türk ekonomi bankası a.Ş...metal consumer 8% 20% tourism 7% mining 2% misc. services 5%...
TRANSCRIPT
Türk Ekonomi Bankası A.Ş.
Earnings Presentation
June 30, 2010
2
BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTURE2010 so far
It has been a trade off between growth and profitability for the banking sector.
TEB managed to set a balance between the two, achieving a loan growth that is up to the sector average and profitability that is 16% higher on a q-on-q basis despite the shrinking margins.
Improvement in the asset quality proved to be sustainable. Although part of the decline in the NPL ratio is due to the sales & write-offs as well as the loan growth, the cost of risk has been decreasing since the beginning of the year and it is down to 90bps as of June 30, 2010.
Limited exposure to marketable securities decreased the volatility in the earnings and it was a blessing this time around limiting our NIM contraction to 20bps on a q-on-q basis.
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTURETEB Consolidated Balance Sheet
Consolidated Balance Sheet
TRY Million Share Change Share Change
Assets Liabilities
Cash & banks 13% 2,371 2,940 -19.4% Deposits 59% 10,758 10,363 3.8%
M.sec + repos 14% 2,613 2,716 -3.8% Repos 2% 333 1,072 -68.9%
Loans + Trade rec. 68% 12,221 10,647 14.8% Funds Borrowed 19% 3,487 2,461 41.7%
Other Assets 4% 720 553 30.2% Other Liab. 6% 1,136 826 37.5%
Non- IE Assets 1% 171 182 -6.0% Total Liabilities 87% 15,714 14,722 6.7%
Total Assets 100% 18,096 17,038 6.2%Subordinated Loans 3% 469 483 -2.9%
Sh. Equity
Capital & Res. 10% 1,806 1,565 15.4%
Income 1% 107 268 n.m.
Total Sh. Equity 11% 1,913 1,833 4.4%
Total Liab + Equity 100% 18,096 17,038 6.2%
Reviewed Audited Reviewed Audited30.06.2010 31.12.2009 30.06.2010 31.12.2009
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTURETEB Consolidated Income Statement (q-on-q)
Consolidated Quarterly Income Statement
TRY Million 30.06.10 31.03.10 Change
Net Interest Income 204.4 221.1 -8%Marketable Securities Revaluation Differences 7.9 -14.1 -156%Adjusted Net Interest Income 212.3 207.1 3%
FX Gains / (Losses) 87.2 54.2 61%
Derivatives Trading -97.0 -63.8 52%Securities Trading Income 6.7 13.7 -51%Net Fees & Commissions Income 74.0 73.6 0%Other Operating Income 15.1 13.3 14%Net Banking Income 298.1 298.0 0.0%
Loan Loss Provisions -24.2 -44.1 -45%Net Operating Income 273.9 253.9 8%
Operating Expenses -201.2 -194.5 3%Provision for Taxes on Income -15.1 -9.6 57%
Net Income / (Loss) 57.6 49.8 16%
Reviewed Reviewed
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREEvolution of NIM and Cost/Income Ratio
Net Interest Margin: (Net interest income+Net FX gains/losses+Derivative Gains)/ (Avg. Liquid Assets+Marketable Securities+Credits) (Bank-only)
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-only and Consolidated Financials
Net Interest Margin Cost/Income Ratio
Cost/Income : Operating Expenses / Net Banking Income (Cumulative & consolidated)
6.60%6.38%
5.20%
6.35%
4.98%
6.03%6.32% 6.23% 6.23%
5.27%
5.82%
6.79%
6.39%
6.54%
6.31%5.90%
4.79%
2008/1Q
2008 /2Q
2008 /3Q
2008/4Q
2009/1Q
2009 /2Q
2009 /3Q
2009 /4Q
2010 /1Q
2010/2Q
Net Interest Margin (cumulative) Net Interest Margin (quarterly)
68.30%
57.90%
61.05%
66.38%
2008 2009/1H 2009 2010/1H
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREBreakdown of Fees and Commissions Income
