united states agriculture grain - thefarmsite.com · 2013. 2. 8. · • iran is up 300,000 tons to...

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

Brazil Usurps United States as Largest Corn Exporter

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

Circular Series FG 02-13 February 2013

Brazil is poised to knock the United States out of its historical position as the world’s largest corn exporter due to a confluence of developments: successive bumper harvests, reduced domestic use, available export capacity, and high U.S. corn prices fueled by the historic 2012 drought. Brazilian farmers responded to elevated corn prices by expanding planted area in 2011/12, which resulted in a record crop last season. The current crop is also expected to be a bumper harvest. Meanwhile, there is reportedly less corn demand from the domestic poultry sector, further augmenting exportable supplies. Exports have also benefited insofar as soybeans were exported early last year, freeing up the transportation infrastructure for corn. Over the past 4 months, Brazil has exported nearly 14 million tons, more than double U.S. shipments over the same period. The United States has slowly lost its global export market share, from a high of 84 percent in 1979/80 to a projected 25 percent for 2012/13– the smallest share in the USDA database (1960/61). Despite sluggish export sales and shipments, U.S. prices are still uncompetitive. Huge plantings expected in 2013/14 combined with normal weather should enable the United States to be more competitive next year.

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2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Brazil United States

Brazil Surges as Top Corn Exporter

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Nov-11

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Jan-12

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Mar-12

Apr-12

May-12

Jun-12

Jul-12

Aug-12

Sep-12

Oct-12

Nov-12

Dec-12

Jan-13

MMT Corn Export Shipments by Month

Brazil

United States

* January 2013 U.S. shipments based on Grain Inspections data

Grain: World Markets and Trade, February 2013

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 9 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 14 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 34 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 53 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 12:30 p.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

February 2013

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/�

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2012/132011/122010/112012/132011/122010/112012/132011/122010/11

Production

United States (Jun-May) 60.1 54.4 61.8 7.6 5.9 6.4 316.2 313.9 273.8

Other 592.0 642.2 591.9 441.5 459.2 459.5 516.2 568.5 580.5

World Total 652.0 696.6 653.6 449.1 465.0 465.8 832.3 882.5 854.4

Domestic Consumption


Other 623.3 657.1 642.9 439.2 451.6 462.3 566.2 582.3 610.4

World Total 654.0 689.2 680.3 443.6 455.1 466.3 851.2 861.4 873.0

Ending Stocks


Other 174.5 176.3 157.9 97.2 104.2 101.0 99.3 105.9 102.0

World Total 197.9 196.5 177.4 98.7 105.5 101.9 127.9 131.0 118.0

TY Imports


Other 128.0 147.6 133.8 33.2 35.7 33.6 90.3 99.2 92.9

World Total 130.6 150.6 137.3 33.8 36.4 34.3 91.0 100.0 95.4

TY Exports


Other 97.7 125.2 111.2 33.0 35.7 33.7 46.6 65.0 73.5

World Total 133.7 153.3 140.2 36.2 39.0 37.1 91.9 103.5 97.5

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

February 2013

Grain: World Markets and Trade, February 2013 4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global wheat production for 2012/13 is cut slightly as a result of smaller crops in Brazil and Kazakhstan. Global trade is down slightly. Indian exports are raised again this month to a new record as shipments and sales remain strong. U.S. exports are cut this month on expectations of slower shipments at the end of the trade year. The season-average U.S. farm price is unchanged. PRICES:

Domestic: Wheat prices for all classes were up in January. Poor weather conditions persist in Hard Red Winter (HRW) growing areas. HRW and Soft Red Winter (SRW) prices rose $4 to $344/ton and $3 to $312/ton, respectively. Hard Red Spring (HRS) climbed $18 to $364/ton. Soft White Winter (SWW) jumped $16 to $334/ton, as supplies tighten.

200

250

300

350

400

450

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW HRS SWW

February 2013

Grain: World Markets and Trade, February 2013 5

TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters • Brazil is lowered 300,000 tons to 1.2 million resulting from a smaller crop.

• EU is up 500,000 tons to 18.5 million as strong licenses and sales continue.

• India is boosted 500,000 tons to a record 8.5 million based on shipment pace and reported

sales from government stocks.

• Kazakhstan is down 500,000 tons to 6.5 million with a smaller crop.

• United States is cut 500,000 tons to 29.0 million on expectations of slower shipments at the end of the trade year.

Selected Importers • Iran is up 300,000 tons to 3.0 million due to larger-than-expected deliveries.

• Morocco is down 500,000 tons to 4.0 million on larger-than-expected domestic supplies.

• Saudi Arabia is lowered 300,000 tons to 2.0 million due to reduced exportable supplies

from the Black Sea region.

• South Korea is boosted 600,000 tons to 5.0 million as feed-quality wheat deliveries from India are accelerating.

February 2013

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

TY Exports

7,5007,50011,9497,7425,2558,651 Argentina

19,00019,00023,04118,47713,76413,450 Australia

18,50018,50017,60316,76818,99218,674 Canada

18,50018,00016,56922,90622,11525,351 EU-27

8,5008,0001,699746221 India

6,5007,00011,0695,5197,8715,701 Kazakhstan

1,6001,6008291,269648784 Paraguay

10,50010,50021,6273,98318,55618,393 Russia

3,3003,3003,6802,9454,3632,342 Turkey

6,2006,2005,4364,3029,33713,037 Ukraine

11,09011,39011,74613,69110,42810,042 Others

111,190110,990125,24897,676111,391116,446 Subtotal

29,00029,50028,07135,97724,17227,101 United States

140,190140,490153,319133,653135,563143,547 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0002,0002,2002,0002,5003,800 Afghanistan

5,2005,2006,3506,4365,1676,356 Algeria

3,0003,0002,0163,9513,3532,882 Bangladesh

7,5007,5007,0526,7466,6946,767 Brazil

3,0003,0002,9339271,394481 China

9,5009,50011,65010,60010,5009,900 Egypt

6,0006,0007,3704,7275,5197,737 EU-27

6,6006,6006,4576,6075,3645,419 Indonesia

3,0002,7002,7002003,6509,500 Iran

3,7003,7003,7853,6323,8993,879 Iraq

1,6001,8002,0291,3921,8622,063 Israel

5,9005,9006,3545,8695,5025,156 Japan

5,0004,4005,1884,7614,4703,371 Korea, South

4,2004,2005,0203,4623,1963,342 Mexico

4,0004,5003,6253,9032,3043,759 Morocco

3,7003,7003,8724,0514,0203,550 Nigeria

1,6001,6001,5851,7571,7031,385 Peru

3,2003,2004,0203,2713,1883,201 Philippines

1,5001,50055089164203 Russia

2,0002,3002,9031,7421,9091,275 Saudi Arabia

1,8001,8002,5781,9191,6001,128 Thailand

3,5003,5004,4143,5173,2183,578 Turkey

1,7001,7001,6861,4691,5971,501 Venezuela

2,4002,6002,7112,4601,9271,016 Vietnam

2,6002,6002,6372,8452,6022,796 Yemen

39,61539,61545,88139,69342,19343,217 Others

133,815134,115147,566128,026129,495137,262 Subtotal

2,8752,8752,7533,0562,8822,886 Unaccounted

3,5003,5003,0002,5713,1863,399 United States

140,190140,490153,319133,653135,563143,547 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

February 2013

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

Production

11,00011,00015,50017,20012,00011,000 Argentina

22,00022,00029,92327,41021,83421,420 Australia

4,3004,8005,8005,9005,0265,880 Brazil

27,20027,20025,28823,30026,95028,619 Canada

120,600120,600117,400115,180115,120112,464 China

8,5008,5008,4007,2008,5237,977 Egypt

131,726131,726137,227136,017138,816151,122 EU-27

93,90093,90086,87080,80080,68078,570 India

14,00014,00013,50015,03013,4857,957 Iran

9,84110,50022,7329,63817,05112,538 Kazakhstan

23,30023,30025,00023,90024,00020,959 Pakistan

37,70037,70056,24041,50861,77063,765 Russia

15,50015,50018,80017,00018,45016,800 Turkey

15,76115,50022,32416,84420,86625,885 Ukraine

6,7006,7006,3006,5006,2006,000 Uzbekistan

49,83149,62950,92048,53255,60844,447 Others

591,859592,555642,224591,959626,379615,403 Subtotal

61,75561,75554,41360,06260,36668,016 United States

653,614654,310696,637652,021686,745683,419 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,0509,0508,9508,7508,5508,300 Algeria

11,10011,10011,20010,80011,00010,700 Brazil

8,8508,8509,7217,8227,0297,985 Canada

123,000123,000122,500110,500107,000105,500 China

18,90018,90018,60017,70018,10017,200 Egypt

121,500122,000127,500122,250125,000127,000 EU-27

85,41085,41081,40681,76078,15070,924 India

15,70015,70015,50016,20016,80015,800 Iran

6,8007,0007,4006,2007,6007,500 Kazakhstan

8,4008,4008,9508,2508,1007,450 Morocco

23,20023,20023,10023,00023,00022,800 Pakistan

34,00034,00038,00038,60039,60038,900 Russia

17,50017,50018,10017,30017,10016,900 Turkey

12,00011,80014,95011,60012,30011,900 Ukraine

7,7007,7008,0007,7007,5007,100 Uzbekistan

139,792139,792143,174134,846132,860126,691 Others

635,315636,015665,878624,397622,880609,207 Subtotal

37,42937,42932,15530,71030,97834,293 United States

672,744673,444698,033655,107653,858643,500 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,2576,2576,9778,1285,0673,109 Australia

6,1296,1295,8797,1767,8296,547 Canada

55,54655,54655,94659,09154,42545,803 China

5,6185,6186,7185,5085,6054,857 Egypt

9,9999,99912,27311,74516,15718,937 EU-27

21,95021,95019,95015,36016,12013,430 India

5,5995,59910,89913,73614,72210,944 Russia

46,81246,04557,68653,72554,54446,640 Others

157,910157,143176,328174,469174,469150,267 Subtotal

19,49919,49920,21123,46626,55217,867 United States

177,409176,642196,539197,935201,021168,134 World Total

February 2013

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2012/13

Feb

2012/13

TY Imports none

7,128 North America 6,785 6,462 8,516 8,100 8,100

1,474 Central America 1,445 1,687 1,661 1,545 1,545

13,097 South America 13,173 13,003 13,727 13,940 13,940

7,737 European Union 5,519 4,727 7,370 6,000 6,000

1,712 Other Europe 1,696 1,654 1,940 1,760 1,760

6,569 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,415 5,658 8,021 7,060 7,060

