topic 7 international trade. definitions: trade or trading: trade or trading: refers to the...
TRANSCRIPT
TOPIC 7 International Trade
Definitions:Definitions:
• Trade or trading:
• Trade or trading: refers to the
transactions or the
exchanges of
ownership of goods
and services.
and,and,
refers to the transactions made domestically among the domestic traders in a country only.
•Domestic Trade:
while,while,
•International Trade (IT): refers to transactions made
among different countries
in the world, whereby
involves export and import.
• Why do countries tend to trade with the rest of the
world?
• Why do countries tend to trade with the rest of the
world?
• Why don’t they become
self-sufficient?
• Why don’t they become
self-sufficient?
• Indeed, large countries like China and America would also like to trade with other nations in the global economy.
– they do not want to become self-sufficient:
i.e. to produce all goods they consume and restrict foreign
goods into their country.
• While China now tend to become an “open economy” i.e. widely open to their trading partners – allowing exports and imports activities.
this explains how important is the International Trade.
• Indeed, large countries like China and America would also like to trade with other nations in the global economy.
– they do not want to become self-sufficient:
i.e. to produce all goods they consume and restrict foreign
goods into their country.
• While China now tend to become an “open economy” i.e. widely open to their trading partners – allowing exports and imports activities.
this explains how important is the International Trade.
International Trade can also be referred as:
International Trade can also be referred as:
INTERNATIONAL SPECIALISATION
- Specialisation is said as
the basis for trade.
- The benefit receives from specialisation is that it may improves economic growth.
INTERNATIONAL SPECIALISATION
- Specialisation is said as
the basis for trade.
- The benefit receives from specialisation is that it may improves economic growth.
M’sia Real GNP with Net ExportsM’sia Real GNP with Net Exports
• Real GNP (RM Billion) 101.7 179.8 190.3 192.8 200.6212.2
• Net Merchandise
Exports (RM Billion) 0.5 73.1 92.6 53.7 51.1 53.1
(source: Malaysia key economic indicators: Malaysian Export Directory of
Manufacturers)
• Real GNP (RM Billion) 101.7 179.8 190.3 192.8 200.6212.2
• Net Merchandise
Exports (RM Billion) 0.5 73.1 92.6 53.7 51.1 53.1
(source: Malaysia key economic indicators: Malaysian Export Directory of
Manufacturers)
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004*
M'sian Real GNP with Net Exports
0
50
100
150
200
250
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004*
year
RM
(Bil
lio
n)
•Real GNP (RM Billion) •Net Merchandise Exports
Growth rates and export performance ofselected secondary outward-looking countries
Growth rates and export performance ofselected secondary outward-looking countries
Growth in real GDP and in real exports of goodsand services: total OECD countries
Growth in real GDP and in real exports of goodsand services: total OECD countries
Growth in GDP
Growth in real GDP and in real exports of goodsand services: total OECD countries
Growth in GDP
Growth in real GDP and in real exports of goodsand services: total OECD countries
Growth in exports of goods and services
Growth in GDP
Growth in real GDP and in real exports of goodsand services: total OECD countries
Growth in exports of goods and services
Growth in GDP
- one country will specialise in a good that she is best at and will trade among them.
- one country will specialise in a good that she is best at and will trade among them.
Specialisation means
Specialisation means
WHAT ARE THE REASONS or
FACTORS FOR COUNTRIES TO
TRADE INTERNATIONALLY
OR
TO DO SPECIALISATION?
WHAT ARE THE REASONS or
FACTORS FOR COUNTRIES TO
TRADE INTERNATIONALLY
OR
TO DO SPECIALISATION?
The factors that may lead these
countries to involve in
international trading are:
The factors that may lead these
countries to involve in
international trading are:
The reasons for IT to occur:The reasons for IT to occur:i. Different factor endowments:
raw materials, climate, specialist
labour, capital or technology that
may caused to produce different
types of goods.
i. Different factor endowments:
raw materials, climate, specialist
labour, capital or technology that
may caused to produce different
types of goods.
