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  • 8/6/2019 Tourism Industry in Kerala India

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    KERALATHE IMPACTOFTRAVEL&TOURISM

    ON JOBSANDTHE ECONOMY

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    CHAIRMAN:

    Sir Ian Prosser

    Chairman

    InterContinental Hotels Group

    VICE CHAIRMEN:

    Donald Carty

    Chairman & CEO

    American Airlines

    Jean-Marc Espalioux

    Chairman of Management Board& CEO

    Accor

    Andr Jordan

    Chairman

    Lusotur SA

    Jonathan S Linen

    Vice Chairman

    American Express Company

    Vincent A Wolfington

    Chairman

    Carey International, Inc

    EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE:Peter Armstrong

    President & CEO

    Rocky Mountaineer Railtours

    Sebastin Escarrer

    Vice Chairman

    Sol Meli

    Edouard Ettedgui

    Group Chief Executive

    Mandarin Oriental Hotel Group

    Maurice Flanagan CBE

    Group Managing Director

    The Emirates Group

    Michael Frenzel

    Chairman

    TUI AG

    David House

    Group President, Global Network

    and Establishment Services

    American Express Company

    Richard R Kelley

    Chairman

    Outrigger Enterprises, Inc

    Geoffrey JW Kent

    Chairman & CEO

    Abercrombie & Kent

    J W Marriott, Jr

    Chairman & CEO

    Marriott International, Inc

    David Michels

    Chief Executive,

    Hilton Group plc

    Hilton International

    Curtis Nelson

    President and COO

    Carlson Companies

    PRS Oberoi

    Chief ExecutiveThe Oberoi Group

    Henry Silverman

    Chairman, President & CEO

    Cendant Corporation

    Jonathan Tisch

    Chairman & CEO

    Loews Hotels

    Brett Tollman

    Vice Chairman

    The Travel Corporation

    GLOBAL MEMBERS:

    Akbar Al Baker

    CEO

    Qatar Airways

    Giovanni Angelini

    CEO & Managing Director

    Shangri-La Hotels & Resorts

    David Babai

    Chairman

    Gullivers Travel Associates

    Phil Bakes

    Chairman & CEO

    FAR&WIDE Travel Corporation

    Henrik Bartl

    Head of International HotelFinancing

    Aareal Bank AG

    Gordon Bethune

    Chairman of the Board & CEO

    Continental Airlines

    Paul Blackney

    President & CEO

    Worldspan

    Richard Brown

    Chief Executive

    Eurostar Group

    Rgis Bulot

    Chairman of the Board

    Relais & Chteaux

    Marilyn Carlson Nelson

    Chairman & CEO

    Carlson Companies

    Alun Cathcart

    Deputy Chairman

    Avis Europe plc

    U Gary Charlwood

    Founder,Chairman & CEO

    Uniglobe Travel (International)

    Inc

    Jennie Chua

    Chairman & CEO

    Raffles International

    Hotels & Resorts

    David Clifton

    Managing Director,

    Europe & Asia

    Interval International

    Glen Davidson

    Senior VP,Worldwide Travel

    Insurance & Related Services

    American InternationalGroup Inc

    Lloyd Dorfman

    Chairman & Chief Executive

    The Travelex Group

    Rod Eddington

    Chief Executive

    British Airways plc

    Mathias Emmerich

    President & CEO

    Rail Europe Group, Inc

    Manuel Fernando Esprito Santo

    President

    Esprito Santo Tourism

    Laurence Geller

    Chairman & CEO

    Strategic Hotel Capital

    Henri Giscard dEstaing

    Chairman & CEO

    Club Mditerrane

    Maurice H Greenberg

    Chairman & CEO

    American International

    Group,Inc

    Richard Helfer

    Raffles International

    Hotels & Resorts

    James Hensley

    President

    Allied Europe

    James Hogan

    President and Chief Executive

    Gulf Air

    Stephen Holmes

    Vice Chairman

    Cendant Corporation

    Raimund Hosch

    President & CEO

    Messe Berlin GmbH

    Joseph Humphry

    CEO

    Travelweb LLC

    Xabier de Irala

    Chairman & CEO

    Iberia, Airlines of Spain

    Nuno Trigoso Jordo

    President & CEO.

    Sonae Turismo Gesto

    e Servios SA

    Sol Kerzner

    Chairman & CEOKerzner International Ltd

    Nigel Knowles

    Managing Partner

    DLA

    Krishna Kumar

    Managing Director

    The Taj Group of Hotels

    Hans Lerch

    President & CEO

    Kuoni Travel Holding Ltd

    Manuel Martin

    PartnerCyberDodo Productions Ltd

    Paul McManus

    President & CEO

    The Leading Hotels of the World

    David Mongeau

    Vice President

    CIBC World Markets

    Alan Mulally

    Executive Vice President

    The Boeing Company

    John M Noel

    President & CEO

    The Noel Group

    Tom Nutley

    Chairman

    Reed Travel Exhibitions

    Alan Parker

    Managing Director

    Whitbread Hotel Company

    Jean Gabriel Prs

    President & CEO

    Mvenpick Hotels & Resorts

    Dionsio Pestana

    Chairman

    Group Pestana

    Stefan Pichler

    Chairman & CEO

    Thomas Cook AG

    Fernando Pinto

    CEO

    TAP Air Portugal

    David Radcliffe

    Chief Executive

    Hogg Robinson plc

    Jay Rasulo

    President

    Walt Disney Parks & Resorts

    Kurt Ritter

    President & CEO

    Rezidor SAS Hospitality

    Peter Rogers

    President & CEO

    Diners Club International

    Carl Ruderman

    Chairman

    Universal Media

    Bruno Schpfer

    Chairman of the Board

    Mvenpick Hotels & Resorts

    Robert Selander

    President & CEO

    MasterCard International

    Per Setterberg

    CEO

    Global Refund Group

    Eric Speck

    Executive Vice President &

    Chief Marketing Officer

    Sabre Holdings Corporation

    Barry Sternlicht

    Chairman & CEO

    Starwood Hotels & ResortsWorldwide, Inc

    Ron Stringfellow

    Executive Chairman

    Southern Sun Group

    Lalit Suri

    Chairman & Managing Director

    Bharat Hotels Ltd

    Ian Swain

    Chairman & CEO

    Swain Travel Services Inc

    Kathleen Taylor

    President,

    Worldwide Business Operations

    Four Seasons Hotels and Resorts

    Jos Antonio Tazn

    President & CEO

    Amadeus Global Travel

    Distribution

    Jeffrey Toffler

    Chairman

    Coventry Partners

    Mustafa Trkmen

    CEO & Managing Director

    Enternasyonal Tourism

    Investments, Inc

    Patrice VinetPartner

    Accenture

    Trevor de Vries

    Deputy Managing Director

    Mondial Assistance Group

    Jurgen Weber

    Chairman

    Lufthansa German Airlines

    Peter Yesawich

    Managing Partner

    Yesawich, Pepperdine,

    Brown & Russel

    HONORARY MEMBERS:

    Lord Marshall of Knightsbridge

    Chairman

    British Airways plc

    Sir Frank Moore,AO

    Chairman

    Taylor Byrne Tourism Group

    Frank Olson

    Chairman of the Board

    The Hertz Corporation

    Grard Plisson

    Co-Chairman, Supervisory BoardAccor

    Tommaso Zanzotto

    President

    TZ Associates Ltd

    CHAIRMAN EMERITUS:

    James D Robinson III

    General Partner

    RRE Ventures

    IMMEDIATE PAST

    CHAIRMEN:

    Harvey Golub

    Retired Chairman & CEO

    American Express Co

    PRESIDENT:

    Jean-Claude Baumgarten

    Correct as at April 23, 2003

    2003 WORLD TRAVEL & TOURISM COUNCIL

    1-2 QUEEN VICTORIA TERRACE.SOVEREIGN COURT.LONDON E1W 3HA. UNITED KINGDOM

    TEL: +44 (0) 870 727 9882 or + 44 (0) 207 481 8007 FAX: +44 (0) 870 728 9882 or + 44 (0) 207 488 1008 [email protected] www.wttc.org

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    WTTC is delighted to have collaborated with the Government of Kerala

    to produce this report the first simulated Tourism Satellite Account

    (TSA) for an Indian state. Kerala is also one of the first state/provincial

    governments in the world to quantify the far-reaching contribution of

    Travel & Tourism to economic growth and employment thanks to the

    implementation of this new accounting concept, approved by the United

    Nations Statistical Commission.

    This report estimates the current performance of Keralas Travel &

    Tourism and provides forecasts based on the most recent national and

    international data fed into econometric models developed by WTTCs

    research partner, Oxford Economic Forecasting. It quantifies all aspects of

    Travel & Tourism demand, from personal consumption to business

    purchases, capital investment, government spending and exports. It then

    translates this information into economic concepts of production,such as

    gross state product and employment, which can be compared with other

    industries and the economy as a whole to provide credible statistical

    information that will assist in policy and business decision processes.

    The message from this report is surprisingly positive. Travel &

    Tourism is already one of the highest priority industries and employers

    for the Kerala Government. Demand growth in Kerala is the highest in

    the world and is projected to increase by 11.4 per cent per annum over

    the coming decade.

    However, in order to manage the projected demand, WTTCs

    research highlights the need for Kerala to address mission-critical issues

    such as tourism policy planning, investment incentives, infrastructure

    development, and marketing and promotion. In addition, sustainable

    tourism development will depend on preservation and maintenance of

    the states fragile ecosystem and the provision of facilities to train the

    huge manpower required to adapt to the growth in demand.

    We hope that, by raising awareness of the enormous potential of

    Travel & Tourism in Kerala, this report will act as a catalyst, encouraging

    industry and government to work together to create the conditions

    necessary to realize this potential.

    THE WORLD TRAVEL & TOURISM COUNCIL (WTTC) IS THE BUSINESS

    LEADERS FORUM FOR TRAVEL & TOURISM, WORKING WITH

    GOVERNMENTS TO RAISE AWARENESS OF THE IMPORTANCE OF THE

    WORLDS LARGEST GENERATOR OF WEALTH AND JOBS.

