truth about plutonium and hanford (michael fox)

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21st Century Science & Technology Winter 2010/2011 31 O n July 10, 2010, the New York Times published another article about the Hanford nuclear site in East- ern Washington, this one by veteran re- porter Matthew Wald. (http://tinyurl. com/2azj5kz). It requires some correc- tive comments. During World War II, Hanford was chosen by the Army Corps of Engineers to be one of the sites in what was then called the Manhattan Project. Hanford produced the majority of the nation’s in- ventory of plutonium, including that in the bomb dropped on Nagasaki. Having many decades of experience working at Hanford, including working with plutonium and managing a plutoni- um laboratory, it gets wearisome to read such superficial, inadequate, and mis- leading articles. Given this specialized background, I feel an obligation to comment on the ar- ticle by Times reporter Wald, the report he reports on, the authors of the report,* and some of the references listed in the report. My objections include the huge lack of context, exaggerations, omissions of fact, omissions of key research find- ings regarding health effects of plutoni- um, omissions regarding interesting as- pects of the Hanford environment, inadequate literature sourcing, and omis- sion of comments on other materials such as americium. Let’s start with the headline: “Analysis Triples U.S. Plutonium Waste Figures.” Nowhere in his article does the reporter provide the relative magnitudes of the before and after values. Therefore, the reader cannot assess for himself the amounts of plutonium involved. Three times a small number is still a small num- ber, for example. As written, therefore, the headline is irrelevant and meaning- less. But in the universe of problems with this Times article and the report it is based on, the lack of information on “Plutoni- um Waste Figures” only hints at what lies ahead in terms of other irrelevancies. The apparent purpose of the paper and the Times article is to create another im- age of looming doom related to the Han- ford clean-up mission. Such stories of im- pending doom from Hanford have been frequent fare from Hanford critics for more than two decades, and all of them suffer from the same litany of exaggerat- ed fears. Central to the scare stories are the two familiar concepts—“deadly” plu- tonium and 24,000-year half-life.These have been common bugaboos since the 1970s, when the antinuclear forces and their friends in the media yapped in concert like Pavlovian dogs. The scare stories haven’t changed for nearly 40 years, yet during this time thousands of workers operated quite safely with plu- tonium, because we happen to know a lot about it and how to work safely with it. When one is managing a plutonium lab, with dozens of workers, personal safety of friends and colleagues was al- ways of utmost importance and a no- nonsense part of everyday life. That safe- ty effort paid off, in terms of establishing an excellent health and safety record. Obviously, we worked hard and careful- ly with safety training, laboratory con- duct, practices, and habits. Gee-Whizzy Half-Lives Now for that big number: One is re- minded of children discovering a gee- whizzy new word or big number for the first time. “Hey, Dad, want me to count to 100?” With regard to that frightening 24,000-year half-life, the term half-life is commonly applied to all known radioac- tive materials, and is not scary for anyone Let’s Tell the Truth About Plutonium and Hanford by Michael R. Fox, Ph.D. Savannah River Site/DOE A processed “button” of plutonium. NUCLEAR REPORT

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Page 1: Truth About Plutonium and Hanford (Michael Fox)

21st Century Science & Technology Winter2010/2011 31

On July 10, 2010, the New York Times published another article

abouttheHanfordnuclearsiteinEast-ernWashington,thisonebyveteranre-porter Matthew Wald. (http://tinyurl.com/2azj5kz). It requires some correc-tivecomments.

During World War II, Hanford waschosenbytheArmyCorpsofEngineerstobeoneof thesites inwhatwasthencalled the Manhattan Project. Hanfordproducedthemajorityofthenation’sin-ventoryof plutonium, including that inthebombdroppedonNagasaki.

Having many decades of experienceworking at Hanford, including workingwithplutoniumandmanagingaplutoni-umlaboratory,itgetswearisometoreadsuch superficial, inadequate, and mis-leadingarticles.

Given this specialized background, Ifeelanobligationtocommentonthear-ticlebyTimesreporterWald,thereporthereportson,theauthorsofthereport,*

andsomeofthereferenceslistedinthereport.Myobjections include thehugelackofcontext,exaggerations,omissionsof fact, omissions of key research find-ings regardinghealtheffectsofplutoni-um, omissions regarding interesting as-pects of the Hanford environment,inadequateliteraturesourcing,andomis-sion of comments on other materialssuchasamericium.

