that solution and restrictive in which the molecular system do not have periodic boundaries, then it discussed the stability of those points. the study also showed how to control the disease using the harvest so as not to become an epidemic. 1. Introduction Mathematical modeling is an abstract model that uses mathematical language to describe the behavior of a system. Mathematical models are particularly used in computational theory in computer science, natural sciences, engineering of fields (such as physics, biology, electrical engineering) and also in social sciences (such as economics, sociology and politics). Physicists, engineers, computer scientists, and economists use mathematical models very widely [1]. in several years the study of predatory- prey systems was an important research in the 1920s, new horizons were opened by Lutka and Volterra [2,3]. For biological species, many researchers later made many achievements in this area in 1927, Kermack and Mckendrick were proposed the classical model affected and infectious and redux that attracted more scientists attention and references in it. SI Epidemic model: In which there is no removal that means the infected individuals is still infected for all the time, so whenever susceptible becomes infected it will be still infected, while SIS Epidemic model: In which the infection does not lead to immunity so that infective become susceptible again after recovery. The simplest example of using a mathematical model in the field of biology, this, in turn, is divided into two completely different parts within the biology, namely ecology (which is one of the most important branches of biology, which reflects the emerging relationships between the organism and the environment in which it lives), and the second branch, epidemiology (a branch of medicine), which can The epidemic is transmitted through a long series of neighborhoods, causing epidemic diseases [4]. Predation is, according to the definition of ecologists, a biological interaction between two objects, one of which is a predator (pirate, fracture, raptor, or hunting object) feeding on an organism or a number of other organisms known as prey (prey or hunted organism) [5]. Mathematical models have become critical tools in understanding and analyzing the spread and control of infectious diseases by studying different types of disease such as SI, SIS. Some infectious diseases in the ecosystem are transmitted through direct contact [6]. In addition to disease, harvesting can in turn greatly affect the dynamics of the prey-predator system, and harvesting can reduce the numbers of prey or predators [7]. It can also be considered as a stabilizing factor [8] ,Previous studies have indicated that Bairagi et al. indicates that harvesting can control the spread of disease in a particular branch of the population[9], where the effects of harvesting disease in prey were studied in the prey-predator model, while there was another study by cheve et al. Included harvest and disease this time the predator in the predator model and prey concluded that the predator has harvested Prevent the spread of infectious diseases[10], thus ensuring the resilience and stability of ecosystems. This paper is divided as follows: in section two, the study described mathematical model, in the third section the study the natural solution. In the fourth section, the study discussed positive solutions and periodic to

Upload: others

Post on 02-Feb-2022

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Tikrit Journal of Pure Science

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020

ج

801

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science ISSN: 1813 – 1662 (Print) --- E-ISSN: 2415 – 1726 (Online)

Journal Homepage: http://tjps.tu.edu.iq/index.php/j

SIS MODEL WITH HARVESTING IN FOOD CHAIN MODEL Sufyan A. Wuhaib , Bilal A. Yaseen

Department of Mathematics, College of Computers Sciences and Mathematics, Tikrit University, Tikrit, Iraq DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.25130/tjps.25.2020.017

A r t i c l e i n f o. Article history:

-Received: 8 / 9 / 2019

-Accepted: 10 / 11 / 2019

-Available online: / / 2019

Keywords: prey, predator,

stability, harvesting, disease. Corresponding Author:

Name: Bilal A. Yaseen

E-mail: [email protected]

Tel:

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study the mathematical model of the type SIS, healthy

prey is infected by disease and the study proved that solution and

restrictive in which the molecular system do not have periodic

boundaries, then it discussed the stability of those points. the study also

showed how to control the disease using the harvest so as not to become

an epidemic.

1. Introduction Mathematical modeling is an abstract model that uses

mathematical language to describe the behavior of a

system. Mathematical models are particularly used in

computational theory in computer science, natural

sciences, engineering of fields (such as physics,

biology, electrical engineering) and also in social

sciences (such as economics, sociology and politics).

Physicists, engineers, computer scientists, and

economists use mathematical models very widely [1].

in several years the study of predatory- prey systems

was an important research in the 1920s, new horizons

were opened by Lutka and Volterra [2,3]. For

biological species, many researchers later made many

achievements in this area in 1927, Kermack and

Mckendrick were proposed the classical model

affected and infectious and redux that attracted more

scientists attention and references in it. SI Epidemic

model: In which there is no removal that means the

infected individuals is still infected for all the time, so

whenever susceptible becomes infected it will be still

infected, while SIS Epidemic model: In which the

infection does not lead to immunity so that infective

become susceptible again after recovery.

