turbo rand - pam golding prop... · 2013-01-30 · bishopscourt, 7708 po box 53012 kenilworth, 7745...
TRANSCRIPT
September 2010. R15,00 incl. VAT
A Pam Go ld ing P roper ty Group Pub l i ca t ion
World CupOur feast of soccer caused a loss of appetite for property, but interest is picking up
Moving OffshoreInterest in Central London property
Turbo RandThe strong rand has boosted our gold reserves. But do we
want a strong currency?
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EditOr
Stuart Murray
tELEpHOnE
Cape Town 021 710 1800
AddrESS
Monterey, 12-14 Klaassens Rd
Bishopscourt, 7708
PO Box 53012
Kenilworth, 7745
dESignEr
Monika Benseler
CO-OrdinAtOr And
AdvErtiSing EnquiriES
Michelle Swindale
021 710 1700
All articles, unless stated, are written by Stuart Murray.
Intellectual Property reserves the copyright of its
content. No articles, reports, graphs or diagrams,
or portion thereof, may be reproduced without
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Intellectual Property is not a financial adviser and
accepts no responsibility for any decisions made
by any reader on the basis of information of
whatever kind published in this magazine.
4 Property OutlookThe peak in house price growth does not fully apply countrywide.
Also, different methodologies in data capturing make analysis difficult.
3 Andrew GoldingWe’ve shown what we are capable of. Now is the time to seize the moment.
2 In PassingThe country awaits a final balance sheet on the Fifa Soccer World CupTM. Will it be profit or loss?
16 London FocusThe strong rand will assist South Africans who wish to buy property abroad.
PGP has two central London developments which offer attractive investment opportunities.
15 TaxesSARS is offering a helping hand on two matters – properties in companies, trusts and forex fiddles.
8 The Turbo RandSA’s strong currency is worrying some sectors of the economy.
7 MortgagesThe interest rate cuts of last year helped boost the housing market.
But the effect has worn off and consumers need another shot in the arm.
6 Regional RoundupOur feast of soccer caused a general loss of appetite for property.
Meanwhile, the Western Cape leads the provincial activity league.
18 Foreign BuyersWe haven’t had many overseas buyers of late, but they’ll come back. Some basic legal advice for those
who are considering a South African lifestyle.
19 The Write WayBeware of word of mouth agreements when changing written contracts.
20 CommercialIncome streams may have dipped, but growth potential still makes this JSE sector attractive.
AWARDED FOR BRANDING EXCELLENCE
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 2010 1
A Ball Park FigureIn Passing
Trying to finalise a soccer world cup balance sheet is going to take time –
perhaps as long as it takes to reap the benefits; maybe longer. Was it worth it? Of course it was!
ACCLAiM fOr SOutH AfriCA’S hosting
of the Fifa Soccer World CupTM is still waving over
us like a tsunami and it’s a very pleasant feeling.
In a practical sense, let’s hope that success really
does breed success.
Prior to kick-off, the newspapers were awash
with projections of the cost of the soccer festival,
with the over-runs being updated with monotony.
Initial estimates put the bill, including the new
stadiums and the updated and renovated ones,
at between R2 - R3 billion. Revised estimates –
after adding a couple more stadiums – came to
R5,6 billion. Now the latest national estimate I
can unearth is R11,87 billion. On the other hand
I am reliably informed that Cape Town’s bill for
the stadium and surround plus all the other
developments came to R4,5 billion. So I suppose
until the homework has been completed, it’s
anyone’s guess as to the final balance sheet.
What strikes me as interesting is that the
magnitude of the pre-Cup cost projections,
analyses, criticisms and economic comment with
which we were bombarded has not been equalled
by post-event assessments. Try as I will, there’s very
little on record so far. One comment from KPMG
senior economist Frank Blackmore suggests that
the Cup pumped R93 billion into the local economy,
equivalent to 0,5% of GDP. But that was the SA
Reserve Bank’s projection for a GDP boost some
time before the games began. Another guesstimate
suggests a R130 billion shot in the arm.
An interesting aside from Blackmore is that
he reckons that the total infrastructural spend
– new stadiums, stadium renovations, transport
and communications – was around R800 billion
and that this helped shield South Africa from the
worst of the global recession. The question is,
can we keep up the delivery? Can we carry on
building new roads and sorting out those pitted
with potholes? Can we deliver homes, basic
services, healthcare and education? Where will
the money come from?
Can we handle life without Fifa? Can we fill
the vacuum?
There has been disappointment that fewer
tourists than expected turned up. In the long
run, this probably helped make the event more
manageable and contributed to its organisational
success. Nevertheless, the tourism rate was 20%
higher than usual for that time of the year. The
Gautrain exceeded expectations – 3 000 to 6 000
commuters a day was the projected number; the
reality was 13 000 on week days and 20 000 at
weekends.
There is widespread acceptance that the
benefits South Africa will gain from its magnificent
handling of the soccer bonanza lie ahead. Some,
like property, may take years to materialise.
A survey by research group African Response
found that 96% of visitors would possibly return
to South Africa, while 92% would recommend
this country to friends and family as a holiday
destination. That’s a pretty optimistic view, but
there is no doubt that South Africa has been
rebranded.
The big question in many minds is what are
we going to do with the new stadiums? Are
they destined to become white elephants? How
on earth can we amortize their cost? Another
growing concern is their maintenance. The
surround park alone at the new Greenpoint
stadium in Cape Town will cost R500 000 a
month to maintain, according to reports. That
excludes the stadium itself – and there are seven
other monoliths. Already there are squabbles in
terms of attracting sporting events. Provincial
rugby diehards, such as in Durban and Cape
Town, assert that their supporters are happy
where they are. Port Elizabeth has landed one big
international rugby fixture for next year. The three
remaining Tri Nations 2010 rugby matches will be
held in South Africa this month onwards – only
one was held in a world cup stadium, South Africa
vs New Zealand at Soccer City, the others feature
in Pretoria and Bloemfontein, at the conventional
rugby grounds.
Talking of rugby, a scathing article appeared
in a New Zealand national newspaper recently
lambasting South Africa for what it suggested
was profligate spending on the Fifa Soccer World
CupTM. The report claimed that the New Zealand
authorities responsible for organising next year’s
Rugby World Cup had budgeted to spend a total
amount equivalent to half the cost of one of our
new stadiums. The All Blacks are determined, it
seems, to remain in the black.
What I want to know is whether we can take
our vuvuzelas? Can they be our answer to the
Haka?
The ediTor, STuarT [email protected]
Stuart Murray is co-founder and former editor of Finance Week magazine.
...until the homework has been completed, it’s anyone’s guess as to the final balance sheet.
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 20102
Carpe DiemThe residential property market must seize the moment,
taking advantage of the goodwill derived from the World Cup to promote this country’s advantages and attractions.
tHE SOCCEr WOrLd Cup has come and
gone, and as our heads clear from the sheer
excitement of the spectacle there is a widespread
feeling of anti-climax. In some quarters there is
disappointment, even resentment. What did we
get out of it? Where are the benefits?
In the property market there were no
immediate fields of gold. In fact, the beautiful
game so enraptured South Africans and visitors
alike that commercial prospects took a back seat.
The fans, players, officials, even the media, enjoyed
the sport, the excitement, our hospitality and
organisation, to the extent that as far as buying
things, beyond the general fun of the fair - not
forgetting vuvuzelas – the soccer throngs were
far too distracted to be bothered with anything
as mundane as buying a house, flat, or whatever.
Results filtering through this last month from our
agents around the country indicate that the 2010
Fifa Soccer World CupTM, to give it it’s proper
appellation, actually put a damper on residential
property sales.
And why not? We were all caught up in World
Cup Fever.
The positive side of agents’ appraisal is the
expectation of things to come; that the spectacle
has firmly put South Africa on the map and that
the commonly held view of the Republic as yet
another run down third world country in the
“Dark Continent” has been firmly dashed. The
organisation, the smooth running of matches, the
joyful atmosphere, the friendliness of the locals,
most certainly have burnished this country’s
image and transformed it, not just as a place to
visit, but a place to be.
Already there are signs of payback, confirmed
by a massive increase in foreign visits to the Pam
Golding Properties website. We have experienced
enquiries and visits from people in 190 countries.
Hollanders lead the log, followed by potential
buyers from the UK, US, Germany, Canada,
Belgium, Australia, France, Switzerland and the
United Arab Emirates.