Let’sstartwiththeheadline:“AnalysisTriples U.S. Plutonium Waste Figures.”Nowhereinhisarticledoesthereporterprovide the relative magnitudes of thebefore and after values. Therefore, thereader cannot assess for himself theamounts of plutonium involved. Threetimesasmallnumberisstillasmallnum-ber, for example.As written, therefore,theheadline is irrelevantandmeaning-less.

But in theuniverseofproblemswiththisTimesarticleandthereportitisbasedon,thelackofinformationon“Plutoni-

umWasteFigures”onlyhintsatwhatliesaheadintermsofotherirrelevancies.

TheapparentpurposeofthepaperandtheTimesarticleistocreateanotherim-ageofloomingdoomrelatedtotheHan-fordclean-upmission.Suchstoriesofim-pendingdoomfromHanfordhavebeenfrequent fare from Hanford critics formorethantwodecades,andallofthemsufferfromthesamelitanyofexaggerat-edfears.

Central to the scare stories are thetwo familiar concepts—“deadly” plu-toniumand24,000-yearhalf-life.Thesehave been common bugaboos sincethe1970s,whentheantinuclearforcesandtheirfriendsinthemediayappedinconcert like Pavlovian dogs.The scarestories haven’t changed for nearly 40years,yetduringthistimethousandsofworkersoperatedquitesafelywithplu-tonium,becausewehappentoknowalotaboutitandhowtoworksafelywithit.

When one is managing a plutoniumlab, with dozens of workers, personalsafetyof friendsandcolleagueswasal-ways of utmost importance and a no-nonsensepartofeverydaylife.Thatsafe-tyeffortpaidoff,intermsofestablishingan excellent health and safety record.Obviously,weworkedhardandcareful-ly with safety training, laboratory con-duct,practices,andhabits.

Gee-Whizzy Half-LivesNow for thatbignumber:One is re-

minded of children discovering a gee-whizzynewwordorbignumberforthefirsttime.“Hey,Dad,wantmetocountto100?”Withregardtothatfrightening24,000-yearhalf-life,thetermhalf-lifeiscommonlyappliedtoallknownradioac-tivematerials,andisnotscaryforanyone

Let’s Tell the Truth About Plutonium and HanfordbyMichaelR.Fox,Ph.D.

Savannah River Site/DOE

Aprocessed“button”ofplutonium.

NUCLEARREPORT

Page 2: Truth About Plutonium and Hanford (Michael Fox)

32 Winter2010/2011 21st Century Science & Technology

who has taken course work in radio-chemistry.

Norintheuniverseofradioactivesub-stances is the 24,000-year number un-usualforahalf-life.Forexample,potas-sium-40 is radioactive and along withtwo other non-radioactive forms of po-tassium, is measurably present in allforms of life—including humans, thisauthor, the report authors, and theTimesreporter. Ithasahalf-lifeof1.4billionyears.Itisthereinlivingtissueandquitemeasurablewithtoday’sde-tectors.

Radioactive thorium exists in all soilsamples around the world, and has ahalf-lifeofabout14billionyears.Carry-ingthehalf-lifediscussiontoitsobviousabsurd ending, elements such as lead,mercury,andarsenic,asstableelementsmaybedescribedashavinghalf-livesofeternityinlength.

Whenonecheckswith the“ChartoftheNuclides,”therearemorethan3,000knownnuclides,andallbutabout250areradioactive.Manyofthemformanddecay in trillionthsofa secondor less,anddonotoccurinabundancenaturally.Butwestillknowalotaboutthem.Oth-ers,asnotedabove,havehalflivesofbil-lionsofyears.

Onelong-liveduraniumnuclidehasahalf-life of about 4.5 billion years, theageoftheEarth.Uranium,whichcanbefound in all soil samples in the world,wasdiscoveredin1896byAntoineBec-querelofFrance. Ithasbeen114years

sincethatdiscoveryofnaturalradioactiv-ity, yet I’d dare estimate that even as apartofournaturalenvironment,99per-centofthepubliccannotgivea5-minutediscussiononthesubject.Sameforabout100percentofthemedia.

Aftermorethanacenturyofsuchpub-licignoranceregardingournaturalenvi-ronment, it’swaypast the time thatwelearn.Thisisbutapartofthehugecon-

textmissing fromthesediscussionsandarticles.

Natural Radioactivity and RiskThediscoveryofnaturalradioactivity

turnedtheworldofphysicsupsidedownforthenext60years,andwasandstillisamajorfactorinthehistoryof20thCen-turyphysics.Thereismuchmoretothissubject than merely plutonium and its24,000-year half-life. This world ofphysics is essentially unknown to theAmericanpublicand to theuncuriousmedia.

