umicore capital markets day 2015 : energy & surface technologies | rechargeable battery...
TRANSCRIPT
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2 September 2015Andaz London Liverpool Street
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Energy & Surface
Speaker
Technologies
Marc Van SandeExecutive Vice-President,
Energy & Surface Technologies
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Agenda
3
Business group profile
Shared characteristics of the business units
Growth & profitability drivers
Asian presence
Key takeaways
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Thin Film Products
(TFP)
Electro-OpticMaterials (EOM)
Rechargeable Battery Materials
(RBM)
Cobalt & SpecialtyMaterials
(CSM)
Electroplating (EP)
Energy & Surface Technologies
Business group profile
4
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Materials for energy and surface applications
5
Electrification of vehicles
Energy storage
Efficient portable devices
Light emitting diodes (LED)
High efficiencysolar cells
Wear and corrosion
protection and decorative coating
Optics and
electronics
RBM CSM EP TFP EOM
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Closing the loop
6
Thin Film Products
Electro-Optic Materials
Electroplating
Cobalt & Specialty Materials
Rechargeable Battery Materials
Residues from the tooling and aerospace industries and catalysts from the petrochemical industry
Residues from electroplating baths (other BU)
Ge bearing residues
In bearing residues
Closed loop through Battery Recycling pilot ready for scaling up
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Asian presence increasingly important
7
Rechargeable Battery Materials
Electro-Optic MaterialsElectroplatingCobalt & Specialty
Materials Thin Film Products
Shift of several industries to Asia
Supply coming from Asia
Lower cost environment
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Growth & profitability drivers
8
Electro-Optic Materials
Electroplating
Cobalt & Specialty Materials
Rechargeable Battery Materials
Business unit
Vehicle electrification Scale effects, product and process technologies
Main growth drivers
Profitability drivers
Growth in RBM Plating and chemicals industries
Supply chain integration, process excellence
Asian demand in electronics Product & applied technology
Infra-red optics in consumer electronics, new satellite programs
Supply chain integration, product technology
Thin Film Products Display industry growth, thin film batteries
Scale effects, product & process technologies
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Key takeaways
9
All activities are related to the core competences of Umicore
Double digit revenue and earnings growth potential
Importance of Asian presence, integrated supply chain & scale
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RechargeableBattery Materials
Kurt VandeputteVice-President,
Rechargeable Battery Materials
Speaker
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Agenda
3
Business profile
Market drivers and prospects
Growth opportunity
Key takeaways
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Agenda
4
Business profile
Market drivers and prospects
Growth opportunity
Key takeaways
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A close fit with megatrends
5
more stringentemission control
electrification of the
automobile
resourcescarcity
MegatrendsTransportation: fuel-based towards electricity-based
Electricity generation: increasing share from non-fossil sources (wind, sun, bio, hydro,…)
Metal-based functional materials enable recyclability
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Umicoreoffering
A leading player in the industry
6
Market characteristics
• Cathode material is important to performance and cost of a Li-ion battery
• Li-ion battery technology is established reference for portables and automotive applications
A broad spectrum of metal-based materials used in Li-ion batteries
Umicore is a leading cathode material supplier with a large industrial footprint. We have produced enough cathode materials to:
Provide a smartphone to every person on the planet
Power more than 1 million EVs
Technology leadership and a proven quality track record combined with astrong application know-how are key for business success
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A global presence
7
R&D and Industrialization
• Product R&D (KR, JP, BE)• Process Development (BE,
KR)• Engineering (KR)
• Battery Lab (KR, JP, BE)
Operations
• LCO, NMC (KR,PRC)• LFP (BE)• ISO9001/14001/18001• TS16949
Customer Teams
• Dedicated teams• Sales & Marketing• Applied Technology
• in EU, US, KR, JP, PRC, TW
Total RBM workforce: approx. 500 people
Application Technology
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Unique integration in the value chain
8
Portable electronics
Powertools
(P) HEV / EV
E-bikes
Stationarypower
Li-ion rechargeable batteries
ApplicationProduct End useMetalRaw material
residues
residues
Recycling & intermediates
Umicore occupies a unique position in the value chain guaranteeing high speed to market, supply security, and responsiveness to customer needs
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Unique industrialization capabilities
9
Two decades of market presence in cathode materials for Li-ion batteries
Established industrial footprint close to the customer
Strong industrialization capabilities building on historical Umicore key competences
Process innovation fuels productivity improvements while maintaining highest quality standards (stringent automotive standards)
Integrated process flows with guaranteed access to critical raw materials allows an agile market approach
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Umicore’s production plant in Cheonan
10
The biggest cathode material production facility in the world
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Agenda
11
Business profile
Market drivers and prospects
Growth opportunity
Key takeaways
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Supportive market conditionsBase case
12
PortableSocietal driver
ElectrificationRegulatory driver
Energy Storage SystemRegulatory driver
The main growth driver will be vehicle electrification
0
200
400
2015 2020 2025
Rechargeable battery market (GWh)
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Exciting upside potentialHigh case
13
0
200
400
2015 2020 2025
Rechargeable battery market (GWh)
PortableSocietal driver
ElectrificationRegulatory driver
Energy Storage SystemRegulatory driver
The main growth driver will be vehicle electrification
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1414
Electronics
E-PTW
Power tools
Other
Market focus:Portables
71%
19%
5% 5%• Main Li-ion market segment
today driving material technology directions
• Smart phone, tablet and notebook applications are the volume drivers in the electronics subsegment
• Electric Power Two-Wheels is a new growth driver based on similar battery and material technologies
• Market growth rates stabilizing towards 4-6% p.a.
