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Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service June 2014

EU Surpasses United States as Top Wheat Exporter MMT

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For the first time, the United States is projected to lose its position as the world’s top wheat exporter to the European Union (EU) in 2014/15. U.S. exports are constrained because of tight carry-in supplies, a smaller crop, relatively higher prices, and intensified competition from other exporters. Abundant exportable supplies in the Black Sea region and the EU are expected to pressure global prices. The EU is projected to have its second consecutive bumper crop with more available for export because corn continues to displace wheat in feed rations. In addition to France and Germany, other EU countries are becoming important exporters. For example, Romania’s shipments to Egypt nearly tripled in just one year. Lithuania has become a meaningful supplier to both Iran and Saudi Arabia. The EU is aggressively competing with Russia and Ukraine in Middle Eastern and North African markets.

EU

United States

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http://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 9 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 13 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 33 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 52 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains. FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7 Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/ Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Grain: World Markets and Trade, June 2014

2 June 2014

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2014/152013/142012/132014/152013/142012/132014/152013/142012/13

Production

United States (Jun-May) 61.7 58.0 52.8 6.3 6.1 6.8 273.8 353.7 354.0

Other 595.6 656.0 648.8 465.3 471.4 473.9 595.0 628.2 627.2

World Total 657.3 714.0 701.6 471.6 477.5 480.7 868.8 981.9 981.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 648.1 661.8 664.6 461.6 469.6 475.0 605.8 645.4 670.0

World Total 686.4 695.6 697.2 465.3 473.5 479.1 869.5 943.5 966.8

Ending Stocks


Other 155.7 169.9 173.0 109.0 111.1 109.5 117.3 139.9 138.8

World Total 175.3 186.0 188.6 110.2 112.1 110.7 138.1 169.0 182.6

TY Imports


Other 140.2 151.3 145.2 35.3 38.0 37.8 94.6 115.8 114.2

World Total 143.6 156.1 149.3 35.9 38.7 38.5 98.8 116.6 115.0

TY Exports


Other 119.3 127.8 126.5 35.7 37.6 38.0 82.3 71.4 75.4

World Total 147.0 159.0 152.0 39.0 40.7 41.3 100.5 119.4 118.4

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

June 2014

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global production and trade for 2014/15 are up slightly. Larger crops in China, the EU, India, and Russia more than offset a decline in the United States. Exports are raised in the EU and Russia, but cut in the United States. Despite tighter supplies, the season average U.S. farm price is down from last month. Large crop prospects in other exporting countries are pressuring U.S. prices. For 2013/14, U.S. exports are also lowered. PRICES:

230

280

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12/2/2013 1/2/2014 2/2/2014 3/2/2014 4/2/2014 5/2/2014 6/2/2014

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS

Domestic: Wheat prices plunged over the past month. Abundant supplies in the EU and the Black Sea are pressuring prices despite a forecast of tightening U.S. supplies, particularly of Hard Red Winter (HRW). Soft Red Winter (SRW) plummeted $47/ton to $252. Hard Red Winter (HRW) dropped $35/ton to $322. Hard Red Spring (HRS) fell $30/ton to $325 as planting nears completion. Soft White Wheat (SWW) slid $14/ton to $285.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, June 2014 4

June 2014

TRADE CHANGES IN 2014/15 Selected Exporters

• EU is boosted 500,000 tons to 28.0 million as a result of a larger crop. A projected abundance of corn again this year will continue to displace wheat in feed rations, freeing up more for export.

• Russia is up 500,000 tons to 19.5 million as a larger crop boosts exportable supplies.

• The United States is lowered 500,000 tons to 25.5 million on tightening supplies and intensified competition.

TRADE CHANGES IN 2013/14 Selected Exporters- based on trade data

• Australia is up 500,000 tons to 18.5 million.

• Russia is raised 300,000 tons to 18.5 million

• Turkey is up 300,000 tons to 4.3 million.

• United States is cut 300,000 tons to 31.2 million.

Selected Importers

• Morocco is raised 300,000 tons to 3.6 million.

• United States is cut 100,000 to 4.8 million.