The simplest example of using a mathematical model

in the field of biology, this, in turn, is divided into

two completely different parts within the biology,

namely ecology (which is one of the most important

branches of biology, which reflects the emerging

relationships between the organism and the

environment in which it lives), and the second

branch, epidemiology (a branch of medicine), which

can The epidemic is transmitted through a long series

of neighborhoods, causing epidemic diseases [4].

Predation is, according to the definition of ecologists,

a biological interaction between two objects, one of

which is a predator (pirate, fracture, raptor, or hunting

object) feeding on an organism or a number of other

organisms known as prey (prey or hunted organism)

[5].

Mathematical models have become critical tools in

understanding and analyzing the spread and control

of infectious diseases by studying different types of

disease such as SI, SIS. Some infectious diseases in

the ecosystem are transmitted through direct contact

[6]. In addition to disease, harvesting can in turn

greatly affect the dynamics of the prey-predator

system, and harvesting can reduce the numbers of

prey or predators [7]. It can also be considered as a

stabilizing factor [8] ,Previous studies have indicated

that Bairagi et al. indicates that harvesting can control

the spread of disease in a particular branch of the

population[9], where the effects of harvesting disease

in prey were studied in the prey-predator model,

while there was another study by cheve et al.

Included harvest and disease this time the predator in

the predator model and prey concluded that the

predator has harvested Prevent the spread of

infectious diseases[10], thus ensuring the resilience

and stability of ecosystems. This paper is divided as

follows: in section two, the study described

mathematical model, in the third section the study the

natural solution. In the fourth section, the study

discussed positive solutions and periodic to

Page 2: Tikrit Journal of Pure Science

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020

ج

801

subsystems in addition discussed equilibrium points

with its conditions and its stability. Stability points of

the main model is in the fifth section. Finally, we

discussed discuss some results by using Mathematica

Programin.

2. Mathematical Model

11

1

1 11 0 1 1

1

1 1 1

2

(1 )1

1

1 1

1

xxdx xyrx x c x

dt x x x

dx xxc x x y qx

dt x x

dy xy yzx y d y

dt x y

dz yzd z

dt y

Where 1, , , 0x x y z . 1, , ,x x y z denoted

susceptible prey, infected prey, intermediate predator

and top predator respectively. Parameters denoted as

follows, r the rate of growth of susceptible prey,

rate α is the per capita rate of predation of the

intermediate predator, rate β measures the efficiency

of biomass conversion from prey to intermediate

predator, rate is the per capita rate of predation of

the top predator, rate measures the efficiency of

biomass conversion from intermediate predator to top

predator, , rate 0 is the per capita rate of predation

of the intermediate predator, rate 1 measures the

efficiency of biomass conversion from infected prey

to intermediate predator. Rate c is the contact

between susceptible prey (S. Prey) and infected prey

(I. Prey) while rate denoted the transformation

from I. Prey to S, Prey, 1 2,d d are natural death of

intermediate and top predator respectively. Rate q is

harvesting of I. Prey.

3. Nature of Solution

Lemma 1: All solutions of system (1) which initiate

in 4R

are positive and bounded.

Proof:

Let 1M x x y z and 0

1

dMx dx dx dy dz x

dt

11

1

11 0 1 1

1

1 1

1 2

(1 )1

1 1

1

xxxyrx x c x

x x x

xxc x w x y qx

x x

xy yzw x y

x y

yzd y d z x

y

0 1 1

1 1 2

(1 )1

1

xyrx x w w x y

x

yzqx d y d z x

y

(1 )rx x x 2rx x rx

2 ( )rx r x

2 ( )( )

r xr x

r

2 22

2

( ) ( ) ( )

4 4

r x r rr x

r r r

2

21( ) ( )

2 2

r rr x

r r

21( )

2

rdM x say

r

21( ) , .

