understanding risk forum 2016 - impact-based forecasting

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Ignite presentation – Understanding Risk Forum 2016, Venice Nyree Pinder, Global Strategic Partnerships Manager, Met Office Impact-based forecasting

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Page 1: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting

Ignite presentation – Understanding Risk Forum 2016, VeniceNyree Pinder, Global Strategic Partnerships Manager, Met Office

Impact-based forecasting

Page 2: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting

Forecast + vulnerability

= impact

Impact-based forecasting

warning & action

Page 3: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting

Some warning signs are universal...

Images: www.automall.com & www.clipartpanda.com

Page 4: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting

How do you cut through the noise?

Snow later

Rain’s

on the

way...

Page 5: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting
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The authoritative voice

Met Office

warning

Storm later

Page 9: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting

Work in partnership – the hazards

Meteorology Hydrology

Page 10: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting

Work in partnership – the vulnerabilities

Image: www.rnli.org

Page 11: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting

Work in partnership to communicate risk/impact

What’s

the

message? Who is the audience?

Image: www.clipartpanda.com

Page 12: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting

Deliver the message

One

authoritative

voice

Rain later

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A partnership model

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Are the warning signs understood?

Images: www.automall.com & www.clipartpanda.com

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A weather warning matrix

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The final mile: connecting an impact-based warning service to

decision making

Paul Davies - Met OfficeLydia Cumiskey - Deltares

Rick Murnane - GFDRR

Page 17: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting

Dr. Mahar Lagmay - Department of Science and Technology, Philippines

Flavio Montaje - Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Mozambique

Denny Wahyu Haryanto Wastoni - Jakarta Disaster Management Authority

Speakers

Page 18: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 - Impact-based forecasting

Image: www.globalopportunitynetwork.org

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Thank you

Friday 9:00 – 10:30Room: Stanza London