two islingtons: understanding the problem / islington · pdf file two islingtons:...

40
www.islington.gov.uk/fairness Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base Introduction 1. It has become rather clichéd to say that Islington is a place where rich and poor live cheek by jowl. In fact Islington is one of the most deprived local authority areas in the country, but it is also home to some of the wealthiest and influential people in Britain. 2. This document attempts to provide a short, accessible statistical overview of the life of people living in Islington. It highlights differences in the experience of different groups within the community. There are inevitably some gaps in the data and it is likely to raise at least as many questions as it answers. Population overview 3. Islington’s population is very diverse. Of the 200,000 residents just over a quarter are from BME communities and a further fifth are white but not of British heritage. Islington has a lot of young adults, attracted by job opportunities in the capital, but fewer older people and children compared to London. 4. About one in six people has a disability or long-term illness that affects their day to day activities. The borough has one of the highest proportions of social tenants in the country, a large private rented sector but relatively few home owners.

Upload: vuongkiet

Post on 06-Feb-2018

216 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

www.islington.gov.uk/fairness

Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem

Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base Introduction 1. It has become rather clichéd to say that Islington is a place where rich and poor live

cheek by jowl. In fact Islington is one of the most deprived local authority areas in the country, but it is also home to some of the wealthiest and influential people in Britain.

2. This document attempts to provide a short, accessible statistical overview of the life of

people living in Islington. It highlights differences in the experience of different groups within the community. There are inevitably some gaps in the data and it is likely to raise at least as many questions as it answers.

Population overview 3. Islington’s population is very diverse. Of the 200,000 residents just over a quarter are

from BME communities and a further fifth are white but not of British heritage. Islington has a lot of young adults, attracted by job opportunities in the capital, but fewer older people and children compared to London.

4. About one in six people has a disability or long-term illness that affects their day to day

activities. The borough has one of the highest proportions of social tenants in the country, a large private rented sector but relatively few home owners.

Page 2: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Islington (% of population)

London (% of population)

Tenure1 Social rented Owner occupier Private rented

44% 32% 24%

26% 57% 17%

Age2 0-17 18-34 35-59 60+

18% 35% 35% 12%

22% 28% 34% 15%

Ethnicity2 White Black Asian Other

74% 13% 5% 8%

65% 14% 12% 9%

Long-term limiting illness (LLI)3 Disabled or LLI Not Disabled/LLI

18% 82%

15.5% 84.5%

Deprivation and prosperity in Islington. 5. One of the most useful tools in understanding relative deprivation and poverty within

Islington is the Index of Multiple Deprivation4 (IMD). According to the IMD, Islington is the eighth most deprived area in the country and the fourth most deprived in London.

6. There is a clear ‘band of deprivation’ through north and east London with runs through

Islington (see Figure 1 in Annex 1). This provides a visual measure of the depth of deprivation in the borough (and neighbouring areas).

7. Two thirds of the 118 ‘super output areas’ (SOAs) in the borough are among the 20% most

deprived SOAs in the country. Figures 2 and 3 shows the pattern of deprivation within the borough, with darker areas representing the more deprived areas. The concentration of these is in the northern half of the borough, with a substantial cluster to the south east and pockets of deep deprivation scattered elsewhere.

1 Source: Islington Housing Needs Assessment, 2007 (Islington); Census 2001. 2 GLA Population Projections 2008 Round, Greater London Authority. 3 Limiting long-term illness covers any long-term illness; health problem or disability which limits daily activities. Census 2001. 4 Index of Multiple Deprivation, 2007, Communities and Local Government is constructed by combining seven ‘domains’ each of which relates to a major social or economic deprivation. The data is calculated at Lower Super Output Area (LSOA) across the country. There are 118 LSOAs in Islington (housing an average of around 1700 people each).

Page 3: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Deprivation map of Islington

8. Rather perplexingly, despite being one of the most deprived local authorities in the country

Islington ranks highly nationally on a prosperity index (Local Futures, 2010) too. Reflecting variables such as average income, house prices and two-car households, Islington’s prosperity score of 163 places it in the top 20 most prosperous districts nationally. This may seem counter-intuitive but does reflect a wealthy minority living in the borough.

9. Demographic profiling using Mosaic5 enables the borough’s population to be divided into

different categories. In Islington there are two main groups that together account for over

5 Mosaic is a tool that has been developed by Experian UK Ltd. It divides the population into one of 15 groups and within these into 67 mosaic ‘types’

Page 4: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

90% of the population. They are described as “young people renting flats in high density social housing” (43%) and “young well educated city dwellers” (48%). These descriptions are inevitably very sweeping but suggest two very different demographics. According to Mosaic there is a small minority of Islington residents (3%) classified as “wealthy people living in the most sought after neighbourhoods” and a further 3% described as “lower income workers in urban terraces”. Figure 4 shows the distribution.