4

dr say v

dt r

Then, by using differential inequality [11], we get

1

1

0 ( ( ), ( ), ( ), ( )) (1 )

( ( ), ( ), ( ), ( ))

t

t

vx t x t y t z t e

x t x t y t z t e

4. Subsystems

In absence one or two of population, system (1)

reduce to subsystems. For the purpose of studying

dynamics of system (1), we study all the possibilities

that we mean by subsystems. There are several

subsystems as follows:

4.1 In Case of Absence predator

In absence of all predator system (1) became as the

subsystem content susceptible and infected prey as

follows:

11

1

1 11 1

1

(1 )

(2)

dx xxrx x c x

dt x x

dx xxc x qx

dt x x

4.1.1 Nature of Solution

Lemma 2: All solutions of subsystem (2) are positive

and bounded.

Proof: As lemma 1, see figure 1.

Page 3: Tikrit Journal of Pure Science

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020

ج

880

Fig. 1: shows the path of the subsystem (2) in the

absence of the predator

Lemma 3: The subsystem (2) has no periodic orbit in

R2.

Proof:

Let 11 1

1 1

1, (1 )

xxH h rx x c x

xx x x

and 12 1 1

1

xxh c x qx

x x

1

1 1 1

.r rx c

H hx x x x x

and

2

1

.c q

H hx x x x

, then

1 2

1 2

1 1

, ,( , )

h H h H rx x

x x x x

. Now,

we note that 1( , )x x does not change sign also is

not identically zero and is not identically zero in R2 in

its plane. According to Bendixson - Dulic criterion

there is no periodic solution. [12].

Lemma 4: In subsystem 2, c q

Proof: if c q and since the carrying capacity of

prey in one, then

1

xc c

x x

implies

1

xc q

x x

, therefore 1 0

dx

dt which

contradiction, then c q .

4.1.2. Equilibrium Points and Stability.

In subsystem (2) there are three equilibrium points as

following

1. The trivial point and always exists 0 (0,0)p

2. This point is a border point and always exists

1(1,0)p

3. 2 1( , )p x x where

1q x

xc q

and Jacobean

matrix of system (2) is

2 2

1

2 2

1 1

2 2 2

1

2 2

1 1

2x x

r rx c cx x x x

Jx x

c c qx x x x

We study the stability of positive equilibrium point

2 1( , )p x x and remind the other later. Jacobian

matrix near this point is

2 2

1

2 2

1 1

2 2

1

2

1

2x x

r rx c cx x x x

Jq cx

c qcx x

Hence it's stability with condition 1

2x

this

condition reduce to the main diameter will be positive

and in other hand the secondary diameter is negative.

Lemma 5: The equilibrium 2p is global stability in

the first positive cone. Proof: The unique positive equilibrium point

2 1( , )p x x is locally asymptotically stable and

subsystem (2) has no periodic solution in2R

then by

using Poincare-Bendixon theorem, 2 1( , )p x x is

globally asymptotically stable, see Figure (2-a) and

Figure (2-b).

.

Fig. 2: stability (a) without harvesting (b) with

harvesting

4.2. Prey Predator Subsystem

This subsystem has a healthy prey and predator. As

this system known prey predator model or Lotka

Volterra equations. We describe interaction between

them as:

S.prey

I.prey

0 200 400 600 800 1000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Time

Populations

S.prey

I.prey

0 200 400 600 800 1000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Time

Populations

Page 4: Tikrit Journal of Pure Science

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020

ج

888

1

(1 )1

(3)

1

dx xyrx x

dt x

dy xyd y

dt x

4.2.1. Nature of Solution

Lemma 6: All solutions of subsystem (3) are positive

and bounded.

Proof: As lemma 1, see figure 3.

Fig. 3: The solutions of system (3) is bounded.

Lemma 7: In subsystem (3) 1d .

Proof:

Assume

1d since caring capacity of prey is one,

then1x d hence

11

xd

x

therefore 0

dy

dt .

Its contradiction, then 1d

Lemma 8: subsystem (3) has no periodic orbit in R2.

Proof: As lemma 3.

4.2.2. Equilibrium Points and Stability

This subsystem also contains three equilibrium points

1. 0 (0,0)p

2. 1 (1,0)p

3. 2 ( , )p x y where

1

1

1( )

d xx and y r rx

d

, the jacobean

matrix of system (3) is

2

3

2

211

11

y xr rx

xxJ

y x

xx

And near 2 ( , )p x y is

2

3

2

211

1

y xr rx

xxJ

y

x

Then the characteristic equation is

2

2 31 2 0

1 1

y xyr x

x x

, its

stability if 1

2x .