    With chief executives of more than 100 of the worlds leading companies in membership,

    WTTC has a unique mandate and overview on all matters related to success in Travel &

    Tourism.

    The World Travel & Tourism Council would like to express its sincere gratitude to the Members and secretariat of the WTTC India Initiative who have contributed their time,

    effort and resources to this and many other important India projects. A complete list of WTTC India Initiative Members can be found on the inside back cover of this report.

    Jean-Claude Baumgarten

    President, World Travel & Tourism Council

    Yogesh Chandra

    Secretary General,WTTC India Initiative

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY____________________________________________________________________________ 4

    ECONOMIC IMPACT_________________________________________________________________________________________ 6

    GROWTH____________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7

    SUMMARY OF KEY TRENDS___________________________________________________________________________________ 9

    KERALAS TRAVEL & TOURISMOVERVIEW OF CURRENT TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS_____________________________________________________ 11

    TRAVEL & TOURISM SATELLITE ACCOUNTTSA CONCEPTS & STRUCTURE_______________________________________________________________________________ 14

    TRAVEL & TOURISMS ECONOMIC IMPACT ___________________________________________________________________16

    TSA HIGHLIGHTS____________________________________________________________________________________________ 18

    THE POLICY FRAMEWORK ____________________________________________________________________21

    APPENDIX

    SATELLITE ACCOUNT TABLES ________________________________________________________________________________ 26

    CONTENTS

    Use of material is authorized, provided the source is acknowledged

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    The decision to develop a tourism satellite account

    (TSA) for Kerala was taken in June 2001 in an attempt

    to explore the true potential of Keralas tourism product.

    The TSA research was conducted in December 2001

    and was based on data collected in the state at that time.

    Kerala became WTTCs first partner state in India

    in 2000. In a communication to A K Antony, Chief

    Minister of Kerala, Jean-Claude Baumgarten, President

    of WTTC, said:

    We recognize that Kerala has tremendous potential for

    Travel & Tourism.This partnership is designed to initiate and

    strengthen a cohesive set of strategic policies to champion theinterest of Indias strongest economic growth sector and creator

    of employment We look forward to actively working with

    you to strengthen tourism in your beautiful state and to make

    it the foremost provider of income and jobs in the coming

    years.

    A late-comer to tourism, Kerala is in many ways in

    a fortunate position, since it has the opportunity of

    learning from the mistakes of other destinations. In

    particular, it needs to understand how to develop the

    enormous potential of its tourism product without

    over-exploiting its natural assets.Considerable care must

    be taken to ensure that growth achieves a healthy

    balance between business imperatives, the protection of

    cultural heritage and environment, and the well-being

    of local communities.

    As is evident from the 1995 Kerala Tourism Policy

    initiative, the state has strong support from government,

    which is anxious to protect Keralas heritage and

    welcomes the advice and expertise that will help it to

    achieve this. Nevertheless, while there is no doubt that

    Travel & Tourism already drives Keralas economy in

    terms of both employment and business opportunities

    a number of challenges must be addressed if it is to

    achieve its enormous potential as a catalyst for future

    economic and social development across the whole of

    the state.

    If managed effectively,Travel & Tourism can be an

    important catalyst for the development of other

    economic sectors within the state, such as

    manufacturing, construction and the service industries.

    It can also help to protect Keralas primary assets, namely

    its largely unspoilt natural and cultural environment.The

    government has already taken steps to establish a

    working partnership with the private sector.This will

    facilitate harmonization of the two sectorsdevelopment

    targets so that they remain complementary.Keralas Travel & Tourism directly contributes 3.7

    per cent of gross state product (GSP) and 3.0 per cent

    of jobs. If its impact on the broader economy is taken

    into consideration,Travel & Tourism generates as much

    as 7.7 per cent of GSP and 6.2 per cent of total

    employment. Visitor exports (tourism receipts from

    international and ex-Kerala Indian visitors including

    spending on transport) are even more impressive in

    terms of share at 14.3 per cent of total exports.

    Over the next ten years, the average annual growth

    in visitor exports is forecast at 13.8 per cent, and the

    growth in Travel & Tourism economy GSP and

    employment will be 10.7 per cent and 10.9 per cent

    respectively, according to WTTC/OEF. Yet to ensure

    these growth levels are achieved, the Kerala Government

    must place a much higher priority on Travel & Tourism

    than is the case at present.Of key concern is the fact that

    government expenditures allocated to providing Travel

    & Tourism services to visitors, travel companies and the

    community at large are extremely low.

    The different measures recommended in this

    report are intended to set the stage to help ensure the

    larger rewards that Travel & Tourism can bring over the

    short, medium and longer term.

    THE IMPORTANCE OF TRAVEL & TOURISM TO KERALASECONOMY IS INDISPUTABLE AND CURRENT FORECASTS

    PROJECT A VERY ROSY FUTURE FOR THE INDUSTRY.

    NEVERTHELESS, CARE MUST BE TAKEN TO ENSURE THAT

    FUTURE TOURISM DEVELOPMENT IS SUSTAINABLE, AND

    THAT KERALA ATTRACTS THE RIGHT KIND OF TOURISM

    WITH BENEFITS FOR ALL STAKEHOLDERS.

    EXECUTIVESUMMARY

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    ECONOMIC IMPACTIN 2003, KERALAS TRAVEL & TOURISM IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE RS102.2

    BILLION (US$2.1 BN) OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY (TOTAL DEMAND). THE

    INDUSTRYS DIRECT IMPACT INCLUDES:

    HOWEVER, SINCE TRAVEL & TOURISM TOUCHES ALL SECTORS OF THE

    ECONOMY, ITS REAL IMPACT IS EVEN GREATER. KERALAS TRAVEL &

    TOURISM ECONOMY DIRECTLY AND INDIRECTLY ACCOUNTS FOR:

    378,584jobs representing 3.0% of total

    EMPLOYMENT.

    Rs39.3 bn(US$791.1 mn) of

    GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

    (GDP) equivalent to 3.7% of total GDP.

    788,551jobs representing 6.2% of totalEMPLOYMENT.

    Rs81.8 bn(US$1.6 bn)ofGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

    equivalent to 7.7% of total GDP.

    Rs

    41.0bn

    (US$826.9 mn) ofEXPORTS, SERVICES & MERCHANDISE

    or 16.6% of total Exports.

    Rs

    18.1bn

    (US$365.5 mn) ofCAPITAL INVESTMENT

    or 7.8% of total Investment.

    Rs

    1.4bn(US$27.6 mn) of

    GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES

    or a 1.0% share.

    6

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    GROWTHIN 2003,TRAVEL & TOURISM IN KERALA IS FORECAST TO SEE REAL GROWTH

    OF:

    OVER THE NEXT TEN YEARS, KERALAS TRAVEL & TOURISM IS EXPECTED TO

    ACHIEVE ANNUALIZED REAL GROWTH OF:

    11.4%in total TRAVEL & TOURISM GDP,

    to Rs216.5 bn (US$2.9 bn) in 2013 for theindustry directly and 10.7% to Rs423.5 bn (US$5.6 bn)

    for the Travel & Tourism Economy overall.

    13.0%in TRAVEL & TOURISM INDUSTRY GDP,

    to Rs39.3 bn (US$791.1 mn) for the industry directlyand 11.6% to Rs 81.8 bn (US$1.6 bn)

    for the Travel & Tourism Economy overall(direct and indirect expenditures).

    11.6%in TRAVEL & TOURISM EMPLOYMENT,to 1,135,660 jobs directly in the industry,and 10.9% to 2,221,370 jobs in the

    Travel & Tourism Economy overall in 2013.

    15.1%in TRAVEL & TOURISM EMPLOYMENT(direct impact only), to 378,584 jobs, and13.8% to 788,551 jobs in the Travel & Tourism

    Economy overall (direct and indirect).

    11.4%in total

    TRAVEL & TOURISM DEMAND,to Rs563.9 bn (US$7.5 bn) in 2013.

    12.2%in total

    TRAVEL & TOURISM DEMAND,Rs102.2 bn (US$2.1 bn).

    13.8%in VISITOR EXPORTS,rising to Rs239.1 bn(US$3.2 bn) by 2013.

    8.3%in terms ofCAPITAL INVESTMENT,increasing to Rs75.1bn(US$1.0 bn) in 2013.

    5.6%in terms ofGOVERNMENT EXPENDITURESto Rs4.4 bn (US$58.9 mn) in 2013.