June 2014

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

TY Exports

6,5006,5001,8007,45011,9517,742 Argentina

19,00019,00018,50021,26923,03118,455 Australia

21,00021,00021,50018,58117,60316,768 Canada

28,00027,50030,00022,62116,69123,086 European Union

2,5002,5005,0008,6511,72373 India

7,0007,0008,0006,80111,0695,519 Kazakhstan

19,50019,00018,50011,28921,6273,983 Russia

3,2003,2004,3003,5833,6782,944 Turkey

8,5008,5009,5007,1905,4364,302 Ukraine

1,5001,5001,2008111,7821,612 Uruguay

9,8109,8609,48411,05411,04613,560 Others

126,510125,560127,784119,300125,63798,044 Subtotal

25,50026,00031,20027,69528,14236,046 United States

152,010151,560158,984146,995153,779134,090 World Total

none

TY Imports

1,8001,8001,8001,6002,2002,000 Afghanistan

6,0006,0006,7006,4846,5006,516 Algeria

3,3003,3003,1002,7192,0163,951 Bangladesh

6,5006,5007,3007,5477,0536,742 Brazil

3,0003,0007,0002,9602,933927 China

10,80010,80010,5008,30011,65010,600 Egypt

5,5005,5003,8005,2777,3624,621 European Union

7,3007,3007,2007,1466,4576,606 Indonesia

4,0004,0006,0005,6002,400200 Iran

3,0003,0003,4003,9483,7843,631 Iraq

6,0006,0006,2006,5986,3545,869 Japan

4,2004,2004,3005,4395,1884,761 Korea, South

2,2002,2002,0501,9461,5611,474 Libya

3,7003,7004,5003,8265,0203,404 Mexico

3,0003,0003,6003,8253,6714,019 Morocco

4,5004,5004,4004,1403,9314,052 Nigeria

3,2003,2003,4003,6454,0753,224 Philippines

3,2503,2503,3501,9212,9041,739 Saudi Arabia

2,0502,0502,1001,7932,3601,595 Sudan

2,0002,0001,800963680428 Syria

2,0002,0001,9001,8452,6461,943 Thailand

5,5005,5004,2003,3124,4133,545 Turkey

2,1002,1002,1001,8632,6981,618 Uzbekistan

2,1002,1002,1001,6712,7112,459 Vietnam

3,2503,2003,2003,1492,6852,816 Yemen

44,99044,69545,26042,63644,86139,159 Others

145,240144,895151,260140,153148,113127,899 Subtotal

2,6702,5652,9243,3992,6323,593 Unaccounted

4,1004,1004,8003,4433,0342,598 United States

152,010151,560158,984146,995153,779134,090 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

June 2014

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

Production

12,50012,50010,5009,30015,50017,200 Argentina

25,50025,50027,00022,46129,90527,410 Australia

6,0006,0005,3004,3805,8005,900 Brazil

28,50028,50037,50027,20525,28823,300 Canada

124,000123,000121,720121,023117,400115,180 China

8,9508,9508,6508,5008,4007,200 Egypt

146,250144,880143,324133,846138,182136,667 European Union

95,85094,00093,51094,88086,87080,800 India

13,00013,00014,50013,80012,40013,500 Iran

14,50014,50013,9419,84122,7329,638 Kazakhstan

24,50024,50024,00023,30025,00023,900 Pakistan

53,00052,00052,09137,72056,24041,508 Russia

15,00015,00018,00015,50018,80017,000 Turkey

20,00020,00022,27815,76122,32416,844 Ukraine

6,8006,8006,8006,7006,3006,500 Uzbekistan

54,42454,47456,89451,41750,43748,185 Others

648,774643,604656,008595,634641,578590,732 Subtotal

52,84753,43157,96161,67154,41360,062 United States

701,621697,035713,969657,305695,991650,794 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,8509,8509,6509,4508,9508,750 Algeria