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Market focus:Electrified transport
5% 5%• Market segment is very diverse (automotive, heavy duty, marine, aviation) though near-term driven by automotive
• Car market continues on growth track
• Electrification roll-out geographically and technologically diversified
2015 2020
ICE70%
1%
ICE36%
61%
Micro HEV / HEV
pHEV / EV3%
Total automotive production by drivetrain
29%
Micro HEV / HEV
pHEV / EV
15
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1616
Market focus:Electrified transport
Understanding Li-ion battery requirements for automotive subsegments
Selecting most cost effective Li-ion battery system for a given Power to Energy requirement
Expanding to small delivery vans, utility vehicles and e-buses
0.4 1 10 25 75 50 200Micro HEV HEV pHEV EV medium EV long Delivery van E-bus
Segments Battery Size (kWh)
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1717
Market focus:Electrified transport
• Aligning the right material technology and production capacities with the specific market demand profiles is crucial
• Energy, more specifically ‘Cost of Energy’ ($/kWh), is a key driving force for material choices in Li-ion battery technology
• Additional user requirements determine material technology decisions (eg. fast charge capability, cold cranking,…)
Micro hybrid
Hybrid
Plug-in hybrid
Full electric
E-bus
47%
21%3%
7%
22%
Share of automotive battery in 2020 in GWh
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18
Market focus:Energy Storage Systems
• Li-ion based storage systems serve only a niche segment
• Industrial power grid connected systems offer the main opportunity
• Increasing non-fossil electricity forces regulators to define ‘minimum’ connected electricity storage buffers to guarantee power grid stability
• Reliability and long-term TCO form the value proposition
• Technical requirements and market size do not require application specific material design optimization
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Agenda
19
Business profile
Market drivers and prospects
Growth opportunity
Key takeaways
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Umicore cathode material heat map
20
Umicore’s portfolio focuses on sizeable segments offering significant market
growth
Segment Cathode Material Options
Portables Premium HE LCO NMC/NCA
Portables Standard NMC LCO LMO
Automotive ‘Energy’ NMC/NCA LMO
Automotive ‘Power’ NMC/NCA LMO LFP
Energy Storage System LFP NMC/NCA LMO
Umicorepresent
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59%
11%
19%
8%3%
48%
3%
31%
14%4%
56%22%
22%
74%
15%11%
40%
40%
20%
47%
35%
18%
Material specific market opportunity evolution
21
Umicore covers the main market segments with its HE LCO, NMC and LFP materials with freedom to operate and is well positioned for future material trends and market growth
Portables 2015-2020
HE LCO and NMC
technologies of choice
ESS2015-2020
NMC and LFP
remain leaders
Transportation2015-2020
NMC the technology
of choice
HE LCO
LCO
NMC
LFP
LMO
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Significant accessible market for UmicoreBase case
22
Cathode material demand in kT (indexed)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2015 2020
Market accessible for Umicore
Umicore is well positioned to participate strongly in the market growth
LMO
LFP
NMC
LCO
HE LCO
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Significant accessible market for UmicoreHigh case
23
Cathode material demand in kT (indexed)
Market accessible for Umicore
Umicore’s supply chain integration and industrialization competences support a transformational growth scenario
LMO
LFP
NMC
LCO
HE LCO 0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2015 2020 high case
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Growth strategy 2015-2020
24
Cost leadership through economies of scale, process development, competitive sourcing (jointly with CSM) and operational excellence
Establish technology-based leadership in xEV and continue massive industrial expansion
Maintain leadership in portable applications
Reach sustainable profitability
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Agenda
25
Business profile
Market drivers and prospects
Growth opportunity
Key takeaways
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Key takeaways
26
Li-ion is the technology of choice for portable and automotive segments in the coming decade
Umicore is uniquelypositioned to capture this growth due to its customer proposition
Market demand remains strong and transport electrification is the main growth driver
• Eexcellent cathode materials technology and freedom to operate
• Production expertise and ability to scale up volumes
• Integrated supply chain