unfc–2009 – purpose of resource classification david macdonald houston 21 november 2013
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UNFC–2009 – Purpose of Resource Classification David MacDonald Houston 21 November 2013. A Couple of Anecdotes. A famous company misrepresents its reserves with collusion of the board of directors Application of revised rules significantly alters management ’ s previous estimate - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
UNFC–2009 –Purpose of Resource Classification
David MacDonaldHouston21 November 2013
A Couple of Anecdotes
• A famous company misrepresents its reserves with collusion of the board of directors
• Application of revised rules significantly alters management’s previous estimate
• Risk mitigation not in-place results in revision of field reserves
• Management found to be trading shares prior to release of revised reserves estimates
Institute of Mining and MetallurgyLondon, 1911
Stakeholders of our Resources
3
External user
External Influencers
Internal users
Governance and Assurance
Internal StakeholdersInternal
preparers
Principles for Resource Classification
• Project based– Project management
• Classification of total volume• Clear boundaries between categories
– Discovered– Commercial (economic and social license)
4
Resources are measured against …
Economic to extract (commercially feasible)
Technically feasible to extract
Uncertainty well defined (with high confidence)
Sustainable Mining and the UNFC, India, 29-30 October 2013 5
Typical Deepwater Facility Design
6
Floating Facility
Export Facility
Well count and management
Riser towers
Gas injection
Water injection
Maximum Rate Design
• Subsurface
– Static
– Dynamic
• Gathering
• Processing
• Transport
• Commercial
Sources of Uncertainty
Successful development plans include contingencies and mitigations for possible outcomes.
Reservoir Technical Limits
7
• Options– Doable now (or almost)
• Possibilities– Potentially economic– May require incremental
technology development– <5 & >5 yr timescales
• Barrier opportunities– Technical or commercial
barrier– Not currently doable or
uneconomic– Requires step change
0Base Options Possibilities Barrier
Reco
very
Fac
tor
Reservoir Technical limit
Barrier RF
1
Resource Progression
8
ExplorationProspect
Access Appraise Select Define Execute Operate
Approved for Development
ProductionOn Production
Development Pending
Justified for Development
Exploration Commercial
Potentially Commercial
KeyNon-Commercial
Resource Progression
9
ExplorationProspect
Access Appraise Select Define Execute Operate
Approved for Development
ProductionOn Production
Development Pending
Justified for Development
Remaining Prospectivity
Development on Hold
Development Unclarified
Exploration Commercial
Potentially Commercial
KeyNon-Commercial
Role of Technology
10
coil tubing drilling unitsidetracks
hydraulic fracturesstimulationsworkoversnon-rig workovers
incre
men
tal p
rod
ucti
on
mb
d
The improvement of hydrocarbon recovery and investment efficiency is demonstrably linked with advances in
technology.
The right linkage between depletion and technology plans is vital to
maximising value from our assets.
UNFC – 2D representation
ExtractedSales Production
Non-sales Production
ClassCategories
E F G
Future recovery by commercial development projects or mining
operations
CommercialProjects
1 1 1, 2, 3
Potential future recovery by contingent development projects
or mining operations
Potentially CommercialProjects
2 2 1, 2, 3
Non-CommercialProjects
3 2 1, 2, 3
Additional quantities in place associated with known deposits 3 4 1, 2, 3
Potential future recovery by successful exploration activities
ExplorationProjects
3 3 4
Additional quantities in place associated with potential deposits 3 4 4
Tota
l com
mod
ity in
itial
ly in
pla
ce
11
Resource Identification
• Aids business planning• Investment decisions for individuals and corporations• Allows efficient resource utilisation
• Principally an aid to efficient development
12
Sales Production
Non-sales Production
Class
CommercialProjects
Potentially CommercialProjects
Non-CommercialProjects
Additional quantities in place
ExplorationProjects
Additional quantities in place
Tota
l com
mod
ity in
itial
ly in
pla
ce
Production
Class
Reserves
Contingent Resources
Unrecoverable
Prospective Resources
Unrecoverable
UNFC-2009 PRMS CRIRSCO
Extracted
Class
Mineral Reserves
Mineral Resources
Not reported
Not reported
ExplorationResults
Not reported
Alignment of systems (schematic)
Sustainable Mining and the UNFC, India, 29-30 October 2013 13
Sustainable Development for All
• Definition must include entire resource base– Maintain competitive advantage– Recognise the total potential
• Over-conservatism may lead to lost opportunity• Uncertainty analysis must identify the components
– Technical– Project– Commerciality and Social License
UNFC-2009 with its focus on economic viability, technical feasibility and uncertainty is well placed to
meet all of these needs.
14
Resource Classification is not finished!
15