11,60011,60011,40010,90011,20010,800 Brazil

9,7509,75011,2009,5989,8527,551 Canada

122,000121,000123,500125,000122,500110,500 China

19,20019,20018,90018,70018,60017,700 Egypt

122,000121,500117,000119,500127,234122,844 European Union

93,90092,05093,90083,82281,40481,760 India

17,20017,20017,50016,40014,90015,700 Iran

7,3007,3006,8006,8007,6006,700 Kazakhstan

8,7008,7008,9008,3008,8007,850 Morocco

24,40024,40024,10023,90023,10023,000 Pakistan

33,50033,50034,00033,55038,00038,600 Russia

17,30017,30017,75017,50018,10017,300 Turkey

11,50011,50011,50011,40014,95011,600 Ukraine

8,6008,6008,3008,0007,8007,700 Uzbekistan

147,821147,641147,371145,271142,906134,419 Others

666,511663,057669,332641,020664,804623,906 Subtotal

32,54933,09333,86838,26932,11230,639 United States

699,060696,150703,200679,289696,916654,545 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,4745,9744,9394,2597,0518,184 Australia

8,0228,0479,7925,0525,9327,360 Canada

62,18062,18058,18053,96055,94659,091 China

12,42612,05610,67610,55213,55011,931 European Union

16,30016,30017,83024,20019,95015,360 India

6,4996,4996,3994,0992382,030 Iran

6,9436,7435,7434,95210,89913,736 Russia

55,14354,90856,34548,66763,48657,030 Others

172,987172,707169,904155,741177,052174,722 Subtotal

15,62214,70916,14419,53820,21123,466 United States

188,609187,416186,048175,279197,263198,188 World Total

June 2014

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

May

2014/15

Jun

2014/15

TY Imports none

6,431 North America 8,551 7,754 9,740 8,280 8,280

1,684 Central America 1,666 1,662 1,795 1,785 1,805

13,158 South America 13,779 14,392 14,405 13,275 13,325

4,621 European Union - 28 7,362 5,277 3,800 5,500 5,500

1,614 Other Europe 1,913 1,633 1,845 1,840 1,840

5,498 Former Soviet Union - 12 8,022 7,228 7,880 7,830 7,830

17,324 Middle East 23,065 24,175 27,615 26,525 26,575

24,427 North Africa 24,855 22,052 24,700 23,500 23,500

15,093 Sub-Saharan Africa 18,484 17,437 18,300 18,560 18,560

13,889 East Asia 16,865 17,352 19,835 15,510 15,535

7,593 South Asia 5,466 5,306 6,400 6,575 6,775

16,341 Southeast Asia 18,016 16,356 16,735 16,825 16,825

2,824 Others 3,103 2,972 3,010 2,990 2,990

130,497 Total 151,147 143,596 156,060 148,995 149,340

Production none

87,038 North America 83,329 92,107 98,833 85,801 85,217

27,560 South America 25,768 18,406 20,030 23,733 23,733

136,667 European Union - 28 138,182 133,846 143,324 144,880 146,250

3,188 Other Europe 3,597 3,504 4,429 3,804 3,704


38,638 Middle East 39,282 36,380 40,935 35,115 35,130

15,914 North Africa 18,366 17,320 20,122 18,850 18,850


116,355 East Asia 118,775 122,483 123,024 124,373 125,358

110,949 South Asia 117,132 126,390 125,690 126,745 128,645

27,855 Oceania 30,288 22,950 27,440 26,010 26,010

183 Others 186 186 181 181 181

650,794 Total 695,991 657,305 713,969 697,035 701,621

Domestic Consumption none

44,640 North America 49,564 54,492 51,668 49,443 48,899

25,583 South America 26,121 26,428 26,950 27,115 27,165

122,844 European Union - 28 127,234 119,500 117,000 121,500 122,000

4,727 Other Europe 4,830 4,720 4,930 4,825 4,825


54,406 Middle East 56,273 56,763 59,035 58,030 58,080

38,805 North Africa 40,927 41,421 42,550 42,975 42,975


123,952 East Asia 137,057 139,882 137,225 134,455 135,465

117,003 South Asia 115,834 121,167 131,755 130,740 132,640

14,977 Southeast Asia 16,665 16,235 16,235 16,525 16,525

6,845 Oceania 7,819 8,106 8,235 7,975 7,975

3,354 Others 3,341 3,367 3,524 3,530 3,555

653,413 Total 688,008 686,360 695,639 694,184 697,170

Ending Stocks none

31,143 North America 26,718 24,868 26,486 23,276 24,164

8,580 South America 3,999 3,479 7,084 7,692 7,487

11,931 European Union - 28 13,550 10,552 10,676 12,056 12,426