Lemma 9: The equilibrium 2 ( , )p x y is global

stability

Proof: As in lemma 5, see figure (4).

Fig. 4: The oscillation of solution of system (4)

4.3. Classical Subsystem with Disease

In absence of top predator, system (1) become

classical model with disease. This subsystem known

SIS model because susceptible population become

infected by rate c and transform to susceptible by rate

again, hence we describe that as:

11

1

1 11 0 1 1

1

1 1 1

(1 )1

(4)

1

xxdx xyrx x c x

dt x x x

dx xxc x x y qx

dt x x

dy xyx y d y

dt x

4.3.1 Nature of Solution

Lemma 10: All solutions of system (4) which

initiate in 3R

are positive and bounded.

Proof: As lemma (1)

4.3.2. Equilibrium Points and Stability

And then subsystem also contains three equilibrium

points

1. 0 (0,0,0)p The point is trivial means society is

nil

2. 1 (1,0,0)p Here only the sound prey exists

3. 2 1( , , )p x x y The equilibrium point when the

system does not contain the top predator where

1 0

0

1 1

1

,

1,

1

x y qx

c y q

xx d

x

11

1

1(1 )

xxxy rx x c x

x x x

Jacobean matrix of system as

2

1 1

22

1

2

1 1

2

1 1

2 ,(1 )

,( ) 1

f cxyr rx

x x x x

f fcx x

x x x y x

Prey

Predator

0 200 400 600 800 1000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

Time

Populations

Page 5: Tikrit Journal of Pure Science

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020

ج

881

2 2

2 1 202 2

11 1

20 1

,

,

f cx f cxy q

x xx x x x

fx

y

3 312

1

31 1 1

, ,(1 )

1

f fyy

x x x

f xx d

y x

Jacobian matrix near a positive equilibrium point is:

2

1 1

22

1

2 ,(1 )

f cxyr rx

x x x x

2

1 1

2

1 1

,( ) 1

f fcx x

x x x y x

2

2 1 20 12

1

0 02

1

,

,

f cx fx

x yx x

y q c y qf

x c

3 3 312

1

, , 0(1 )

f f fyy

x x x y

let

2

11 22

1

2

2 32

1

2 ,(1 )

,( ) 1

cxyk r rx

x x x

cx xk k

x x x

20 01

4 52

1

6 0 1

,

,

y q c y qcxk k

cx x

k x

7 8 1 92, , 0

(1 )

yk k y k

x

Equilibrium Point 3 1( , , y)p x x

3 2 0A B C , where

3 0A Arc J p if 1

2x

1 5 6 8 2 4 3 7

1 6 3 4 8 2 6 3 5 7 0

B k k k k k k k k

C k k k k k k k k k k

The Equilibrium Point 3p is stable if 0AB C .

Lemma 11: The equilibrium 3 1( , , y)p x x is global

stability with conditions 1 1,yx yx xx x x and

1 1

c

x x x x xx

Proof:

