towards automation of model execution from a decision support
TRANSCRIPT
Towards Automation of Model Execution from a Decision Support Environment
MODSIM 2011, Perth, Australia
Ralf Denzer
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Outline
� Project objectives� Users� Approach� Common Services� Scenario Management System� Conclusions
Towards Automation of Model Execution from a Decision Support Environment
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Objectives
� Climate change
� What are the impacts on cities?
� How can urban planners consider the effects ofclimate change in their planning processes?
SUDPLAN is developing a 3D/4D web-basedplanning, prediction and training tool to supportlong term urban planning including the effects ofclimate change
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Climate Change Infusion
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Regional ClimateModel
Urban DownscalingServices• Rainfall• Hydrology• Air Quality• Climate Scenarios
Local Model
Objectives of the EDSS
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Model Control
Data Management
Visualisation
Integration
Reporting
Regional ClimateModel
Urban DownscalingServices• Rainfall• Hydrology• Air Quality• Climate Scenarios
Local Model
User Categories
Analyst
System
ManagerModeller
Reporting &
Decision Making
Service Provision
& Customizing
Modell
Development
Scientific
Workflows
Scenario
Management
User Categories
Analyst
System
ManagerModeller
Reporting &
Decision Making
Service Provision
& Customizing
Modell
Development
Scientific
Workflows
Scenario
Management
Support decision makers, expert planners, city
planners
Users Categories
Analyst
System
ManagerModeller
Reporting &
Decision Making
Service Provision
& Customizing
Modell
Development
Scientific
Workflows
Scenario
Management
Vision and Requirements of Scenario-driven Environmental DSS Supporting Automation for End Users
develop, integrate, configure mathematical
models
Users Categories
Analyst
System
ManagerModeller
Reporting &
Decision Making
Service Provision
& Customizing
Modell
Development
Scientific
Workflows
Scenario
Management
Vision and Requirements of Scenario-driven Environmental DSS Supporting Automation for End Users
Host, provide, install & maintain, administer
EDSS instances
Approach
Provide 2 Building Blocks� Services providing climate
change information on an urban scale
�Common Services
� Scenario Management Platform to support tasksinvolved in urban planning
�Scenario Management System
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Common Services
� Provide climate scenario data on a European scale, available for every city. Provide models capable of downscaling data to city level.
� All models and results are accessible through OGC service interfaces (SWE )
� City specific input improves the accuracy of the results
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Functionality
� Rainfall time series and IDF downscaling� Storm water generator� Hydrological conditions and runoff downscaling� Air quality downscaling
Scenario Management System
� Highly interactive,3D/4D graphics-based, DSS-environment
� Users define, manage, execute and explore different decisions and simulate decision scenarios
� Visualisation, comparison and documentation of different decisions
Requirements for the SMS
� Usability, Interactivity� Automation� Profiling� Information Management� Scenario Support (what If)� Model Management, Calibration & Validation� Advanced Visualisation� Documentation, Sharing, Publishing� Platform Management & Integration Support
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See: Schlobinski et al. in ISESS-2011,SUDPLAN Deliverable D3.1.1 Requirements Specification
Common Data
ApplicationDomain
System Feature
Local Model Integration
Common Service Integration
AdvancedVisualisation
Comparison
Climate ∆ Precipitation
Air Pollution Trends
Climate ∆ Temperature
Climate ∆ Air Quality
Urban Drainage
Urban Wastewater
Migration Trends
Climate ∆ Hydrology
Climate ∆ EffectsTraining
Scenario Management
SUDPLAN Dimensions
ApplicationLogic
ModelLogic
GenericLogic
SpecificLogic
Extension and Customisation Mechanisms
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generic functionality
provide customization
Realisation Status
� Model management (for Common Services) including management and basic visualisation of model input and output data (2D)
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Realisation Status
� Interactive visualisation of spatio-temporal data
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Realisation Status
� 3D visualisation of the terrain model and gridded results from local air pollution model
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Benefits (Common Services)
� Urban planners can easily include climate aspects in their planning processes
� Using the models they are using anyway� Without the need to develop a specific model
cost(integration) << cost(development of specific model)
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Benefits (SMS)
� Platform for EDSS that supports a large number of tasks
cost(customization) << cost(development)
� Can be transferred to other applications� Comes with integrated Common Services
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Summary
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We aim to ...
Improve the integration of climate changeinto urban planning decisions
Improve the link between climate change research, local modelling and urban planning
Increase the efficiency of systems development
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SUDPLAN is an EU FP7 funded projectunder the Information CommunicationTechnology program (ICT-2009-6.4),running 2010-2012.
Contact
Coordinator: Lars Gidhagen, [email protected]