title: cd4/cd8 recovery and first-line art: greatest ... · andmortality(serrano-villar, plospathog...

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Title: BACKGROUND A low CD4/CD8 ratio during antiretroviral therapy (ART) identifies subjects with heightened immunoactivation and immunosenescence, and have been shown to predict morbidity and mortality (Serrano-Villar, PLoS Pathog 2014) It is unknown whether the different first-line ART regimens have a different impact on the rates of CD4/CD8 ratio normalization. We aimed to assess the effects of the INSTI, PI or NNRTI-based first-line ART on long-term CD4/CD8 ratio recovery in a large prospective cohort. METHODS Prospective cohort study in 13,026 HIV-infected individuals registered in the Spanish HIV Research Network (CoRIS) cohort. We included subjects who started triple ART and achieved HIV RNA suppression at 48 weeks. We used multilevel mixed models with linear splines to compare longitudinal changes in the CD4/CD8 ratio and Cox proportional- hazard models to compare the times to CD4/CD8 normalization by treatment groups (NNRTI, PI, INSTI) at 0.5, 1 and 1.5 cut-offs. Analyses were adjusted for sex, country of origin, mode of transmission, calendar year, educational level, baseline HIV RNA, presence of AIDS, pre-ART nadir CD4, acme CD8 count and backbone NRTI. RESULTS A total of 6,804 individuals contributing to 37,149 persons/years and 37,680 observations met the inclusion criteria. The median follow-up was 49 months (IQR 22-89). The study sample was representative of a medium-aged population (median age 36 [IQR 30-44] years) with higher representation of men (85.3%), median nadir CD4+ T-cell count of 304 (IQR 178-438) cells/uL, and median baseline CD4/CD8 ratio 0.33 (IQR 0.19-0.52). The median time from ART initiation to virologic suppression was 18 (IQR 10-29) months, and first-line regimens included 2,820 subjects starting ART with 2 NRTI+NNRTI (41.5%), 1,574 (23.1%) with 2 NRTI+PI and 2,410 (35.4%) with 2 NRTI+INSTI. INSTI-based first line ART is associated with a greater CD4/CD8 ratio gain compared to NNRTI and PI-based ART. Sergio Serrano-Villar 1 , Javier MarMnez-Sanz 1 , Raquel Ron 1 , Alba Talavera 2 , Borja Fernández 1 , Francisco Fanjul 3 , Joaquín Porclla 4 , Josefa Muñoz 5 , Concha Amador 6 , Miguel Alberto de Zárraga 7 , Maclde Sanchez-Conde 1 , Sabina Herrera 1 , Pilar Vizcarra 1 , María J. Vivancos-Gallego 1 , Sancago Moreno 1 1 Hospital Ramón y Cajal, Madrid, Spain; 2 Insctuto Ramón y Cajal de Invescgación Sanitaria, Madrid, Spain; 3 Hospital Universitario de Son Espases, Palma de Mallorca, Spain; 4 Hospital General Universitario de Alicante, Alicante, Spain; 5 Hospital de Basurto, Basurto, Spain; 6 Hospital de la Marina Baixa, Villajoyosa, Spain; 7 Hospital San Agusln, Avilés, Spain. CD4/CD8 Recovery And First-line ART: Greatest Improvement With Integrase Inhibitors 0474 CONCLUSIONS This study with prospective design, large sample size, and long follow-up shows that first line ART is associated with a greater CD4/CD8 ratio gain compared to NNRTI and PI- based ART. The INSTI-based ART was associated with higher rates of CD4/CD8 recovery at the threshold for normalization. Our findings were independent of the immunovirological covariates analyzed (i.e., CD4 nadir, maximum HIV RNA, and development of virological failure during ART). This study in real life indicates that ART initiation with INSTI improves immune recovery with respect to other ART classes, which could affect long-term mortality. Funding This work was supported by the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Plan Estatal de I+D+i 2013–2016, projects PI15/00345, PI18/00154, AC17/00019, the Spanish AIDS Research Network RD16/0025/0001project) and was co-financed by the European Development Regional Fund ‘‘A way to achieve Europe’’ (ERDF). Acknowledgments We acknowledge all study participants who made this research possible. 