trabajo final yuly eval. social.xlsx

8/17/2019 TRABAJO FINAL YULY EVAL. SOCIAL.xlsx

1/29


2/29

TOTAL HaS

313500850451708

413346188400

S/. 4,169

Cultivo 3

60

129

96 41109

111 102

112

53 212

256 158

645 794

2239 11,634


3/29

Provincia Cultivo 1 Cultivo 2 Cultivo 3

Central 2,587 0 0

Eastern 2,193 0 562

North Central 9,402 1,594 0

Northern 575 1,282 312

North Western 2,535 0 1,980

Sabaragamuwa 0 1,237 1,245

Southern 329 0 1,416

Uva 284 431 1,581

Western 0 3,305 1,684

Total 17,905 7,849 8,780 34,5342.67

Es el equivalente a 12,934

PRODUCCION QUE DISMINUYE POR LAS EXTERNALIDADES ENEN LOS 2 SISTEMAS (MENORES Y MAYORES)

promedio de produ ctividad por Ha


4/29

D !"#$" $ %&%' !"% M" * %


Central 938 0 0Eastern 1,200 0 300North Central 1,581 969 0Northern 284 513 554North Western 1,381 0 744Sabaragamuwa 0 693 545Southern 363 0 674Uva 276 287 756Western 0 1,200 687

T '"+ 6,023 3,662 4,260TOTAL HECTAREAS 13,94


5/29

D !"#$" $ S&%' !"% M # * %


Central 1,875 0 0Eastern 2,400 0 600North Central 3,162 1,938 0Northern 567 1,026 1,107North Western 2,763 0 1,488Sabaragamuwa 0 1,386 1,089Southern 726 0 1,349Uva 551 574 0Western 0 2,400 0

Total 12,044 7,324 5,633

TOTAL HECTAREAS 2 ,--1


6/29

DETERMINACION DEL PRECIO DE ENTA

C %' 0 "$& & #"+ (% %' * TM), # # &5# $ + %' $&* ' ($ * $ &5#) Total del costo (de roducc!"n # $%o&'ananc!a est! ada ara el a)r!cultorP* & $ #'" * TM ( %'&!"$ )

C*ST* + - *+U// * - * + * or T , + *S S ST S (-* + +* -* S S&


7/29

L7R2,18-

50.00 1,0853,255

50.00 1,6274, 2


8/29

CASO AVE PANKA: REHABILITACION, MEJORA Y EXTENSIÓN DE SISTEMAS MENORES, MEDIANOS Y MAYORES DE RIEGO EN LA REGIO

ESCENARIO 1: SOLO SISTEMAS MAYORES

FLUJO DE CAJA PRIVADOINVERSIÓN POST INVERSIÓN

2012 2013 201 201! 201" 201#

0 1 2 3 !

I$ FLUJO CON PROYECTO %22!,!"!,1"3 %1 #,0&2,33 %1 ',&! ,!#! %1!2,""2,&!# %1!!,!0#," " %1!&,3&',

INGRESOS "3, 22,1#! &",''1,#3 &",''1,#3 &",''1,#3 &",''1,#3 &",''1,#3

Producción: Cultivos 1,2,3, TM 17,820 17,820 17,820 17,820 17,820

Precios por tonelada 4,882 4,882 4,882 4,882 4,882

COSTOS 2&&,',33& 23 ,0# ,0"& 23",& ",30' 23',"! ,!'1 2 2, '',3&0 2 !,3&1,1!0

COSTOS DE INVERSIÓN !!,010,30' 2,2# ,0!3 2,303,3!1 2,333,031 2,3"3,0'" 2,3'3,!!1

R()*+ - .*/ (456* ( .5 7(H*8 !1,031,'!3

Obreros 2,8 2,7 2

!sistencia T"cnica 3#,3$2,$78

%&portacion de Capital 12,77$,483

F56 *- 9*/ 3, 1",# 0

Costos 'e(ales 1,708,370)euniones *al+uiler 1,48$,282

)euniones *di-usión 222,088

S5 56.(I 8. .;/ 5 *- 1,#0!,2#0 1,#2#,30& 1,# ',"3 1,##2,2 ' 1,#'!,1!&

Consultores ./tran eros 1,$ #,284 1,717,322 1,73 ,$48 1,7$2,2$3 1,78#,172

Consultores unior 'ocales 8,488 8,488 8,488 8,488 8,488

Transporte, i ticos, 5ospeda e 1,4 8 1,4 8 1,4 8 1,4 8 1,4 8

C* */ .*/ 5 (8 !"1,"1" !"&,#&3 !#",0 3 !&3,3'# !'0,& # !'&,3'3

Pro-esores ./tran eros ##1,278 ##8,44# #$#,70# #73,0# #80,#0 #88,0##

!sistentes 'ocales 7,048 7,048 7,048 7,048 7,048 7,048

!l+uiler 1,17# 1,17# 1,17# 1,17# 1,17# 1,17#

Transporte, i ticos, 5ospeda e 2,11# 2,11# 2,11# 2,11# 2,11# 2,11#

COSTOS OPERAC YPRODUCC 233,'##,02' 231,&00,01! 23 ,! 2,'!& 23#,321,!"0 2 0,13",2& 2 2,',!''