11 1 2 1 1 1 3

1

( , , y) ln ln y y lny

xx yW x x C x x x C x x x C y

x x

1 11 2 1 3

1

x xdW x x y yC dx C dx C dy

dt x x y

1 11

1

1 1 2 0 3 1 1 1

1

1 1 1 11

1 1

1 1 2

1 1

1

1

1 1

cx xdW yx x C r rx

dt x x x x

cx xx x C y q y y C x d

x x x

x x x xdW y yx x C r x x c

dt x x x x x x x x

x xx x C c

x x x x

0

3 1 1 1

03 2

1

1 1 1 11

1 1

01 1 2 2

1 1 1

1 1

1 1

1 1

y y

x xy y C x x

x x

Let C C

x x x xdW y yx x C r x x c

dt x x x x x x x x

x x x xc x x C y y C

x x x x x x

21 1

1 1 1

1 1

1 1 1 11 1 1 2

1 1

02

1

1 1

1 1

xx x xdW y yrC x x C x x cC x x

dt x x x x x x

x x xx x xC x x c x x C

x x x x x x

x xy y C

x x

Page 6: Tikrit Journal of Pure Science

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020

ج

881

21 1

1 1 1

1 1

01 1 1 11 1 1 2 2

1 1 1

2

1 1

1 1

1 1

xx x xdW y yx y yxrC x x C x x cC x x

dt x x x x x x

x x xx x x x xC x x c x x C y y C

x x x x x x x x

dW xy xy yxx yxx xy xy yrC x x C

dt

1 11

1 1

01 1 1 11 1 1 2 2

1 1 1

1 1

1 1

xx x xxx yxxcC x x

x x x x x x

x x xx x x xy xy xy xyC x x c x x C C

x x x x x x x x

Let 02 1

1

C C

21 1

1 1 1

1 1

1 1 1 11 1 1 2

1 1

1 1

xx x xdW yxx yxx yxx yxxrC x x C cC x x

dt x x x x x x

x x xx x xC x x c x x C

x x x x x x

21 1

1 1 1

1 1

1 1 1 11 1 1 2

1 1

1 1

yx yx x x xx x xdWrC x x C cC x x

dt x x x x x x

x x xx x xC x x c x x C

x x x x x x

21 1

1 1 1

1 1

1 1 1 11 1 1 2

1 1

1 1

0

yx yx x x xx x xdWrC x x C cC x x

dt x x x x x x

x x xx x xC x x c x x C

x x x x x x

Figure (5-a) and (5-b) Oscillation of system (4) when

we fixed the parameters as: 0.856, 0.482, 0.247,r

0.008, 0.5,c

1 0 10.503, 0.022, 0.057, 0.181, 0.109q d

Fig. (5-a) and (5-b):Solution of subsystem (4).

4.4. Subsystem without Disease.

In the case of absence disease, subsystem known as

food chain model. Food Chain Model consist three

populations, prey, intermediate predator and top

predator. In such model, intermediate predator

depends entirely on prey in its food, in other word, no

resource in his food except prey. Also, no source for

top predator except intermediate predator. Describe

this subsystem as follows:

1

2

(1 )1

(5)1 1

1

dx xyrx x

dt x

dy xy yzd y

dt x y

dz yzd z

dt y

4.4.1. Nature of Solution

lemma 12:

All the solutions of the subsystem (5) in 3R are

positive and bounded.

Proof: As lemma (1).

Lemma 13: In subsystem (5)2d .

Proof: As lemma 7.

4.4.2. Equilibrium Points and Stability

And then subsystem also contains three equilibrium

points

1. 0 (0,0,0)p

2. 1 (1,0,0)p

3. 3 * * *( , , )p x y z

22

*

*

2 * ** * 1

2 *

1 1 4 r,

2

1,

1

r r r yx

r

d y xy z d

d x

The Jacobean matrix of subsystem (5) as:

Predator

I.prey

S.prey

0 200 400 600 800 1000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Time

Populations

0.00.1

0.20.3

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Page 7: Tikrit Journal of Pure Science

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020

ج

881

1 22

3 4 122

5 6 2

7 2

2 , ,(1 ) 1

,(1 ) 1 1

, ,1 1

, .1

y xM r rx M

x x

y x zM M d

x x y

y zM M

y y

yM d

y

The

characteristic equation near the interior equilibrium

point is 3 2 0A B C where

1 4 7

1 4 1 7 4 7 5 6 2 3

1 4 7 1 5 6 2 3 7

A M M M

B M M M M M M M M M M

C M M M M M M M M M

Then

from Routh Hurwitz criteria, this point is stable if

0A , 0C and 0AB C

Lemma 14: The equilibrium 3 ( , , )p x y z is

global stability

Proof : as in lemma 11

5. Existence of Equilibrium Point and Stability of

General System .

And then system also contains three equilibrium

points

1. The vanishing equilibrium point 0 (0,0,0,0)E

always exist

2. The axial equilibrium point 1 (1,0,0,0)E always

exist

3. The positive equilibrium point 6 1( , , , )E x x y z

* *

1 0*

*

0

* **

1 1* *

1

* 2

2

1

1 1

x y qx

c y q

z xx d

y x

dy

d

* ** *

1 1 1*

1

1

y xz x d

x

with condition

*

0c y q

The Jacobean matrix of system is

1 1 1 1

1

2 2 2 2

1

6

3 3 3 3

1

4 4 4 4

1

f f f f

x x y z

f f f f

x x y zJ

f f f f

x x y z

f f f f

x x y z

, where

2

1 1

2 2

1

2

1 1

2 2

1 1

2 ,1

,

f cxyr rx

x x x x

f fcx x

x y b xx x

2 2

2 1 202 2

11 1

20 1

,

,

f cx f cxy q

x xx x x x

fx

y

3 312

1

3 31 1 12

, ,1

,1 11

f fyy

x xx

f fx z yx d

y x z yy

4 4

22

4 2 1 4

1

, ,11

0

f fz yd

y z yy

f f f f

x z z x

1. The eigenvalues near 0 (0,0,0,0)E is

1 2 3 1 4 2, ( ) , ,r q d d

Saddle point.

