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Under full sail… Under full sail KBC Investor Day – Prague Asset management, forging ahead… 5 Prague, 7 December 2006 Stefan Duchateau CEO, KBC Asset Management

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Page 1: Under full sail…€¦ · Wealth management in KBC Belgium CEE Merchant Banking European Private Banking AUM: 0.6 bn euros AUM: 54.1 bn euros AUM: 9.2 bn euros AUM: 141.2 bn euros

Under full sail…

Under full sailKBC Investor Day – Prague

Asset management, forging ahead…5

Prague, 7 December 2006Stefan Duchateau

CEO, KBC Asset Management

Page 2: Under full sail…€¦ · Wealth management in KBC Belgium CEE Merchant Banking European Private Banking AUM: 0.6 bn euros AUM: 54.1 bn euros AUM: 9.2 bn euros AUM: 141.2 bn euros

85

Introduction

• Some basic statistics• General organisation

Asset management strategy

• ‘T/A/SP/I/O’• Some results

Conclusion & outlook

Contents

Page 3: Under full sail…€¦ · Wealth management in KBC Belgium CEE Merchant Banking European Private Banking AUM: 0.6 bn euros AUM: 54.1 bn euros AUM: 9.2 bn euros AUM: 141.2 bn euros

86

Wealth management in KBC

Belgium CEE MerchantBanking

EuropeanPrivateBanking

AUM:0.6 bn euros

AUM:54.1 bn euros

AUM:9.2 bn euros

AUM:141.2 bn euros

AUM as of 30 Sept. 2006

KBC Asset Managementmanaging 150.6 bn euros

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87

020

4060

80100

120140

160

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 1Q062Q063Q06okt/06

KBC AM: AUM trend Some peersUNION: 147 bn (09/2006) Robeco: 137 bn

Breakdown of AUM & FUM : see appendix (1)Strong organic growth : see appendix (2)

09/2006 : 150.6 bn

AUM as of 10/2006: 153.6 bn

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88

KBC AM: general organization

DublinActive equity

Tracking error > 5%

BrusselsResearch

Structured productsIndex tilted equity

Sector funds

Coordination

LuxembourgBonds

CEE

Shanghai

Local

Product- and Management platforms

Details on organisation : see appendix (3)

Page 6: Under full sail…€¦ · Wealth management in KBC Belgium CEE Merchant Banking European Private Banking AUM: 0.6 bn euros AUM: 54.1 bn euros AUM: 9.2 bn euros AUM: 141.2 bn euros

89

Current base of AUMStrong volume base

• Belgium (Flanders)

Strong growth base• Belgium (Flanders), Central Eastern Europe, …

Page 7: Under full sail…€¦ · Wealth management in KBC Belgium CEE Merchant Banking European Private Banking AUM: 0.6 bn euros AUM: 54.1 bn euros AUM: 9.2 bn euros AUM: 141.2 bn euros

90

Per capita net financial wealth

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

Belgium UK

Netherl

ands

Italy

France

EU-15 (*

)Swed

enGerm

any

Austria

Finlan

dSpa

inPort

ugal

Denmark

Czech

Rep

.Hun

gary

Croatia

Poland

Slovak

iaNE (*

*)Turk

eyBulg

aria

Roman

ia

Source: PFA database (UniCredit Group)

Strong volume base(2003/4, in EUR)

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91

Allocation of customer assets in CEE

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

CEE AVG Eurozone USA Japan

Other

Insurance(Life,Pension)Funds+directinvestments

Deposits

Strong growth base

Only 23% of client money in funds/direct investments (Eurozone 1.7x, US 2.3x)

CAGR 2001-04: 44% - expected growth rate > 25%

Page 9: Under full sail…€¦ · Wealth management in KBC Belgium CEE Merchant Banking European Private Banking AUM: 0.6 bn euros AUM: 54.1 bn euros AUM: 9.2 bn euros AUM: 141.2 bn euros