We need to seize the moment, because if ever
there was a time to present our credentials to the
international community of investors it is in the
afterglow of, in the words of Fifa president Sepp
Blatter: “The best World Cup ever.” For the most
part, those foreign visitors will see South Africa
as an opportunity and in return will bring much-
needed foreign direct (and fixed) investment,
creating jobs and ultimately contributing towards
stable economic growth.
Currently foreign capital is flooding in to
South Africa as investors buy our bonds and
equities and the so-called “carry trade” takes
full advantage of our attractive interest rates. But
that is short-term capital; it can flow out just as
quickly as it pours in. We need fixed investment.
And that is attracted to stability, both political
and economic.
On that subject, there is little doubt that
South Africa delivered. Now it is up to all of us
to capitalise on future opportunities. The Cup
has opened a lot of new doors. We may even
have a chance of winning the 2020 Olympic
bid, although that is a long shot indeed. But the
Olympic Committee certainly sat up and paid
attention. Would it have prior to the Cup?
As to the residential property market right
now, we need to realise that we are in a new
scenario, which is about prudent bank lending,
modest house price growth and hesitant buyers.
At the peak of the market around 25% of buyers
were speculators; today they are very thin on the
ground. There was also a bigger foreign market –
which hopefully will return.
Nevertheless we are at a tipping point, two
years into a downward cycle. Credit is hard to get,
debt levels are high, running costs are climbing
ever higher and interest rates are still a formidable
hurdle. There is a large pool of stock for sale, but
fewer buyers than sellers.
There is still a proportion of distressed sellers.
But for the market as a whole, pricing remains
unrealistic and has contributed to the lengthening
time it takes for a property to sell. It is a time
when astute investors capitalise on the situation
by making considered acquisitions and achieving
significant returns. The leisure market, which will
clearly take longer than the primary market to
recover, is a case in point. Prime coastal property
for sale currently presents a desirable investment
opportunity.
Another opportunity has been created by
the country’s massive infrastructure upgrades.
These have provided improved transport nodes
and created new, attractive and convenient,
residential development opportunities. With the
new Gautrain station precincts clear examples
of these, I anticipate that this trend will only
increase as these nodes become fully bedded and
the true value and convenience of these transport
hubs becomes fully appreciated.
PaM GoldinG ProPerTy GrouP Chief exeCuTive, dr andrew GoldinG
Never before has South Africa been presented with such an ideal opportunity to promote the country to foreigners... We need to seize the moment...
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 2010 3
Property Outlook
Running Out of SteamAnalyses differ around the country and between the various data capturing entities
as to the extent of house price growth. But generally speaking the market could be peaking.
ALL tHE MAin COMMEntAtOrS in the
residential property market are cautioning that
the steady rise in house price growth appears
to be peaking. According to Absa’s August
House Price Index, the average real value of
small medium and large houses increased by a
weighted 7,2% in July (year on year). FNB’s most
recent figure for house price growth brought it in
at 7,6% in real terms. Standard Bank looks ahead
to only 6% nominal growth this year – and 1,2%
in real terms.
In terms of interpreting these figures one
should bear in mind that they reflect the purchase
price of houses in terms of the banks’ mortgage
books. Standard Bank, for example, has around
27% of this bond market and it computes data
on a median basis in contrast to an average basis,
as done by the other banks. This tends to make its
numbers lower than the others.
One also has to bear in mind that these figures
are national and are thus affected by the highs
and lows of different sectors of the country where
mortgage lenders may each have varied exposure.
There are depressed areas of the housing market
and relatively vibrant ones. Within geographical
boundaries there are market segments – large,
medium and small homes.
A very good example of how rounded up
averages can distort data is the fact that the
small house market (80 m2 - 140 m2) has boomed
in recent months. According to Absa, the value
of small houses increased by a nominal 33,6%
in July. This, of course, accelerates the average
nominal house price growth figure substantially
and indicates considerably poorer price growth in
the medium and large house categories.
Property research group Lightstone reports
that the most lucrative sector remains the mid and
affordable bands. Freehold properties have also
outperformed their sectional title counterparts.
The latest Rode Report on the property
industry says that in real terms house prices are
still very high relative to previous periods. In
terms of going forward, Rode echoes the general
sentiment in the industry that, given the general
need for potential homebuyers to gear their
purchases, easing credit standards by banks will
help the recovery in house prices.
However, that is not happening at present,
and is a real brake on the housing market. Current
SA Reserve Bank data showed sluggish mortgage
advances growth is hovering around 2% - 3%
and has flattened after some significant growth
earlier in the year. Absa Bank says that growth
is expected to remain in single digits for the rest
of the year.
However, Standard Bank reports that July
marked the first month of real growth in its
median property price index and, it says, this
provides confirmation that the recovery is still
on track. It’s Residential Property Report for
August says: ”Fundamentals are also improving,
mirrored by increasing discretionary spending,
such as passenger car sales which rebounded
to 27,6% year-on-year in July from 14,4% the
previous month. Weak employment conditions,
poor income growth and high debt levels have
contributed to both weak demand and hesitant
credit supply conditions. This by no means suggests
that the employment environment is improving
sufficiently to boost property growth just yet, but
the rate of deterioration is slowing. Households
are beginning to shed debt in arrears that have
gnawed at real disposable income, providing
increased scope for discretionary purchases. With
the market remaining affordable from both an
inflation and borrowing cost perspective, further
improvements are envisaged.”
At the current rate of improvement, Standard
Bank reckons, factoring in seasonal effects, the
market is set to show average nominal growth of
around 6% this year.
FNB’s property analyst John Loos comments
that the arrival of a residential property slowdown
so soon after the start of a strengthening phase
may have surprised some. He believes that a few
big structural changes are required to get the
next impressive property performance going.
He says: “In the likes of the US, the UK and a
good few other developed countries, a period of
austerity and slow economic growth is necessary
in order to work off the massive debt burdens…
in some instances by the household sectors, in
some instances by government – and in many
instances both.”
Basically, demand relative to supply has
remained weak during the recent recovery cycle,
never having got anywhere near the levels of
2004/2005 period at the peak of the property
boom.
Loos continues: “We remain firmly of the
view that the latest decline in the FNB House
Price Index’s (house price growth) inflation rate
is the start of a slowing trend in what we term a
‘mini-cycle’ for residential property. As such our
projection for house price inflation is lower – a
revised 8,2% average for the whole of 2010.”
Absa’s senior property analyst Jacques du
Toit’s assessment is: “Year-on-year house price
growth is forecast to slow down further in the
month towards year-end, largely driven by the
base effect of a recovery in property prices from
the second half of 2009.”
Standard Bank economist Danalee van Dyk
advises: “Confidence in the property market is
Households are beginning to shed debt in arrears that have gnawed at real disposable income, providing increased scope for discretionary purchases.
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 20104
returning. Standard Bank expects the second half
of the year to yield higher growth in the median
price, with average nominal growth envisaged at
around 6% for the year.”
OOBA upBEAtIn spite of comments by some of the major
lending institutions that the uptick in the housing
market may be peaking, leading mortgage
originator ooba’s latest statistics indicate that the
recovery, which began in the second half of last
year, has continued to take hold.
According to ooba CEO Saul Geffen, the
monthly trends tracked by ooba suggest that
positive conditions for the housing market will
continue into this second half of the year. Ooba
tracks movements in house prices, approved
bond sizes, deposit requirements and bank
decline ratios.
The oobarometer price index recorded a
9,8% year-on-year increase in the average house
purchase price in July. The average purchase price
made by first-time buyers showed an 8,5% rise.
“The ratio of applications declined by one
lender, but granted by another, showed a continued
improvement, says ooba, up 9,7% year-on-year to
29,4% of all declined applications. This means that
nearly one third of all declines have a chance of
being approved by another lender,” says Geffen.
“While the bank decline ratio for July did show
a marginal year-on-year increase of 0,5%, this is
a function of the volume of applications for 100%
bonds in the current period, which have far lower
approval rates than applications with deposits.
As the data for the comparative period last year
excludes 100% loans, which were not generally
available from the banks then, there has in effect
been a significant year-on-year improvement in
the decline ratio.”
Ooba’s statistics also revealed a 15% year-on-
year increase in the average bond size while the
average deposit size fell by 17,8%.
Meanwhile Stats SA reports that the building
of new residential units remains slow. Value of
plans approved dropped by 5% year-on-year
– especially in the segments of housing less
than 80 m2 and higher density flats and small
townhouses.
Depending on your point of view, this
slowdown could in fact assist the market to
grow as demand for low-cost housing in the one
segment of the market that has really shown
improvement.