C58.5 7(5 (6*/ * .( ( .5 211,01 ,1## 213,#!#,120 21",!3!,#22 21',3!0, " 222,201,#"1

Obreros 18,#17 18,#17 18,#17 18,#17 18,#17

!sistencia T"cnica 20#,##4,#04 208,22$,712 210, 33,$$0 213,$7#,7 7 21$,4#3,#83

)eposición de de Capital #,441,1#$ #,#11,8 1 #,#83,#4# #,$#$,132 #,72 ,$$1

C58.58 7( 657;// 20,#&!,&3& 20,#&!,&3& 20,#&!,&3& 20,#&!,&3& 20,#&!,&3

Tractor $,203,472 $,203,472 $,203,472 $,203,472 $,203,472

6e&illas 3,108,2$3 3,108,2$3 3,108,2$3 3,108,2$3 3,108,2$3

ertili ante 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088

9u &icos 3,3#7,0$0 3,3#7,0$0 3,3#7,0$0 3,3#7,0$0 3,3#7,0$0

Cosec;a MO


9/29

Obreros 18,#17 18,#17 18,#17 18,#17 18,#17 18,#17

!sistencia T"cnica 20#,##4,#04 20#,##4,#04 208,22$,712 210, 33,$$0 213,$7#,7 7 21$,4#3,#83

)eposición de de Capital #,441,1#$ #,441,1#$ #,#11,8 1 #,#83,#4# #,$#$,132 #,72 ,$$1

C58.58 7( 657;// 22,'"2,&!2 22,'"2,&!2 22,'"2,&!2 22,'"2,&!2 22,'"2,&!2 22,'"2,&!2

Tractor $,203,472 $,203,472 $,203,472 $,203,472 $,203,472 $,203,472

6e&illas 3,072,##3 3,072,##3 3,072,##3 3,072,##3 3,072,##3 3,072,##3

ertili ante 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088

9u &icos 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088 3,13#,088

Cosec;a MO


10/29

A CENTRAL DE AVE PANKA

201& 201'

" #

%1"1,30&,"!1 %1" ,2"!,&3!

&",''1,#3 &",''1,#3

17,820 17,820

4,882 4,882

2 &,300,3&! 2!1,2!#,!"'

2, 2 , 0 2, !!,"!#

1,&1&,3"" 1,& 1,!

1,808,380 1,831,88

8,488 8,488

1,4 8 1,4 8

"0",03& "13,#&2

# #,700 $03,444

7,048 7,048

1,17# 1,17#

2,11# 2,11#

2 !,!,'&1 2 &,&01,'12

22!,0'0,1 3 22&,01",0#

18,#17 18,#17

21 ,2$7,47 222,117, #$

#,804,147 #,87 ,$01

20,#&!,&3& 20,#&!,&3&

$,203,472 $,203,472

3,108,2$3 3,108,2$3

3,13#,088 3,13#,088

3,3#7,0$0 3,3#7,0$0

2,#01,400 2,#01,400

2,480,### 2,480,###

%1& ,"30,&20 %1,!!",#!1

"3, 22,1#! "3, 22,1#!

12, 2 12, 2

4,882 4,882

2 &,0!2,''! 2!0,'#&,'2"


11/29

18,#17 18,#17

21 ,2$7,47 222,117, #$

#,804,147 #,87 ,$01

22,'"2,&!2 22,'"2,&!2

$,203,472 $,203,472

3,072,##3 3,072,##3

3,13#,088 3,13#,088

3,13#,088 3,13#,088

2,3#1,31$ 2,3#1,31$

2,480,### 2,480,###

1,042,2#0 1,042,2#0

1,042,2#0 1,042,2#0

#00,280 #00,280

23,322,1"' 23,2'0,'1"


12/29

CASO AVE PANKA: REHABILITACION, MEJORA Y EXTENSIÓN DE SISTEMAS MENORES, MEDIANOS Y MAYORES DE RIEGO EN LA

ESCENARIO 1: SOLO SISTEMAS MAYORES

FLUJ ODE CAJ ASOCIALINVERSIÓN POSTINVER2012 2013 201 201! 201"

0 1 2 3

I$ FLUJ OCONPROYECTO %1' ,& &,""" %2'3,1!&,&03 %2'!,"# ,!"' %2'&,223,0 1 %300,&0

INGRESOS "3, 22,1#! &",''1,#3 &",''1,#3 &",''1,#3 &",''1,#3Producción: Cultivos 1,2,3 17,820 17,820 17,820 17,820