All societies are extinct except for prey because

intrinsic value is positive.

2. Equilibrium Point 1 (1,0,0,0)E

2 21

2 21 1

2 2

0 0 12 21 1

1 12 2

22

2 01 1

0

1 11 1

0 011

cxy cx xr rx

x xx x x x

cx cxy q x

x x x x

y x z yy d

x yx y

z yd

yy

1

1

2

0

01

0 00

0 0 01

0 0 0

J E I

r c

c c q

d

d

Page 8: Tikrit Journal of Pure Science

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020

ج

881

4 3

1 2

1 2 1

2 2 1

2 221 2 1 2

1 2 1

22 1 2 1 2

2 21 2

( )1

(1 1

1 1

)1

(1 1

1 1

1 1

r q d d

r cr qr rd rd cd

qcd c d d

dqd qd d d c c

c r rcrd crd cr r d

rdrqr d qrd qrd rd d

c d dcd d

21 2

22 2

1 2 1 2

2 21 2

2

2 2 21 2 1 2

2

1 2 1 2 1 2

1

1 1

(1 1

1 1 1

) 0

qdd d

c cqd d c d c d

c rd r dcd cd

rqd c d cdcrd d rd d

qrd d c d d cd d

4 3 20A B C D where

1 21

A r q d d

1 2 1 2

22 1 1 2

2

1 2

1 1

1 1 1

Br c

r qr rd rd cd cd

dqc d d qd qd

d d c c

1 2 1 2

2 21 2 1 2 1 2

22 22 2

1 2 1 2 1 2

1 2

1 1

1 1 1

1 1 1

1

c r rC crd crd cr r d r d

rd c drqqrd qrd rd d cd d

d qd cd d qd d c d c d

ccd cd

2

2 2 2 2 2

2

1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2

1 1 1 1 1D

c rd r d rqd c d cd

crd d rd d qrd d c d d cd d

2 2ABC C A D

By Routh Hurwitz theorem this point is stable if

0 0 0.A and and D .

3. The positive equilibrium point

6 1( , , , )E x x y z

1 2 3

4 5 6

7 8 9 10

11 12

0

00

0 0

k k k

k k k

k k k k

k k

4 3

1 5 12 9 1 5 1 9 1 12 5 9 5 12 9 12 10 11

2

6 12 3 7 2 4 1 5 9 1 5 12 1 12 1 10 11 1 6 8 5 9 12

5 9 10 6 8 12 2 4 12 2 4 9 2 6 7 3 4 8 3 5 7 3 7 12

1 5 9 12 1 5 9

k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k

k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k

k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k

k k k k k k k

10 6 8 12 5 9 12 2 4 9 12 2 4 10 11 2 7 12

3 4 8 12 3 5 7 12 0

k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k k

k k k k k k k k

4 3 20A B C D where

2 2ABC C A D

By Routh Hurwitz theorem this point is stable if

9 12 1 50

0 , 0.

A with condition M M M M

and D

Lemma 15: The

equilibrium 6 1( , , , )E x x y z is global stability

Proof: as in lemma 11.

6. Numerical Simulation In this section, the study employs Mathematica

Programing to illustration some results. the study

shows that the effect of harvesting and cure rate from

the disease on the behavior of the solution. the study

deals with two cases: First when the model is the kind

SI. In such model, susceptible prey become infected

prey and not able to become susceptible again. Then

it employs the harvest to see its impact on behavior.

Figure (6) the behavior of solution of system (1) as SI

model without harvesting, while, figure (7) the

behavior of solution with harvesting. the study

reveals the note in these two cases how employ the

harvesting to disease control.

Fig. 6: SI model without harvesting.

I.Predator

T.Predator

S.Prey

I.Prey

0 200 400 600 800 1000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Time

Populations

Page 9: Tikrit Journal of Pure Science

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020

ج

881

Fig. 7: SI model with harvesting.