TheHanfordReservationisoneofthemostheavilymonitoredtractsoflandintheworld,and ithasbeen reportedonannuallyforabout40years.Theseannu-alreportsareintheopenliterature,andavailable to all. (See for example Han-ford Site 2008 Environmental Report,h t tp : / /hanford-site.pnl.gov/envreport/)Notsurprisingly,thesereportsarerarelydiscussedbyeithertheanti-Hanfordcrit-icsorbyanyofthemedia.

Thesereportsarephenomenalinbothscopeanddepthofdetails.Thedistribu-tionlistfortheseannualreportsishuge,going to state and Federal agenciesacrossthenation.ThereportsalsohelpexplainwhyHanford isnota threat topublic health, because the radiationdosesarefartoosmall—oftenlessthan

DOE

TheFReactorplutoniumproductioncomplexatHanford.Theboxybuildingbetweenthetwowatertowersontherightistheplutoniumproductionreactor;thelongbuild-inginthecenterofthephotographisthewatertreatmentplant

DOE

Thecanyondeckofthe820-foot-long221-BplutoniumprocessingplantatHanford,whichproducedweaponsplutoniumduringWorldWarII.

NUCLEARREPORT

Page 3: Truth About Plutonium and Hanford (Michael Fox)

21st Century Science & Technology Winter2010/2011 33

thedosesreceivedfromnaturalradioac-tivity.

Basedupontheseenvironmentalmon-itoringprograms,relevantepidemiologyprograms, dosimetry measuring andmonitoringprograms,etc.,forbothwork-ersandsurroundingpopulations,thera-dioactive health threats from Hanfordoperations are so extremely small thatthey are statistically indistinguishablefromzero.

SincethehealththreatsfromtheHan-fordoperationsaresosmall,ahugeethi-cal problem arises out of risk manage-ment considerations. As of July 2009,WashingtonStatehad6,664,195people.Theaveragemortality ratewas725per100,000,oratotalof48,285funeralsin2008. Nearly 22 percent (10,622) ofthesewerefromheartdiseaseandabout20 percent (9,657) of these were fromcancer. Suppose we were concernedaboutreducingthecancermortalityratesfortheStateofWashington,withafixedbudgettodoso.Howwouldweallocatesuchresources?

Common sense would dictate usingsuch allocations where the mortalityrateswerewellaboveexpectedvalues.These locationsdoexist inWashingtonState,butsuchlocationsdonotincludeHanford.Giventhatthecancerexcessesoccurelsewhereinthestate,whatfrac-tionofthatfixedbudgetshouldbedirect-ed at reducing cancer at Hanford?Theanswer,iffairnessapplied,wouldbelit-tleornone.

However, the Hanford clean-up pro-gram (portrayed as a huge safety pro-

gram)iscostingtaxpayersabout$2bil-lionperyear,withestimatesapproaching$100billionbeforeit’sdone.Nomatterhowmuchmoney is spentonHanfordcleanupefforts,adecline in thecancerrateswillneverbe shown,because theHanford cancer rates are quite normalnow.Intermsofbasicprinciplesofriskmanagement, theHanfordcleanup isatragicwasteoftaxpayerresourcesintheallegedpursuitofpublicsafety.

Using the same fixed budget in thepursuit of public safety, hundreds, per-hapsthousandsofWashingtonStatelivescould be saved by spending these re-sourcesprotectingpeoplefrommeasur-ablymoreharmfulactivities.

‘Pure and Simple’ LiesTheTimesreporterquotedtheactivist

lawyerGerryPolletassaying“WhatisreasonablyforeseeableisthattherearepeoplewhowillbedrinkingthewaterinthegroundatHanfordatsomepointin thenext fewhundredsyears.We’regoing to be killing people, pure andsimple.”

Plutonium toxicity is most assuredlynotthat“pureandsimple.”Theactivistlawyerapparentlyisacaptiveinhisowndemon-haunted world, as Carl Saganmight have said. His well-rehearsedlineshavebeencommonlyheard fromhim and from the anti-Hanford move-ment foryears,withoutsupportiveevi-dence.

Hisstatementisnotsupportedbyen-vironmental and epidemiology studiesofplutonium.Hisstatementthat“Ithasbeen found to cause lung, liver, and

bone cancer in humans” is also refer-encedintheAlvarezreport,*toanotherpamphletwiththesamequote.Thepam-phletwaspublishedby theAgency forToxic Substances and Disease Registry(ATSDR).It,too,doesnotprovidethelit-erature source of the above statementaboutplutonium.