Oobarometer property Market recovery Analysis - second half of 2010
Indicator July 2010 July 2009Change year on year
(Jul 10 vs Jul 09)June 2010
Change month on month
(Jul 10 to Jun 10)
Avg purchase price 850,763 775,172 9.8% 837,599 1.6%
Avg purchase price of first time buyer 591,643 545,487 8.5% 611,611 -3.3%
Avg approved bond size 685,503 592,512 15.7% 695,381 -1.4%
Avg deposit (as % of purchase price)19.4%
(R165,260)23.6%
(R182,660)-17.8%
17.0%(R142,218)
14.1%
Avg age of applicant 37 37 No change 37 No change
Avg decline ratio 47.8% 47.3% 0.5% 48.8% -1.0%
Ratio of applications declined by one lender but approved by another
29.4% 19.7% 9.7% 24.8% 4.6%
Small Medium Large
Absa House price indices - Nominal y/y % change
Source: ABSA
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-1004 05 06 07 08 09 10
y/y % change
Small Medium Large
Absa House price indices - Real y/y % change
Source: ABSA
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-1504 05 06 07 08 09 10
y/y % change
...ooba’s latest statistics indicate that the recovery, which began in the second half of last year, has continued to take hold
Repayment/HHDI House price/HHDI
Affordability of housing
Source: ABSA
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
9000 02 04 06 08 10
Index: 2000=100
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 2010 5
Birth of the BluesThe great soccer event did not promote property purchases.
Rather, potential buyers were too busy having a good time. But we’re getting back to normal.
tHE WEStErn CApE residential property
market appears to be outperforming the national
market, according to First National Bank’s August
Property barometer. House price growth has been
around 2% greater than the national average
says the bank, but adds the caveat that signs of
a slowdown are now apparent. However, FNB’s
property analyst John Loos says we mustn’t be too
hasty in presuming any long term downward slide.
He comments: “Agents suggest that the World Cup
may have had something of a negative effect on
demand through ‘distracting the nation’.”
In terms of cities as opposed to regions, property
research group Lightstone reports that Cape Town
and Johannesburg have shown the steadiest
increase in house prices of all the metropolitan
areas. Although Johannesburg led in annualised
month to month house price growth this year,
the city’s figures took a dip from 8,7% growth in
January and 9,2% in February to 8,6% in March,
says Lightstone, Cape Town did not suffer the same
reversal. Figures for the Mother City were 7,7% in
January, 8,8% in February and 9,0% in March.
Pam Golding Properties’ Western Cape regional
director Laurie Weiner explains: “At the end of May
we were well ahead of budget but World Cup
euphoria and the long school holidays drew focus
entirely away from property and it is proving slow
to recover.” She adds: “There is an increase in stock
levels across the board and demand is lagging – a
sure formula for pressure on prices. Some areas,
where investment properties dominate such as
previous off-plan development sales, have seen
price decreases as much as 20%.”
The soccer frenzy appears to have had a
dampening effect nationally. “During the World
Cup period activity was very low, but it is picking
up a bit,” says Pretoria regional executive Retha
Schutte. “Our market is moving sideways,” adds
Bedfordview’s Eric Gibson.
FNB’s report points out that the Western
Cape’s economy has moved out of recession and
is expected to grow at around 3% this year. This
has supported the modest recovery in residential
property through assisting recovery in household
disposable income growth.
At present, of course, the Western Cape is in
its winter “hibernation” period. So a falling off
is the norm. But John Loos says the decline was
discernable earlier, with a flattening of growth
rates in the second quarter of this year which, he
argues, supports the notion of a peak in the cycle
and the start of a slowing price inflation trend to
come. This weakening trend is expected to last well
into 2011, he says. “Therefore we expect Western
Cape price growth to recede back into single digit
territory by the year end, and remain there through
2011 as the country and the region goes through a
slower economic period.”
Laurie Wener says difficulty in obtaining
mortgages, even with excellent past credit
references, job uncertainty, increasing household
running expenses (electricity and rates) are all
contributing to hesitancy and poor sentiment.
“There is an uptick in activity in under R3 million in
areas where there are a higher proportion of cash
or financially qualified buyers, namely the Atlantic
Seaboard and the City Bowl.”
In the Boland and Overberg region, sellers are
still reluctant to drop their asking price, reports
Annien Borg, regional director for the area. “Buyers
are taking their time to make offers as they have
more properties to choose from. When they do,
offers come in at much lower than asking price,
sometimes 30% lower.”
Borg says that sales have generally been slow
across the region, in particular the coastal branches
and small country towns where holiday/second
homes make up the biggest portion of stock available.
“Most sales are between R800 000 and R3 million,
but in Stellenbosch, where there is a limited supply
of land for further development, we have achieved
R6 million for a vacant plot and R11 million for a
luxury home in the De Zalze golf estate.
“As expected we did not experience an increase
in foreign buyers over the World Cup period and
property enquiries in the region are still made up
from buyers wanting to scale down, up-country
buyers – mostly from Gauteng and KZN – and
clients wanting to exchange city life for a country
town with good schools, easy access to amenities,
less crime, and a more relaxed lifestyle.”
Pretoria’s Schutte also highlights difficulty in
getting mortgages, particularly 100% loans for
sales in the R600 000 - R1,1 million bracket. “The
banks are valuing below offer price so 100% bond
applicants have to come up with deposits, which
most buyers in this price range don’t have.”
KZN regional marketing manager, Leigh
Foaden, reports that activity has picked up since
the World Cup slowdown – but not price levels.
Stock turnaround time on well-priced stock has
improved from 60 days to an average of 30 days
and advertising response has doubled compared
with the month of June. Says Foaden: “The market
is heavily price-driven and affordability is still the
greatest barrier to the successful conclusion of
sales. The mortgage bond decline rate is still high,
being around 40%.”
The fact that sectional title unit owners now
have to pay municipal rates directly has, says
Foaden, created an affordability problem even if
the selling price is right.
“On the positive side,” she adds, cash buyers
are on the increase, both as investors and end
users. Our expectations for the remainder of the
year is of steady improvement.”
Carol Reynolds, area principal for the Durban
North and La Lucia areas, adds some advice to
sellers: “The key to successful transacting is correct
pricing. The old adage that the first offer is the best
offer certainly rings true in this climate. “Reynolds
echoes Retha Schutte’s complaint that the banks
often don’t find value. “Without finance there is no
sale, no matter how willing the parties.”
World Cup euphoria... drew focus entirely away from property and it is proving slow to recover.
Regional Roundup
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 20106
Cutting EdgeThe positive effect of cumulative interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank has worn thin.
Lower mortgage bond rates would make a big difference to the housing market
An iMpOrtAnt COntriButing factor
to the decline in house sales is the fact that
mortgage bond interest rates are still too high.
Potential buyers can’t afford the repayments or,
perhaps more common, the banks to whom they
have applied for a bond decide that, while doing
their rigorous credit checks, that the applicant
can’t afford the repayments.
Some 40% of bond applications are currently
being turned down. Loan to value considerations
are strict, with first-time buyers at the end of
the queue and 100% bonds are rare. Absa did
announce at the end of May that it had resumed
granting 100% bonds, “but only to Absa
customers and blue chip ones at that,” says a
spokesman.
All the major mortgage lenders insist that they
have relaxed their credit requirements since this
time last year, but estate agents are unanimous in
their experience that lack of finance is hindering
any progress in the market. It appears to be a
stand-off.
The banks, of course, have been hard hit
by bad debts and are sitting in a “once bitten,
twice shy” mode. A striking example is the 16%
decline in first half profit announced by Nedbank
in August. The drop, said CE Mike Brown, was due
to losses in its retail business due to the fallout
from mounting bad debts.
It’s not that the margins in the mortgage
business are unattractive. Only a couple of years
ago the banks were fighting tooth and nail to gain
market share, offering all sorts of inducements
and cutting bond interest rates by as much as 2%
- 2,5%. “Those days are gone,” says one banker.
The banks will tell you that their cost of funding
has gone up, which squeezes their margins. But
is this necessarily the case, consumers ask? The
margin between the prime lending rate and repo
rate (at which the banks borrow from the SA
Reserve Bank) remains constant at 3% and this
is applied by all retail banks. This mutually agreed
margin was queried by former SARB governor
Tito Mboweni, who called for more competition
in the banking sector. However, the issue died a
quick death. Noticeable is, as far as the man-in-
the-street is concerned, the steadily widening gap
between the repo rate (7%) and the prime lending
rate (10%) and the rate of inflation (4,2%). This
prime rate hasn’t moved since inflation was up
around 8%.
