toward a stable real-time green vegetation fraction le jiang, dan tarpley, felix kogan, wei guo and...

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Toward a Stable Real- Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June 1, 2006

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Page 1: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction

Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell

JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June 1, 2006

Page 2: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

The Problem: AVHRR NDVI and green vegetation fraction are not stable over time

Averaged NDVI (40°S to 40°N)

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year

ND

VI

NOAA-7 NOAA-9 NOAA-11 NOAA-14 NOAA-16

Page 3: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Approach: Develop an algorithm for operational adjustment to real-time global NDVI to ensure the time series consistency

• Assume the “climatology” of the Earth’s distribution of NDVI is stable over time for each week

• Select a climatology of “standard” years without problems with: – Instrument calibration

– Equator crossing time

– Natural perturbations of the atmosphere (volcanic eruptions)

• Evaluate mathematical or statistical procedures that adjust real time NDVI distributions to climatological “standard”– Method has to retain regional information about vegetation condition

– Method should be simple and require minimum assumptions

– Method should not rely on outside data sources

• Select procedure for operational use

Page 4: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

NDVI Time Series

“Benchmark NDVI Climatology” selected from years with the best known data quality: 1989, 1990, 1995 (after wk 14), 1996, 1997, 1998 from NOAA-11 and -14

Averaged NDVI (40 °S to 40 °N)

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year

ND

VI

Page 5: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Approaches Evaluated Description

a), b) Range Re-Scaling

(RRS)

c. Normalization (NML)

d. Linear Regression (LR)

e. Adjusted Cumulative Distribution Function (ACDF)

Adjusting the CDF of real-time weekly global NDVI to match that of the benchmark climatology for week i

f. NML+RRS NML followed by RRS

g. Adjusting Satellite-By-Satellite (ASBS)+NML

ASBS followed by NML

h. GIMMS Data (for comparison)

Independent datasets from Global Inventory Monitoring & Modeling Studies (GIMMS) group: global 8-km, semi-monthly, time series decomposed / reconstructed, RT corrected

min0max0

min00

minmax

min

NDND

NDND

NDND

NDND

0

00

NDND

NDNDNDND

NDbaND 0

Solve ND0 (equivalent ND within the context of benchmark climo.

a) Use pixel max ND as NDmax

b) Use Avg of top 1% max ND as NDmax

Page 6: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Schematic Illustration of the ACDF Approach (option e)

Benchmark CDF

Page 7: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Before Correction Average NDVI (40°S to 40°N)

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

ND

VI

NVI

Page 8: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

After CDF Correction Time Series of CDF corrected NDVI

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

ND

VI

NVI_CDF

Page 9: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Before and AfterAveraged NDVI (40°S to 40°N)

Original and CDF Corrected

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

ND

VI

NVI NVI_CDF

Page 10: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Results & Evaluation

Results after simple adjustment Yellow – maximum NDVI Green – average of top 1% NDVIBlue – average NDVIRed – standard deviation of NDVI

a. RRS b. RRS_Top 1%

c. NML d. LR

e. ACDF f. NML+RRS

g. ASBS+NML h. GIMMS Data

Page 11: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

E.g. Performance of different fixes on Class 7&12 (Short Ground Cover and Cropland): Yellow – maximum NDVI Green – average of top 1% NDVIBlue – average NDVIRed – standard deviation of NDVI

a. RRS

b. RRS_Top 1% c. NML

d. LR e. ACDF

f. NML+RRS g. ASBS+NML

h. GIMMS Data

Un-adjusted

Page 12: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Satellite ECTs for the period 1982 to 2003

Effects after different adjustment for week 27 from 1982 to 2003.

a. RRS

b. RRS_Top 1% c. NML

d. LR e. ACDF

f. NML+RRS g. ASBS+NML

h. GIMMS Data

Un-adjusted

Page 13: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Comparison of drought detection signatures over CONUS (Weeks 16, 20, 24, 29, 33 and 37 in 2005)

Left column: ND* from un-adjusted NDVI;

Middle column: ND* from ACDF fixed NDVI;

Right column: Vegetation Condition Index (VCI) based on manual adjustment of unfixed NDVI

ND

NDNDND

*

Indicator (or quantity examined):

Page 14: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Summary

• ACDF correction looks best

• Successfully compensates for sensor change and orbit drift

• Local vegetation anomalies retained in corrected data

• More validation needed

• Applicable to VIIRS NDVI on day 1

• Possible long-term NDVI trends removed

Page 15: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Stop

Page 16: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Before Correction

Time Series of NVI

0.1

0.120.14

0.160.18

0.20.22

0.240.26

0.280.3

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

ND

VI

NVI

Page 17: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Average NDVI (40°S to 40°N)

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

ND

VI

NVI

Page 18: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Time Series of CDF corrected NDVI

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

ND

VI

NVI_CDF

Page 19: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

13-class global land surface type map1) Broadleaf-evergreen trees (tropical forest); 2) Broadleaf-deciduous trees; 3) Broadleaf and needle leaf trees; 4) Needle leaf evergreen trees; 5) Needle leaf deciduous trees (larch); 6) Broadleaf trees with ground cover (savanna); 7) Short groundcover (in perennial); 8) Broadleaf shrubs with perennial ground cover; 9) Broadleaf shrubs with bare soil; 10) Tundra (dwarf trees and shrubs with ground cover); 11) Bare soil; 12) Cropland (cultivated); 13) Glacial.

Page 20: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

Evolution of percentages for different NDVI intervals from 1982 to 2003 (Black – 0.0% ~ 20%, Blue – 20% ~ 40%, Green – 40% ~ 60%, Yellow – 60% ~ 80%, Red – 80% ~ 100% of maximum NDVI)

a. RRS

b. RRS_Top 1% c. NML

d. LR e. ACDF

f. NML+RRS g. ASBS+NML

h. GIMMS Data

Un-adjusted

Page 21: Toward a Stable Real-Time Green Vegetation Fraction Le Jiang, Dan Tarpley, Felix Kogan, Wei Guo and Kenneth Mitchell JCSDA Science Workshop May 31 – June

ND* of the unfixed, adjusted, and GIMMS datasets for week 26 over US Great Plains from 1982 to 2003

a. RRS

b. RRS_Top 1% c. NML

d. LR e. ACDF

f. NML+RRS g. ASBS+NML

h. GIMMS Data

Un-adjusted

ND

NDNDND

*