Precios por tonelada 4,882 4,882 4,882 4,882

COSTOS 2!&,2#0,& 1 3&0,1!0,!3# 3&2,""",303 3&!,21 ,##! 3,#'",3##

COSTOS DE INVERSIÓN &,022,0 & 1,'#2,1"3 1,''#,!"! 2,023,2'# 2,0 ',3"3R()*+ - .*/ (456* ( .5 7(H*8 ,"3',3!3Obreros 1,417,4$8

!sistencia T"cnica 32,144,$74

%&portacion de Capital 11,077,211

F56 *- 9*/ 2,&'!,! 2Costos 'e(ales 1,447,771

)euniones *al+uiler 1,2# ,#$1

)euniones *di-usión 188,210

S5 56.(I 8. .;/ 5 *- 1, #&,#'" 1, '#,'0 1,!1#,2"0 1,!3",&"#Consultores ./tran eros 1,4$ ,811 1,488, 1 1,#08,27# 1,#27,882

Consultores unior 'ocales 7,71$ 7,71$ 7,71$ 7,71$

Transporte, i ticos, 5ospeda e 1,2$ 1,2$ 1,2$ 1,2$

C* */ .*/ 5 (8 ,1!3 '3,3"# '',""1 !0",03# !12, '"Pro-esores ./tran eros 477, #8 484,172 4 0,4$$ 4 $,842 #03,301

!sistentes 'ocales $,407 $,407 $,407 $,407 $,407

!l+uiler $ $ $ $

Transporte, i ticos, 5ospeda e 1,7 2 1,7 2 1,7 2 1,7 2 1,7 2

COSTOS OPERAC Y PRODUCC 210,2 &,#'2 20',!'",'21 212,0,2&" 21 ,"10,02" 21#,1"!,!"1

C58.5 7(5 (6*/ * .( ( .5 1'1,!#!,!'' 1'1,!#!,!'' 1' ,0"!,'" 1'",!&&,#0 1'',1 ,23'Obreros ,073 ,073 ,073 ,0

!sistencia T"cnica 18$,84 ,044 18 ,278,082 1 1,738,$ 7 1 4,231,300

)eposición de de Capital 4,717,482 4,778,80 4,840, 34 4, 03,8$$

C58.58 7( 657;// 1&,"#3,1'3 1&,021,322 1&,021,322 1&,021,322 1&,021,322 Tractor #,378,410 #,378,410 #,378,410 #,378,410

6e&illas 2,$ 4,8$4 2,$ 4,8$4 2,$ 4,8$4 2,$ 4,8$4

ertili ante 2,718,121 2,718,121 2,718,121 2,718,121

9u &icos 2, 10,#71 2, 10,#71 2, 10,#71 2, 10,#71

Cosec;a MO


13/29

Cosec;a MO


14/29

LA PROVINCIA CENTRAL DE AVE PANKA

201# 201& 201'! " #

%303, 1',&0! %30",0"&,'"! %30&,#!2,!"3

&",''1,#3 &",''1,#3 &",''1,#317,820 17,820 17,820

4,882 4,882 4,882

3'0, 11,!3' 3'3,0"0,"'' 3'!,# ,2'#

2,0#!,#"' 2,102,!1# 2,12',"13

1,!!",#30 1,!#",&!0 1,!'#,2321,#47,74# 1,#$7,8$# 1,#88,247

7,71$ 7,71$ 7,71$

1,2$ 1,2$ 1,2$

!1',03' !2!,""# !32,3&1#0 ,844 #1$,472 #23,18$

$,407 $,407 $,407

$ $ $

1,7 2 1,7 2 1,7 2

21',#! ,31& 222,3#",#2' 22!,033,231

201,#32,''" 20 ,3!!, 0# 20#,011,'0',073 ,073 ,073

1 $,7#$,307 1 ,314,13 201, 0#,222

4, $7,$1$ #,032,1 # #,0 7,$14

1&,021,322 1&,021,322 1&,021,322#,378,410 #,378,410 #,378,410

2,$ 4,8$4 2,$ 4,8$4 2,$ 4,8$4

2,718,121 2,718,121 2,718,121

2, 10,#71 2, 10,#71 2, 10,#71

2,1$8,714 2,1$8,714 2,1$8,714

2,1#0,$41 2,1#0,$41 2,1#0,$41

1"&,!&1, !3 1"&,!&1, !3 1"&,!&1, !327,203 27,203 27,203

7,330 7,330 7,330

4,882 4,882 4,882

%1!",'& ,01 %1!',"0", 2! %1"2,2"2,'2#

"3, 22,1#! "3, 22,1#! "3, 22,1#!12, 2 12, 2 12, 2

4,882 4,882 4,882

220, 0",1&' 223,02&,"00 22!,"&!,102

201,#32,''" 20 ,3!!, 0# 20#,011,'0',073 ,073 ,073

1 $,7#$,307 1 ,314,13 201, 0#,222


15/29

1,1#2,14# 1,1#2,14# 1,1#2,14#

2,1#0,$41 2,1#0,$41 2,1#0,$41

#10,703 #10,703 #10,703

47,40# 47,40# 47,40#

433,743 433,743 433,743

%1 ", 3!,#'1 %1 ", "2,! 0 %1 ", &',"3"


16/29

ESCENARIO2: SISTEMAS MAYORES Y MENORES

FLUJ ODE CAJ APRIVADOINVERSIÓN POSTINVERSIÓN

2012 2013 201 201! 201" 201#0 1 2 3 !