92

Introduction

• Some basic statistics• General organisation

Asset management strategy

• ‘T/A/SP/I/O’• Some results

Conclusion & outlook

Contents

Home Markets’strategy

Page 10: Under full sail…€¦ · Wealth management in KBC Belgium CEE Merchant Banking European Private Banking AUM: 0.6 bn euros AUM: 54.1 bn euros AUM: 9.2 bn euros AUM: 141.2 bn euros

93

KBC’s asset management strategy

UniqueUnique

ValuableValuable

SubstantialSubstantial

SustainableSustainable

Competition

Customers

Shareholder

Personnel

Strategy concerns the creation of a unique and valuable position,involving a different set of activities …

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94

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

OperationalEfficiency

Asset management strategyThe phased roll-out of our strategy

T A SP I O

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95

Clearly defined targetsThe ‘150%’ target:

• AM’s target market share in a home market is the average market share in banking x 150%

• Financial asset growth >> Economic growth

Provide a full range of products:• ‘All Weather Portfolio’

• Right time, Right product, Right price,…Right customer

Provide low-risk, substantial and recurrent income

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96

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

OperationalEfficiency

Asset management strategyThe phased roll-out of our strategy

T A SP I O

Deep understanding of the customer’s fundamental needs drives our innovation process

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97

Asset management strategy

Key driversin my industry ?

Background ‘instruments’

Macroeconomic fundamentalsRisk-aversion patterns

Regulatory issuesManufacturing …

Linking analysis to targets

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

OperationalEfficiency

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98

Be the fastest mover in the fastest-moving (substantial) segment of the market …

– Fastest mover

– Fastest-moving segment

StrategicPositioning

Implemen-tation

OperationalEfficiency

Analysis

How to increase market share … ?

Targets

A real life example of how analysis leads to effective product-positioning…

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

Operational Efficiency

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996

5

4

3

2

1

01 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Very def def dyn very dyn

~0…. in 1996> 35 bn EUR in 2006

Investment horizon

Downside Risk

Client typology

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100

Global product mismatch

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1

little

somewhat

much

importance

63%

Customer needs

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1

Product offerings

Protected

Source : Mc Kinsey & Company, 9th Annual Investment and Wealth Management CEO conference 01/2006

Capital Protection?

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101

-

5.000.000.000

10.000.000.000

15.000.000.000

20.000.000.000

25.000.000.000

30.000.000.000

35.000.000.000

dec/96

mrt/97

jun/97

sep/97

dec/97

mrt/98

jun/98

sep/98

dec/98

mrt/99

jun/99

sep/99

dec/99

mrt/00

jun/00

sep/00

dec/00

mrt/01

jun/01

sep/01

dec/01

mrt/02

jun/02

sep/02

dec/02

mrt/03

jun/03

sep/03

dec/03

mrt/04

jun/04

sep/04

dec/04

mrt/05

jun/05

sep/05

dec/05

mrt/06

jun/06

sep/06

Net inflows in capital-protected structures

Constant proportionportfolio insurance

Option-based portfolio insurance

An engine for growth …

Ratio ‘open’ funds / CGF: ~50/50See appendix (4) KBC AM

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102

Back to strategy…

UniqueUnique

ValuableValuable

SubstantialSubstantial

SustainableSustainable

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103

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

Operational Efficiency

design

service

performance

distribution

INSTITUTIONALMARKETS

COMMERCIALBANKS

KBC’sspecific

approach

Needs-based

Access-based

Variety-based

Highly interactive

PRIVATEBANKING

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104

Low FeeArea

High FeeArea

High GrowthArea

Low Growth

Area

Capital-guaranteed

Funds

Structured products

Hedgefunds

SpecialBonds

Balanced fundswith floorprotection Special

equity

Realestatefunds

EquityBonds

Highly instrumental for product-positioning...