Child poverty 10. Of the 40,000 children and young people in the borough 45% live in poverty. This equates

to 18,000 children and is the second highest rate in the country. Of these, 73% live in lone parent households. Only one in seven is in a low income working household. Child poverty in Islington is overwhelmingly a phenomenon associated with worklessness.

“Nearly half of Islington’s children live in poverty, and almost all are in workless families.”

Income and debt 11. Reliable data on income is difficult to obtain. Paycheck (modelled household income data,

developed by CACI) data for Islington shows that there is a wide range of household incomes. Fifteen percent of households having an income of less than £15,000 and just under half have an income of under £30,000. One in six households in the borough has an income of over £60,000 (see Figure 6).

12. Data on earned income suggests that in Islington the gross full-time earnings of the lowest

earners is £351 per week compared to gross earnings of £1,127 of the top 20% of earners. In other words the higher earners are paid nearly four times as much as the lower earners.

Proportion of children living in poverty(Islington, London and England)

0%10%20%30%40%

50%

60%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

EnglandLondonIslington

Page 5: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

“The lowest paid workers in Islington earn, on average, only a quarter of the better paid earners.”

Gross weekly pay: Annual Survey of Earnings and Hours, NOMIS 2009

£352 £346 £351£216 £0 £193

£1,207

£1,059£1,127 £1,134

£923£1,053

£0

£250

£500

£750

£1,000

£1,250

Male Female Total Male Female Total

Full-time workers All workersEmployment group

Pay

10th Percentile 80th Percentile 13. Debt is a problem faced by a large number of Islington residents. Recent research suggests

that over 11,000 people have debts of between £5-15,000 and a further 13,000 people have unsecured debts exceeding £15,000 (Rocket Science report into Debt in Islington, January 2010).

14. Postcode analysis shows that a relatively high proportion of low income postcodes have

significant levels of unsecured debt of over £15,000. Enterprise, jobs and skills 15. There are 10,300 businesses in Islington providing a total of 176,000 jobs. Despite the

recession the number of businesses has increased slightly in the last five years, and 25,000 more people are employed than in 2005.

Enterprises in Islington

9,90010,000

10,10010,20010,300

10,40010,500

Apr

-05

Aug

-05

Dec

-05

Apr

-06

Aug

-06

Dec

-06

Apr

-07

Aug

-07

Dec

-07

Apr

-08

Aug

-08

Dec

-08

Apr

-09

Aug

-09

Dec

-09

Apr

-10

date

num

ber

16. Four fifths of local businesses have 10 or fewer employees, but the 200 biggest companies

account for nearly half the jobs in the borough. The vast majority of jobs in the borough are professional and business services, such as finance, IT, health and education (Figures 5c and 5d).

Page 6: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

17. There are 140,000 people in Islington of working age. Two thirds of them are in employment. The number who are in work has fallen over the last year and is lower than the London average despite there being 1.3 jobs located in the borough for each resident of working age.

18. Islington has a relatively skilled workforce with a higher than average number of people

qualified to degree level or the equivalent (47%), but 18,000 residents of working age have no qualifications at all and a further 13,000 have fewer than fives GCSE passes6.

19. Two thirds of employed Islington residents work in professional and technical occupations, a

fifth work in administrative, skilled and semi-skilled occupations, and the remainder – about 9,000 residents - work in unskilled occupations (Figure 8b).

20. Official unemployment in Islington is also higher than average. The current rate is 5.5%

which is the eighth highest in London, and Islington residents are likely to claim Job Seekers Allowance for longer than claimants elsewhere in London.

21. Unemployment by ward varies from 7.7% in Finsbury Park to 3.6% in Clerkenwell. (Figures

9 and 10). Young people are much more likely to be unemployed than the population as a whole, as are people from black and minority ethnic (BME) groups (fig 11).

22. Four hundred 16 to 18 year olds are not in employment, education or training (NEET) and

95% of these live in families where nobody works. There are some groups where the proportion of NEETs is significantly higher than the average. For example 19% of young people who are disabled.

Health 23. NHS Islington has recently produced a report on health inequalities in Islington7. It provides

an accessible overview of the health inequalities in the borough. It puts the context of health in Islington into perspective in a single, stark paragraph:

“Islington residents experience poorer physical and mental health that results in early deaths from cancer and circulatory disease. This is mainly because of deprivation across all Islington wards coupled with unhealthy lifestyle choices and poor access to the right services at the right time.”