(*) Cash Loans are classified under Net Interest Income
Non Cash Loans13%
Other21%
Import Letters of Credits
2%
Inquiry and Company Searches
5%
EFT, Swift and Agency
2%
Credit Card30%
Asset Under Management
11%
Insurance3%
Cash Loans (*)13%
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Cash Loans (*)14%
Non Cash Loans14%
Insurance5%
Other22%
Asset Under Management
10%
Import Letters of Credits
1%
Inquiry and Company Searches
8%
EFT, Swift and Agency
2%
Credit Card24%
Q2 09 Q2 10
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREQuarterly Growth in TEB vs. Banking Sector
Source: BRSA, TEB Bank-Only BRSA Financials
Loan Growth
11.2%
7.8%6.5%
1.6%0.0%
2.0%4.8%
6.2%
9.1%
14.0%
7.7%
-8.3% -9.1%
-4.0%
10.3% 10.6%7.9%
-0.3%
6.9%8.3%
Q1 - 2008 Q2 - 2008 Q3 - 2008 Q4 - 2008 Q1 - 2009 Q2 - 2009 Q3 - 2009 Q4 - 2009 Q1 - 2010 Q2 - 2010
Deposit Growth
8.0%5.4% 3.4%
7.9%
2.0% 1.0%4.1%
6.8%4.2% 5.7%
24.2%
-14.0%
8.0%-2.9%
8.1%
1.3%3.2%3.0%-0.7%
4.2%
Q1 - 2008 Q2 - 2008 Q3 - 2008 Q4 - 2008 Q1 - 2009 Q2 - 2009 Q3 - 2009 Q4 - 2009 Q1 - 2010 Q2 - 2010
SectorTEB
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREStructure of Loans
Loans - Currency Mix
69% 76% 74% 78% 76% 77%
31% 24% 26% 22% 24% 23%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/1Q 2010/2Q
TL FC
Retail Loans
6% 7%
20% 18% 17%
33% 42% 41%43%33%
16% 10%7%
35%34%30%28%26%
29%24%
2007 2008 2009 2010/1Q 2010/1H
Housing Auto Consumer Credit Card
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Loans (TRY Million)
2,939
4,886
6,864
8,5059,675
8,991
10,4732.37% 2.31% 2.38%2.27%
1.92%
2.39%2.22%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/1Q 2010/2Q
Volume Market share
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREBreakdown of Loans by LoB
Source: BRSA, TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Million TRY ∆ Volume
Corporate 2,350.35 23.1% 2,187.70 25.3% 7.4%
Commercial 4,041.03 39.7% 3,464.19 40.0% 16.7%
Big Commercial 2,008.95 19.7% 1,777.61 20.5% 13.0%Medium Comm. 2,032.08 19.9% 1,686.58 19.5% 20.5%
Small Business 1,504.10 14.8% 1,184.90 13.7% 26.9%
Retail 2,266.83 22.3% 1,806.16 20.8% 25.5%
Private 25.11 0.2% 21.02 0.2% 19.5%
2009 YE2010/2Q
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTURE
Other14%
Metal8%Consumer
20%
Tourism7%
Mining2%Misc. Services
5%
Wholesale/Retail4%
Food, Beverage & Tobacco
9%
Construction8%
Textile8%
Elect. & optical appliance2%
Machinery3%
Agriculture3%
Transportation Veh.2%
Chemicals5%
Bank-Only Loan Portfolio
Loan Portfolio by Industry 30.06.2010
Source: TEB, BRSA Bank-Only Financials
11
BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTURENon Performing Loans
Non-Performing Loans as a % of Total Loans
Source: BRSA statistics and BRSA Bank-Only Financials
2.3%3.7%
4.6% 4.9% 4.7% 4.1%3.1%
4.4%
0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6%
3.8%2.5% 2.1%
1.3%0.9% 1.1% 0.9%1.8%
4.8%5.2%
5.2%4.7%
3.5%4.3%
2.2% 2.4%
7.2%
10.7%11.5%
6.0%
11.5%
16.5%
27.2%
4.9%3.7% 3.6%
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Q120
092Q
2009
3Q20
094Q
2010
1Q20
102Q
TEB Sector Average
Coverage ratio: %53.68
12
BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREImprovement in the Asset Quality
Cost of Risk (quarterly)
1.95%
2.41%
1.80%
0.90%
2.42%
1.35%
1.91%
1.98%
2008/3Q 2008/4Q 2009/1Q 2009/2Q 2009/3Q 2009/4Q 2010/1Q 2010/2Q
