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Corporate Financial Policy Semester A 2012-13 City University of Hong Kong  AC4331  Week 2 

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Corporate Financial Policy

Semester A 2012-13City University of Hong Kong

 AC4331 – Week 2 

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Topic 2 

.

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1-2

Introduction to Financial Management

Free Cash Flow

Financial Planning and Forecasting

Financial Assets and Time Value of Money etc.

Bond and Stock Valuation Cost of Capital

Cash Flow Estimation and Risk Analysis

Capital Structure and Leverage

Treasury and Valuation

Enterprise Risk Management

Dividends and Share Repurchase Merger and Acquisitions

Working Capital Management

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Extra Ref: Financial Management, Theory and Practice, 12e Eugene and 

Brigham  

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Understand and calculate a firm’s free cashflow

Understand techniques and models forforecasting financial statements

4

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Company managers, investors, and outside analystsuse financial statements to conduct… 

Cash flow analysis Performance (ratio) analysis

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Free Cash Flow

1. What is Free Cash Flow?

2. Why is FCF an importantdeterminant of a firm’s value? 

3. Calculating FCF

Ref: Eugene Ch 2 Pg 44

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What are key measures of cash flow?  

Profit is based on accrual accounting,focusing on past periods.

Finance emphasizes the importance of timing. “You can’t deposit net income, only cash.”  

Timing of cash flow matters.

 Accrual accounting may obscure timing.

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2011 2012

Sales 3,432,000 5,834,400

COGS 2,864,000 4,980,000

Other expenses 340,000 720,000

Deprec. 18,900 116,960

Tot. op. costs 3,222,900 5,816,960

EBIT 209,100 17,440

Int. expense 62,500 176,000

EBT 146,600 (158,560)

Taxes (40%) 58,640 (63,424)

Net income 87,960 (95,136)

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Sales increased by over $2.4 million. Costs shot up by more than sales.

Net income was negative.

However, the firm received a tax refund sinceit paid taxes of more than $63,424 duringthe past two years.

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2011 2012

Cash 9,000 7,282

S-T invest. 48,600 20,000 AR 351,200 632,160

Inventories 715,200 1,287,360

Total CA 1,124,000 1,946,802

Gross FA 491,000 1,202,950

Less: Depr. 146,200 263,160

Net FA 344,800 939,790

Total assets 1,468,800 2,886,592

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Net fixed assets almost tripled in size. AR and inventory almost doubled.

Cash and short-term investments fell.

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Balance of ret. earnings,12/31/2011 203,768

 Add: Net income, 2012 (95,136)

Less: Dividends paid, 2012 (11,000)

Balance of ret. earnings,12/31/2012 97,632

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2011 2012

 Accts. payable 145,600 324,000

Notes payable 200,000 720,000 Accruals 136,000 284,960

Total CL 481,600 1,328,960

Long-term debt 323,432 1,000,000

Common stock 460,000 460,000

Ret. earnings 203,768 97,632

Total equity 663,768 557,632

Total L&E 1,468,800 2,886,592

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CL increased as creditors and suppliers“financed” part of the expansion. 

Long-term debt increased to help finance theexpansion.

The company didn’t issue any stock.  Retained earnings fell, due to the year’s

negative net income and dividend payment.

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Operating Activities

Net Income (95,136)

 Adjustments:

Depreciation 116,960

Change in AR (280,960)

Change in inventories (572,160)Change in AP 178,400

Change in accruals 148,960

Net cash provided by ops. (503,936)

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Investing Activities

Cash used to acquire FA (711,950)

Change in S-T invest. 28,600

Net cash provided by inv. act. (683,350)

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Financing Activities

Change in notes payable 520,000

Change in long-term debt 676,568

Payment of cash dividends (11,000)

Net cash provided by fin. act. 1,185,568

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Net cash provided by ops. (503,936)

Net cash to acquire FA (683,350)

Net cash provided by fin. act. 1,185,568

Net change in cash (1,718)

Cash at beginning of year 9,000

Cash at end of year 7,282

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Net CF from operations = -$503,936,because of negative net income andincreases in working capital.

The firm spent $711,950 on FA. The firm borrowed heavily and sold some

short-term investments to meet its cashrequirements.

Even after borrowing, the cash account fell

by $1,718.

