training workshop on nowcasting techniques: t-note
TRANSCRIPT
Training Workshop on NOwcastingTEchniques: T‐NOTE
www.cima.fcen.uba.ar/T‐NOTE/ still available
Training Workshop on NOwcasting TEchniques: T‐NOTEBuenos Aires, August 5‐16, 2013
Organizing Committee:Paul Joe ‐ Environment Canada, CanadaRita Roberts ‐ NCAR, USACeleste Saulo ‐ DCAO‐FCEN/CIMA‐UMI, ArgentinaClaudia Campetella ‐ SMN/DCAO‐FCEN, ArgentinaPaola Salio ‐ DCAO‐FCEN/CIMA‐UMI, Argentina
The Workshop was sponsored by:WMO ‐ World Weather Research ProgramDepartment of Atmosphere and Ocean Science ‐ UBANational Meteorological Service of Argentina.
It was co‐sponsored by the Atmosphere and Ocean Research Centre ‐ CONICET/UBA, Computing Department ‐ University of Buenos Aires, WMO – Education and Training Program, Inter‐American Institute for Global Change Research and INVAP.
The objectives of the course were:
To develop the areas of nowcasting and very short forecasting at the regional level by means of comprehensive training activities on this field.
To leverage the local capacity, so that a critical mass of trainers can be formed under this activity (i.e., training of trainers).
To interact with potential users of nowcasting in order to develop new tools to their activities based on nowcasting products from measurements, remote sensors, models and blending techniques available over the region.
Invited Instructors
Paul Joe ‐ Environment CanadaRita Roberts – NCAR, USAJames Wilson – NCAR, USAIsztar Zawadzki – McGill University, CanadaCarlos Morales ‐ University of Sao Paulo, BrazilEstelle de Coning ‐ South African Weather ServiceJosé García‐Moya Zapata ‐ AEM‐ SpainSteven Goodman ‐ NASA, NOAAJenny Sun – NCAR ‐ USA
Argentine Instructors:Celeste Saulo – UBA/CIMAPaola Salio – UBA/CIMAJuan Ruiz ‐ UBA/CIMAClaudia Campetella – SMN /UBA
Week 1 ‐ Basic ObservationsMonday 5 AugustIntroductions, Forecast Challenges in S. America (Campetella, Saulo)Radar Basics & Interpretation. (Wilson, Roberts)Storm Detection & Extrapolation Techniques. (Roberts)Sounding Review & Analysis. (COMET module)Lab 1: Storm Extrapolation. Lab 2: Stability and Storms. (Wilson, Roberts)
Tuesday 6 AugustPolarimetric Radar (Zawadzki, Wilson)atellite Basics. (de Coning, Teleconf)Satellite Applications & NOAA Products.(Goodman, Teleconf)
Wednesday 7 AugustPart I: Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE). (Zawadzki)Lab: QPE. (Zawadzki, Salio)Lab: Satellite/NWP Instability Nowcasting. (Joe, de Coning Teleconf) Argentina Radars (INVAP)
Thursday 8 AugustSevere Weather Detection (Joe)Lab: Case study combining polarimetric radar (Zawadzki, Mezher)Lightning Detection & Applications (Morales)Lab: Lightning Applications & severe weather (Morales)
Friday 9 AugustPart II: QPE Techniques (Zawadzki, Wilson) MCS and severe weather in SESA (Salio) CARDS System (Joe)Lab: Argentina Severe Wx Case using CARDS (Joe, Campetella)
Classes started at 9:00 and end at 17:30. 1 hour lunch break
Week 2 ‐ Nowcasting Concepts, Applications and SystemsMonday 12 AugustScience of Nowcasting. (Wilson)Lab: Nowcasting Thunderstorms, Case I. (Wilson, Roberts)Lab: Severe Weather case (Hail, gustfronts, tornadoes, bow echoes) & algorithms (Joe)Part I: NWP Mesoscale Models & Assimilation. (Ruiz, Saulo)
Tuesday 13 AugustNowcast Process & Conceptual Models. (Wilson) Lab: Nowcasting Thunderstorms, Case II. (Wilson, Roberts)Part II: NWP Models, Data Assimilation, & Applications (Jenny Sun via video conf)Blended Nowcast Systems. (Wilson, Zawadzki)
Wednesday 14 AugustDeveloping a Heuristic Nowcast System. (Roberts) Nowcasting Using Heuristic Rules (Wilson, Roberts)
Thursday 15 AugustNowcasting for heavy rainfall over complex terrain (Wilson, Roberts, Joe)Ensemble and probabilistic forecasting. (Saulo & Ruiz)Scale dependence of nowcasting skill by Lagrangian persistence and by NWP. (Zawadzki) Hi‐res Ensemble Prediction system at AEMET. (García‐Moya Zapata)
Friday 16 AugustForecast Verification. (Saulo & Ruiz)Lab: Forecast verification. (Saulo & Ruiz) Building & designing nowcasting capabilities in S. America. (all) Workshop wrap‐up & closing.