I$ FLUJ OCONPROYECTO %1,111, "3,&!1 3" ,11",&0# 2#',1'0,22 2 3,2!!,#3! "3,223,2' 13,3"2,1"3

INGRESOS !&&,&3',& 1 &3#,1& ,31& &3#,1& ,31& &3#,1& ,31& &3#,1& ,31& &3#,1Prod TM, Cultivos 1,2,3 6 Menores 110,1$2 110,1$2 110,1$2 110,1$2 110,1$2

Prod TM, Cultivos 1,2,3 6 MaAores $1,32 $1,32 $1,32 $1,32 $1,32


COSTOS 1,#00,303,"'3 #3,0"#,!11 !!#,'' ,0' !'3,'2&,!& 3#3,'"1,02 23,&22,1!!

COSTOS DE INVERSIÓN '0','22, "" 1#!,&20,212 23#,"22, !! 21",&1 ,1'" 1',2'0,&01 1',0 3,33"R()*+ - . (456* H*8$ #"1,0!#,!0'Obreros 30,#2 ,7 4

!sistencia T"cnica 374,2#4,1 4%&portacion de Capital 3#$,273,#21F56 *- 9*/ 3, 1",# 0Costos 'e(ales 3#, 1$,223

)euniones *al+uiler 31,247,114)euniones *di-usión 4,$$ ,10

S5 56.(I 8. .;/ 5 *- !,11!,& 1 2,3#&,!!" !,30',#!0 !,#0",112 ",&" ,3"Consultores ./tran eros #,08#,88# 2,3$4,80$ #,27 ,447 #,$73, $2 $,82$,182Consultores unior 'ocales 2#,4$3 11,$88 2#,7#8 27,327 32,4##

Transporte, i ticos, 5ospeda e 4,4 3 2,0$3 4,#4# 4,822 #,727C* */ .*/ 5 (8 2,&"','1" 1,#0",3"3 2,1 !,32& 2,10"," 13,!& ,"&' 12,1#&,'#2Pro-esores ./tran eros 2,817,0 0 1,$7#,3#0 2,10$,828 2,0$ ,#43 13,347,007 11, $8,#72!sistentes 'ocales 3$,018 21,14# 2$,2#0 2#,4## 1$2,0#$ 143,4##

!l+uiler $,003 3,#24 4,37# 4,242 27,00 23, 0 Transporte, i ticos, 5ospeda e 10,80# $,344 7,87# 7,$3$ 48,$17 43,03$E8.;7 5 I */.5 * + ( .*- 1 2,!#&,300 1"&,''&,00& 233,0'&,!#1 20',3'#,!#0

Transporte, i ticos, 5ospeda e 130,1#8 1#2,270 207,271 183,827Consultores ./tran eros 142,448,142 1$8,84#,738 232,8 1,300 20 ,213,743

COSTOS DE POSTINVERSION #'0,3&1,22# 2'#,2 #,2'' 320,3#1,"3' 3##,11 ,3&& 3! ,"#0,223 0 ,##&,&20C58.5 7(5 (6*/ * .( ( .5 "0,0'#,&33 12',&1 , 3' 1!2,'3&,##' 20',"&1,!2& 1,23#,3"3 23#,3 !,'"0Obreros 233,3$7 273,0#4 371,77# 32 ,$ # 41#,014

!sistencia T"cnica $1,020,318 71,400,0#4 7,21 ,448 8$,213,88$ 108,#28,0#4)eposición de de Capital $8,#$0,7#4 81,2$#,$71 112,0 0,30# 100,$ 3,782 128,402,8 2C58.58 7( 657;/ < ( * = 330,2&3,3' 1"#, 32,&"0 1"#, 32,&"0 1"#, 32,&"0 1"#, 32,&"0 1"#, 32,&"0S 8.( *8 M( 56(8 1 "," #,022 1 "," #,022 1 "," #,022 1 "," #,022 1 "," #,022

Tractor 44,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00

6e&illas 22,248,842 22,248,842 22,248,842 22,248,842 22,248,842ertili ante 22,1$4,800 22,1$4,800 22,1$4,800 22,1$4,800 22,1$4,800

