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The Big Picture: Future of Education UAF CDE: iDesign George Siemens April 23, 2008

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Presentation to University of Alaska at Fairbanks

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Page 1: Uaf I Design

The Big Picture:Future of Education

UAF CDE: iDesign

George SiemensApril 23, 2008

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“...forward-thinking approaches in education as “woefully under-developed””

Former SwedishEducation Minister Ylva Johansson

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Why the lack of development?

• Possibly because:– The system works – it serves many stakeholders

well– Change pressures are not system-wide– Lack of vision– Lack of understanding of trends

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1. Reality: Pace and Growth2. Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners3. Where are We Now?4. The Need for Change?5. Models of Change6. Moving Forward7. Innovation

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Growth of information and tools to create/access information

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“Information is the new black”Fncll

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“...in the 21st century, the education and skills of the workforce will end up being the dominant competitive weapon”

Lester Thurow

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% of population (25+) with 4 or more years of college

Signal Hill 2007 Post Secondary Fact Book

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By 2015: 70+% of all new jobs will require PSE

Canadian Council for Learning, 2007

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“The United States must find ways to nurture a broader and more diverse talent pool to be successful in the knowledge-based economy”

Council of Graduate Schools Report. Graduate Education: The Backbone of American Competitiveness and

Innovation

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Trends in Online Education

• 2/3 plus of all HE institutions offer online learning

• 3.5 million students taking online course (in fall 2006)

• 20%+ percent annual growth rate since 2003

Online Nation (Allen & Seaman, 2007)

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Online Nation (Allen & Seaman, 2007)

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ECAR, 2007 Undergraduate Students and IT

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Most Valuable Benefit from IT in Courses

ECAR, 2007 Undergraduate Students and IT

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The stepchild is welcomed into the family?

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1. Reality: Pace and Growth2. Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners3. Where are We Now?4. The Need for Change?5. Models of Change6. Moving Forward7. Innovation

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Millennial Learners?Oblinger (2005), Dede (2005)

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Do different experiences impact our neural structure?

Richard Davidson, 2002Kelly, Grinband, Hirsch, 2007

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The rise of everyone

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Information

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Interaction

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Community/Network

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A word of caution

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ECAR, 2007 Undergraduate Students and IT

Preference for IT Use in Courses

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Oxford Internet Institute: Internet in Britain 2007

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1. Reality: Pace and Growth2. Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners3. Where are We Now?4. The Need for Change?5. Models of Change6. Moving Forward7. Innovation

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Signal Hill 2007 Post Secondary Fact Book

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Market shift

• “Life long” (had to say that)• Non-sequential learners• Learners with non-degree needs• Learners with flexible degree needs

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Oxford Internet Institute: Internet in Britain 2007

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3.3 Billion Mobile accounts

Informa, 2007

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Oxford Internet Institute: Internet in Britain 2007

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Oxford Internet Institute: Internet in Britain 2007

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“Prototypical US industry in 10 years, if all goes well”

National Center on Education and the Economy: Tough Choices or Tough Times

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1. Reality: Pace and Growth2. Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners3. Where are We Now?4. The Need for Change?5. Models of Change6. Moving Forward7. Innovation

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“...we have to change ourselves in changing environments, and we have to empower ourselves to change these environments as well”

Theo Hug

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New skills

• ALA: information literacy (2000)

• Jenkins: New media skills (2006, p. 5)

• 21st Century Skills

• Digital Literacy – Gilster 1997, Jones-Kavalier & Flannigan, 2006

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Harvard (2007): Core Curriculum

1. Civic Engagement

2. Students to understand themselves as products of—and participants in—traditions of art, ideas, and values

3. Respond critically and constructively to change

4. Students’ understanding of ethical dimensions of what they say and do

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New Skills

• Knowledge of Human Cultures and the Physical and Natural World

• Intellectual and Practical Skills

• Personal and Social Responsibility

• Integrative Learning

AAC&U, 2007: College Learning for the New Global Century

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New views of education?

• Process?

• Content?

• Chris Lott’s Information Fluency: Knowledge/discipline...Participation... Metacognition/critical thinking

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Literacy with identity

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Our structures of presenting information

and fostering knowledge development cannot

keep pace with growth!

Our structures of presenting information

and fostering knowledge development cannot

keep pace with growth!

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1. Reality: Pace and Growth2. Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners3. Where are We Now?4. The Need for Change?5. Models of Change6. Moving Forward7. Innovation

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Cook, Holley & AndrewBritish Journal of Educational Technology 38 (5), 784-794.

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1. Reality: Pace and Growth2. Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners3. Where are We Now?4. The Need for Change?5. Models of Change6. Moving Forward7. Innovation

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What will education look like?

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OECD: Schooling for tomorrow

• Bureaucratic• Re-schooling– Focused learning organizations– Core social centres

• De-schooling– Extended market– Learning in networks

• Crisis

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Mixed signals in times of transition

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Threats

• For-profit providers• Global schools• Relationship to University• Funding• Re-skilling faculty

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Opportunities

• Global market• Partnerships with other institutions• Collaboration with global partners• Adopt combined resource-models• Innovate method and structure

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1. Reality: Pace and Growth2. Reality: Lives and Habits of Learners3. Where are We Now?4. The Need for Change?5. Models of Change6. Moving Forward7. Innovation

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http://dltj.org/2006/12/disruptive-innovation-card

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Innovating Education

Distance Education and Extension departments uniquely suited to the task

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What are core tasks in DE/Extension?

• Administration– Management, policy

• Technological– Infrastructure, security

• Research– New markets, future opportunities– On act and process of teaching

• Marketing• Teaching and Learning

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Teaching and Learning

Reconsider full spectrum of activity

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Courses

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Classrooms

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Teacher/educator

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Books

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IP/Copyright

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How do we begin to innovate?

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small stepsmany directions

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SeedSelect

Amplify(Meyer & Davis, 2003)

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Exploration/Conceptualization

Experimentation

Implementation

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Websites and Newsletters

www.elearnspace.orgwww.knowingknowledge.com

www.connectivism.cahttp://ltc.umanitoba.ca/wordpress/