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Tactical Fire Remote Sensing Advisory Committee NASA Ames/Mountain View, CA 29 May 2019 UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation Experiment (FASMEE) Adam Watts Associate Research Professor Fire Ecology and Unmanned Systems Division of Atmospheric Sciences, Desert Research Institute

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Page 1: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Tactical Fire Remote Sensing Advisory Committee

NASA Ames/Mountain View, CA

29 May 2019

UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation Experiment (FASMEE)

Adam Watts

Associate Research Professor

Fire Ecology and Unmanned SystemsDivision of Atmospheric Sciences, Desert Research Institute

Page 2: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of
Page 3: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

From “FASMEE Update,” TFRSAC 2016:

Page 4: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

From “FASMEE Update,” TFRSAC 2016:

Page 5: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Data-fusion logistics concept (original plan)

Page 6: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of
Page 7: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Changes 2016-2019:

-Original FASMEE budget estimate: $7-20M

-New funding levelsexpected to be ~$250,000

Page 8: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

-“FASMEE Lite” will include fewer investigators per team

-Disciplines largely the same; Fire Effects added

-Aviation component smaller; UAS provide the only airborne observations/sampling for Spring 2019 burns

-Investigators mostly self-funded

-Spring 2019 weather a challenge

-Some integration with FIREX-AQ (Fall 2019 flights)

-Proceeding with plans assuming 2020-2021 burns in SEUS

Summary of FASMEE changes:

Page 9: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Spring and Fall 2019 burn locations: Fishlake NF, Utah

Page 10: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of
Page 11: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Fuel plots

Page 12: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of
Page 13: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of
Page 14: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of
Page 15: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Airborne Systems Testing for Environmental Research• FAA Test Site Node (airspace access advantage)• UAS fleet for field deployments• Instrument development & testing• Local training range

UAS Lead for FASMEE

Page 16: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

• Real-time measurement/telemetry of CO, CO2, PM, T, rH, pressure…

• Additional sensors possible based on desired applications

• Airborne emissions sampling payload for detailed trace-gas and VOC

measurements

• Sonic anemometer

• Repeatable, on-demand soundings

• Weather aloft; readings across process thresholds (e.g. plume boundaries)

Instrument and UAS payload development for fire measurements

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Pebble Hill -Ambient 1

Pebble Hill -Ambient 2

Pebble Hill -Active Fire 1

Scrub Course- Active Fire 2

Scrub Course- Active Fire 3

ppbv

iso-pentanebenzene1-butene + isobutene1,3-butadienetolueneisoprenestyrenealpha-pinenem&p-xyleneethylbenzene

Page 17: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Atmospheric sensing and sampling:-Air quality (PM, CO, CO2, O3…)-Air sampling (VOCs, trace gases)-Meteorology (soundings, modeling)-Combustion efficiency and MCE-Plume development & movement-Diurnal and nocturnal measurements planned

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Pebble Hill -Ambient 1

Pebble Hill -Ambient 2

Pebble Hill -Active Fire 1

Scrub Course- Active Fire 2

Scrub Course- Active Fire 3

ppbv

iso-pentanebenzene1-butene + isobutene1,3-butadienetolueneisoprenestyrenealpha-pinenem&p-xyleneethylbenzene

UAS Measurements based on FASMEE specifications

Boehmler et al. (IAWF 2019); Nelson et al. (in review, Fire)

Page 18: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

• Airborne biological assays (airborne microbes in dust and smoke): UI collaboration• Soundings can be integrated into detailed local forecasts & plume models: UU/NCAR collaboration• EPA-developed emissions payload (Gullet et al.):

Additional UAS payloads/missions for FASMEE:

Page 19: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Act 1:USFS UAS Policy

Use Case: Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation Experiment (FASMEE): UAS Operations

Page 20: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Act 2:USFS UAS Policy

Use Case: Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation Experiment (FASMEE): UAS Operations

Page 21: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Act 3:USFS UAS Policy

Use Case: Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation Experiment (FASMEE): UAS Operations

Page 22: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

*Each agency has its own set of policies, regulations, procedures, and people who interpret and apply them.

Act 4:USFS UAS Policy*

Use Case: Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation Experiment (FASMEE): UAS Operations

Page 23: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Adam C. WattsDivision of Atmospheric Sciences

Desert Research Institute, Reno, [email protected]

775-674-7033

Acknowledgments

Nevada Governor’s Office of Economic DevelopmentDRI Organic Analysis Laboratory

EPA, Office of R&DUniversity of IdahoUSFS, FERA Team

USFS, Fishlake National ForestTall Timbers Research Station

Everett

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Watts et al. 2012

Cost (log scale)

$$$$$$$$

$x10a lot

Page 25: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Ironic results

-Poorly planned and executed UAS regulations inhibited growth of the US commercial UAS industry.

-Regulations were relaxed ca. 2017 (14 CFR 107)

-However, by then manufacturers from China presented difficult competition for manufacturers from the US and elsewhere.

-Affordable sUAS technology began to proliferate rapidly in universities, emergency management, and among DoD users…

Page 26: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

Ironic results

-Poorly planned and executed UAS regulations inhibited growth of the US commercial UAS industry.

-Regulations were relaxed ca. 2017 (14 CFR 107)

-However, by then manufacturers from China presented difficult competition for manufacturers from the US and elsewhere.

-Affordable sUAS technology began to proliferate rapidly in universities, emergency management, and among DoD users…

Page 27: UAS Planning for the Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation ...€¦ · Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Adam.Watts@dri.edu 775-674-7033 Acknowledgments Nevada Governor’s Office of

“I have confirmed that [DJI’s] software is indeed malicious…this software creates over 1000 files and spawns multiple processes during install. During the process, it issues commands meant to disable and remove Windows Anti-virus software and the firewall:

Process "cmd.exe" with commandline "/c powershell Set-MpPreference -DisableRealtimeMonitoring $true"Process "powershell.exe" with commandline "powershell Set-MpPreference -DisableRealtimeMonitoring $true"

Process "sc.exe" with commandline "sc stop WinDefend"Process "sc.exe" with commandline "sc delete WinDefend"

At this point, I am 100% confident that the software currently provided by DJI is malicious in nature and should not be trusted. Hopefully, [FBI analysis team] will be able to provide more context—how long they have been compromised and if it is indeed a nation-state level attack.”

-DRI Information Security Officer (SANS instructor/GIAC-certified)

Some interesting cybersecurity considerations