9u &icos 23,#48,340 23,#48,340 23,#48,340 23,#48,340 23,#48,340Cosec;a Obreros MO


17/29

201& 201'" #

1 &,#&3,!!3 ',023,0'&

&3#,1& ,31& &3#,1& ,31&110,1$2 110,1$2

$1,32 $1,32

4,882 4,882

"&&, 00,#"" #&&,1"1,221

2',! 1, 2' ! ,#01,2 &

20,3"',01& !3,'3',"0"20,2#7,1$# #3,$47,18$

#,07# 248,##7

1$,778 43,8$3',1#2, 11 #"1," 2

,01#, #0 748,81410$,$78 8,74$

17,780 1,4#832,003 2,$24

"!&,&!',33# #33, !','#3'1, 2", ## !"",02#,113

8#3,23$ 7#,8#0

223,13 , #4 2##,208,2172$7,433,287 30 ,843,04$1"#, 32,&"0 1"#, 32,&"01 "," #,022 1 "," #,02244,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00

22,248,842 22,248,84222,1$4,800 22,1$4,800

23,#48,340 23,#48,3401$,$23,$00 1$,$23,$0017,731,840 17,731,840

20,#&!,&3& 20,#&!,&3&$,203,472 $,203,472

3,108,2$3 3,108,2$33,13#,088 3,13#,0883,3#7,0$0 3,3#7,0$02,#01,400 2,#01,400

2,480,### 2,480,###

RAL DE AVE PANKA


18/29

II$ FLUJ O SINPROYECTO %201,! 1,3&" %20!,3# ,331 %232,3&1, %2'3,0!#, 2 %2# ,!'#,"!& %32&,#

INGRESOS !&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3Prod TM, Cultivos 1,2,3 6 Menores 7$,#34 7$,#34 7$,#34 7$,#34 7$,#34 7$,#34

Prod TM, Cultivos 1,2,3 6 MaAores 44,08# 44,08# 44,08# 44,08# 44,08# 44,08#

Precios por tonelada 4,882 4,882 4,882 4,882 4,882 4,882

COSTOS OPERAC Y PRODUCC #'0,3&1,22# #' ,21 ,1#2 &21,221,2&! &&1,&'#,2&3 &"3, 3#,!00 '1#,!&2,2#!C58.5 7(5 (6*/ * .( ( .5 "0,0'#,&33 "2,01 ,30" ,0&0,032 ! !,#&', 0" !2!,33#, 31 !##, " ,11&Obreros 233,3$7 233,3$7 273,0#4 371,77# 32 ,$ # 41#,014

!sistencia T"cnica $1,020,318 $1,020,318 71,400,0#4 7,21 ,448 8$,213,88$ 108,#28,0#4)eposición de de Capital $8,#$0,7#4 $8,#$0,7#4 81,2$#,$71 112,0 0,30# 100,$ 3,782 128,402,8 2C58.58 7( 657;// 330,2&3,3' 332,1'',&"" 33 ,1 1,2!3 33",10#,& 33&,100,0"' 3 0,11&,1!&S 8.( *8 M( 56(8 30#,320,! 2 30',23#,01 311,1#&, 01 313,1 !,02" 31!,13#,21# 31#,1!!,30"

Tractor 44,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00

6e&illas 22,248,842 22,248,842 22,248,842 22,248,842 22,248,842 22,248,842ertili ante 22,1$4,800 22,1$4,800 22,1$4,800 22,1$4,800 22,1$4,800 22,1$4,800

9u &icos 22, 47, 00 22, 47, 00 22, 47, 00 22, 47, 00 22, 47, 00 22, 47, 00Cosec;a MO


19/29

%!&",'11,"00 %""!,"! ,03#

!&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 17$,#34 7$,#34

44,08# 44,08#

4,882 4,882

1,1#!,#!1, 1 1,2! , '3,&&33,!&&,'!' '10,2"0, '"8#3,23$ 7#,8#0

223,13 , #4 2##,208,2172$7,433,287 30 ,843,04$3 2,1"2, &2 3 ,233,3&331',1'',"30 321,2#0,!3144,32 ,$00 44,32 ,$00

22,248,842 22,248,84222,1$4,800 22,1$4,800

22, 47, 00 22, 47, 001$,$23,$00 1$,$23,$00

17,731,840 17,731,840$, 2$,#00 $, 2$,#00$, 2$,#00 $, 2$,#001# ,300,048 1$1,370, 4

22,'"2,&!2 22,'"2,&!2$,203,472 $,203,4723,072,##3 3,072,##3

3,13#,088 3,13#,0883,13#,088 3,13#,088

2,3#1,31$ 2,3#1,31$2,480,### 2,480,###

1,042,2#0 1,042,2#01,042,2#0 1,042,2#0#00,280 #00,280

#3!,"'!,1!2 #1 ,"##,13!