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FCF is the amount of cash available fromoperations for distribution to all investors(including stockholders and debtholders)after making the necessary investments to

support operations. A company’s value depends upon the amount

of FCF it can generate.

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1. Pay interest on debt.2. Pay back principal on debt.

3. Pay dividends.

4. Buy back stock.5. Buy nonoperating assets (e.g., marketablesecurities, investments in other companies,etc.)

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Operating current assets are the CA neededto support operations.◦ Op CA include: cash, inventory, receivables.

◦ Op CA exclude: short-term investments, because

these are not a part of operations.

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Operating current liabilities are the CLresulting as a normal part of operations.◦ Op CL include: accounts payable and accruals.

◦ Op CL exclude: notes payable, because this is a

source of financing, not a part of operations.

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NOWC12 = ($7,282 + $632,160 +

$1,287,360)

- ($324,000 + $284,960)= $1,317,842.

NOWC11 = $793,800.

= -Operating

CA

Operating

CL

NOWC

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Operating Capital= NOWC + Net fixed assets.

Operating Capital 2012 = $1,317,842 +$939,790 = $2,257,632.

Operating Capital 2011 = $1,138,600.

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NOPAT = EBIT(1 - Tax rate)

NOPAT12  = $17,440(1 - 0.4)

= $10,464.

NOPAT11  = $125,460.

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FCF = NOPAT - Net investment in

operating capital

= $10,464 - ($2,257,632 - $1,138,600)

= $10,464 - $1,119,032

= -$1,108,568.

How do you suppose investors will react?

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ROIC = NOPAT / operating capital

ROIC12 = $10,464 / $2,257,632 = 0.5%.

ROIC11 = 11.0%.

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No. The ROIC of 0.5% is less than the WACCof 10%. Investors did not get the return theyrequire.

Note: High growth usually causes negativeFCF (due to investment in capital), but that’sok if ROIC > WACC. For example, HomeDepot had high growth, negative FCF, but ahigh ROIC.

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Net operating profitafter taxes (NOPAT)

= EBIT (1 – T)

Operating cashflow (OCF)

= NOPAT + Depreciation

= EBIT (1 – T) + Depreciation

Free cashflow (FCF)

= OCF – FA  – (CA  –  AP –  Accruals)

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Extra Ref: Financial Management, Theory and Practice, 12e Eugene and 

Brigham  

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Financial Planning and Forecasting

Chapter 4 

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Develop a financial plan using the percentageof sales approach

Discern how capital structure and dividendpolicies affect a firm’s ability to grow 

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4.1 Forecasting Sales 4.2 Projecting the Assets and Internally

Generated Funds 4.3 Projecting Outside Funds Needed 4.4 Deciding How to Raise Funds

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2012 2013ECash and equivalents $ 20 $ 25

 Accounts receivable 240 300

Inventories 240 300Total current assets $ 500 $ 625

Net fixed assets 500 625

Total assets $1,000 $1,250

4-36

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2012 2013E Accts payable & accrued liab. $ 100 $ 125

Notes payable 100 190

Total current liabilities 200 315Long-term debt 100 190

Common stock 500 500

Retained earnings 200 245Total liabilities & equity $1,000 $1,250

4-37

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2012 2013ESales $2,000.0 $2,500.0Less: Variable costs 1,200.0 1,500.0

Fixed costs 700.0 875.0EBIT $ 100.0 $ 125.0Interest 16.0 16.0EBT $ 84.0 $ 109.0

Taxes (40%) 33.6 43.6Net income $ 50.4 $ 65.40Dividends (30% of NI) $15.12 $19.62

 Addition to retained earnings $35.28 $45.784-38

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2012 2013E Ind Avg Comment

Basic earning power 10.00% 10.00% 20.00% Poor

Profit margin 2.52% 2.62% 4.00% Poor

Return on equity 7.20% 8.77% 15.60% Poor

Days sales outstanding 43.8 days 43.8 days 32.0 days Poor

Inventory turnover 8.33x 8.33x 11.00x Poor

Fixed assets turnover 4.00x 4.00x 5.00x Poor

Total assets turnover 2.00x 2.00x 2.50x Poor

Debt/assets 30.00% 40.40% 36.00% OK Times interest earned 6.25x 7.81x 9.40x Poor

Current ratio 2.50x 1.99x 3.00x Poor

Payout ratio 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% OK 

4-39

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Financial Models

Projection of Future Plans◦ Short Term or Long Term

◦ Results in Pro-Forma Statements

Influenced by:

