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Unit 14 - The Lean Enterprise
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit looks at what you need to think about when
setting up a team for a Six Sigma project, focusing on
how you determine what you need as well as discussing
the roles within the team.
• It also gives an overview of the different belts and
explains the importance and relevance of
communications within a Six Sigma Project.
• Timing: 50 – 60 minutes
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What is Lean?
• Throughout this course, we have made several
references to Lean tools, Lean processes, and how Six
Sigma has borrowed from Lean. But, what is lean?
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What is Lean?
• Lean is a manufacturing process that was developed by Toyota in 1988.
• It is based upon 2 key principles – the removal of irregularity and the removal of irrelevance. That is, attempting to get uniformity within production and removing wasteful processes. It uses a whole set of tools:
– Kanban – enabling just-in-time delivery within production, so that stock is not held waiting to be used
– TIMWOOD – an acronym for Transport, Inventory, Motion, Waiting, Overproduction, Over processing, and Defects; all areas for examination of savings that are probably the most commonly referenced.
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What is Lean?
• This chart shows some of the most common tools you
will use.
Kaizen Poka yoke Takt time 5 Whys 5S Spaghetti
diagram Touch
time Work
times Kanban Theory of
Constraints Value
Stream Maps
Cycle times
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What is Lean?
• The main thrust of the Lean process is to get the most
streamlined process within a production environment.
• It wants to create the most consistently “good product” in
the most efficient way.
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What is Lean?
• As you can see with this very short summary of Lean,
there are many overlaps with Six Sigma.
• This has led many businesses to combine them together
and develop Lean Six Sigma teams which use both sets
of tools; which, given that there are some tools within Six
Sigma borrowed from Lean, is not such a huge change.
• However, it can create conflicts of delivery, and Project
Charters need to clearly state what is being sought by
the team in terms of Lean and Six Sigma improvements
and need to understand that benefits must be measured.
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The Lean Enterprise
• The measurement systems used in the Lean Enterprise
require modification to establish benchmarking for
performance comparison and uncover best practices for
gaining a competitive advantage.
• Standardization of metrics helps to collaboratively
measure, control, and manage processes. Sample
metrics for an enterprise such as supply chain include:
– Return on working capital
– Perfect order fulfillment
– Order fulfillment cycle time
– Supply chain management costs
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The Lean Enterprise
• When implementing Six Sigma and the Organization Enterprise wide deployment, it is important to understand these factors:
– Understand who your customers are and what is important to them
– Understand customer feedback through the Voice of the Customer and determine the requirements for your product
– Prioritize issues related to your product
– Determine internal processes and what causes variation
– Determine the causes of defects
– Develop ways to address defects
– Develop metrics to standardize and measure the changes made in the process
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The Lean Enterprise
• The Lean enterprise includes all types of enterprises
including manufacturing, service, transactional, product
and process design, as well as innovation.
• Six Sigma and Lean have over a 20-year history in
developing the Lean enterprise and creating culture,
process improvement tools, methodology, and
methodology for quality improvement. The results from
Six Sigma and Lean typically include:
Increased profits Less overhead Improved delivery
Lower operating costs Increased customer satisfaction Better supplier relations
Decreased costs Higher sales Less inventory
Benefits of the Lean Enterprise
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The Lean Enterprise
• Lean enterprise eliminates waste and non value-added
activities. Lean focuses on delivering more value to the
customer and addressing the voice of the customer. It
creates efficiency based on optimizing flow in a process
and empowers employees to improve their work. Lean
always asks, “how can we get better?”
• Lean does not eliminate people or employees, is not a
shortcut, and does not micromanage. Lean focuses on
removing the non value-added delay, waste, and rework
from your processes. Lean can be used in any industry or
business to improve speed, quality, and cost. When
implemented properly, Lean Six Sigma focuses on results,
not training.
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The Lean Enterprise
• Executive leaders are responsible to the organization to provide support for the Lean enterprise and process improvement initiatives.
• The success of Six Sigma and Lean is based on building a culture of support to support the program.
• Management supports these initiatives through development of a constant mindset of improvement by encouraging and supporting designing the best possible processes.
• Leadership also prioritizes projects, approves them, and celebrates the success of them. Leadership is then responsible for mentoring to ensure the tools, support, and knowledge are available to succeed.
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Understanding Lean
• Lean Six Sigma combines the process improvement
benefits of the Six Sigma method with the waste
reduction benefits of Lean. Lean seeks to reduce waste
in these forms:
– Elimination of defects
– Continuous improvement
– Elimination of non-value added activities
– Use of Kanban pull systems
– Flexibility to respond to variation
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The History of Lean
• The value of Lean begins with identifying activities to add value to processes or services and making sure that value-added activities are performed effectively and efficiently.
• By beginning with waste removal, Lean processes are able to build in synchronized activities which minimize unnecessary or excessive activities.
• Once processes have had waste removed, Black Belts typically review performance and design to reduce error rates and variability, thereby reducing waste and non value-added activities. These are the two main goals of Lean.
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Lean & Six Sigma
• Six Sigma is used to reduce error rate and process
variability, and Lean is used to reduce waste and non
value-added activities.
• The two work in an interrelated manner, because a high
error rate can lead to excessive waste, and excessive
waste can lead to a high error rate. By applying both,
organizations can address both waste and errors.
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Lean & Six Sigma
• There are several inherent differences in Lean and Six
Sigma:
Six sigma Lean
Is driven by leadership Is driven by middle management
Synchronizes employee skills Synchronizes resource utilization
Can be achieved without lean Provides tools to sustain lean
Builds on lean operations
Can be considered a prerequisite for six
sigma implemented for the purposes of
efficiency and waste reduction.
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Lean & Six Sigma
• Lean principles can work on any organizational improvement. Employees play a critical role in Lean implementation. Significant improvements can be the result of Lean initiatives for cycle times, lead times, productivity, throughput, and processes.
• Typical improvements include:
– Decreased setup time
– Reduced lead time
– Reduced people effort
– Reduced inventory
– Improved productivity
– Reduced facility floor space requirements
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The Seven Elements of Waste
Muda
• Transport
• Inventory
• Motion
• Waiting
• Over Producing
• Over Processing
• Defects
• Skills
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The Seven Elements of Waste
• The 7 classic wastes include overproduction, inventory,
defects, over-processing, waiting, motion and
transportation.
• An 8th element of waste is emerging called “knowledge
and latent skill.” This is where organizations fail to take
advantage of skills or talent or are not effective at
transferring learning between employees.
• These wastes can be found by determining the Rolled
Throughput Yield. A further explanation of each individual
term follows.
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The Seven Elements of Waste
• Defects are wastes of correction that are wastes, defects, or imperfections.
• Overproduction wastes are those of over producing and making too much.
• Transportation waste is that of material movement back and forth from storage.
• Waste of waiting is when resource labor and equipment could be making other products.
• Waste of inventory is any cost associated with items not on just-in-time inventory.
• Waste of over-processing is that with unneeded steps in production.
• Waste of motion is unnecessary travel around a factory.
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5S
• The 5S method is a tool to control outcomes and make
improvements to keep track of the changes
implemented.
• It stands for sort, straighten, shine, standardize, and
sustain. It can be used for any process or service.
• Sorting is just as it states, organizing and separating
what you need and don’t need.
• Straighten means to straighten up and arrange items you
need for your process or service so they are easily
identified.
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5S
• Shine means to clean up your area and set it up where
you can keep it clean.
• Standardize means to organize the first three S’s so
everything has a place.
• Sustain means to keep it going in all of your areas.
• The 5 S method improves safety and communication,
improves process flow, increases compliance, reduces
space requirements, boosts morale, removes non value-
added steps, and reduces time wasted looking for items.
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5S
• 5S helps by eliminating the unnecessary, establishing a
place for what remains, and cleaning up remaining
equipment, tools, and storage devices.
• This helps reduce clutter and needed items are readily
found.
• Visual cues and visual management are used to improve
consistency. These are signs, labels, stickers, and cards
marking where things go.
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5S
This graphic shows the Japanese origins and the literal
translations into English for the 5S processes.
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• The history of Lean
• Waste reduction benefits of Lean
• Elimination of defects
• Continuous improvement
• Elimination of non value-added activities
• Use of Kanban pull systems and 5S
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Unit 15 - Selecting Lean Six Sigma Projects
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit looks at selecting Six Sigma Lean projects, how
to build the project charter, and how to build the
necessary business case.
• Timing: 30 – 35 minutes
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Selecting Lean Six Sigma Projects
• Lean Six Sigma projects are most often chosen by an
organization through a link to the overall strategy of the
organization and the return on investment for a project.
• There are several methods for selection of a Six Sigma
project.
• Matrix diagrams are a planning tool for displaying the
relationships among various data sets. During the
Champion phase or initial charter phase of the Define
stage, organizations often use a prioritization matrix to
rank competing priorities. This is a scoring or ranking
system which can also be a tool for the voice of the
customer. If the customer has multiple issues requiring
quality control, they can rank them in order of priority to
the organization.
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Selecting Lean Six Sigma Projects
• Process decision program charts (PDPC) identify what may go wrong in a plan under development. Once possible issues are identified, prevention controls and countermeasures can be developed to prevent the problems.
• PDPC charts are used in these situations:
– When the price of failure is high
– Before implementing a plan
– When the plan must be completed on schedule
• The steps used to develop the PDPC chart include developing a tree diagram of the proposed plan, reviewing each task, brainstorming what could go wrong, reviewing all the potential problems and brainstorming possible countermeasures for each potential problem, and then determining which to implement.
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Selecting Lean Six Sigma Projects
The sample shows the weighted section after weighted
scoring on quality, efficiency, and performance
aspects. The following chart shows a weighted Six
Sigma project prioritization matrix.
23.1 : Sample Project Selection Matrix
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Understanding Lean
• There are many tools which can be used for “leaning” a
process once the project is selected.
• The most common lean tools include:
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Lean Tools
Kaizen Poka Yoke Takt time 5 Whys
5S Spaghetti
diagram
Touch time Work times
Kanban Theory of
constraints
Value stream
maps
Cycle times
Selecting Lean Six Sigma Projects
• In addition to the prioritization matrix, project viability
matrices are used to determine the viability of a project.
• Notice the weighting goes 1 to 5, with scoring of
definitely no, no, possibly, definitely, etc.
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Selecting Lean Six Sigma Projects
Criteria
Number
1
Are customers
(internal/external)
dissatisfied or
defecting?
3 X
2Is the process relatively
stable?3 X
3
Is the specific defect
(defined by customer)
known?
4 X
4
Is data related to the
defect available or
collectable?
5 X
5Is the solution not
obvious?3 X
6
Are the expected
benefits significant
enough?
3 X
7
Will service and/or
quality be noticably
improved?
2 X
8
Can the project be
completed within 6
months?
4 X
1 5.3 6 2.7 1
Total Score 2.8
Weighted Scores
Project Viability Matrix
Description Weighting Definite No (1) Mostly No (2) Possibly (3) Mostly Yes (4) Definite Yes (5)
23.2 : Sample Project Selection Matrix
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Building the Business Case and Project Charter
The actual project charter is a formal document used to summarize key deliverables and information for a Six Sigma project, and it provides the official authorization to move through with the project. The project charter includes these components:
• The key problem/s to be resolved
• The need for the resolution
• The mission statement or goal of the project
• The details of the project team composition
• Key stakeholders
• The scope of the project
• The resources required and authorization
• Project phase critical path and timelines
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Building the Business Case and Project Charter
23.3 : Sample Project Charter
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This is an actual project
charter for a restaurant
wanting to increase revenue
by reducing customer wait
times.