20/29

ESCENARIO2: SISTEMAS MAYORES Y MENORES

FLUJ ODE CAJ ASOCIALDESCRIPCIÓN INVERSIÓN POSTINVERSIÓN

2012 2013 201 201! 201" 201#0 1 2 3 !

I$ FLUJ OCONPROYECTO %&"#,0!1,1"0 3 ,""',"23 3"0,"1&,#2# 32&, 1!,3! !1',!"!, !3 #!, 31,23"

INGRESOS !&&,&3',& 1 &3#,1& ,31& &3#,1& ,31& &3#,1& ,31& &3#,1& ,31& &3#,1&

Prod TM, Cultivos 1,2,3 6 Menores 110,1$2 110,1$2 110,1$2 110,1$2 110,1$2

Prod TM, Cultivos 1,2,3 6 MaAores $1,32 $1,32 $1,32 $1,32 $1,32


COSTOS 1, !!,&'1,002 02,!1 ,"'! #",!"!,!'1 !0&,#"&,'"! 31#,"1&,&"! 3"1,#!3,0&2

COSTOS DE INVERSIÓN #'3,!" ,#&' 1!2, 3 ,&2! 20",01!,'31 1,'#",1 ! 1",#31,!0# 1",!1",! 0

R()*+ - . (456* H*8$ "" ,0 !,&0

Obreros 14, # ,#

!sistencia T"cnica 340,1 7,0$2

%&portacion de Capital 308,88 ,143

F56 *- 9*/ 3, 1",# 0

Costos 'e(ales 30,437,477

)euniones *al+uiler 2$,480,$0#

)euniones *di-usión 3, #$,872

S5 56.(I 8. .;/ 5 *- , 3", 1" 2,0"2,"!' ,"0 ,! " ,' &,2!3 !,'!2,"!

Consultores ./tran eros 4,40 ,4$2 2,0#0,287 4,#77,280 4, 1 ,32# #, 18,300

Consultores unior 'ocales 23,14# 10,$24 23,414 24,840 2 ,#01

Transporte, i ticos, 5ospeda e 3,808 1,748 3,8#2 4,087 4,8#4

C* */ .*/ 5 (8 2, &', 01 1, &0,112 1,&"0,&"2 1,&2#, '' 11,#&3,2! 10,!"3,&&"

Pro-esores ./tran eros 2,442,417 1,4#2,#2 1,82$,$20 1,7 4,2 4 11,#71,8## 10,37$,7#2

!sistentes 'ocales 32,740 1 ,221 23,8$1 23,138 147,30 130,400

!l+uiler #,087 2, 87 3,708 3,# # 22,88 20,2$2

Transporte, i ticos, 5ospeda e ,1#7 #,37$ $,$74 $,471 41,201 3$,471

E8.;7 5 I */.5 * + ( .*- 123,"12,& 3 1 ",!1&,2'# 202,0'2, 10 1&1,! ,100

Transporte, i ticos, 5ospeda e 110,303 12 ,042 17#,$#3 1##,78$

Consultores ./tran eros 123,#02,#3 14$,38 ,2## 201, 1$,7#7 181,388,31#

COSTOS DE POSTINVERSION ""2,32",213 2!0,0#', 2#0,! ',"!' 320,#'2,&1' 300,&,3!' 3 !,23",! 2

C58.5 7(5 (6*/ * .( ( .5 3&&,"#!,103 11!,023,''3 13!, '3,#&2 1&!,#3",' 2 1"!,&31, &2 210,1&0,""!

Obreros 114,3#0 133,7 $ 182,170 1$1,##1 203,3#7

!sistencia T"cnica ##,4$7,4$ $4, 02,$4 88,372,478 78,3$8,422 8,$#2,001

)eposición de de Capital # ,442,174 70,4#7,337 7,182,2 4 87,301,#0 111,32#,307

C58.58 7( 657;/ < ( * = 2#3,"!1,110 13!,0!!,# 13!,0!!,# 13!,0!!,# 13!,0!!,# 13!,0!!,#

S 8.( *8 M( 56(8 11&,33 ,'0! 11&,33 ,'0! 11&,33 ,'0! 11&,33 ,'0! 11&,33 ,'0!

Tractor 37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8

6e&illas 18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1

ertili ante 18,783,72 18,783,72 18,783,72 18,783,72 18,783,72

9u &icos 1 , #$,220 1 , #$,220 1 , #$,220 1 , #$,220 1 , #$,220

Cosec;a Obreros MO


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201& 201'" #

2 1,3'1,&&" 1!3,!'",233

&3#,1& ,31& &3#,1& ,31&

110,1$2 110,1$2

$1,32 $1,32

4,882 4,882

!'!,#'2, 32 "&3,!&&,0&!