◦ Investment in new assets – capital budgetingdecisions

◦ Degree of financial leverage – capital structuredecisions

Cash paid to shareholders – dividend policydecisions

◦ Liquidity requirements – net working capitaldecisions

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Sales Forecast –cash flows depend directly on thelevel or estimated growth rate of sales

Pro Forma Statements –Presenting the plan asprojected financial statements (pro forma) allowsfor consistency and ease of interpretation

Asset Requirements – additional assets required tomeet sales projections

Financial Requirements – financing needed to payfor the required assets

Plug Variable – depends on type of financing to beused (makes the balance sheet balance)

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Some items vary directly with sales, othersdo not.

Income Statement◦ Costs may vary directly with sales - if this is the

case, then the profit margin is constant◦ Depreciation and interest expense may not vary

directly with sales – if this is the case, then theprofit margin is not constant

◦ Dividends are a management decision and

generally do not vary directly with sales – thisaffects additions to retained earnings

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Balance Sheet◦ Initially assume all assets, including fixed, vary

directly with sales.◦ Accounts payable also normally vary directly with

sales.◦ Notes payable, long-term debt, and equity

generally do not vary with sales because theydepend on management decisions about capitalstructure.

◦ The change in the retained earnings portion of equity will come from the dividend decision.

External Financing Needed (EFN)◦ The difference between the forecasted increase in

assets and the forecasted increase in liabilities andequity.

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Operating at full capacity in 2012.

Each type of asset grows proportionallywith sales.

Payables and accruals grow proportionallywith sales.

2013 profit margin (2.52%) and payout(30%) will be maintained.

Sales are expected to increase by $500million. (%S = 25%)

4-44

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Spontaneous Liabilities: Accounts Payables +Accrued Liabilities PM = Profit Margin D = payout ratio 

AFN = (A0*/S0)S – (L0*/S0)S – M(S1)(RR)

= ($1,000/$2,000)($500)– ($100/$2,000)($500)– 0.0252($2,500)(0.7)

= $180.9 million

4-45

)1(Sales)Projected(ΔSalesSales

LiabSponSales

Sales

Assetsd PM 

 

  

 

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4-46

Consultation with some key managers hasyielded the following revisions:

◦ Firm expects customers to pay quicker next year,thus reducing DSO to 34 days without affectingsales.

◦ A new facility will boost the firm’s net fixed assetsto $700 million.

◦ New inventory system to increase the firm’sinventory turnover to 10x, without affecting sales.

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4-47

These changes will lead to adjustments in thefirm’s assets and will have no effect on thefirm’s liabilities and equity section of thebalance sheet or its income statement.

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2012 2013F

Cash and equivalents $ 20 $ 67

 Accounts receivable 240 233

Inventories 240 250

Total current assets $ 500 $ 550

Net fixed assets 500 700

Total assets $1,000 $1,250

4-48

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2012 2013F Ind Avg Comment

Basic earning power 10.00% 10.00% 20.00% Poor

Profit margin 2.52% 2.62% 4.00% Poor

Return on equity 7.20% 8.77% 15.60% Poor

Days sales outstanding 43.8 days 34.0 days 32.0 days OK Inventory turnover 8.33x 10.00x 11.00x OK 

Fixed assets turnover 4.00x 3.57x 5.00x Poor

Total assets turnover 2.00x 2.00x 2.50x Poor

Debt/assets 30.00% 40.40% 36.00% OK 

Times interest earned 6.25x 7.81x 9.40x Poor

Current ratio 2.50x 1.98x 3.00x Poor

Payout ratio 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% OK 

4-49

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4-50

$1,125 

625$125$$625 

(NFA)AssetsFixedNet(NWC)CapitalgNet WorkinCapital2013

900$2012Capital

 225$ 

900$$1,125capitalininvestmentNet

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FCF = EBIT(1 – T) – Net investment in capital

= $125(0.6) – $225

= $75 – $225

= -$150

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The maximum amount of sales that can besupported by the 2012 level of assets is:

4-52

$2,3535$2,000/0.8

capacityof %sales/ ActualsalesCapacity

2013 forecast sales exceed the capacity

sales, so new fixed assets are required tosupport 2013 sales.

