trading guide philstocks research
TRANSCRIPT
Philstocks Research 2021 |Page
CLAIRE T. ALVIAR
Senior Research and Engagement Officer
+63 (2) 8588-1925
Ground Floor, East Tower
PSE Center, Tektite Towers
Ortigas Center, Pasig City
PHILIPPINES
JAPHET LOUIS O. TANTIANGCO
Senior Supervisor—Research
+63 (2) 8588-1927
Philstocks Research
DISCLAIMER
The opinion, views and recommendations
contained in this material were prepared by
the Philstocks Research Team, individually
and separately, based on their specific
sector assignments, contextual framework,
personal judgments, biases and prejudices,
time horizons, methods and other factors.
The reader is enjoined to take this into
account when perusing and considering the
contents of the report as a basis for their
stock investment or trading decisions.
Furthermore, projection made and presented
in this report may change or be updated in
between the periods of release. Ergo, the
validity of the projections and/or estimates
mentioned are good as of the date indicated
and may be changed without immediate
notification.
This report is primarily intended for
information purposes only and should not be
considered as an exclusive basis for making
investment decision. The recommendations
contained in this report is not tailored-fit any
particular investor type, situation, or
objective and must not be taken as such.
Determining the suitability of an investment
remains within the province of the investor.
Our estimates are based on information we
believe to be reliable. Nevertheless, nothing
in this report shall be construed as an offer
of a guarantee of a return of any kind and at
any time.
Rating Definitions:
BUY - More than 15% upside base on the target price
in the next 9-12 months
SELL - More than 15% downside base on the target
price in the next 9-12 months
HOLD -
TRADE - A potential 10% and above short-term upside
base on entry price and selling price.
15% or less upside or downside in the next
9-12 months
Key Investment Highlights
Recovery signs seen in IMI’s 2nd half financial perfor-
mance which may continue on the back of the sustained
recuperation seen for the global manufacturing sector.
Rising input costs and supply chain disruptions pose risks
for IMI.
Initial support is seen at the 12.20 - 12.40 range. Initial
resistance is seen at the 10-day EMA.
YTD Net Foreign Transaction (as of March 05, 2021):
Php86.73 Mn
1
Date : March 08 - March 19, 2021
Trading Guide
KEY MARKET STATS
Last Traded Price (PHP) 12.90
Entry Point (PHP) 12.20 - 12.40
Cut-loss Point 5% below acquisition
price
Potential Upside / Downside (%) 6.20% (from current
price)
52 wk low and High (PHP) 3.20 – 14.96
20-day MA Volume 2.67 Mn
P/E Ratio (x) -
P/B Ratio (x) 1.43x
YTD performance (%) 41.76%
IMI
TRADE Initial TP: Php 13.70
AXLM TRADE TP: Php 3.60-3.85
Source: PSE Website
Key Investment Highlights
Recommended for position traders due to its good tech-
nicals and fundamentals.
Foreigners are also supporting the current price move-
ment.
Set a cut loss point, 5-7% below your entry point.
YTD Net Foreign Transaction (as of March 05, 2021): Php
3.43 Mn
Source: Tradingview
KEY MARKET STATS
Last Traded Price (PHP) 3.50
Entry Point (PHP) 3.35
Cut-loss Price (PHP) 3.11
Potential Upside / Downside (%) 7% - 15%
52 wk low and High (PHP) 1.75 - 5.30
20-day MA Volume 4.33 Mn
P/E Ratio (x) 25.00x
P/B Ratio (x) 1.58x
YTD performance (%) 0.00%
Philstocks Research 2021 |Page
PHILSTOCKS ACTION PLAN
Integrated Micro-Electronics, Inc. [PSE: IMI]
Philstocks On-Balance View: TRADE
Initial Target Price: P13.70
Entry Price: P12.20 - P12.40
Cut-loss Point: 5% below acquisition price
Research Analyst: Japhet O. Tantiangco
Trade IMI as we see an upward bias for the share driven primarily by the signs of recovery in its fundamentals which may continue on the back of the sustained
recuperation seen for the global manufacturing sector. The share’s challenge now is to get past its 10-day EMA which serves as an initial dynamic resistance.