24. Deprivation and health inequalities are inextricably linked, and deprivation stands out as the

main risk factor for early death and poor health in Islington. 25. At present in Islington:

• Men in Islington have the lowest life expectancy in London (75.1 years) • Women in Islington have the fourth lowest life expectancy in London (81.0 years) • Although life expectancy in Islington is increasing, the gap between Islington and

elsewhere is widening as life expectancy is increasing elsewhere at a faster rate. 26. Deprivation and poverty has a direct correlation with unhealthy lifestyle behaviours. The

major lifestyle factors that contribute to early deaths in Islington are smoking, poor diet, low

6 Qualifications Jan-Dec 2008, Nomis Official Labour Market Statistics, 2010. 7 Closing the Gap, Tackling Health Inequalities in Islington, June 2010

Page 7: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

levels of physical activity, poor mental health, alcohol and substance misuse, teenage pregnancy and sexual health, but geographical differences are also apparent.

27. Between 2003 and 2007 Clerkenwell had the highest life expectancy for men (77.8 years)

and Tollington had the lowest (72.6 years) – a difference of over 5 years. For women, St George’s ward had the highest life expectancy (82.5 years) and Finsbury Park had the lowest (78.1 years).

“Women live much longer than men but there are also big differences in life expectancy depending on where in the borough you live.”

Life expectancy at birth by ward (2003-7) Source: Closing the Gap, NHS Islington 2010

60

65

70

75

80

85

Clerke

nwell

Bunhil

l

Barnsb

ury

Highbu

ry Eas

t

Highbu

ry W

est

Canon

bury

St Geo

rges

Junc

tion

St Mary

s

Caledo

nian

Mildmay

St Pete

rs

Hillrise

Hollow

ay

Finsbu

ry Park

Tolling

ton

Year

s MalesFemales

28. Figure 15 shows standardised mortality ratios (SMRs)8 by ward in Islington. Death rates

from cardiovascular disease, cancer, smoking related diseases and mental health are all higher in Islington than the rest of the country.

Education 29. There is plenty of evidence that pupils from poorer families and looked after children have

lower levels of attainment than pupils from more prosperous backgrounds. 30. The situation is no different in Islington. The achievement of pupils at key stage 2 (end of

primary school) and in their GCSEs shows that pupils from less prosperous backgrounds do not perform as those from wealthier backgrounds.

31. Only 73% of pupils eligible for free school meals (FSM) achieved level 4 in mathematics at

Key Stage 2 compared to 83% of pupils who were not eligible for FSM – a gap of ten percentage points. In English the gap was 14 points and in science nine points.

8 Standardised Mortality Ratio (SMR) shows the mortality rate after adjusting for the differences in the age profile of different areas. The overall SMR for England is by definition 100.

Page 8: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

“Pupils from poorer families perform less well at school than those from wealthier homes.”

Performance at Key Stage 2 by eligibility for Free School Meals (FSM)

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

Maths English Science

Perc

enta

ge a

chie

ving

leve

l 4+

Free school meals (FSM) Non-FSM

32. The picture is repeated at GCSE level, though the gaps are not quite so marked. Of pupils

eligible for FSM, 63% got five or more GCSEs at grades A*-C compared to 67% of those not eligible for FSM (see Figure 17).

33. Similar differences are apparent when looking at the performance of pupils by Acorn9

classification (see Figures 18 and 19). 34. Another significant variation is pupils’ performance by gender and ethnicity. At GCSE white

British pupils under-perform other ethnic groups. Overall boys slightly outperform girls. This is most pronounced among Turkish students (see Figure 20).

35. At Key Stage 2, boys outperform girls in maths while for English it is the other way round.

But the most significant pattern is that white British pupils outperform the other ethnic groups in both maths and English at Key Stage 2 (Figure 21 and 22).

Crime and safety 36. Islington has one of the highest rates of reported crime in the country. In the last 12 months

there were just over 28,000 reported crimes in the borough. Crime – and the fear of crime - is not uniformly distributed throughout the borough. The types of crimes are not evenly distributed either, though some wards have higher crimes rates than others (see Figure 23 and the table overleaf).

9 Acorn is a socio-demographic modelling tool (similar to Mosaic) provided by a company called CACI.

Page 9: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

37. St Mary’s ward for example experiences more crime than any other in the borough. However

on closer examination it has, by some margin, the highest rate of theft (which includes shoplifting, pickpocketing etc) reflecting the number of shops and businesses and the high footfall in the area around Upper Street.

38. Violence against the person is most prevalent in Finsbury Park and St Mary’s both of which

are over 60% higher than the Islington average. Robbery is a much less common offence but again is most common in Finsbury Park, followed by Junction and Mildmay (Figure 24). Clerkenwell, Bunhill and Finsbury Park are the wards with the highest rates of burglary. The wards with the lowest level of crime overall are Highbury East, Highbury West and Hillrise.

“Finsbury Park and St Mary’s have twice the level of some crimes than wards like Hillrise and Highbury East.”

Ranking of offences per 1,000 population by ward (June 2008 - May 2010)

Violence Against The Person Robbery Burglary

Theft & Handling

Criminal Damage

Other Notifiable Offences

Total Notifiable Offences

Barnsbury 4 14 14 4 4 4 5 Bunhill 3 4 2 3 9 5 2 Caledonian 5 9 12 7 5 2 7 Canonbury 10 12 6 9 10 12 9 Clerkenwell 7 15 1 2 8 15 3 Finsbury Park 1 1 3 6 1 1 4 Highbury East 15 10 10 11 16 11 15 Highbury West 13 13 16 13 14 8 14 Hillrise 16 16 15 16 15 16 16 Holloway 12 5 13 12 12 14 12 Junction 6 2 4 8 6 9 8 Mildmay 14 3 5 14 13 13 13 St George's 11 7 11 10 3 10 10 St Mary's 2 11 8 1 2 3 1 St Peter's 8 8 9 5 7 6 6 Tollington 9 6 7 15 11 7 11

39. Fear of crime is measured through resident surveys. The vast majority of residents (87%)

feel safe when they are out in their local area during the day, but at night less than half of residents say they feel safe. There are also significant differences between different groups’ perceptions of safety.

40. Woman feel less safe than men after dark and the over 60s feel less safe than other age

groups. There was no detected difference in the perceptions of white and BME residents. Finally, social housing tenants were much more likely to feel unsafe at night than people in other forms of tenure (see Figure 25).

41. There are variations by ward too. Well over half of residents in Clerkenwell, Bunhill and St

George’s wards feel safe after dark, but fewer than 40% of residents in Caledonian, Finsbury Park, Holloway and Junction wards feel safe once night falls (see Figure 26).

Page 10: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Housing 42. Islington has an unusual housing profile. Approaching half the homes in the borough (44%)

are social rented housing and it is estimated that approaching a quarter (24%) is private rented housing. The remaining third (32%) is owner occupied.10

43. Social renting varies between wards while owner occupation is more consistently distributed,

with the exception of Highbury East (46%) and Bunhill (20%). See figs 27 & 28. 44. The second characteristic of the housing stock is the large number of flats – about four in

five properties is a flat. According to the Census only one in three households has its lowest floor at ground level, and half are located on upper floors compared to around one in nine nationally.

45. Overcrowding is a significant issue for many residents. It is estimated that over 6,000

households in the borough are overcrowded. Nearly two thirds of overcrowded households are social tenants (Figure 29) and a further quarter are renting privately.

46. House prices are a barrier to entry into the owner occupied market for all but the wealthiest.

Average property prices in Islington in May 2010 were just below £425,000 with flats averaging over £350,000 (see Figure 30).

47. There is a stark variation in the average household income of Islington residents by tenure.

Council and RSL tenants average income is around £15,000 while owner-occupiers with a mortgage have an average household income of nearly £100,000.

“The average income of home owners in Islington is six times that of social tenants.”

Average household income by tenure

£0

£10,000

£20,000

£30,000

£40,000

£50,000

£60,000

£70,000

£80,000

£90,000

£100,000

Owner occupier Buying on amortgage

Private rented Council rented RSL

Source: Housing Needs Assessment, 2007 10 Islington Housing Needs Assessment, 2007 (in the 2001 census the split was 49% social rented, 19% private rented and 32% owner occupied)

Page 11: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Democracy and engagement 48. There is countless anecdotal evidence about who is engaged in democratic process and

which groups are hardest to engage. For example young people are rarely seen at public meetings.

49. In this respect Islington is similar to other London boroughs. The hard to engage groups

include young people, some black and minority ethnic communities (especially more recent arrivals in the UK) and people with disabilities that make it more difficult to take part in engagement activities.

50. The Place Survey provides a useful insight into the more and less engaged groups. Just

over a third of Islington residents agree that they can influence decisions affecting their local area. This is in line with the London average. However there is variation between Islington wards and between the experiences of some demographic groups.

51. For example 40% of St George’s residents felt they could influence local decisions, but only

18% of St Mary’s residents agreed. BME residents are significantly more likely to feel they can influence decisions than white residents, while fewer younger adults and private rented tenants feel they can influence decisions in their local area (see Figure 32 and 33).

52. A third of residents would like to be more involved in the decisions that affect their local area.

Owner occupiers and men are more likely to agree with this statement, while social tenants, the over 60s, women and BME groups are less likely to agree.

53. Evidence from general council consultations suggests that white, middle-class middle-aged

people are more likely to participate than other groups. For example over 2,000 people took part in the budget consultation in late 2008. Of these, people aged 45-64 were twice as likely to send in their comments by post than their representation in the population while the response by 16-34 year olds was only a third of what would have been expected.

54. Information on income is not collected, but owner occupiers were nearly twice as likely to

respond as council tenants despite being outnumbered by them in the wider population. Younger people and BME residents were more likely to respond on-line than by post, although they were still under-represented.

Mapping patterns across the borough 55. The appendix also contains a number of maps showing aspects of deprivation. These

‘deprivation domains’ together form the Index of Multiple Deprivation (mentioned previously). They paint a broad picture of the areas most (and least) affected. The maps in figures 34-40 show the patterns of:

• income deprivation affecting older people • housing deprivation • crime deprivation • education and skills deprivation • employment deprivation • health deprivation • income deprivation affecting children

Page 12: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Annex 1: Maps, charts and graphs

Figure 1: Deprivation in London by ward Figure 2: Map of Deprivation in Islington, (IMD 2007) Figure 3: The 10% most deprived areas in Islington (IMD 2007) Figure 4: Mosaic profile of Islington population (postcode level, 2009) Figure 5a: Income deprivation in Islington (IMD 2007) Figure 5b: Children living in poverty (Islington, London and England) Figure 5c: Businesses and jobs in Islington by size of business Figure 5d: Enterprises in Islington by business sector (SIC classifications) Figure 6: Household Income Figure 7: Gross weekly pay in Islington (top and bottom earners) Figure 8: Average income estimates by ward Figure 9: Occupational classification of employed Islington residents Figure 10a: Unemployment in Islington (and other London boroughs) Figure 10b: Unemployment by Islington wards Figure 11: Job Seekers Allowance (JSA) claimants by ethnicity Figure 12: Incapacity benefit claimants per 1,000 population by ward Figure 13: Lone Parent Benefit claimants per 1,000 population by ward Figure 14: Life expectancy at birth by Islington wards (male and female) Figure 15: Standardised Mortality ratios by Islington wards Figure 16: Performance at Key Stage 2 by eligibility for free school meals Figure 17: Performance at GCSE by eligibility for free school meals Figure 18: Performance at Key Stage 2 by Acorn classification Figure 19: Performance at GCSE by Acorn classification Figure 20: Pupils achieving 5+ GCSEs at grades A*-C by gender and ethnicity

Figure 21: Pupils achieving level 4+ in English by gender and ethnicity Figure 22: Pupils achieving level 4+ in maths by gender and ethnicity Figure 23: Criminal offences per 1,000 population by Islington ward Figure 24: Crime per 1,000 population by ward (rankings by crime type) Figure 25: Percentage of residents who feel safe after dark by ward Figure 26: Percentage of residents who feel safe after dark by demographic group

Figure 27: Percentage of homes that are owner occupied by Islington wards Figure 28: Percentage of homes that are socially rented by Islington ward Figure 29: Overcrowding in Islington by tenure Figure 30: Average property price by property type (May 2010) Figure 31: Average household income by tenure Figure 32: Residents who feel they can influence local decisions by ward Figure 33: Residents who feel they can influence local decisions by demographic

Figure 34: Map of income deprivation affecting older people (IMD 2007) Figure 35: Map of housing deprivation in Islington (IMD 2007) Figure 36: Map of crime ‘deprivation’ in Islington (IMD 2007) Figure 37: Map of education and skills deprivation in Islington (IMD 2007) Figure 38: Map of employment deprivation in Islington (IMD 2007) Figure 39: Map of health deprivation in Islington (IMD 2007)

Page 13: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 1: Putting Islington’s deprivation in a London context Deprivation by ward

Source: Local Futures, drawn from Index of Multiple Deprivation 2007.

Page 14: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 2: Deprivation in Islington, IMD 2007

Page 15: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 3: The 10% most deprived super output areas (SOAs) in Islington, IMD 2007

Page 16: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 4: Mosaic profile of the borough

Page 17: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 5a: Income deprivation in Islington, IMD 2007

Page 18: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 5b: Proportion of children living in poverty (Islington, London and England)

Figure 5c: Number of businesses and number of jobs by business size Size of business Number of businesses Number of jobs 1-5 employees 6,242 16,2046-10 employees 1,783 14,17811-20 employees 1,051 16,36621-50 employees 723 24,96751-100 employees 226 17,447101-250 employees 136 22,861250+ employees 79 64,094Size unknown 49 --

Total 10,289 176,117Source: Beta Model, April 2010 Figure 5d: Enterprises by business sector

Enterprises in Islington by sector & number of employees)

4.87%3.29%2.57%

8.87%

10.37%

8.44%

13.03%0.55%

28.35%

4.54%

7.19%

1.19%

CONSTRUCTION

EDUCATION

FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION

HEALTH AND SOCIAL WORK

HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS

MANUFACTURING

OTHER COMMUNITY, SOCIAL & PERSONAL SERVICE ACTIVITIES

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND DEFENCE; COMPULSORY SOCIALSECURITYREAL ESTATE, RENTING AND BUSINESS ACTIVITIES

TRANSPORT, STORAGE AND COMMUNICATION

WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE; REPAIR OF MOTOR VEHICLES,MOTORCYCLES AND PERSONAL AND HOUSEHOLD GOODSOTHER

0%10%20%30%40%

50%

60%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

EnglandLondonIslington

Page 19: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 6: Household income, 2008 Equivalised Household Income, PayCheck 2008, CACI

£15k < £30k32%

£0 < £15k15%

£60k +17%

£30k < £60k36%

Figure 7: Gross weekly pay in Islington (bottom 10% and top 20% earners), 2009

Gross weekly pay: Annual Survey of Earnings and Hours, NOMIS 2009

£352 £346 £351£216 £0 £193

£1,207

£1,059£1,127 £1,134

£923£1,053

£0

£250

£500

£750

£1,000

£1,250

Male Female Total Male Female Total

Full-time workers All workersEmployment group

Pay

10th Percentile 80th Percentile Figure 8: Ward average income estimates, ONS, 2002

Model based estimates of Income for Wards, ONS 2002

£0

£100

£200

£300

£400

£500

£600

£700

£800

£900

Barnsb

uryBun

hill

Caledo

nian

Canon

bury

Clerke

nwell

Finsbu

ry Park

Highbu

ry Eas

t

Highbu

ry Wes

t

Hillrise

Hollow

ay

Junc

tion

Mildmay

St Geo

rge`s

St Mary

`s

St Pete

r`s

Tolling

ton

Ward

Inco

me

estim

ates

Income - total weekly Income - net weekly Income - before housing Income - after housing

Source: National Statistics website: www.statistics.gov.uk.

Page 20: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 9: Occupational category of employed Islington residents

Occupational category of employed Islington residents

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Prof andtechnical

occupations

Admin andskilled

occupatiosn

Semi-skilledoccupations

Unskilledoccupations

Perc

enta

ge o

f all

empl

oyee

s

IslingtonLondon

Figure 10a: Unemployment in Islington and London

Unemployment by London boroughs (March 2010)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Hackn

ey

Tower

Hamlet

s

Haring

ey

Barking

and D

agen

ham

Newha

m

Walt

ham Fore

st

Lambe

th

Isling

tonBren

t

Enfield

Greenw

ich

Lewish

am

Southw

arkEali

ng

Redbri

dge

Croydo

n

Hammers

mith an

d Fulh

am

Haveri

ng

Hillingd

on

Houns

lowBex

ley

Barnet

Camde

n

Harrow

Wan

dswort

h

Bromley

Sutton

Wes

tmins

ter C

ity

Merton

Kensin

gton a

nd C

helse

a

Kingsto

n upo

n Tha

mes

Richmon

d upo

n Tha

mes

Lond

on C

ity

Une

mpl

oym

ent r

ate

Page 21: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 10b: Unemployment in Islington wards Unemployment by Islington ward (March 2010)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Barnsb

ury

Bunhil

l

Caledo

nian

Canon

bury

Clerke

nwell

Finsbu

ry Park

Highbu

ry Eas

t

Highbu

ry W

est

Hillrise

Hollow

ay

Junc

tion

Mildmay

St Geo

rge`s

St Mary

`s

St Pete

r`s

Tolling

ton

Perc

enta

ge u

nem

ploy

ed

Figure 11: Job seekers allowance claimants by ethnicity

JSA claimants by ethnicity

49%

5%4%

21%

7%

12%2%

White

"Mixed"

"Asian or AsianBritish"

"Black or BlackBritish"

"Chinese or OtherEthnic Group"

"Prefer not to say"

"Unknown"

Source: ONS Crown Copyright Reserved [from Nomis on 21 June 2010]

Page 22: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 12: Incapacity benefit claimants per 1,000 population by ward

Incapacity Claimants Per 1000 Population over 16

0102030405060708090

Barnsb

ury

Bunhil

l

Caledon

ian

Canonb

ury

Clerkenw

ell

Finsbu

ry Park

Highbury

East

Highbury

Wes

t

Hillrise

Holloway

Junc

tion

Mildmay

St. Geo

rge's

St. Mary'

s

St. Peter

's

Tolling

ton

Incapacity per 1000 population 16+ Islington Mean

Figure 13: Lone parent benefit claimants per 1,000 population by ward

Lone Parent Benefit Claimants Per 1000 Population*

0123456

Barnsb

ury

Bunhil

l

Caledo

nian

Canon

bury

Clerke

nwell

Finsbu

ry Park

Highbu

ry Eas

t

Highbu

ry Wes

t

Hillrise

Hollow

ay

Junc

tion

Mildmay

St. Geo

rge's

St. Mary

's

St. Pete

r's

Tolling

ton

per 1000 working age pop. Islington Mean

Source: Nomis

Page 23: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 14:

Life expectancy at birth by ward (2003-7) Source: Closing the Gap, NHS Islington 2010

60

65

70

75

80

85

Clerke

nwell

Bunhil

l

Barnsb

ury

Highbu

ry Eas

t

Highbu

ry W

est

Canon

bury

St Geo

rges

Junc

tion

St Mary

s

Caledo

nian

Mildmay

St Pete

rs

Hillrise

Hollow

ay

Finsbu

ry Park

Tolling

ton

Year

s MalesFemales

Figure 15:

Standardised Mortality Ratios (all causes) by ward (2003-7)

75

85

95

105

115

125

135

145

Barnsb

ury

Bunhil

l

Caledo

nian

Canon

bury

Clerke

nwell

Finsbu

ry Park

Highbu

ry Eas

t

Highbu

ry W

est

Hillrise

Hollow

ay

Junc

tion

Mildmay

St Geo

rge's

St Mary

's

St Pete

r's

Tolling

ton

Page 24: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 16:

Performance at Key Stage 2 by eligibility for Free School Meals (FSM)

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

Maths English Science

Perc

enta

ge a

chie

ving

leve

l 4+

Free school meals (FSM) Non-FSM

Figure 17:

Percentage of pupils achieving GCSE success by free school meal eligibility (2009)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

5+ GCSE at A*-C 5+ GCSE at A*-C (inc Eng and maths)

Perc

enta

ge

Free school meals pupils Non-free school meals pupils

Page 25: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 18

Performance at Key Stage 2 by Acorn classification (2007)Acorn is a socio-economic classification system developed by CACI

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Maths English Science

Perc

enta

ge le

vel 4

+

'Urban Prosperity' 'Hard pressed'

Figure 19

Performance at GCSE by Acorn classification (2007)Acorn is a socio-economic classification system developed by CACI

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

5+ GCSE at A*-C 5+ GCSE at A*-C (inc Eng and maths) Any GCSE passes

Perc

enta

ge

'Urban prosperity' 'Hard pressed'

Page 26: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 20:

Pupils achieving 5+ GCSEs at grades A*-C by gender and ethnicity (2008)

01020304050607080

White - UK BlackCaribbean

Black African Turkish Bangladeshi All

Perc

enta

ge 5

+ G

CSEs

GCSE 5 A*-C Boys GCSE 5 A*-C Girls

Figure 21:

Pupils achieving level 4+ in English at Key Stage 2 by gender and ethnicity (2008)

0102030405060708090

White - UK Black Caribbean Black African Turkish Bangladeshi

Perc

enta

ge le

vel 4

+

Boys Girls

Figure 22:

Pupils achieving level 4+ in maths at Key Stage 2 by gender and ethnicity (2008)

0

20

40

60

80

100

White - UK Black Caribbean Black African Turkish Bangladeshi

Perc

enta

ge le

vel 4

+

Boys Girls

Page 27: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 23:

Offences per 1,000 population by ward (June 2008-May 2010)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Barnsb

ury

Bunhil

l

Caledon

ian

Canonb

ury

Clerkenw

ell

Finsbu

ry Park

Highbury

East

Highbury

Wes

t

Hillrise

Holloway

Junc

tion

Mildmay

St Geo

rge's

St Mary

's

St Pete

r's

Tolling

ton

Isling

ton

Offe

nces

per

1,0

00 p

opul

atio

n

Violence against the person Robbery Burglary Theft and handling

Figure 24: Ranked crime types by ward (2008-10)

Ranking of offences per 1,000 population by ward (June 2008 - May 2010)

Violence Against The Person Robbery Burglary

Theft & Handling

Criminal Damage

Other Notifiable Offences

Total Notifiable Offences

Barnsbury 4 14 14 4 4 4 5 Bunhill 3 4 2 3 9 5 2 Caledonian 5 9 12 7 5 2 7 Canonbury 10 12 6 9 10 12 9 Clerkenwell 7 15 1 2 8 15 3 Finsbury Park 1 1 3 6 1 1 4 Highbury East 15 10 10 11 16 11 15 Highbury West 13 13 16 13 14 8 14 Hillrise 16 16 15 16 15 16 16 Holloway 12 5 13 12 12 14 12 Junction 6 2 4 8 6 9 8 Mildmay 14 3 5 14 13 13 13 St George's 11 7 11 10 3 10 10 St Mary's 2 11 8 1 2 3 1 St Peter's 8 8 9 5 7 6 6 Tollington 9 6 7 15 11 7 11

Page 28: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 25:

Percentage of residents who feel safe after dark in their local area

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Barnsb

ury

Bunhil

l

Caledo

nian

Canon

bury

Clerke

nwell

Finsbu

ry Park

Highbu

ry Eas

t

Highbu

ry W

est

Hillrise

Hollow

ay

Junc

tion

Mildmay

St Geo

rge's

St Mary

's

St Pete

r's

Tolling

ton

Isling

ton

Source:Place Survey 2008 and 2009

Perc

enta

ge

Figure 26:

Percentage of residents who feel safe after dark by demographic

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

WhiteBME

Male

Female

18 - 3

4

35 - 5

960

+

Owned o

utrigh

t

Buying o

n mortg

age

Rent fro

m Cou

ncil

Rent fro

m RSL

Private re

nted

Source: Place Survey 2008 and 2009

Perc

enta

ge

Page 29: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 27:

% of Owner Occupied Houses in Islington

01020304050607080

Barnsb

uryBun

hill

Caledo

nian

Canon

bury

Clerkenw

ell

Finsbu

ry Park

Highbury

East

Highbury

Wes

t

Hillrise

Hollow

ay

Junc

tion

Mildmay

St Geo

rge`s

St Mary

`s

St Pete

r`s

Tolling

ton

Owner-occupiedhholds % (2001)Islington

London

National

Source: 2001 Census Figure 28:

% of Socially Rented Housing in Islington

0

10

20

30

4050

60

70

Households -socially rented %(2001)Islington

London

National

Source: 2001 Census

Page 30: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 29: Overcrowding by tenure

Overcrowded Islington households by tenureSource: Housing Needs Assessment, 2007

Council rented, 51%

RSL, 11%

Private rented, 27%

Owner-occupied, 11%

Figure 30: Average property price by property type (Islington)

Household price by type - May 2010, Land registry Crown Copyright, 2010

£1,044,217

£689,970 £656,842

£363,570£423,553

£0

£200,000

£400,000

£600,000

£800,000

£1,000,000

£1,200,000

Detached Semi-Detached Terraced Maisonette/Flat All

House type

Pric

e

Page 31: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 31: Average household income by tenure

Average household income by tenure

£0

£10,000

£20,000

£30,000

£40,000

£50,000

£60,000

£70,000

£80,000

£90,000

£100,000

Owner occupier Buying on amortgage

Private rented Council rented RSL

Source: Housing Needs Assessment, 2007

Page 32: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 32:

Percentage of residents who agree they can influence decisions affecting their local area

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Barnsb

ury

Bunhil

l

Caledon

ian

Canonb

ury

Clerkenw

ell

Finsbu

ry Park

Highbury

East

Highbury

Wes

t

Hillrise

Holloway

Junc

tion

Mildmay

St Geo

rge's

St Mary

's

St Pete

r's

Tolling

ton

Isling

ton

Perc

enta

ge

Source: Place Survey 2008 and 2009. Note: small variations between wards are likely to be in part due to small sample size at ward level (an average sample per ward is around 180 respondents). Figure 33:

Residents who agree they can affect decisions in their lcoal area by demographics

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

WhiteBME

Male

Female

18 - 3

4

35 - 5

960

+

Owned o

utrigh

t

Buying o

n mortg

age

Rent fro

m Cou

ncil

Rent fro

m Hou

sing Ass

oc/Trust

Rent fro

m priva

te land

lord

Per

cent

age

Source: Place Survey 2008 and 2009.

Page 33: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 34: Income deprivation affecting older people in Islington, IMD 2007

Page 34: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 35: Housing deprivation in Islington, IMD 2007

Page 35: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 36: Crime domain from index of Multiple Deprivation (Islington), IMD 2007

Page 36: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 37: Education and skills deprivation, IMD 2007

Page 37: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 38: Employment Deprivation, IMD 2007

Page 38: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 39: Health Deprivation, IMD 2007

Page 39: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Figure 40: Income Deprivation affecting children, IMD 2007

Page 40: Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem / Islington · PDF file Two Islingtons: Understanding the problem Paper 1: What is the picture for Islington? Understanding the evidence base

Annex 2: Glossary of terms and acronyms Acronym or term Explanation

IMD Index of Multiple Deprivation. Every ward and local authority district

is allocated a deprivation score based on how deprived it is against the seven domains: health, income, employment, crime, housing, education and amenities/environment

GLA Greater London Authority

BME Black and Minority Ethnic Group

ONS Office of National Statistics

SOA Super Output Area. The borough is divided in to 118 SOAs. Census data is reported at an SOA level

Mosaic A socio-demographic profiling tool developed by Experian

Acorn A socio-demographic profiling tool developed by CACI

Paycheck Modelled household income data, developed by CACI

LLI Long-term limiting illness

NEET Not in education, employment or training. The term is usually used in the context of 16-18 year olds

FSM Free school meals

SMR Standardised mortality ratio. This is the actual mortality rate in an area compared to the expected rate (based on the population profile). A figure of 100 is the expected rate, a higher figure is a higher than expected mortality rate

RSL Registered social landlord (such as a housing association)

SIC Standard Industrial Classification is used to classify different types of business or enterprise into standard groups or types