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Sales wouldn’t change but assets would belower, so turnovers would improve.

Less new debt, hence lower interest andhigher profits◦ EPS, ROE, debt ratio, and TIE would improve.

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Higher dividend payout ratio?

◦ Increase AFN: Less retained earnings.

Higher profit margin?

◦ Decrease AFN: Higher profits, more retainedearnings.

Higher capital intensity ratio?

◦ Increase AFN: Need more assets for given sales.

Pay suppliers in 60 days, rather than 30days?

◦ Decrease AFN: Trade creditors supply more capital

(i.e., L0*/S0 increases). 4-54

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External Financing Needed (EFN) can alsobe calculated as:

)1(Sales)Projected(ΔSalesSales

LiabSponSalesSalesAssets d PM 

  

  

The first term measures the increase in assets, which is

based on the capital intensity ratio.The second and third terms capture the increase in

liabilities and equity, respectively.

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External Financing and Growth

At low growth levels, internal financing(retained earnings) may exceed the requiredinvestment in assets.

As the growth rate increases, the internal

financing will not be enough, and the firm willhave to go to the capital markets forfinancing.

Examining the relationship between growthand external financing required is a usefultool in financial planning.

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The internal growth rate is the maximum growthrate using retained earnings as the only source of financing (Without raising external capital)

In other words, the IGR is the maximum growth

rate with no EFN of any kind. Using the information from the Hoffman Co.

bROA-1bROA RateGrowthInternal

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= plowback rate * return on equity *equity/net assets

= retained earnings/net income * netincome/equity * equity/net assets

If a company wishes to grow faster, it wouldneed to (1) plow back more earnings, (2) earna higher return on equity (ROE), (3) have alower debt-equity ratio

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The sustainable growth rate tells us howmuch the firm can grow by using internallygenerated funds and issuing debt to maintaina constant debt ratio (not increasing financial

leverage) = plowback ratio * return on equity

= Retained earnings/net income * return onequity (debt-equity ratio remains unchanged)

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bROE-1

bROE RateGrowtheSustainabl

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Profit margin – operating efficiency Total asset turnover – asset use efficiency

Financial leverage – choice of optimal debtratio

Dividend policy – choice of how much to payto shareholders versus reinvesting in thefirm

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Some Caveats

Financial planning models do not indicatewhich financial polices are the best.

Models do not contain finance in them Models are simplifications of reality, and the

world can change in unexpected ways.

Without some sort of plan, the firm may finditself adrift in a sea of change without arudder for guidance.

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Standardize financial statements forcomparison purposes

Compute and interpret important financialratios including the famous DuPont Identity

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Financial Statements Analysis

Must develop a good working knowledge of financial statements

Making financial statements useful for users

is one finance role In order to make meaningful comparisons

of companies of different size financialprofessionals use two key techniques:

◦ Common-Size Statements◦ Financial Ratios

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Common-Size Balance Sheets

Compute all accounts as a percent of total assets

Common-Size Income Statements

Compute all line items as a percent of sales

Standardized statements make it easier to comparefinancial information, particularly as the companygrows.

They are also useful for comparing companies of different sizes, particularly within the sameindustry.

Practice Hint: You may have round percentages in

Common-Size Statements

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Ratio Analysis

Ratios compliment common size analysis and allowfor deeper comparison through time or betweendissimilar companies

Not always computed precisely the same; documentyour approach As we look at each ratio, ask yourself:

◦ How is the ratio computed?◦ What is the ratio trying to measure and why?◦

What is the unit of measurement?◦ What does the value indicate?◦ How can we improve the company’s ratio? 

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Liquidity RatiosCurrent Ratio

Quick Ratio

Turnover Ratios

Collection/Payment Period

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

Times Interest Earned Ratio

Profit Margin

Return on Assets

P/E Ratio

Market-to-Book Ratio

 Activity Ratios

Debt Ratios

Profitability Ratios

Market Ratios

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Short-term solvency or liquidity ratios Asset management or turnover ratios