Building the Business Case and Project Charter
Your charter should include and ask the following questions in
the business case:
• The name of the project
• The aim of the project, called Aim statements
• Why the project is needed?
• What are the consequences of not doing the project?
Opportunity costs?
• What other projects have high priority? Priority Matrix
• What strategic goals are met by this project?
• Problem Statement: Summarizes and describes the problem,
opportunity, or objective in concise, measurable terms.
• Goal Statement: Describes the team’s improvement objective
this should tell what you intend to improve, reduce, eliminate
or control.
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Building the Business Case and Project Charter
• The Project Charter is composed
of details and tasks which may
vary with each organization and
project, but the basic structure for
projects and charters is to begin
with an executive summary. The
charter is written as a roadmap
for the project. It is geared
towards senior management as a
plan and for the project team as a
summary of what is to be done.
The next section of the charter
aligns the project with
organizational strategy.
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• Project Summary
• Strategic Alignment
• Goals
• Costs
• Risks
• Deliverables
• Timelines
• Constraints
Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• How to select Six Sigma Lean projects
• How to build the project charter
• How to build the necessary business case
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Unit 16 - Six Sigma Statistics
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit goes through the statistical knowledge required
for Six Sigma Projects as well as how to use them most
effectively.
• There is also some discussion around software usage in
Six Sigma.
• Timing: 100 – 120 minutes
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Six Sigma Statistics
• Throughout a Six Sigma project, it is evident that there is
a large amount of reliance upon statistical analysis.
• In the very early stages, we stated that its use of
statistics is one of the key elements that separate Six
Sigma from many other quality methodologies.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• They enable informed analysis of data from sampling
through to modeling potentials.
• They help the practitioner make an informed decision
with validity as the project progresses.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• The main elements of statistics used within Six Sigma
are covered in the following section.
• Basic Statistics:
This includes understanding the core principles and
mathematics at the heart of statistics - how to work out
averages and variances amongst other commonly used
terms. These can be seen below:
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Six Sigma Statistics
• Average – there are 3 types of averages most commonly
used in statistics: the mode, median, and mean average.
• The mode or modal point is a range that occurs most
frequently. So, if you have a set of results, the mode can
be attributed to that result found the most often.
• The median average is the center point of a range of
values, so if you have values ranging from 10 to 50, the
median point will occur at 30.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• The mean average is the one most frequently used and
referred to as average, but it requires math to work it out.
• It is worked out by adding together all of the values and
dividing by the number of total values. For example, if
you receive 50 responses to an item and the results are
all added together, then this result is divided by 50 to
give the mean average. The mean average will often be
represented by a (“x bar”).
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Six Sigma Statistics
• Variance is a calculation across a range of data that
shows how spaced out the information is.
• Similarly the standard deviation will be a spacing value
of information.
• The variance is the result of squaring the standard
deviation.
• So, where the Standard Deviation (SD) is often
represented by σ (the Greek letter sigma), then variance
(VAR) will be represented by σ 2 (sigma squared).
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Six Sigma Statistics
• To calculate the SD from the variance, the first square
root is taken of it (√). The formula to calculate the VAR
can be seen below. Before working through the equation
the mean average must be calculated ( ).
• Variance σ 2= 2
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Six Sigma Statistics
• In other words, you calculate the differences between
the results and the mean average, then square them,
add them up, and divide by the number of results. The
SD is just the square root of this result.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• The standard deviation is used frequently in determining
confidence levels and probability of a result falling within
a certain range.
• This unit is not designed to give you a full understanding
of all potential mathematical formulas that you may
need.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• But, you can see where the Six Sigma comes from,
where SD relates to a sigma, and that statistics states
that you can be 99.99966% confident of a containment
within 3 sigmas on either side of the mean average.
• There are many other statistical formulas, but these are
the core groundwork for any and all statistics work. If you
can understand these, then you can understand most.
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Six Sigma Statistics
Charts and Graphs
• The use of graphical representation is fundamental
within statistics. There are many common types of
graphs, none more so than the normal distribution
graph.
• This graph is shaped like a bell and often referred to as a
bell chart. An example can be seen below. In a normal
distribution curve, the mean, median, and mode are all
the same value.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• Charts and graphs allow us to plot occurrences,
frequencies, occasions, and all manner of data together
to be viewed without the need for the numbers.
• They are often used to see patterns or shapes to try and
make formulas fit into some shape of equation. There
are some statistics around the line of best fit, and that
relates to a frequency line showing the line of most likely
results, almost like a rolling average of results based on
the moving data displayed. An example of this can also
be seen below.
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Six Sigma Statistics
10.1: A simple Normal distribution graph, where 0 is the mean average
point
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Six Sigma Statistics
10.2: A line of best fit shown by the red central line
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Six Sigma Statistics
Time Based Charts
• These are used to show change over a period of time
and can often be similar to the graphs as shown above,
but the horizontal or x-axis is reflective of the progress of
time.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• These are useful for determining if a process has
optimum time periods or if things degrade after a certain
amount of time – particularly useful with monitoring
automated or semi-automated processes using
equipment in use for long periods of time.
• This can also demonstrate when employees should be
taking breaks, indicating periods of sustained
performance before degradation.
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Six Sigma Statistics
Analysis of Variances and Tolerances
• We discussed what a variance is above. When you have
a number of events, you can compare the variances of
each event to see if there are lower variances with each
observation period.
• A good use of this occurs through the Analysis and
Improve stages of DMAIC when you are trying to
determine optimized processes.
• Looking at the variances with each simulation or walk-
through can allow you to determine which processes are
most effective and should be considered.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• When considering variances, tolerance levels come into
play. A tolerance is the room around which a set value
can fluctuate, and an allowable tolerance is given in all
functionality.
• The aim of Six Sigma is to reduce that tolerance need as
much as possible.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• If you consider the outcome of variance or SD
calculations – it can be linked that your tolerance level
should be no more than a set number of the SD on either
side of the perfect midpoint choice.
• This will allow you to factor in likely volumes of failure
while giving a verifiable mathematical explanation of your
choice of tolerance level.
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Six Sigma Statistics
Regression
• Regression analysis is used to determine the strength of
a relationship between data output and input.
• In part 2, we mentioned the line of best fit; well, the
purpose of regression is to find that line and thus
describe that functional relationship between x and y.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• This can be done either mathematically, using software,
or by just plotting the results and looking for a line of fit.
• Whichever way you choose to go will normally depend
on how obvious the answer is.
• The main benefit in doing this will be to enable
predictability of future events around the variables
without actually needing to undertake elongated
experiments.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• You will also need to know the population parameter and
a sample statistic.
• A population parameter is a number describing
something about a whole population such as the
population mean or mode. It is fixed and used as the
value of a variable in a general distribution.
• The population parameter is used in statistics and is a
measurement of the population that is being studied.
Large populations are often measured by taking samples
to represent the entire population.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• A sample statistic is something that describes a sample
such as the sample mean.
• In statistics, a sample statistic is one that is a subset of
individuals from within a statistical population to estimate
characteristics of the whole population.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• The central limit theorem explains why many distributions
tend to be close to the normal distribution. The central limit
theorem describes the characteristics of the population of the
means created from the means of an infinite number of random
population sample sizes.
• The central limit theorem predicts that:
– The distribution of means will increasingly approximate a
normal distribution as the size N of samples increases.
– The standard deviation of the population of means is always
equal to the standard deviation of the parent population
divided by the square root of the sample size (N).
• The mean of the population of means is always equal to the
mean of the parent population from which the population
samples were drawn.
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Six Sigma Statistics
• Independent probability occurs if the occurrence of one
event provides no information about whether or not the other
event will occur, meaning the events have no influence on
each other.
• Mutually Exclusive probability is a statistical term used to
describe a situation where the occurrence of one event is not
influenced or caused by another event.
• Conditional probability is the probability of an event given
the information that an event B has occurred, indicated by
P(A/B).
• Order of operators is important when simplifying expressions
and equations. The order of operations is a standard that
defines the order in which operations such as addition,
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Six Sigma Statistics
• The Order of Operations is shown below. The acronym PEMDAS is often used.
• Parentheses and brackets includes simplifying the inside of parentheses and brackets before the set of parentheses or removing the parentheses.
• Exponents includes simplifying the exponent of a number or of a set of parentheses before you multiply, divide, add, or subtract it.
• Multiplication and Division includes simplifying multiplication and division in the order that they appear from left to right.
• Addition and Subtraction includes simplifying addition and subtraction in the order that they appear from left to right.
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Software Use with Six Sigma
• There are 3 main types of software that may be used
within a Six Sigma project:
– Software that is used in day to day activity
– Task specific software
– Statistical analysis software
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Software Use with Six Sigma
• Software for day-to-1day use will normally include things
like Microsoft Office, Lotus Suite, or other business-
based word processing and spreadsheet packages.
• These will be used for daily communications and
creating documents and analyzing low level numbers or
collating data from observations.
• They are for general clerical use. It’s also likely that
email software and functionality will be used within the
team and for communicating out to the business.`
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Software Use with Six Sigma
• Task specific software relates to particular events or one
of the items that need creation. Project management
software is a good reference point for this and whether it
be a local computer with Microsoft Project or online
functionality like BaseCamp©, the importance of
planning the project cannot be underestimated.
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Software Use with Six Sigma
• The use of other software such as Adobe Acrobat for
creating graphics or other publishing software for
explaining the new process to the business are all
beneficial.
• You may also want to use software to create your
flowcharts or process maps, such as Microsoft Visio.
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Software Use with Six Sigma
• Don’t think that software will answer all your prayers; it
will just alleviate issues around the calculations.
• They are useful when you use them for simulations and
statistical modeling, and there are savings in time and
resources that can be made.
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Software Use with Six Sigma
• As of yet, there are no software tools that do the Six
Sigma process from start to finish, and they shouldn’t be
expected. The methodology needs human intervention
and succeeds on this basis.
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• Statistics used in Six Sigma
• An overview of software in Six Sigma
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Unit 17 - Measurement Systems Analysis
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit explains when to use a Measurement Systems
Analysis when the apparent variation of a process is
caused by variations in the measuring system.
• Timing: 30 – 45 minutes
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Measurement Systems Analysis (MSA)
• Measurement Systems Analysis is designed to improve
the process when the apparent variation is caused by
variations in the measuring system.
• Measurement systems are subject to variation and error.
The following are common MSA terms:
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Measurement Systems Analysis (MSA)
• To properly build the required Measurement Systems
Analysis, the combination of analytical methods which
lead the team in the direction to developing a solution for
the problem may require a combination of multiple tools.
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Measurement Systems Analysis (MSA)
• A Measurement Systems Analysis (MSA) is a designed
experiment that seeks to identify the components of
variation in the measurement.
• A Measurement Systems Analysis evaluates the test
method, measuring instruments, and the entire process
of obtaining measurements to ensure the integrity of
data.
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Precision and Accuracy
• Precision/tolerance (P/T) tells how well a given
measurement can be reproduced. This is a standard
deviation around a mean value. Tolerance may have two
errors: systematic and random.