It is interesting to compare mortgage costs
in South Africa and, for example the UK. Here
the average 60% loan to value bond will carry
an interest rate of between 10,5% and 11,3%.
Consumer inflation, as mentioned beforehand, is
currently 4,2%. In the UK, where Bank of England
governor Mervyn King has just announced a rising
inflation rate of 3,1%, one can get a mortgage
bond (see London apartments page 18) at 3,6%
interest pa. That’s only a margin of 0,6%.
Of course, South Africa’s relatively high interest
rates are important in terms of foreign capital
inflow (see next page) which the country badly
needs to address its widening current account
deficit. But try explaining that to a young couple
trying to get finance for their first home!
There are two further opportunities for the
Reserve Bank to cut the repo rate – at its monetary
policy committee meeting on September 9 or
again in November. However, there is a growing
feeling in the market that it may not happen and
that, in fact, we are nearing the bottom of the
rates cycle. Standard Bank’s economics division,
for example, forecasts rates turning upwards in
the second quarter of next year.
The horrors of recent years when rates went
over 20% per annum will still be fresh in the
minds of many bondholders. Only a few were
wise enough to switch from a variable rate to a
fixed one in time to weather the storm.
Perhaps now is the time to look into the issue.
Another indication of what could be in store is
that Absa announced recently that it is no longer
offering its 10-year fixed rate on bonds – the
longest term available now is two years (see
table).
Mortgage originator ooba says that at present
it has no customers enquiring about fixed rates.
The banks also report little interest. Bond-seekers
and bondholders alike should keep an eye on
developments.
The banks, of course, have been hard hit by bad debts and are sitting in a “once bitten, twice shy” mode.
fixed rate table - 12 months fixed rates
Customer Rate Risk Grade
LTV Band 1 2 3 4 5
(A) Less Than 50% 10.30 11.30 10.65 11.5 11.90
(B) 50% to 60% 10.35 10.45 10.70 11.55 11.95
(C) 60% to 70% 10.40 10.50 10.75 11.6 12.00
(D) 70% to 75% 10.45 10.55 10.80 11.65 12.05
(E) 75% to 80% 10.50 10.60 10.85 11.70 12.10
(F) 80% to 85% 10.60 10.70 10.95 11.80 12.20
(G) 85% to 90% 11.05 11.15 11.40 12.25 12.65
(H) 90% to 95% 11.20 11.30 11.55 12.40 12.80
(I) 95% to 100% 11.75 11.85 12.10 12.95 13.35
(J) 100% to 120% 11.95 12.05 12.3 13.15 13.55
Mortgages
Source: ABSA
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 2010 7
Enter the Turbo RandFor how long will the rand stay on its upward climb? That’s the big question.
It helps importers and frustrates exporters. Organised labour says the currency must be weakened – but how?
tHE StrOng rAnd iS LEAding the
country’s economic debate at present or, more
accurately, how to limit it. In July alone, the
rand appreciated 4,2% against the dollar. On
the other hand, rand volatility is considered by
some economists to be the priority, as this is more
harmful to growth.
One result of the surging rand has been an
unexpected increase in the SA Reserve Bank’s
gold and foreign exchange reserves which has
been accomplished through the Treasury, which
has been providing some resources from the
government’s foreign deposits. Foreign exchange
reserves in July stood at US$43,2 billion.
However, without the Bank’s intervention,
the rand would have been even stronger. This is
because when the Bank sells rands to buy foreign
currency, this tends to weaken the local currency.
New in the debate around policy endeavours
to limit rand appreciation is the suggestion that
we introduce capital controls (some form of tax
on foreign inflows, such as a small transaction
fee). However, it is generally accepted that it is
difficult to assess the effectiveness of capital
controls. The IMF, for example, cautions that
capital controls should be part of a tool-kit, but
adds that such controls are justified only if an
economy is operating near potential, if the level
of reserves is adequate, if the exchange rate is not
undervalued, and if the capital inflows are likely
to be transitory.
Governor Gill Marcus has been under
pressure from trade unions and exporters to cut
interest rates and there is a widely held feeling
that the Bank missed this particular boat at its
July monetary policy committee meeting. Next
meeting is on September 9 – but don’t hold your
breath! The rising rand strength is not necessarily
going to be curbed by lowering rates given the
ongoing flood of foreign short-term capital. And
the Reserve Bank, wary of inflation, may not want
another credit-based consumer boom. However,
it has happened in the past that the Bank has
surprised us!
The trade unions have been particularly
vociferous in the clamour for interest rate cuts,
blaming both rand strength and volatility for the
country’s growing unemployment. Cosatu has
been a supporter of more aggressive buying of
foreign currency by the Reserve Bank but says it
has become clear that South Africa doesn’t have
sufficient reserves to buy at a level which will
make “a real difference.” Cosatu general secretary
Zwelinzima Vavi stated recently: “There is a very
clear consensus (with Finance Minister Pravin
Gordhan and the Reserve Bank) that we need a
weaker currency and a more stable currency.”
The problem is that they don’t always go hand
in hand. Furthermore, critics of Cosatu argue that
the labour movement is partly responsible for the
situation because of its excessive wage demands.
The public sector strike in mid-August, which
included many teachers, was in demand for a
wage increase more than double the current CPI
inflation rate of 4,2%.
The strong capital inflow, supporting equity
and bond markets, has possibly given an
impression of a high growth environment. But
this is not the underlying reality, comments Cees
Bruggemans, chief economist of First National
Bank. “Business confidence has been badly
mauled by crisis and recession. It doesn’t look
ready to take on demanding labour as earnings
recovery has barely started.“ Bruggemans adds:
“Indeed, organised labour – and scarce talent
– behave as if the prosperity boom of 2004-
2007 has never ended, enabling them to keep
demanding more.”
Unfortunately, the net result of unsustainable
wage demands is usually job cuts. And that is
what is happening.
In spite of the restraints on credit, consumer
confidence is surprisingly high, according to the
FNB/BER consumer confidence survey. Consumers
remain over-indebted and there is a clear
indication that they are endeavouring to pay off
debt and even save more. Still, the country’s debt-
service ratio (the cost of servicing the household
debt burden, interest plus capital, as a percentage
of disposable income) is estimated at 12,7% –
too high for comfort.
The global outlook is another matter. Europe,
the US, China are all potential crisis areas. In
the second week of August the governor of the
Bank of England warned that the UK economy is
in troubled waters; that inflation was rising and
the economy slowing. US watchdogs continue to
suggest that a “double dip” remains on the cards;
and China is in the throes of a banking alarm over
suspect loans, including housing loans. All these,
or any one, can impact severely on South Africa.
In spite of all this, rand strength may intensify,
towards R7:$1 and even beyond, perhaps to
R6:$1 unless the authorities find an effective way
to intervene. At even current levels, however, the
currency’s strength is of considerable benefit –
cutting our import bills, particularly oil. Exporters,
on the other hand, are squealing.
You can’t please everyone.
One result of the surging rand has been an unexpected increase in the SA Reserve Bank’s gold and foreign exchange reserves...
Interest Rates
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 20108
WEB ACCESS HP504772
Bryanston, GautenG
Set in trendy Eccleston Crescent, this large family home offers generous reception rooms, a patio and a pool. It also includes 5 bedrooms en suite, a gourmet kitchen, gym, staff accommodation and excellent security. R7.95 millionJoan Lewis 083 266 9292, Win doody-pestell 083 309 0770, Alison White 082 714 2626
WEB ACCESS MR533192
Kyalami estate, GautenG
With its tranquil surrounds, 4 reception rooms, 4 bedrooms, expansive enclosed entertainment patio, exquisite kitchen, sparkling pool, 4 garages, workshop and staff accommodation, this is the perfect family home. R4.8 millionLeanne Santana 083 273 6881, peta tongs 082 808 0261
WEB ACCESS HP513412
sandhurst, GautenG
This charming family home offers 4 bedrooms (3 en suite), as well as a guest suite. 4 Reception rooms flow superbly onto the patio, pool and a park-like garden with rolling lawns.
R14.5 millionvictoria russell 074 683 1222, Office 011 380 0000
WEB ACCESS GV462-563
meyersdal Crest, GautenG
This 7-bedroom home offers executive living at its best, and is perfect for 2 families. Boasting a multitude of quality features, the residence offers the best of the upmarket estate lifestyle.
