The Small Print – Disclaimer

Step 1: Understanding the Environment

What are the current economic conditions?

What is driving prices?

Which theme of interest is currently acting as the catalyst that is moving the markets?

i. the beginning and pace of the tightening cycle in the US.

ii. the expansion of ECB's balance sheet and reflation of Euro area.

iii. the Bank of Japan's QE.

iv. Chinese Economic Status

v. Greek –EU tensions / Elections

vi. Oil Prices

vii. Russian - Ukraine Crisis

viii. Middle Eastern Tensions

ix. UK’s Brexit?

x. Iran Agreement

xi. Emerging Markets Turmoil

xii. US Elections

The major Global Macro themes of interest are:

Interest ratesInterest rates are one of the most important drivers of

the forex markets. The base interest rate of a country is set by its respective central bank. It is used by a central bank as a tool to manage the economy – either by raising the interest rate to curb inflation, or lowering the interest rate to promote growth.

• Inflation

Inflation measures how quickly the prices of goods and services rise in a given period of time. An increase in the inflation rate means that prices are going up more quickly. If the inflation rate falls, the prices of goods and services still rise, but at a slower rate.

The Most Important Economic Indicators

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