tstc 2006 sic
TRANSCRIPT
The Future… Now!
Michael BettersworthAssociate Vice Chancellor for Technology Adv., Texas State Technical College System
Jim BrazellPresident, VentureRAMP, Inc.
www.kurzweilai.net/.../ SIN_headshot_highres.html
“An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense ‘intuitive linear’ view. So we won't experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century -- it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today's rate)… because we're doubling the rate of progress every decade, we'll see a century of progress--at today's rate--in only 25 calendar years.”
Kurzweil, KurzweilAI.net, March 7, 2001.
The New Age
Changing Nature of Work
The Pain and the Pill
What’s the R.U.B.?
The Future… Now!
How would you describe the
age in which we now live?
What is this?
http://www-bsac.eecs.berkeley.edu/archive/users/warneke-brett/SmartDust/
Berkeley’s Golem Dust11.7 mm3 total circumscribed volume
~4.8 mm3 total displaced volume
Berkeley’s Deputy Dust6.6 mm3 total circumscribed
volume 4th Gen
11.7 mm3
6.6 mm3
MIT Technology Review,
January, 2005
4th
GEN
MIT Tech Review, 2005
Sensors
Physical
Chemical
Biologicalhttp://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/bbl/03102801.pdf , page 16
Actuators
Physical
Chemical
Biological
PhiloMetron™
4th
GEN
MIT Tech Review, 2005
This is a ROBOT
http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/bbl/03102801.pdf , page 16
Nanobionics
Tethered bacterium
Swimming bacteriumSwimming speed ~ 20-30 μmProtons flux/motor ~ 1200 proton/rev
Tethered bacteriumMotor efficiency ~ 90-100 %Output power ~ 2.9×10-4 pW
Stall torque ~ 4600 pN-nm
Nano-motor (45 nm wide)Genetic Engineering
Harmless E. coli
Mohamed Al-Fandi, Ph.D.Research Assistant Professor of NEMS & MEMSDept. of Mechanical Engineering & BiomechanicsUniversity of Texas
An artificial red cell – the respirocyte [41]. Designer Robert A. Freitas Jr. ©1999 Forrest
Bishop. http://www.imminst.org/freitas.html
“A half a liter of respirocytes… would allow a person to hold his breath at the bottom of a swimming pool for up to 4 hours…”
How would you describe the
age in which we now live?
Cybernetics is the discipline that studies and creates communication and control systems in living organisms and in the machines built by humans. Greek kybernetes(meaning steersman, governor, pilot, or rudder).
The New Age
Changing Nature of Work
The Pain and the Pill
What’s the R.U.B.?
The Future… Now!
How is this new age changing the nature of
work?
The number of jobs requiring technical training is growing at five times the rate of other occupations.Innovate America, U.S. Council on Competitiveness
Integrates sensors, batteries, a control chip, and an RF transmitter
in a 35mm-long housing.
Lab-in-a-Pill
http://www.olympus.co.jp/en/news/2004b/nr041130capsle.cfm
University of Glasgow
Capsule Endoscope
Changing the structure of work and the economics of health care.
21st century jobs are increasingly transdisciplinary--existing at the intersection of
multiple traditional industry and academic domains.
“In most industries you have electricians, mechanics and IT, in wind, you are expected to do everything. Turbine Techs earn $28-$40K a year…Many techs earning $40K -$80K a year with OT.”-- Bryan Gregory, Jr.
11.1.2006, TSTC West TX, Sweetwater
“Automotive Technicians earn $30K-$36K per year.”
“Every system on a car is monitored or controlled by a computer. Technicians have to be more analytical and process oriented.”
--Russell CarriganTSTC West TX, Sweetwater, 10.31.2006
Samuel Palmisano (CEO, IBM): Business Week: 10.11.2004
100 million jobs are going to be created in a lot of these
cross-disciplinary fields
Council on Competitiveness:National Innovation Initiative
Where is the sweet spot
today?
MechatronicsThe synergistic combination of mechanical engineering, electronics, control systems and computers.Mechanical, Aerospace, and Nuclear EngineeringDepartments at RPIAll Contents Copyright(C) 2001 Mechatronics Lab at RPI
http://www.toyota.com/prius/index.html?s_van=GM_TN_HYBRID_PRIUS
Energy-CHP
Utilities
A California study indicates that peak-rate usage can be shaved by 20 percent if utilities used Automated Meter Reading (ARM) for accurate pricing information--each megawatt of reduction can equate to $400,000 in savings per year (Jackson, 2004, p. 1) saving California utilities and consumers at least $5 billion a year.
http://www.utilitiesproject.com/documents.asp?grID=85&d_ID=2402
More than 25 million AMR units installed on gas (21 percent), water (11 percent), and electric utility (16 percent) meters.