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    SUMMARY OFKEY TRENDS

    s Travel & Tourism is one of the largest industries in

    Kerala today, contributing Rs39.3 billion (US$791.1

    million), or 3.7 per cent, to the gross state product

    (GSP). This is projected to rise to 5.2 per cent, or

    Rs216.5 billion (US$2.9 billion) of GSP, by 2013.

    s Keralas international tourism receipts (excluding

    transport payments) have risen rapidly over the past

    decade. In 2000 the latest year for which detailed

    statistics are available they totalled Rs5.3 billion(US$117 million).

    s Visitor exports, meanwhile receipts from foreign

    and ex-Kerala Indian visitors, including transport

    payments have also shown extremely sharp annual

    growth, and are expected to rise by more than 16 per

    cent in 2003 to Rs35.2 billion (US$709.9 million).

    s In 2001, Kerala recorded 5.2 million domestic

    tourist arrivals,up 3.8 per cent on the previous year, and

    accounting for some 2 per cent of total domestic tourist

    arrivals in India. Average annual growth in domestictourism has been more than 18 per cent over the past

    decade.

    s International tourist arrivals totalled 209,000 in

    2001 and are estimated to have grown by 11.4 per cent

    in 2002 reaching 233,000, or a record 9.8 per cent of

    Indias international arr ivals count. In the last ten years,

    international arr ivals in Kerala have risen by an average

    11.8 per cent per annum

    s Capital investment by the government and private

    sector in Keralas Travel & Tourism is expected to total

    Rs18.1 billion (US$365.5 million) in 2003. Of this, a

    very modest 2.5 per cent share is projected to come

    from the states Annual Plan Allocation.

    s Tourist arrivals in Kerala peak during the month of

    January and are at their lowest during May. The first

    quarter of the year accounts for the highest share of

    foreign arrivals 31.3 per cent of the total annual count.

    s Although air transport accounts for only a modest

    8.7 per cent share of total arrivals in Kerala domestic

    and international it is by far the preferred mode of

    transport for foreign tourists.The two major ports of

    entry are Thiruvananthapuram and Cochin, but Cochin

    is grossly under-utilized at present.

    s The opening of the new Konkan Railway

    connecting Kerala to Maharashtra via Karnataka and

    Goa will significantly boost tourism traffic to the

    Kerala coast.

    s The state highways are yet to be full developed,

    with the result that over 85 per cent of domestic

    travellers choose to travel by rail or use secondary roads

    to reach Kerala.

    s Kerala currently boasts 147 hotels that are officially

    recognized by the Ministry of Tourism up from 122in 2000.The total number of rooms available is 5,365

    (4,499 in 2000), of which more than 54 per cent are in

    either the two- or three-star categories. The five-star

    category includes 569 rooms, or a 10.6 per cent share

    down from 15 per cent in 2000.

    s Keralas coastal resorts of Cochin, Kovalam,

    Thiruvananthapuram, Thekkady, Kozhikode and

    Ernakulam account for more than 75 per cent of total

    tourism traffic in Kerala.

    sAlmost 600 kilometres of coastline include some

    of the most attractive beaches in the country, such as

    Kovalam, Varkala, Marari, Bekal and Kannur. Keralas

    most popular backwater destinations are Kumarakom,

    Alapuzha, Kollam, Kochi and Kozhikode, and its best-

    known hill stations are Ponmudi, Munnar,Wynad and

    Vagamon.

    s Kerala has a number of well-known wildlife

    reserves, including the Periyar Wildlife Sanctuary,

    Eravikulam National Park, Thattekkad Bird Sanctuary

    and Parambikulam Wildlife Sanctuary. These parks

    remain relatively under-developed as tourist attractions.

    s Health/wellness tourism has been one of the

    strongest growth sectors over the past few years for

    Kerala, which has attracted attention as the home of

    Ayurvedic medicine an ancient Indian science of

    natural medicinal herbs used for curative and relaxation

    purposes.

    s Kerala is extremely rich in terms of culture and

    heritage the tradition of classical and folk arts in the

    state dates back over a thousand years. Koodiyattom,

    one of the oldest art forms of Kerala and the only

    surviving form of the ancient Sanskrit drama was

    recently selected by UNESCO for proclamation as an

    oral and intangible world heritage.

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    GODS OWN COUNTRYSandwiched between the Western Ghats and the Arabian Sea, the Indian

    state of Kerala is blessed with unmatched natural diversity that provides

    immense scope for tourism. Within its 38,863 square kilometres, this

    virtual paradise boasts a wide range of tourist attractions from serene

    beaches and tropical islands to coastal lagoons and quiet backwaters,

    mist-clad hills stations, wildlife sanctuaries, unspoilt wilderness areas,

    lush evergreen forests and a r ich cultural heritage with unique art forms.

    In addition, a moderate climate, a level of literacy far above the rest

    of India, and a long history of community harmony, make this region a

    unique tourism destination, positioned by the Keralites themselves as

    Gods own country.

    In recent years Kerala has become known as the perfect haven forthe traveller in search of improved health/wellness and,notably, a deeply

    relaxing and regenerating experience. This is thanks to the growing

    popularity of Ayurvedic medicine an ancient Indian science of natural

    medicinal herbs used for curative and relaxation purposes.The region is

    also recognized for having developed a new form of physical yoga as a

    means of rejuvenating mind and body.The extensive backwaters and lagoons are very popular attractions.

    These offer the tourist a chance to escape from the mainland and

    disappear into the wilderness on a houseboat, or to stay at a remote

    hotel or resort far away from lifes daily realities.

    RECENT TOURISM PERFORMANCEOne of the worlds fastest-growing tourism regions

    In the ten years to 2001, domestic tourist arrivals in Kerala increased by

    an average annual rate of more than 18 per cent, while arrivals from

    abroad rose by 12 per cent per annum.These growth rates are well above

    the world averages and corroborate the findings of the WTTC and

    Oxford Economic Forecasting (OEF) research.

    KERALASTRAVEL & TOURISMOVERVIEW OF RECENT TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

    QuilonKollam

    CalicutKozhikode

    CochinKochi

    Trivandrum

    MaheTellicherry

    Kasaragod

    Hosdrug

    Cannanore

    Badagara

    Alleppey

    Irinjalakuda

    Kunnamkulam

    Mavelikara

    Attingal

    Neyyattinkara

    Ernakulam

    Mattancheri

    Punalur

    Valparai

    Changanacheri

    Kottayam

    Alwaye

    Trichur

    ChitturShoranur Palghat

    Ponnani

    KERALA

    Bay ofBengal

    I n d i a nO c e a n

    I n d i a nO c e a n Andaman Islands

    Nicobar Islands

    MADHYAPRADESH

    MAHRSHTRA

    RJASTHN

    HARYNA

    PUNJAB

    UTTARPRADESH

    GUJART

    ORISSA

    WESTBENGAL

    BIHR

    MIZORAM

    MEGHLAYA

    SIKKIM

    ASSAM

    MANIPUR

    ARUNACHALPRADESH

    TRIPURA

    ANDHRAPRADESH

    KARNTAKA

    TAMILNDU

    KERALALAKSHADWEEP

    GOA

    PONDICHERRY

    PONDICHERRY

    PONDICHERRY

    JAMMUAND

    KASHMR

    HIMCHALPRADESH

    NG-LAND

    A

    N

    D

    A

    M

    A

    N

    &

    NI

    CO

    B

    Qandahr

    Lahore

    Faisalabad

    Quetta

    Sukkur

    Amritsar

    Srnagar

    Delhi

    Lhasa

    Calcutta

    Cuttack

    Mandalay

    Chiang

    Chittagong

    MadrasBangalore

    Trivandrum

    Jaffna

    Bombay

    chi

    Ahmadbd

    Bhopl

    Ngpur

    Hyderbd

    Indore

    Jamnagar

    Knpur

    LucknowJaipur

    Patna

    Rohtak

    Gndhnagar

    Chandgarh

    Bhubaneswar

    zawl

    Shillong

    Gangtok

    Dispur

    Imphl

    Kohima

    Agartala

    Pondichery

    Yanam

    Kariakal

    Kavaratti

    Panaji

    Shimla

    Itnagar

    Port Blair

    Colombo

    Kabul

    Islamabad

    New-DehliKathmandu Thimphu

    Dhaka

    Rangoun

    C H I N A

    BANGLADESH

    MYANMAR

    BHUTAN

    HANISTAN

    SRI LANKA

    TAJIKISTANN.

    ISTAN

    MALDIVES

    NEPAL

    OCCUPIED BY INDIA

    AND CLAIMED

    BY PAKISTAN

    OCCUPIED BY PAKISTAN

    AND CLAIMED

    BY INDIA

    OCCUPIED BY CHINA

    AND CLAIMED

    BY INDIA

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    During the 1990s, Kerala only recorded one year of decline in

    domestic arrivals, in 1998. But growth picked up again sharply the

    following year. Most domestic visitors travel to Kerala by rail or road;

    air transport accounts for less than 7 per cent of arrivals. And a

    significant share of visitors are non-resident Keralites, visiting friends

    and/or relations.

    A rising share of Indias foreign tourist count

    In the ten years from 1991 to 2001, during which time Indias

    international tourist arrivals doubled, Keralas more than tripled, with

    the result that the southern Indian states share of the countrys total

    arrivals increased from 5.6 per cent to 8.1 per cent. More significantly,

    preliminary results for 2002 suggest that, while Indias arr ivals declined

    by 6.6 per cent the second consecutive year of decline Keralas rose

    by 11.4 per cent, taking its share to as much as 9.8 per cent of Indias

    total count.

    A major contributor to Keralas tourism growth in the last few years

    has been the development and refinement of its Ayurveda tourism

    product.The growing demand for health/wellness holidays whether to

    test the Ayurvedic medicines claims to rejuvenate mind and body, or

    simply for regeneration and relaxation has come from both Western and

    Asian markets. Europe is an important source of tourism for India

    accounting for 35 per cent of arrivals as against 40 per cent from within

    Asia and 17 per cent from the Americas and Kerala has certainly

    benefited from Indias reputation as a fascinating tourism destination, rich

    in natural and cultural attractions.

    But Keralas appeal for foreign tourists is also due to its own unique

    attractions, such as its magnificent beaches and its quiet backwaters,

    offering opportunities for houseboat cruising. Today, some houseboats

    have all the creature comforts of a good hotel.

    Tourism generates fairly low yields

    Nevertheless, despite the enormous and rapid growth in tourism, a non-

    negligible share of Keralas foreign tourists is fairly low yield. The

    average spend per tourist per trip is around US$550.International tourism receipts totalled Rs5.3 billion (US$117

    million) in 2000 the last year for which details are available nearly

    19 times higher than in 1991,nine years earlier.

    FUTURE TOURISM DEVELOPMENTGovernments increasingly important contribution

    Kerala was a late starter in tourism. In 1950 the Department of Tourism

    was created, but it only functioned as a State Hospitality Department

    catering to important visitors and State guests.The real Department of

    Tourism was not founded until 1960 and, even then, its initial role was

    confined to managing state-owned guesthouses and providing

    hospitality for important visitors. The state government did not

    recognize tourism as an industry until the mid-1990s.

