tonight’s agenda

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THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE

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Page 1: Tonight’s Agenda

THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.  Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

Page 2: Tonight’s Agenda

Tonight’s Agenda

Election Results

Economy

Europe Calendar/Greek Default

Technology Smart Phones/Tablets

Page 3: Tonight’s Agenda

Administrative Stuff $15 Club Due $5 more will get you a shirt

Oct 9th last day to order shirt

Page 4: Tonight’s Agenda

Election Results

President: Carl Dick Vice President: Darryl Cornish Director of Marketing: Kyle

Hasenmiller Director of Group Simulations:

Suyang Zhou Director of Technology: Hunter Tebbitt Director of External Affairs: Andrew

Rymarz Treasurer: Nick Melrose

Page 5: Tonight’s Agenda

Are We on a Front End of a Recession? Europe Derailing

our economy again

Economic Data is Weak

Fed Running out of Tools

Fiscal Policy limited by politics

Page 6: Tonight’s Agenda

Operation Twistthrough June 20126-30 yrs, 12.5 year avee2:06min

Page 7: Tonight’s Agenda

Global Market MeltdownThu 22 Sep 11 | 07:00 PM ET

Page 8: Tonight’s Agenda

Entering a Bear Market?

Bear Market is technically a 20% decline

Europe has experienced 30%-40% declines already

Are we next?

Page 9: Tonight’s Agenda

How to Trade in a Bear Market Very Volatile

News Driven

Bear market Rallies

Buy the dips, sell the rips

Page 10: Tonight’s Agenda

Econ Data

Page 11: Tonight’s Agenda

Worst quarter since 2008

Page 12: Tonight’s Agenda

Consumers say current economic conditions are deteriorating in what is a bad sign for the September employment report

Page 13: Tonight’s Agenda

Economic growth for the second quarter ended up stronger than previously estimated but remained anemic

Page 14: Tonight’s Agenda

Growth in personal income not just slowed in August but declined slightly

Page 15: Tonight’s Agenda

New home sales remain lifeless at a nine-month low

Page 16: Tonight’s Agenda

Data Pallooza

Page 17: Tonight’s Agenda

Jobless Claims

Page 18: Tonight’s Agenda

Europe: The Gift That Keeps on Giving

Page 19: Tonight’s Agenda

Euro Calendar Tue 20 Sep 11 | 12:38 PM ET

Page 20: Tonight’s Agenda

Expect Euro News to Contiue Moving the Markets

Page 21: Tonight’s Agenda

Effects of Greek Default Future of Europe Depends on Politics

Not healthy for the market

Many Europeans Don’t want to bailout other countries, could tank the markets

Europe Better off in the Long-run without Greece and maybe Portugal

Sigh of relief in the euro-zone today as Germany voted to expand the rescue fund for European countries in crisis

Page 22: Tonight’s Agenda

Greek Default Outlook

| 1:08 PM ET

Page 23: Tonight’s Agenda

Effects of Greek Default

Will Greece Default? Greece Runs out of Money in a couple weeks

Orderly or Disorderly?

Will Euro Banks be Ready?

Will the Market Worry about Portugal and Italy? Expect a lot of Volatility

Page 24: Tonight’s Agenda

Technology Smart Phones

Tablets

Cloud Computing

Page 25: Tonight’s Agenda

London Metal Exchange

Page 26: Tonight’s Agenda

Smart Phones

Page 27: Tonight’s Agenda

Smart Phone Market Share: Operating System

Page 28: Tonight’s Agenda

Smart Phone Market Share: Handsets Apple-18.5%

Samsung-17.5%

Nokia-15.2%

Page 29: Tonight’s Agenda

Apple iPhone 5 design

release on Tuesday

What will this mean for the stock?

How has apple reacted to past iPhone releases?

iPads doing well

Page 30: Tonight’s Agenda

Time to Take a Bite Out of Apple?

Wed 21 Sep 11 | 05:18 PM ET

Page 31: Tonight’s Agenda

RIMM Example of a Failing

Tech stock

In ’08 had Market Cap of $70 billion

Currently Mkt Cap is $10 billion

Will it eventually get acquired by MSFT or Intel?

Page 32: Tonight’s Agenda

Is This the End for Blackberry?

Fri 16 Sep 11 | 12:30 PM ET

Page 33: Tonight’s Agenda

Patent Wars: Smart Phone 2nd Dervivative Play

Page 34: Tonight’s Agenda

Patents are in High Demand Google buys Motorola

(MMI) for $12.5 billion 17,000 patents

Nortel sells 6,000 for $4.5 billion to a consortium Apple EMC, Ericsosson,

MSFT, RIMM, and Sony

Who’s Next?

Apple & Samsung in major legal battles in Germany and Australia

HTC suing Apple

Google just bought $18 worth of patents from IBM

Page 35: Tonight’s Agenda

Potential Takeout Targets IDCC (9,000 patents)

Wireless protocol 3G, 4G/LTE

EK (1,100 digital camera patents)

RIMM (thousands)

NOK (thousands)

Page 36: Tonight’s Agenda
Page 37: Tonight’s Agenda

FOMC Meeting: Fed Launches Operation Twist

| 1:08 PM ET

Page 38: Tonight’s Agenda

Fed Decision

Page 39: Tonight’s Agenda

What it will take to get the global economy/market going

Page 40: Tonight’s Agenda

Tonight’s Agenda

Page 41: Tonight’s Agenda

Fed Decision

Page 42: Tonight’s Agenda

securities exchange in Shanghai, China

Page 43: Tonight’s Agenda

London Metal Exchange

Page 44: Tonight’s Agenda

Fiscal Policy

Page 45: Tonight’s Agenda

Operation Twistthrough June 20126-30 yrs, 12.5 year avee2:06min

Page 46: Tonight’s Agenda

Operation Twistthrough June 20126-30 yrs, 12.5 year avee2:06min

Page 47: Tonight’s Agenda

Operation Twistthrough June 20126-30 yrs, 12.5 year avee2:06min

Page 48: Tonight’s Agenda

Operation Twistthrough June 20126-30 yrs, 12.5 year avee2:06min

Page 49: Tonight’s Agenda

Operation Twistthrough June 20126-30 yrs, 12.5 year avee2:06min

Page 50: Tonight’s Agenda

London Metal Exchange