R4.95 milliondebbie Young 083 307 7234, Office 011 432 0303
WEB ACCESS BV541125
Bedfordview, GautenG
This gracious home offers 4 en suite bedrooms, a loft-style study, 5 reception rooms, a bar, poker room, patios, pool, Jacuzzi as well as a potential guest wing.
R9.5 millionLuz dias 082 444 9763, natalia dias 072 392 8421, Office 011 455 6666
WEB ACCESS DNF494572
Cedar laKes, GautenG
Features of this immaculate family home include a large garden, 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a study nook, an open-plan kitchen and a play area. It also offers a pool, underfloor heating and staff accommodation. R3.95 millionnatalia Atanassov 084 783 3010, Office 011 469 4691
PAM GOLDINGLIFE PRESIDENTPAM GOLDING PROPERTIES
ANDREW GOLDINGCHIEF EXECUTIVE
PAM GOLDING PROPERTIES
www.pamgolding.co.za
WEB ACCESS TU1021487
tulBaGh, Boland & overBerG
This multi-income farm comprises of 2 houses and offers relaxed riverside luxury and a variety of fruit and vegetable plantations, including olives and grapes.
R7.5 milliongail friedlander 082 699 6146
WEB ACCESS STA1024735
stanford, Boland & overBerG With its inviting, rustic ambience as well as thatched and beamed ceilings, this lovely home is all about charm. It also offers breathtaking views of the valley. R1.97 milliontracy Brady 082 441 8307, Jill Smith 083 700 4103
WEB ACCESS ST1026596
stellenBosCh, Boland & overBerG
This well-designed residence has a wonderful ambience, spacious rooms, comforting extras and superior attention to detail – all adding to the functionality of the home.
R7.6 milliondeanne Kriel 083 531 7827
WEB ACCESS MV452821
PlatteKloof, western CaPe
This formidable property features a home theatre, snooker room, bar, gourmet kitchen, summer house, pool, braai and 3 reception rooms, all opening onto a wraparound balcony.
R10.9 millionpenny petersen 083 261 7339
WEB ACCESS MON1024975
montaGu, Boland & overBerG
Renovated to perfection, this smallholding is the ultimate lifestyle property and offers free-flowing open areas as well as the ultimate gourmet kitchen.
R3.25 millionMagda pepler 082 816 4364, dimar Marais 084 549 2696
WEB ACCESS ON1023655
onrus, Boland & overBerG
Set on the banks of the Onrus lagoon, this home’s Scandinavian architecture and functionality will appeal to the connoisseur and offers ample privacy and tranquillity.
R7.9 milliondenis Helfrich 083 285 6474
www.pamgolding.co.za
WEB ACCESS LA1024126
lanGeBaan, western CaPe
This classic and serene 500m² stone-finished home is set on 3 181m² of indigenous garden, and offers uninterrupted lagoon views and excellent security.
R14 millionStephanie Wynne-Cole 082 570 6540
WEB ACCESS SIM1023299
simon’s town, western CaPe
Set on the upper slopes of the mountain, this property offers a true rural lifestyle retreat and features 5 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms.
R6.5 millionJoy Snooke 082 920 0044
WEB ACCESS CO1023735
Constantia, western CaPe
Set in an unsurpassed position with stunning mountain views and a north-facing aspect, this property also features a landscaped garden, fine proportions, meticulous attention to detail and top-quality finishes. R39 millionArie Kadé 083 448 0488, Clare Jackson 083 675 3707, Angie Bloom 083 678 7876
WEB ACCESS CB1028216
vredehoeK, western CaPe
Escape the hustle and bustle of the city and relax in the peace and tranquillity of the popular Fairview complex. The property features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a garage and a parking bay.
R1.75 millionMariel Burger 082 372 2573, peter Spencer 083 264 0971, Scott irving 082 465 8444, Jeanne Hingston 082 888 1630
WEB ACCESS TV1025136
atlantiC BeaCh, western CaPe
This fully-furnished penthouse-style home is set on a secure estate and features ocean and golf course views, sublime entertainment areas, a pool, Jacuzzi, lift and a double-volume entrance with a floating staircase.
R9.95 millionivan Swart 083 653 5620
WEB ACCESS PR1017640
fresnaye, western CaPe
Old-world elegance, original features and luxury elements all combine to make this a remarkable 6-bedroom family home. It’s been superbly restored and maintained and is located in a sought-after area. R13.995 millionJanice toay 082 770 1510, Jackie rosenberg 083 414 6600, Basil Moraitis 082 565 8481
WEB ACCESS 1GC1005569
Grahamstown, eastern CaPe
Set on 1 300 ha of well-watered and fully stocked land, this expansive lodge overlooks a tranquil valley, offering great game viewing from its decks. Located 20 minutes from Grahamstown, the property brims with possibility.
R11.627 millionAngus Sholto-douglas 083 406 0147, Office 046 622 2778
WEB ACCESS 1EA1029098
east london, eastern CaPe
This sensational property is set in a prime location and boasts breathtaking sea views. Features include a gourmet kitchen, spacious living rooms, top-of-the-range bathrooms and luxury fixtures and fittings throughout.
R3.8 millionHanlie Bassingthwaighte 083 659 8287, Anton Coetzee 082 779 9004
WEB ACCESS 1GC1029631
Grahamstown, eastern CaPe
This charming home, circa 1830, is set in a park-like garden and features wooden floors, pressed ceilings and cellar. This magnificent property would make an exceptional guesthouse or spacious family home. R4.5 millionKim Webber 082 523 8277, Office 046 622 2778
WEB ACCESS 1GC1028241
Grahamstown, eastern CaPe
This gracious family home is set on 2 erven and its features include a modern, revamped kitchen and bathrooms, as well as a main upstairs bedroom with sweeping views over the town. R4.6 million
daphne timm 082 809 4283, Office 046 622 2778
WEB ACCESS 1EA1028734
east london, eastern CaPe
This large home with 4 bedrooms and a spacious study also offers gorgeous, flowing entertainment areas and a gourmet kitchen.
R2.2 millionHanlie Bassingthwaighte 083 659 8287, Anton Coetzee 082 779 9004
WEB ACCESS 1GC1022819
Grahamstown, eastern CaPe
This classic home has a huge garden and plenty of potential to become a majestic residence. Set in a sought-after area, the property also includes a 2-bedroom, self-contained flat. R3.2 millionBrenda Cadle 083 529 5551, Office 046 622 2778
www.pamgolding.co.za
WEB ACCESS 1KC1027629
noetzie, Garden route
The perfect opportunity to own your very own well-appointed private castle, this spectacular home is set on a secluded beach adjacent to the internationally acclaimed Pezula Private Estate.
R56 millionLing dobson 083 252 2112, Office 044 382 5574
WEB ACCESS 1KC1023725
Knysna, Garden route
Located on Thesen Island, this modern, open-plan property is surrounded by water. The home is sunny and bright and features spectacular views of the canal. R3.9 millionAmanda Stocks 083 566 4488, Office 044 382 1775
WEB ACCESS 1KC1023196
Knysna heads, Garden route
Set on the Western Head, a stone’s throw from Knysna, this home offers countryside living on a 14ha secure estate and boasts a prime position with stunning lagoon and ocean views. R16.125 millionpetrusia deacon 082 734 1373, Office 044 382 5574
WEB ACCESS 1KC1024925
Knysna Quays, Garden route
One of the best-positioned units at the Knysna Quays, and with a large deep-water mooring, this property provides ample accommodation, good security and top finishes throughout.
R6.3 millionEdward Alant 082 979 5309, Office 044 382 5574
WEB ACCESS 1KC1022229
Knysna, Garden route
A beautiful and well-designed home with open-plan living, this residence is set on Thesen Island’s waterways. It has superb finishes and includes a flatlet and jetty. R6.5 millionKim Bailey 083 448 2632, Office 044 382 1775
WEB ACCESS 1KC1027279
Knysna heads, Garden route
This wonderful family/holiday home is located close to the beach and lagoon and has fabulous views, as well as a protected and sunny garden.
R4.8 milliondeborah Scott 072 731 8188, Office 044 384 0100
www.pamgolding.co.za/ebotse
Sales team: Office 011 425 9400, [email protected] Celeste ferreira 072 220 8845, fatima rebelo 082 499 4542, Lydia van der Merwe 082 601 0539,tammy Heatly 082 462 7644, Caroline franks 072 102 0042, Elize Coulter 084 370 6710
MOSt Of uS ArE used to visualising
SA Revenue Services as a sort of modern
highwayman, putting a gun to our heads and
squeezing as much of our earnings as it can,
while we wake up in a cold sweat fearing the
outcome of not fully complying with our returns.
