Towards Inclusive Green Growth- Additional input for further discussion -

Tomonori SUDO, Ph.D.,Advisor, Office for Global Issues and Development Partnership

Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)

Urban population by Region

Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division: World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision. New York, 2012

Urban populations have increased sharply and now comprise half of the world’spopulation. This is projected to grow to around 6.4 billion ― 70 % of the world’spopulation by 2050. This rapid urbanization is seen prominently in developing regionssuch as Asia and Africa and has caused various environmental and urban problems.

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Identification of factors to increase CO2Emission by economic growth and its forecast

Design of Social –Economic system with high resource productivity

Quantification of possible reduction of energy consumption by recycle use and/or cascade use of resource

Possibility of CO2Emission Reduction by alternative resource use (esp. focus on Renewable resources)

Breakdown of Kaya Identity in resource consumption aspect

CO2Emission ＝ POP× 　　　　 × 　　　　　　　　　　 　　　 × 　GDP 　　　 Energy Consumption 　　　　CO2Emission

POP 　　　　 　　 GDP 　　　　　　　　 Energy Consumption

CO2Emission 　 Resource Cons 　 Energy Cons 　　　CO2Emission

　　 GDP 　　　　　　　 GDP 　　　　　　　 Resource Cons 　　 Energy Cons 　

＝　　　 　　　　　 × 　　　　　　　　　　　　 × 　　　　　

Possibility on Compact city,

“Rental/Lease society

Service economy, use of ICT

Resource recovery from waste and stocks

International division of labour and International material cycle

Alternate fossil fuels by use of biomass, energy from waste

Factor analysis of CO2Emission focus on resource consumption

Analysis on possible Leapfrogging development path for dev’ing countries

Hypothesis ： Society with high resource productivity Low Carbon Society≒・ Seeking possible style on sustainable production and consumption.・ It is fundamentally recognized that increase of energy consumption and GHG emission in the lifecycle has been led by increase of production/consumption of goods→resource saving and low carbon development are deeply related.

Toward Low-Carbon Development