tsunami simulations after the mw7.5 78km n of … of remote sensing and geoinformatics for disaster...
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LABORATORYOFREMOTESENSINGANDGEOINFORMATICSFORDISASTERMANAGEMENT
Tsunami Simulations after the Mw7.5 78km N of Palu, Indonesia
September 28, 2018
Luisa Urra, Erick Mas, Luis Moya, Shunichi Koshimura
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY
Summary of Cases Modeled• Uniform Slip Model (USM)– Case 0 (LxW:120x20km, H:5km, Sk:349, Dp:86, Sp:-17, Slip:3.1, Lat:-0.89, Lon:119.75)– Case 1 (LxW:100x20km, H:5km, Sk:347, Dp:86, Sp:-17, Slip:3.7, Lat:-0.89, Lon:119.85)– Case 2 (LxW:100x20km, H:1km, Sk:347, Dp:86, Sp:-17, Slip:3.7, Lat:-0.89, Lon:119.75)
• Finite Fault Models (USGS)– USGS1-Case0 (Basic Inversion - Link)– USGS2-Case0 (Complete Inversion - Link)– USGS2-Case1 (Complete Inversion adjusted to the trench)– USGS2-Case2 (Shifted south towards Palu Bay)– USGS2-Case3 (Shifted southern inside Palu)
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Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
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IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY
Summary of Max Tsunami Heights
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Case Height (m)
USM-C0 1.3
USM-C1 2.7
USM-C2 2.7
Case Height (m)
USGS1-C0 3.19
USGS2-C0 Under Simulation
USGS2-C1 1.17
USGS2-C2 3.17
USGS2-C3 2.80
Source: Esri, DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Earthstar Geographics, CNES/Airbus DS, USDA, USGS, AeroGRID,IGN, and the GIS User Community
120°20'E120°10'E120°0'E119°50'E119°40'E119°30'E119°20'E
0°30
'N0°
0'0°
30'S
USGS FFM file2-case2
Oka
da's
def
orm
atio
n [m
]
-3-2.5-2-1.5-1-0.50.511.522.533.5
Note: Maximum value was extracted fromsmallest region in Palu Bay. For bestcomparison confirm with max plots.
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY
Uniform Slip Model – Case 0
10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
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Max Tsunami Height: 1.3m(1 Region GEBCO)
• USGS Moment Tensor (NP2) Parameters (modified)– Parameters (Mw7.5)
• (LxW, Depth, strike, dip, slip, dislocation)• 120kmx20km, 5km, 349deg, 86deg, -17deg, 3.1m
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY
Uniform Slip Model – Case 1
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Max Tsunami Height: 2.7 m(5 Regions GEBCO)• USGS Moment Tensor (NP2) Parameters (modified)
– Parameters (Mw7.5)• (LxW, Depth, strike, dip, slip, dislocation)• 100kmx20km, 5km, 347deg, 86deg, -17deg, 3.7m
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY
Uniform Slip Model – Case 1
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Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
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Max Tsunami Height: 2.7 m(5 Regions GEBCO)
• USGS Moment Tensor (NP2) Parameters (modified)– Parameters (Mw7.5)
• (LxW, Depth, strike, dip, slip, dislocation)• 100kmx20km, 5km, 347deg, 86deg, -17deg, 3.7m
119°53'0"E119°52'30"E119°52'0"E119°51'30"E119°51'0"E119°50'30"E119°50'0"E
0°52
'0"S
0°52
'30"
S0°
53'0
"S0°
53'3
0"S
0 500 1,000250m
Tsunami height [m]0.01 - 0.500.51 - 1.001.01 - 1.501.51 - 2.002.01 - 2.502.51 - 3.003.01 - 3.503.51 - 4.004.01 - 4.50
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY
Uniform Slip Model – Case 1
10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
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IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
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IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY
Uniform Slip Model – Case 2
10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and
Geoinformatics for Disaster Management 9
• USGS Moment Tensor (NP2) Parameters (modified)
– Parameters (Mw7.5)• (LxW, Depth, strike, dip, slip, dislocation)
• 100kmx20km, 1km, 347deg, 86deg, -17deg, 3.7m
Max Tsunami Height: 2.7 m
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY
Uniform Slip Model – Case 2
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• USGS Moment Tensor (NP2) Parameters (modified)– Parameters (Mw7.5)
• (LxW, Depth, strike, dip, slip, dislocation)• 100kmx20km, 1km, 347deg, 86deg, -17deg, 3.7m
Max Tsunami Height: 2.7 m(5 Regions GEBCO)
119°53'0"E119°52'30"E119°52'0"E119°51'30"E119°51'0"E119°50'30"E119°50'0"E
0°52
'0"S
0°52
'30"
S0°
53'0
"S0°
53'3
0"S
0 500 1,000250m
Tsunami height [m]0.01 - 0.500.51 - 1.001.01 - 1.501.51 - 2.002.01 - 2.502.51 - 3.003.01 - 3.503.51 - 4.004.01 - 4.50
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY
Uniform Slip Model – Case 2
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IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
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Finite Fault Model – USGS1-Case0
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Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community
USGS/FFM1/case0
Dip angle: 86Strike angle: 358
xll: -0.8709yll: 119.8101
S l i p [m ]
³± 0.00 - 1.00³± 1.01 - 2.00³± 2.01 - 3.00³± 3.01 - 4.00³± 4.01 - 5.00³± 5.01 - 6.00³± 6.01 - 7.00
120°20'E120°0'E119°40'E119°20'E
0°40
'N0°
20'N
0°0'
0°20
'S0°
40'S
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