200 million units yet to be changed out to AMR (Jackson, 2004).
Security and Process ControlSCADA $3.1 B (2004) to over $4 B (2007).
SCADA security software to grow by 50% annually through 2007 (Kuykendall, 2004).
RF Modules 1.9 MM units (2004) to climb to 165 MM units (2010) (Legg, 2004).
Industrial wireless sensors $24 MM (2001) over $100 MM (2008)(Donoho, 2002).
NovusEDGE
ArmidaDevicePoint
Construction
Patent thin-nickel-strip magneto-strictive sensor
(MsS™). Applicable to airplanes, ships, plants,
pipelines and bridges.
US 80 billion square feet of commercial and government facilities and buildings, and more than 100 billion square feet of dams and bridges (Sensametrics, 2003). One trillion dollar market (Elgamal).
http://www.swri.org/3pubs/ttoday/fall03/Future.htm
SwRI MsS™
http://www.swri.edu/3pubs/IRD2002/14-9285.htm
Home Technology
Implantable robots.
http://sfgate.com/c/pictures/2005/04/17/bu_geeks_012_db.jpg
Bottom Line: We need more of these…
Especially if I have to reboot my knee….
How is this new age changing the nature of
work?
Jobs Context
Texas Cluster Initiative -Workforce
60% of the jobs in the Texas biotechnology cluster require only an associates degree or certificate.
The reality is many of the Texas Cluster’s high-tech jobs are split between requirements for community and technical college degrees and 4-year degrees.
Skilled technical jobs are attainable and critically needed by industry. Dr. Mae Jemison,
Chair, Biotechnology Cluster
The New Age
Changing Nature of Work
The Pain and the Pill
What’s the R.U.B.?
The Future… Now!
Where is the pain and how can
engage industry and K-12 to create solutions quickly?
• International (TIMSS) test scores show U.S. 4th graders to be 12th in the world in math; 6th in the world in science
• International (TIMSS) test scores show U.S. 8th graders to be 14th in the world in math; 9th in the world in science
• International (PISA) test scores show U.S. 12th graders to be 24th in the world in math; 22nd in the world in scienceData from National Center for Education Statistics. In Mayo 2005, National Academies.(http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pisa/PISA2003Highlights.asp and http://nces.ed.gov/timss/Results03.asp)
National Center for Education Statistics, Mayo, 2005.
Data from National Center for Education Statistics . In Mayo 2005, National Academies.(http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pisa/PISA2003Highlights.asp and http://nces.ed.gov/timss/Results03.asp)
“The longer we stay in the educational system,
the worse off we are with respect to our
peers.”Source: Mayo, National Academies2005
Jobs Context
“The amount of private investment in post secondary education now exceeds the public investment. The lines have crossed.”
— Dr. Ray Perryman
L3 Communication Systems
Aviation Career Education (ACE)
Semester 1, 2, 3Eligibility for part-time employment at L3
Semester 4, 5Tuition paid for first three semesters
Part-time employment at L3Tuition paid directly by L3
Upon GraduationTwo-year employment contract with L3
“When you realize you’re going to get hired by a company like L-3 right out of school, it’s too good an opportunity to pass up.”
— Al Johnson, 19, Houston, 1st year student
Students
Education
Industry
WorkforceEco Dev
Informed Education ChoicesImproved Career RelevancePathways with IntentHigher Placement
Fulfilling the MissionCloser Industry AlignmentInformed Curriculum PlanningCompelling DataIncreased Enrollment
Informed Education InvestmentsImproved Workforce AnalysisTransparent Supply PipelineHigher Quality Workforce
How do we engage K-12?
--A. Gold, IC2 Institute, UT Austin
1.Students have professional aspirations, but lack knowledge about how to reach professional goals.
2.Opportunities to learn about and explore careers are not available at school or accessed by the majority of students.
3.Students lack knowledge about the context and content of careers.