Cost of Risk : loan loss provisions/ average loans for the period (bank-only)Source: BRSA statistics and TEB, BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Net NPL inflows (Quarterly)TL Million
11987 98 94
53 50
-27 -30 -42 -42 -39 -42
-31 -40
-75
NPL inflows
Collections
Sales
Q1 0992
Q2 0957
Q3 0956
Q4 0921
Q1 10-26 -67
Q2 10
4.9%4.4%
5.9%5.4%
3.1%
4.1%4.4%
4.2%
1Q10 2Q10
TEB TEB w/no NPL Sales Sector Sector w/no NPL Sales
13
BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREBreakdown of Deposits by LoB
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Million TRY ∆ Volume
Corporate 2,551.02 26.3% 1,964.91 20.9% 29.8%
Commercial 1,617.25 16.6% 1,536.00 16.3% 5.3%
Big Commercial 985.50 10.1% 837.24 8.9% 17.7%Medium Comm. 631.75 6.5% 698.76 7.4% -9.6%
Small Business 891.21 9.2% 821.16 8.7% 8.5%
Retail 3,379.34 34.8% 3,504.79 37.3% -3.6%
Private 1,278.42 13.2% 1,567.87 16.7% -18.5%
2009 YE2010/2Q
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREStructure of Deposits
Deposits - Currency Mix
44% 51% 60% 62% 60% 60%
56% 49% 40% 38% 40% 40%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/1Q 2010/2Q
TL FC
Deposits - Time/Demand Mix
19% 20% 15% 22% 21% 23%
81% 80% 85% 78% 79% 77%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/1Q 2010/2Q
Demand Time
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Deposits (TRY million)
3,242
5,400
7,083
9,2729,359
9,422
9,755
1.29%
1.66%
1.92%2.04%
1.77%1.69% 1.77%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/1Q 2010/2Q
Volume Market share
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREMarketable Securities
Source: BRSA, TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Total
Fixed 65%
Floating35%
Total
TL94%
FC6%
TRY
Fixed 62%
Floating38%
AFS74%
HTM17%
Trading9%
16
BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTURECapital Increases and CAR
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-only and Consolidated Financials
Year 2005 2006 06/2007 11/2007 2008 2009
Bonus Issue - - 23,500 445,000 - -% - - 30.71% 445% - -
Rights Issue - 18,700 - 210,000 345,000 -% - 32.35% - 210% 45.69% -
Previous Paid-in Capital 57,800 57,800 76,500 100,000 755,000 1,100,00.00
Current Paid-in Capital 57,800 76,500 100,000 755,000 1,100,00.00 1,100,00.00
Capital Increases(Thousand TL)
CAR
12.58%13.99%
17.17% 17.53% 16.95%
15.45%14.75%
18.80%17.70%
16.31%15.42%
13.17%
16.47%
18.07%14.87%14.07%
15.38%
17.65%18.50%
19.48%
2008/1Q 2008/2Q 2008/3Q 2008/4Q 2009/1Q 2009/2Q 2009/3Q 2009/4Q 2010/1Q 2010/2Q
Consolidated Bank-Only
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTURE
Business Lines- Corporate Banking
• Contribution to results (as of 2010 1H):• 23.1 % of loans • 28.2 % of deposits • 13.1 % of customer contribution
Cross-sell ratio : 5.50xNPL ratio : 0.92 %
Corporate Loans (TRY Million)
989
1536 1642
2135 20922350
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/1H
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Spreads of Corporate Loans
1.77 1.77 1.832.27
5.154.34
3.482.75
1.42 1.37 1.37 1.652.66 2.3 2.33 2.4
1.39 1.30
2.02 1.82
2008/1
Q20
08/1H
2008/3
Q20
08/4Q
2009/1
Q20
09/1H
2009/9
M20
09/YE
2010/1
Q20
10/1H
TL FC
18
BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREBusiness Lines- Commercial Banking
• Contribution to results (as of 2010 1H) : • 39.7 % of loans • 14.7 % of deposits • 36.5 % of customer contribution(14.0% + 22.5%)