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Finite Fault Model – USGS1-Case0
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
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Finite Fault Model – USGS1-Case0Max Tsunami Height: 3.19 m
119°53'0"E119°52'30"E119°52'0"E119°51'30"E119°51'0"E119°50'30"E119°50'0"E
0°52
'0"S
0°52
'30"
S0°
53'0
"S0°
53'3
0"S
0 500 1,000250m
Tsunami height [m]0.01 - 0.500.51 - 1.001.01 - 1.501.51 - 2.002.01 - 2.502.51 - 3.003.01 - 3.503.51 - 4.004.01 - 4.50
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
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Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case0
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Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community
USGS/FFM2/original
Dip angle: 86Strike angle: 358
xll: -0.852872yll: 119.810142
S l i p [m]
³± 0.00 - 1.00³± 1.01 - 2.00³± 2.01 - 3.00³± 3.01 - 4.00³± 4.01 - 5.00³± 5.01 - 6.00³± 6.01 - 7.00
120°20'E120°0'E119°40'E119°20'E
0°40
'N0°
20'N
0°0'
0°20
'S0°
40'S
Under Simulation
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
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Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case1
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Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community
USGS/FFM2/case1
Dip angle: 86Strike angle: 347 (-11)
xll: -0.751383 (-15km)yll: 119.501404 (+10km)
*( ) Delta from original data
S l i p [m]
³± 0.00 - 1.00³± 1.01 - 2.00³± 2.01 - 3.00³± 3.01 - 4.00³± 4.01 - 5.00³± 5.01 - 6.00³± 6.01 - 7.00
120°20'E120°0'E119°40'E119°20'E
0°40
'N0°
20'N
0°0'
0°20
'S0°
40'S
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
21
Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case1
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and
Geoinformatics for Disaster Management 22
Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case1Max Tsunami Height: 1.17 m
119°53'0"E119°52'30"E119°52'0"E119°51'30"E119°51'0"E119°50'30"E119°50'0"E
0°52
'0"S
0°52
'30"
S0°
53'0
"S0°
53'3
0"S
0 500 1,000250m
Tsunami height [m]0.01 - 0.500.51 - 1.001.01 - 1.501.51 - 2.002.01 - 2.502.51 - 3.003.01 - 3.503.51 - 4.004.01 - 4.50
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
23
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
24
Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case1
Source: Esri, DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Earthstar Geographics, CNES/Airbus DS, USDA, USGS, AeroGRID,IGN, and the GIS User Community
USGS FFM file2 Source: Esri, DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Earthstar Geographics, CNES/Airbus DS, USDA, USGS, AeroGRID, IGN, and theGIS User Community
Hor
izon
tal d
efor
mat
ion
[m]
FFFFFFFFF
0.00 - 0.25
0.26 - 0.50
0.51 - 1.00
1.01 - 1.50
1.51 - 2.00
2.01 - 2.50
2.51 - 3.00
3.01 - 3.50
3.51 - 4.00
USGS/FFM2/case1
Dip angle: 86Strike angle: 347 (-11)
xll: -0.751383 (-15km)yll: 119.501404 (+10km)
*( ) Delta from original data
119°50'E120°10'E120°0'E119°50'E119°40'E119°30'E119°20'E119°10'E
0°30
'N0°
0'0°
30'S
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
25
Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case2
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Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community
USGS/FFM2/case2
Dip angle: 86
Strike angle: 346 (-12)
xll: -0.85739 (-11km)
yll: 119.523601 (-2 k)
*( ) Delta from original data
S l i p [m]
³± 0.00 - 1.00
³± 1.01 - 2.00
³± 2.01 - 3.00
³± 3.01 - 4.00
³± 4.01 - 5.00
³± 5.01 - 6.00
³± 6.01 - 7.00
120°20'E120°0'E119°40'E119°20'E
0°4
0'N
0°2
0'N
0°0
'0°2
0'S
0°4
0'S
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
26
Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case2
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
27
Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case2Max Tsunami Height: 3.17 m
119°53'0"E119°52'30"E119°52'0"E119°51'30"E119°51'0"E119°50'30"E119°50'0"E
0°52
'0"S
0°52
'30"
S0°
53'0
"S0°
53'3
0"S
0 500 1,000250m
Tsunami height [m]0.01 - 0.500.51 - 1.001.01 - 1.501.51 - 2.002.01 - 2.502.51 - 3.003.01 - 3.503.51 - 4.004.01 - 4.50
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
28
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
29
Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case3
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Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community
USGS/FFM2/case3
Dip angle: 86
Strike angle: 346 (-12)
xll: -0.893535 (-11km)
yll: 119.523589 (-6 k)
*( ) Delta from original data
S l i p [m]
³± 0.00 - 1.00
³± 1.01 - 2.00
³± 2.01 - 3.00
³± 3.01 - 4.00
³± 4.01 - 5.00
³± 5.01 - 6.00
³± 6.01 - 7.00
120°20'E120°0'E119°40'E119°20'E
0°4
0'N
0°2
0'N
0°0
'0°2
0'S
0°4
0'S
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
30
Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case3
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
31
Finite Fault Model – USGS2-Case3Max Tsunami Height: 2.80 m
119°53'0"E119°52'30"E119°52'0"E119°51'30"E119°51'0"E119°50'30"E119°50'0"E
0°52
'0"S
0°52
'30"
S0°
53'0
"S0°
53'3
0"S
0 500 1,000250m
Tsunami height [m]0.01 - 0.500.51 - 1.001.01 - 1.501.51 - 2.002.01 - 2.502.51 - 3.003.01 - 3.503.51 - 4.004.01 - 4.50
IRIDeSTOHOKU UNIVERSITY 10/4/18
Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics for Disaster Management
32