28,218 Middle East 22,557 17,286 23,320 20,755 20,555

23,472 North Africa 21,592 24,180 24,659 22,100 21,600

14,174 Sub-Saharan Africa 16,388 15,259 18,158 15,295 15,295

11,322 East Asia 13,744 13,904 16,865 15,625 16,225

10,771 South Asia 7,608 7,619 5,402 6,430 6,430

12,324 Southeast Asia 13,902 16,334 17,863 16,160 15,960

2,663 Others 2,857 2,824 3,064 2,845 2,845

140,661 Total 132,681 130,597 150,566 137,615 137,315

Production none

100,635 North America 91,464 87,038 83,329 92,210 92,185

21,118 South America 22,213 27,560 25,835 20,459 19,959

151,122 European Union 138,816 136,017 137,227 131,726 131,726

4,710 Other Europe 4,646 3,865 4,359 4,249 4,249


30,303 Middle East 38,940 40,223 40,266 36,780 36,780

14,352 North Africa 20,261 15,933 18,425 16,875 16,875


113,806 East Asia 116,449 116,350 118,774 121,952 121,939

103,898 South Asia 111,200 110,792 116,790 123,870 123,870

21,697 Oceania 22,111 27,687 30,200 22,277 22,277

171 Others 176 181 186 186 186

683,419 Total 686,745 652,021 696,637 654,310 653,614

Domestic Consumption none

48,278 North America 44,307 44,982 49,726 52,979 52,979

24,774 South America 25,923 25,723 26,161 26,075 26,225

127,000 European Union 125,000 122,250 127,500 122,000 121,500

5,585 Other Europe 5,494 5,356 5,593 5,515 5,515


52,587 Middle East 54,441 54,964 56,544 54,830 54,430

37,375 North Africa 39,750 39,225 41,075 40,950 40,950


117,218 East Asia 120,187 123,966 136,881 136,987 137,387

105,229 South Asia 113,811 116,851 115,592 121,250 121,250

12,104 Southeast Asia 13,188 15,093 17,136 16,410 16,260

8,280 Oceania 6,085 6,755 7,637 7,310 7,310

3,363 Others 3,295 3,361 3,317 3,255 3,255

636,943 Total 650,667 653,988 689,206 680,831 680,331

Ending Stocks none

24,729 North America 34,901 31,029 26,485 25,978 25,953

5,420 South America 7,173 8,041 4,114 3,852 3,873

18,937 European Union 16,157 11,745 12,273 9,999 9,999

2,107 Other Europe 2,120 1,453 1,514 1,238 1,238


11,635 Middle East 14,010 12,702 12,293 12,083 12,583

9,216 North Africa 10,949 11,473 13,013 10,638 10,138


48,636 East Asia 57,260 62,110 59,377 58,231 58,649

17,393 South Asia 21,536 21,238 25,644 26,844 26,844

2,813 Southeast Asia 3,115 3,887 4,137 3,392 3,342

3,316 Oceania 5,248 8,360 7,247 6,499 6,499

314 Others 406 372 397 353 353

168,134 Total 201,021 197,935 196,539 176,642 177,409

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

February 2013


9

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Global rice production for 2012/13 is a record and up marginally from last year, but rising consumption is expected to cause stocks to fall more than 3 percent. Despite that decline, they are projected to be the second highest in a decade. Trade is forecast down from the 2012 record on lower demand, especially from West Africa and Indonesia. FEATURE

Among the top three rice exporters, Vietnam has shown the most price flexibility. When Thailand was the main supplier in 2011, quotes for Vietnam’s 5% stayed slightly below Thai 100B. However, when India’s government lifted its export ban on non-basmati rice later that year, Vietnam’s quotes rapidly declined to match India’s levels. Over the past three months, as demand from traditional buyers of Vietnam slowed, traders have sought to stay competitive by dropping quotes to more than $40 below similar quality rice from India. In January, the Vietnam’s quotes dipped below $400/ton for the first time since 2010.

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

expo

rt q

uote

s in

$/M

T

Vietnam Undercuts Thailand and Now India

THAI 100B

VIET 5%

INDIAN 5%

February 2013


10

SELECTED TRADE CHANGES

• Indonesia’s 2012 imports are up 260,000 tons to 2.0 million on near-final data but slashed 650,000 tons to 800,000 for 2013.

• China’s 2013 imports are raised 200,000 tons to 2.2 million while exports are dropped 200,000 tons to 300,000 as high domestic prices attract imports but make exports challenging.

• Iraq’s imports are boosted 120,000 tons to 1.5 million in 2012 on near-final data and raised 100,000 tons to 1.5 million in 2013 on the expectation of a strong continued pace of shipments.

• Bangladesh’s 2012 imports plunged 210,000 tons to a mere 30,000 on near-final data.

• Egypt’s 2012 imports are cut 200,000 tons to 350,000 on account of much lower than anticipated purchases from India.

• Cuba’s 2012 imports are finalized down 120,000 tons to 330,000.

February 2013

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

TY Exports

625650608732468594 Argentina

5005004503115417 Australia

8008001,1051,296430591 Brazil

6006007007784451,052 Burma

825825800860750820 Cambodia

300500267487619783 China

850850600320570575 Egypt

235235210241282150 EU-27

300300285257298241 Guyana

7,5007,50010,2504,6372,2282,149 India

200200200200200200 Japan

3,8003,8003,5003,4144,0003,187 Pakistan

8,0008,0006,94510,6479,0478,570 Thailand

8508501,056841808926 Uruguay

7,4007,4007,7177,0006,7345,950 Vietnam

8959051,034953768576 Others

33,68033,91535,72732,97427,70126,381 Subtotal

3,4503,4503,3003,2473,8683,017 United States

37,13037,36539,02736,22131,56929,398 World Total

none

TY Imports

700750732591778650 Brazil

400400375310300300 Cameroon

2,2002,0002,600575366337 China

1,1501,1501,450935840800 Cote d'Ivoire

525525330558498457 Cuba

1,4001,4001,2001,4751,2161,383 EU-27

600600600620320410 Ghana

400400360389337300 Haiti

425425415381390397 Hong Kong

8001,4501,9603,0981,150250 Indonesia

1,8001,8001,7501,8701,5201,470 Iran

1,4501,3501,4701,0361,1881,089 Iraq

700700650742649750 Japan

640640238532320241 Korea, South

1,0501,0501,0851,0769071,086 Malaysia

725725675705575610 Mexico

375375375360325385 Mozambique

2,7002,7003,4002,5502,0002,000 Nigeria

1,5001,5001,5001,2002,4002,000 Philippines

1,2251,2251,1501,0591,0691,072 Saudi Arabia

1,0001,0001,200805685715 Senegal

1,0001,000950885733745 South Africa

400400600200300300 Thailand

440440430420400380 United Arab Emirates

425425400337330329 Yemen

9,5759,6809,81910,5119,1607,892 Others

33,60534,11035,71433,22028,75626,348 Subtotal

2,8252,5552,6632,3802,2512,368 Unaccounted

700700650621562682 United States

37,13037,36539,02736,22131,56929,398 World Total


Note about dates: 2012/13 is calendar year 2013, 2011/12 is calendar year 2012, and so on.

February 2013

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

Milled Production

34,00033,80033,70031,70031,00031,200 Bangladesh

8,1608,1607,8889,3007,9298,570 Brazil

10,75010,75010,81610,52811,64211,200 Burma

4,2254,2254,2684,2334,0563,992 Cambodia

143,000143,000140,700137,000136,570134,330 China

4,7004,7004,2503,1004,5644,673 Egypt

99,00099,000104,32095,98089,09099,180 India

36,90036,90036,50035,50036,37038,310 Indonesia

7,7567,7557,6467,7207,7118,029 Japan

4,0064,0064,2244,2954,9164,843 Korea, South

3,0002,9002,9702,6803,0132,850 Nepal

6,8006,8006,5005,0006,8006,900 Pakistan

10,99010,99010,70010,5399,77210,755 Philippines

20,50020,50020,46020,26220,26019,850 Thailand

27,71027,71027,07526,37124,99324,393 Vietnam

37,95538,00137,14437,29035,30333,080 Others

459,452459,197459,161441,498433,989442,155 Subtotal

6,3566,3565,8667,5937,1336,546 United States

465,808465,553465,027449,091441,122448,701 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

34,50034,50034,30032,40031,60031,200 Bangladesh

8,0008,0508,0508,2008,4778,400 Brazil

10,38010,38010,19010,10010,89010,800 Burma

3,5003,5003,4503,3703,2703,220 Cambodia

144,000144,000139,600135,000134,320133,000 China

3,9003,9003,6203,3003,9404,270 Egypt

3,3753,3753,3253,2503,1503,075 EU-27

94,60094,60092,34490,20685,50891,090 India

40,00040,00039,55039,00038,00037,100 Indonesia

8,2508,2508,0508,2008,2008,326 Japan

4,8004,8004,9775,1754,7014,789 Korea, South

5,9505,9505,2005,0304,5804,220 Nigeria

12,97012,97012,85012,90013,12513,100 Philippines

10,60010,60010,40010,30010,2009,500 Thailand

20,10020,10019,65019,40019,15019,000 Vietnam

57,37057,35456,03853,41452,27950,373 Others

465,341464,606454,784441,281434,321433,097 Subtotal

3,9743,9743,4704,3174,0164,082 United States

469,315468,580458,254445,598438,337437,179 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

46,12345,92445,02342,57440,53438,546 China

21,50021,50025,10023,50020,50019,000 India

2,7853,1755,0856,1756,5777,057 Indonesia

2,7492,7252,7432,7122,6932,715 Japan

1,4001,4001,0005001,1001,200 Pakistan

11,63011,6759,3305,6156,1004,787 Thailand

2,1592,1761,7491,9411,4701,961 Vietnam

12,62912,94314,12314,15215,03216,162 Others

100,975101,518104,15397,16994,00691,428 Subtotal

9749581,3031,5141,184977 United States

101,949102,476105,45698,68395,19092,405 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

February 2013

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2012/13

Feb

2012/13

TY Imports none

1,614 North America 1,495 1,654 1,665 1,765 1,765

902 Caribbean 969 1,099 835 1,100 1,100

1,116 South America 1,354 1,371 1,689 1,630 1,545

126 Other Europe 126 139 143 137 137

412 Former Soviet Union - 12 401 335 368 418 418

5,349 Middle East 5,808 5,974 6,370 6,415 6,515

155 North Africa 345 364 700 520 420


1,873 East Asia 1,960 2,444 4,123 3,970 4,170

524 South Asia 1,016 1,864 625 800 800

4,542 Southeast Asia 5,537 6,504 5,653 5,030 4,380

2,217 Others 2,099 2,293 2,023 2,165 2,195

27,030 Total 29,318 33,841 36,364 34,810 34,305

Production none

6,707 North America 7,315 7,739 5,977 6,484 6,484

833 Caribbean 954 938 1,024 885 885

16,459 South America 15,664 17,197 15,203 16,038 16,080

1,773 European Union 2,176 2,172 2,090 2,042 2,042

902 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,143 1,321 1,294 1,284 1,285