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Bias, Linearity, & Stability
• Bias is a measure of the distance between the actual
value and the average value of a part.
• Bias occurs when the survey sample does not
accurately represent the population. The bias that results
from an unrepresentative sample is called selection
bias.
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Bias, Linearity, & Stability
• Under-coverage bias occurs when some members of
the population are inadequately represented in the
sample.
• Nonresponse bias occurs when individuals chosen for
the sample are unwilling or unable to participate in the
survey.
Voluntary response bias occurs when sample
members are self-selected volunteers; the resulting
sample tends to over-represent individuals who have
strong opinions.
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Bias, Linearity, & Stability
• Random sampling is a sampling from a population in
which the selection of a sample unit is based on chance
and every element of the population has a known, non-
zero probability of being selected.
• Random sampling helps produce representative samples
by eliminating voluntary response bias and guarding
against under coverage bias.
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Bias, Linearity, & Stability
• Response bias is bias that results from problems in the
measurement process. Bias due to measurement error
can occur with a poor measurement process.
• This includes leading questions where the wording of
the question may be loaded in some way to favor one
response over another.
• Social desirability occurs when survey respondents are
reluctant to admit to questions in the survey if the results
are not confidential. Their responses may be biased
toward what they believe is socially desirable.
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Bias, Linearity, & Stability
• Linearity measures the consistency of bias over the
range of the measuring device. Accuracy is the degree of
closeness to an expected mark.
• Linear Regression is a linear relationship with one input
and one output.
• Multiple Linear Regression is a linear relationship with
several inputs.
• Logistics Regression is regression where the output is a
probability.
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Bias, Linearity, & Stability
• Stability of a measurement system is analyzed using
control charts. Your goal is to ensure the measurements
taken by the appraisers for the process are stable and
consistent over time.
• Use the control charts you develop to monitor measures
over time so that you can make corrections to processes
and operating procedures.
• Don’t forget when thinking about measurement that
special causes can also occur with the process control
limits, and these must be given corrective action before
proceeding to validate the measurement system.
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Gage Repeatability & Reproducibility
• The Gage Repeatability and Reproducibility is the amount
of measurement variation introduced by a measurement
system, which consists of the measuring instrument itself
and the individuals using the instrument. Depending on
the source, you may see Gauge R&R or Gage R&R
spellings. A Gage R&R study quantifies 3 things:
– Repeatability – variation from the measurement
instrument
– Reproducibility – variation from the individuals using
the instrument
– Overall Gage R&R, which is the combined effect of (1)
and (2)
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Gage Repeatability & Reproducibility
The Repeatability and Reproducibility (GR&R) sample below
shows this process is at 17%, which is in the marginal range.
11.1: Sample Gage Repeatability and Reproducibility (GR&R) Chart
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Variable & Attribute MSA
• A Measurement Systems Analysis (MSA) is a designed
experiment that seeks to identify the components of
variation in the measurement.
• A Measurement Systems Analysis evaluates the test
method, measuring instruments, and the entire process
of obtaining measurements to ensure the integrity of
data.
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• Measurement Systems Analysis
• Bias and linearity in sampling
• Repeatability & Reproducibility
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Unit 18 - Process Capability
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit explains process capability. Process Capability
Studies are used to determine whether a process is
capable of consistently achieving specifications using
system design, parameter design, and tolerances.
• Timing: 30 – 45 minutes
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Process Capability
• Process Capability Studies are used to determine
whether a process is capable of consistently achieving
the specifications. This design process has three stages:
– System design, which uses scientific and
engineering principles to create a prototype
– Parameter design for products and processes which
minimize variation
– Tolerances are used to set parameters to minimize
loss
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Process Capability
• Process Capability Indices show the value of the tolerance specified for the characteristic divided by the process capability. Cpk, Cp, Pp, and Ppk are most commonly used and defined as follows:
– Cp= Process Capability. A simple and straightforward indicator of process capability.
– Cpk= Process Capability Index. Adjustment of Cp for the effect of non-centered distribution.
– Pp= Process Performance. A simple and straightforward indicator of process performance.
– Ppk= Process Performance Index. Adjustment of Pp for the effect of non-centered distribution.
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Process Capability
• Process Capability Studies are short-term studies
conducted to collect information on the performance of
new or revised processes related to customer
requirements.
• This occurs when processes, employees, or equipment
change and as many possible measurements should be
used to get an accurate reflection.
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Process Capability
• Process capability examines the variability in process
characteristics and whether the process is capable of
producing products which conform to the required
specifications. These are the formulas to calculate
process capability:
– Cp = (USL-LSL)/6s
– Cpu = (USL-Xbar)/3s
– Cpl = (Xbar-LSL)/3s
– Cpk = Minimum of (Cpu,Cpl)
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Capability Analysis
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• A capability analysis is a graphical or statistical analysis
tool that visually or mathematically compares actual
process performance to a set of performance standards.
• It is used to assess whether a system is statistically able
to specifications or requirements of a process. Capability
analysis is most easily calculated using prebuilt
calculations and formulas.
• The sample process below has a capability of 4.8 and is
within specs at 4.5 Sigma.
Capability Analysis
12.1: Sample Capability Analysis Chart
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Concept of Stability
• Control chart monitoring can display historical record of
the behavior of a process, allow for monitoring a process
for stability, detecting changes from a previously stable
pattern of variation, signaling the need for the adjustment
of a process, and helping detect special causes of
variation.
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Attribute & Discrete Capability
• Discrete variables are data that cannot be broken down
into smaller units. Only a finite number of values are
possible.
• Discrete data has one set of discrete values such as
pass or fail or yes or no.
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Monitoring Techniques
• Monitoring and measurement of processes is a
continuous process for organizational quality
improvement.
• Methods for monitoring should demonstrate the ability of
processes to achieve planned results.
• When the planned results are not achieved, corrective
action should be taken.
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Monitoring Techniques
Measurement tools will aid in monitoring techniques. These are tools you can use to measure processes and change:
• Process Maps • Takt Time • Data Sampling - Population vs. Sample • Data Classification • Data Collection • SPC-Charts to assess Measurement System Stability • MSA - Measurement System Analysis • Statistical Process Control (SPC) Charts • Root Cause Analysis • 5-WHY • Fishbone Diagram / Cause and Effect Diagram • Correlation Matrix
- continued on next slide
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Monitoring Techniques
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- continued
• FMEA - Failure Mode Effects and Analysis
• Overall Equipment Effectiveness (OEE)
• Spaghetti Diagram
• Establishing a Baseline Measurement
• DPU - Defects per Unit
• DPO - Defects per Opportunity
• DPMO - Defects per Million Opportunities
• Process Yield Metrics
• FY - Final Yield
• TPY - Throughput Yield
• RTY - Rolled Throughput Yield
Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• How a capability analysis is performed
• Process capability indices including tolerance for Cpk,
Cp, Pp, and Ppk of process capability.
• Measurement tools and monitoring techniques.
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Unit 19 - Inferential Statistics
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit provides information on statistical theories
which involve inference.
• Timing: 30 – 45 minutes
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Inferential Statistics
• The central limit theorem explains why many
distributions tend to be close to the normal distribution.
The central limit theorem describes the characteristics of
the population of the means created from the means of
an infinite number of random population samples of size.
• The central limit theorem predicts that:
– The distribution of means will increasingly
approximate a normal distribution as the size N of
samples increases.
- continued
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Inferential Statistics
- continued
– The standard deviation of the population of means is
always equal to the standard deviation of the parent
population divided by the square root of the sample
size (N).
– The mean of the population of means is always equal
to the mean of the parent population from which the
population samples were drawn.
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Inferential Statistics
• Independent probability occurs if the occurrence of one
of the events provides no information about whether or
not the other event will occur, meaning the events have
no influence on each other.
• Mutually Exclusive probability is a statistical term used
to describe a situation where the occurrence of one
event is not influenced or caused by another event.
• Multiplication
• Conditional probability is the probability of an event
given the information that an event B has occurred
indicated by P(A/B).
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Understanding Inference
• Inferential statistics are used to draw conclusions (an
inference) about a population based on sample data.
Inferential statistics may also be called Analytical
statistics.
• Enumerative statistics tell about the specific data that is
being analyzed. Enumerative may also be called
Descriptive statistics.
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Sampling Techniques & Uses
• When sampling data, a good sample is representative of
the population. And each sample point represents the
attributes of a known number of population elements.
• All probability sampling methods rely on random
sampling.
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Sampling Techniques & Uses
• Random sampling is a sampling from a population in
which the selection of a sample unit is based on chance,
and every element of the population has a known, non-
zero probability of being selected.
• Random sampling helps produce representative samples
by eliminating voluntary response bias and guarding
against under coverage bias.
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Sampling Techniques & Uses
• Random sampling helps achieve unbiased sample
results in a study by choosing subjects from a population
through unpredictable means.
• All of the subjects have an equal chance of being
selected out of the population being researched.
• Three methods are commonly used for random
sampling: random number tables, mathematical
algorithms, and physical randomization devices.
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Sampling Techniques & Uses
• Stratified sampling is used to ensure smaller sub-
groups are not overlooked.
• Stratified sampling is used when there are smaller sub-
groups that need to be investigated, when you want to
reduce standard error, and when you want to achieve
greater statistical significance in a smaller sample.
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Sampling Techniques & Uses
• Sample homogeneity means the characteristics of the
sample are uniform and representative of the population.
• Data integrity is maintained by using a Measurement
Systems Analysis which evaluates the test method,
measuring instruments, and the entire process of
obtaining measurements to ensure the integrity of data.
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Central Limit Theorem
• The central limit theorem explains why many
distributions tend to be close to the normal distribution.
• The central limit theorem describes the characteristics of
the population of the means created from the means of
an infinite number of random population samples of size.
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Central Limit Theorem
• The central limit theorem predicts that:
– The distribution of means will increasingly
approximate a normal distribution as the size N of
samples increases.
– The standard deviation of the population of means is
always equal to the standard deviation of the parent
population divided by the square root of the sample
size (N).
– The mean of the population of means is always equal
to the mean of the parent population from which the
population samples were drawn.
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• Inferential statistics
• Sampling techniques for population samples
• The central limit theorem for distribution
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Unit 20 - Hypothesis Testing
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit provides information on hypothesis testing to
see if a potential solution will work.
• Timing: 90 – 120 minutes
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General Concepts & Goals of Hypothesis Testing
• Hypothesis testing is used in Six Sigma to screen for
potential causes of a problem.
• The hypothesis test calculates the probability that an
observed difference between two or more sets of data
can be explained by random chance alone and not a
fundamental difference between the underlying sample
populations that the samples came from.
• The p-value is most often used to represent this.
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General Concepts & Goals of Hypothesis Testing
• Hypothesis testing allows you to evaluate if a project or
proposed process improvement calculation is statistically
significant, or if the same thing could have occurred by
random chance.
• It also helps you to understand the probability distribution of
the data sample. The normal distribution is used to determine
the probability of occurrence of an event based on historical
data.
• Normal distribution is bell shaped and the majority of the data
falls in the center.
• Exponential distribution is used for reliability engineering
where the failure rate is constant.
• Hypothesis testing can also help determine which factors in
process inputs and outputs are significant.