2!,"1',!'2 #, 3!,&!2

1#,""3,"0 ",##!,220

17,#$2, $2 4$,#12,110

8$,423 22#, 38

14,21 37,172

#,'!!,'&& ""0,"31

7,81$,82 $4 ,222

$, 70 7, #0

1#,0$7 1,23#

27,121 2,224

!#0,1#2,& 1 "3",1!2,23

3!,11",'"3 !01,0'",3!"

418,08$ 478,1$7

202,834,218 231, 84,2$

231,8$4,$$0 2$8,$33, 21

13!,0!!,# 13!,0!!,#

11&,33 ,'0! 11&,33 ,'0!

37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8

18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1

18,783,72 18,783,72

1 , #$,220 1 , #$,220

8,14#,#$4 8,14#,#$4

1#,02$, 83 1#,02$, 83

1",#20,'#2 1",#20,'#2

#,2#7,180 #,2#7,180

2,$34,121 2,$34,121

2,$#$,8#4 2,$#$,8#4

2,844, $$ 2,844, $$

1,22#,$8$ 1,22#,$8$

L DE AVE PANKA


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II$ FLUJ OSINPROYECTO %#3, &",3#2 %#",&0',!3! %100," !,"&' %1! ,2'&,'#" %13#,& #,'# %1&!,"'",!2!

INGRESOS !&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 1

Prod TM, Cultivos 1,2,3 6 Menores 7$,#34 7$,#34 7$,#34 7$,#34 7$,#34 7$,#34

Prod TM, Cultivos 1,2,3 6 MaAores 44,08# 44,08# 44,08# 44,08# 44,08# 44,08#

Precios por tonelada 4,882 4,882 4,882 4,882 4,882 4,882

COSTOS OPERAC Y PRODUCC ""2,32",213 ""!," ',3## "&', &!,!31 # 3,13&,&1& #2",",&1" ## ,!3",3""

C58.5 7(5 (6*/ * .( ( .5 3&&,"#!,103 3'0,33","&! 12, &',"!" " , 3#,&&0 ",2!'," ' '2,3!&,!1"

Obreros 114,3#0 114,3#0 133,7 $ 182,170 1$1,##1 203,3#7

!sistencia T"cnica ##,4$7,4$ ##,4$7,4$ $4, 02,$4 88,372,478 78,3$8,422 8,$#2,001

)eposición de de Capital # ,442,174 # ,442,174 70,4#7,337 7,182,2 4 87,301,#0 111,32#,307

C58.58 7( 657;// 2#3,"!1,110 2#!,312,"'2 2#",''!, 2#&,#00,'3& 2&0, 2&,1"# 2&2,1##,&!0

S 8.( *8 M( 56(8 2!!,330,203 2!",''1,#&! 2!&,"# ,'"# 2"0,3&0,030 2"2,10#,2"0 2"3,&!",' 3

Tractor 37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8

6e&illas 18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1ertili ante 18,783,72 18,783,72 18,783,72 18,783,72 18,783,72 18,783,72

9u &icos 1 ,447,373 1 ,447,373 1 ,447,373 1 ,447,373 1 ,447,373 1 ,447,373

Cosec;a MO


23/29

% 1 ,1##,"&2 % &3,# &,01"

!&&,&3',& 1 !&&,&3',& 1

7$,#34 7$,#34

44,08# 44,08#

4,882 4,882

1,003,01#,!23 1,0#2,!,&!&

#1',0"#,2 3 #&",& 2,10#

418,08$ 478,1$7

202,834,218 231, 84,2$

231,8$4,$$0 2$8,$33, 21

2&3,'!0,2&0 2&!,# !,#!1

2"!,"2',3#2 2"#, 2 ,& 3

37,#$7,4#8 37,#$7,4#8

18,8#4, #1 18,8#4, #1

18,783,72 18,783,72

1 ,447,373 1 ,447,373

8,14#,#$4 8,14#,#$4

1#,02$, 83 1#,02$, 83

3,3 3, 8# 3,3 3, 8#

$,2 $,18 $,2 $,18

138,113,142 13 , 08,$13

1&,320,'0# 1&,320,'0#

#,2#7,180 #,2#7,180

2,$03,8#8 2,$03,8#8

2,$#$,8#4 2,$#$,8#42,$#$,8#4 2,$#$,8#4

1,1#2,14# 1,1#2,14#

2,102,1$# 2,102,1$#

#10,703 #10,703

47,40# 47,40#

433,743 433,743

"!!,!"',!"# "3#,3 ,2 '

& 201'" # AN TIR

22,169 23,290,916 62,82 , 38 38,462,540 146,489,636 :8 4, 1,8

,695,152 714,677,135 2,291, 9-,164 62,569,567 637,344,249 2,-81,622,9 - 64


24/29

ESCENARIO 12-19 2-19

PRI ADO SOCIAL PRI ADO SOCIALI$ FLUJ O CONPROYECTO B1$4,2$#,83# B308,7#2,#$3

INGRESOS 8$, 1,734 8$, 1,734

COSTOS 2!1,2!#,!"' 3'!,# ,2'#1--.--; 1--.--;