2,075 Middle East 2,049 2,123 2,169 2,150 2,150

4,693 North Africa 4,598 3,139 4,289 4,729 4,729


150,087 East Asia 151,828 151,801 155,345 157,662 157,663

142,623 South Asia 132,878 138,116 151,139 145,710 146,010

111,389 Southeast Asia 110,063 110,476 112,905 114,306 114,251

663 Others 799 1,240 1,397 1,517 1,483

448,701 Total 441,122 449,091 465,027 465,553 465,808


5,177 North America 5,160 5,417 4,646 5,154 5,159

1,095 Central America 1,114 1,114 1,156 1,156 1,145

1,774 Caribbean 1,880 2,035 1,992 2,008 1,908

14,777 South America 14,910 14,554 14,271 14,390 14,384

3,075 European Union 3,150 3,250 3,325 3,375 3,375


7,627 Middle East 7,756 8,109 8,350 8,465 8,515

4,402 North Africa 4,307 3,657 4,009 4,299 4,299


149,585 East Asia 150,349 151,733 155,997 160,596 160,596

131,561 South Asia 126,275 130,592 135,816 138,330 138,430

96,910 Southeast Asia 98,916 99,572 100,631 102,315 102,265

566 Others 619 645 684 737 737

435,545 Total 435,406 443,562 455,064 466,303 466,269

Ending Stocks none

1,143 North America 1,322 1,734 1,453 1,108 1,140

205 Central America 240 244 282 300 300

114 Caribbean 126 131 198 150 150

2,238 South America 1,875 2,012 1,219 1,754 1,727

1,023 European Union 1,122 1,176 1,024 856 856

1,997 Middle East 1,659 1,807 1,732 1,742 1,782

564 North Africa 498 122 487 802 487


42,493 East Asia 45,098 46,690 48,829 49,478 49,721

21,523 South Asia 22,561 25,542 28,136 24,506 24,506

19,934 Southeast Asia 19,441 17,663 19,426 19,458 18,967

26 Oceania 46 27 60 85 85

128 Others 156 198 127 169 160

92,405 Total 95,190 98,683 105,456 102,476 101,949



February 2013


14

250

275

300

325

350

375

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

Argentina Up River Brazil Paranagua U.S. Gulf

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global corn production is raised this month. Global corn trade is up as higher demand from the EU and China largely offsets reduced demand elsewhere. Trade changes result in Brazil ousting the United States from its position as the top corn exporter for the first time in USDA’s database. The season-average farm price is reduced but remains a record. PRICES

Export quotes have risen slightly since the release of USDA’s January WASDE report but have retreated in recent days. Slow sales and shipments of U.S. corn continue to pressure prices. The premium to Argentine prices has widened as that country’s new-crop harvest nears. TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters

• U.S. corn is cut by 2.0 million tons to 24.0 million, the lowest in over 40 years, on slow

sales and shipments and strong competition.

• Brazilian corn is up 2.0 million tons to a record 24.5 million, nearly double last year’s exports, on larger-than-expected old-crop shipments and on a higher production forecast for 2012/13.

TMT TMT TMT TMT

February 2013


15

• Ukrainian corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 13.0 million as a result of larger production

and strong early-season shipments.

• Canadian barley is up 200,000 tons to 1.5 million on larger feed barley exports.

• EU barley is raised by 200,000 tons to 3.7 million based on the pace of licenses.

• U.S. sorghum is raised 300,000 tons to 1.7 million on the pace of sales and shipments to Mexico. (Mexican imports are raised by the same amount to 1.8 million tons).

• Argentine sorghum is boosted 200,000 tons to 3.2 million on strong old-crop shipments.

Selected Importers

• Chinese corn is up 500,000 tons to 2.5 million based on the pace of shipments, largely from the United States.

• Egyptian corn is cut 1.0 million tons to 4.5 million because of a sluggish pace and reports of difficulties in the livestock sector.

• EU corn is up 2.0 million tons to 10.0 million based on the strong pace of licenses and larger imports from Ukraine and Brazil.

• Mexican corn is lowered 500,000 tons to 8.5 million on prospects for a larger crop and sluggish sales and shipments from the United States.

• Syrian corn is halved to 700,000 tons because of very slow imports.

• Moroccan barley is trimmed by 200,000 tons to 500,000 on improved pasture

conditions.

• Saudi barley is raised 500,000 tons to 7.5 million on strong early-season imports.

• Turkish barley is boosted 200,000 tons to 250,000 because of recent purchases.

February 2013

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

TY Exports

26,70526,50522,30018,62819,03010,249 Argentina

5,0505,0507,2784,8994,4144,873 Australia

24,50522,50512,67911,5928,6277,187 Brazil

4,8754,6753,8544,4283,0703,852 Canada

4,9054,7057,0975,8944,2624,338 EU-27

3,0503,0504,8313,4372,0722,642 India

2,4052,4052,2061,2011,3631,849 Paraguay

4,6854,5805,9961,0292,5264,945 Russia

2,5202,5201,8532,8571,6342,159 South Africa

15,51015,01017,3337,45610,93611,380 Ukraine

4,4054,4807,3255,4697,1115,649 Others

98,61595,48592,75266,89065,04559,123 Subtotal

25,94527,64540,19249,29253,98951,558 United States

124,560123,130132,944116,182119,034110,681 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,9002,9003,6002,9452,5762,067 Algeria

1,1051,1051,2166331,0491,497 Brazil

1,2251,2251,5171,2711,2751,317 Chile

5,0004,5007,9242,6973,7771,651 China

4,3554,3554,0794,1484,1023,483 Colombia

850850746838736708 Cuba

1,1001,1001,0311,0011,071973 Dominican Republic

4,5755,5757,2395,8395,8975,093 Egypt

10,5558,5556,9768,6873,0122,988 EU-27

1,5001,5001,7243,0411,321317 Indonesia

4,5004,5005,7004,0005,1005,000 Iran

1,4351,4351,6071,4461,5921,295 Israel

18,06017,91017,73018,59019,19019,609 Japan

1,1501,1001,158917713785 Jordan

8,0658,0657,7258,1688,5097,248 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,2002,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

10,52510,72512,77510,76210,91310,465 Mexico

2,3252,5252,5052,0592,1941,833 Morocco

2,0502,0501,9032,0791,8861,520 Peru

9,4059,10510,3218,1389,0769,186 Saudi Arabia

8001,5001,2821,9592,2742,834 Syria

4,4604,4504,5594,2784,6634,658 Taiwan

1,2001,0501,0189581,202875 Tunisia

2,0002,0002,5741,2512,1981,340 Venezuela

1,1001,1001,5001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

13,61513,41513,78013,23414,18315,033 Others

116,955115,695125,389112,748113,216105,472 Subtotal

2,8502,6804,4159843,5432,402 Unaccounted

4,7554,7553,1402,4502,2752,807 United States

124,560123,130132,944116,182119,034110,681 World Total


February 2013

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

Production

38,15239,15230,10533,25830,23119,634 Argentina

10,75210,95212,32511,47210,92012,280 Australia

75,99374,49375,88360,38058,41253,486 Brazil

24,29624,26022,92122,66822,78027,267 Canada

215,010215,010199,660183,398169,775172,391 China

11,33011,33011,43510,4698,0469,034 Ethiopia

140,219140,219147,442140,497155,038162,102 EU-27

38,21037,61042,06043,37033,89039,550 India

8,9008,9008,8506,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

28,97827,77825,75329,22627,27332,222 Mexico

24,01024,01023,80023,25023,25026,670 Nigeria

28,44028,35033,07716,41631,84340,881 Russia

13,97313,97312,91411,32113,88113,084 South Africa

10,57510,57511,27510,18511,17610,408 Turkey

29,31928,56033,30021,44224,14326,275 Ukraine

140,007140,051138,773144,991139,028132,127 Others

838,164835,223829,573769,143766,586786,111 Subtotal

286,005286,005323,728330,236348,755325,867 United States

1,124,1691,121,2281,153,3011,099,3791,115,3411,111,978 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

12,00212,40210,21011,03310,0548,768 Argentina

56,71358,68853,74852,73349,71448,191 Brazil

20,59120,38020,31621,22822,64522,864 Canada

219,005218,505197,105188,175173,151161,062 China

12,35013,35012,85013,59513,07212,162 Egypt

11,18211,18211,2609,9258,5439,033 Ethiopia

150,760148,960149,360152,400150,080151,855 EU-27

35,68035,48037,65038,85032,00036,500 India

18,26018,11017,99018,87519,64519,965 Japan

39,19038,69038,04539,78540,81542,035 Mexico

24,00024,00023,75023,20023,05026,550 Nigeria

25,13625,15027,62818,13130,44033,011 Russia

11,59811,59811,31811,21810,83310,468 South Africa

11,67511,37511,82511,07510,86510,700 Turkey

14,40614,11015,47913,74212,96413,696 Ukraine

210,457210,817206,773208,325201,682196,473 Others

867,405867,817864,689833,015817,361805,839 Subtotal

274,841274,460290,036297,948295,337275,978 United States

1,142,2461,142,2771,154,7251,130,9631,112,6981,081,817 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