    The first major step for tourism development in Kerala was taken

    with the launch of the Kerala Tourism Policy in 1995. To quote the

    policy itself:

    Domestic tourist arrivals in Kerala, 1991-2001

    Year Arrivals ('000) % annual change

    1991 949 9.5

    1992 994 4.8

    1993 1,027 3.3

    1994 1,284 25.0

    1995 3,916 204.91996 4,403 12.5

    1997 4,953 12.5

    1998 4,482 -9.5

    1999 4,888 9.1

    2000 5,011 2.5

    2001 5,200 3.8

    Source: Kerala Tourism Development Corporation (KTDC)

    Foreign tourist arrivals in Kerala and India, 1991-2002

    India's Kerala's Kerala's

    arrivals arrivals % annual share

    Year ('000) ('000) change (%)

    1991 1,236 69 na 5.6

    1992 1,435 92 32.2 6.3

    1993 1,443 95 3.9 6.6

    1994 1,886 105 9.8 5.5

    1995 2,124 143 36.7 6.7

    1996 2,288 177 23.7 7.7

    1997 2,374 182 3.2 7.7

    1998 2,358 190 4.1 8.1

    1999 2,482 202 6.4 8.2

    2000 2,677 210 3.8 7.8

    2001 2,537 209 -0.4 8.22002a 2,370 233 11.4 9.8

    a Preliminary estimates

    Source: KTDC;World Tourism Organization; Pacific Asia Travel Association

    q

    q

    q

    q

    q

    q

    qq

    q

    1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 20000

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    Receipts (Rs mnb) q % annual change

    aReceipts excluding transport paymentsbRs47.40 = US$1 as at May 1, 2003

    Kerala's international tourism receiptsa, 1991-2000

    Source: KTDC

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    Ministry of Tourism with a total of 5,365 rooms.Many of these have

    been developed with state money, but they are managed/operated by

    the national/international groups.Indias Department of Tourism acts as

    a coordinator, establishing broad collaborative agreements with groups

    like Taj and Oberoi through Tourist Resorts (Kerala) Ltd, a subsidiary

    of the KTDC.

    The latest year for which a detailed breakdown of hotel

    accommodation supply is available is 2000.As shown in the following

    table, most development has been in the one- to three-star categories.

    In 2000, 677 rooms (15 per cent of total supply) were in the five-star

    and five-star-deluxe categories; this share has since dropped to 569

    rooms,or less than 11 per cent.

    Tour operators have also played a key role in the development of

    tourism to Kerala by creating unique and innovative tour options.Most

    of the leading tour operators in India such as Thomas Cook, SITA

    and TCI feature Kerala prominently in their national and

    international holiday brochures. A number of home-bred tour

    operators, like Kerala Travels, Great India Tour Company and Pioneer

    Travels, which have exhaustive knowledge of the state, have also

    established themselves as niche players in Keralas Travel & Tourism

    industry.

    A joint Task Force, focusing on private-public sector partnership,

    has been constituted with major industry players and other stakeholders

    as members to act as advisors to the state government with regard to

    tourism development activities.Keralite NRIs,who have also identified

    tourism as a high growth sector for investment, are also involved.

    The main aim is to serve as a guiding force to make maximum

    use of Keralas tourism potential and also to make it an ideal

    instrument for social and economic growth.

    The policy was aimed at realizing Keralas tourism potential by

    enhancing investment from the government and the private sector,

    improving the tourism product and harnessing human resources more

    efficiently.An additional goal was to measure the influx of foreign and

    domestic tourists.The 1995 Tourism Policy remains the basis for much

    of the states progress over the last eight years, whether in terms of

    infrastructure and product development or tourism performance.

    New beaches and backwater resorts have been opened up by the

    Kerala Tourism Development Corporation (KTDC), which also

    operates budget hotels,restaurants and cafs, as well as managing central

    reservation systems and conducting tours. Other projects undertaken by

    the KTDC include the development of Ayurveda as a unique selling

    point and the development and promotion of nature-based and heritage

    tourism.

    In line with the 1995 Kerala Tourism Policy, the government is alsotaking measures to create an investment-friendly atmosphere and to

    generate confidence among non-resident Indians (NRIs) and other

    prospective investors.A Tourism Investment Agency is planned, and this

    will act as a bridge between the investors and other institutions by

    facilitating the procurement of land, electricity, communications and

    other infrastructure facilities.

    Other necessary measures identified in the policy either

    underway or in planning include the setting up of a Heritage Home

    Protection Scheme to provide incentives for residents of Kerala to

    convert their traditional homes into tourist accommodation. In

    addition to the tourist circuits recognized by the Government of India,

    places seen as having particular tourism potential will be identified as

    tourism attractions. Special incentives and subsidies will be given to

    entrepreneurs investing in these areas.

    The policy also highlights the need for a special Backwater

    Tourism Plan, the training of specialized tour operators and other

    human resource development, a proper marketing campaign, the

    promotion of special fairs and festivals to attract tourists, and the

    education of local communities to raise awareness of tourisms

    importance and potential.

    The critical role of the private sector

    While governments role has changed over the years, becoming more

    that of a catalyst, or a facilitator for the growth of the industry,Travel &

    Tourism is basically a private sector activity.The industrys spectacular

    performance over the past decade has largely been driven by private

    sector investment and involvement, which have helped to spread

    tourism to hitherto virgin areas in the state such as Marari, Vythiri,

    Kalpetta, Mananthavady and Poovar.

    Major national and international hotel chains including Taj,

    Oberoi,Le Mridien, Best Western, Golden Tulip,Casino and Mahindra

    have already established hotels and resorts in the state. Kerala currently

    has 147 classified hotels ie hotels that are officially recognized by the

    Keralas classified hotel and room capacity, 2000

    Category No. of hotels No. of rooms

    5-star deluxe 1 93

    5-star 6 584

    4-star 9 465

    3-star 39 1,602

    2-star 36 940

    1-star 24 703

    Heritage resorts 7 112

    Total 122 4,499

    Source: KTDC

    The main aim is to make maximum use of

    Keralas tourism potential and also to make it

    an ideal instrument for social and economic

    growth.

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    TSA CONCEPTS& STRUCTURE

    T&TEconomy

    Employment

    788.6

    PropertyTaxes

    IndirectTaxes

    Imports

    411.7

    PersonalIncome Taxes

    Travel & Tourism Economy GDP(Direct and Indirect)

    1,647.8

    Year 2003 (US$ mn, 000 Jobs)

    Travel & Tourism Taxes

    CorporateTaxes

    PropertyTaxesT&T Industry

    Employment

    378.6

    Personal Travel

    & Tourism

    757.6

    Business Travel

    81.9

    GovernmentExpenditures(Individual)

    8.4

    VisitorExports

    709.9

    GovernmentExpenditures(Collective)

    19.2

    CapitalInvestment

    365.5

    Exports(Non-Visitor)

    117.1

    T&T Industry GDP (Indirect)409.3

    Imports357.3

    Travel & Tourism Economy Supply

    2,059.5

    Travel & Tourism Industry GDP(Direct Only)

    791.1

    Travel & Tourism Industry Supply

    1,557.8

    Travel & Tourism Economy Supply (Residual)

    501.8

    Travel & Tourism Demand

    2,059.5

    Travel & Tourism Consumption

    1,557.8

    OperatingSurplus -Subsidies

    Indirect

    Taxes

    Comp. Depreciation

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    Travel & Tourism Satellite Accounting research for Kerala reflects a

    comprehensive simulation of the new international standard

    adopted by the United Nations following the Enzo Paci World

    Conference on the Economic Impact of Tourism (Nice, France,

    June 1999), ten years of model development and TSA experience by

    WTTC and Oxford Economic Forecasting (OEF), and application of

    OEFs latest macro-economic forecasts.

    TSA Economic Concepts

    The Travel & Tourism Satellite Account is based on a demand-side

    concept of economic activity, because the industry does not produce or

    supply a homogeneous product or service like traditional industries

    (agriculture, electronics, steel, etc). Instead, Travel & Tourism is an

    industrial activity defined by the diverse collection of products (durables

    and non-durables) and services (transportation,accommodations,food and

    beverage, entertainment, government services, etc) that are delivered to

    visitors.There are two basic aggregates of demand in the TSA:

    I Travel & Tourism Consumption represents the value of

    products and services that have been consumed by visitors. It is the

    basic demand-side aggregate used to construct an explicitly defined

    production-side industry equivalent for comparison with all otherindustries.Travel & Tourism Consumption includes:

    Personal Travel & Tourism,more formally known as consumer

    expenditures, which captures spending by Kerala residents on

    traditional Travel & Tourism services (lodging, transportation,

    entertainment, meals, financial services, etc) and goods (durable

    and nondurable) used for Travel & Tourism activities.

    Business Travel by government and industry, which mirrors

    Personal Travel & Tourisms spending on goods and services

    (transportation, accommodation, meals, entertainment, etc), but

    represents intermediate inputs used in the course of business orgovernment work.

    Government Expenditures (Individual) by agencies and

    departments which provide visitor services such as cultural (art

    museums), recreational (national park) or clearance (immigration/

    customs) to individual visitors.

    Visitor Exports, which include spending by international and

    ex-Kerala domestic visitors goods and services.

    II Travel & Tourism Demand builds on Travel & Tourism

    consumption to include Travel & Tourism products and services

    associated with residual components of final demand. It is used to

    construct a broader economy-wide impact of Travel & Tourism.

    The residual elements of Travel & Tourism demand are:

    Government Expenditures (Collective) made by agencies

    and depar tments associated with Travel & Tourism, but generally

    made on behalf of the community at large, such as tourism

    promotion, aviation administration, security services and resort

    area sanitation services.

    Capital Investment by Travel & Tourism providers (the private

    sector) and government agencies (the public sector) to provide

    facilities, equipment and infrastructure to visitors.

    Exports (Non-Visitor) which include consumer goods sent

    out of Kerala for ultimate sale to visitors (such as clothing,

    electronics or petrol) or capital goods sent out of Kerala for use by

    industry service providers (such as aircraft or cruise ships).