COSTOS DE INVERSIÓN 2, !!,"!# 2,12',"13 -.9 ; -. ;6oporte %nstitucional 1,841,87# 1,# 7,233 0.73 0.64

Capacitaciones $13,782 #32,381 0.24 0.21

COSTOS OPERAC YPRODUCC 2 &,&01,'12 22!,033,231 99.-2; 9. 6;Costo de operación A &anteni&iento 228,01$,074 207,011, 10 90.75 82.39

Costos de producción 20,78#,838 18,021,322 8.27 7.17

COSTOS DE LA EXTERNALIDADDEL PYTO 1"&,!&1, !3 -.--; 68.1-;

I$ FLUJ O SINPROYECTO B187,##$,7#1 B1$2,2$2, 27

INGRESOS $3,422,17# $3,422,17#COSTOS OPERAC YPRODUCC 2!0,'#&,'2" 22!,"&!,102 1--.--; 1--.--;Costos de operación A &anteni&iento 228,01$,074 207,011, 10 90.85 82.48

Costos de producción 22, $2,8#2 18,$73,1 3 9.15 7.44III$ FLUJ OS INCREMENTALES


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2-19PRI ADO SOCIAL

1--.--; 1--.--;

2. 2; 2.4 ;2.12 1.84

0.71 0.61

2 6.-1; 2 .6 ;262.11 237.97

23.89 20.72

-.--; 193.89;


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ESCENARIO 22-19 2-19

PRI ADO SOCIAL PRI ADO SOCIALI$ FLUJ O CONPROYECTO 49,023,098 153,596,233

INGRESOS 837,184,318 837,184,318

COSTOS 788,161,221 683,588,085 100.00 100.00

COSTOS DE INVERSIÓN 54,701,248 47,435,852 6.94 6.94R()*+ - . (456* H*8$ 0 0F56 *- 9*/ 0 0S5 56.( I 8. .;/ 5 *- 53,939,606 46,775,220 6.84 6.84C* */ .*/ 5 (8 761,642 660,631 0.10 0.10E8.;7 5 I */.5 * + ( .*- 0 0

COSTOS DE POST INVERSION 833,4 9,983 636,1 2,234 93.-6; 93.-6;Costo de operación A &anteni&iento 566,027,113 501,096,356 71.82 73.30

C58.58 7( 657;/ < ( * = 168,432, 6- 13 ,- , 88 21.24; 19.86;6iste&as Menores 146,647,022 118,334,905 18.61 17.31

6iste&as MaAores 20,785,838 16,720,972 2.64 2.45

II$ FLUJ O SINPROYECTO 665,654,037 483,748,016

INGRESOS 588,839,841 588,839,841

COSTOS OPERAC YPRODUCC 1,2 4,493, 8 1,-82, 8, 1--.--; 1--.--;C58.5 7( 5 (6*/ * .( ( .5 91-,26-,496 8 6, 42,1-8 82. 6; 83.36;C58.58 7( 657;// 344,233,3 3 2 ,84 ,8 1 28.44; 26.64;6iste&as Menores 321,270,531 267,424,843 25.61 24.93

6iste&as MaAores 22,962,852 18,320,907 1.83 1.71

III$ FLUJ OS INCREMENTALES


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2-19PRI ADO SOCIAL

100.00 100.00

94.14 81.65

6.53 5.67

6.44 5.59

0.09 0.08

8.61; 8 .99;67.61 59.85

2-.--; 16.13;17.52 14.13

2.48 2.00


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F*/.56(8 7(/566(// 5 7(*4;8.(SEG?NANEXO SNIP 10 F*/.56(8 7(/566(// ;.- 9* Tasa 6ocial de escuento )e

PRECIO SOCIAL DE LA MANO DE O =*? " *@"# * *"+ actor de corrección de los i

! a etro ol!tana 0.86 actor de corrección de Dienesto /osta 0.68 0.57 actor de Corrección de la M

S!erra 0.6 0.41 actor de Corrección de la MSelva 0.63 0.49

PAR METROS DE PRO YECTOS DE ELECTRIFICACIBN RURAL:actor de correcc!"n ara la !nvers!"n 0.8309:actor de correcc!"n ara la o erac!"n # anten! !ento 0.8475 Tipo de ca&bio del &ercado

PAR METROS DE PRO YECTOS DE SANEAMIENTO RURAL!enes o Transa;les 0.847

. !enes Transa;les 0.867ano de *;ra /al!$cada 0.909


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58al ?ivisa 1>02

nsu&os 0>847# esEservicios Trans 0>8$7 O CaliFcada 0> 0 O 4

*'G)E H6I 41>

trabajo final yuly eval. social.xlsx

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