unit 2, part 4: ipcc climate models
TRANSCRIPT
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IPCC 2013 report available at:http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/full-report/
CLIMATE MODELS ARE BASED ON THE MAIN DRIVERS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
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IPCC 2013 report available at:http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/full-report/
OBSERVATIONAL DATA IS DEPENDENT ON A NUMBER OF DIFFERENT SENSORS
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THE DEVELOPMENT OF CLIMATE MODELS OVER THE LAST 35 YEARS
IPCC 2013 report available at:http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/full-report/
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GRID-SCALE RESOLUTION IS AN IMPORTANT COMPONENT TO IMPROVED CLIMATE MODELS
IPCC 2013 report available at:http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/full-report/
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THE RELATIVE IMPORTANCE OF NATURAL VARIABILITY, EMISSIONS UNCERTAINTY AND CLIMATE RESPONSE UNCERTAINTY
IPCC 2013 report available at:http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/full-report/
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ESTIMATED CHANGES IN GLOBAL ANNUAL MEAN SEA LEVEL BASED ON A RANGE OF IPCC REPORTS
IPCC 2013 report available at:http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/full-report/
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RCP8.5: This RCP is characterized by increasing greenhouse gas emissions over time, representative of scenarios in the literature that lead to high greenhouse gas concentration levels.
RCP6: This RCP represents a stabilization scenario where total radiative forcing is stabilized shortly after 2100, through the application of a range of technologies and strategies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
RCP4.5: This RCP is another stabilization scenario where total radiative forcing is stabilized shortly after 2100, without overshooting the long-run radiative forcing target level (emissions restrictions are tighter than for RCP6).
RCP2.6: This emission pathway is modeled using very low greenhouse gas concentration levels. In order to reach low radiative forcings (2.6 W/m2 by 2100), greenhouse gas emissions are reduced substantially over time.
http://www.skepticalscience.com/rcp.php?t=3#PrimaryCharacteristics
CLIMATE MODELS INCORPORATE SEVERAL SCENARIOS THAT ARE BASED ON A RANGE OF EMISSION SCENARIOS
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CLIMATE MODELS INCORPORATE SEVERAL SCENARIOS THAT ARE BASED ON A RANGE OF EMISSION SCENARIOS
http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/full-report/
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Trends in concentrations of greenhouse gases. Grey area indicates the 98th and 90th percentiles (light/dark grey) of the literature.
CLIMATE MODELS INCORPORATE SEVERAL SCENARIOS THAT ARE BASED ON A RANGE OF EMISSION SCENARIOS
IPCC 2013 report available at:http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/full-report/
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Population and GDP projections of the four scenarios underlying the RCPs
CLIMATE MODELS INCORPORATE SEVERAL SCENARIOS THAT ARE BASED ON A RANGE OF EMISSION SCENARIOS
IPCC 2013 report available at:http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/full-report/
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IPCC 2013 report available at:http://www.climatechange2013.org/report/full-report/
CLIMATE MODELS INCORPORATE SEVERAL SCENARIOS THAT ARE BASED ON A RANGE OF EMISSION SCENARIOS