    By employing input/output modelling separately to these two

    aggregates (Travel & Tourism Consumption and Travel & Tourism

    Demand), the Satellite Account is able to produce two different and

    complementary aggregates ofTravel & Tourism Supply:the Travel &

    Tourism Industry and the Travel & Tourism Economy.The former

    captures the explicitly defined production-side industry equivalent,

    direct impact only, for comparison with all other industries, while the

    latter captures the broader economy-wide impact,direct and indirect,of

    Travel & Tourism.Through this process, the Satellite Account is also able

    to determine that portion of supply, which it Imports.

    Next, the satellite account breaks down both aggregates of supply(Industry and Economy) into the direct and indirect impacts ofGross

    State Product (GSP), the main descriptor of economic production, as

    well as the various components of GSP (Wages & Salaries,

    Indirect/Transaction Taxes, Operating Surplus, Depreciation

    and Subsidies). Beyond the regular TSA accounts, a separate analysis is

    also provided ofPersonal Income Taxes paid by Travel & Tourism

    generated employment and Corporate and Property Taxes paid by

    Travel & Tourism companies.

    Finally,one of the most important elements of the Travel & Tourism

    Satellite Account are the Employment results, which can now bequantified for the basic Travel & Tourism Industry and the broader Travel

    & Tourism Economy.

    T&T Industry Employment generally includes those jobs with

    face-to-face contact with visitors (airlines, hotels, car rental,

    restaurant, retail, entertainment, etc).

    T&T Economy Employment includes T&T Industry

    Employment plus those faceless jobs associated with:

    Industry suppliers (airline caterers, laundry services, food

    suppliers, wholesalers, accounting firms, etc).

    Government agencies,manufacturing and construction of capital

    goods and exported goods used in Travel & Tourism.

    Supplied commodities (steel producers, lumber, oil production,

    etc).

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    Worldwide in 2003, it is expected to post US$4.5 trillion of economic

    activity (Total Demand) and this is forecast to grow to US$8.9 trillion

    by 2013.

    Travel & Tourism Total Demand in India is expected to total Rs1,519.7

    billion (US$30.1 billion) in 2003, growing to Rs6,736.3 billion

    (US$88.8 billion) in 2013.

    In Kerala, in 2003,Travel & Tourism is expected to post Rs102.2 billion

    (US$2.1 billion) of economic activity (Total Demand), growing to

    Rs563.9 billion (US$7.5 billion) by 2013.

    In 2003, the Travel & Tourism Industry should contribute 3.7 per cent

    to worldwide GDP. The broader Travel & Tourism Economy should

    contribute 10.2 per cent to world GDP in 2003.

    In India, the Travel & Tourism Industry is expected to post a GDP

    contribution of 2.0 per cent in 2003, while the Travel & Tourism

    Economy contribution will be 4.8 per cent.

    In Kerala, the Travel & Tourism Industry is expected to contribute 3.7

    per cent to GSP in 2003 (Rs39.3 billion, or US$791.1 million), rising to

    Rs216.5 billion, or US$2.9 billion (5.2 per cent of total GSP), by 2013.

    The Travel & Tourism Economy contribution should grow from 7.7 per

    cent (Rs81.8 billion, or US$1.6 billion) to 10.2 per cent (Rs423.5

    billion, or US$5.7 billion) over the same period.

    Travel & Tourism is a high-growth activity, which is forecast to increase

    its total economic activity by 4.6 per cent per annum worldwide in real

    terms over the next ten years.

    In India,Travel & Tourism is expected to post average annualized gains

    of 8.8 per cent between 2004 and 2013.

    For Kerala,Travel & Tourism economic activity is expected to grow by

    11.4 per cent per annum in real terms between 2004 and 2013.

    Travel & Tourism is human resource intensive, creating quality jobs

    across the full employment spectrum. In 2003, one in 13.2 jobs is

    generated by the Travel & Tourism Economy. The Travel & Tourism

    Industry accounts for 2.6 per cent of global employment.Today there are

    67.4 million Travel & Tourism Industry jobs and 194.6 million jobs in

    the Travel & Tourism Economy, and these will rise to 83.9 million Travel

    & Tourism Industry jobs and 247.2 million Travel & Tourism Economy

    jobs by 2013.

    Indias Travel & Travel Industry is expected to generate 11.1 million jobs

    in 2003 (2.7 per cent of total employment), while the broader Travel &

    Tourism Economy will account for 23.8 million jobs (5.8 per cent of

    total employment).

    In Kerala, in 2003,Travel & Tourism Economy employment is estimated

    at 788,600 jobs, or 6.2 per cent of total employment. By 2013, this

    should grow to more than 2.2 million jobs 15.0 per cent of total

    employment.The 378,600 Travel & Tourism Industry jobs will account

    for 3.0 per cent of total employment in 2003 and are forecast to rise to

    1.1 million jobs, or 7.7 per cent of the total, by 2013.

    Travel & Tourism is a major exporter, with inbound visitors injectingforeign exchange directly into the economy.

    Travel & Tourism exports in India are expected to represent 5.9 per cent

    of total exports in 2003, declining to 5.7 per cent in 2013.

    In Kerala, exports are a fundamental component of Travel & Tourisms

    contribution to GSP. Of Keralas total exports including foreign and

    ex-Kerala Indian visitor exports, services and merchandise Travel &

    Tourism is expected to generate 16.7 per cent (Rs41.0 billion, or

    US$827.0 million) in 2003, increasing to Rs269.7 billion, or US$3.6

    billion (22.4 per cent of total exports), by 2013.

    Travel & Tourism is a catalyst for construction and manufacturing. In

    2003, the private and public sectors combined are expected to spend

    US$686.0 billion in new Travel & Tourism capital investment worldwide

    9.6 per cent of total investment rising to US$1.3 trillion, or 10.1 per

    cent of the total, in 2013.

    Indias Travel & Tourism Capital Investment is expected to total Rs412.9

    billion, or US$8.2 billion, in 2003 7.0 per cent of total capital

    investment.

    Year 2003 capital investment in Keralas Travel & Tourism Economy is

    estimated at Rs18.1 billion (US$365.5 million), or 7.8 per cent of total

    investment. By 2013, this should reach Rs75.1 billion (US$1.0 billion),

    or 8.3 per cent of total capital investment.

    Travel & Tourism is both a generator and receiver of government funds.

    Globally, in 2003, Travel & Tourism is expected to generate US$843.6

    billion of taxes 11.7 per cent of total taxation while channelling

    US$224.1 billion of government expenditures, or 3.9 per cent of total

    expenditures. By 2013, taxes should increase to US$1.5 trillion 12.4

    per cent of the total and government spending on Travel & Tourism to

    US$378.2 billion 4.1 per cent of total government expenditure.

    In Kerala, government Travel & Tourism operating expenditures in 2003are expected to total to Rs1.4 billion (US$27.6 million), or 1.0 per cent

    of total government spending. In 2013, this spending is forecast to rise

    to Rs4.4 billion (US$58.8 million), or 1.1 per cent of total government

    spending.

    TRAVEL & TOURISMSECONOMIC IMPACTTRAVEL & TOURISM ENCOMPASSING TRANSPORT,ACCOMMODATION,CATERING, RECREATION AND SERVICES FOR VISITORS IS ONE OF

    KERALAS HIGHEST PRIORITY INDUSTRIES AND EMPLOYERS.

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    KERALA ESTIMATES AND FORECASTS2003 2013

    Rs bn % of Total Growtha Rs bn % of Total Growthb

    Personal Travel & Tourism 37.6 5.4 10.9 195.7 7.2 10.8

    Business Travel 4.1 --- 17.4 19.1 --- 9.7

    Government Expenditures 1.4 1.0 4.8 4.4 1.1 5.6

    Capital Investment 18.1 7.8 7.7 75.1 8.3 8.3Visitor Exports 35.2 14.3 16.0 239.1 19.9 13.8

    Other Exports 5.8 2.4 10.8 30.6 2.5 10.9

    Travel & Tourism Demand 102.2 --- 12.2 563.9 --- 11.4

    T&T Industry GDP 39.3 3.7 13.0 216.5 5.2 11.4

    T&T Economy GDP 81.8 7.7 11.6 423.5 10.2 10.7

    T&T Industry Employmentc 378.6 3.0 15.1 1,135.7 7.7 11.6

    T&T Economy Employmentc 788.6 6.2 13.8 2,221.4 15.0 10.9

    a2003 Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); b2004-2013 Annualized Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); cEmployment in '000 Jobs

    INDIA ESTIMATES AND FORECASTS2003 2013

    Rs bn % of Total Growtha Rs bn % of Total Growthb

    Personal Travel & Tourism 748.3 4.5 7.9 3,286.1 5.4 8.7

    Business Travel 91.5 --- 0.7 465.4 --- 10.4

    Government Expenditures 32.5 1.0 3.8 101.8 1.0 5.1

    Capital Investment 412.9 7.0 6.8 1,616.7 7.4 7.5

    Visitor Exports 156.1 3.9 8.2 802.4 3.6 10.5

    Other Exports 78.4 2.0 15.6 463.9 2.1 12.0

    Travel & Tourism Demand 1,519.7 --- 7.4 6,736.3 --- 8.8T&T Industry GDP 529.4 2.0 6.1 2,153.4 2.2 7.9

    T&T Economy GDP 1,274.6 4.8 6.5 5,180.2 5.3 7.9

    T&T Industry Employmentc 11,093.1 2.7 1.0 12,659.9 2.7 1.3

    T&T Economy Employmentc 23,839.8 5.8 1.3 27,684.9 6.0 1.5

    a2003 Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); b2004-2013 Annualized Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); cEmployment in '000 Jobs

    WORLD ESTIMATES AND FORECASTS

    2003 2013US$ mn % of Total Growtha US$ mn % of Total Growthb

    Personal Travel & Tourism 2,135,860 9.9 2.2 3,862,270 10.8 3.7

    Business Travel 488,765 --- 0.6 871,716 --- 3.7

    Government Expenditures 224,058 3.9 2.8 378,172 4.1 3.0

    Capital Investment 685,957 9.6 2.8 1,308,620 10.1 4.3

    Visitor Exports 530,912 5.9 3.0 1,332,080 6.0 7.1

    Other Exports 478,952 5.3 8.9 1,186,990 5.4 7.2

    Travel & Tourism Demand 4,544,240 --- 2.9 8,939,730 --- 4.6

    T&T Industry GDP 1,280,350 3.7 1.1 2,279,200 3.8 3.6

    T&T Economy GDP 3,526,850 10.2 2.0 6,461,360 10.8 3.9

    T&T Industry Employmentc 67,441.1 2.6 0.1 83,893.6 2.8 2.2T&T Economy Employmentc 194,562.0 7.6 1.5 247,205.0 8.4 2.4

    a2003 Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); b2004-2013 Annualized Real Growth Adjusted for Inflation (%); cEmployment in '000 Jobs

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    TOTAL DEMAND

    Travel & Tourism in Kerala is expected to total

    Rs102.2 billion of Total Demand in 2003, growing

    12.2 per cent over 2002 levels, and is expected to

    grow a further 11.4 per cent per annum over the

    next decade.