0 .25 .5 .75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Years from ART initiation 395 194 96 37 19 9 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ART = 2NRTI+1II 827 644 486 385 311 239 178 125 93 69 36 14 1 0 0 ART = 2NRTI+1IP 1204 916 735 583 477 369 271 177 123 84 39 19 8 4 0 ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI Number at risk 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI ART = 2NRTI+1IP ART = 2NRTI+1II Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 ratio normalizationn at cut-off 0.4 0 .25 .5 .75 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Years from ART initiation 1234 657 333 138 70 37 24 10 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 ART = 2NRTI+1II 1477 1277 1115 948 771 629 503 391 296 211 126 71 21 6 0 ART = 2NRTI+1IP 2656 2248 1899 1548 1236 982 752 567 420 291 173 98 48 9 0 ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI Number at risk 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI ART = 2NRTI+1IP ART = 2NRTI+1II Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 ratio normalization at cut-off 1 0 .25 .5 .75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Years from ART initiation 1556 926 475 194 106 57 35 14 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 ART = 2NRTI+1II 1626 1486 1344 1170 980 835 689 552 424 308 193 116 48 13 0 ART = 2NRTI+1IP 3028 2795 2488 2098 1696 1370 1096 824 618 414 254 147 67 14 0 ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI Number at risk 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI ART = 2NRTI+1IP ART = 2NRTI+1II Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 ratio normalization at cut-off 1.5 a b c Figure 2: Subanalysis by INSTI group Sub-analyses by piecewise indicated that these differences were driven by changes during the first year of ART (Table 1) without significant differences in the adjusted CD4/CD8 raco trajectories ater the second year of ART. Hence, a stronger effect of INSTI during the first year of ART determined greater CD4/CD8 raco values ater a similar follow-up. Figure 1: Subjects in the INSTI group experience greater CD4/CD8 gain during follow-up than patients in the NNRTI and PI groups. Figure 3: Kaplan-Meier survival plots of estimated overall CD4/CD8 normalization at cut-offs of 0.4, 1.0, and 1.5. No differences between treatment groups for cmes to CD4/CD8 raco normalizacon at 0.4 cut-off were detected. However, the NNRTI and PI had lower rates of CD4/CD8 raco normalizacon at ≥1 and ≥1.5 cut-offs than INSTI (Table 2) At year 4, the adjusted mean CD4 count for INSTI, NNRTI and PI was 904, 718 and 696 cells/uL, (p<0.0001), and the adjusted mean CD8 count was 832, 875 and 996 cells/ul, respeccvely (p<0.0001). Table 3 shows the incidence rates of raco normalizacon by treatment group for each cut- off point. Subanalyses adjusted for backbone NRTIs did not show differences in the rates of CD4/CD8 raco normalizacon between raltegravir, dolutegravir and elvitegravir (Table 4). 0 .25 .5 .75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Years from ART initiation 114 40 19 2 2 0 0 0 Elvitegravir 13 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 Raltegravir 150 55 25 16 8 5 4 0 Dolutegravir Number at risk 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI Dolutegravir Raltegravir Elvitegravir Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 ratio normalization at cut-off 1 a b c 0 .25 .5 .75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Years from ART initiation 69 23 11 1 0 0 0 0 Elvitegravir 19 13 8 2 0 0 0 0 Raltegravir 83 30 14 10 8 4 3 0 Dolutegravir Number at risk 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI Dolutegravir Raltegravir Elvitegravir Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 ratio normalization at cut-off 0.4 0 .25 .5 .75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Years from ART initiation 45 19 9 2 1 0 0 0 Elvitegravir 8 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 Raltegravir 70 34 17 11 7 3 2 0 Dolutegravir Number at risk 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI Dolutegravir Raltegravir Elvitegravir Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 normalization at cut-off 1.5 Corresponding Author Javier Martínez Sanz, MD, PhD Department of Infectious Diseases, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal M-607 Km. 9.100, 28034 Madrid (Spain) Email: [email protected] The observed and adjusted linear trajectories of CD4/CD8 raco per treatment group significantly differed between groups (p<0.001). The differences were driven by changes in both CD4+ and CD8+ T-cell counts. Within INSTI, the greatest CD4/CD8 raco gain was observed with EVG followed by DTG. This was largely driven by greater declines in CD8+ T-cell counts during the first year of therapy (p<0.001). Table 1 Table 2 Table 4 Table 3 Other sensicvity analyses included the CD4 nadir stratum, the calendar year period, and the development of virological failure during follow-up. There were no significant variacons with respect to the global primary analysis.