The reasons for IT to occur:The reasons for IT to occur:
i. Different factor endowments:
raw materials, climate, specialist
labour, capital or technology
that may caused to different
types of goods produced.
ii. Limited mobility of factors: human capital usually are non-mobile:
higher cost of production – costly to produce, so import goods from cheap countries.
i. Different factor endowments:
raw materials, climate, specialist
labour, capital or technology
that may caused to different
types of goods produced.
ii. Limited mobility of factors: human capital usually are non-mobile:
higher cost of production – costly to produce, so import goods from cheap countries.
The reasons for IT to occur:The reasons for IT to occur:iii. To obtain the benefit from
Specialisation: The theories of specialisation proves that countries which trade internationally (after specialisation) may increase their production, consumption and thus standard of living.
2 types of specialisation to be gained either: i) absolute advantage or
ii) comparative advantage.Specialisation improves the volume of production and lower the cost and benefit countries that involves in trading.- This proves that self-sufficient is inefficient.
iii. To obtain the benefit from Specialisation:
The theories of specialisation proves that countries which trade internationally (after specialisation) may increase their production, consumption and thus standard of living.
2 types of specialisation to be gained either: i) absolute advantage or
ii) comparative advantage.Specialisation improves the volume of production and lower the cost and benefit countries that involves in trading.- This proves that self-sufficient is inefficient.
The reasons for IT to occur:The reasons for IT to occur:iv. Wider consumer choice –
varieties of goods to choose:
may enjoy different
types of goods.
Differences in taste
across countries
prompt the global
trading and large
demand.
iv. Wider consumer choice –
varieties of goods to choose:
may enjoy different
types of goods.
Differences in taste
across countries
prompt the global
trading and large
demand.
The reasons for IT to occur:The reasons for IT to occur:v. To expand the market and may
benefits from Economies of Scale – decreasing cost:
countries can gain from huge demand of global market by lowering its long run average cost; which declines as the rate of production increases.
vi. Increases national income:
specialisation helps to increase the volume of exports and raises GDP.
v. To expand the market and may benefits from Economies of Scale – decreasing cost:
countries can gain from huge demand of global market by lowering its long run average cost; which declines as the rate of production increases.
vi. Increases national income:
specialisation helps to increase the volume of exports and raises GDP.
The reasons for IT to occur:The reasons for IT to occur:vii. Increases Competition –the benefits from large
competition may result to greater efficiency and better quality of goods:
Competition among domestic traders is relatively small.
Large competition may arise in global trading among countries in the world which may results to perfect competitive market,
and thus, might benefit them in terms of both the productive and allocative efficiency.
viii. Non-economic advantages – improves relationship and promote political links.
ix. Exchanging knowledge and technological advancement.
vii. Increases Competition –the benefits from large competition may result to greater efficiency and better quality of goods:
Competition among domestic traders is relatively small.
Large competition may arise in global trading among countries in the world which may results to perfect competitive market,
and thus, might benefit them in terms of both the productive and allocative efficiency.
viii. Non-economic advantages – improves relationship and promote political links.
ix. Exchanging knowledge and technological advancement.
The differences between International and Domestic Trade:
The differences between International and Domestic Trade:
1. Size of market and volume of transactions.2. Greater specialisation in countries which
involves in international trade.3. Involves the use of different units of
currency.4. Different nations produce varieties of goods
as world production.5. Large competition between nations may lead
to better quality of goods.6. Higher cost of transportation – involves
longer distance of journey.7. Subject to government policy and controls.
1. Size of market and volume of transactions.2. Greater specialisation in countries which
involves in international trade.3. Involves the use of different units of
currency.4. Different nations produce varieties of goods
as world production.5. Large competition between nations may lead
to better quality of goods.6. Higher cost of transportation – involves
longer distance of journey.7. Subject to government policy and controls.
The benefits from Specialisation in INTERNATIONAL TRADE:
The benefits from Specialisation in INTERNATIONAL TRADE:
• will specialise in its own best production of goods.
TWO TYPES OF SPECIALISATION in international trade:
- may gain either through the:
Absolute advantage or
Comparative advantage.
• will specialise in its own best production of goods.
TWO TYPES OF SPECIALISATION in international trade:
- may gain either through the:
Absolute advantage or
Comparative advantage.
1. ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE1. ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE
• is the benefit received when one country is relatively more efficient than the other country in a production process:
i) either in terms of the ability to produce the same amount of goods is relatively less costly (or using fewer resources) than the other country;
ii) or with the same resources, it is beneficial and efficient if one country might be able to produce more goods than the other country.