    The largest portion of Kerala Travel & Tourism

    Demand is personal consumption by residents at

    Rs37.6 billion followed by international and ex-

    Kerala Visitor Exports of Rs35.2 billion.

    EMPLOYMENTThe Travel & Tourism Industry in Kerala is

    expected to yield directly 378,600 jobs in 2003, or

    3.0 per cent of total employment. A total of

    788,600 jobs (direct and indirect), or 6.2 per cent

    of total employment are expected to be generated

    across the broader spectrum of the Travel &

    Tourism Economy.

    Over the next ten years, Keralas Travel &

    Tourism Industry is expected to create 757,100

    jobs while the broader Travel & Tourism Economy

    is expected to create 1.4 million new jobs.

    GSP

    The Travel & Tourism Industry in Kerala is

    expected to produce directly Rs39.3 billion, or 3.7

    per cent, of total gross state product (GSP) in 2003.

    The broader Kerala Travel & Tourism Economy

    (direct and indirect) is expected to produce Rs81.8

    billion, or 7.7 per cent of total GSP.

    The long-term expectations for Travel &

    Tourism GSP are exceedingly positive - exceeding

    10.7 per cent annualized real growth.

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    KERALATravel & Tourism Total Demand(Cumulative Real Growth, %)

    KERALATravel & Tourism Economy Employment

    (Cumulative Real Growth, %)

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    KERALATravel & Tourism Economy GSP(Cumulative Real Growth, %)

    Personal Travel & Tourism (37.6)

    Business Travel (4.1)

    Government Expenditures (1.4)Capital Investment (18.1)

    Visitor Exports (35.2)

    Other Exports (5.8)

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000 Economy Industry

    KERALATravel & Tourism Total Demand

    (2003 Est Rs bn)

    KERALATravel & Tourism Employment

    ('000 Jobs)

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000 Economy Industry

    KERALATravel & Tourism GSP

    (1990 Constant US$ mn)

    TSA HIGHLIGHTS

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    CAPITAL INVESTMENT

    In 2003, Travel & Tourism Capital Investment in

    Kerala is expected to reach Rs18.1 billion or 7.8

    per cent of total investment. By 2013, this figure is

    expected to grow to Rs75.1 billion or 8.3 per cent

    of total capital investment, representing ten years of

    8.3 per cent annualized growth.

    PERSONAL & BUSINESS

    In 2003, Kerala is expected to generate Rs37.6

    billion of Personal Travel & Tourism consumptionby residents, or 5.4 per cent of total personal

    consumption. In Kerala, business travel in 2003 is

    expected to total Rs4.1 billion.

    Over the next decade (2004-2013), Personal

    Travel & Tourism in Kerala is expected to grow at

    an annual rate of 10.8 per cent, while Business/

    Government Travel is forecast to grow at a slightly

    lower annual rate of 9.7 per cent.

    EXPORTS

    Travel & Tourism Exports to international and ex-

    Kerala visitors play a fundamental role in Keralas

    Travel & Tourism business.

    In 2003, Travel & Tourism services and

    merchandise exports for Kerala are expected to

    total Rs41.0 billion or 16.7 per cent of total

    exports for the state.

    Over the next decade, Visitor Exports are

    expected to grow at an annual rate of 13.8 per cent,

    one of the highest rates in the world.

    GOVERNMENT

    In 2003, national, state and local government

    agencies in Kerala are expected to spend Rs1.4

    billion of current operating funds for Travel &

    Tourism. This represents 1.0 per cent of total

    government expenditures, which are allocated to

    providing individual and collective governmentTravel & Tourism services to visitors, travel

    companies and the community at large.

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    KERALATravel & Tourism Capital Investment

    (Cumulative Real Growth, %)

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    KERALAPersonal Travel & Tourism

    (Cumulative Real Growth, %)

    KERALATravel & Tourism Exports

    (Cumulative Real Growth, %)

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    KERALATravel & Tourism Govt Expenditures

    (Cumulative Real Growth, %)

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    0

    250

    500

    750

    1,000

    1,250 Business Personal

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    0

    250

    500

    750

    1,000

    1,250 Other Visitor

    KERALAPersonal & Business Travel & Tourism

    (1990 Constant US$ mn)

    KERALATravel & Tourism Exports(1990 Constant US$ mn)

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    20

    25

    30

    35

    KERALATravel & Tourism Govt Expenditures

    (1990 Constant US$ mn)

    KERALATravel & Tourism Capital Investment

    (1990 Constant US$ mn)

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    Nevertheless, despite the growing recognition of Travel & Tourisms

    importance, there seems to be a lack of appreciation of the full scope of

    the industry and its potential as a catalyst for the development of other

    areas of economic activity, such as agriculture, manufacturing or

    financial services. Moreover, the full significance of Travel & Tourism as

    an instrument of social transformation is still not yet fully understood.

    This lack of appreciation of Travel & Tourisms potential means that

    government policies could be drawn up without sufficient attention to

    their impact on the industry. Government expenditures allocated to

    providing individual and collective government Travel & Tourism

    services to visitors, travel companies and the community at large are very

    low, and there are inadequate incentives to encourage capital investment

    by the private sector. Despite the bullish forecasts, neglect of this kind

    could endanger the long-term success of Keralas Travel & Tourism.

    The government is the primary owner of Keralas tourism product

    and should therefore lead the way by encouraging continued investment,

    building infrastructure and streamlining and coordinating tourism-

    related policies and activities. However, the private sector also has a

    critical role to play and needs to be proactive in developing quality

    products and services geared to international and domestic demand.The

    private sector should therefore continue to develop quality hotels, travel

    agencies and transport services, while the government needs to relinquish

    responsibility for areas that are best managed by private enterprise.

    Against this background WTTC recommends that the Kerala

    Government:

    PLAN FOR THE FUTURELong-term tourism planning

    In line with the strategy outlined in the 1995 Kerala Tourism Policy,

    long-term development plans should be drawn up in consultation with

    the municipal authorities and the private sector to ensure sustainable

    tourism development, including optimal land-use planning.The plans

    should be drawn up in accordance with the states Tourism Vision,

    namely:

    To make Kerala,Gods Own Country, an upmarket, high-quality tourism

    destination through the rational utilization of resources with a focus on the

    integrated development of infrastructure, conserving and preserving the heritage

    and environment and enhancing productivity, income, creating employment

    opportunities, alleviating poverty, thereby making tourism the most important

    sector for the socio-economic development and environmental protection of the

    State.

    Establish Development Authorities for selected

    destinations

    Kerala has some of the finest beaches in India. However, unplanned

    construction, over-population and overcrowding can considerably

    diminish their appeal. One example is Kovalam beach which, due to its

    proximity to Thiruvananthapuram,was one of the first tourist attractions

    in the state. Kerala should ensure that newly developed beaches do not

    suffer the same fate.

    The 1995 Kerala Tourism Policy spoke of the constitution of

    development agencies to ensure the integrated development of tourism

    destinations. WTTC also notes that Bekal beach was identified as a

    special tourism area by the Government of India and a development

    authority was recommended for its planned expansion.

    WTTC recommends that the Government of Kerala constitute

    independent development agencies for each identified tourism

    destination.These agencies should draw up integrated Master Plans for

    their respective areas, using the services of world-class area planners,

    architects and landscape artists.The development agencies would also be

    responsible for the creation of the essential infrastructure such as

    highways, interconnecting roads, power, water and sewage systems,

    airports, railway stations and basic municipal services. Land should be

    allotted to private developers of hotels, restaurants,motels, shopping and

    commercial facilities, sports and entertainment, business and support

    services.

    The Development Authorities should involve the best

    administrators in the state, and private sector investors should nominate

    powerful representatives to sit on the working boards. The agencies

    could raise funds from government and financial institutions, which

    could be repaid through the sale of the developed land to investors.

    THE POLICYFRAMEWORKPOLICY RECOMMENDATIONS

    The development of the 1995 Kerala Tourism Policy is a clear indication that the

    government of Kerala recognizes the contribution that Travel & Tourism can make to the

    states economy, both in terms of wealth creation and employment generation.The steps

    that have already been taken to harness the regions tourism potential are a further

    reflection of the governments commitment to the industry.

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    Encourage greater market and product

    diversification

    Keralas greatest tourism assets include its beaches, its inland water

    systems and its nature/wildlife reserves. In order to tap the full potential

    of the beaches and backwaters for tourism, it is essential to have luxury

    boats, cruise boats, houseboats and yachts.These will help Kerala attract

    high-yield foreign and domestic visitors.WTTC has noticed that utility

    vessels geared for local transport are frequently used to transport tour ists

    within the backwaters and along the coast.These modes of transport are

    not appealing to the affluent tourist.

    It is recommended that a concerted policy be adopted to permit

    private entrepreneurs to import luxury sailing vessels from the Middle

    East, Singapore and elsewhere. Financial assistance from institutions

    should be encouraged and the central/state governments import taxes

    should be significantly reduced to facilitate the process.