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

Operational Efficiency

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105

ImplementationRelationship Management

InformationProcesses

Product Delivery

MotivationalStructures

Knowledgetransfer

Portfolio CommitteeMarketing Committee

Trailerfees

Participation

Pro-active positioningStrong focus on ADVICE

548 m EUR in 2006(15 times the level of 1996)

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106

AttractiveProducts

EfficientWrapper

ProductionCost

KnowledgeTransfer

GoodPerformance

Conditions

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

Operational Efficiency

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107

Innovative approach ?• Perception?• How well can you put innovation into practice?• Innovation is not about incremental change,

but addresses fundamental needs

100% tuned to network• Based on real demand• Dedicated product development• Minimal ‘time-to-market’

‘De-commoditize’• Allows for innovation premium• Innovation ≠ product proliferation• Innovation implies ‘out-of-the-box’ thinking

AttractiveProducts

EfficientWrapper

ProductionCost

KnowledgeTransfer

GoodPerformance

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

Operational Efficiency

Page 25: Under full sail…€¦ · Wealth management in KBC Belgium CEE Merchant Banking European Private Banking AUM: 0.6 bn euros AUM: 54.1 bn euros AUM: 9.2 bn euros AUM: 141.2 bn euros

108

ICBUnit-linkedMutual fundsDiscret. Management

EfficiencyFiscal treatmentTransparencyLiquidity

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

Operational Efficiency

AttractiveProducts

EfficientWrapper

ProductionCost

KnowledgeTransfer

GoodPerformance

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109

Right-sourcing …Manage Complexity…

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

Operational Efficiency

AttractiveProducts

ProductionCost

Efficientwrapper

KnowledgeTransfer

GoodPerformance

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2004, bp

KBC Belgium: 5.8

European average 19.219.2

Comparison of overall costs to the sample's distribution

Source: McKinsey European Asset Management Survey 2005

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110

Focus on attributesinstead of products

Make choices digestibleMake complexity approachable

Performance measure?Consistency?Advice?

AttractiveProducts

ProductionCost

Efficientwrapper

KnowledgeTransfer

GoodPerformance

Targets Analysis Strategic Positioning

Implemen-tation

Operational Efficiency

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111

Investment ranking over 3 years (30/9/2006)

5,84%

17,04%

22,65%

18,27%

12,34%

3,55%4,78%

2,28%

12,87%

0,39%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

All funds

NormalDistribution

77% of funds under managementare ranked in the first two quartiles

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112

Performance?How good was your performance?

• The answer should be relevant to your client base

• Did you also advise your clients to invest in your (past) outperformers?

Balanced funds provide the acid test …• On a 3-year basis, 92% of our

balanced funds rank in the first 2 quartiles

• On a 1-year basis, 94% of our balanced funds rank in the first 2 quartiles

94%92%

50%50%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

3 Y 1 Y

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113

Testing our strategy

Unique

Products?

But most of all: Our people

At AM levelAt sales-support levelAt branch level

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114

This is us …

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115

8

Example : ČSOB ads follow KBC AM practice and include personalised pictures of IAs.

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116

Testing our strategy…

UniqueUnique

ValuableValuable

SubstantialSubstantial

SustainableSustainable

Market share?(Growth)

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117

Market share, Belgium

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

dec/

93m

rt/9

4ju

n/94

sep/

94de

c/94

mrt

/95

jun/

95se

p/95

dec/

95m

rt/9

6ju

n/96

sep/

96de

c/96

mrt

/97

jun/

97se

p/97

dec/

97m

rt/9

8ju

n/98

sep/

98de

c/98

mrt

/99

jun/

99se

p/99

dec/

99m

rt/0

0ju

n/00

sep/

00de

c/00

mrt

/01

jun/

01se

p/01

dec/

01m

rt/0

2ju

n/02

sep/

02de

c/02

mrt

/03

jun/

03se

p/03

dec/

03m

rt/0

4ju

n/04

sep/

04de

c/04

mrt

/05

jun/

05se

p/05

dec/

05m

rt/0

6ju

n/06

KBC: 33.92%

Source : BeAMA

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118

Δ market share(1996-2006)Δ = 250 m EUR recurrent annual

No. 1 in Cap.-guaranteed 54%No. 1 in Equity fundsNo. 1 in Bond funds

No. 1 in Balanced funds

Market share Value share?