• is the benefit received when one country is relatively more efficient than the other country in a production process:
i) either in terms of the ability to produce the same amount of goods is relatively less costly (or using fewer resources) than the other country;
ii) or with the same resources, it is beneficial and efficient if one country might be able to produce more goods than the other country.
Scarcity of resources relative to material human wants
Scarcity of resources relative to material human wants
• permits the use of resources efficiently with larger production.
• Specialisation able to increase efficiency and volume of production.
• One country may specialise in production of goods that has relatively lower cost or greater efficiency with higher output.
• permits the use of resources efficiently with larger production.
• Specialisation able to increase efficiency and volume of production.
• One country may specialise in production of goods that has relatively lower cost or greater efficiency with higher output.
Mutual Benefit from Absolute Advantage:
Mutual Benefit from Absolute Advantage:
• After specialisation, each of them can benefit from absolute advantage in the production that they are relatively more efficient,
then is said to gain from absolute advantage.
• After specialisation, each of them can benefit from absolute advantage in the production that they are relatively more efficient,
then is said to gain from absolute advantage.
to understand the theory of specialisation, it is assumes that:
to understand the theory of specialisation, it is assumes that:
i. only two (2) countries trading in the world market.
ii. produces two (2) goods only.
iii. constant cost of production (resulting to linear production possibility curves)
iv. fixed resources
v. no transportation cost or trading barriers.
i. only two (2) countries trading in the world market.
ii. produces two (2) goods only.
iii. constant cost of production (resulting to linear production possibility curves)
iv. fixed resources
v. no transportation cost or trading barriers.
Production possibilities for two countriesProduction possibilities for two countries
For Example:
country product
Furniture (units)
Computers (units)
MALAYSIA 1800 2500
JAPAN 1500 3000
TOTAL 3300 5500
Production Before Specialisation
In Malaysia; 1 unit of furniture = 2500/1800 = 1.4 units of computers (has to be forgone)In Japan; 1 unit of furniture = 3000/1500 = 2 units of computers.In this case, Malaysia has a lower opportunity cost for the production of furniture than Japan. Therefore, Malaysia will specialize in the production of furniture.
country product
Furniture (units)
Computers (units)
MALAYSIA 1800 2500JAPAN 1500 3000
TOTAL 3300 5500
The Opportunity Cost or Relative Price of furniture versus computers:
In Malaysia; 1 unit of computer = 1800/2500 = 0.7 units of furniture. (has to be forgone)In Japan; 1 unit of computer = 1500/3000 = 0.5 units of furniture.In this case, Japan has a lower opportunity cost for the production of computers, therefore Japan will specialize in the production of computers.
country product
Furniture (units)
Computers (units)
MALAYSIA 1800 2500JAPAN 1500 3000
TOTAL 3300 5500
The Opportunity Cost or Relative Price of computers versus furniture :
The Relative Prices can be scheduled as:
The Relative Prices can be scheduled as:
Country
Opportunity cost (units)1 furniture 1 computer
MALAYSIA 1.4 computers 0.7 furniture
JAPAN 2 computers 0.5 furniture
The Opportunity Cost
PRODUCTION AFTER SPECIALISATIONPRODUCTION AFTER SPECIALISATION
country product
Furnitures (units)
Computers (units)
MALAYSIA 3600 xx
JAPAN xx 6000
TOTAL 3600 6000
After specialization, total production of both goods in the world increases.
World production before: furniture= 3300, computers= 5500. World production after : furniture= 3600, computers= 6000.
PRODUCTION AFTER SPECIALISATIONPRODUCTION AFTER SPECIALISATION
country product
Furnitures (units)
Computers (units)
MALAYSIA 3600 xx
JAPAN xx 6000
TOTAL 3600 6000
After specialization, total production of both goods in the world increases.
World production before: furniture= 3300, computers= 5500. World production after : furniture= 3600, computers= 6000.
Terms of TradeTerms of Trade
refers to:
the ratio of exchange between
two commodities traded.
refers to:
the ratio of exchange between
two commodities traded.
Terms of TradeTerms of Trade• can be stated by looking at the opportunity cost of two
countries;
In Malaysia;
1 unit of furniture = 1.33 units of computers.