Participants
The organizing committee considered a maximum number of 40 participants.Applicant were selected considering the CV
More than 60 applications from many countries of RAIII and RAIV were received.
Institutions in T‐NOTEWeather ServicesDirección Meteorológica de ChileDirección Nacional de Meteorología UruguayInstituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología (INAMEH) – VenezuelaServicio Meteorológico Nacional – Argentina
Universities & Research InstitutionsUniversidad de la República /LATU – UruguayUniversidade Federal de Alagoas – BrazilUniversity of Sao Paulo – BrazilCentro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera – Argentina
Other OrganismDSA/CPTEC/INPE ‐research and operations – BrazilSIMEPAR – BrazilCorporación Peruana de Aeropuertos y Aviación Comercial (CORPAC S.A.) – PeruInstituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA) – ArgentinaArgentine Air ForceArgentine NavyDirección de Agricultura y Contingencias Climáticas – ArgentinaDefensa Civil ‐ Ciudad de Buenos Aires – ArgentinaCONAE (Comisión Nacional de Actividades Espaciales) – ArgentinaCOMISIÓN NACIONAL DEL AGUA – ArgentinaAdministración Provincial del Agua – Chaco – Argentina
Most relevant conclusions of the Workshop
This two weeks course was an incredible experience for all the participants and also for the local trainers. The proposed objectives were covered and also many others topics were discussed (e.g., the radar data quality and the way to correct the basis data).
Participants have demonstrated the interest in promoting nowcasting in their own institutions and also was evident the need to work in an inter‐institutional and regional framework.
South America has few experience in radar meteorology and in consequence no much experience in nowcasting techniques, therefore this course propose a start point for the development of inter‐institutional and regional framework.
The Workshop participants, including members from different institutions and countries in South America, together with the Training Expert Team arrived to a series of conclusions after extensive discussions during the two‐week Workshop.
Conclusion from the Training Workshop on Nowcasting Techniques, T‐NOTE, 5‐16 August 2013.
The Workshop participants, including members from different institutions and countries in South America, together with the Training Expert Team arrived to a series of conclusions after extensive discussions during the two‐week Workshop. This is a brief summary of these conclusions.
Recommendations were presented to different NMS in the region.
‐ Regarding radar band
‐ Regarding RADAR INFORMATION
‐ Regarding RESEARCH and related ACTIVITIES underpinning the development of a nowcasting system
T‐NOTE legacy in Argentina
Radar network in Argentina, Paraguay and Southern Brazil
Proposed by 2018
WHAT HAVE WE AND WHAT HAVEN’T WE???
HPC
T‐NOTE legacy in Argentina
Products Forecaster interpretation
ForecastModels
Tracking algorithm
Satelite and radar
informationConceptual Models
Surface and upper air
information
NowcastNowcast
Information
WHAT HAVE WE AND WHAT HAVEN’T WE???
• Nothing available• In progress• Few development in progress HPC
T‐NOTE legacy in Argentina
Products Forecaster interpretation
ForecastModels
Tracking algorithm
Satelite and radar
informationConceptual Models
Surface and upper air
information
NowcastNowcast
Information
Radar network in Argentina and ALERT.AR
Considering this context and the investment on technology……….an investment on Nowcasting tools to forecast community
ALERT.AR was announced on October 14, 2013 and the contract between NMS, CONICET and INTA will be signed soon.
NowcastingTools
Radar Data Quality
Operational numerical modeling system
including radar data
assimilation
Generation a hazard weather testbed
RELAMPAGO:Experimental phase to test all components of the system on IOPs and
dense network
ALERT.AR
T‐NOTE legacy in Argentina