1,166 Other Europe 1,352 1,047 1,121 1,045 970


12,074 Middle East 10,986 11,964 15,739 16,419 16,134

12,194 North Africa 14,094 11,441 13,088 11,588 11,988


62,150 East Asia 59,242 57,710 61,799 65,682 65,682

21,079 South Asia 25,425 28,144 21,654 19,759 20,034

3,991 Southeast Asia 4,703 4,154 3,919 3,384 3,484

8,580 Oceania 7,415 4,562 5,262 6,272 5,772

382 Others 435 436 442 428 428

198,188 Total 197,263 175,279 186,048 187,416 188,609

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

June 2014

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW The global rice situation for 2014/15 is virtually unchanged from last month. Production and trade are still projected at record levels. U.S. exports are unchanged. Global production, stocks, and consumption are estimated marginally higher for 2013/14 based largely on a production increase in India. U.S. exports are revised down slightly on the pace of shipments.

The United States Faces Competition in Haiti from Vietnam

The United States supplied close to 90 percent of Haiti’s rice imports during the past decade, with sporadic competition from South America and Asia. However, no single competitor shipped as much rice to Haiti as Vietnam did last year. Low-income consumers are price sensitive and Vietnam is capturing this market segment. Nonetheless, U.S. rice continues to be the preferred choice amongst consumers and the United States is expected to remain the dominant supplier, despite a near $200 price disparity with Vietnam. SELECTED TRADE CHANGE

• United States exports are cut 100,000 tons in 2014 to 3.1 million on the pace of

shipments.

89%

Vietnam 0%

Other 11%

2004-2012: Average Market Share

78%

Vietnam 21%

Other 1%

2013 Market Share

United States United States


9

June 2014

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

TY Exports

600600600526608732 Argentina

450450500460449311 Australia

8008008508301,1051,296 Brazil

1,3001,3001,3001,1631,3571,075 Burma

1,2001,2001,0001,075900860 Cambodia

350350350447267487 China

875875800850600320 Egypt

400400400345285257 Guyana

9,0009,00010,00010,48010,2504,637 India

200200200200200200 Japan

3,9003,9003,9003,6003,3993,414 Pakistan

260260250365262208 Paraguay

10,00010,0009,0006,7226,94510,647 Thailand

9509509009391,056841 Uruguay

6,7006,7006,5006,7007,7177,000 Vietnam

1,0551,0551,0391,0051,2231,039 Others

38,04038,04037,58935,70736,62333,324 Subtotal

3,2503,2503,1003,2713,3053,246 United States

41,29041,29040,68938,97839,92836,570 World Total

none

TY Imports

450450450430360275 Angola

700700700712732591 Brazil

500500500500450310 Cameroon

3,7003,7003,2003,5002,900575 China

1,2001,2001,1509401,375935 Cote d'Ivoire

450450450413330558 Cuba

1,4001,4001,3501,3751,3131,496 European Union

620620600725595620 Ghana

425425420419415381 Hong Kong

1,0001,0001,5006501,9603,098 Indonesia

1,7001,7001,6502,1501,5001,870 Iran

1,4501,4501,4001,2941,4781,036 Iraq

700700700690650742 Japan

480480440410400335 Kenya

450450445580238532 Korea, South

1,1001,1001,1008901,0061,076 Malaysia

775775750746680705 Mexico

475475470485445360 Mozambique

3,5003,5003,0002,4003,4002,550 Nigeria

1,8001,8002,0001,0001,5001,200 Philippines

1,3251,3251,3001,2751,1931,059 Saudi Arabia

1,1001,1001,1001,0751,200805 Senegal

1,1001,1001,100990870885 South Africa

460460450440430420 United Arab Emirates

450450450425420337 Yemen

10,50810,50811,29810,73610,68910,656 Others

37,81837,81837,97335,25036,52933,407 Subtotal

2,7722,7722,0163,0532,7592,542 Unaccounted

700700700675640621 United States

41,29041,29040,68938,97839,92836,570 World Total


Note about dates: 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, 2013/14 is calendar year 2014, and so on.

