unclassified – for instructional use only assessing transition of security operations in...

UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY

Assessing Transition of SecurityOperations in Afghanistan

Project Proposal11 February 2010

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Agenda

• Background • Problem Description• Preliminary Requirements• Technical Approach• Expected Results• Project Plan and Deliverables

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Background

• September 11 terrorist attacks• 7 Oct 01: Coalition forces begin campaign in Afghanistan• Goal of Current Coalition

– Rebuild Afghanistan (self-gov’t, self-defense, care for citizens)

• Goal of International Security Assistance Force (ISAF)– Transfer lead for security operations to Afghan government

• Goal of Combined Security Transition Command-Afghanistan (CSTC-A)– Field effective Afghanistan National Security Forces (ANSF)

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Problem Description• Deputy Director, Force Integration and Training (CJ7) / CSTC-A

defined five lines of operation (LOOs) that support the goal of transferring security operations– Accelerate ANSF growth– Achieve security for the Afghan population– Marginalize malign actors– Achieve legitimate, responsive, and accountable governance– Facilitate community development

• Develop metrics and an accompanying decision support tool to measure progress against the five LOOs

• Stakeholders– Force Integration and Training cell of NTM-A/CSTC-A (sponsor)– NTM-A/CSTC-A– Coalition military leadership– U.S. government leadership

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Preliminary Requirements

• Majority of system must be compatible with software already owned and operated by the U.S. military

• Research focused on Afghanistan including but not limited to ANSF, civilian population, economy, and political organization

• Project group organization into two subgroups– Values and Metrics: development of value model– System Design: development of decision analysis

tool

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Technical Approach – Value Model

• Qualitative Value Model: the identification of an objective hierarchy relating fundamental and means objectives

• Quantitative Value Model: the articulation of the decision maker’s preferences towards the attributes, and the means of measuring each attribute

V(x) = ∑wivi(xi) where wi = weight of attribute i vi = value of attribute i at score xi

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Technical Approach – System Design

• System Input: the quantitative portion of the value model in a standardized survey format, completed by military units

• System Processing and Storage: completed survey templates are configuration controlled and ingested into data storage. User querying capabilities allow the retrieval of data (by unit and/or AOR and/or date range) to research trends

• Analysis Output: Condensed and easily understood presentation for decision makers

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Expected Results• The value model (both quantitative and qualitative portions)• Survey template implementation of the quantitative portion of

the value model• Decision analysis environment consisting of:

– Input function for survey template with completed unit observations– Data storage and analysis portion– Analysis presentation portion

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Project Plan and Deliverables

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11 Feb: Project Proposal 31 Mar: Initial System18 Feb: Status Report, Model Requirements 1 Apr: Formal IPR25 Feb: Value and Metric Structure 5 Apr: Finalized Model4 Mar: Progress Report 29 Apr: Written Report18 Mar: Status Report 7 May: Final Presentation/Website


Questions?

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unclassified – for instructional use only assessing transition of security operations in...

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