    Market and product diversification should be a high prior ity for the

    Kerala Government since it will enhance the destinations

    competitiveness and improve added value and yield.The state already has

    a number of different tourism products that have proved popular with

    domestic and foreign visitors. As a start, these can be expanded and

    improved.The following provide some examples.

    Coastal cruises

    Luxury cruise boats would ensure the development of coastal travel,

    eventually linking Keralas beaches and inland water destinations to the

    Lakshadweep and Maldives islands, as well as to Sri Lanka and other parts

    of Southeast Asia. The development of marinas would, in turn, attractupmarket travellers visiting the region on their pr ivate yachts.

    Luxury houseboats

    Kerala has introduced the system of houseboats to harness the potential

    of its backwaters. Unfortunately, quality houseboats are few and far

    between.WTTC is aware that Indias finest houseboats,of every category,

    are to be found on the Dal Lake in Kashmir. But, because of the poltical

    problems in Kashmir,many of the houseboat builders and owners are out

    of work,which causes enormous distress.

    WTTC would therefore strongly recommend that the Government

    of Kerala invite the houseboat builders/owners in Kashmir to create

    similar houseboats and facilities in the backwaters of Kerala. In this way

    two separate problems affecting tourism in different parts of the

    country could be successfully addressed.

    Water sports

    WTTC has noted that facilities for water sports are relatively undeveloped

    in Kerala. In order for the state to attract high-yield tourists to its beaches

    and backwaters, private investment in water sports facilities should be

    increased. What is needed is the full complement of facilities for every

    type of water sports water-skiing, water scooters, para-sailing, airborne

    sailing,marine fishing and scuba diving.These sporting facilities should be

    listed as priority areas for investment by foreigners and Keralites alike.

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    Ayurveda

    Ayurveda including massages and the use of medicinal herbs for

    relaxation and rejuvenation purposes has already become a major

    attraction for tourists. The Kerala Government should ensure that all

    centres practising Ayurveda are authorized by the Department of

    Tourism and Health to function as such centres. More health/wellness

    holidays could be packaged around Ayurvedic treatment and special

    courses could be introduced to educate tourists about Ayurveda.

    Keralas cuisine

    Kerala boasts of some of the best seafood anywhere in the world the

    Malabar prawn, for example, is a quality name signifying the wealth of

    the states seafood attraction. Unfortunately, most of the good quality

    seafood is exported and not available to tourists in Kerala. It is

    recommended that special catering and culinary institutes be created to

    develop Keralas cuisine. Steps should also be taken to ensure there is

    sufficient seafood for consumption by local tourists.This would be an

    added attraction for Kerala and would pay rich dividends for the future.

    Traditional festivals

    The traditional Kerala festivals are colourful social events that reflect the

    vibrant nature of the land and its people. Boat races in the backwaters

    are majestic and the traditional art forms in the state are spectacular.

    Kerala also has a rich and singular cultural heritage. These festivals

    should be seen as a high-priority attraction for marketing and

    promotion.

    HIGHLIGHT THE STRATEGICIMPORTANCE OF TOURISMRecognize Travel & Tourisms impact across

    the broader economy

    In 2003, expenditure by national, state and local governments on

    Keralas Travel & Tourism will be around Rs1.4 billion (US$28.9

    million) a mere 1 per cent of total government expenditures.Over the

    next decade, governments contribution to Travel & Tourism is expected

    to grow by only 0.1 percentage point to just 1.1 per cent of total

    expenditure.This unwillingness by government to invest adequately in

    Travel & Tourism clearly reflects its lack of appreciation of the industrys

    importance as a generator of wealth and employment. It also

    undermines Travel & Tourisms role as a catalyst for growth in other

    areas such as retailing and construction,which would decline if demand

    for Travel & Tourism were reduced.

    WTTC recommends that the share of government expenditure in

    Travel & Tourism be increased significantly over the next few years, so

    that it is more in line with the forecast contribution of Travel & Tourism

    to GDP and employment.The following shares highlight the greater

    importance attributed to Travel & Tourism in some other

    countries/states: Singapore, 9.1 per cent; Hong Kong, 7.4 per cent;

    Malaysia, 5.1 per cent; Sri Lanka, 4.0 per cent; and China, 3.8 per cent.

    Reconstitute Keralas policy-making system

    In order to make Travel & Tourism the states primary economic driver,

    it is necessary for the Chief Minister to be associated with the planning,

    execution and maintenance of tourism projects. This is because the

    development of tourism infrastructure involves decisions affecting a

    variety of different disciplines such as public works, highways, power

    and water systems, the constitution of development agencies, the

    maintenance of law and order and security.Without the association of

    the Chief Minister,decisions on a broad spectrum affecting tourism will

    not be taken.

    WTTC strongly recommends that a Cabinet Committee on

    tourism be constituted under the chairmanship of the Chief Minister

    and, with other important ministers as members. The Ministry of

    Tourism would service the Cabinet Committee,whose decisions would

    be final and would determine the execution of policy in this vital sector.

    DEVELOP THE HUMAN CAPITALREQUIRED FOR GROWTHPlace a high priority on education and

    training

    The vast increase forecast in the manpower requirements of the tourism

    industry will necessitate the creation of suitable training facilities, which

    could equip the workforce with the skills required to handle

    sophisticated foreign visitors. Special attention should be paid to placing

    education and training at the forefront of Travel & Tourism

    development, introducing it into the school curriculum and havingmid-career refresher courses to constantly upgrade skills.

    Existing educational institutes, such as KITTS, KIHMS and

    IHMCT, should be developed into institutions of excellence, and the

    syllabi and training facilities of other institutions offering courses in

    Travel & Tourism should be enhanced to ensure quality standards.

    Continuous training programmes should also be organized to train the

    various categories of people engaged in the tourism industry, such as

    taxi drivers, cooks, waiters, guides, information office assistants, etc.

    ENCOURAGE OPEN MARKETS ANDSKIES AND REMOVE BARRIERS TOGROWTHImprove airline access

    One major hurdle to the rapid growth of tourism to Kerala is access.

    The Government of India has a very restrictive air transport policy, and

    existing bilateral air service agreements limit international flights to just

    Thiruvananthapuram and Cochin, although a third airport at

    Kozhikode is also considered to be an international one. At these

    airports, foreign airlines are also restricted in terms of seat capacity as

    determined by the national carriers.

    As an example,Cochin airport has been in operation for four years

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    now, but services to the airport are severely limited to a handful of

    foreign carriers. Emirates is one airline that has been unsuccessful in

    obtaining rights for a daily service to Cochin. A much more liberal

    approach is necessary to tap the full potential of these gateways to Kerala.

    Tax intelligently

    One issue of considerable concern is that of tourism taxation.Travel &

    Tourism-related taxes in the state of Kerala (eg taxes on hotels, liquor,

    food and beverages) are higher than in any other state in India.

    The Kerala Government needs to recognize that air-conditioned

    rooms and imported liquor are not considered by foreign tourists to be

    luxury items. Many visitors look on these items as necessities and ones

    that are readily available in their everyday lives at home. It is also worth

    noting that the lowering of these tax rates can make a destination a more

    attractive option and, as a consequence, actually result in increased

    revenue collection due to an increase in demand and lower tax evasion.

    MATCH PUBLIC AND PRIVATEINFRASTRUCTURE TO CUSTOMERDEMANDIncrease government investment in Travel &

    Tourism infrastructure

    It has already been established that the Kerala Government allocates a

    mere 1 per cent of its budget to Travel & Tourism for expenditures

    related to the provision of individual and collective government services

    to visitors, travel companies and the community at large. This is

    extremely low. But, in addition, the governments allocation for

    investment in Travel & Tourism infrastructure, as detailed in the State

    Plan Allocation for tourism, is also low, as is the Central Assistance

    Allocation for Keralas tourism. Although there has been a substantial

    increase in percentage terms over the last few years, as the following

    tables show, the allocation for tourism has remained stagnant in terms of

    its share in the overall budgets.

    Kerala would benefit enormously from a plan to progressively

    increase the states contribution. Such a plan could be implemented over

    a five-year period, with the state allocation for Travel & Tourism

    gradually increasing to 5 per cent of the total budget.

    Tourism taxes in Kerala

    Luxury tax

    Room rate:

    Non air-conditioned 7.5%

    Air-conditioned 15.0%

    Sales tax

    Food 9.2%

    Imported liquor 100.0%

    Local liquor 10.0%

    Source: KTDC

    Kerala needs to strengthen its overall infrastructure significantly

    not only in the interest of tourism, but also for the general economic

    development of the state. The inter-state highways, as well as roads

    connecting tourism destinations, need to be upgraded to international

    standards. Highways and roads have been developed all over the world by

    private sector investors on a build,operate and transfer(BOT) basis, and

    have been made economically viable through the introduction of toll

    systems.Kerala needs to introduce toll roads to link tourism destinations

    to airports and railway stations. This network of world-class highways

    would allow Keralas numerous tourist attractions to be fully enjoyed.

    Channel private sector investment

    Much of the wealth of Kerala comes by way of remittances from its

    industrious workforce based in the Middle East and Southeast Asia.The

    Government of Kerala should try to channel the inward remittances to

    strengthen the Travel & Tourism infrastructure in the state. Special

    schemes could be devised incorporating tax incentives and other

    assistance, whereby this money could become capital investment in

    hotels,motels, restaurants,entertainment and tourism transport facilities.

    There is an urgent requirement for different kinds of tourism

    transport luxury coaches, air-conditioned cars, luxury boats, yachts

    and speedboats.A drastic lowering of import duty and other incentives

    would help to divert money to the development of these productive

    tourism assets.