Doing so would give it a better chance of reaching the 13.70 resistance level. Best pick up shares of IMI once it confirms the strength of its 12.20 - 12.40 support
range. If the said range would not hold, wait for IMI to confirm the strength of its secondary support at 11.60. Remember to set a cut-loss point 5% below your
acquisition price.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
INVESTMENT NARRATIVES
Upside:
IMI is showed signs of recovery in its financial performance in the latter
part of 2020 with 2nd half revenues posting $659 million, including a rec-
ord high quarterly topline in Q4 of $347 million amid the rise in demand
for electronic products. This was 38.4% higher than the 1st half of 2020.
For the 2nd half, IMI registered a net income of $18 million including a
$2.4 million one-off gain in 3Q. This trimmed full year net losses to $3.5
million.
The sustained recuperation seen for the global economy’s manufacturing
sector may help IMI continue its recovery moving forward. According to
IHS Markit’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data, many of
the countries in which IMI operates including the Philippines, China, USA,
Germany, Czech Republic, and the United Kingdom are experiencing
expansion in their manufacturing sector as of February 2021.
Downside:
Manufacturing supply chain disruptions may weigh on the company’s
operations.
Rising input costs in the global market may put pressure on IMI’s profit
margins.
The stock’s 41.76% ytd climb makes it susceptible to profit taking.
IMI is currently trading with an initial support seen at the 12.20 - 12.40 range. This is followed by the 11.60 level. Meanwhile, initial resistance is seen at the
stock’s 10-day exponential moving average. After this is the 13.70 level.
The share is currently trying to sustain its uptrend which has brought it up so far by 41.76% ytd. To do so, it must get past its February 19 peak of 14.96.
Its On Balance Volume is still showing an accumulation bias.
Its MACD however is moving downwards below the signal line implying bearish momentum.
Legend:
Main Chart:
Green straight line - Support level
Green shaded area - Support range
Red straight line - Resistance level
Yellow line - 10-day EMA
Blue line - 50-day EMA
Violet line - 200-day EMA
OBV Chart
Blue Line - On Balance Volume
MACD Chart
Blue Line - MACD line
Red Line - Signal line
Philstocks Research 2021 |Page
PHILSTOCKS ACTION PLAN
Axelum Resources Corp. [PSE: AXLM]
Philstocks On-Balance View: TRADE
Short-term Initial target Price: P3.60 - P3.85
Entry Price: P3.35
Cut-loss Point: P3.11 or 5% - 7% below your acquisition price.
Research Analyst: Claire T. Alviar
For position traders, TRADE AXLM as it shows positive bias and primary movement remains uptrend. Entry point is around P3.35. We may already exit around
P3.60 if it fails to breakout, but if it breaches current resistance, exit at P3.85. In addition, foreigners are also supporting the price movement with month-to-date
and year-to-date net buying. Fundamental-wise, the global recovery is positive for the company as demand for coconut products is expected to increase.
However, a strong peso may negatively affect financials.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
INVESTMENT NARRATIVES
Upside:
The chart shows positive bias as the uptrend may continue.
The company is operating business as usual given the stable demand of
coconut products abroad despite the imposed lockdown measures in the
Philippines.
Global recovery is positive for AXLM as being one of the biggest export-
ers of coconut products.
Foreigners are net buyers month-to-date and year-to-date at P6.1 Mn and
3.4 Mn, respectively.
Downside:
Strong peso may negatively affect financials.
Worries over strict lockdown measures due to the rising Covid-19 cases
may still affect sentiment towards the stock.
Current support is at P3.35 while resistance is at P3.60-3.85.
This is still on an uptrend. However, breaching of its current resistance of P3.60 and P3.85 are crucial for the uptrend to continue.
Using Fib Resistance Speed Fan, support is at 0.50, next is at 0.618.
Dynamic supports, meanwhile, are the 50-day and 200-day EMAs.
It shows bullish divergence with the on-balance volume movement.
Set a cut loss point at 3.11 or 5% - 7% below your entry price.
Legend:
Green Straight Line—Support
Red Straight Line—Resistance
Red Dynamic Line—50-day exponential moving
average (EMA)
Yellow Dynamic Line— 200-day exponential
moving average (EMA)
Blue Oscillator— On-balance volume
Diagonal Lines—Fib Resistance Speed Fan.