tom demark europe part 1.pdf
DESCRIPTION
Accumulation/DistributionTRANSCRIPT
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WelcomeTD Indicators™ on Bloomberg
Presented by Tom DeMark
Copyright© 2007 Markets Advisory Inc
Eugene Sorenson
Bloomberg
Todd Mayhew
Market Studies Inc
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Master Market Timing with
DeMark Indicators ™on Bloomberg
Information for educational purposes only
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TD Abs Retracement Downside
13
13
DJIA
1987
TD Sequential™
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UKX1987
TD Sequential™
1313
13
TD Absolute Retracement
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13
British Pound1992
TD Combo™
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First Trip SP Cash
TD Absolute Retracement TD Relative Retracement
1st projected downside support level 944.75
2nd projected downside support level 776.70
Interim upside projected retracement
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UKX – FTSE 100 IndexTD Absolute Retracement
Projected downside TD Absolute Retracement level of 3267.96
2nd trip to Europe
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First Trip SP Cash
TD Absolute Retracement TD Relative Retracement
1st projected downside support level 943.97
2nd projected downside support level 763.73 2nd trip to Europe
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SP CashTD Relative Retracement
2nd trip to Europe
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UKX – FTSE 100 Index DailyTD Sequential™
2nd trip to Europe 13
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UKX – FTSE 100 Index WeeklyTD Sequential™
2nd trip to Europe
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UKX – FTSE 100 Index – 1 MinuteTD Sequential™
13
13
13
13
13
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UKX – FTSE 100 IndexTD Absolute & Relative Retracements
2nd trip to Europe
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SP Cash- 1 MinuteTD Combo™
13
13
13
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SP Cash- 1 MinuteTD Sequential™
13
13
13
13
13
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INDU Index TD Sequential™
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INDU Index TD Combo™
2005 2006
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QQQQ IndexTD Combo™
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NDX IndexTD Sequential™
TDST
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NDX IndexTD Sequential™
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SP1 Index TD Sequential™
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SP1 Index TD Sequential™
13
13
13
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NDX IndexTD Sequential™
TDST
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SP1 Index TD Sequential™
13
13
TDST
Risk Level
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Compressed TDST™ Levels
• Included is a sample summary list of security symbols that have completed compressed TDST price patterns, both bottoms and tops.
• Although there is no certainty these candidates will in fact record breakouts of their respective TDST levels, experience has proven that should a breakout occur, it likely will be dramatic.
• Traditional technical analysis applies breakout levels constructed from prior peaks and troughs and our research indicates that often this practice is suspect. TDST levels appear to more accurately define support and resistance levels.
• Majority of DeMark Indicators™ are “trend exhaustion” while breakouts of TDST levels are trend following.
TDST is a trademark of Market Studies Inc. Educational information only. Copyright Markets Advisory
Inc. 2007. No reproduction without the express written permission of Markets Advisory Inc.
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Compressed TDST™ Breakout Possibilities
Sample Scans5-JAN-2007
Compressed TDST Bottoms Compressed TDST Tops
ABI ACF
AMLN AGE
AXS AUO
CBP BEAV
DO BVF
EBAY BWA
ECLP CBRL
EFX CELL
FE CRA
FIC DWA
GPS EMN
HNZ ENR
TDST is a trademark of Market Studies Inc. Educational information only. Copyright Markets Advisory
Inc. 2007. No reproduction without the express written permission of Markets Advisory Inc.
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TD Sequential
Compressed TDST Example
Copyright Markets Advisory Inc. 2007
Disclaimer
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TD Sequential
Compressed TDST Example
Copyright Markets Advisory Inc. 2007
Disclaimer
Wide TDST
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TD Combo
Compressed TDST Example
Copyright Markets Advisory Inc. 2007
Disclaimer
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Low Risk 13 Bottoms and Tops
Sample Scan5-Jan-2007
(Symbols shown are for purposes of example only)
Low Risk Bottom Low RiskTop
TD Combo TD Sequential TD Combo TD Sequential
AMLN AMLN AGE ALD
AXS AGIX AUO AMX
CBP ANN BEAV ART
DO AVX BVF BIC
EBAY BLP BWA BOT
ECLP CC CBRL BRST
EFX CIL CELL CIL
FE F CRA CMTG
FIC GE DWA CNL
GPS GM EMN CPQ
HNZ HAL ENR DAL
TDST is a trademark of Market Studies Inc. Educational information only. Copyright Markets Advisory
Inc. 2007. No reproduction without the express written permission of Markets Advisory Inc.
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“Perfected” 9 Buy and Sell Setups
Sample Scan5-Jan-2007
(Symbols shown are for purposes of example only)
“Perfected” 9 Buy Setups “Perfected” 9 Sell Setups
TD Combo TD Sequential TD Combo TD Sequential
AMLN AMLN AGE ALD
AXS AGIX AUO AMX
CBP ANN BEAV ART
DO AVX BVF BIC
EBAY BLP BWA BOT
ECLP CC CBRL BRST
EFX CIL CELL CIL
FE F CRA CMTG
FIC GE DWA CNL
GPS GM EMN CPQ
HNZ HAL ENR DALTDST is a trademark of Market Studies Inc. Educational information only. Copyright Markets Advisory
Inc. 2007. No reproduction without the express written permission of Markets Advisory Inc.