In Japan;
1 unit of furniture = 2 units of computers.
So, Terms of Trade agreed can be:
1 unit of furniture : 1.5 unit of computers
OR 1 unit of furniture : 0.8 units of computers
OR 1 unit of furniture : 1.33 < computers < 2OR 1 unit of furniture: 1.33 + 2 = 1.67 computers. 2
• can be stated by looking at the opportunity cost of two countries;
In Malaysia;
1 unit of furniture = 1.33 units of computers.
In Japan;
1 unit of furniture = 2 units of computers.
So, Terms of Trade agreed can be:
1 unit of furniture : 1.5 unit of computers
OR 1 unit of furniture : 0.8 units of computers
OR 1 unit of furniture : 1.33 < computers < 2OR 1 unit of furniture: 1.33 + 2 = 1.67 computers. 2
CONSUMPTION AFTER SPECIALISATION
CONSUMPTION AFTER SPECIALISATION
country product
Furnitures (units)
Computers (units)
MALAYSIA 2100 3000
JAPAN 1500 3000
TOTAL 3600 6000
With Terms of Trade (TOT);
1 FURNITURE : 1.5 COMPUTERS
Can these countries trade,Can these countries trade, if only one country has the
absolute advantage in producing both goods?
if only one country has the absolute advantage in producing both goods?
still they can benefit from specialisation through
comparative advantage.
still they can benefit from specialisation through
comparative advantage.
• If absolute advantage does not exist for both countries that trade still they can have the mutual benefit from trading.
• If absolute advantage does not exist for
both countries that trade still they can have the mutual benefit from trading.
2. COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE 2. COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
The law of or benefit from comparative advantage:
– is the ability of a country to specialise and produce goods at a relatively less opportunity cost than another country,
even though only one country has the absolute advantage in all goods.
The law of or benefit from comparative advantage:
– is the ability of a country to specialise and produce goods at a relatively less opportunity cost than another country,
even though only one country has the absolute advantage in all goods.
Instead,Instead,
• when only one country was more efficient at producing both goods,
specialization still may gain both countries;
(provided that one country has a greater comparative advantage of one good.)
- thus, one country will specialize in the good that she has relatively greater comparative advantage.
• when only one country was more efficient at producing both goods,
specialization still may gain both countries;
(provided that one country has a greater comparative advantage of one good.)
- thus, one country will specialize in the good that she has relatively greater comparative advantage.
So … what’s the difference between Absolute and Comparative Advantages.
So … what’s the difference between Absolute and Comparative Advantages.
• Absolute Adv: is the benefit enjoyed in the
production process when one country can
produce more than the other country with the
same resources used.
• Comparative Adv: is the benefit enjoyed in the
production process when one country can
produce at a lower opportunity cost in terms of
the other goods than the other country.
• Absolute Adv: is the benefit enjoyed in the
production process when one country can
produce more than the other country with the
same resources used.
• Comparative Adv: is the benefit enjoyed in the
production process when one country can
produce at a lower opportunity cost in terms of
the other goods than the other country.
Production possibilities for two countriesProduction possibilities for two countries
Example of Comparative Advantage:
country product
Vegetable (units)
Fish (units)
INDONESIA 200 150
THAILAND 300 400
TOTAL 500 550
Production Before Specialisation
The Opportunity Cost or Relative Price of vegetables versus fish:
country product
Vegetable (units)
Fish (units)
INDONESIA 200 150
THAILAND 300 400
TOTAL 500 550In Indonesia; 1 unit of vegetable = 150/200 = 0.75 units of fish (has to be forgone)In Thailand; 1 unit of vegetable = 400/300 = 1.33 units of fish.In this case, Indonesia has a lower opportunity cost for the production of vegetable than Thailand. Therefore, Indonesia will specialize in the production of vegetable.