We perceive SARS’ growing efficiency as a threat
and an imposition and ignore the contribution it
makes to the national economy.
So it is with considerable surprise that we
occasionally see the hand of friendship extended.
Our natural reaction is to beware the SARS
bearing gifts. However, says IP’s tax adviser Grant
Bayne, that is just what the taxman is offering –
and not just one gesture, but actually two.
One affects the removal of a residential
property out of a corporate or trust structure and
the second is the waiver of penalties and interest
for tax indiscretions – including taxation of assets
linked to exchange control contravention. In
essence, these actions indicate where SARS sees
tax revenue escaping the net and may intend
applying strong punitive action in future.
This is rather the impression we got last
year when a concession was granted enabling
taxpayers to transfer primary residences out
of existing companies or trusts. SARS believed
that these structures were created to avoid the
payment of transfer duty. Yet, oddly enough
comments Bayne, SARS had never bothered
to challenge such measures under the anti-
avoidance measures available to it.
“There were criticisms of the 2009 concession
and in some cases the unwinding of such structures
was not possible as this would have triggered
tax. In this year’s Budget Finance Minister Pravin
Gordhan, formerly head of SARS, announced that
this window would be extended, and this was
generally welcomed. The amendments to the Act
are now in draft form and propose to provide a
more flexible regime. Early in August this year
SARS announced:
‘It is now proposed that the 2010 regime be
further widened to allow a more complete array
of distributions. Firstly, the distribution rules will
no longer be restricted to the originating funders
(and their spouses). Qualifying distributions
can be made to a broader set of shareholders
or beneficiaries. Secondly, the revised relief will
accommodate multi-tier structures. Nonetheless,
the requirement that the distributing company
or trust (including structures with multiple tiers)
is liquidated, wound up or deregistered in order
to qualify for the relief on transfer duty remains
unchanged.’
“This gets around prior issues where a trust
held a company, which in turn held another
company, which held property. These changes
will appear in a Bill shortly and will most likely be
promulgated by the end of the year.”
Bayne advises that anyone holding residential
property in a structure – be it simple or complex
– may find benefit in waiting until the new
legislation is on the table before unwinding.
SARS, he says, is keen to unwind such structures
but is also determined to “get it right”.
“Considering the proposed changes to the
current Bill there may be opportunities, especially
with trusts. Unwinding a complex tiered structure
now before the legislation is enacted may well
incur transfer duty and trigger other taxes.”
MEA CuLpAOnce again to encourage taxpayers to come
clean without the fear of being marched off to
prison, SARS is proposing a “voluntary disclosure
programme” which will come into force from
November 1 this year and run for one year. It will
avoid non-discretionary imposition of interest.
During this period taxpayers may confess
their tax sins and regularise their tax affairs, but
it does not absolve them from a SARS audit or
investigation. However, although the full amount
of any tax owing will still have to be paid,
additional tax, penalties and interest relating
to any default will be waived. To improve the
flavour of the carrot, SARS says that it will not
pursue criminal prosecution in respect of the
transgression.
Says Bayne: “Apparently there may be limited
circumstances wherein disclosure can be made
after taxpayers have become aware of an audit
or investigation. In such cases, only 50% of the
interest relating to the default will be waived.”
Incidentally, the programme is expected to
run simultaneously with one governing exchange
control misdemeanours. Says Bayne: “Clearly
SARS suspects that there are still a lot of people
who did not make use of the previous exchange
control amnesty and that there is still a lot of loot
lying hidden offshore.”
SARS Bearing GiftsTaxes
Wait awhile before unwinding property in trusts or companies until the new rules are clear.
Another amnesty for tax and exchange control fiddlers
Of interest to hard-pressed consumers, SARS has announced that the country has 5,5 million
individual taxpayers and 1,8 million companies paying tax. This is a respectable jump from
3,7 million individual taxpayers five years ago, but it is still a drop in the ocean in a country with an
estimated population of some 50 million. People in Gauteng pay just over half of tax assessed.
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 2010 15
London Focus
Moving Offshore
WHiLE uK rESidEntiAL property generally
is showing signs of faltering growth, the London
market is powering ahead. Demand is outstripping
supply, prices are climbing, and sellers are holding
on to their properties, to such an extent that the
ultra-wealthy foreign buyers are turning to other
European capitals in which to invest.
According to one UK property economist, “With
prices rebounding strongly on the back of this
demand, the separation in performance between
London and the rest of the country has now
turned into a chasm… Short term pricing trends
are becoming an irrelevance. Demand for central
London property is so large, and supply so limited,
that these price trends no longer matter. The prime
London market is becoming ever more difficult to
access, with choice so limited in some areas as to
make suitable purchases a virtual impossibility.”
Central London is dominated by discretionary
owners (59% are un-mortgaged). As a result, they
can sell when they choose to, meaning that when
prices fall, so too does supply. And even when they
do take a dip the attitude appears to be, “Who
cares?” However, falls are not presently on the
cards and prices are expected to rise by 7,5% in
the final quarter of this year.
James Talbot, international sales director of
Savills, Pam Golding Properties’ UK associate,
advises: “I have seen the market bounce back.
The situation makes for a very astute medium-
term investment opportunity with potential capital
growth. “
Talbot makes the point that a South African
buyer can benefit from the weak pound sterling
and the strong rand and thus take advantage of
the R4 million which can be legally taken offshore.
Recognising this opportunity, PGP’s chief executive
Dr Andrew Golding and Chris Immelman, MD of
the group’s international division, viewed several
residential developments in central London and
selected two which they consider appropriate for
the South African market. Both are in South West
London where, according to Savills, prime rental
values outperform both prime central and prime
East of City markets.
Both are being developed by the Berkeley
Group’s St James Homes, winner of the Queen’s
Award for Enterprise . The first is Avington House in
Queen Mary’s Place, a collection of apartments set
within the 14-acre grounds of Roehampton House,
a stately 18th century Grade 1 listed building. Says
Chris Immelman: “The bulk of the units sold to date
have been snapped up by UK buyers, so we are
fortunate in bringing to the South African market
a limited number of units.” Tenure on Avington
House is a 125 year lease.
Avington House is ideally located, within
walking distance of Richmond Park and
Wimbledon Common and about four miles from
Royal Wimbledon. In close proximity are trendy
Barnes and Putney, the River Thames being two
miles away. Commuting access to central London
is easy; train time to London Victoria is 16 minutes
and to Waterloo 22 minutes.
The 2-bedroom units marketed by PGP are
priced from GBP 349 950 to GBP 379 950, all with
the latest in technology. A typical apartment will
have a net internal space of around 63 m2 – tight
by South African standards, but very much the norm
in relatively inexpensive residential developments in
London. Says Chris Immelman: “This is one of the
best developments. Heathrow airport is only a 30
minute drive and the heart of London’s entertainment
and cultural centre easily reached.”
Also in South West London but further south,
below Wimbledon Common and about 4 miles
from Kingston on Thames, lies the second
development – Coombe House, the final phase of
the Trinity Place project by St James Homes. Trinity
Place offers unique outside space, uncommon for
London developments. 2 Large communal roof
top terraces are available to residents and all
apartments have their own private balcony or a
terrace area and several include both. The complex
includes a Waitrose store as well as a coffee
shop, residents’ gymnasium and cycle storage.
There is allocated parking within the purchase
price for the 2-bedroom units. Prices range from
GBP 246 000 for a 1-bedroom apartment up to
around GBP 360 000 depending on volume and
which floor (there are 3). Average floor coverage
for a 1-bedroom unit is between 46 and 50 m2 and
75 - 80 m2 for a 2-bedroom apartment. Tenure is
a 999 year lease.
Situated close to Raynes Park station, Trinity is
also well placed for access to central London as
well as Heathrow and Gatwick airports.
An interesting aspect of this development
is that it has been designed with a commitment
to sustainable energy. Through careful choice of
building materials and a central, combined heat
and power system the project can deliver a 25%
reduction in carbon dioxide emissions below the
applicable building regulations. There is also an on-
site recycling facility.
Both Avington House and Coombe House
are planned to be ready for occupation around
Britain’s Spring next year – March/April. Following
presentations in Gauteng and Cape Town, Pam
Golding Properties CE Dr Andrew Golding disclosed
that interest has been phenomenal, but again
commented that “every astute investor would
want to add Central London residential property
to their portfolio”.
Central London property has swept aside the UK value slide and continues to power ahead.