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Pending ”Perfected” 9 Buy and Sell Setups
Sample Scan5-Jan-2007
(Symbols shown are for purposes of example only)
Pending "Perfected” 9 Buy Setups Pending “Perfected” 9 Sell
Setups
TD Combo TD Sequential TD Combo TD Sequential
AMLN AMLN AGE ALD
AXS AGIX AUO AMX
CBP ANN BEAV ART
DO AVX BVF BIC
EBAY BLP BWA BOT
ECLP CC CBRL BRST
EFX CIL CELL CIL
FE F CRA CMTG
FIC GE DWA CNL
GPS GM EMN CPQ
HNZ HAL ENR DAL
TDST is a trademark of Market Studies Inc. Educational information only. Copyright Markets Advisory
Inc. 2007. No reproduction without the express written permission of Markets Advisory Inc.
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Potential TD Combo Countdown 13 BottomsSample Scan
5-Jan-2007
(Symbols shown are for purposes of example only)
Conventional TD Combo Aggressive TD Combo
Countdown 11 Countdown 12 Countdown 11 Countdown 12
AMLN AMLN AGE ALD
AXS AGIX AUO AMX
CBP ANN BEAV ART
DO AVX BVF BIC
EBAY BLP BWA BOT
ECLP CC CBRL BRST
EFX CIL CELL CIL
FE F CRA CMTG
FIC GE DWA CNL
GPS GM EMN CPQ
HNZ HAL ENR DAL
TDST is a trademark of Market Studies Inc. Educational information only. Copyright Markets Advisory
Inc. 2007. No reproduction without the express written permission of Markets Advisory Inc.
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Potential TD Sequential Countdown 13 BottomsSample Scan
5-Jan-2007
(Symbols shown are for purposes of example only)
Conventional TD Sequential Aggressive TD Sequential
Countdown 11 Countdown 12 Countdown 11 Countdown 12
AMLN AMLN AGE ALD
AXS AGIX AUO AMX
CBP ANN BEAV ART
DO AVX BVF BIC
EBAY BLP BWA BOT
ECLP CC CBRL BRST
EFX CIL CELL CIL
FE F CRA CMTG
FIC GE DWA CNL
GPS GM EMN CPQ
HNZ HAL ENR DAL
TDST is a trademark of Market Studies Inc. Educational information only. Copyright Markets Advisory
Inc. 2007. No reproduction without the express written permission of Markets Advisory Inc.
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The Great Depression
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TD Abs Retracement Downside
13
13
DJIA
1987
TD Sequential™
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Setup
TD Combo™ and Sequential™
• The setup phase of both TD Combo™ and TD Sequential™ is designed to identify a likely trending market.
• The Setup process compares the current price bar level with a prior price bar level to identify the trend.
• Markets Advisory Inc. recommends the close of the current price bar be compared to the close 4 price bars earlier and the minimum setup completion set at 9 however users can select other price level comparisons and time series.
Copyright Markets Advisory Inc. 2007
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Close (B) greater than the close 4 price bars earlier (A) fulfills the
initialization requirement for the start of a buy setup
Buy Setup Initialization
A
B
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First close (Y) less than the close 4 price bars earlier (X)
Buy Setup
X
Y
“Price Flip” from Sell Setup to Buy Setup
1Copyright Markets Advisory Inc. 2007
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Buy Setup continues provided the next
price bar’s close is less than the close 4
price bars earlier.
The minimum
requirement for a Buy
Setup is completed once
9 consecutive price bar
closes less than the
close 4 price bars earlier
are recorded
Buy Setup Progression2
12
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Sell Setup Initialization
AB
3
Close (B) less than the close 4 price bars earlier (A) fulfills the initialization
requirement for the start of a Sell Setup
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Sell Setup
X
Y
3
First close (Y) greater than the close 4 price bars earlier (X).
.
“Price Flip” from Buy Setup to Sell Setup
C
C
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Sell Setup Progression
4
Sell Setup continues provided the next
price bar’s close is greater than the close
4 price bars earlier.
The minimum
requirement for a Sell
Setup is completed once
9 consecutive price bar
closes greater than the
close 4 price bars earlier
are recorded
1
2
9
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TD Setup Trend™ (TDST™) Once a Setup is completed, a TDST line is created which serves
as price support or resistance for future price movements.
An upside TDST resistance line is drawn
horizontally by extending the line from the
highest true high of the prior Buy Setup into
future price activity..
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TDST™ Upside Breakout
The TDST line from the prior Buy Setup is
exceeded early in the subsequent Sell Setup
series indicating likely continued upside
movement through Countdown completion..
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