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119

Market share, CEE

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

Republic Republic

Czech Hungary Slovak Poland

2002Q1

2006/09

Total = 9.4 bn EUR

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120

‘50% more’ approach

(30/10/2006: Local official professional sources )

AM activities were highly instrumentalin achieving (helping to achieve) overall targets setfor M&A operations

Czech Hungary Slovak PolandRepublic Republic

Effective AM market share:2002Q1 10% 6% 5% 5%2006/09 27% 18% 10% 4%

Banking market share 18% 12% 5% 5%Target AM market share 27% 18% 8% 8%

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121

Rolling out our strategic concept

7166

42

54

45

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Slovak R. Czech R. Hungary Belgium Poland

Cap guar

Market share in capital-guaranteed funds (local markets)

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122

Testing our strategy…

UniqueUnique

ValuableValuable

SubstantialSubstantial

SustainableSustainable

Sales

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123

Total sales, 2000-2005

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2005 total: 17.3 bn EUR (10/2005: 13.4 bn) 2006 total: 13.6 bn EUR

For details, see appendix (5) and (6)

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124

3Q 2006Capital-protected Products

Continuous Re-engineeringImproved market conditions

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125

More testing

UniqueUnique

ValuableValuable

SubstantialSubstantial

SustainableSustainable

Are we creatingShareholder Value?

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126

(in m euros) Est. 2006

Management income * 645 Management costs -46Administration fees 30 Allocated to KBC Administration costs -31 distribution networks

Distribution fees 286 Direct collection byKBC distribution network

Other income 24

Total 908* incl. financial results KBC AM

Revenue creation, AM activities

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127

Testing our strategy …

HighPotential

LowPotential

Cannotadd value

Can add value

Natural Owner

KBC AMKBC AM

Source = McKinsey & Company: Next 2006

Industrial mapping

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128

Conclusion & outlookIn 2007-09, AM’s earnings contribution is expected to grow at 10-15% p.a.

Successful implementation of our strategy in CEE countries:• Most important targets have already been reached• AM offers economies of scope / scale / financial diversification and synergies vis-à-vis

the Group’s strategy

Continued strong position in Belgium:• High savings rate and general product acceptance provide further room for growth,

even from a platform with high market share • Operationally effective and efficient

Strategy for non-home markets:• China: Oct. 06 license, strategic positioning in CGF• USA: EAFE , high yield equity• Germany / Spain / Taiwan / Hong Kong

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129

Appendix (1) KBC Asset Management

Assets under management– Breakdown

Funds under management– Breakdown

Retail47%

CEE

Private 24%

Institutional 23%

Capital-guaranteed Structures

33.6%

Fixed Income22,9%

Equity13,4%

Real Estate0,7%

Money Market5,3%

Balanced23,7%

Hedge Funds0,4%

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130

Appendix (2) :KBC: an organic growth story• ‘Financial news’, September 2006• Growth: 01/2000 09/2006

Asset Manager Growth %

Bridgewater Associates US 500GMO UK 362Union Investment GER 233Dimensional advisors US 206AIG Global Investment US 204Capital Group US 197Lord Abbett US 194Russel Investment US 189Eaton Vance US 188

KBC AM342%

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131

Appendix (3) KBC, general organisation

Brussels Lux Dublin London Prague Budapest Warsaw Bratislava Shanghai New York

Global Products Design X Local Products Design X X X X X X X Sales Support X X X X X X X X XAdministrative Functions X OS OS OS X X X X X Global Products Management X X X Local Products Management X X X X X X X X

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132

Appendix (4)KBC, ‘open funds’ relative to CGF

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133

Appendix (5) KBC, total sales 2005-06

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

3500000

jan/05 feb/05 mrt/05 apr/05 mei/05 jun/05 jul/05 aug/05 sep/05 okt/05 nov/05 dec/05 jan/06 feb/06 mrt/06 apr/06 mei/06 jun/06 jul/06 aug/06 sep/06 okt/06

2005 2006In thousands of EUR

Page 51: Under full sail…€¦ · Wealth management in KBC Belgium CEE Merchant Banking European Private Banking AUM: 0.6 bn euros AUM: 54.1 bn euros AUM: 9.2 bn euros AUM: 141.2 bn euros

134

Appendix (6) KBC, capital-protected issues

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006/10

in bn EUR

CPPIOBPI