11,2739,7759,89310,63510,28712,450 Brazil

2,8083,1833,4333,6235,6356,437 Canada

61,22761,22760,48250,13452,40252,206 China

10,04110,04114,93216,30325,85020,844 EU-27

3,3193,3193,6393,5594,0633,124 Iran

2,9662,8503,4161,6502,4542,548 Saudi Arabia

3,1953,1953,2603,5765,3674,327 South Africa

32,52432,45937,49944,03043,19145,743 Others

127,353126,049136,554133,510149,249147,679 Subtotal

18,94418,16027,82032,28848,13347,060 United States

146,297144,209164,374165,798197,382194,739 World Total

February 2013

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2012/13

Feb

2012/13

TY Imports none

15,172 North America 15,199 14,267 16,683 16,025 15,825

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,900 2,765 3,050 3,050

2,011 Caribbean 2,139 2,195 2,157 2,325 2,325

9,745 South America 11,108 10,479 11,926 11,530 11,530

2,988 European Union 3,012 8,687 6,976 8,555 10,555

664 Former Soviet Union - 12 456 1,184 984 1,195 1,195

21,247 Middle East 21,290 18,725 22,928 20,095 19,945

10,592 North Africa 13,107 12,344 15,062 12,800 11,750


33,347 East Asia 36,268 33,889 38,118 35,055 35,715

5,405 Southeast Asia 6,725 7,558 7,098 6,265 6,265

750 Others 922 944 973 955 955

108,279 Total 115,491 115,198 128,529 120,450 121,710

Production none

385,356 North America 398,808 382,130 372,402 338,043 339,279

85,272 South America 102,056 106,381 118,066 127,666 128,166

162,102 European Union 155,038 140,497 147,442 140,219 140,219

12,273 Other Europe 11,787 12,139 11,463 8,392 8,392


16,046 Middle East 18,950 18,750 19,041 18,461 18,461

10,218 North Africa 14,890 12,358 11,221 10,681 10,681


174,467 East Asia 171,831 185,366 201,798 217,269 217,275

45,688 South Asia 40,281 49,729 48,343 44,068 44,668

27,734 Southeast Asia 25,451 26,875 29,348 30,655 30,405

12,927 Oceania 11,567 12,119 12,972 11,599 11,399

4,788 Others 4,678 4,736 4,775 4,902 4,902

1,111,978 Total 1,115,341 1,099,379 1,153,301 1,121,228 1,124,169


340,877 North America 358,797 358,961 348,397 333,530 334,622

76,390 South America 79,864 84,840 85,294 92,884 90,559

151,855 European Union 150,080 152,400 149,360 148,960 150,760

10,845 Other Europe 10,752 10,798 10,511 8,929 8,929


38,003 Middle East 38,699 38,302 39,785 39,854 39,779

21,187 North Africa 24,679 25,607 25,240 25,060 23,960


195,705 East Asia 207,953 221,551 229,637 251,326 251,991

42,673 South Asia 38,549 45,329 44,073 41,948 42,148

30,300 Southeast Asia 31,175 33,642 35,295 36,350 36,200

7,897 Oceania 7,702 7,549 6,552 6,627 6,527

9,403 Others 9,488 9,773 9,783 10,123 10,123

1,079,311 Total 1,104,890 1,130,238 1,135,343 1,147,257 1,147,846

Ending Stocks none

58,732 North America 55,774 38,007 33,119 22,976 23,831

16,466 South America 17,373 19,971 13,483 14,403 15,300

20,844 European Union 25,850 16,303 14,932 10,041 10,041

1,538 Other Europe 1,669 1,658 896 748 764


8,540 Middle East 9,295 7,585 9,517 8,171 8,229

2,729 North Africa 5,379 4,900 5,638 4,207 4,309


55,934 East Asia 55,875 53,394 63,567 64,299 64,306

2,086 South Asia 1,670 2,592 2,062 1,117 1,537

4,448 Southeast Asia 3,379 3,506 3,141 2,714 2,476

3,349 Oceania 2,782 1,594 1,182 1,080 1,004

943 Others 811 785 668 787 787

194,739 Total 197,382 165,798 164,374 144,209 146,297



February 2013

World Corn Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

TY Exports

19,50019,50016,50115,19816,9738,466 Argentina

24,50022,50012,67411,5838,6237,178 Brazil

1,5001,5004941,658186366 Canada

1,0001,0003,2141,0781,5191,743 EU-27

3,0003,0004,6743,3761,9172,551 India

2,4002,4002,2011,2011,3591,847 Paraguay

2,3002,3002,027374271,331 Russia

2,5002,5001,8312,8391,5862,111 South Africa

13,00012,50015,1575,0085,0725,497 Ukraine

5005005003001000 Zambia

3,2653,2405,7514,3645,4755,122 Others

73,46570,94065,02446,64243,23736,212 Subtotal

24,00026,00038,43045,24449,72147,758 United States

97,46596,940103,45491,88692,95883,970 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,8002,8003,1002,6832,5691,903 Algeria

8008009372876991,092 Brazil

2,5002,0005,2319791,29647 China

3,5003,5003,1813,5043,6513,068 Colombia

750750691663626586 Costa Rica

850850746838736708 Cuba

1,1001,1001,0311,0011,071973 Dominican Republic

4,5005,5007,1545,8035,8325,031 Egypt

10,0008,0006,2067,4372,9312,754 EU-27

750750691676651673 Guatemala

1,5001,5001,7243,0411,321317 Indonesia

3,5003,5004,0003,5004,3003,600 Iran

1,2001,2001,2211,0291,053846 Israel

15,00015,00014,89215,64815,97116,531 Japan

8,0008,0007,6368,1078,4617,188 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,2002,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

8,5009,00011,1228,2528,2987,764 Mexico

1,7001,7001,9001,7381,8021,566 Morocco

1,9001,9001,7721,9391,7821,429 Peru

1,9002,1001,8161,9331,8721,482 Saudi Arabia

7001,4001,0821,6592,0241,784 Syria

4,3004,3004,4004,1344,5214,532 Taiwan

900900800677866646 Tunisia

2,0002,0002,5741,2512,1981,336 Venezuela

1,1001,1001,5001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

10,05510,00510,6289,72110,70712,421 Others

92,90592,75599,23590,30989,94581,974 Subtotal

2,0601,6853,4548932,7761,659 Unaccounted

2,5002,500765684237337 United States

97,46596,940103,45491,88692,95883,970 World Total


February 2013

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

Production

27,00028,00021,00025,20025,00015,500 Argentina

72,50071,00073,00057,40056,10051,000 Brazil

13,06013,06011,35912,0439,79610,643 Canada

208,000208,000192,780177,245163,974165,914 China

5,8005,8005,5006,5006,2806,645 Egypt

5,4005,4005,4004,8953,9004,398 Ethiopia

54,67054,67066,17156,16556,94762,321 EU-27

20,60020,00021,57021,73016,72019,730 India

8,9008,9008,8506,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

21,50020,70018,72621,05820,37424,226 Mexico

9,4109,4109,2508,8008,9507,970 Nigeria

7,2157,2157,1307,2716,2316,853 Philippines

7,9948,0006,9623,0753,9636,682 Russia

13,50013,50012,41710,92413,42012,567 South Africa

20,92220,50022,83811,91910,48611,447 Ukraine

84,07384,31785,57085,13582,12478,644 Others

580,544578,472568,523516,160491,165493,240 Subtotal

273,832273,832313,949316,165332,549307,142 United States

854,376852,304882,472832,325823,714800,382 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,9008,3006,7007,3006,9006,400 Argentina

53,00055,00050,50049,50047,00045,500 Brazil

12,00012,00011,66611,75311,86111,738 Canada

209,500209,000188,000180,000165,000153,000 China

11,20012,20011,70012,50012,00011,100 Egypt

66,00064,00067,30062,90059,30061,600 EU-27

17,50017,30017,00018,10015,10017,000 India

10,70010,70010,5009,8008,8008,900 Indonesia

15,00015,00014,90015,70016,30016,700 Japan

8,1008,1007,8158,2148,3827,894 Korea, South

29,70029,70029,00029,50030,20032,400 Mexico

9,4509,4509,2508,8008,8007,900 Nigeria

7,4007,4007,4007,2006,5007,300 Philippines

11,10011,10010,80010,65010,3009,900 South Africa

8,0008,0007,8006,5005,7005,850 Ukraine

133,865134,540132,009127,789124,685120,062 Others

604,771606,041600,365565,299543,937525,232 Subtotal

262,571262,063279,023285,014281,590259,272 United States

867,342868,104879,388850,313825,527784,504 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

