topic7
DESCRIPTION
Topic7TRANSCRIPT
-
Project FinancingBuilding Infrastructure
Key Idea
Projects with different risksare likely to possess differing debtcapacities with each project,therefore necessitating a separatefinancial structure.
-
Core Concepts
Projects with
different risksare likely to possess
differing debt capacitieswith each project, so need
separate financial structure
Key Attributes of Project Financing
Risks hedged to maximum possible extent Projects debt capacity fully utilized Financial obligations tailored to match
projects cash flows Lenders have limited recourse
-
Overview
Criteria for success Historical perspective Overview of structured financing
Obligations match projects cash flows Participants exit sequentially
Criteria for Success
Size doesnt matter Project financing works in many activities Community of interest is crucial Infrastructure is crucial
-
Distribution by Size
284
111
95
50
41
71
34
47
24
11
20
8
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
under $20 million
$20-40 million
$40-60 million
$60-80 million
$80-100 million
$100-150 million
$150-200 million
$200-300 million
$300-400 million
$400-500 million
$500-999 million
$1 billion or more
Median size: $40 million
Activities:Project Financings Announced Jan. 1, 1981 through Dec. 31, 1995
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Project
Financings
Oil & Gas Development
Cogeneration Power
Real Estate Development
Plant Construction
Renewable Fuels Power
R&D Partnerships
Mining
Independent Power
Miscellaneous
Project Financings Announced Jan. 1, 1981 through Dec. 31, 1995
-
Electric Power Production
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Cogeneration
Hydro
Geothermal
Solar
Smaller Corp
Fortune 500 Corp
Independent
Communities of Interest
Cogeneration power productionexample: Seadrift Plant Host site
greater the productivity & less waste backup power
Utility company higher employment activity in its region greater planning flexibility
Simplified resolution of financial distress
-
Communities of Interest
Communities of interest in manufacturingexample: BevPak Economies of scale Full utilization of capacity
Independence from specific brands Reduced liability exposure
Communities of InterestMining, oil and gasexample: Hibernia Field Pooled risks Growth opportunities
New deposits Transmission Refining
Stimulates regional economy
-
Communities of Interest
Research and Developmentexample: NaTec, Ltd. (Partnership of CRS
Sirrine & Industrial Resources, Inc.) Pooled expertise Reduced free-rider problem
Costs shared among beneficiaries More opportunities can be pursued
Nurturing the Community of Interest
The community of interest must beadequately reflected in contracts
Participants must have reasonableexpectation that there will be continuity inhonoring government commitments
-
Nurturing the Community of Interest
Adequate supporting infrastructure must bealready in place Or provided within the community of interest
Nurturing the Community of Interest
Governments must be willing to allowsignificant positive expected net presentvalue necessary to attract private sector participants
-
Stable Contracting Environment is Crucial
Expeditious enforcement of contracts Continuity of government participation
as new officials replace old ones as power bases shift
Environment reasonably free of politicalrisks
Geodesic Networks
Project financinginvolves network ofparticipants Community of interest Often global
Non-hierarchical,web-like structure
No central node Long history
-
Historical Examples
11th Century English mine Medieval trading networks Construction contractors in ancient Rome
Future Possibilities
Renewable Fuels Power Geothermal Ocean Thermal Layers
By-product is fresh water Tidal Hydrogen Conversion
-
The Physical Value Chain From a Global Perspective:
Basic Extraction
Distribution&Marketing
Fabrication
Refining
PhysicalPhysicalRealmRealm
Service
Value Added at Value Added at Each StepEach Step
Support Activities:Technology DevelopmentHuman Resources Development
GATHER AND APPLY IN THE PHYSICAL REALMSTORE AND TRANSFORM IN THE INFORMATION REALM
Infosphere GATHER
APPLY
PRESENT
DISTRIBUTE
SYNTHESIZE
SELECT
ORGANIZE
Virtual Value Chain & Information Operations
-
Background:
Structured Financing
Structured Financing:Obligations Match Cash Flows
Debt capacity fully utilized Loans staggered to match project timetable Lines of credit provide debt support prior to full establishment of
project cash flows Limited partners provide majority of equity General partner provides small portion of equity
During early years, debt service consumes most of theexpected cash flow Level of expected cash flow determines capacity for intermediate-
term loans Derivatives used to stabilize cash-flow match
-
Structured Financing:Cash Flow Distribution
Early years: Most of cash flows go to debt service Little to limited partners Small or none to general partner
Middle years (after debt substantially reduced): Specified percentage to limited partners Remainder to general partner
Late years (after debt paid & L.P.s receive specifiedreturn): Small or none to L.P.s Most to G.P.
Who gets paid?
Total Project Cash Flows
Am
ount
Lenders
1st H
urdl
e
2nd
Hur
dle
3rd
Hur
dle
Limited Partners
General Partner
-
Political Risk
Expropriation take property outright revise agreements
Blocked Funds
Exchange Risk
Lagged adjustments for inflation Unrealistic official rates Limits on removal of capital
-
Issues in Analyzing ForeignInvestments
Parent vs. Project Cash Flows tax regulations exchange controls
Three-Stage Approach subsidiarys standpoint parent company standpoint add indirect benefits & costs
Southport Minerals, Inc.
Case Study
-
Questions
Is infrastructure provided? Is there a viable community of interests? How thoroughly are risks covered? Is there profit potential for Southport
Minerals?
-
Which Approach? Approach 1. Discount at Southport Minerals cost of
capital, ignoring the financial arrangements (zeroNPV)
Approach 2. Discount at a premium above SouthportMinerals cost of capital, ignoring the financialarrangements (negative NPV)
Approach 3. Discount at Southport Indonesias cost ofcapital, considering the financial arrangements(expected NPV $58 million)
Approach 4. Discount dividends paid versus equityinvested at SIs cost of capital (expected NPV $10million)
-
Outcome
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
Debt
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$ m
illi
on
s
year
Balance Sheet 1972-1987
Debt Net Worth
Outcome
-$10
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$ m
illi
on
s
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
year
Profit & Dividends 1972-1987
Profit Dividend
-
Through the 1990s
1988: Freeport Copper & Gold (FCX) takenpublic on the NYSE
1989: new project financing arranged forErstberg East deposit
1992, 1993, 1996, 2000: significant newdeposits of copper and gold discovered
Indonesia Today The world's largest archipelago, Indonesia achieved independence from the
Netherlands in 1949 Current issues include:
Alleviating widespread poverty Implementing IMF-mandated reforms of the banking sector Effecting a transition to a popularly-elected government after four decades of
authoritarianism Addressing charges of cronyism and corruption Holding the military and police accountable for human rights violations Resolving growing separatist pressures in Papua New Guinea
On 30 August 1999 a provincial referendum for independence wasoverwhelmingly approved by the people of Timor Concurrence followed by Indonesia's national legislature, and the name East Timor
was provisionally adopted On 20 May 2002, East Timor was internationally recognized as an independent
state.
-
Visit Website
http://www.fcx.com/