Long-term solvency or financial leverageratios

Profitability ratios

Market value ratios

Following Examples all Based on Tables 3.1 & 3.4

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Current

ratio=

Current assets

Current liabilities

Quick 

ratio=

Current assets Inventory

Current liabilities

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Inventory

turnover=

Cost of goods sold

Inventory

Averagecollection

period=

 Accounts receivable

 Average daily sales

Average

payment

period=

 Accounts payable

 Average daily purchases

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Fixed asset

turnover=

Sales

Net fixed assets

Total asset

turnover=

Sales

Total assets

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Debt ratio =

Total liabilities

Total assets

Equitymultiplier

= Total assetsCommon stock equity

Debt-to-equityratio

= Long-term debtStockholders’ equity 

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Times

interest

earned

=EBIT

Interest expense

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Gross profit

margin

= Gross profit

Sales

Operatingprofit

margin=

Operating profit

Sales

Net profit

margin=

Earnings available forcommon shareholders

Sales

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Earnings per

share (EPS) =Earnings available for common stockholders

Number of common shares outstanding

Return on totalassets (ROA) =

Earnings available for common stockholders

Total assets

Return oncommon equity

(ROE)=

Earnings available for common stockholders

Common stock equity

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Current Ratio = CA / CL Quick Ratio = (CA – Inventory) / CL

Cash Ratio = Cash / CL

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Total Debt Ratio = (TA – TE) / TA Debt/Equity = TD / TE

Equity Multiplier = TA / TE = 1 + D/E

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Times Interest Earned = EBIT / Interest

Cash Coverage = (EBIT + Depreciation +Amortization) / Interest

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Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold /Inventory

Days’ Sales in Inventory = 365 / InventoryTurnover

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Receivables Turnover = Sales / AccountsReceivable

Days’ Sales in Receivables = 365 /Receivables Turnover

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Total Asset Turnover = Sales / Total Assets

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Profit Margin = Net Income / Sales Return on Assets (ROA) = Net Income /

Total Assets

Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income / TotalEquity

EBITDA Margin = EBITDA / Sales

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Market Capitalization = $Market value per share xno. of shares = $million

PE Ratio = Price per share / Earnings per share

Market-to-book ratio = market value per share /

book value per share Enterprise Value (EV) = Market capitalization +

Market value of interest bearing debt – cash

EV Multiple = EV / EBITDA

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Ratios are not very helpful by themselves: theyneed to be compared to something

Time-Trend Analysis

◦ Used to see how the firm’s performance is

changing through time Peer Group Analysis

◦ Compare to similar companies or withinindustries

◦ Go to www.reuters.com/finance/stocks  Use the ratios link to get comparative ratios for many

companies

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The DuPont Identity

Popularized by the DuPont Corporation A more sophisticated method of evaluating

return

Illustrates the interaction between profit,assets and leverage

Holds that ROE is actually a function of 3measures:◦

Operating Efficiency (Profit Margin)◦ Asset Use Efficiency (Total Asset Turnover)

◦ Financial Leverage (Equity Multiplier)

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ROA = Net profit

margin  Total asset

turnover

ROE = ROA A/E

ROE = Net profitmargin

  Total assetturnover

A/E

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ROE = NI / TE Multiply by 1 and then rearrange:

◦ ROE = (NI / TE) (TA / TA)

◦ ROE = (NI / TA) (TA / TE) = ROA * EM

Multiply by 1 again and then rearrange:◦ ROE = (NI / TA) (TA / TE) (Sales / Sales)

◦ ROE = (NI / Sales) (Sales / TA) (TA / TE)

◦ ROE = PM * TAT * EM

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ROE = PM * TAT * EM◦ Profit margin is a measure of the firm’s operating

efficiency – how well it controls costs.

◦ Total asset turnover is a measure of the firm’sasset use efficiency – how well it manages itsassets.

◦ Equity multiplier is a measure of the firm’sfinancial leverage.

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There is no underlying theory, so there is noway to know which ratios are most relevant.

Benchmarking is difficult for diversifiedfirms.

Globalization and international competitionmakes comparison more difficult because of differences in accounting regulations.

Firms use varying accounting procedures. Firms have different fiscal years.

Extraordinary, or one-time, events

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How do you standardize balance sheetsand income statements?

Why is standardization useful? What are the major categories of financial

ratios? How do you compute the ratios within

each category? What are some of the problems

associated with financial statementanalysis?

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What is the purpose of financial planning? What are the major decision areas

involved in developing a plan? What is the percentage of sales approach? What is the internal growth rate? What is the sustainable growth rate?

What are the major determinants of growth?