10,8769,3769,57610,2769,98912,084 Brazil

60,13560,13559,33549,41551,30251,183 China

4,3654,3656,6954,8325,2086,149 EU-27

1,6411,6412,2612,3812,7952,502 Iran

1,4681,4621,4841,5891,6221,466 Korea, South

1,4661,2201,2661,1121,3893,559 Mexico

2,9852,9853,0603,4185,1694,113 South Africa

19,04319,50122,20826,25625,05724,164 Others

101,979100,685105,88599,279102,531105,220 Subtotal

16,06215,30025,12228,64443,38042,504 United States

118,041115,985131,007127,923145,911147,724 World Total

February 2013

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2012/13

Feb

2012/13

TY Imports none

9,945 North America 10,496 9,920 12,634 12,000 11,500

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,889 2,765 3,050 3,050

8,238 South America 9,469 8,336 9,857 9,415 9,415

2,754 European Union 2,931 7,437 6,206 8,000 10,000


9,462 Middle East 11,187 9,942 10,381 10,350 9,500

9,574 North Africa 11,725 11,265 13,454 11,450 10,450


28,479 East Asia 30,378 29,024 32,339 29,430 29,930

5,391 Southeast Asia 6,709 7,541 7,088 6,250 6,250

2,011 Caribbean 2,139 2,195 2,157 2,325 2,325

536 Others 576 583 535 695 695

82,311 Total 90,182 90,993 100,000 95,255 95,405

Production none

342,011 North America 362,719 349,266 344,034 307,592 308,392

76,404 South America 92,518 93,449 104,093 110,905 111,405

62,321 European Union 56,947 56,165 66,171 54,670 54,670

9,951 Other Europe 9,674 10,094 9,494 6,494 6,494


6,748 Middle East 6,305 6,039 5,968 6,783 6,783

6,846 North Africa 6,481 6,701 5,701 6,001 6,001


167,580 East Asia 165,679 178,947 194,593 209,926 209,932

24,780 South Asia 21,790 26,801 26,640 25,070 25,670

3,719 Central America 3,567 3,622 3,661 3,788 3,788

27,485 Southeast Asia 25,212 26,633 29,108 30,415 30,165

1,190 Others 1,157 1,186 1,251 1,274 1,274

800,382 Total 823,714 832,325 882,472 852,304 854,376


303,410 North America 323,651 326,267 319,689 303,763 304,271

67,929 South America 70,639 74,373 74,895 81,295 78,945

61,600 European Union 59,300 62,900 67,300 64,000 66,000

8,376 Other Europe 8,354 8,454 8,205 6,785 6,785


16,005 Middle East 16,885 16,885 16,735 17,710 16,935

16,125 North Africa 17,650 18,525 17,975 18,625 17,625


184,015 East Asia 196,111 209,870 217,045 238,355 238,855

22,050 South Asia 20,270 23,271 22,170 22,370 22,570

30,043 Southeast Asia 30,943 33,393 35,050 36,100 35,950

6,250 Central America 6,300 6,425 6,500 6,650 6,650

3,235 Others 3,225 3,385 3,320 3,515 3,515

782,516 Total 818,418 851,220 861,363 873,853 872,986

Ending Stocks none

47,896 North America 46,507 31,034 27,738 17,930 18,938

15,096 South America 16,284 17,753 12,396 13,061 13,976

6,149 European Union 5,208 4,832 6,695 4,365 4,365

1,198 Other Europe 1,372 1,359 600 479 479


4,073 Middle East 4,409 3,519 3,266 2,597 2,549

2,188 North Africa 2,383 2,148 2,930 1,896 1,946


54,295 East Asia 54,090 52,055 61,876 62,677 62,683

1,498 South Asia 992 1,078 867 533 962

4,443 Southeast Asia 3,376 3,502 3,137 2,710 2,472

723 Central America 534 550 455 618 618

258 Others 311 251 229 203 203

147,724 Total 145,911 127,923 131,007 115,985 118,041



February 2013

World Barley Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

TY Exports

4,0004,0003,6311,531549871 Argentina

3,8003,8005,8194,0883,8463,278 Australia

1,5001,3001,4371,0521,2031,618 Canada

1010491317 China

555474 Croatia

1010105147 Egypt

3,7003,5003,6414,6282,3842,374 EU-27

252525303137 India

200200659224354314 Kazakhstan

555521 Kenya

10105104530 Moldova

2,3002,2003,6689692,0863,598 Russia

551092211 Serbia

5015010318013 Turkey

2,5002,5002,1662,4465,7525,871 Ukraine

00212410 Others

18,12017,72021,19015,01217,13318,044 Subtotal

200200179181152158 United States

18,32017,92021,36915,19317,28518,202 World Total

none

TY Imports

300300274345346403 Brazil

2,4002,4002,5411,6562,3411,551 China

250250301251237211 Colombia

20020033928666156 EU-27

1,0001,0001,7005008001,400 Iran

200200350287491367 Israel

1,3001,3001,2571,3591,4111,346 Japan

700700750544432514 Jordan

250250350317283252 Kuwait

500700600222248263 Morocco

5005003724111339 Russia

7,5007,0008,5006,2007,2007,700 Saudi Arabia

300150218281336229 Tunisia

250504639156159 Turkey

300300500330299131 United Arab Emirates

1,5751,5752,3141,9911,8112,588 Others

17,52516,87520,41215,01916,47017,309 Subtotal

34559548826513321 Unaccounted

450450469148302572 United States

18,32017,92021,36915,19317,28518,202 World Total


February 2013

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

Production

1,7001,7001,3501,5002,400560 Algeria

5,5005,5004,5002,9501,3562,110 Argentina

7,0007,0008,3497,9957,8657,996 Australia

2,1002,0002,0131,9662,1232,212 Belarus

8,0108,0107,8927,6279,52811,786 Canada

2,6002,6002,5001,9722,3182,823 China

1,5801,5801,5921,5251,5691,484 Ethiopia

54,40754,40751,44953,51162,14965,509 EU-27

1,6101,6101,6601,3501,6901,200 India

3,4003,4002,9003,2103,4461,547 Iran

1,5001,5002,5931,3132,5192,059 Kazakhstan

1,1001,1002,3402,5703,8001,272 Morocco

13,95013,90016,9388,35017,88123,148 Russia

5,5005,5007,0005,9006,5005,700 Turkey

6,9356,7009,0988,48411,83312,612 Ukraine

8,5118,5118,6668,5438,8597,773 Others

125,403125,018130,840118,766145,836149,791 Subtotal

4,7964,7963,3923,9254,9495,230 United States

130,199129,814134,232122,691150,785155,021 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,8001,8001,7001,5001,3501,100 Algeria

1,5001,5001,2001,135990895 Argentina

3,3003,3003,3004,2004,5004,000 Australia

2,2002,2002,1002,0002,2002,200 Belarus

6,8006,8006,9037,5068,6368,949 Canada

4,8004,8004,7004,1504,4004,200 China

52,60052,80051,50056,40056,50057,000 EU-27

1,6801,6801,5501,3501,5001,000 India

4,2004,2004,0003,7003,7003,550 Iran

1,5001,5001,5001,5501,5501,550 Japan

1,9002,1003,1003,0502,9001,700 Morocco

12,30012,30014,3009,50016,65017,100 Russia

7,9257,5256,7256,3257,4257,425 Saudi Arabia

6,1005,8006,7506,0005,9005,700 Turkey

5,0004,8006,3006,0005,6005,900 Ukraine

14,94514,82016,43015,37316,08115,904 Others

128,381128,053131,751131,328140,139138,805 Subtotal

4,6804,6804,1934,5374,6045,127 United States

133,061132,733135,944135,865144,743143,932 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,6601,6341,6601,3361,247184 Algeria

9821,1821,2471,5412,5832,964 Canada

3,5723,5725,2657,91115,52810,916 EU-27

1,6781,6781,3781,1781,268622 Iran

6987488481,3862,3953,813 Russia

2,6032,5033,0281,2532,0782,203 Saudi Arabia

9379021,1727941,0671,055 Ukraine

5,9895,9556,7387,0108,8477,797 Others

18,11918,17421,33622,40935,01329,554 Subtotal

1,6611,6391,3061,9452,5151,932 United States

19,78019,81322,64224,35437,52831,486 World Total

February 2013

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2012/13

Feb

2012/13

TY Imports none

737 North America 373 227 629 625 625

810 South America 772 905 847 810 810

156 European Union 66 286 339 200 200

82 Other Europe 158 242 250 155 155


11,681 Middle East 10,046 8,639 12,496 9,700 10,400

973 North Africa 1,215 959 1,568 1,200 1,150

125 Sub-Saharan Africa 59 74 75 45 45

3,000 East Asia 3,861 3,108 3,946 3,825 3,825

48 South Asia 10 8 35 5 5

0 Oceania 17 15 19 5 5

17,881 Total 16,772 15,167 20,881 17,325 17,975

Production none

17,797 North America 14,996 12,224 11,771 13,369 13,369

3,156 South America 2,443 3,869 5,535 6,637 6,637

65,509 European Union 62,149 53,511 51,449 54,407 54,407

1,543 Other Europe 1,406 1,309 1,330 1,294 1,294


8,004 Middle East 11,320 11,100 11,670 10,275 10,275

2,347 North Africa 7,324 4,572 4,435 3,595 3,595


3,210 East Asia 2,646 2,215 2,802 2,910 2,910

1,607 South Asia 2,330 1,957 2,192 2,317 2,317

8,396 Oceania 8,265 8,395 8,749 7,400 7,400

155,021 Total 150,785 122,691 134,232 129,814 130,199


14,901 North America 13,940 12,743 11,796 12,180 12,180

2,703 South America 2,933 2,937 3,045 3,440 3,465

57,000 European Union 56,500 56,400 51,500 52,800 52,600

1,630 Other Europe 1,552 1,537 1,567 1,440 1,440


20,556 Middle East 20,403 19,690 21,601 20,696 21,396

3,987 North Africa 5,847 5,845 6,125 5,175 5,075


6,006 East Asia 6,195 5,900 6,475 6,550 6,550

1,438 South Asia 2,163 1,967 2,117 2,392 2,392

4,400 Oceania 4,900 4,625 3,725 3,700 3,700

143,300 Total 144,486 134,276 136,251 132,605 133,230

Ending Stocks none

5,228 North America 5,295 3,686 2,673 2,954 2,776

766 South America 601 851 619 619 601

10,916 European Union 15,528 7,911 5,265 3,572 3,572

281 Other Europe 249 235 215 214 214


4,389 Middle East 4,837 3,989 6,169 5,492 5,598

511 North Africa 2,952 2,694 2,669 2,303 2,354


940 East Asia 1,239 681 950 1,123 1,125

87 South Asia 224 197 282 187 187

2,459 Oceania 1,913 1,037 709 690 614

31,486 Total 37,528 24,354 22,642 19,813 19,780



February 2013

World Sorghum Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

TY Exports

3,2003,0002,1631,8931,507907 Argentina

1,0001,0001,1855753501,360 Australia

505036684132 China

7575757500 Ethiopia

25251323112454 India

707060605050 Nigeria

202020184848 South Africa

6060897711847 Others

4,5004,3003,7602,7972,2382,498 Subtotal

1,7001,4001,5483,8274,0743,598 United States

6,2005,7005,3086,6246,3126,096 World Total

none

TY Imports

600600539729568404 Chile

50508448314 China

600600592391212202 Colombia

50503035125140 Ethiopia

300300126922766 EU-27

1,6001,4501,4811,4181,6491,629 Japan

1,8001,5001,3692,3812,5272,496 Mexico

1251255991444 Morocco

400400125200400300 Sudan

857584977172 Taiwan

400400471432556435 Others

6,0105,5504,9066,7086,3425,762 Subtotal

160120399-86-30331 Unaccounted

30303203 United States

6,2005,7005,3086,6246,3126,096 World Total


February 2013

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

Production

5,2005,2004,2004,4003,6291,660 Argentina

2,2002,4002,2231,9351,5082,692 Australia

2,8002,8002,2052,3141,8542,004 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,9501,5221,875 Burkina

9009007001,000600590 Chad

2,6502,6502,6002,4561,6771,837 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

3,7003,7003,7813,4652,0842,619 Ethiopia

6,0006,0006,0307,0006,7007,250 India

900900850925980930 Mali

6,8006,4006,4257,3856,2507,067 Mexico

1,0001,0007001,3007391,214 Niger

6,9006,9006,8506,7506,60011,000 Nigeria

3,8003,8002,0894,6062,6304,192 Sudan

760760788800710551 Tanzania

6,6796,6796,6466,5106,1546,320 Others

52,98952,78948,58753,69644,53752,701 Subtotal

6,2726,2725,4478,7799,72811,998 United States

59,26159,06154,03462,47554,26564,699 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,1502,1501,9001,9001,9001,100 Argentina

1,3051,4051,1051,4051,2051,805 Australia

2,7002,7002,2752,2751,8751,875 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,8001,6951,700 Burkina

900900750950625650 Chad

2,9002,9002,6002,2001,9002,000 China

950950950900900950 Egypt

3,7003,7003,7003,2002,4002,700 Ethiopia

6,0006,0006,1006,8006,6007,200 India

1,6001,4501,4751,4601,6501,600 Japan

900900850925980930 Mali

8,6008,1008,1009,4009,7008,600 Mexico

1,0501,0508501,2509001,200 Niger

6,8506,8506,8006,7006,55010,950 Nigeria

4,1004,1002,6504,5003,4004,500 Sudan

9,4579,4429,0619,8528,2088,379 Others

54,90254,77052,23155,53450,79155,943 Subtotal

4,5724,6993,9545,2785,8598,319 United States

59,47459,46956,18560,81256,65064,262 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