The Opportunity Cost or Relative Price of fish versus vegetables :
In Indonesia; 1 unit of fish = 200/150 = 1.33 units of vegetable. (has to be forgone)In Thailand; 1 unit of fish = 300/400 = 0.75 units of vegetable.In this case, Thailand has a lower opportunity cost for the production of fish, therefore Thailand will specialize in the production of fish.
country product
Vegetable (units)
Fish (units)
INDONESIA 200 150
THAILAND 300 400
TOTAL 500 550
The Relative Prices can be scheduled as:
The Relative Prices can be scheduled as:
country
Opportunity cost (units)
1 vegetable 1 fish
INDONESIA 0.75 fish 1.33 vegetable
THAILAND 1.33 fish 0.75 vegetable
The Opportunity Cost
PRODUCTION AFTER SPECIALISATIONPRODUCTION AFTER SPECIALISATION
country
product
Vegetable (units)
Fish (units)
INDONESIA 400 xx
THAILAND xx 800
TOTAL 400 800
After specialization, total production of goods in the world increases.
World production before: vegetable= 500, fish = 550. World production after : vegetable= 400, fish = 800.
Terms of TradeTerms of Trade• looking at the opportunity cost of two countries.
In Indonesia;
1 unit of fish = 1.33 units of vegetable.
In Thailand;
1 unit of fish = 0.75 units of vegetable.
So, Terms of Trade agreed can be:
1 unit of fish : 1 unit of vegetable. OR
1 unit of fish : 0.8 units of vegetable OR
• looking at the opportunity cost of two countries.
In Indonesia;
1 unit of fish = 1.33 units of vegetable.
In Thailand;
1 unit of fish = 0.75 units of vegetable.
So, Terms of Trade agreed can be:
1 unit of fish : 1 unit of vegetable. OR
1 unit of fish : 0.8 units of vegetable OR
1 unit of fish : 1.33 > vegetable > 0.75
Trading/exchange will occur:Trading/exchange will occur:
country product
Vegetable (units)
Fish (units)
INDONESIA 200 200THAILAND 200 600
TOTAL 400 800 Total Consumption after specialization (Indonesia exports 200 vegetables to Thailand and instead receives 200 fish in return as imports from Thailand, since the TOT is 1Veg : 1 Fish
If the Terms of Trade agreed is:
1 unit of fish = 1 unit of vegetable
The Terms of Trade (TOT) can also be stated as:
The Terms of Trade (TOT) can also be stated as:
» PX / PM» PX / PM
The terms of trade can be stated also as the ratio of prices of exports to imports.
LET’S HAVE A 5 MINUTES
BREAK
LET’S HAVE A 5 MINUTES
BREAK
….and LET’S TRY ONEEXERCISE (Q1) IN THE “Question to Ponder.”
….and LET’S TRY ONEEXERCISE (Q1) IN THE “Question to Ponder.”
QUESTION 1QUESTION 1
COUNTRY
COMMODITYSHOES
(units)
CLOTHS
(units)
INDIA 400 2000
CHINA 1200 2400
BEFORE SPECIALISATION
Table of Opportunity CostTable of Opportunity Cost
COUNTRY
COMMODITY
1 SHOE 1 CLOTH
INDIA 5 CLOTH 0.2 SHOE
CHINA 2 CLOTH 0.5 SHOE
b) COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE OF PRODUCING SHOES AND CLOTHS.
COUNTRY
COMMODITYSHOES
(units)
CLOTHS
(units)
INDIA xx 4000
CHINA 2400 xx
AFTER SPECIALISATION
c) Which country specialise in Cloth?
d) Suggestion for TERMS OF TRADEd) Suggestion for TERMS OF TRADE
1 SHOE : 2 < CLOTH < 5
OR
1 CLOTH : 0.2 < SHOE < 0.5
1 SHOE : 2 < CLOTH < 5
OR
1 CLOTH : 0.2 < SHOE < 0.5
THANK YOUAnd
Try to solve a few more questions in the “Question To
Ponder” AND ALSO
Questions in MODEL ANSWER BOOK page 189…. Q4, 5 and 6.
THANK YOUAnd
Try to solve a few more questions in the “Question To
Ponder” AND ALSO
Questions in MODEL ANSWER BOOK page 189…. Q4, 5 and 6.
PROTECTIONISMPROTECTIONISM
Sometimes too much freedom to the
International Trade is not advisable.
Some restrictions has to be imposed on
International Trade.
Sometimes too much freedom to the
International Trade is not advisable.
Some restrictions has to be imposed on
International Trade.