    Keralas State Plan Allocation for tourism,

    1995/96 to 2001/02a

    Year Allocation (Rs mnb) % annual change

    1995/96 173.0 na

    1996/97 292.0 68.8

    1997/98 360.0 23.3

    1998/99 372.0 3.3

    1999/00 360.0 -1.22000/01 460.0 27.8

    2001/02 400.0 -13.0

    a Fiscal years ended Mar 31 b Rs47.40 = US$1 as at May 1, 2003Source: KTDC

    Central Assistance Allocation for Keralas tourism,

    1995/96 to 2001/02a

    Year Allocation (Rs mnb) % annual change

    1995/96 21.0 na

    1996/97 23.6 12.41997/98 27.7 17.4

    1998/99 69.9 152.3

    1999/00 112.5 60.9

    2000/01 122.5 8.9

    2001/02 140.0 14.3

    a Fiscal years ended Mar 31 b Rs47.40 = US$1 as at May 1, 2003Source: KTDC

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    FAVOUR TECHNOLOGICALADVANCEMENTE-marketing and distribution

    In todays increasingly competitive global marketplace, there is a real

    need for a strong leadership branding that optimizes resources, focuses

    the myriad of interests public and private sector, state and local and

    gets the attention of travellers.This will require particular attention to a

    coordinated approach to internet marketing and distribution to

    optimize Keralas visibility.

    The Government of Kerala has already taken important steps in

    developing an attractive and useful website, and this should be expanded

    and enhanced so it becomes a fully fledged regional tourism destination

    database. This should be carried out with partners from the private

    sector, so as to improve distribution of Keralas tourism products and

    help small and medium-sized enterpr ises develop e-marketing skills.

    Support for local companies should also be provided so that they

    can develop access to technology advances and compete more

    effectively with suppliers in competing destinations.

    PROMOTE RESPONSIBILITY INNATURAL, SOCIAL AND CULTURALENVIRONMENTSKerala has a fragile eco-system and its backwaters and coastal lagoons are

    susceptible to pollution and overcrowding. In order to preserve its

    precious tourist attractions, and ensure sustainable development in the

    future, the Kerala Government should conduct carrying capacity

    studies.

    In addition, it should adopt the principles of ecological

    preservation as outlined in Agenda 21, developed for the Travel &

    Tourism Industry after the 1992 Rio Earth Summit by WTTC, the

    World Tourism Organization and the Earth Council. WTTC also

    recommends that:

    s Clear policies and guidelines are developed for planned and

    sustainable tourism expansion;

    s The socio-economic, cultural and environmental benefits of Travel

    & Tourism are spread equitably across the population in all parts of

    the state; and

    s The need for local community engagement and empowerment is

    recognized.

    Sustainability will need a balance of private initiative, economic

    instrument and regulation.Global pr inciples should be reflected in local

    action and market-based delivery mechanisms should be encouraged.

    Micro-loans for local community-based sustainable tourism enterprises

    should be provided as incentives, and pilot projects used to evaluate and

    demonstrate local sustainability.

    Increase branding through international

    and/or national designations

    Kerala is immensely rich in its unique art forms, culture and heritage.

    The tradition of classical and folk arts in Kerala dates back over athousand years. Koodiyattom, one of the oldest art forms of Kerala, and

    the only surviving form of the ancient Sanskrit drama, was recently

    selected by UNESCO for proclamation as an oral and intangible world

    heritage.

    Kathakali, Mohiniyattam,Thullal, Theyyam, Thira, etc are unique

    in their style and forms and the architectural monuments in the state

    maintain a unique character. The state has also decided to hasten the

    process for the preservation and conservation of these heritages. But it

    could also consider developing and promoting a regional heritage

    designation, with clearly defined criteria defined to support quality.Such a designation should result in increased funding from the

    government for the development and promotion of identified areas of

    particular heritage value.

    One major hurdle to the rapid growth of

    tourism to Kerala is access.

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    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002E 2003E 2013P

    Kerala Travel & Tourism - Rs bn

    Personal Travel & Tourism 19.08 22.71 26.22 28.64 32.00 37.61 195.67

    Business Travel & Tourism 2.88 3.40 3.77 3.47 3.27 4.07 19.10

    Corporate 2.59 3.04 3.36 3.09 2.90 3.62 17.43

    Government 0.29 0.37 0.41 0.38 0.36 0.44 1.67

    Govt Expenditures - Individual 0.22 0.27 0.31 0.34 0.37 0.42 1.34

    Visitor Exports 17.63 20.41 23.27 25.50 28.64 35.24 239.07

    Travel & Tourism Consumption 39.82 46.80 53.57 57.95 64.28 77.33 455.17

    Govt Expenditures - Collective 0.50 0.63 0.70 0.78 0.86 0.95 3.07

    Capital Investment 10.02 11.64 13.04 14.20 15.88 18.14 75.13

    Exports (Non-Visitor) 2.98 3.51 4.11 4.60 4.95 5.81 30.56

    Travel & Tourism Demand 53.31 62.58 71.42 77.53 85.97 102.23 563.94

    Travel & Tourism Industry Aggregates (Direct Impact Only)

    Employment ('000) 272.71 210.94 241.54 290.20 328.82 378.58 1,135.66

    Gross Domestic Product 20.90 24.68 27.31 29.49 32.79 39.27 216.52

    Travel & Tourism Economy Aggregates (Direct and Indirect Impact)Employment ('000) 570.82 441.41 506.21 611.28 692.98 788.55 2,221.37

    Gross Domestic Product 43.76 51.65 57.24 62.11 69.11 81.80 423.52

    Note: Employment in 000 Jobs

    T&T Accounts as % of National Accounts

    Personal Travel & Tourism 4.87 4.95 5.16 5.21 5.27 5.41 7.16

    Govt Expenditures 0.99 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.10

    Capital Investment 7.69 7.72 7.74 7.75 7.78 7.82 8.27

    Exports 16.28 15.63 15.48 15.27 15.83 16.62 22.42

    T&T Imports 7.54 7.76 8.41 8.59 8.71 8.97 11.59

    Travel & Tourism Industry Aggregates (Direct Impact Only)

    Employment 2.23 2.35 2.45 2.56 2.70 2.98 7.68

    Gross Domestic Product 3.46 3.48 3.47 3.48 3.52 3.71 5.23

    Travel & Tourism Economy Aggregates (Direct and Indirect Impact)

    Employment 4.68 4.91 5.13 5.38 5.68 6.20 15.02

    Gross Domestic Product 7.24 7.28 7.28 7.33 7.41 7.73 10.24

    Travel & Tourism Real Growth (% per annum, except 2013 = 10-year annualized)

    Personal Travel & Tourism 12.97 13.33 11.00 5.92 6.37 10.86 10.80

    Business Travel & Tourism 8.31 12.46 6.50 -10.72 -10.44 17.44 9.74

    Govt Expenditures 15.06 20.83 7.09 7.30 5.27 4.81 5.62

    Capital Investment 1.65 10.64 7.69 5.61 6.49 7.74 6.66

    Visitor Exports 15.26 10.22 9.56 6.27 6.97 16.05 13.78Other Exports -3.09 12.17 12.59 8.51 2.48 10.78 9.14

    Travel & Tourism Consumption 13.63 11.93 10.02 4.91 5.62 13.47 12.18

    Travel & Tourism Demand 10.14 11.79 9.70 5.27 5.59 12.17 11.45

    SATELLITE ACCOUNT

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    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002E 2003E 2013P

    Travel & Tourism Industry Aggregates (Direct Impact Only)

    Gross Domestic Product 11.58 12.44 6.35 4.70 5.91 12.96 11.44

    Employment 13.88 -22.65 14.51 20.14 13.31 15.13 11.61

    Travel & Tourism Economy Aggregates (Direct and Indirect Impact)

    Gross Domestic Product 8.50 12.41 6.51 5.23 5.96 11.64 10.75

    Employment 10.73 -22.67 14.68 20.76 13.36 13.79 10.91

    Kerala Travel & Tourism - US$ mn

    Personal Travel & Tourism 462.48 527.44 583.54 606.95 659.94 757.60 2,610.78

    Business Travel & Tourism 69.87 79.07 83.93 73.59 67.37 81.92 254.81

    Corporate 62.81 70.55 74.81 65.46 59.88 72.96 232.53

    Government 7.07 8.52 9.12 8.13 7.49 8.96 22.28

    Govt Expenditures - Individual 5.24 6.37 6.80 7.17 7.71 8.37 17.87

    Visitor Exports 427.42 474.09 517.69 540.26 590.74 709.86 3,189.74

    Travel & Tourism Consumption 965.01 1,086.98 1,191.96 1,227.96 1,325.76 1,557.76 6,073.20

    Govt Expenditures - Collective 12.02 14.62 15.60 16.44 17.69 19.20 40.98

    Capital Investment 242.83 270.37 290.20 300.98 327.62 365.52 1,002.46

    Exports (Non-Visitor) 72.16 81.45 91.41 97.41 102.04 117.06 407.77

    Travel & Tourism Demand 1,292.03 1,453.42 1,589.17 1,642.78 1,773.11 2,059.54 7,524.41

    Travel & Tourism Industry Aggregates (Direct Impact Only)

    Employment ('000) 272.71 210.94 241.54 290.20 328.82 378.58 1,135.66

    Gross Domestic Product 506.67 573.28 607.69 624.80 676.37 791.11 2,888.93

    Travel & Tourism Economy Aggregates (Direct and Indirect Impacts)

    Employment ('000) 570.82 441.41 506.21 611.28 692.98 788.55 2,221.37

    Gross Domestic Product 1,060.50 1,199.64 1,273.56 1,316.09 1,425.41 1,647.81 5,650.81

    Travel & Tourism - 1990 Constant US$ mn

    Personal Travel & Tourism 537.11 608.70 675.67 715.65 761.25 843.95 2,353.12

    Business Travel & Tourism 81.15 91.26 97.19 86.76 77.71 91.26 229.66

    Govt Expenditures - Individual 6.09 7.35 7.88 8.45 8.90 9.32 16.10

    Visitor Exports 496.38 547.13 599.42 637.01 681.43 790.77 2,874.94

    Travel & Tourism Consumption 1,120.72 1,254.44 1,