300300150950152194 Argentina

174174279361681678 Australia

251251146211171188 Brazil

265265515467275456 China

28328330827247238 Ethiopia

4732734737794131,336 Mexico

249324154610309684 Sudan

9579671,0901,5021,0901,407 Others

2,9522,8373,1155,1523,1385,181 Subtotal

5335335836971,0481,390 United States

3,4853,3703,6985,8494,1866,571 World Total

February 2013

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2012/13

Feb

2012/13

TY Imports none

2,499 North America 2,527 2,383 1,372 1,530 1,830

665 South America 848 1,214 1,197 1,285 1,285

66 European Union 7 922 126 300 300

0 Other Europe 17 0 5 5 5

81 Middle East 48 120 30 30 30

45 North Africa 166 120 40 150 150


1,719 East Asia 1,806 1,523 1,654 1,580 1,740

14 Southeast Asia 16 17 10 15 15

4 Others 35 21 5 5 5

5,765 Total 6,342 6,710 4,909 5,580 6,040

Production none

19,065 North America 15,978 16,164 11,872 12,672 13,072

298 Central America 326 329 329 329 329

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,719 South America 6,153 7,351 7,097 8,682 8,682

517 European Union 621 629 673 560 560

654 Middle East 581 807 640 640 640

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


1,857 East Asia 1,697 2,476 2,620 2,670 2,670

7,395 South Asia 6,845 7,145 6,175 6,145 6,145


2,692 Oceania 1,508 1,935 2,223 2,400 2,200

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

64,699 Total 54,265 62,475 54,034 59,061 59,261


16,919 North America 15,559 14,678 12,054 12,799 13,172

315 Central America 325 325 325 320 320

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,766 South America 5,350 5,924 6,103 6,792 6,792

905 European Union 630 1,550 760 860 860

749 Middle East 669 914 675 675 675

965 North Africa 1,012 1,066 970 1,090 1,090


3,699 East Asia 3,643 3,779 4,185 4,445 4,610

7,349 South Asia 6,780 6,955 6,250 6,150 6,150


1,805 Oceania 1,205 1,405 1,105 1,405 1,305

0 Others 17 0 5 5 5

64,458 Total 56,347 60,795 54,720 59,096 59,534

Ending Stocks none

2,726 North America 1,461 1,476 1,056 806 1,006

27 Central America 28 34 33 37 37

491 South America 393 1,217 354 614 614

34 European Union 24 20 15 10 10

62 Middle East 22 35 30 25 25

29 North Africa 43 57 37 7 7

1,760 Sub-Saharan Africa 980 1,769 1,165 1,233 1,158

578 East Asia 397 549 602 353 352

181 South Asia 154 327 123 107 98

678 Oceania 681 361 279 174 174

5 Others 3 4 4 4 4

6,571 Total 4,186 5,849 3,698 3,370 3,485



February 2013

World Oats Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

TY Exports

555615 Argentina

150150174211211161 Australia

555949 Brazil

1,7001,7001,7641,4971,5391,792 Canada

1001001001293731 Chile

100100174113216103 EU-27

10517142 Russia

5534206 Others

2,0752,0702,2421,9702,0322,109 Subtotal


2,1152,1102,2692,0072,0702,147 World Total

none

TY Imports

000500 Albania

000010 Algeria

555532 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202011182114 Canada

505068585739 China

555222 Colombia

101010111114 Ecuador

554624 EU-27

606054645646 Japan

75751341034682 Mexico

15154910348 Norway

252525252133 South Africa

505056494952 Switzerland

555506 Turkey

55511411 Uruguay

0014835 Others

330330445380310318 Subtotal

1851809515915342 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,7291,4681,6071,787 United States

2,1152,1102,2692,0072,0702,147 World Total


February 2013

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

Production

14014014014014080 Algeria

400400345660182291 Argentina

1,0501,0501,2741,1281,1621,160 Australia

600600448442552605 Belarus

370370370379253239 Brazil

2,6802,6803,1582,4512,9124,273 Canada

560560505564381344 Chile

580580600525580530 China

7,5817,5817,8607,4528,5798,935 EU-27

200200258134204138 Kazakhstan

115115115111130148 Mexico

220220220299277328 Norway

4,0274,0005,3323,2185,4015,835 Russia

210210210204218196 Turkey

630550506458731944 Ukraine

440440475475475457 Others

19,80319,69621,81618,64022,17724,503 Subtotal

9299297791,1781,3511,294 United States

20,73220,62522,59519,81823,52825,797 World Total

none

Total Consumption

14014014014114080 Algeria

400400350650200300 Argentina

9009001,1009009751,035 Australia

575575450475575600 Belarus

375375360370250225 Brazil

1,4501,2751,3741,5231,7541,766 Canada

450450400450350325 Chile

625625625625625575 China

7,6007,6007,6007,7508,1008,500 EU-27

225225225130210135 Kazakhstan

190190245185215210 Mexico

245245245295320320 Norway

4,3004,3005,0003,4505,5005,600 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

600550500475725925 Ukraine

603603635646622608 Others

19,02518,79519,68618,26820,84021,438 Subtotal

2,6672,6672,5492,7893,0112,968 United States

21,69221,46222,23521,05723,85124,406 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

646469747089 Argentina

145145145146126147 Australia

3625378127531,1751,527 Canada

13213212784126114 China

8048049188211,224972 EU-27

202179485167397499 Russia

783053405969 Ukraine

229212237217180208 Others

2,0162,1032,8462,3023,3573,625 Subtotal

6686687989821,1661,221 United States

2,6842,7713,6443,2844,5234,846 World Total

February 2013

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2012/13

Feb

2012/13

TY Imports none

1,883 North America 1,674 1,589 1,874 1,695 1,695

32 South America 19 24 25 20 20


62 Other Europe 87 71 112 70 70


6 Middle East 0 5 5 5 5

0 North Africa 1 0 0 0 0


85 East Asia 113 122 122 110 110

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,105 Total 1,917 1,848 2,174 1,930 1,930

Production none

5,715 North America 4,393 3,740 4,052 3,724 3,724

897 South America 857 1,644 1,261 1,370 1,370

8,935 European Union 8,579 7,452 7,860 7,581 7,581

605 Other Europe 554 576 497 462 462


196 Middle East 218 204 210 210 210

110 North Africa 170 170 170 170 170


532 East Asia 582 527 602 582 582

1,235 Oceania 1,237 1,203 1,349 1,125 1,125

25,797 Total 23,528 19,818 22,595 20,625 20,732


4,944 North America 4,980 4,497 4,168 4,132 4,307

896 South America 857 1,538 1,171 1,285 1,285

8,500 European Union 8,100 7,750 7,600 7,600 7,600

647 Other Europe 655 633 579 542 542


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

110 North Africa 170 171 170 170 170


625 East Asia 680 685 685 690 690

1,110 Oceania 1,050 975 1,175 975 975

24,382 Total 23,782 21,064 22,008 21,330 21,555

Ending Stocks none

2,756 North America 2,348 1,740 1,617 1,212 1,037

113 South America 95 150 114 109 109

972 European Union 1,224 821 918 804 804

58 Other Europe 47 63 81 55 71


2 Middle East 10 9 14 19 19

1 North Africa 1 1 2 1 2


116 East Asia 131 95 134 136 136

147 Oceania 126 146 145 145 145

4,846 Total 4,523 3,284 3,644 2,771 2,684



February 2013

World Rye Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

TY Exports

100100251502550 Belarus

17517515922114276 Canada

1001005971136114 EU-27

757528422914 Russia

5592936 Ukraine

000300 Others

455455536469405260 Subtotal


460460544472409266 World Total

none

TY Imports

000000 Albania

50503013668 EU-27

10101119911 Israel

1001004610110357 Japan

1010111177 Korea, South

101010121411 Norway

552264 Switzerland

0010151411 Others

185185391332149109 Subtotal

100100-21-813149 Unaccounted

175175174148129108 United States

460460544472409266 World Total


February 2013

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Jan

2012/13

Feb

none

Production

1,6001,5008047351,2271,492 Belarus

340340241237281297 Canada

8,3928,3926,9197,5739,9529,262 EU-27

505028427540 Kazakhstan

2,1332,1502,9671,6424,3334,505 Russia

350350350366343247 Turkey

6766505794649541,051 Ukraine

155155160173182205 Others

13,69613,58712,04811,23217,34717,099 Subtotal

176176161189178203 United States

13,87213,76312,20911,42117,52517,302 World Total

none

Total Consumption

404045405555 Argentina

1,4001,3007006501,3001,400 Belarus

135135102136131143 Canada

8,6008,6007,3008,2009,5508,750 EU-27

9595551059065 Japan

505030407540 Kazakhstan

262626454059 Norway

2,0002,0502,8501,8504,3254,400 Russia

350350350350340275 Turkey

650600600650800800 Ukraine

124124124129124127 Others

13,60613,50612,15412,22816,90016,172 Subtotal

351351317330273292 United States

13,95713,85712,47112,55817,17316,464 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

26325816379144242 Belarus

54542451139113 Canada

6056058631,0131,7271,424 EU-27

1010514185 Japan

137104129250308312 Russia

383838331714 Turkey

178179157189411313 Ukraine

666977 Others

1,2911,2541,3851,6382,7712,430 Subtotal


1,3111,2741,3961,6582,7952,443 World Total

February 2013

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Jan

2012/13

Feb

2012/13

TY Imports none

108 North America 129 148 174 175 175

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0


18 Other Europe 22 15 12 15 15


17 Middle East 9 19 16 10 10


64 East Asia 110 112 57 110 110

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

217 Total 278 480 565 360 360

Production none

500 North America 459 426 402 516 516

63 South America 61 45 50 45 45

9,262 European Union 9,952 7,573 6,919 8,392 8,392

119 Other Europe 98 105 87 87 87


247 Middle East 343 366 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,302 Total 17,525 11,421 12,209 13,763 13,872


435 North America 404 466 419 486 486

63 South America 61 45 50 45 45

8,750 European Union 9,550 8,200 7,300 8,600 8,600

137 Other Europe 119 119 100 102 102


286 Middle East 349 369 361 360 360


72 East Asia 97 116 66 105 105

20 Oceania 20 17 20 20 20

16,406 Total 17,103 12,525 12,499 13,721 13,821

Ending Stocks none

126 North America 163 71 35 74 74

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,424 European Union 1,727 1,013 863 605 605

1 Other Europe 1 1 0 0 0


14 Middle East 17 33 38 38 38


5 East Asia 18 14 5 10 10

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,443 Total 2,795 1,658 1,396 1,274 1,311



February 2013


34

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 35 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 36 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 37 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 38 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 42 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 44 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 46 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 47

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..48 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 49 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 50 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 51 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 52