PROTECTIONISM / TRADE BARRIERSPROTECTIONISM / TRADE BARRIERS
• Methods of restricting trade: (Protectionist Policy):
– tariff
– quota
– embargo
– foreign exchange control
– import licences
– export subsidies and grants
– administrative barriers
• Methods of restricting trade: (Protectionist Policy):
– tariff
– quota
– embargo
– foreign exchange control
– import licences
– export subsidies and grants
– administrative barriers
Arguments for Restricting TradeArguments for Restricting Trade(Reasons for protectionism):
To protect infant and local industries.
To reduce the deficit in BOP.
To diversify economy.
To prevent dumping.
To control recession and unemployment.
To increase government revenue.
For retaliation purposes.
(Reasons for protectionism):
To protect infant and local industries.
To reduce the deficit in BOP.
To diversify economy.
To prevent dumping.
To control recession and unemployment.
To increase government revenue.
For retaliation purposes.
Trading BlocsTrading Blocs
• Types of preferential trading arrangement
– Free Trade Areas (e.g. NAFTA)
– customs unions (e.g. European Union)
– common markets
Reasons:• internal and external economies of scale
• better terms of trade
• increased competition between members etc.
• Types of preferential trading arrangement
– Free Trade Areas (e.g. NAFTA)
– customs unions (e.g. European Union)
– common markets
Reasons:• internal and external economies of scale
• better terms of trade
• increased competition between members etc.
Trading BlocsTrading BlocsFree Trade Areas (FTA)
The launching of the FTA negotiations for a Malaysia-US FTA hope to pave the way for stronger investment and trade.
- FTA were expected to focus on:
. Liberalisation of trade in goods, services and investment,
. Promote and facilitate trade and investment flows.
. Cooperation to address impediments to trade in the areas of intellectual property rights,
standards, and conformance and development of Mutual Recognition Arrangements.
. Collaborate to enhance competitiveness in specific sectors such as tertiary education,
healthcare and tourism, capacity building and technical assistance.
Free Trade Areas (FTA)The launching of the FTA negotiations for a Malaysia-US FTA hope to pave the way for stronger investment and trade.
- FTA were expected to focus on:
. Liberalisation of trade in goods, services and investment,
. Promote and facilitate trade and investment flows.
. Cooperation to address impediments to trade in the areas of intellectual property rights,
standards, and conformance and development of Mutual Recognition Arrangements.
. Collaborate to enhance competitiveness in specific sectors such as tertiary education,
healthcare and tourism, capacity building and technical assistance.
LET’S LOOK AT
YOUR EXERCISES!
LET’S LOOK AT
YOUR EXERCISES!
MODEL ANSWER:MODEL ANSWER:
• ANY PROBLEMS?• ANY PROBLEMS?
THANK YOU
HAVE A NICE DAY!
THANK YOU
HAVE A NICE DAY!
PRODUCTION POSSIBILITY CURVEPRODUCTION POSSIBILITY CURVE
MALAYSIA
JAPANFurniture (units)
Furniture (units)
Computers (units) Computers
(units)
1800
2500 3000
1500
PRODUCTION POSSIBILITY CURVEPRODUCTION POSSIBILITY CURVE
MALAYSIA
JAPANFurniture (units)
Furniture (units)
Computers (units) Computers
(units)
1800
2500 3000
1500
Arguments for Restricting TradeArguments for Restricting Trade
• Arguments for restricting trade (cont.)
– to prevent establishment of a foreign-based monopoly
– to spread risks
– externalities
– pursuing national interests (but against world interests)• exploiting monopoly power
• protecting declining industries
– non-economic arguments
• Arguments for restricting trade (cont.)