Sincethestatementisunreferenceditmust be considered hearsay, of whichthereisplentytochoosefrom.

InstrongcontrasttotheTimesarticle,there are many quantitative scientificanalysesofthe“MythofPlutoniumTox-icity,”suchasthatbyDr.BernardCohen,attheDepartmentofPhysicsattheUni-versityofPittsburgh. (See, forexample,http://russp.org/BLC-3.html.)

Some Plutonium RealitiesMyexperienceswithlaboratorystud-

iesofplutoniumshowthatitisspectac-ularlyinsolubleinwaterandmostothersolvents.Plutoniumpreferstoremaininthesolidstate,oftenboundtosoilsol-ids; thus any study of the transport ofplutonium through underground soilformationsbegsgreatanddetailedscru-tiny.

Inmanycases,plutoniumalsoshouldnotbeconsideredlethalevenifitisin-gested.Atlowdosesofplutoniuminhu-mans,epidemiologystudiesshowthatitwasdifficulttofindobservableharm,letalone cancer, and let alone death.The

Library of Congress

Puttingradiationinperspective:The“MileHigh”cityofDenver,Coloradoin1898.Then,asnow,residentsofDenverreceivedmorenaturalbackgroundradiation(50millirem)thanU.S.citizenslivingatsealevel(26millirem).RadiationdosesattheHanfordsitearesmall,oftenlessthanthedosesreceivedfromnaturalradioactivity.

* The report, by professional anti-nuke Robert Alva-rez, has been accepted for publication in Science and Global Security, a journal published by Prince-ton University’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs.

NUCLEARREPORT

Page 4: Truth About Plutonium and Hanford (Michael Fox)

34 Winter2010/2011 21st Century Science & Technology

cited report made no mention of thesehuman epidemiology studies and thenegativeresults.

My friend and scientific colleagueRichardEmeryperformedastudyofoneof thepondsatHanfordwhichhad re-ceivedlowlevelsofplutonium(http://tinyurl.com/25odcag). It was describedas“oneofthemostcontaminatedbodiesof water” in the world.This may havebeenfactuallytrue,butwasmissingtheimportantcontext.

Acarefulreadingofhisresearchpapershowsamuchmoreinterestingdescrip-tionof thepond,whichhadphenome-nallylowlevelsofplutonium.Itactuallysupported a rich and diverse wildlifepopulation from the bass and bluegillfish in thewater, toanumberofbirds,and thepopulationofpredatorsofher-onsandcoyotes.

These animals were thriving becausetheplutoniumradiationdoseswereex-tremely low (in spite of the exaggera-tions).Emeryalsocalculatedthatifahu-manateonepoundofthefishfromthisU-pondeverydayfor70years,hewouldnot receive a significant dose of radia-tion—hardlycancerousorlethal.

Thepondandtherichwildlifepopula-tionshavenowbeendestroyed,thankstofear and science illiteracy and the mil-lionsofdollarsusedtodoso.Thisisoneof thepriceswepay for fear,exaggera-tion,andlotsofmoney.

Afternearly40years,theHanfordcrit-

icscontinuetorepeatthesameoldscarestories,andthemediacontinuetorepeatthe scares without fact checking, andcontinuetoignorealotofthescientificliterature. We have also learned thatthese“truebelievers,”inthewordsofau-thorChristopherBooker,exhibitakindofmoralisticself-righteousfanaticismjusti-fied by the supposed transcendent im-portanceoftheircause.

Foryears,thisfanaticismhasprevent-edanatmosphereofseriousdiscussion,letalonearationalapproachtotheriskmanagement of Hanford. In fact, thescare stories have made a mockery ofriskanalysesandriskmanagement,nottomention thewasteofbillionsof taxdollars thrown at Hanford cleanup inthepursuitofsmallorzerorisk.

Michael R. Fox, Ph.D., is a nuclear sci-entist and a science and energy re-source for Hawaii Reporter and a sci-ence analyst for the Grassroot Institute of Hawaii. Now retired, he has nearly 40 years experience in the energy field and he also taught chemistry and ener-gy at the university level. His interest in the communication of science has led to several communications awards, hundreds of speeches, and many ap-pearances on television and talk shows. He can be reached via email at [email protected].

A version of this article previously ap-peared in theHawaiiReporter.

DOE

TheHanfordsiteontheColumbiaRiver.“Afternearly40years,theHanfordcriticscontinuetorepeatthesameoldscarestories.”

NUCLEARREPORT

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