Demand is outstripping supply. PGP offers two opportunities to South Africans.
the trinity place project
the Avington House
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 201016
BuYing in LOndOn – StEp BY StEpIf, as a South African resident, you decide to
invest in overseas property, the first step you need
to take is to establish an offshore bank account into
which you can transfer all, or part of your overseas
investment allowance (currently R4 million
per person). You will require a tax clearance
certificate from SARS. You then need to inform
your South African attorney of your intentions
and appoint (through him/her or with the help of
PGP’s international division) a UK solicitor.
If, presumably, you intend to finance part of
the purchase, PGP’s London associate Savills
Private Finance division will assist you in securing
a suitable mortgage. You must provide suitable
financial statements and proof that you can meet
the required mortgage payments – not simply
from rental income (see cash flow panel).
The British system of buying and selling
property is different than that of South Africa.
In the UK, prior to an “exchange of contracts”
– the legal term given to the act of offer and
acceptance – your appointed solicitor in the UK
will run a series of searches and checks on the
property and the developer or seller. Once the
“exchange of contracts” has taken place both
the buyer and the seller are now legally bound to
follow through with the transaction and neither
may withdraw.
With transfer completed and applicable fees
and duties paid – at this point the buyer must
pay Land Registration fees of approximately
GBP 330 to enable the property to be legally
transferred into your name. Similar to our Transfer
Duty, you will be required to pay Stamp Duty
Land Tax, which varies depending on the value of
the property. At the prices of London apartments
marketed by Pam Golding Properties SDLT would
typically be 3%.
rAndS And SEnSEBesides being attractive to South Africans
seeking a compact, secure dwelling in London,
both Avington House and Coombe house offer
attractive “buy-to-let” investment potential. If
you intend going this route you should appoint
a managing agent. The agent will collect the
keys, gain access and, if you wish, supervise
the furnishing of the apartment. The units come
complete with all white goods. Furniture packs
may be purchased at different levels – from
GBP 2 500 upwards, or you can furnish your home
yourself (fairly time-consuming).
Pam Golding Properties and Savills have an
association with managing agents Vanet Estates,
which has a Gauteng office specifically to deal
with South African customers. Its local agent
Phillip Gittens says: “Some 80% of our clients are
South Africans who own London property, so it
makes sense to have a presence here.”
Services included in the managing agent’s role
are; securing and vetting suitable tenants, drafting
the tenancy or lease agreement, collecting your
rent (usually monthly) and depositing it into
your bank account as well as paying your annual
expenses such as service charges and ground
rent. Service charges are the UK equivalent of
the levies we pay on properties in SA. Fees range
from GBP 1 000 to GBP 3 500 a year and are
usually paid in two instalments. As the properties
are leasehold, ground rent is payable to the
owner of the underlying land. Incidentally, part
of the solicitor’s duties will be to check leasehold
agreements and ensure that the buyer is not
compromised in any way.
If you are going the buy-to-let route, it’s worth
noting a couple of points in terms of tenants. Your
managing agent will organise a tenant reference
check, which is carried out by an independent
company. An option, says Gittens, is an insurance
policy (costing GBP 110 a year) which guarantees
rental payment for six months should a tenant
defect. Also important is an inventory report,
also by an independent company, as the tenant
moves in. A six weeks deposit is standard and this
is held against any claims (breakages etc). When
the tenant moves out the same report is used for
a second inspection. Any disputes will go before
the Tenancy Deposit Scheme.
Most apartments are let furnished. Vanet
Estates assures that, for example, it will seek
around GBP 380 a week for a 2-bedroom
apartment at Avington House.” Generally speaking
letting demand is for furnished accommodation.
However, rental income doesn’t vary much
between furnished and unfurnished.”
There is an important legal issue to deal with
in terms of rental income. Subject to certain
deductions, the income will be subject to UK
income tax and your agent, or the tenant, is
obliged to deduct basic rate tax at 20% before
paying the rent to you. This can be avoided by
registering with HM Revenue Services as a
non-resident landlord. You should also consider
having a separate English will to cover your UK-
based assets. This can help avoid inheritance tax.
Furthermore, check out your status in terms of
capital gains tax. If you have been a UK resident
in the past and return to the UK within five years
you can be liable.
finAnCE And gEAring Buyers at Avington House and Coombe House
can gear their purchase through the association
between PGP and Savills Private Finance. An
indicative outflow/inflow scenario for a 2-bedroom
unit at Avington House would be as follows:
Indicative purchase price GBP 369 950
Cash (40%) 147 980
Mortgage (60% @ 3,5% interest only) 221 970
Total purchase costs 18 210
Rental income @ GBP 365 per week
less outgoings 13 763
Mortgage repayment 7 769
net income 5 994
Purchase cash flow
Reservation fee 2 500
Deposit: (10% on exchange, 28 days
from reservation) 36 995
Stage payment: (5% once roof has
been completed) 18 498
Completion: remaining cash portion 89 988
SuMMArYCash portion of purchase price GBP 147 980
Total purchase costs 18 210
Total cash required 166 190
rand value r1 828 088
According to Tom Bland, a director of Savills
Private Finance, there are various mortgage
options which can be negotiated. Proof of income,
assets and liabilities and income/expenditure
statements including bank statements, are
required. “We can usually get a decision in
principle within a few days to a week. “
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 2010 17
South Africa Calling…
tHE SuCCESSfuL SOCCEr WOrLd Cup has presented South Africa with an ideal
opportunity to promote the country to foreigners
as a prime investment destination, Pam Golding
Properties’ CE, Dr Andrew Golding told the recent
IPD/SAPOA conference. “If ever there was a time
to present our credentials to the international
community of investors, it is in the afterglow of
such a resoundingly successful World Cup.”
Dr Golding suggested that the residential
property market remains an attractive asset class
at this time and presents an opportunity to make
profits. The market recession provided ideal timing
for foreign buyers, he added.
A vital component in attracting foreign buyers
to South Africa is the basic fact that there are no
restrictions in respect of property ownership by
non-residents – other than illegal aliens. There
are, however, procedures and requirements. If, for
example, a foreign entity (a company, trust etc) buys
property it must be registered in South Africa and
appoint a South African public officer. If the non-
resident intends residing in South Africa for long
periods a residence permit must be applied for.
There are a number of frequently asked
questions from foreigners interested in buying
property in South Africa. A number of these follow,
with the answers provided by attorneys Smith
Tabata Buchanan Boyes.
q. How can foreign funds be brought into
South Africa for a property acquisition?
A. Foreign funds can be paid into any nominated
bank account in South Africa. This account will
usually be the trust account of the estate agent
or transferring attorneys into which the deposit
for the property and the balance of the purchase
price is paid. These funds will be invested (and
interest accrued) for the non-resident’s benefit. The
regulation of these accounts is supervised by the
professional boards overseeing the operations of
both attorneys and estate agents.
When a non-resident transfers funds from a
foreign source into a South African bank account,
a record known as a “deal receipt” is kept by the
South African bank. This is an important document
which will be needed to effect repatriation of the
funds.
note: Capital gains tax. A non-resident can
be liable for CGT in certain circumstances. Advice
should be gained from the buyer’s attorneys.
q. Can money be borrowed in South
Africa to purchase property?
A. Yes, but non-residents are restricted in their
borrowing ratio to 50% of the purchase price,
while the remaining 50% must be brought into
the country in cash from a foreign bank. In order
to qualify for a South African mortgage bond,
the non-resident will have to comply with the
bank’s normal credit criteria and comply with the
Financial Intelligence Centre Act. This act requires
identification of the non-resident for money-
laundering purposes, and involves producing
certain documents. Also, the SA Reserve Bank
adjudges all foreigners not having their domicile in
South Africa as non-residents. However, foreigners
with work permits will be considered residents for
the duration of their work permit.
q. Are there any other costs, other than
the purchase price, for which the purchases
will be liable?
A. Yes, as follows: Transfer duty is a tax levied on
the acquisition value. It is payable prior to transfer
of ownership. For a natural person a purchase up to
R500 000 is exempt; from R500 000 to R1 million
it is 5%, and more than R1 million the duty is 8%.
For entities the tax is 8% without exception.
Other costs include transfer fees (not payable
if the seller is VAT registered); Deeds Office levies;
pro rata rates and taxes; rates clearance certificate
fee; sectional title levies; attorney’s fees.
q. On sale of the property can the money
be taken out of the country?
A. Understandably, this is without doubt the
number one concern of non-residents considering
investing in South Africa. Their answer is, simply,
yes! Money from a foreign source together with
any profit, proportionate the non-resident’s
shareholding in the property, may be repatriated.