– to prevent establishment of a foreign-based monopoly
– to spread risks
– externalities
– pursuing national interests (but against world interests)• exploiting monopoly power
• protecting declining industries
– non-economic arguments
Arguments for Restricting TradeArguments for Restricting Trade
• Problems with protection
– protection as ‘second best’
– world multiplier effects
– retaliation
– cushions inefficiency
– bureaucracy
• Problems with protection
– protection as ‘second best’
– world multiplier effects
– retaliation
– cushions inefficiency
– bureaucracy
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
• History of protection
– Pre-war growth in protection
– Post-war reduction in protection and the role of GATT
• the growth in world trade
• History of protection
– Pre-war growth in protection
– Post-war reduction in protection and the role of GATT
• the growth in world trade
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
• History of protection– Pre-war growth in protection
– Post-war reduction in protection and the role of GATT• the growth in world trade
– Re-emergence of protectionism in the 1980s
• History of protection– Pre-war growth in protection
– Post-war reduction in protection and the role of GATT• the growth in world trade
– Re-emergence of protectionism in the 1980s
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
• History of protection– Pre-war growth in protection
– Post-war reduction in protection and the role of GATT• the growth in world trade
– Re-emergence of protectionism in the 1980s• the use of non-tariff barriers
• History of protection– Pre-war growth in protection
– Post-war reduction in protection and the role of GATT• the growth in world trade
– Re-emergence of protectionism in the 1980s• the use of non-tariff barriers
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
• History of protection– Pre-war growth in protection
– Post-war reduction in protection and the role of GATT• the growth in world trade
– Re-emergence of protectionism in the 1980s• the use of non-tariff barriers
– The Uruguay Round
• History of protection– Pre-war growth in protection
– Post-war reduction in protection and the role of GATT• the growth in world trade
– Re-emergence of protectionism in the 1980s• the use of non-tariff barriers
– The Uruguay Round
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
• History of protection– Pre-war growth in protection
– Post-war reduction in protection and the role of GATT• the growth in world trade
– Re-emergence of protectionism in the 1980s• the use of non-tariff barriers
– The Uruguay Round• aims of the Uruguay round negotiations
• History of protection– Pre-war growth in protection
– Post-war reduction in protection and the role of GATT• the growth in world trade
– Re-emergence of protectionism in the 1980s• the use of non-tariff barriers
– The Uruguay Round• aims of the Uruguay round negotiations
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
World Attitudes towardsTrade and Protection
• The Uruguay Round settlement and the creation of the WTO
– problems in reaching agreement
– the agreement
– the work of the WTO
• dispute settlement
• conflicting interests in trade disputes
– efficiency in trade versus environmental and social interests
– international protests
• The Uruguay Round settlement and the creation of the WTO
– problems in reaching agreement
– the agreement
– the work of the WTO
• dispute settlement
• conflicting interests in trade disputes
– efficiency in trade versus environmental and social interests
– international protests
Trading BlocsTrading Blocs
• Types of preferential trading arrangement
– free trade areas
– customs unions
– common markets
• features of a full common market
• Direct effects of a customs union
– trade creation
– trade diversion
• Types of preferential trading arrangement
– free trade areas
– customs unions
– common markets
• features of a full common market
• Direct effects of a customs union
– trade creation
– trade diversion
Trading BlocsTrading Blocs
• Long-term effects of a customs union
– longer-term advantages• internal economies of scale
• external economies of scale
• better terms of trade
• increased competition between members
– longer-term disadvantages• certain regions of the union may suffer
• possibility of oligopolistic collusion
• administrative costs
• Long-term effects of a customs union
– longer-term advantages• internal economies of scale
• external economies of scale
• better terms of trade
• increased competition between members
– longer-term disadvantages• certain regions of the union may suffer
• possibility of oligopolistic collusion
• administrative costs
Trading BlocsTrading Blocs
• Preferential trading in practice
– the EU
– NAFTA
• differences between the EU and NAFTA
– other examples
• Preferential trading in practice
– the EU
– NAFTA
• differences between the EU and NAFTA
– other examples
The European UnionThe European Union
• Historical background
• From customs union to common market
– Common Agricultural Policy
– regional policy
– competition policy
– tax harmonisation
– social policy
• Historical background
• From customs union to common market
– Common Agricultural Policy
– regional policy
– competition policy
– tax harmonisation
– social policy
The European UnionThe European Union
• The single market
– historical background
– the Single European Act
– completing the single market
– benefits of the single market
• trade creation
• reduction in the direct costs of barriers
• economies of scale
• greater competition
• The single market
– historical background
– the Single European Act
– completing the single market
– benefits of the single market
• trade creation
• reduction in the direct costs of barriers
• economies of scale
• greater competition
The European UnionThe European Union
• The single market (cont.)
– criticisms of the single market
• radical economic change is costly
• adverse regional multiplier effects
• development of monopoly/oligopoly power
• trade diversion
– evidence
– the future of the EU
• effect of new members
• The single market (cont.)