The second case, the model is the kind SIS. In such

model susceptible prey become infected prey and

become susceptible again. Figure (8) behavior of

solution of system (4) as SIS model without

harvesting, while figure (9) employ the harvesting to

disease control. Also, we note the effect of

harvesting on disease to not become as epidemic.

Fig. 8: SIS model without harvesting.

Fig. 9: SIS model with harvesting.

7. Conclusion 1- SIS and SI models were studied as well as partial

models as the study proven that solutions are

constrained and positive .

2- It was concluded that there are no periodic

solutions for bilateral models.

3- Stability points were found and conditions were

established, and the conditions that make the stability

points stable local stability, where the benefit of the

lack of periodic solutions to prove the overall

stability, as was the benefit of the Lebanov function

to prove the overall stability of non-bilateral models.

4- the study also showed how to control the sick prey

and prevent the disease from turning into a pandemic

and it proved that (harvest / vaccine) does not affect

the stability of the system , and we discussed some of

the results by the numerical simulations whether the

model is SIS or SI.

References [1] Pyke, G. H. (1984). Optimal Foraging Theory: A

Critical Review. Annual Review of Ecology and

Systematics. 15: 523–575.

[2] Lotka, A. (1925). Element of Physical Biology.

Williams and Wilkins. Baltimore.

[3] Volterra, V. (1928). Variations and fluctuations

of the number of individuals in animal species living

together. Animal Ecol. 3(1). 3–51.

[4] Anderson, R.M. and May, R.M. (1986). The

invasion, persistence and spread of infectious

diseases within animal and plant communities.

Philosophical Transactions of Royal Society of

London. Series B, Biological Sciences,314. 533–570.

[5] Begon, M. and Townsend Harper, J. (1996)

Ecology: Individuals, populations and

communities , 3rd

edn. Blackwell Science, London.

[6] Naji, R. K. and Mustafa, A. N. (2012). The

Dynamics of an Eco-Epidemiological Model with

Nonlinear Incidence Rate. Journal of Applied

Mathematics, Article ID 852631,24 pages.

[7] Clark, C. W. (1976). Mathematical

Bioeconomics, the optimal control of renewable

resources . New York John Wiley.

[8] Goh, B. S; Leitmann, G. and Vincent, T. L.

(1974). Optimal control of a prey-predator system.

Mathematical biosciences 19(3): 263–286.

[9] Bairagi, N; Chaudhuri, S. and Chattopadhyay,

J.(2009). Harvesting as a Disease Control Measure in

An Eco-epidemiological System - a Theoretical

Study. Mathematical Biosciences, 217, 134-144.

[10] Cheve, M; Congar, R. and Diop, P.A.(2010).

Resilience and Stability of Harvested Predator-Prey

Systems to Infectious Disease in the Predator.

Available from

http://www.cerdi.org/uploads/sfCmsContent/html/323

/

[11] Birkoff, G. C. R. (1982), Ordinary Differential

Equations,Ginn.

[12] Freedman, H. and Waltman, P. (1984).

Persistence in models of three interacting predator-

prey populations, Mathematical biosciences, 68(2):

213-231.

I.Predator

S.Prey

T.Prey

I.Predator

0 200 400 600 800 1000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

Time

Populations

I.Predator

T.Predator

S.Prey

I.Prey

0 200 400 600 800 1000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Time

Populations

I.Predator

S.Prey

T.Prey

I.Prey

0 200 400 600 800 1000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

Time

Populations

Page 10: Tikrit Journal of Pure Science

Tikrit Journal of Pure Science Vol. 25 (1) 2020

ج

881

الغذائية السلسلة نموذج في الحصاد مع SIS نموذج بلال عزاوي ياسين، سفيان عباس وهيب

, تكريت , العراق تكريت جامعة ت,والرياضياعموم الحاسوب ةكمي , اضياتيالر قسم

الملخص لمنظام يوجد لا حيث وتقييده الحل هذا أثبتنا وقد بالمرض, مصابة السميمة الفريسة ,SIS لنوع الرياضي النموذج ندرس سوف الورقة, هذه في

.وباء يصبح لا حتى الحصاد باستخدام المرض عمى السيطرة كيفية أظهرنا كما. النقاط تمك استقرار ناقشنا ثم , دورية حدود الجزيئي