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Page 1: Title: CD4/CD8 Recovery And First-line ART: Greatest ... · andmortality(Serrano-Villar, PLoSPathog 2014) • It is unknown whether the different first-line ART regimens have a differentimpacton

Title:

BACKGROUND• A low CD4/CD8 ratio during antiretroviral therapy (ART) identifies

subjects with heightened immunoactivation andimmunosenescence, and have been shown to predict morbidityand mortality (Serrano-Villar, PLoS Pathog 2014)

• It is unknown whether the different first-line ART regimens havea different impact on the rates of CD4/CD8 ratio normalization.

• We aimed to assess the effects of the INSTI, PI or NNRTI-basedfirst-line ART on long-term CD4/CD8 ratio recovery in a largeprospective cohort.

METHODS• Prospective cohort study in 13,026 HIV-infected individuals

registered in the Spanish HIV Research Network (CoRIS) cohort.

• We included subjects who started triple ART and achieved HIVRNA suppression at 48 weeks.

• We used multilevel mixed models with linear splines to comparelongitudinal changes in the CD4/CD8 ratio and Cox proportional-hazard models to compare the times to CD4/CD8 normalizationby treatment groups (NNRTI, PI, INSTI) at 0.5, 1 and 1.5 cut-offs.

• Analyses were adjusted for sex, country of origin, mode oftransmission, calendar year, educational level, baseline HIV RNA,presence of AIDS, pre-ART nadir CD4, acme CD8 count andbackbone NRTI.

RESULTS• A total of 6,804 individuals contributing to 37,149 persons/years

and 37,680 observations met the inclusion criteria. The medianfollow-up was 49 months (IQR 22-89).

• The study sample was representative of a medium-agedpopulation (median age 36 [IQR 30-44] years) with higherrepresentation of men (85.3%), median nadir CD4+ T-cell count of304 (IQR 178-438) cells/uL, and median baseline CD4/CD8 ratio0.33 (IQR 0.19-0.52).

• The median time from ART initiation to virologic suppression was18 (IQR 10-29) months, and first-line regimens included 2,820subjects starting ART with 2 NRTI+NNRTI (41.5%), 1,574 (23.1%)with 2 NRTI+PI and 2,410 (35.4%) with 2 NRTI+INSTI.

INSTI-based first line ART is associated with a greater CD4/CD8 ratio gain compared to NNRTI and PI-based ART.

Sergio Serrano-Villar1, Javier MarMnez-Sanz1, Raquel Ron1, Alba Talavera2, Borja Fernández1, Francisco Fanjul3, Joaquín Porclla4, Josefa Muñoz5, Concha Amador6, Miguel Alberto de Zárraga7, Maclde Sanchez-Conde1, Sabina Herrera1, Pilar Vizcarra1, María J. Vivancos-Gallego1, Sancago Moreno1

1Hospital Ramón y Cajal, Madrid, Spain; 2Insctuto Ramón y Cajal de Invescgación Sanitaria, Madrid, Spain; 3Hospital Universitario de Son Espases, Palma de Mallorca, Spain;4Hospital General Universitario de Alicante, Alicante, Spain; 5Hospital de Basurto, Basurto, Spain; 6Hospital de la Marina Baixa, Villajoyosa, Spain; 7Hospital San Agusln, Avilés, Spain.

CD4/CD8 Recovery And First-line ART: Greatest Improvement With Integrase Inhibitors 0474

CONCLUSIONS• This study with prospective design, large sample size, and

long follow-up shows that first line ART is associated witha greater CD4/CD8 ratio gain compared to NNRTI and PI-based ART. The INSTI-based ART was associated withhigher rates of CD4/CD8 recovery at the threshold fornormalization.

• Our findings were independent of the immunovirologicalcovariates analyzed (i.e., CD4 nadir, maximum HIV RNA,and development of virological failure during ART).

• This study in real life indicates that ART initiation withINSTI improves immune recovery with respect to otherART classes, which could affect long-term mortality.

FundingThis work was supported by the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Plan Estatal de I+D+i 2013–2016,projects PI15/00345, PI18/00154, AC17/00019, the Spanish AIDS Research NetworkRD16/0025/0001project) and was co-financed by the European Development Regional Fund ‘‘A wayto achieve Europe’’ (ERDF).

AcknowledgmentsWe acknowledge all study participants who made this research possible.