June 2014

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

Milled Production

34,80034,80034,59033,82033,70031,700 Bangladesh

8,5008,5008,6007,9907,8889,300 Brazil

12,15012,15011,95711,71511,47311,060 Burma

4,9004,9004,7254,6704,2684,233 Cambodia

144,000144,000142,300143,000140,700137,000 China

4,9004,9004,8804,6754,2503,100 Egypt

106,000106,000106,290105,240105,31095,980 India

37,70037,70037,35536,55036,50035,500 Indonesia

7,7007,7007,8327,7567,6467,720 Japan

4,1504,1504,2304,0064,2244,295 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,3613,0002,9702,680 Nepal

6,7006,7006,6005,8006,2005,000 Pakistan

12,20012,20011,89011,42810,71010,539 Philippines

20,50020,50020,50020,20020,46020,262 Thailand

27,80027,80027,80027,51927,15226,371 Vietnam

38,80838,80838,44937,89137,60337,613 Others

473,908473,908471,359465,260461,054442,353 Subtotal

6,8116,8116,1156,3365,8667,593 United States

480,719480,719477,474471,596466,920449,946 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

34,80034,80034,60034,50034,30032,400 Bangladesh

8,1508,1508,0507,8507,9288,200 Brazil

11,00011,00010,50010,40010,20010,100 Burma

3,7003,7003,6503,5503,4003,370 Cambodia

148,000148,000146,000144,000139,600135,000 China

4,1004,1004,0003,9003,6203,300 Egypt

98,00098,00096,50094,03193,33490,206 India

39,20039,20038,65038,12738,18838,044 Indonesia

3,4503,4503,4003,3503,3003,250 Iran

8,2008,2008,2508,2508,0508,200 Japan

4,5904,5904,6074,5004,9055,175 Korea, South

6,1006,1006,0005,3005,6004,800 Nigeria

13,20013,20012,85012,85012,86012,900 Philippines

10,90010,90010,80010,60010,40010,300 Thailand

21,50021,50021,50021,90019,65019,400 Vietnam

60,11460,12960,20858,45156,76453,799 Others

478,087478,102471,583464,404456,274440,623 Subtotal

4,0964,0953,9663,7523,4934,330 United States

482,183482,197475,549468,156459,767444,953 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,1861,1861,0866961,3411,378 Bangladesh

46,18246,18246,83247,38245,02342,574 China

24,23023,44025,23025,44025,10023,500 India

6,1816,1816,6816,4767,4037,131 Indonesia

2,8242,8242,8242,7422,7472,712 Japan

3,3273,3272,5271,4871,5092,459 Philippines

13,70813,70813,80812,8089,3305,615 Thailand

11,83411,82712,10012,01713,00812,728 Others

109,472108,675111,088109,048105,46198,097 Subtotal

1,1931,0971,0411,1561,3031,514 United States

110,665109,772112,129110,204106,76499,611 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