Cross-sell ratio : 6.16x and 6.12xNPL ratio : 3.77 % and 4.46%
Commercial Loans (TRY Million)
975
501
1410
925
1621 16181681 17621778 1687
2009 2032
Big Commercial (10-100 mio$) ME (2-10 mio $)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/1H
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Spreads of Commercial Loans
7.55 7.16 6.77 6.92
10.619.67
8.577.60
2.66 2.56 2.48 2.734.72 4.19 3.80 3.65
2.31 2.04
4.03 3.53
2008
/1Q20
08/1H
2008
/3Q20
08/4Q
2009
/1Q20
09/1H
2009
/9M20
09/YE
2010
/1Q20
10/1H
TL FC
19
BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREBusiness Lines- Small Business
• Contribution to results (as of 2010 1H):• 14.8 % of loans • 9.2 % of deposits • 27.1% of customer contribution
Cross-sell ratio : 3.73xNPL ratio : 4.65 %
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Small Business Loans (TRY Million)
35
313
867
10571185
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/1H
Spreads of Small Business Loans
10.23 9.97 9.32 9.2
12.64 12.29 11.93 11.53
8.75
0.82 0.77 0.64 0.63
4.88 4.63 4.53 4.59
8.274.83
5.07
2008
/1Q20
08/1H
2008
/3Q20
08/4Q
2009
/1Q20
09/1H
2009
/9M20
09/YE
2010
/1Q20
10/1H
TL FC
20
BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREBusiness Lines- Retail Banking
• Contribution to results (as of 2010 1H):• 22.3 % of loans • 34.8 % of deposits • 21.3 % of customer contribution
Cross-sell ratio : 3.77xNPL ratio : 1.24 %
CC: Credit card loans
FC loans are negligable in amount
Retail Loans (TRY Million)
386
679
1143
1474
18061986
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/1Q
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
Spreads of Retail Loans
4.77 4.64 4.41 4.57
6.525.75 5.99 5.83
4.46 4.25
2.55 2.40 2.25 2.26
4.08 3.59 3.89 3.93 3.90 3.58
2008
/1Q20
08/1H
2008
/3Q20
08/4Q
2009
/1Q20
09/1H
2009
/9M20
09/YE
2010
/1Q20
10/1H
Retail incl. CC Retail
21
BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREPrivate Banking
• Contribution to results (as of 20101H):• 0.2 % of loans • 13.2 % of deposits • 2.0 % of customer contribution
Cross-sell ratio : 4.17xNPL ratio : -
Private Banking Assets (Billion US$)
0.7
1.3
1.81.6
1.41.2 1.1
2007 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010/1Q 2010/2Q
Source: TEB BRSA Bank-Only Financials
22
BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTUREContact Details
Investor Relations+90 212 2512121http://www.teb.com.tr
Çiğdem Başaran (ext. 1532)[email protected]
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BNP PARIBAS JOINT VENTURE
Disclaimer
The information and opinions obtained in this document have been compiled or arrived at by TEB from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty is made as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. All opinions and estimates contained in this document constitute TEB’s judgement as of the date of this document and are subject to change without notice. This document is published for the assistance of the recipients, but is not to be relied upon as authoritative or taken in subtitution for the exercise of judgement by any recipient. TEB does not accept any liability for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or its contents. This document is strictly confidential and may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose.