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Page 1: U CORP MCLEAN S VA D EARSLE APR UNCLASIE G /2NL … · 2014-09-27 · 2.0 DIRECT COME1 EXPERXNENS The Direct Course shot will employ 600 T of high explosive (ANFO), which will have

AD-A127 8 908 DIR7ECTCOURSE AND DUST EXPERIMENTS U MrTRE CORP MCLEAN 1

S VA D EARSLE ET AL APR 83 JSR-82-402

UNCLASIE G /2NL

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Direct Course andDust Experiments

D. EardleyJ. Katz

April 1983

JSR-82-402

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TABU OF CONTENTS

2.0 DIRECT COUR81ECFRINS.............. 3

2.1 Early Tine Dust and Flowr Field Nesureuentseee........ 3

2.2 Iate TIM D e.................... 4

2.3 Samplimg of Late Tit Dust Cloud...................... 6

2.4 Raising Dust and Pebble ................ 6

3.0 1bAT DO wam T 111NOW?4*9906 6. Ge 0 0 9

4.0 OW DU W FIND OUT?........ o...o..... ... .. , 11

5.0 15CWUNDt TIOPS.............. ............... 3

5.1 Dict Cor us*................................. ....... 15

5.2 WTD TFuture I prNTs..................... ........... 1

lDI ......... ST..... ...................... -1

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1.0 IWTODUCTION

This informal note contains our coments oan the DU

experimeutal program designed to improve the understanding of the

lofting and distribution of dust by sirburst explosions. It is a

sequel to m- earlier report "Dust fro Low Altitude bursts"

(JS-81-3O)-h Larcussed at greater length the nature of the dust

problem, the limited body of experimental data, and suggestions for

an experimental program. At that tims we were particularly

concerned with the problem of radar transmission through dust

pedestals. Since then the Direct Course experiment has been planned

In order to gather new data. The purpose of this report Is to

cosmant on the plans for this exporment and for further

experimental work. We are concerned not only with radar

transmission problems, but also with the high altitude dust probles

which arose In connection with Closely Spaced Basing (Dense Pack),

and with dust problem in general

Ii

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2.0 DIRECT COME1 EXPERXNENS

The Direct Course shot will employ 600 T of high explosive

(ANFO), which will have about the eame hydrodynamic effects as I WT

nuclear, at a OD of 166 ft. It will be very well instrumented for

early time dust effects close to the ground and for overpressure

measurements. ENowever, these meaurement* will be over prepared

disturbed surfaces, and ussurements will not be sade on totally

natural surfaces.* It will also have umasurements of radar beanf propagation through the late tise cloud, and some radar mapping.

However, direct sampling of the late time cloud will not be carried

out, according to current planes

2.1 Easrly Time Dust and Flow Field Measurements

Direct Course will have a wide variety of high time

resolution experiments close to the ground for measurement of dust

loading, air flow, and dust flow close to the ground as a function

of time. These experiments seem well planned for the stated

purposes. Our only consents are 1) this is only one shot, whereas

the DNA dust effort wvAU benefit from greater continuity of effort,

with more labor&atoy-ecales experiments along these limes; and 2)

similar measuremets should also be taken over totally astural

surfaces.

3

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2.2 Late Time ust

Direct Course will provide an opportunity to characterize

quantitatively a large late tim dust cloud, and in particular to

carry out somes osuremute Which should have been carried out (in

hindsight) during the atmospheric nuclear testing program. An

important question which we have not hoard discussed sufficiently,

is to wsat degree the late tiem EM dust cloud resembles a nuclear

dust cloud, Loading of the ascending cloud by M detonation1products mast certainly affect its rate of rise, equilibration

altitude, end equilibration radius. Therefore the late time flow

field, in particular the late tie vortex which is important in

j bringing dust to altitude, my differ from that of a nuclear

burst. A 1 kT nuclear cloud will equilibrate at an altitude of

2 ai; will Direct Course produce the som result? On the other

hand, this shot has been calibrated for similar air flow close to

the ground at distances great enough from ground zero, so that the

fidelity of the dust pedestal should be good.

The late ties dust will be characterized by several

means. Photography is, of course, useful, but it provides vainly

qualitative informstion. 3N0 proposes to carry out a series of

experiments which are priuarily intended to study radar propagation

through the dust cloud (as in the LoADS system). Radar beas

measurements will measure both the integrated dust density along

4

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certain lines of sight (at both 1.w and high angles to the ground),

and the fluctuation spectrum of dust density as it affects radar

propagation. These radar beau experiments will provide useful

Information for 310 system studies and will also give some Idea of

the gross late time dust distribution in the air. However, data

will be measured only along a few lines of sight, and more global

measureeants of dust distribution are also required.

Radar mapping of the entire cloud provides a promising

proposal. The advantage Is that a global picture of dust

distribution and velocity can be obtained; the disadvantage ts that

calibration of results may be very difficult, so that in worst case

only qualitative information similar to optical photography may be

produced. Calibration will be difficult because radar return will

depend both on total dust loading and on dust particle size

distribution at altitude. Use of mnltiple radar frequencies may

allow a separate determination of mean particle size. Use of

ualtiple apacts may also help to resolve geometrical ambiguities.

We feel that radar mapping is highly desirable, in that it is the

only available technique which can, in principle, make quantitative

measurements of both density and velocity in the whole dust cloud;

but we also feel that problem of calibration and Interpretation

will be serious and mset be addressed.

-4-

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2.3 Sampling of late Time Dust Cloud

We recomuend that the late time dust cloud be directly

sampled. This will measure the dust particle size distribution,

which will be of reat help in interpreting and reducing the radar

measurements, and will also provide an independent means of

estimating the total dust loading. Sampling probes could be

propelled into the cloud by several means, Including rockets,

mortars, or free-fall from helicopters or balloons. We are told

that all these are forbidden due to rules for range safety or danger

to other experiments; however, it seem to us that the value of

maples ts great enough that ways of getting then should be found.

Sampling probes could collect dust by any of several means,

'I Including filters, stagnation chambers, sticky or soft noses, or

explosively closed tubes; either instantaneous eaples or samples

Integrated along the flight trajectory could be obtained. An

Important consideration in choice of sampling method is bias for

particle size; e.g., a fast probe with a soft (plastic foam?) nose

would entrap and collect big particles but not mll ones, because

small particles follow the airetream more closely.

2.4 ]ALsI. Dust and Pebbles

Since planning for Direct Course began, studies on Closely

Spaced lasing (CSB) of NX (Dense Pack) have created a great new

Interest in dust and debris as a ins of defense for msslle

6

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fields. Previously, one thought of dust and debris as a side effect

of the attack which complicated and aggravated the cask of the

" idefender. (Rowever. "buried bombs" defense of missile fields is a

possible use of debris which has been discussed for several

years.) In CSBS, dust and debris are primarily a complication and

aggravation for the attacker, and the defender may wish to take

positive Neasures to raise more dust and debris. Total seep-up

rate for dust is > 0.01 Mt dust/Mt yield, so any deliberate

modification or preparation of the surface must use cheap materials

and methods. Two obvious possibilities are 1) build hills or dikes

of ambient soil, and 2) build hills or dikes of gravel or pebbles.

Direct Course offers an opportunity to try out some such ideas; is

it possible to build some hills of fine gravel along some otherwise

unused radial, to see how far gravel is moved? Imported gravel of a

different color than ambient material could be used to facilitate

post-shot sampling; or perhaps gravel could be painted or dyed. The

question of particle size is, as usual, a troublesome one (see

review and discussion in JSR-81-30). Small enough particles should

be used so that suspension rather that saltation occurs. If

particle size d is scaled as d a Y/3, then hydrodynamic effects

will scale correct but gravity will be wrong; if d Is not scaled

with yield Y , then gravity will scale correctly but the hydro will

be wrong. The former scaling will probably be preferred since the

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3.0 WlAT DO WE WANT TO KNOW?

There are several distinct objectives to a dust measurement

program. If we consider only the dust proper, and ignore its

effects on the air flow field (the effect of the nonideal boundary

condition), these objectives include the following:

The total quantity of dust lofted and its gross spatial

distribution. These are needed in order to determine high altitude

dust erosion of re-entry vehicles and missiles, which is a cause of

fratricide in many hypothesized attacks on Dense Pack. The great

uncertainty in high altitude dust lofting has added serious

ambiguities to these questions.

The spatial distribution of dust density on scales of

centimeters and meters. This must be known In order to determine

1the radar propagation properties of dust clouds. Propagation

problem are largely the result of refraction by heterogeneities in

dust density and refractive index.

The physics of dust lofting. This includes the processes

of therml popeorning, reverse pore pressure lofting, and boundary

layer shear sweep-up. An uAderstanding of these processes would be

a very powerful tool which would, in principle, permit theoretical

9

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j calculation of dust densities and distributions in a wide variety of

- problems, including those not yet anticipated.

Multi-burst dust environments. The effects of mre than

one nuclear burst in a small region and over a short time are not

simply additive; there is essentially no understanding of how they

interact. System such as Dense Pack depend on environments with

many Interacting bursts, in which fireballs merge, shocks intersect,

dust from one burst enters the flow field of others, etc.

10

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4.0O nOW DO W2 FIND OUT?

Each of these questions requires a different approach.

Some will be directly addressed by the Direct Course experiment,

while others would require different experiments. Rere we conment

briefly on each in turn:

IAs has been the case with earlier dust experiments, the

dust density in the sweep-up layer near the surface will be measured

with several different kinds of instruments. Those planned for

Direct Course are notable for their number and variety of

experimental technique (X-rays, 0-rays, radar, radiofrequency

refraction, sample tubes, SNOB and GREG gauges, optical extinction

* and scattering, holography, and photography). Near-surface dust has

important consequences for near-surface dynamic pressure and radar

transmission, but its knowledge does not tell one how such high

altitude dust there is. Rough estimates suggest that only 10- 3 of

the near-surface dust remins aloft at long times and high

altitudes. This fraction is very poorly known, and important to

determine.

In order to estimate the quantity of high altitude dust two

techniques are promising. One is mapping of the entire cloud by

radar scattering. This offers the possibility of measuring both the

"114I

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total amount lofted and its spatial distribution within the rising

cloud. The second is the penetration of the cloud by rockets

carrying dust samplers, either collection tubes or filters. The two

techniques support each other, because the distribution of particle

sizes (best measured by direct sampling, and not necessarily the

sam as that of the undisturbed surface) is necessary to a

quantitative interpretation of the radar data.

It Is unfortunate that the final height and shape of the

dust cloud do not scale with yield, because they depend on the

temperature structure of the atmosphere (the scale height is a

natural length). This will add an irremovable element of

I uncertainty to interpretation of high altitude dust results. Though

"* significant, we think this uncertainty will be much less than the

present order-of-magnitude uncertainties in high altitude dust.

This is because the mess lofted above the surface boundary layer my

scale with yield, and smell particles, once lofted, fall out slowly

regardless of the precise evolution of the airflow. Therefore, we

expect measurements of dust lofting in high explosive experiments to

give useful Informtion about nuclear bursts.

In our previous report we discussed the problem of radar

propagation through turbulent dust clouds, and concluded that the

best experiment would be radar propagation. We recommoded that

12

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more than oe uveleugth be used, and that the uavelength be scaled

as the cube root of yield, along with other lengths characterising

the roses flow, and presumbly the turbulence. The geometry should

be scaled as well as possible, preserving the beau angles through

the dust cloud.

We think that the microscopic physics of dust lofting is

best studied In a series of suall laboratory or field experiments inI which wind shear and overpressure are produced In wind tunnels or

shock tubes. This would permit the gradual and simultaneous

development of experimental technique and theoretical understanding,

as results from each experiment aid the design of subsequent ones.

)ultiburst problem are Inherently specific to systems or

attack scenarios. Direct Course will not directly answer multiburst

questions. It Is possible to design further experiments Involving

numbers of small charges, suitably spaced and timed, which can

answer specific questions.

13

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5.0 RR SSE3NAlog8

5 .1 Direct Course

4 Ve have two reconsamiutioes for tis experiment. One is

that an effort be mode to inclnde direct rocket sampling of the dustSdensity In the cloud. This will yield useful data, and will

complement the radar cloud mapping experiment. The second conerns

surface preparation. As Is well known, an undisturbed desert

surface has very different properties, and is mch les dusty, than

a disturbed surface. It is not possible to conduct the entire

4. Direct Course experiment over an undisturbed surface, which would be

I the most realistic approximation to an actual wartime mclear

burst. Thus, overall dust cloud properties and mss loading will

reflect the large portion of unavoidably disturbed surface in theDirect Course experiment. It is possible, and me think important,

to set aside a radial consisting of the native desert surface,

untouched except for the Installation of diagnostics (and perhaps

fenced). This would permit the comparison of dust lofting from the

native surface with that from the various prepared surfaces.* V areless concerned by the presence of vegetation than me would be by thedisturbance required to remove it. If the mset important natural

surfaces are tree of vegetation, ad this is considered Important,

15/

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then at sow time In the future an experiment should be performed

over such a surface, In the geographical arm of interest.

5.2 Future !uMurimsnts

Wie reconnd a long tert, ual scale, laboratory and field

experimental program to measure the physical processes Involved in

dust lofting from realistic surfaces. It will probably be mot

convenient to use wind tunnels or shock tubes as the source of air

flow. The purpose of this program should be to develop and verify

dust lofting models which can be used with some confidence in

hydrodynamic codes like DICI.

In future dust 301 experiments radar scattering is the most

promising means of mapping the dust cloud density. It should be

supported by rocket probes. It my also be possible to easure

line-of-sight Integrated dust density using the radiofrequency phase

shift technique, placing source or receiver on a tower or hill. It

Is necessary to allow for source and receiver motion and refraction

in shocked air. Towers are probably not stiff enough to reduce

motion to an acceptable level.

We recommend that a series of modest yield experlments be

conducted at several heights of buret, and perhaps over more than

one type of surface . Wswore struck daring our consideration of

16

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Deome Pack that Direct Course Is planned to be at a different scaleod

height of burst and over a different surface than the burst whose

effects we wanted to know. A "library" of dust results with varying

parameters will be useful during the next unanticipated crisis. The

use of data from experiments of smller yield (like pre-Direct

Course, for example) rather than kiloton yield requires some faith1 in scaling lavs, but not such more than is required to apply the

results of kiloton experiments to megaton explosions.

I1

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APPENDIX

Briefing on Direct Course and Dust ExperimentsJASON Sumr Study, La Jolla, California

July 15, 1982

Brief ers:Overview of Test Objmttiws: George Ulirich, DMA;

Jerry Carpenter, RDA

Sosrm esign* HE-Nuclear Equivalence: Allen Kuhl, RDA* Tower Interference Effects: John Uisotski, Denver

Research Institute

Test Red Layout: Capt. Grayson, Field Command,DNA

Dust Diagmoetic Techniques:40 Photo Diagnostics:, John Wisotaki, Denver

Research Institute;W . Dudziak, 1SI

0 Dust Capture Tubes: John Wisotaki, DenverResearch Institute

9 X-ray Transmission: R. Helava, Physics

* Gre/Sno Gags* :International

e Grg/Sob Gges B.Hartenbaum, U-Tech0 Hot Film Shear Gauge: Dick Batt, TRW0 Optical Transmission/Scattering/Rolography:

Ralph Wuerker, TRW0 Beta Densitometer: G. Valford, Gull/SAI

Dust Diaamotic Tshnbiques:0 Radar Cloud Mapping: J. Cockayne, SAI

* Radar Transission: A. Burns, SRI0 Passive Dust Mesasurements: G. lirich, DNA

JASO~s Present:

D. EardloyJ9 KitsM. Ruderman

19

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ItDbbin Lst,

Dr. Alf sidreassen $I ntematiaeal

Technical Directorg O AT-O951 333 Ravemosd Aveme

Room 50616, The Peutagos Menlo Parks CA 94025'ashington, D.C. 20350 ATIE: A. bras

Dr. lkrvin Atkins RAD AssociatesDeputy Director. Science & Tech. P. S "95Define Nuclear Ageny lbriu del by, CA 90291aehington, D.C. 20305 ATTN: e. Carpenter

Director, ID Sytem Comnd Science ApplIcatione, Inc.P.O. lox 1500 1710 Goodridga DriveHuntsville, AL 35807 McLen, VA 22102ATTN: BIDSC-=LE ATTN: J. CockayN

Director, Us System Cumnd Dr. Robert Cooper (21P.O. lox 1500 ctor, DAPAuntsville, A 3507 1400 Wilson Boulevrd

ATTN: 3MDSC-HV Arlington, VA 22209

4 Science Applications, Inc. CDR Robert CroninP.O. llox 1303. Dep Asst Secy Navy (C31)La Jolla, CA 92036 Office of Anst Rocy bvyATTN: J. Barthel for IRI

Roos 43749, The PeutagsOTRW Systems Group Washington, D.C. 20350One Space ParkRedondo Beach CA 90278 Isan TempoATTN: 1. Batt 816 State

P.O. DrawerDryid look Seats Barbara, CA 93107Navl Research Laboratory ATTI: DAS XAS4555 Overlook Ave. S.W.Code 4040 DirectorWshington, D.C. 20375 U.S. Army Bllistic Research lab.

Aberdeen. NO 21005Pacific Sierra Research, Inc. ATer: den1E2-1001456 Cloverfleld IWl,Santa oice, CA 9040 Defene Technical Information [2)ATTIh kaI DIed Center

Camerom StattoCDI Paul brewr uemadrie, VA 223$14

W010 Detachment,0 miAtlsd4301 uitland ltdlashingtong DeC. 20390

JSR-62-402 U-1

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Dbtd~iion lst

The Honorable Richrd DeLsuer Mr. Charles A. Fowler, A220Under Secretary of Defese (iU) The MITRZ CorporationOffice of the Secretary of P.O. Box 206

Defense Bedford, MA 01730Rom 331006, The PentagonWashingtou, D.C. 20301 Mr. Larry Garshvin

" P.O. Box 1925Infomtion Science, Ilc. Ikshington, D.C. 20013123 W. Padre StreetSanta Barbara, CA 93105 Dr. S. Wiliam Goues, W300ATTN: W Ddslak The MITRZ Corporation

1820 Dolley Mdison Blvd.Dr. Douglas lardley McLean, VA 22102100 IEluor RoadNewton Highlands, MA 02161 Comnder, Field Coomnd

Defense Nuclear AgencyDr. David 0. Illiott Kirtland An, AN 87117SKI InternattlI ATZNs 1. Grayson333 Ravenswood AvemMenlo Park, CA 94025 AFWL/NTZD

ATTM: Lt. Robert uiceDefeme Nuclear Agency Kirtland Ars, I 87117

J Field ConmsdKirtland AFS, AN 87115 cDounell-Douglas Corp.ATN: FCT 5307 BOles Ave.

Huntington Beach, CA 926 7Defene Nuclear Agency ATTN: I. HalprinOffice of the DirectorHybl& Valley Federal Bldg. Dr. Idward Harper6901 Telegraph Road OPV-021TAlemndria, VA 20305 The Pentagon, Room 40544ATTN: Carl Fitz Wkshington, D.C. 20350

Headquerters R-Tech laboratoriesDefense Nuclear Agency P.O. Ox 1686Ikehington, D.C. 20305 Santa Monica, CA 90406ITlN: I. Flory ATTN: B. Nertebaus

Director Physics Internatiomsl Co.Netio l Security Agency 2700 Rerced StreetFort George nade, I 20755 San Landro, CA 94577ATM: Mr. Richard Foes, A0S ATT: Re Blav

JSR-62-402 D-2

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DhbbUUOUlist

Mr. R. Evn Ntneman Dr. Verne L. LynnP.O. Box 1925 Deputy Director, DARPAWashington, D.C. 20013 1400 Wilson Boulevrd

Arlington, VA 22209The MITRE Corporation [2511820 Dolley Madison Boulevard Dr. Gordon MacDonald, V300McLean, VA 22102 The MITRE CorporationATTN: JASON Library 1820 Dolley Madison Boulevard

McLean, VA 22102Dr. Jonathan I* KatzDepartment of Physics Dr. Joseph Mangano 12)Washington University DARPA/DUO.St. Louis, NO 63130 1400 Wilson Boulevard

Arlington, VA 22209Mr. John P. laufmannDep. Dire for Prograsm Analysis Defense Nuclear AgencyOffice of Energy Research Office of the Director

(UR-31, N8 AI-4000) Hybl& Valley Federal Bldg.U.S. Department of Energy 6801 Telegraph RoadWashington, D.C. 20545 Alemndria, VA 20305

ATTN: Jack MansfieldDr. George A. KeyvorthDirector Mr. John McMahonOffice of Science & Tech. Policy Dep. Dir. Cen. IntelligenceExecutive Office of the President Washington, D.C. 20505Washington, D.C. 20500

DirectorR&D Associates National Security AgencyP.O. ox 9695 Fort Keade, NO 20755

Marinas del bAy CA 90291 ATT: William Mehuron, DDRATTNI A. Kohl

The Aerospace CorporationMr. bty Leadabrand N5-743SRI International P.O. ox 92957333 Ravensood Avenue Los Angeles, CA 90009Menlo Park, CA 94025 ATTN: Dr. barold Mirels

Dr. Donald N. LeVine, W385 (31 Dr. Julian Fall [21The KITM Corporation P.O. box 1231820 Dolley Madison Blvd. Washington, D.C. 20013McLean, VA 22102

DirectorItionl Security AgencyFort George 0. Meade. NO 20755ATTNt Mr. Neuber8,, IUt FANK III

JSR.-82-4J02 DO-3

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