The non-resident must present the Reserve Bank
with all deal receipts, a copy of the agreement
of sale together with the conveyancer’s final
statement of all costs for the duration of ownership.
This facilitates the repatriation of the funds and
the profit on the sale, provided the bankers are
satisfied that such profit is reasonable and market
related.
Obviously, if the purchase was partially financed
by funds borrowed in South Africa, that portion of
the purchase price cannot be repatriated unless
the mortgage bond has been settled in full. It is
important to note that during the course of the
bond repayment history, the instalments towards
the bond must have emanated from a foreign
source or from rental/interest income generated.
As stated earlier, funds will be subject to capital
gains tax.
q. is a non-resident liable for payment of
South African income tax?
A. While South Africans are taxed on their
worldwide income, non-residents are liable for
income tax only on income accruing from a South
African source. For example, if the property is
rented, the rental income will be subject to South
African income tax.
A non-resident who has not permanently
immigrated to South Africa will be considered
a resident for income tax purposes if she or he
spends more than a certain length of time within
the country. This is known as the “physical presence
test” and is calculated in terms of days spent in the
country over a 3-year period.
No tax is levied on foreign pensions.
Foreign Buyers
Foreign property buyers have been few and far between as the global recession hit the pockets
even of the well-heeled. That there are few if any restrictions on foreigners is a plus.
The market recession provided ideal timing for foreign buyers, says Dr Andrew Golding.
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 201018
Legals
Word of Mouth
OrAL AgrEEMEntS can be quicksand in
the property market, as a recent court judgment
illustrates. The basic issue in this case was whether
a verbal compromise can override a non-variation
clause. Attorneys Smith Tabata Buchanan Boyes
explain: “Notwithstanding non-variation clauses
in Deeds of Sale and Lease Agreements, property
practitioners will be familiar with allegations by
one or even both parties that they have orally
agreed to something which constitutes an
amendment of their written agreement and are
thus not bound by the original clauses of the
written agreement.
“This matter illustrates the perils of relying
on alleged variations. The interesting twist
here is that the tenant alleged that the original
agreement was not varied but, in terms of a
compromise reached with the landlord, that the
latter waived its rights to sue for arrear rental.”
The facts are as follows:
The defendants, a company, entered into a
written agreement in August 2008 in terms of
which it leased premises from a Trust. Occupancy
was from 1 July 2008 and rental was payable
monthly. The lease contained the clause: “No
variation, amendment or cancellation of this lease,
inclusive of this clause… shall be binding unless
it is in writing and is signed by both landlord and
tenant.”
However, from June 2009 the company
defaulted on the rental, electricity charges
and other operating costs and in February the
following year the trust issued summons against
the company and four individuals who had signed
sureties. When the sureties entered notice to
defend, the trust applied for summary judgment.
The sureties based their defence on the fact that
the parties had reached an oral compromise
after it had been made known to the trust that
the company was experiencing serious cash flow
problems. They alleged the compromise provided
that:
• The lease would be cancelled as from
1 September 2009 onwards;
• That the trust may use the deposit the
company had paid towards reducing their
damages resulting in the early cancellation in
lieu of outstanding rentals; and
• Neitherpartywouldproceedagainsttheother
in terms of the lease agreement.
The company vacated the premises on
1 September 2009 and regarded the matter as
finalised. With regard to the non-variation clause,
the sureties argued that it was not applicable
because the compromise constituted a waiver
by the trust of its right to pursue its remedies in
terms of the agreement, rather than a variation.
The court, however, granted the summary
judgment and held that;
• Itwastritethatwhereanon-variationclause,
such as the one in the lease agreement
under discussion, which was contained in a
written agreement, any verbal amendment or
cancellation of the agreement was null and
void and of no force and effect.
• On the other hand, our courts have
acknowledged that a non-variation clause
did not prevent one party waiving a provision
of an agreement which was entirely for that
party’s benefit or waiving the right to pursue
his or her remedy for a breach that had already
occurred.
• That the facts indicated that the sureties’
defence was based on their alleged right
to cancel the agreement which arose from
their alleged oral agreement with the trust.
Similarly, the right to vacate (agreed upon in
the oral arrangement) could not exist if the
written lease agreement was still in place.
• In effect, the oral arrangement/compromise
constituted an oral cancellation of the
agreement, not a waiver of right. As such,
it was disallowed and considered invalid by
virtue of the non-variation clause.
For those in the property industry the moral
of the story is: Should the need arise to amend
a written agreement which provides that it
cannot be varied other than in writing, then any
such variation must also be in writing. If not, the
original agreement stands.
... the moral of the story is: Should the need arise to amend a written agreement... such variation must also be in writing. If not, the original agreement stands.
A cautionary tale - changes to agreements in writing must also be in writing.
Verbal variations may be agreed but they won’t necessarily stand up.
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 2010 19
Growth Potential
tHE LiStEd prOpErtY SECtiOn in the
JSE securities exchange remains a favourite with
investors. The improved rating over the past few
months has resulted in double digit yearly growth in
prices (March up 15% and April up 13%). This has
compensated to some extent for the disappointing
yearly growth in income streams.
Funds are still trading at a premium of about
100 points to long bond yields, according to the
latest Rode Report, which comments that this
shows that investors are still willing to pay a
premium for listed property because of the added
luxury of potential income growth.
Says the Rode Report: “Considering that
non-residential property fundamentals remain
under pressure at the moment – read rising
vacancies and shrinking market rentals – a
further deceleration in the growth of distributions
from listed property funds is possible. This does
not augur well for listed property prices should
sentiment turn against listed property.”
Catalyst Fund Managers’ August report
concurs: “Over the last 12-24 months the direct
property market has been characterised by
weakening property fundamentals and this has led
to slowing in income distribution growth over the
same period. Although the operating environment
will remain challenging over the next 12 months,
the signs are that fundamentals are beginning to
show signs of improvement.”
August is a busy time for the listed property
sector in terms of reporting results. A total of nine
out of the sector’s 22 listed companies report
either full year or interim results in the month.
These companies account for 60% of the sector in
terms of market capitalisation.
Catalyst’s three-year ranking in total return of
property units trusts is as follows:
1. Capital property (69,78%)
2. Emira (41,33%)
3. Fountainhead (33,70%)
4. SA Corporate (25,89%)
5. Sycom (-8,91%)
Property loan stock three-year ranking (cumulative
growth over the period) is :
1. Fortress B (76,00%)
2. Capital Property (69,78%)
3. Panprop (52,86%)
4. Resilient (49,54%)
5. Vukile (46,53%)
6. Premium (38,00%)
7. Hyprop (37,91%)
8. Acucap (34,20%)
9. Redefine (34,14%)
10. Growthpoint (27,31%)
11. Hospitality A (16,51%)
12. Octodec (13,32%)
13. Fortress A (10,00%)
14. Hospitality B (-19,14%)
The fact that real office, industrial and mall
rentals are shrinking is impacting on the commercial
property market. In Johannesburg, Pretoria and
Cape Town the growth in market rental was on
average below that of building cost inflation. This
means that in real terms rentals are lower than
they were a year ago.
Commenting on the industrial market, the
Rode Report says: “Although the stilts of the
market – namely manufacturing activity and retail
sales – can be said to be in recovery mode, the
strength and sustainability of the recovery remains
uncertain. This uncertainty comes mainly against
the backdrop of a South African economy that is
still shedding jobs, and a wobbly world economy.”
Rode adds that uncertainty regarding market
rental prospects are a negative, adding that in the
first quarter of this year market rentals continued
to contract. On the Central Witwatersrand (-7%),
in Durban (-5%), Port Elizabeth (-3%) and the
Cape Peninsula (-2%) market rentals were lower
than a year ago.
Vacancy rates in smaller shopping centres took
a hike as a result of weaker retail sales. However,
the national tenants, especially those in regional
centres, continued to do well.
In terms of office space, capitalization rates
remained firm despite the sharp rise in vacancies.
The reason for this, says Rode, is probably because
South African landlords have not been under as
much pressure to sell as those, for instance in the
UK. Cap rates in the decentralised Johannesburg
office areas moved sideways, similarly in Pretoria
and Durban. In the major Cape Town decentralised
office locations such as Claremont, Tyger Valley,
Century City and Westlake, cap rates on prime
office property are in the order of 10%.
Commercial
Listed property is still attractive as an investment, in spite of a dip in income streams.
But commercial property remains under some pressure as the economy lags.
intELLECtuAL prOpErtY September 201020
www.pamgolding.co.za
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