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Hypothesis Testing
• Chi square is used to test whether a sample is drawn
from a population that conforms to a specified
distribution. Chi square is also called goodness of fit. Chi
square is calculated by summing the Chi square
contributions from each category in the hypothesis.
• The hypothesis is:
– H0 the sample conforms to the specified distribution
– H1 the sample does not conform to the distribution
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Hypothesis Testing
• Hypothesis testing
• Terminology
• The significance level is the probability of making a Type
I Error. In a Hypothesis Test, a Type I error occurs when
statistically unlikely test results lead to the incorrect
conclusion that the null hypothesis should be rejected.
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Hypothesis Testing
• Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) is a statistical technique for
analyzing experimental data.
• It subdivides the total variation of a data set into meaningful
component parts associated with specific sources of variation
in order to test a hypothesis on the parameters of the model
or to estimate variance components.
• ANOVA is used to test whether the means of many samples
differ, but it does so using variation instead of mean.
• It compares the amount of variation within the samples to the
amount of variation between the means of samples.
• ANOVA is effective to separate inherent variance and special
cause variance, and it also provides a methodology to
evaluate the robustness of a process to various levels of a
factor.
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Hypothesis Testing
• The Chi-Square Goodness of Fit is used to test whether
a sample is drawn from a population conforms to a
specified distribution.
• The hypothesis for Chi square is:
– H0 the sample conforms to the specified distribution
– H1 the sample does not conform to the distribution
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Hypothesis Testing
• Power The power of a hypothesis test is a measure of the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is false.
• Sample size is typically annotated by (n) and is the number of units in a sample.
• Balance is evenly distributing both the quantity and variety of work across available work time, avoiding overburden and underuse of resources.
• Repetition is synonymous with replication.
• Replication is used to remove systematic errors. The number of tests should equal the number of replications.
• Order is the numeric progression in which a product or service is produced.
• Efficiency is the lowest possible variance from any estimator divided by the expected variance of the selected estimator.
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Hypothesis Testing
• Randomization is used in experimental designs to
prevent systematic patterns and to convert patterns into
variation that can be detected in analysis.
• Blocking is a technique used to manage nuisance factors
that may affect the results of an experiment. The
experiment is organized into blocks, and the nuisance
factor is maintained at a constant level in each block.
• Interaction is the combined effect of inputs instead of the
sum of the individual effects.
• Confounding is used in experimental design. Factors are
confounded when the design array is configured so that
the effect of one factor is combined with the other.
• Resolution is the criteria used to select a fractional
factorial design.
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General Concepts & Goals of Hypothesis Testing
• Hypothesis testing uses two propositions:
– Ho where the mean = 0 (the null hypothesis)
– H1 where the mean ≠ 0 (the alternative hypothesis)
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Significance: Practical vs. Statistical
• The significance level is the probability of making a Type
I Error.
• In a Hypothesis Test, a Type I error occurs when
statistically unlikely test results lead to the incorrect
conclusion that the null hypothesis should be rejected.
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Risk: Alpha & Beta
• If the p Value is greater than the alpha risk, reject the null
hypothesis, and accept the alternative hypothesis.
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Types of Hypothesis Tests
These are key hypothesis testing terms.
• The power of a hypothesis test is a measure of the
probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is
false.
• The sample size is typically annotated by (n) and is the
number of units in a sample.
• Balance is the even distribution of the quantity and
variety of work across available work time when avoiding
overburden and underuse of resources.
- continued
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Types of Hypothesis Test
- continued
• Replication is used to remove systematic errors. The
number of tests should equal the number of replications.
• Repetition is synonymous with replication.
• Efficiency is the lowest possible variance from any
estimator divided by the expected variance of the
selected estimator.
• Order is the numeric progression in which a product or
service is produced.
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Hypothesis Testing with Normal Data
• The significance level is the probability of making a Type
I Error.
• In a Hypothesis Test, a Type I error occurs when
statistically unlikely test results lead to the incorrect
conclusion that the null hypothesis should be rejected.
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Hypothesis Testing with Normal Data
• These are the three main types of hypothesis tests:
– Two Population Means
– Matched or Paired Samples
– Two Population Proportions
• In the Two Population Means test, populations are
independent and population standard deviations are
unknown, or populations are independent and population
standard deviations are known (which is not likely).
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Hypothesis Testing with Normal Data
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• In the Matched or Paired Samples hypothesis test,
two samples are drawn from the same set of objects,
and the samples are dependent.
• In the Two Population Proportions hypothesis test,
populations are independent.
1 & 2 Sample T-Tests
• T-tests compare the mean against a specified value
using a sample of 30 items or less.
• Two sample t-tests compare the means of two samples
of 30 items or less.
• Paired t-tests compare the means of two samples of 30
items or less, when the items in the two samples can be
paired.
• Z-tests compare the mean against a specified value
when the sample has more than 30 items or the
standard deviation is known.
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1 Sample Variance
• The Chi-Square Goodness of Fit is used to test whether
a sample drawn from a population conforms to a
specified distribution. The hypothesis for Chi square is:
– H0 the sample conforms to the specified distribution
– H1 the sample does not conform to the distribution
• Contingency tables
– Select, develop, and use contingency tables to
determine statistical significance.
– Contingency tables are an application of the chi-
square test used to test the relationship between two
variables. The tables are calculated by:
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One Way ANOVA
• Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) is a statistical technique for analyzing experimental data.
• It subdivides the total variation of a data set into meaningful component parts associated with specific sources of variation in order to test a hypothesis on the parameters of the model or to estimate variance components.
• ANOVA is used to test whether the means of many samples differ, but it does so using variation instead of mean. It compares the amount of variation within the samples to the amount of variation between the means of samples.
• ANOVA is effective to separate inherent variance and special cause variance, and it also provides a methodology to evaluate the robustness of a process to various levels of a factor.
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Tests of Equal Variance, Normality Testing and
Sample Size Calculation, Performing Tests, and
Interpreting Results
• p Control Charts are used to plot units nonconforming
when the samples are not of equal size.
• np Control Charts are used to plot units nonconforming
when samples of equal size are taken from the
process.
• c Control Charts are used to plot the number of
nonconformities per unit when the sample size is
constant. It is used in situations where each unit can
have several nonconformities.
• u Control Charts are used to plot the number of
nonconformities per unit when the sample size varies.
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Interpreting Results
For best data accuracy:
• Accept all data as it is collected and scrutinize it later.
• Record the data at the time it occurs.
• Avoid rounding the data.
• On the data collection plan, record as many details around the data, such as the exact source, machine, operator, conditions, collector’s name, material, gage, and time.
• Record legibly and carefully.
• Screen data for misplaced decimal points, duplicate data entries, improper recording procedures, and missing date points.
• Verify the gages are accurate through calibration.
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Interpreting Results
• Sample size is typically annotated by (n) and is the number of units in a sample.
• Balance is evenly distributing both the quantity and variety of work across available work time, avoiding overburden and underuse of resources.
• Repetition is synonymous with replication.
• Replication is used to remove systematic errors. The number of tests should equal the number of replications.
• Order is the numeric progression in which a product or service is produced.
• Efficiency is the lowest possible variance from any estimator divided by the expected variance of the selected estimator.
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Hypothesis Testing with Non-Normal Data
Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test Is the same as the Mann Whitney Test
Mood's Median Test Is a nonparametric alternative to ANOVA
Friedman's Test Is a nonparametric alternative to two way ANOVA
Mann Whitney Test Is a nonparametric alternative to two sample t-test
Levene's Test Tests for equality of variances of several samples
Kruskal Wallis Test Is a nonparametric alternative to ANOVA
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• Non parametric tests can be used when the population
does not conform to a particular distribution or normal
distribution. The most common nonparametric tests and
their uses are:
Mann-Whitney
• Mann-Whitney is a nonparametric test which compares
the means of two samples.
• It tests the hypothesis that:
– H0 the samples are drawn from populations with
equal means
– H1 the mean of the population of sample 'm' is less
than/greater than/not equal to that of sample 'n’
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Kruskal-Wallis
• Kruskal-Wallis is a nonparametric test used to compare
several samples and test the hypothesis that:
– H0 the samples are all drawn from populations that
have equal means
– H1 the mean of at least one of the populations is
different
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Mood’s Median
• Mood’s Median is a nonparametric equivalent of ANOVA
where the hypothesis is
– H0 the samples are all drawn from populations with
equal medians
– H1 the median of at least one of the samples
populations is different
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Friedman
• Friedman's Test is a nonparametric alternative to two-
way analysis of variance.
• The hypothesis is:
– H0 the means of all the samples equal
– H1 the mean of at least one of the samples is different
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1 Sample Sign
• The One Sample Sign Test is a simple nonparametric
test equivalent to the parametric One Sample t-test and
used to test the probability of a sample median being
equal to hypothesized value.
• This is where:
– H0: m1=m2=m3=m4 (null hypothesis)
– Ha: At least one is different (alternate hypothesis)
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1 Sample Wilcoxon
• The1-sample Wilcoxon test is used to estimate the
population median and compare it to a target or
reference value.
• The 1-sample Wilcoxon test is used to determine
whether the median of a group differs from a specified
value.
• It is a nonparametric alternative of the 1-sample t-test.
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One and Two Sample Proportion
• The One Sample t-test is a hypothesis test used to test
the mean of a small sample taken from a population with
a normal distribution against a specified value.
• The Two Sample t-test is a hypothesis test used to
compare the means of two small samples to see if they
may come from the same population using:
– H0 the population means are equal
– H1 the popular means are different
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Chi-Squared (Contingency Tables)
• The Chi-Square test is used to test whether a sample is
drawn from a population that conforms to a specified
distribution.
• Chi squared contingency tables are called Yates
correction. The 2 x 2 tables allow teams to evaluate the
accuracy of the approximation and the value of this
correction.
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Tests of Equal Variance, Normality Testing and
Sample Size Calculation, Performing Tests, and
Interpreting Results
• Sample size is typically annotated by (n) and is the
number of units in a sample.
• One-factor experiments are a method of designing
experiments involving the testing of factors, or causes,
one at a time instead of all separately.
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Tests of Equal Variance, Normality Testing and
Sample Size Calculation, Performing Tests, and
Interpreting Results
• Randomized block is a method used in the design of
experiments similar to stratified random sampling where
block designs are constructed to reduce noise or
variance in the data.
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• Two-level fractional factorial experiments include three
key ideas:
– The sparsity of effects principle, where there may
be lots of factors, but few are important.
– The projection property, where every fractional
factorial contains full factorials in fewer factors.
– The sequential experimentation, where runs can be
added to a fractional factorial to resolve difficulties (or
ambiguities) in interpretation.
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Tests of Equal Variance, Normality Testing and
Sample Size Calculation, Performing Tests, and
Interpreting Results
• Full factorial experiments test several factors at two
levels, high and low.
• In a full factorial experiment, every possible combination
of factors and permutations is tested.
• The following chart shows possible solutions for a full
factorial experiment.
Tests of Equal Variance, Normality Testing and
Sample Size Calculation, Performing Tests, and
Interpreting Results
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• Hypothesis tests and specific types of tests including
parametric and nonparametric
• Tests of Equal Variance, Normality Testing and Sample
Size calculation, performing tests and interpreting results
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Unit 21 - Simple Linear and Multiple
Regression Analysis
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit provides information on performing regression
analysis.
• Timing: 30 – 45 minutes
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Simple Linear Regression
• Regression analysis finds the line of best fit through a
series of points. The least squares method is used to
calculate regression.