– criticisms of the single market
• radical economic change is costly
• adverse regional multiplier effects
• development of monopoly/oligopoly power
• trade diversion
– evidence
– the future of the EU
• effect of new members
Trade and Developing CountriesTrade and Developing Countries
• Trade strategies
– primary outward looking
– secondary inward looking
• import-substituting industrialisation (ISI)
– secondary outward looking
• possibly complemented by primary inward looking
• Trade strategies
– primary outward looking
– secondary inward looking
• import-substituting industrialisation (ISI)
– secondary outward looking
• possibly complemented by primary inward looking
Trade and Developing CountriesTrade and Developing Countries
• Approach 1: exporting primaries
– justification for exporting primaries• exploits comparative advantage
• a 'vent for surplus'
• an 'engine for growth'
– problems with traditional trade theory• comparative costs change over time
• benefits may not flow to nationals
• trade my lead to greater inequality
• externalities from mines and plantations
• Approach 1: exporting primaries
– justification for exporting primaries• exploits comparative advantage
• a 'vent for surplus'
• an 'engine for growth'
– problems with traditional trade theory• comparative costs change over time
• benefits may not flow to nationals
• trade my lead to greater inequality
• externalities from mines and plantations
Trade and Developing CountriesTrade and Developing Countries
• Exporting primaries (cont.)
– long-term problems for primary exporting countries
• low income elasticity of demand
• protection in advanced countries
• technological developments
– synthetic substitutes
– miniaturisation
• rapid growth in imports
• adverse movements in terms of trade
• Exporting primaries (cont.)
– long-term problems for primary exporting countries
• low income elasticity of demand
• protection in advanced countries
• technological developments
– synthetic substitutes
– miniaturisation
• rapid growth in imports
• adverse movements in terms of trade
Trade and Developing CountriesTrade and Developing Countries
• Approach 2: ISI
– justifications• problems of primary exporting
• dynamic potential in manufacturing– infant industries
– rapid technological advance
– patterns of protection• selecting industries for protection
• tariff and quota escalation
• attracting multinational investment
• Approach 2: ISI
– justifications• problems of primary exporting
• dynamic potential in manufacturing– infant industries
– rapid technological advance
– patterns of protection• selecting industries for protection
• tariff and quota escalation
• attracting multinational investment
Trade and Developing CountriesTrade and Developing Countries
• Approach 2: ISI (cont.)– adverse effects of ISI
• often counter to comparative advantage
• tends to cushion inefficiency– encourages establishment of monopolies
• artificially low interest rates– use of capital-intensive techniques
• encourages rural–urban migration
• adverse effects on rural sector
• leads to greater inequality
• environmental problems
• limit to home market
• Approach 2: ISI (cont.)– adverse effects of ISI
• often counter to comparative advantage
• tends to cushion inefficiency– encourages establishment of monopolies
• artificially low interest rates– use of capital-intensive techniques
• encourages rural–urban migration
• adverse effects on rural sector
• leads to greater inequality
• environmental problems
• limit to home market
Trade and Developing CountriesTrade and Developing Countries
• Approach 3: exporting manufactures– transition from inward-looking to outward-
looking industrialisation• a neutral trade approach
• active promotion of manufactured exports
– benefits from exporting manufactures• conforms with comparative advantage
• increased competition
• increased investment
• more employment and greater equality
• faster growth
• Approach 3: exporting manufactures– transition from inward-looking to outward-
looking industrialisation• a neutral trade approach
• active promotion of manufactured exports
– benefits from exporting manufactures• conforms with comparative advantage
• increased competition
• increased investment
• more employment and greater equality
• faster growth
Trade and Developing CountriesTrade and Developing Countries
• Approach 3: exporting manufactures (cont.)– drawbacks of exporting manufactures
• possible retaliation from advanced countries– but attitudes of WTO
• competition from other developing countries
• vulnerability to world fluctuations– world recessions
– speculation
– trade between developing countries• trade blocs of developing countries
• Approach 3: exporting manufactures (cont.)– drawbacks of exporting manufactures
• possible retaliation from advanced countries– but attitudes of WTO
• competition from other developing countries
• vulnerability to world fluctuations– world recessions
– speculation
– trade between developing countries• trade blocs of developing countries