DG F/SA &F

February 2013

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.25.124.5 2006/07 14.2

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.4

151.1 127.060.525.47.75.726.7 2008/09 18.9

138.8 125.057.522.15.55.425.8 2009/10 16.2

136.0 122.352.522.94.75.325.9 2010/11 11.7

137.2 127.558.016.67.45.325.7 2011/12 12.3

131.7 121.552.018.56.05.225.5 2012/13 10.0

Coarse Grains

150.5 143.8108.16.73.94.533.7 2001/02 22.4

148.4 145.0109.57.64.44.532.8 2002/03 22.6

131.8 145.3109.74.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.1

166.7 152.6116.64.93.05.033.4 2004/05 25.3

146.8 148.1110.04.42.84.532.7 2005/06 22.4

137.9 148.4110.94.78.14.332.0 2006/07 15.3

136.6 154.9119.64.620.34.232.2 2007/08 12.7

162.1 151.9114.05.63.44.833.6 2008/09 20.8

155.0 150.1112.63.03.04.832.5 2009/10 25.9

140.5 152.4114.86.28.64.729.8 2010/11 16.3

147.4 149.4111.76.57.04.929.9 2011/12 14.9

140.2 150.8112.84.910.64.630.6 2012/13 10.0

Wheat and Coarse Grains

273.9 262.3164.619.412.74.659.6 2001/02 40.7

281.0 270.0169.525.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.1

242.4 260.4162.114.015.64.257.0 2003/04 24.7

313.6 275.9175.819.610.15.359.4 2004/05 52.8

279.1 275.6173.020.19.64.858.5 2005/06 45.8

262.8 273.9171.118.513.34.756.4 2006/07 29.5

256.7 271.4172.016.927.24.556.9 2007/08 25.2

313.2 278.9174.530.911.25.260.2 2008/09 39.8

293.9 275.1170.125.18.65.058.3 2009/10 42.0

276.5 274.7167.329.113.35.055.6 2010/11 28.0

284.7 276.9169.723.014.45.155.6 2011/12 27.2

271.9 272.3164.823.416.64.856.1 2012/13 20.0

February 2013

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

120.6 123.023.01.03.05.024.1 2012/13 55.5

Coarse Grains

122.4 133.096.38.62.04.527.3 2001/02 85.6

130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8

159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

159.2 158.0106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.4

172.4 161.1108.70.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.2118.70.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.4

183.4 188.2128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

199.7 197.1132.00.17.95.635.7 2011/12 60.5

215.0 219.0146.50.35.05.837.2 2012/13 61.2


216.3 241.7105.310.13.14.252.0 2001/02 162.2

220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8

210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3

267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.5 264.0114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.5

284.9 266.6116.70.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.2128.71.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.8

298.6 298.7141.81.13.65.158.8 2010/11 109.2

317.1 319.6156.01.110.95.360.0 2011/12 116.4

335.6 342.0169.51.38.05.561.3 2012/13 116.8

February 2013

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.60.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.5

3.7 5.30.60.11.53.01.2 2003/04 1.2

5.4 5.80.90.31.54.01.3 2004/05 2.0

4.2 5.70.80.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.8

4.3 5.30.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.8

4.4 5.50.90.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.8

4.7 5.61.00.51.74.21.1 2008/09 2.1

4.6 5.50.90.81.73.81.2 2009/10 2.1

3.9 5.40.80.81.73.71.1 2010/11 1.5

4.4 5.60.90.61.94.01.1 2011/12 1.5

4.2 5.50.90.81.83.81.1 2012/13 1.2

Coarse Grains

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.0 10.69.40.10.83.42.7 2003/04 1.0

12.7 12.010.60.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.6 12.010.61.40.74.82.6 2005/06 1.5

11.5 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.3 10.39.00.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.4

12.3 10.89.51.90.64.62.6 2008/09 1.5

11.8 10.89.31.70.84.82.4 2009/10 1.7

12.1 10.89.32.20.84.82.5 2010/11 1.7

11.5 10.59.02.50.84.52.5 2011/12 0.9

8.4 8.97.60.40.83.32.6 2012/13 0.8


15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.71.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

12.7 16.09.90.22.33.33.9 2003/04 2.3

18.1 17.911.50.92.14.54.0 2004/05 3.7

16.8 17.711.51.62.14.43.8 2005/06 3.3

15.8 16.810.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 3.3

13.7 15.89.90.92.93.63.8 2007/08 3.2

17.0 16.410.52.42.34.53.8 2008/09 3.6

16.4 16.210.22.52.44.53.7 2009/10 3.8

16.0 16.210.13.02.54.53.6 2010/11 3.1

15.8 16.19.93.22.84.43.6 2011/12 2.4

12.6 14.48.51.22.63.53.7 2012/13 2.0

February 2013

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

84.7 72.521.622.66.01.944.6 2006/07 13.0

92.4 75.323.922.06.02.046.3 2007/08 14.1

115.5 76.124.538.26.62.350.6 2008/09 21.9

114.1 78.226.137.25.42.252.6 2009/10 26.0

81.1 75.023.813.95.71.845.8 2010/11 23.8

115.0 79.827.739.78.02.349.8 2011/12 27.4

77.2 72.020.823.87.11.843.9 2012/13 15.8

Coarse Grains

59.1 51.435.88.51.02.028.9 2006/07 5.4

54.2 50.635.05.31.02.027.4 2007/08 4.8

79.0 58.141.517.10.72.630.1 2008/09 9.3

67.6 55.039.015.00.42.527.2 2009/10 7.4

47.6 41.928.58.71.22.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.6 54.338.524.51.02.927.1 2011/12 6.4

68.6 50.735.620.61.22.527.5 2012/13 4.8

February 2013

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

17.1 7.62.78.30.01.214.3 2009/10 4.3

9.6 6.21.94.90.00.713.1 2010/11 2.9

22.7 7.42.611.80.01.713.7 2011/12 6.4

9.8 6.82.06.50.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

Russia

61.8 39.616.818.60.22.326.7 2009/10 14.7

41.5 38.616.04.00.11.921.8 2010/11 13.7

56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.8 2011/12 10.9

37.7 34.012.010.51.51.821.3 2012/13 5.6

Ukraine

20.9 12.33.39.30.03.16.8 2009/10 2.4

16.8 11.62.84.30.02.76.3 2010/11 3.3

22.3 15.06.15.40.13.46.7 2011/12 5.4

15.8 12.03.56.20.12.85.6 2012/13 3.0

Uzbekistan

6.2 7.51.40.41.74.41.4 2009/10 0.9

6.5 7.71.50.51.64.61.4 2010/11 0.8

6.3 8.01.70.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.1

6.7 7.71.50.51.54.81.4 2012/13 1.1

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.2 11.21.90.73.52.43.4 2009/10 3.7

6.6 10.91.60.23.92.13.2 2010/11 3.0

7.4 11.41.80.14.72.33.2 2011/12 3.6

7.2 11.51.80.14.02.33.1 2012/13 3.1

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

114.1 78.226.137.25.42.252.6 2009/10 26.0

81.1 75.023.813.95.71.845.8 2010/11 23.8

115.0 79.827.739.78.02.349.8 2011/12 27.4

77.2 72.020.823.87.11.843.9 2012/13 15.8

February 2013


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.51.7 2009/10 0.5

1.3 1.51.20.20.11.01.3 2010/11 0.1

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.5 2011/12 0.2

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.1

Russia

17.9 16.712.22.70.02.37.7 2009/10 2.4

8.4 9.55.50.30.41.75.0 2010/11 1.4

16.9 14.39.83.50.42.27.7 2011/12 0.8

14.0 12.37.92.30.51.87.7 2012/13 0.7

Ukraine

11.8 5.63.96.20.02.45.0 2009/10 1.1

8.5 6.04.42.80.02.04.3 2010/11 0.8

9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2

6.9 5.03.42.20.02.13.3 2012/13 0.9

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2011/12 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2012/13 0.0


3.5 3.62.80.00.12.71.3 2009/10 0.5

3.3 3.42.60.00.22.41.4 2010/11 0.5

3.4 3.62.70.00.22.51.4 2011/12 0.5

3.4 3.62.70.00.22.51.3 2012/13 0.5


36.0 28.120.79.30.22.315.8 2009/10 4.5

21.7 20.713.93.30.71.812.1 2010/11 2.9

32.3 26.319.06.70.72.314.3 2011/12 2.8

26.0 22.515.44.70.81.914.0 2012/13 2.3

February 2013


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.40.30.00.04.80.1 2009/10 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.04.80.1 2010/11 0.1

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2011/12 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

Russia

4.0 3.73.20.40.03.51.1 2009/10 0.1

3.1 3.22.80.00.13.01.0 2010/11 0.1

7.0 4.63.92.00.14.31.6 2011/12 0.5

8.0 6.25.42.30.24.21.9 2012/13 0.2

Ukraine

10.5 5.75.05.10.05.02.1 2009/10 0.7

11.9 6.55.45.00.04.52.6 2010/11 1.1

22.8 7.86.515.20.16.43.5 2011/12 1.1

20.9 8.06.513.00.14.84.4 2012/13 1.0

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0


2.6 2.92.60.10.23.30.8 2009/10 0.7

2.9 2.92.70.20.23.70.8 2010/11 0.6

3.8 3.43.00.30.24.01.0 2011/12 1.0

2.6 3.02.70.30.23.40.8 2012/13 0.4


17.7 12.911.35.60.34.34.1 2009/10 1.5

18.5 13.311.45.20.34.04.6 2010/11 1.9

34.3 16.413.917.50.35.56.2 2011/12 2.6

32.2 17.915.115.60.44.57.2 2012/13 1.7

February 2013

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.9 5.40.111.90.02.66.4 2004/05 1.3

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3

17.2 6.00.19.50.03.64.8 2010/11 4.1

15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.8

11.0 6.00.15.00.03.03.7 2012/13 0.8

Australia

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.63.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 7.44.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.1

21.8 5.21.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.1

27.4 5.82.518.70.12.013.5 2010/11 8.1

29.9 6.53.224.70.12.114.0 2011/12 7.0

22.0 6.33.016.50.11.713.3 2012/13 6.3

Canada

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.218.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.5

27.0 7.02.319.00.42.89.7 2009/10 7.8

23.3 7.83.016.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.2

25.3 9.74.617.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9

27.2 8.93.718.50.42.99.5 2012/13 6.1

Total Wheat Competitors

63.6 19.67.141.50.32.229.2 2004/05 15.9

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

52.3 19.15.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.5

February 2013


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


61.0 20.77.440.40.52.128.8 2008/09 10.9

60.8 18.04.239.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.2

67.9 19.65.644.70.62.526.6 2010/11 19.4

70.7 22.27.954.90.62.627.7 2011/12 13.6

60.2 21.26.840.00.52.326.5 2012/13 13.2

India

72.2 72.82.42.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.02.20.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.22.80.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4