• The types of regression are:
– Linear Regression: a linear relationship with one input
and one output.
– Multiple Linear Regression: a linear relationship with
several inputs.
– Logistics Regression: regression where the output is
a probability.
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Simple Linear Regression
• Multivariate analysis is used to analyze processes that have several inputs and outputs.
• Factor analysis reduces a large number of continuous factors to a small number for analysis. Discriminant analysis has one output and it is categorical in nature.
• Manova has several outputs which must be correlated.
• Cyclical variations are time based with a repeated pattern.
• Temporal variation is variation with time.
• Logit is used to find the relationship between a probability and quantity.
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Correlation
• Two variables are said to be closely correlated if there is
a strong relationship between them.
– Measurement correlation measures the strength of
a linear relationship between two variables.
– Scatter diagrams are also used and they show the
correlations between variables.
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Correlation
• This is an example of Strong correlation.
• This is an example of Weak correlation.
Narrow and tight
placement of data
values
Scattered and
sporadic
placement of data
values
18.1: Strong and Weak Correlation
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Regression Equations
• The regression equation shows the relation between the
inputs ('X') and the output ('Y') that is created by either a
regression analysis or the Design of Experiments.
• The equation for linear regression is Y = A + Bx
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Residual Analysis
• Regression Analysis is a data model that predicts a
regression so that variation in a process can be
reviewed, comparing the actual values from a process to
the predicted regression values which are the residuals.
• The residuals should conform to a normal distribution. If
they do not, this may be an indicator of a pattern or
cause for the regression.
• Residual analysis is an important part of the analysis in
regression analysis and experimental design.
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Multiple Regression Analysis
• Multiple regression is used to examine a relationship to
any other factors which may be nonlinear independent
variables (either quantitative or qualitative) to determine
the effects of a single variable or multiple variables.
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Non- Linear Regression
• Nonlinear regression is a technique to fit a curve through
data.
• It fits data to any equation that defines Y as a function of
X.
18.2: Y as function of X Non Linear regression
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Multiple Linear Regression
• Multiple Linear Regression follows the equation Y=A =
Bx and shows in a linear display responses to several
inputs as seen here:
• The purpose of linear regression is to find the line that
comes close to the data.
18.3: Multiple linear regression inputs and outputs
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Confidence & Prediction Intervals
• Confidence intervals define the area around a sample
mean which the true population will fall into with some
degree of confidence.
• There is a 95% probability the true population mean will
lie within the 95% confidence interval of the sample
mean.
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Confidence & Prediction Intervals
• Using the statistical definition of the 95% confidence
interval, if a poll of 100 people were taken, 95% of
respondents would be within the calculated confidence
intervals, and five percent would be either higher or
lower than the range of the confidence intervals.
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Residual Analysis
• Residual Analysis show how well the regression model
represents a process being studied and the special
causes. Residual analysis is part of experimental design
and the residuals should conform to a normal
distribution.
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Data Transformation, Box Cox
• Box Plots are used to represent relatively small data
sets. The outliers are points that are more than 1.5 times
the interquartile range above the third quartile or below
the first quartile.
• The whiskers extend to the largest and smallest data
values that are not outliers.
18.4: Box Cox Diagram
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• Regression analysis
• Confidence and prediction intervals for data
• Regression analysis determining relations for data
variables
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Unit 22 - Designed Experiments
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit will show the design of experiments and
factorial experiments to determine the x and y variables
that affect a response.
• Timing: 45 – 60 minutes
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Designed Experiments
• The design of experiments is a systematic series of tests
used to determine relationships of x and y variables that
affect a process and response.
• The results of the experiment are analyzed to find the
regression equation that relates the factors to the
response.
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Designed Experiments
• The Taguchi Method (Design of Experiments) and other
methodologies have made major contributions in the
reduction of variation and greatly improved engineering
quality and productivity by reducing environmental
variation.
• Design of experiments deals with planning, conducting,
analyzing, and interpreting controlled tests to evaluate
the factors that control the value of a parameter.
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Designed Experiments
Design principles:
• Power: the power of a hypothesis test is a measure of the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is false.
• Sample size is typically annotated by (n) and is the number of units in a sample.
• Balance is evenly distributing both the quantity and variety of work across available work time, avoiding overburden and underuse of resources.
• Repetition is synonymous with replication.
• Replication is used to remove systematic errors. The number of tests should equal the number of replications.
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Designed Experiments
DOE terms include:
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Interaction Main Effects Confounding Replication
Balanced Design Blocking Dependent
Variables Randomized
Block
Response variable
Random Effects Model Treatment Factor
Designed Experiments
Design principles:
• Order is the numeric progression in which a product or service is produced.
• Efficiency is the lowest possible variance from any estimator divided by the expected variance of the selected estimator.
• Randomization is used in experimental designs to prevent systematic patterns and to convert patterns into variation that can be detected in analysis.
• Blocking is a technique used to manage nuisance factors that may affect the results of an experiment. The experiment is organized into blocks and the nuisance factor is maintained at a constant level in each block.
- continued
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Designed Experiments
- continued
• Interaction is the combined effect of inputs instead of
the sum of the individual effects.
• Confounding is used in experimental design. Factors
are confounded when the design array is configured so
that the effect of one factor is combined with the other.
• Resolution is the criteria used to select a fractional
factorial design.
Experiment Objectives
• The goal of the Design of Experiments is to discover the
relationship between the factors that affect a process
and the response.
• In the experiment, the factors are varied systematically
and then the resulting response observed.
• The results of the experiment are analyzed to find the
regression equation for the response.
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Experimental Methods
• Experimental methods include one and two-level
fractional factorial experiments.
• One level include Randomized and Latin square design.
• Two level include:
– The sparsity of effects principle, where there may be
lots of factors, but few are important.
– The projection property, where every fractional
factorial contains full factorials in fewer factors.
– The sequential experimentation, where runs can be
added to a fractional factorial to resolve difficulties (or
ambiguities) in interpretation.
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Experiment Design Considerations
• Design for Six Sigma (DFSS) is different from DMAIC as
it is used for designing a completely new product or
process that meets customer specifications.
• DFSS vary from organization to organization depending
on the characteristics of the product or business process
that needs to be developed.
• DFSS is an approach-based methodology rather than a
stand-alone optimization methodology such as DMAIC.
• DMADV and IDOV are variations of the DSS. Design For
Six Sigma uses the DMADV or DMADOV sequence
rather than the DMAIC sequence.
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Full Factorial Experiments
• Full factorial experiments test several factors at two
levels, high and low. In a full factorial experiment, every
possible combination of factors and permutations is
tested.
• The following chart shows possible solutions for a full
factorial experiment.
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2k Full Factorial Designs
• Two-level fractional factorial experiments include three
key ideas:
– The sparsity of effects principle, where there may be
lots of factors, but few are important.
– The projection property, where every fractional
factorial contains full factorials in fewer factors.
– The sequential, where runs can be added to a
fractional factorial to resolve difficulties (or
ambiguities) in interpretation.
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Linear & Quadratic Mathematical Models
• In a linear mathematical model, the plotted data follows a
straight line.
• Every data point may not fall on the line but the majority
of them will. The overall pattern of the data follows the
shape of a line and is the overall shape of the data.
• Linear mathematical models use the formula y = mx + b.
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Linear & Quadratic Mathematical Models
• In a quadratic model, the plotted data follows the shape
of what is called a quadratic.
• A quadratic shape is one that is curved and shaped
similar to the letter “u.”
• The formula for the quadratic mathematical model is
Y = ax^2 + bx + c.
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Balanced & Orthogonal Designs
• A Balanced Design (Balanced Experiment) is a factorial
design in which each factor is run the same number of
times at the high and low levels.
• An experimental design is orthogonal if each factor can
be evaluated independently of all the other factors. In a
two level factorial design, this is achieved by matching
each level of each factor with an equal number of each
level of the other factors.
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Fit, Diagnose Model, and Center Points
• Fit finds the line of best fit through a series of points. The
least squares method is used to calculate regression. As
mentioned earlier, the types of regression are:
– Linear Regression is a linear relationship with one
input and one output.
– Multiple Linear Regression is a linear relationship with
several inputs.
– Logistics Regression is regression where the output is
a probability.
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Fit, Diagnose Model, and Center Points
• The pattern of variation in a set of data is called distribution. Distribution is most often viewed for the shape, spread, and center.
• The central limit theorem predicts that:
– The distribution of means will increasingly approximate a normal distribution as the size N of samples increases.
– The standard deviation of the population of means is always equal to the standard deviation of the parent population divided by the square root of the sample size (N).
– The mean of the population of means is always equal to the mean of the parent population from which the population samples were drawn.
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Fit, Diagnose Model, and Center Points
• Normal distribution is a continuous distribution where any two data values may have an interval in between. The bell shaped normal curve has probabilities that are found as the area between any two z values. Normal distribution has 5 characteristics:
– The mean, mode, and median are equal.
– Most values concentrate near the mean and decrease in frequency further from the mean.
– Symmetrical about the central value
– The curve has only one mode.
– All data points fall within the curve, either 50% to the left or 50% to the right.
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Fit, Diagnose Model, and Center Points
• This picture shows a normal distribution of data.
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19.4: Center point of normal distribution
Fit, Diagnose Model, and Center Points
• Binomial distribution is different from a normal
distribution, although the shape of the curve will be
similar.
• Binomial distribution is a discrete probability distribution.
It shows the probability of getting “X” successes in a
sample of “N” from an 'infinite' population, where the
probability of a success is “Y.”
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Fit, Diagnose Model, and Center Points
• Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution.
It is used when the sample size is not restricted and it is
not possible to specify the number of occurrences, but
you do know the average number of occurrences.
• The formula is shown here where d = the number of
occurrences and λ = the average number of
occurrences.
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Fit, Diagnose Model, and Center Points
• Chi square is used to test whether a sample is drawn
from a population that conforms to a specified
distribution.
• Chi square is also called goodness of fit. Chi square is
calculated by summing the chi square contributions from
each category in the hypothesis. The hypothesis is:
– H0 the sample conforms to the specified distribution
– H1 the sample does not conform to the distribution
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Fit, Diagnose Model, and Center Points
• Student’s t is a Probability Distribution Function which
gives the height of the distribution.
• The shape of the t distribution is similar to the normal
distribution and converges on the normal distribution as
the number of degrees of freedom increases.
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Fit, Diagnose Model, and Center Points
• F distributions are a continuous probability
distribution formed from the ratios of two Chi-
squared variables. If X1 and X2 are independent
Chi-square variables.
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Fit, Diagnose Model, and Center Points
• T-tests compare the mean against a specified value
using a sample of 30 items or less.
• Two sample t-tests compare the means of two samples
of 30 items or less.
• Paired t-tests compare the means of two samples of 30
items or less, when the items in the two samples can be
paired.
• Z-tests compare the mean against a specified value
when the sample has more than 30 items or the
standard deviation is known.
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Fractional Factorial Experiments
• Resolution is the criteria used to select a fractional
factorial design.
• Factorial designs involve testing several (n) factors at
high and low levels using fractional factorials such as
half (2n-1) or a quarter (2n-2).
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Designs
• Two-level fractional factorial experiments include three
key ideas:
– The sparsity of effects principle, where there may
be lots of factors, but few are important.