The Next Step
- Career Exploration- Academic Planning- Pathways, not Tracks- Relevant Curriculum- Industry Sponsored- Career Intent
ITSA
SpaceTEAMS
spaceTEAMS Summer Academy
Gameboy Video Game BRAIN
Vision System
Lego Actuators and Building Blocks
MechatronicsThe synergistic combination of mechanical engineering, electronics, control systems and computers.Mechanical, Aerospace, and Nuclear EngineeringDepartments at RPIAll Contents Copyright(C) 2001 Mechatronics Lab at RPI
Elementary
spaceTEAMSSan Antonio,TX
Robot competition plus career and
academic exploration and history of
science and technology.
spaceTEAMSSan Antonio,TX
Middle School
US First-EISDAndrew SchuetzeSan Antonio,TX
High School
The New Age
Changing Nature of Work
The Pain and the Pill
What’s the R.U.B.?
The Future… Now!
“NobelistHerbert A. Simon has written that the availability of technologies to youth is its own instructor.”
Dr. George Kozmetsky
What is this?
TERAFLOP SUPER COMPUTER for $300!
10 years ago, the cost of a 2 Teraflop supercomputer was $100M.--Frietas, The Future of Computers
What is the average age of all video gamers in US?
Entertainment Software Association (ESA), 2005 Essential Facts About the Computer and Video Game Industry, May 18, 2005.
What percent female and
male?
55% and 43% of all games
Entertainment Software Association (ESA), 2005 Essential Facts About the Computer and Video Game Industry, May 18, 2005.
“It’s not true that women do not like to
hunt. They like to hunt in packs and
with a reason to kill.”--My Mom
What is this?
Improved Target Acquisition System Trainer
$7.5 million project that immerses students in the hectic environment of a hospital's intensive care unit and places them in a first-person role as a health-care professional. Funded by the U.S. Office of Naval Research, Pulse!! is being developed by Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, which in turn hired Hunt Valley (Md.)-based BreakAway to produce and design the platform. –Business Week
http://www.businessweek.com/innovate/content/apr2006/id20060410_051875.htm
Pulse!!
Case study: Emergency Response Training, Pjotr van Schothorst
VSTEP BV, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
USC ISI and Tactical Language Training
(ITSEC 2005)
NETC – 24 Blue
(ITSEC 2005)
What is this?
COPYRIGHT 2003-2005 CRITICAL MASS INTERACTIVE, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
USAF: AIR DOMINANCEACTION FLIGHT SIMULATOR
What is this?
©num
edeon, inc. 2006
©num
edeon, inc. 2004
Virtual Biotech company
Make viruses
Release into community
Join team to find vaccine
Reach 20,000 for awareness
Refer 1,000 for education
WHERE’S MY
VACCINE!
WhyPoxBiotech
©num
edeon, inc. 2004
Make airplanes
Do flight test
Manage supply chain
WHERE’S MY
AIRPLANE!!New Century
ManufacturingReach 20,000 for awareness
Refer 1,000 for education
What is this?
Math Engineering
TechScience
TEAMS
What are they learning?
What is this?
A robust program of research and experimentation is needed to enhancedevelopment of educational games by stimulating transfer of the art andtechnologies of video games to education and learning systems.
High development costs in an uncertain market for educational innovationsmake developing complex high-production learning games too risky for videogame and educational materials industries.
Educational institutions need to transform organizational systems andinstructional practices to take greater advantage of new technology, includingeducational games.
Outcome data from large-scale evaluations of educational games are needed to demonstrate that these technologies are equal to or offer comparative advantage vs. conventional IM.
We seek to advance the learning and career development of science, technology, engineering and mathematics domains (STEM) using a vanguard educational solution that combines real world simulation tools with video game technologies.
This is about much, much more t the MacArthur Foundation announced a $50MM
han fun and games. On 10.19.2006,fund for digital learning and games.
What is this?
Learning Machine
21st Century Teacher
Can you make the shift?
The New Age
Changing Nature of Work
The Pain and the Pill
What’s the R.U.B.?
The Future… Now!
www.kurzweilai.net/.../ SIN_headshot_highres.html
“An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense ‘intuitive linear’ view. So we won't experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century -- it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today's rate)… because we're doubling the rate of progress every decade, we'll see a century of progress--at today's rate--in only 25 calendar years.”
Kurzweil, KurzweilAI.net, March 7, 2001.
Adapted from Charles OstmanSenior Fellow
Institute for Global Futures
NEURO NANO
BIOINFO
21st Century Architecture
Adapted from Charles OstmanSenior Fellow
Institute for Global Futures
NEURO NANO
BIOINFO
Structural Integration
Industrial Age
Notion of INFO AGE
Historic –Economic –Social Shift
Cybernetic Age