0.2

5.5

.75

1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15Years from ART initiation

395 194 96 37 19 9 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0ART = 2NRTI+1II827 644 486 385 311 239 178 125 93 69 36 14 1 0 0ART = 2NRTI+1IP

1204 916 735 583 477 369 271 177 123 84 39 19 8 4 0ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTINumber at risk

95% CI 95% CI 95% CI

ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI ART = 2NRTI+1IP ART = 2NRTI+1II

Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 ratio normalizationn at cut-off ≥0.4

0.2

5.5

.75

1

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15Years from ART initiation

1234 657 333 138 70 37 24 10 3 0 0 0 0 0 0ART = 2NRTI+1II1477 1277 1115 948 771 629 503 391 296 211 126 71 21 6 0ART = 2NRTI+1IP2656 2248 1899 1548 1236 982 752 567 420 291 173 98 48 9 0ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI

Number at risk

95% CI 95% CI 95% CI

ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI ART = 2NRTI+1IP ART = 2NRTI+1II

Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 ratio normalization at cut-off ≥1

0.2

5.5

.75

1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15Years from ART initiation

1556 926 475 194 106 57 35 14 5 1 0 0 0 0 0ART = 2NRTI+1II1626 1486 1344 1170 980 835 689 552 424 308 193 116 48 13 0ART = 2NRTI+1IP3028 2795 2488 2098 1696 1370 1096 824 618 414 254 147 67 14 0ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI

Number at risk

95% CI 95% CI 95% CI

ART = 2NRTI+1NNRTI ART = 2NRTI+1IP ART = 2NRTI+1II

Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 ratio normalization at cut-off ≥1.5

a

b

c

Figure 2: Subanalysis by INSTI group

Sub-analyses by piecewise indicatedthat these differences were drivenby changes during the first year ofART (Table 1) without significantdifferences in the adjusted CD4/CD8raco trajectories ater the secondyear of ART. Hence, a stronger effectof INSTI during the first year of ARTdetermined greater CD4/CD8 racovalues ater a similar follow-up.

Figure 1: Subjects in the INSTI group experience greater CD4/CD8gain during follow-up than patients in the NNRTI and PI groups.

Figure 3: Kaplan-Meier survival plots of estimated overallCD4/CD8 normalization at cut-offs of 0.4, 1.0, and 1.5.

• No differences between treatment groups for cmes to CD4/CD8 raco normalizacon at 0.4 cut-offwere detected. However, the NNRTI and PI had lower rates of CD4/CD8 raco normalizacon at ≥1 and≥1.5 cut-offs than INSTI (Table 2)

• At year 4, the adjusted mean CD4 count for INSTI, NNRTI and PI was 904, 718 and 696 cells/uL,(p<0.0001), and the adjusted mean CD8 count was 832, 875 and 996 cells/ul, respeccvely (p<0.0001).

Table 3 shows the incidence rates of raconormalizacon by treatment group for each cut-off point.

Subanalyses adjusted for backbone NRTIs did notshow differences in the rates of CD4/CD8 raconormalizacon between raltegravir, dolutegravirand elvitegravir (Table 4).

0.2

5.5

.75

1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Years from ART initiation

114 40 19 2 2 0 0 0Elvitegravir13 6 2 0 0 0 0 0Raltegravir150 55 25 16 8 5 4 0Dolutegravir

Number at risk

95% CI 95% CI 95% CI

Dolutegravir Raltegravir Elvitegravir

Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 ratio normalization at cut-off ≥1

a

b

c

0.2

5.5

.75

1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Years from ART initiation

69 23 11 1 0 0 0 0Elvitegravir19 13 8 2 0 0 0 0Raltegravir83 30 14 10 8 4 3 0Dolutegravir

Number at risk

95% CI 95% CI 95% CI

Dolutegravir Raltegravir Elvitegravir

Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 ratio normalization at cut-off ≥0.4

0.2

5.5

.75

1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Years from ART initiation

45 19 9 2 1 0 0 0Elvitegravir8 3 2 1 0 0 0 0Raltegravir70 34 17 11 7 3 2 0Dolutegravir

Number at risk

95% CI 95% CI 95% CI

Dolutegravir Raltegravir Elvitegravir

Kaplan-Meier failure estimates for CD4/CD8 normalization at cut-off ≥1.5

Corresponding Author

Javier Martínez Sanz, MD, PhD

Department of Infectious Diseases, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal

M-607 Km. 9.100, 28034 Madrid (Spain)

Email: [email protected]

The observed and adjusted linear trajectories ofCD4/CD8 raco per treatment group significantly differedbetween groups (p<0.001). The differences were drivenby changes in both CD4+ and CD8+ T-cell counts.

Within INSTI, the greatest CD4/CD8 raco gain was observed with EVGfollowed by DTG. This was largely driven by greater declines in CD8+T-cell counts during the first year of therapy (p<0.001).

Table 1

Table 2

Table 4

Table 3

Other sensicvity analyses included the CD4 nadir stratum, thecalendar year period, and the development of virological failureduring follow-up. There were no significant variacons with respect tothe global primary analysis.