– The projection property, where every fractional
factorial contains full factorials in fewer factors.
– The sequential experimentation, where runs can be
added to a fractional factorial to resolve difficulties (or
ambiguities) in interpretation.
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Designs
• Full factorial experiments test several factors at two
levels, high and low.
• In a full factorial experiment, every possible combination
of factors and permutations is tested.
• The following chart shows possible solutions for a full
factorial experiment.
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Treatment A B AB
1 -1 -1 +1
2 +1 -1 -1
3 -1 +1 -1
4 +1 +1 +1
Confounding Effects
• Confounding effects are when the design is configured
so that the effect of one factor is combined with the
other.
• Ultimately, the effect of the individual factors cannot be
isolated by the analysis.
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Experimental Resolution
• In the design of experiments, the Design Resolution is a
key criteria for selecting a fractional factorial design:
– Resolution III RIII: two factor interactions are aliased
with main effects.
– Resolution IV RIV: two factor interactions are aliased
with other two factor interactions, but not with main
effects. Main effects are aliased with three factor
interactions.
– Resolution 5 RV: two factor interactions are not
aliased with each other, but are aliased with three
factor interaction.
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• Design for Six Sigma (DFSS)
• The value of proper fit and diagnose
• Distribution and factorial experiments
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Unit 23 - Statistical Process Control
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit describes control tools and statistical process
control tool usage.
• Timing: 75 – 90 minutes
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Statistical Process Control (SPC)
• This course covers statistical process control measures
that a Black Belt would use in the Control phase of Six
Sigma.
• Not all tools used in Six Sigma are intuitive such as a bar
graph or Pareto chart.
• Some of the tools used in six sigma have significant
mathematical formulas (particularly in the manufacturing
arena), which take the user time and training to develop.
• A Black Belt can typically recommend the best tool for
the process, but the project team may need significant
training on how to use it.
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Statistical Process Control (SPC)
• Statistical Process Control is used to monitor processes
and may be applied to production or business
processes.
• Statistical Process Control uses statistical methods to
ensure that the process is stable and monitor the
processes for timely identification of special causes.
• All processes are subject to variation.
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Statistical Process Control (SPC)
• Statistical Process Control (SPC) is used to help
understand variation and process capability and
performance by using control charts of Cp, Cpk, Pp,
Ppk, x-bar, and R chart, and attribute charts of p, np, c
and u.
• The Black Belt will be able to develop control charts for
x-bar and s charts, median charts, XmR/ImR charts,
short run SPC, and moving average (MA) charts.
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Statistical Process Control (SPC)
u Control Charts U Charts
c Control Charts Moving Average Control Charts
np Control Charts X-Bar & R Control Charts
p Control Charts ImR (Individual Moving Range) Control Charts
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• Process Control is most often monitored by control charts which have an upper and lower control limit indicating a special cause. There are two types of SPC charts: control charts for attributes and control charts for variables. These are the most common SPC charts:
Statistical Process Control (SPC)
Attribute charts Use for:
U charts Defects (errors) per unit in a subgroup
Np charts Number of defective units in a sample for go or no-go
P charts Percent or proportion of defects in a subgroup
C charts Number of defects in a subgroup
Control charts Use for:
Xbar-R charts Plot of the mean and range of a group less than 5
X bar-s charts Plot the mean and standard deviation of a group more
than 5
X-R charts Plot of mean and range of individual measurements.
This chart will help explain the application of attribute
and control charts.
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Statistical Process Control (SPC)
• Correctly interpreting control charts is important to
effectively adjusting and improving processes.
• After you have charted your data, there are 8 standard
rules for interpreting what the control charts mean. The 8
rules follow.
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Statistical Process Control (SPC)
These are the indications of a process out of control:
1. Any point beyond control limits
2. Two out of three points in a row beyond two sigma
3. Four out of five points in a row beyond one sigma
4. Fifteen points in a row within one sigma
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Statistical Process Control (SPC)
5. Eight points in a row on both sides of the centerline
within two sigma
6. Nine points in a row on one side of the center line
7. Six points in a row increasing or decreasing
8. Fourteen points in a row alternating up or down
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Data Collection for SPC
• Data collection and analysis allows for quality assurance
as a project progresses to assure the project satisfies
the required quality standards.
• Use a data collection chart to track subsequent data to
monitor your controls once they are implemented.
• The next two slides will show you some of the common
data collection parameters.
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Data Collection for SPC
• Data collection for SPC explains how and by whom data is collected for improvement. This data includes the following common descriptors. – The Process Name: Enter the process description
and identify the process owner or owners.
– Description of Measure: List a detailed description of your specific measures.
– Justification for the Measure: What influenced you to pick this as the critical measure? How do you substantiate your choice of control?
– Link to Strategic Initiative / Key Business Driver: Identify the key business and strategic influences for this measure.
- continued
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Data Collection for SPC
- continued
• Numerator: Denominator:
• Data Source: Identify all your data sources
• Baseline, Target, Current Results Best Practice, and Measurement Period identify your starting point for all of these.
• Measurement or Process Pattern: What are the normalized steps in your process?
• Time Documentation: Document time intervals and timestamps of the process.
• Include any comments of relevant information, exceptions, unexpected outcomes, and findings.
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I-MR Chart
• The Individual Chart plots each measurement as a
separate data point, where each data point stands on its
own and where the subgroup size is or = 1.
• The Moving Range Chart uses a default value of 2 so
that each data point plots the difference or range
between two consecutive data points as they come from
the process in sequential order.
• There will be one less data point in the Moving Range
chart than the Individual chart.
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Xbar-R Chart
• The Xbar-R Chart is a common statistical process control used to sample averages. The X-bar chart is most often used for large sample sizes and large volume processes.
• The chart is used with the X as the range chart (R). The range is the highest minus lowest numbers placed in a chart plot of the range for each sample with calculated control limits.
• The range shown in the chart is sensitive to shifts in process width, and it shows the uniformity of a process. Unfortunately, the X-bar chart does not show problems quickly because of the effect of averaging averages.
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Xbar-R Chart
• This is an example of an Xbar Chart.
This shows the range of the
highest and lowest numbers
for a large sample process
22.1 : Sample Xbar-R Chart
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U Chart
• The U Chart is used to track the number of
characteristics of interest per item or unit examined. The
measurement scale for u charts is continuous. The u
chart is similar to the c chart except that the sample size
can change over time.
• U chart sample sizes can vary in size but should be kept
to within 25% of the average sample size.
• The U chart center line (mean) (u-bar) is calculated by:
U= Total number of non-conformances in all the items sampled
Total number of items sampled
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U Chart
• This is an example of a U Chart.
This chart shows the specific number of characteristics of
interest per item or unit examined, on a continuous scale. In
this chart, there are four characteristics being tracked.
22.2 : Sample U Chart
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P Chart
• The P Chart is used to track a proportion of a population
or whole, and each unit is considered conforming or
nonconforming.
The formula for its calculation is:
p = Total number of nonconforming in all samples being considered
Total number of items reviewed in all samples being considered
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P Chart
• This is an example of a P Chart.
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This chart shows how each characteristic
measure is or is not meeting a measure
(conforming).
22.3 : Sample P Chart
NP Chart
• The NP Chart is used to measure the number of defective items in a sample when the sample size (n) is constant.
• The NP chart is used to track the number of items that are nonconforming, and each item may be counted only once.
• It would be used when the number of items with the characteristic is a small number within the total population under consideration.
• The formula to calculate the NP chart is:
Total number of nonconforming items in all samples being considered Total number of samples
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NP Chart
• This is an example of an NP chart.
This shows the defective
items in this sample
22.4 : Sample NP Chart
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Cum Sum Chart
• The Cum Sum Chart is used to plot the cumulative sum
of the deviations from a target value.
• It identifies process changes. Cum Sum charts are
constructed by calculating and plotting a cumulative sum
based on the data.
• The chart is built using the graph of the equation:
X= X1 + X2 + X3….X15
15
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EWMA Chart
• The (Exponentially Weighted Moving-Average) EWMA
Chart is used as a control chart for variable data.
• EWMA applies weighting factors that decrease
exponentially where the weighting for each older data
point decreases exponentially, which gives more
importance to recent observations.
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EWMA Chart
• This is an example of an EWMA chart.
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This shows the most recent
observations of the process.
22.5 : Sample EWMA Chart
Control Methods
• Control methods will include combinations of these:
– Chart Champion: Name of the process owner
– Critical to Quality Characteristic: End-product
characteristic proven to be important to the customer,
along with hierarchical reference number
– Significant Characteristic Description: Process
characteristics that have a significant impact on the Critical
to Quality Characteristic
– Significant Characteristic Number: Reference number to
organize Significant Characteristics within a hierarchy that
relates to the corresponding CTQCs
– Chart Type: X-bar & R chart, P-chart, C-Chart, Trend chart
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Control Methods
• Chart Location: Location where the cart is kept
• Measurement Method: Method used to collect the measurement data (e.g., scale, caliper)
• Measurement Study: Denote whether a measurement system analysis has been completed. If Yes, show the % total error.
• Gage Number: Reference number for the gage that corresponds to the calibration tracking system.
• Sampling Plan: How many samples are drawn at what frequency.
• Process Stability: Is the process in a state of statistical control - Yes or No.
• Cp/Cpk: If process is stable, calculate Cp and Cpk.
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Control Chart Anatomy
• Statistical Process Control is most often monitored by
control charts, which have an upper and lower control
limit indicating a special cause.
• There are two types of SPC charts: control charts for
attributes and control charts for variables.
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Subgroups, Impact of Variation,
Frequency of Sampling
• Subgroups are used to compare the control limits and
patterns of variation between each subgroup through
analysis.
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Subgroups, Impact of Variation,
Frequency of Sampling
• The Impact of Variation can be random or systematic.
• Random variation and systematic variation should be
evaluated for the critical causes of your process and
their impact on variation, either for (spread) or for central
tendency (centering).
• Hypothesis testing can help determine the cause based
on your target for specified limits.
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Subgroups, Impact of Variation,
Frequency of Sampling
There are four primary sampling strategies:
• Random sampling
• Stratified random sampling
• Systematic sampling
• Rational sub-grouping
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Subgroups, Impact of Variation,
Frequency of Sampling
• Random sampling is used in population sampling when
reviewing historical or batch data.
• Stratified random sampling is used in population
sampling when reviewing historical or batch data.
• Systematic sampling is used in process sampling when
data is collected in real time during process operation.
• Rational sub-grouping is used in process sampling when
data is collected in real time during process operations.
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Center Line & Control Limit Calculations
Control limit calculations are found by:
• Calculating the mean by summing the measurements
and dividing by the sample size.
• Then, calculating the standard deviation by subtracting
each measurement from the mean and squaring the
results individually.
• Then, summing the set of individual numbers. Take that
number and divide the sum by the sample size minus
one.
• Then, the last step is to square the result to compute the
standard deviation.
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Center Line & Control Limit Calculations
Once the control limits are calculated, they are
placed on a control chart seen here, which
shows you the upper control limit, control, and
lower control limit of the process.
22.6 : Sample of centerline and control limit
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Six Sigma Control Plans
• The control plan could possibly be the most important
part of the entire DMAIC methodology.
• Control plans help verify that the Voice of the Customer
is being met by verifying improvement processes,
documenting procedures, and updating standard
operating procedures and policies.
