ub clean air program status of programme activities report to the national committee on...
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UB Clean Air ProgramStatus of Programme Activities
Report to the National Committee on Coordination, Management, and Oversight of Activities of Government Agencies with regard to the Implementation of the Government Policy on Air Pollution Reduction (NCC)
NCC Meeting, June 23, 2009
Gailius J. Draugelis, Senior Energy Specialist, World BankDr. Sereeter Lodoysamba, Professor, National University of Mongolia
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Outline
UB Clean Air Investment Project Preparation
Heating in Poor, Peri-Urban Ger Areas of Ulaanbaatar Technical Assistance Report
Air Monitoring and Health Impact Baseline Study & Discussion Paper
Donor Coordination
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Ulaanbaatar Clean Air Project (under preparation)
UBCAP Concept endorsed 12/2008 by NCC.
MOF confirms NCC is counterpart, accepts UBCAP concept letter 01/2009
$500,000 ADB TA Project Identified 9/2009 funds available
UBCAP Operations Plan preparation & demonstration
$12 million IDA credit 2nd half CY 2011 (funds diverted for budget support)
Co-financing is needed
Next Steps:
NCC to establish project implementation unit for ADB TA project
WB & ADB launch ADB TA winter 2008-2009, 18 month project
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UBCAP Clean Heating Appliance Product Development
Spot Check Spot Check Inform PIU
System developed under ADB
TA
Free stove design assistance
Products are labeled
Micro/SME credit from
commercial banks for scale up
Manufacturer pays certification
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UBCAP Clean Heating Appliance Subsidy Mechanism
System developed under ADB TA
Vouchers paid by project
Verification System with NGO
Subsidy & Administrative costs paid by project
Public awareness: Mass Media, Product Marketing,
Community-level (schools, clinics)
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Heating in Poor Peri Urban Ger Areas of Ulaanbaatar
Draft Report to NCC 12/08
Policy recommendations for clean, affordable
heating in Ger areas
1000 HH Survey
Affordability
Attitudes
Fuel consumption
Heating market
Stove replacement program design
Stove-fuel testing protocol
International experience
Next step
Disseminate glossy version with NCC
07/2009
MongoliaHeating in Poor, Peri-urban Ger Areas of Ulaanbaatar
Asia Sustainable and Alternative Energy ProgramSustainable Development DepartmentEast Asia and Pacific RegionThe World Bank
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Air Monitoring and Health Impact Baseline Study
Air Quality (PM) Baseline
Health Impact Baseline
Cost-benefit analysis
Discussion Paper 6/2009
Final Paper 10/2009
Next Step:
Comments 7/6/2009
Disseminate 7/2009
Final Report 10/2009
Air Pollution in Ulaanbaatar Proposed assessment of current situation and effects of abatement measures
Discussion Paper
Version for Comment: June 20, 2009
Sustainable Development Series: Discussion PaperSustainable Development DepartmentEast Asia and Pacific RegionThe World Bank
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AMHIB Discussion Paper Results
DP Data 2006-2008
Final Report Data July ’08
– June ’09
8 AMHIB Stations
DP Data UB is among
most polluted PM cities
8 AMHIB Stations8 AMHIB Stations
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AMHIB Discussion Paper Results
Summary of PM measurements at the NUM station, 2006-2007 (monthly averages) (Lodoysamba et.al., 2008).
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AMHIB Discussion Paper Results
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AMHIB Discussion Paper Results
Modeled Annual Avg.
PM10 , 2007
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UB Air Pollution & International Standards
PM2.5 PM10 PM10 PM2.5 PM10
Annual Average
24 Hour Daily Average
Annual Average
24 Hour Daily Average
Hourly average
Hourly average
Max. hourly
Measured PM concentrations in UB (all numbers in µg/m3)
2006
141
2007 157 600 1700
2008 279
November 17-22, 2008 max. 350 max. 600 2300 1300 2500
Guidelines, Standards, Limit values (all numbers in µg/m3)
Mongolian AQS
WHO Guidelines (2005)
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10
50
25
50
20
100
50 Notes
WHO Interim Targets 1/ 7 days above 35 per year is allowed.
IT-1 35 75 70 150 2/ 35 days above 50 per IT-2 25 50 50 100 year is allowed.IT-3 15 37.5 30 75 3/ To be met by 2010
USEPA Air Quality Standards (2006)
15 351/ - 150 4/ To be met by 2020
EU Limit Values 253/ - 40 502/
204/
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Discussion Paper Results
Winter pollution has high peaks @ 50% of PM concentrations
Corresponds to ignition phase (cold start) and reloading of
stoves
ADB/WB TA will look at the ignition problem
How good does an abatement program need to be ?
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0
40
80
120
160
200
240
2007 Ger stoves HOBs Power Plants Suspended dust
all 4 sectors
Highest annual average km2 cell concentration PM10
-30 %
-50 %
-80 %
WHO, Guideline
WHO, IT1Mongolian AQ standard
µg/m
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2007 situation at the given emission reductions
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2007 Ger stoves HOBs Power Plants Suspended dust
all 4 sectors
Highest annual average km2 cell concentration PM2.5
-30 %
-50 %
-80 %
WHO, Guideline
WHO, IT1
Mongolian AQ standard
µg/m
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2007 situation at the given emission reductions
Preliminary Estimates
50% emission reduction
from Ger heating results
in:
about 33% reduction in
PM10 annual average
concentrations
about $19 - $38 m in
avoided health damages
annually
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Donor Coordination
Maintain dialogue bilaterally with as many donors as possible
EBRD coordination on fuel-stove testing
EBRD coordination on Operational Framework and UBCAP
ADB coordination on ADB TA Proposal ($500,000)
JICA coordination on AMHIB project & Discussion Paper
Encourage NCC to take lead in coordination
June 23 meeting
Propose:
At least semi-annual donor meetings, next one in November
2009
NCC include donor programs in its Action Plan, if acceptable