86.9 81.43.10.90.03.029.4 2011/12 20.0

93.9 85.43.66.50.03.229.7 2012/13 22.0

Turkey

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2

18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1

15.5 17.50.73.33.82.07.8 2012/13 1.6

February 2013


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.1

15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.6

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.1

21.0 6.74.617.50.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.119.00.07.73.5 2012/13 1.1

Brazil

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

73.0 50.543.024.00.84.815.2 2011/12 9.6

72.5 53.045.019.00.84.715.5 2012/13 10.9

China

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

208.0 209.5145.50.22.56.035.0 2012/13 60.1

South Africa

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

February 2013


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4

12.4 10.85.02.00.03.93.1 2011/12 3.1

13.5 11.15.12.50.04.13.3 2012/13 3.0

Total Corn Competitors

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 45.1

203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.3

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.4

258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 69.0

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2

299.2 256.0183.643.66.15.455.5 2011/12 72.9

321.0 281.5200.740.73.35.657.3 2012/13 75.0

February 2013


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.3 3.32.15.40.02.23.8 2011/12 0.7

7.0 3.32.13.80.01.83.9 2012/13 0.6

Canada

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.20.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

10.9 7.86.43.00.12.84.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.67.41.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.6

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.61.50.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

EU-27

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.041.53.60.34.514.5 2008/09 10.9

62.1 56.541.51.10.14.513.9 2009/10 15.5

53.5 56.441.24.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.4 51.536.53.00.44.311.9 2011/12 5.3

54.4 52.637.63.70.24.312.6 2012/13 3.6

February 2013


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.20.6 2004/05 0.4

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 1.0

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

5.2 2.21.92.90.04.51.2 2012/13 0.3

Australia

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.7 2011/12 0.3

2.2 1.31.31.00.03.10.7 2012/13 0.2

February 2013

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

23,46630,7103,58935,97735,0762,5712,63860,062nr319,271 2010/11

20,21132,1554,46028,07128,5633,0003,05054,413nr318,496 2011/12

19,49937,4299,52529,00028,5763,5003,53861,755nr319,826 2012/13

Corn

28,644285,014121,79845,24446,590684703316,165nr1032,960 2010/11

25,122279,023115,51838,43039,184765736313,949nr933,989 2011/12

16,062262,571113,03524,00022,8612,5002,540273,832nr835,360 2012/13

Sorghum

6975,2783,1183,8273,853218,779nr51,948 2010/11

5833,9541,7951,5481,610335,447nr31,590 2011/12

5334,5722,5401,7001,77830286,272nr32,005 2012/13

Barley

1,9454,5371,0851811651482073,925nr4998 2010/11

1,3064,1938181791924693543,392nr4906 2011/12

1,6614,6801,3062001964504354,796nr41,313 2012/13

Oats

9822,7891,71537411,4681,4681,178nr2511 2010/11

7982,5491,44527351,7291,621779nr2380 2011/12

6682,6671,56540291,6001,637929nr2423 2012/13

Rye

203309334148141189nr2107 2010/11

113178084174151161nr298 2011/12

2035111257175191176nr2100 2012/13

Rice, Milled

1,5144,317nr3,2473,5286215827,59311,02781,463 2010/11

1,3033,470nr3,3003,2226506155,8668,38881,059 2011/12

9743,974nr3,4503,3787006676,3569,04881,084 2012/13

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

February 2013

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,162.5 278.51,216.1589.7193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5611.3203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4645.7174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6546.4 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5544.1 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1662.9205.22.6546.5 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.3655.7188.22.5536.7 1993/94

1,392.5 362.71,395.8668.9200.12.6534.7 1994/95

1,338.5 319.41,381.8640.1187.52.5527.7 1995/96

1,490.3 367.11,442.6672.9198.42.7546.6 1996/97

1,491.6 414.41,444.3683.3190.32.8535.9 1997/98

1,481.8 448.01,448.2682.6198.72.8521.0 1998/99

1,465.3 444.41,468.4688.2214.32.9506.9 1999/00

1,447.2 419.31,472.3697.9205.32.8510.4 2000/01

1,480.6 403.71,496.3711.3208.52.9513.9 2001/02

1,443.6 341.41,505.9708.6209.72.9503.4 2002/03

1,471.1 278.41,534.1714.6206.22.9511.8 2003/04

1,642.5 335.41,585.5754.1214.73.2515.5 2004/05

1,600.0 319.41,616.0754.1222.73.1517.9 2005/06

1,586.1 275.61,629.9744.9230.33.1515.6 2006/07

1,693.2 292.81,676.1758.8245.63.2533.2 2007/08

1,795.4 362.91,725.3769.9254.23.3536.7 2008/09

1,802.1 398.41,766.6777.1254.63.4532.3 2009/10

1,751.4 363.71,786.1771.4249.83.4520.6 2010/11

1,849.9 360.91,852.8802.1286.33.5533.3 2011/12

1,777.8 323.71,815.0803.5264.83.3532.0 2012/13

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

February 2013

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

588.8 171.6554.3131.5101.32.5231.0 1990/91

543.5 163.2551.8115.1111.42.4222.8 1991/92

562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 163.7573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.3576.6103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.4 209.5578.2106.8102.02.7219.2 1998/99

586.8 210.9585.4102.8111.92.8212.5 1999/00

583.2 207.3586.9108.8102.42.7215.7 2000/01

583.8 204.3586.7109.6108.12.7214.5 2001/02

569.7 169.6604.5113.7106.82.7213.6 2002/03

555.4 135.9589.099.3103.52.7207.7 2003/04

626.6 156.3606.3108.7113.32.9216.0 2004/05

618.7 153.4621.6114.9114.12.8217.8 2005/06

596.3 133.8615.8110.2115.62.8211.7 2006/07

612.3 128.2617.9102.3116.82.8217.1 2007/08

683.4 168.1643.5121.3143.53.0224.3 2008/09

686.7 201.0653.9120.4135.63.0225.3 2009/10

652.0 197.9655.1116.1133.73.0217.1 2010/11

696.6 196.5698.0147.0153.33.1221.8 2011/12

653.6 177.4672.7132.4140.23.0215.8 2012/13

Coarse Grains

828.8 197.1815.2537.388.92.6315.3 1990/91

812.2 196.3813.1536.396.22.5321.3 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7324.4 1992/93

797.7 182.7836.3546.186.52.5315.6 1993/94

869.5 198.5853.7567.698.62.7321.3 1994/95

801.0 163.7835.8544.988.32.6311.0 1995/96

908.9 203.5869.2573.294.42.8319.5 1996/97

881.4 217.1867.7579.585.82.8309.5 1997/98

891.4 238.5870.0575.896.73.0301.8 1998/99

878.5 233.5883.0585.5102.43.0294.4 1999/00

863.9 212.0885.4589.1102.92.9294.7 2000/01

896.8 199.3909.5601.6100.53.0299.3 2001/02

873.9 171.8901.4594.9102.93.0289.8 2002/03

915.7 142.5945.1615.3102.73.0304.1 2003/04

1,015.9 179.1979.3645.4101.33.4299.6 2004/05

981.3 166.1994.4639.3108.63.3300.1 2005/06

989.8 141.81,014.1634.7114.73.3303.9 2006/07

1,080.9 164.61,058.1656.5128.83.4316.1 2007/08

1,112.0 194.71,081.8648.6110.73.6312.4 2008/09

1,115.3 197.41,112.7656.7119.03.6307.0 2009/10

1,099.4 165.81,131.0655.3116.23.6303.5 2010/11

1,153.3 164.41,154.7655.1132.93.7311.5 2011/12

1,124.2 146.31,142.2671.1124.63.6316.2 2012/13

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

February 2013

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

482.0 141.4473.4318.558.83.7129.1 1990/91

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.5 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.3535.4371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.3536.4365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.8 166.3559.8387.966.74.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 167.2573.5400.663.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.368.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.4 194.2605.6422.572.34.4139.0 1999/00

591.4 175.1610.5427.376.04.3137.2 2000/01

601.2 151.3625.1436.572.84.4137.6 2001/02

603.4 126.8627.9433.377.04.4137.3 2002/03

627.1 104.5649.4445.979.24.4141.9 2003/04

716.1 130.7689.8475.876.04.9145.4 2004/05

700.6 124.5706.8478.182.74.8145.7 2005/06

715.1 110.7728.9478.691.44.8149.4 2006/07

794.6 131.8773.4498.398.24.9160.6 2007/08

800.4 147.7784.5481.684.05.0158.8 2008/09

823.7 145.9825.5490.193.05.2158.6 2009/10

832.3 127.9850.3501.891.95.1163.9 2010/11

882.5 131.0879.4504.6103.55.2169.7 2011/12

854.4 118.0867.3520.297.54.9174.8 2012/13

Barley

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.572.4 1990/91

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.275.9 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.1 22.6134.494.716.32.553.1 2000/01

143.5 29.2136.995.617.22.655.8 2001/02

134.4 27.5136.094.816.32.455.0 2002/03

142.2 23.4146.3102.614.92.458.4 2003/04

152.2 33.0142.6100.217.02.657.6 2004/05

136.2 28.1141.197.517.52.555.4 2005/06

137.0 21.4143.798.314.62.456.5 2006/07

133.0 20.4134.091.118.62.456.0 2007/08

155.0 31.5143.9100.018.22.855.4 2008/09

150.8 37.5144.7100.817.32.854.3 2009/10

122.7 24.4135.991.315.22.647.3 2010/11

134.2 22.6135.992.321.42.749.8 2011/12

130.2 19.8133.189.318.32.651.0 2012/13

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

February 2013

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.4399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.8399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.5378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04

596.6 74.0408.529.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05

621.4 76.7414.629.1417.34.0153.9 2005/06

624.7 75.5421.231.9419.94.0154.5 2006/07

642.0 80.9427.229.6432.64.1154.9 2007/08

667.7 92.4437.229.4448.74.2158.2 2008/09

656.9 95.2438.331.6441.14.2156.1 2009/10

670.1 98.7445.636.2449.14.3157.5 2010/11

693.3 105.5458.339.0465.04.4158.9 2011/12

694.4 101.9469.337.1465.84.4158.4 2012/13

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

February 2013


53

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

February 2013


54

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2011/12 starts in 2011); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2011/12 starts in 2012). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.

February 2013

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx�


55

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 01-13 January 2013. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 02-13 February 2013. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

February 2013

united states agriculture grain - thefarmsite.com · 2013. 2. 8. · • iran is up 300,000 tons to...

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