• This can be accomplished using any combination of
these tools: the balance scorecard, control chart, control
plan document, or control plan form.
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Elements of the Control Plan
• The control plan is a document that lists what is
monitored in a product, service, or process as far as
characteristics of quality.
• The control plan plays an important part in sustaining
product quality long after a manufacturing process is
developed and launched.
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Elements of the Control Plan
• There is no set type or style of project control plan for a
specified particular improvement, but use metrics
important to your sustainment.
• Use a combination of spreadsheets and text documents
to keep track of the measures being improved.
• In general, you determine all of the headers and labels
for your control plan which are critical to quality, proven
to be important to the customer, and include a
hierarchical reference number.
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Six Sigma Control Plans
• This is a sample control plan.
Notice the characteristics that
are tracked.
22.7 : Sample Six Sigma Control Plan
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Cost Benefit Analysis
• The Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) is similar to the return
on investment calculation or a go-no-go determination.
• The CBA will help determine costs of not doing a Six
Sigma project, the costs if the project fails, and
opportunity costs.
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Elements of the Response Plan
• A Six Sigma response plan is a flowchart that tells the
data-plotter what to do in the event of an out-of-control or
out-of-specification condition.
• An example of a reaction plan would be a printing press
operator who receives an alert for an offset of print and
is able to stop the line and make an adjustment based
on the data.
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• Statistical process control (SPC) and process capability
and performance by using control charts of Cp, Cpk, Pp,
Ppk, x-bar, and R chart, and attribute charts of p, np, c
and u
• Six Sigma control plan requirements
• Process data sampling requirements
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Unit 24 - Leading Six Sigma Teams
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit goes through the very basic principles of project
management, project teams, and the role of the Black
Belt leading the team.
• It also looks at the communications of the project leader
and Black Belt.
• Timing: 30 – 35 minutes
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Project Management
• There are libraries full of books discussing project
management and various certifiable qualifications that
can be obtained; a variety of methodologies for
managing projects, software, and “good advice” in most
organizations.
• The nature of a project is that it is a structured and
accountable method for delivering an end product or
goal.
• Thus its transfer of use to Six Sigma is pretty obvious.
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Project Management
There are a few key things that define a project.
• It has an end goal to achieve – a desired outcome.
• It has a schedule or timeline for delivery.
• It has a budget.
• It has a plan of activity.
• It has a sponsor and manager.
• It has project team members.
• It has structure and documentation of activity.
• It is monitored on progress and reports achievement.
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Project Management
• A quick read through the above and you will immediately
see the overlap between Six Sigma projects and general
project management.
• Thus, a Six Sigma project can be ‘project managed’ -
following whatever project management philosophy
suits, but having this structured, accountable, and
sequential approach to activity.
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Project Management
• As a project manager, the Black Belt leading the project
would be responsible for monitoring expenditure within
the project, determining tasks to be undertaken and
assigning them, monitoring achievement against
expectations of a project plan, and ultimately arriving at
an end state on time, in budget, and using the expected
resources agreed with the sponsor at the outset of the
project.
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Project Management
You may choose to use some good project management
practices to help move along development of your Six
Sigma project.
• Consider releasing regular project reports detailing
progress.
• Consider using risk and issue logs that identify likely or
potential challenges to the successful delivery.
• Consider the use of checkpoint meetings as a structure
for regular engagement with your business customer,
stakeholders and team.
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Communications
• As a Six Sigma Black Belt and project leader, you will be
expected to undertake a significant amount of
communications within and outside of your team.
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Communications
• You should be prepared to communicate regularly within
your team and ensure that task and role allocations are
clearly explained and understood.
• You should show confidence in your team and
particularly Green Belt members, demonstrating that you
can trust them to deliver by shaping a task for them
without detailing the specific elements.
• That is good leadership as much as project
management.
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Communications
• You will have regular engagement with your Champion
to update on progress and discuss challenges within the
project.
• There should be a good understanding between you and
a clear direction that you both agree on for the future of
the project.
• You should be prepared to offer challenge and exert your
Six Sigma knowledge within these discussions to ensure
that the project stays focused on the problem statement
to be solved.
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Communications
• You will also need to engage with stakeholders, process
owners, and customers affected by the project.
• These people will probably engage with you at structured
meetings, so it is important that these meetings take
place regularly and clearly convey information about the
progress and development aspects of whichever part of
the Six Sigma project you have reached at that point.
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Communications
• Ensure meetings have agendas and are recorded for
reference should any decisions be made.
• Try to make sure they have a set time so that they do not
drift into discussion forums but stay on track and on
purpose.
• You may also get requests to have one-to-one
discussions with those involved who are concerned
about the process.
• You need to be sure to explain what is happening and
why it is happening and then take on their views and
discuss them freely.
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Communications
• Often, it is just a misunderstanding that causes
concerns, but if there is something you cannot answer
then work with your Champion to find common ground,
and work together with the business strategy in mind.
• Sometimes this one-to-one discussion may take place
on the phone, but the same guidance applies.
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Communications
• As a final point, both Black and Green Belt Six Sigma
practitioners should be able to facilitate a discussion to
get to the cause of issues and help within the workings
of the DMAIC approach.
• It may not happen, as this work will often be undertaken
by Green Belts, but be prepared to step up and facilitate
a solution-workshop whenever needed.
• That can instill faith in your abilities as well as
demonstrate to others how to progress a challenging
period within the DMAIC approach.
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• Change management and the requirements to build a
sustainable culture for quality improvements
• Operational excellence and business process
reengineering
• The criticality of project management
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Unit 25 - Ending Six Sigma Projects
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit provides information on how and when to end a
Six Sigma project, how to monitor benefits, and the
responsibilities being passed on to the business.
• Timing: 60 – 75 minutes
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When Does a Six Sigma Project Finish?
• We have discussed some of the end elements of a Six
Sigma project in other units, particularly unit 10 – the
Control stage.
• Effectively, a Six Sigma project will end when all benefits
have been signed off by the sponsor and the process
has become a normal part of the business.
• That sounds simple enough, but there wouldn’t be a
section devoted to ending a project if it was that
straightforward.
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When Does a Six Sigma Project Finish?
• At the end of the Control phase of the DMAIC journey,
the organization’s financial department or company
accountant should confirm the benefits in dollars.
• The Champion or sponsor will then take these agreed
figures into the business and discuss their value and
what it means.
• This will begin the process of confirming benefits and
developing a plan for benefits monitoring that will
become the responsibility of the business.
• Only once everything is agreed upon and the business is
ready, can the project begin to be closed down.
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When Does a Six Sigma Project Finish?
• Unfortunately, some perfectionists may think that Six
Sigma teams should keep working on improvements
indefinitely.
• There comes a point of minimal return and there are no
more process improvements that can be done. This is
when the process is optimized.
• When optimized, benefits can be calculated and
presented to the business for agreement.
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When Does a Six Sigma Project Finish?
When does a Six Sigma project finish?
• When the benefits are agreed upon and the plans put in
place to monitor not only the benefits, but control the
process in a way that ensures its longevity.
• When the training for existing staff has been completed
and created for new recruits.
• When the project charter has been fulfilled, then the
project can close.
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When Does a Six Sigma Project Finish?
• Closing the Six Sigma project is much like the closure of
a general project.
• It will involve a meeting of all relevant stakeholders,
customers, and process owners, led either by the project
leader or the Champion.
• The meeting will examine the contents of the original
charter and gain agreement from all present that the
aims and goals of the charter have been met.
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When Does a Six Sigma Project Finish?
• Then the project manager will prepare a written
document that outlines the results for each stage of the
project and confirms achievement of the solution to the
original problem.
• This document is distributed for agreement and in some
organizations, they physically gain sign off.
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When Does a Six Sigma Project Finish?
• At the same time, a benefits report is created based
around agreed benefits.
• These may or may not have been discussed at the
closure meeting, depending upon the confidentiality in
relation to those present.
• However, this will detail not just the high-level saving in
terms of cost, but will detail how this is made up in terms
of time, quality, and cost savings.
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When Does a Six Sigma Project Finish?
• The benefits report includes expected realization numbers or ranges for each to fulfill the global savings figure.
• The benefits report also states how these elements will be measured, using what tools and by whom.
• It should also clearly state how often or when the measure will take place. Within a month of closure is a good starting point, with monthly or quarterly thereafter for a period of 1 -2 years recommended.
• This will enable benefits to be not only achieved, but any overshoots or undershoots clearly identified as stability of the process is achieved following integration within the business.
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What Are the Benefits?
• Cost savings will likely include people savings, where the required numbers of staff to perform an action may reduce.
• Other cost savings may result from reduced storage times, reduction in packaging waste, new supplier costs, or just reduced running times of machinery.
• All of these are likely to be easy to quantify in terms of dollars by just comparing before and after figures.
• It may be a slightly staggered approach in realizing staff savings as some initial retraining costs and redeployment costs would have to be borne against the reductions in need costs at the outset.
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What Are the Benefits?
• When looking at quality savings, you should consider
accuracy of production numbers at each stage of the
process.
• Internal assurance staff should be able to identify this
and potentially reduced workload for quality control
personnel.
• You may also choose to assess the customer’s view of
achievement, a recommended option, by undertaking
surveys, focus groups, or stakeholder liaison meetings.
• The metrics here are likely to be in terms of accuracy or
satisfaction levels being achieved.
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What Are the Benefits?
• In terms of timing benefits, this can be a timing
improvement across the whole process or within certain
stages of the process.
• If it is a particularly complex or multi-faceted process,
timings for each part of the process should be given and
taken.
• Sampling exercises to monitor times can be undertaken.
If you are looking at shipping of products, perhaps this
would be another factor for customer engagement
discussions.
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What Are the Benefits?
• Overall, when measuring benefits, it is worth having
these individual factors feeding into the overall total
savings figure.
• It can be encouraging for all involved to see the greater
figure being achieved and even surpassed as full
realization is achieved.
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Passing on the Hard Work
• When the agreement to close the project has been
achieved, then it is time to close.
• One of the final acts of the project lead will be to ensure
the business has all the necessary tools to maintain and
monitor the improvement into the future.
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Passing on the Hard Work
• The benefits plan will be passed on with its detail as
described above.
• The control plan will be handed over to the process
owner together with all associated documents agreeing
how continued compliance will be achieved.
• The Champion will also get a copy of these documents
as the executive level sponsor for the project, since they
typically report to the finance or executive boards of the
business on the success of the Six Sigma Project.
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Passing on the Hard Work
• All created training information and content, new
documents, technology, contracts, and environmental
controls will also be passed on to the business for use
and application.
• The project can then be closed down and remaining
papers filed away.
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Passing on the Hard Work
• As a courtesy, it is worth making the effort to thank
stakeholder representatives and their home teams for
their efforts as well as recognizing the efforts of Yellow
Belts that will be returning to their day job at the end of
the project.
• A simple letter of thanks or personal thank you is often
sufficient, but if your organization permits other rewards
then consider these also.
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Passing on the Hard Work
• The Black Belt will now get ready for the organization’s
next Six Sigma project to commence the hard work all
over again.
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Team Dynamics
• When any team comes together for the first time, it is
recommended that they take some time to get to know
each other and develop as a cohesive unit.
• Six Sigma teams are no different, but the expectation
placed upon it by the business may be to get up and
running very quickly.
• It is key that the right people are pulled into the team to
ensure its success.
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Team Dynamics
• Once stakeholders have been identified, they should be
grouped into key and non-key stakeholders, depending
upon the decision making and range of influence – a
simple stakeholder analysis may help this split.
• Once these 2 groups are set up, the team needs to
include one member from each group. Each of these will
be a supporter of the change, enthusiastic in their
approach but also credible within the group.
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Team Dynamics
• It may not be possible to get all these elements right, so
a more skeptical member may be involved, but whose
credence within the group is respected and who can be
leveraged to embrace buy-in over time.
• The total team should range between 5 and 7 members
for ideal production with meeting, workshops, and other
activities, pulling in people from various areas of the
business at the appropriate times throughout the
schedule of the project.
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Team Dynamics
• The team has collective responsibility for the success or
failure of the project.
• There should be no blame or finger pointing, but
acceptance to learn from errors and move forward.
• The team leader will be responsible for planning,
managing, and delivering against the charter and
keeping the team focused on achieving the goals of the
charter throughout the whole DMAIC process.
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Team Dynamics
• The team must also be receptive to the customers’
comments and value the contributions of all with
objective viewpoints.
• They must be understanding and rationalize these at
each point to progress the project.
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Team Dynamics
• Most Green and all Black Belts will demonstrate
facilitation skills, and as such, they should be clearly able
to overcome conflicts and disagreements within the
team.
• Occasionally, it may be of benefit to utilize an
independent facilitator if project conflicts continue.
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned about:
• How to bring a Six Sigma project to closure. All projects
have a specified time length and duration of course.
• How to pass on roles for sustainment
• The specific dynamics of teams, which is a crucial to
manage a process which is ongoing
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Unit 26 - Making the Change
The purpose of this unit:
• This unit gives an overview of change management
within the context of Six Sigma projects, how to assess
the organizational culture, and how to gain buy in from
those experiencing the change.
• Timing: 60 – 75 minutes
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What is Change Management?
• There are many definitions of change management, and there is much confusion around the term.
• It does not relate to project management or technology changes, but relates to the experience people have of something changing within their workplace
– How they are affected and how the business needs to consider the impact of change upon its workforce through the linking of technology, training, Human Resources, environment, and communications to not only deliver changes but to successfully bring about a change within the workplace that is accepted and embraced by the workforce.
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What is Change Management?
• Some of the key considerations around change
management link to organization structures, where the
reporting or managerial roles may change priority or
seniority.
• It also ties in with workforce development, which ensures
that the workforce is trained and has sufficient skills to
perform their required duties.
• It will also look at organizational culture and
communications, determining the nature of the business
culture and how best to work with it to gain acceptance
of change.
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What is Change Management?
• As you can imagine, introducing a Six Sigma process
change overlaps with a considerable amount of change
management.
• New processes may require the workforce to be
redistributed and the managerial structure changed.
Change managers can work with Six Sigma projects to
effectively deal with these restructures.
• The new process will definitely need staff training, and
once again, developing the workforce potential can
enable the Six Sigma project to take forward the learning
events required in a structured and appropriate way.
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What is Change Management?
• When considering the collaboration with any business’
change management professional, it should be noted
that many businesses do not have one.
• It may be that an external contractor is brought in to help
with the change management. Even if the change
manager is present, be prepared for them to be engaged
in several other changes at the same time.
• The Black Belt project lead will normally be the person
engaging with the change manager, but it may be
suitable for Green Belts to engage as the task in-hand
relates.
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Culture and Perceptions
• Most businesses have a culture which dominates the
way they do things. This can likely be something that
reflects the personalities of the people who have
developed the business or simply evolved over time.
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Culture and Perceptions
• It can be difficult to get a grasp of the nature of a culture
at first, but using an experienced change management
professional who has either experienced cultural
assessments or works within the culture already can give
insight into this.
• It is important to understand the culture’s tendencies,
and these are a sample of the typical questions that can
be answered in gaining an understanding of a
company’s culture.
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Culture and Perceptions
• Do they like change?
• Do they strongly resist change?
• Do they question decisions a lot or are they an organization that accepts without challenge?
• Do they enjoy training?
• Do they prefer class based training, CBT, paper?
• What is their perception of management?
• What is their perception of reward and recognition?
• Do they know what Six Sigma is?
• How do they communicate?
• How do they like to communicate?
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Culture and Perceptions
• You will see some reference to perceptions, and this is
the most used word when discussing business culture:
how the business is perceived by the people within it.
• When you have an understanding of the culture, you can
begin to think how best to approach the roll out of the
change to match their perceived needs and cause the
least amount of disruption as possible within the
business.
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Gaining Buy-in
• One of the key requirements for introducing any Six
Sigma change is gaining the buy-in of the business and
the people impacted.
• This can be no easy feat, but considering what we have
discussed above about change management and
cultural awareness, then it is possible.
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Gaining Buy-in
• When you are ready to introduce the change, have a few
change agents within the mix of staff.
• These are people who embrace change as a general
rule, will be ready to talk to their colleagues about the
change, and be encouraging of the need to make the
change.
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Gaining Buy-in
• Make sure you have good and suitable communications.
• Ensure that the way of the organization is followed when
communicating the change – don’t try and change the
way they communicate – one change is more than
enough at a time for most to deal with.
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Gaining Buy-in
• If there is to be any downsizing or reorganization, ensure
that the full details of this are transparent and clearly
understand.
• Allow people to go through the change curve from denial
to acceptance. Make sure that the process for
determining relocations or redundancy is clearly
explained, and management endorses the process
publicly.
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Gaining Buy-in
• Ensure training and education is readily available to train
those relocating or having to change their existing ways.
• They need to see the willingness to invest in them as a
sure way that you are serious about the change.
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Gaining Buy-in
• Finally, have an escape route available for those who
don’t want to make the change – that is somewhere for
those people who just don’t want to transition and cannot
find the enthusiasm for it.
• Whether it be deployment elsewhere or options to leave
the business, they need to see that option as well.
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Operational Excellence
• Combining multiple methodologies is nothing new, and
there have been several attempts to combine business
improvement teams. Probably the most successful has
been the move to Operational Excellence.
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Operational Excellence
• Operational Excellence is a philosophy of leadership,
teamwork, and problem solving resulting in continuous
improvement throughout the organization.
• This is accomplished by focusing on the needs of the
customer, empowering employees, and optimizing
existing activities in the process.
• It stresses the need to continually improve by promoting
a stronger team using greater ownership of activities and
making the environment better for both employees and
customers.
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Operational Excellence
• Operational Excellence is based on the fact that you
cannot improve if you do not measure.
• Metrics and KPI definition for any process is of pivotal
importance, and this means that it has great sway within
Six Sigma process improvement as it uses metrics to
validate all changes.
• It also encourages continuous improvement by
continuously improving on existing metrics and
performance measures. OE'S main objective is to reduce
operation cost and wastes without affecting quality, time,
delivery, and cost of products and services being offered.
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Business Process Reengineering (BPR)
• Business Process Reengineering (BPR) is the analysis
and design of workflows and processes within an
organization.
• It defines a business process as a set of logically-related
tasks performed to achieve a defined business outcome.
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Business Process Reengineering (BPR)
• Re-engineering is the basis for many recent
developments in management, including ideas around
multi-skilled and cross-functional teams.
• Business Process Reengineering may also be referred
to as Business Process Redesign, Business
Transformation, or Business Process Change
Management.
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Business Process Reengineering (BPR)
• As we’ve looked at Six Sigma, we have been highlighting
the need to examine processes and to change them to
meet the needs of the project goal.
• BPR was originally developed within the IT industry, and
as such, it uses a lot of terms and descriptors that are
akin to software development. However, its methods of
looking at shortest point routes and repetition reduction
are found within Six Sigma, and an understanding of
BPR philosophy and its existence can be a benefit to any
Black Belt.
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The Black Belt Role
• There are a couple of key differences in the role of the
Black Belt as opposed to that of the Green. The main
elements are greater statistical knowledge and
capability, as well as managerial ability, either in a
general sense or as a project manager.
• There will also be greater experience and general
knowledge of the Six Sigma methodology through longer
practice and continued use.
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The Black Belt Role
• It is often the case that the Six Sigma Black Belt will be
someone within a junior executive position, maybe a
Director level within the business, or, if not, sitting in a
broadly equivalent standing.
• A lot of companies will have only a few Black Belts and
may look to get one trained up to be a Master Black Belt.
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The Black Belt Role
• Within the realm of training, this set of units gives you an
overview or general idea of the requirements and
responsibilities to become a Black Belt.
• Strictly speaking, to truly obtain and understand your
Black Belt certification title, you will need to complete
one or two projects before your certification will be
completely recognized. This is true of all training, online
or physical.
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Black Belt Discussion
• The role of the Black Belt is to manage DMAIC projects
and processes at an organizational high level.
• The Black Belt should be skilled in project management,
leadership, analytical thinking, adult learning, and
organizational change management.
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Black Belt Discussion
• This is a general balance of how you should spend your
time.
• 25 percent should be running projects as the project
lead.
• 20 percent should be used helping Green Belts who are
project leads.
• 20 percent should be used for teaching Six Sigma.
• 25 percent should be used doing analytical work.
• 10 percent should be used defining and developing
additional projects.
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Review of Applicable Activities and Tools
Using the DMAIC methodology
DMAIC Phase Activities involved Tools you can use DEFINE
Define the problem, agree on the goals,
and listen to the voice of the customer.
Identify Process Owner, Champion, Team
Define Customers and Requirements CTQ
Align Goals with Business Initiatives
Determine Projected ROI
Develop Project name and Purpose
Complete Project Charter
Develop a High-Level Process Map
Project Charter Template
Brainstorming
Graphs
Stakeholder Analysis
Historical Data
Voice of the Customer
MEASURE
What is your baseline?
Develop Detailed Process Maps
Measure your Measurement System
Collect Data
Take Measurements
Data Collection Plan
Benchmarking
CTQs, Histogram, Pareto Chart, Scatter
Diagram, Control Charts, Sigma Level, ROI,
FMEA, Validate, Gage R&R
ANALYZE
Analyze the data for variation and root
causes.
Analyze Data
Define Performance Objectives
Identify Value and Non Value Processes
Determine the Root Cause
Value-Stream, Historical Data
5 Whys, Fishbone, Hypothesis testing, DOE,
Histogram, Pareto Chart, Scatter Diagram,
Control Charts, Statistical Analysis
IMPROVE
Choose the solution/s, pilot the solution,
mistake proof, roll out the improvement
and evaluate the results.
List Potential Solutions
Rank Solutions
Select Solution and Try
Check Results
Roll Out
Evaluate Improvement
Analysis, Brainstorming
Decision Matrix
Capability Study
Pilot
Implementation Plan
CONTROL
Verify the Voice of the Customer is being
met, check your ROI, implement your
control plan and close out the project.
Update Standard Operating Procedures and
Policies
Build a Transition Plan
Close Out the Project
Verify Improvement Processes
Document Procedures
Sigma, ROI, Balance Scorecard, Control Chart
Control Plan Document
Control Plan Form
Transition Plan
Project Management Methods for Closing
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Unit Summary
In this unit, you have learned:
• What change management is within the context of Six
Sigma projects
• How to assess the organizational culture
• How to gain buy in from those experiencing the change
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