June 2014

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

May

2014/15

Jun

2014/15

TY Imports none

1,654 North America 1,664 1,772 1,800 1,825 1,825

1,099 Caribbean 845 980 1,025 1,015 1,015

1,396 South America 1,896 1,708 1,847 1,907 1,907

128 Other Europe 114 125 130 130 130

366 Former Soviet Union - 12 456 452 491 441 441

6,099 Middle East 6,455 6,921 6,685 6,755 6,755

381 North Africa 777 487 495 520 520


2,444 East Asia 4,389 5,349 4,950 5,460 5,460

1,864 South Asia 737 712 960 740 740

6,418 Southeast Asia 5,488 3,611 5,455 4,850 4,850

2,314 Others 2,158 2,193 2,245 2,125 2,125

34,028 Total 37,169 35,925 38,673 38,518 38,518

Production none

7,739 North America 5,979 6,467 6,248 6,944 6,944

943 Caribbean 1,002 974 1,040 1,053 1,053

17,197 South America 15,215 15,808 16,560 16,522 16,522

2,172 European Union - 28 2,110 2,086 1,942 1,963 1,963


2,131 Middle East 2,170 2,135 2,330 2,349 2,349

3,139 North Africa 4,289 4,704 4,919 4,900 4,900


151,636 East Asia 155,342 157,618 157,373 158,781 158,781

138,116 South Asia 151,656 150,995 154,191 153,920 153,920

111,008 Southeast Asia 113,649 115,432 117,448 118,601 118,601

1,245 Others 1,364 1,550 1,372 1,406 1,406

449,946 Total 466,920 471,596 477,474 480,719 480,719


5,430 North America 4,669 4,927 5,176 5,335 5,336

1,109 Central America 1,156 1,185 1,226 1,231 1,231

2,055 Caribbean 1,997 1,959 2,066 2,073 2,073

14,427 South America 14,180 14,379 14,661 14,853 14,823

3,250 European Union - 28 3,300 3,250 3,200 3,200 3,200


8,293 Middle East 8,603 8,778 8,995 9,150 9,150

3,677 North Africa 4,045 4,422 4,509 4,560 4,560


151,568 East Asia 155,911 160,239 162,487 164,355 164,355

130,792 South Asia 136,823 137,651 140,861 142,540 142,540

98,530 Southeast Asia 99,148 101,968 102,616 104,221 104,221

634 Others 661 757 760 555 570

442,774 Total 455,592 465,311 473,531 479,114 479,100

Ending Stocks none

1,734 North America 1,455 1,345 1,251 1,322 1,418

249 Central America 273 265 268 273 273

122 Caribbean 157 104 103 98 98

2,220 South America 1,609 1,423 1,666 1,940 1,857

1,215 European Union - 28 1,117 1,145 1,037 1,010 1,010

1,731 Middle East 1,526 1,838 1,748 1,642 1,642

122 North Africa 487 427 532 517 517


46,690 East Asia 48,874 51,177 50,716 50,002 50,002

25,342 South Asia 27,511 27,019 27,289 25,509 26,389

18,599 Southeast Asia 21,369 23,184 25,671 25,701 25,701

27 Oceania 40 185 88 88 88

200 Others 134 186 179 184 184

99,611 Total 106,764 110,204 112,129 109,772 110,665



June 2014


13

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Black Sea Brazil Paranagua Argentina Up River

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW World corn production in 2014/15 is raised because of larger forecast crops in Ukraine, EU, and Russia. Global trade is slightly higher with greater demand from Turkey. U.S. exports and the season average farm price are unchanged. For 2013/14, global trade is higher as stronger demand from EU, Egypt, Turkey, and Colombia more than offsets cuts to Kenya and China. U.S. exports are unchanged and the season average farm price is lowered slightly on expectations of large late-season marketings and declining cash and futures prices. PRICES Since the release of the May WASDE report, favorable weather conditions for planting and crop development in the United States caused U.S. quotes to shed over $20/ton, closing at $216/ton on June 6. Argentine quotes dropped a similar amount, but remain below the United States at $208/ton. Brazilian quotes resumed at the end of May and are $3/ton lower than U.S. Meanwhile, Ukrainian prices remain well above other origins as old-crop supplies tighten.


Brazilian corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 22.0 million on prospects for a larger harvest and on expectations that a bigger share will ship after October 1. (The estimate for 2013/14 is cut by 500,000 tons to 20.5 million).

June 2014


14

South African corn is raised 200,000 tons to 2.5 million on a larger crop. (Exports in 2013/14 are raised 300,000 tons to 2.3 million).

Serbian corn is cut 200,000 tons to 2.1 million on a smaller forecast crop.

EU barley is up 300,000 tons to 5.8 million on a larger crop.

Selected Importer

Turkish corn is up 500,000 tons to a record 2.0 million on strong feed demand for poultry and because of the smallest barley crop in 40 years. Barley is up 200,000 tons to 500,000, the largest in more than 30 years. (Corn imports in 2013/14 are also raised 500,000 tons to 1.5 million.)


Argentine corn is cut by 500,000 tons to 9.5 million on the slow pace of sales and shipments.

Indian corn is up 500,000 tons to 3.5 million on the strong pace of shipments and improved competitiveness.

Russian corn is raised 300,000 tons to 3.8 million on the pace of shipments.

Ukrainian corn is boosted 1.0 million tons to 20.0 million on trade data to date.

Selected Importers

Chinese corn is cut 500,000 tons to 4.0 million due to continuing cancellations of U.S. sales.

Colombian corn is boosted 400,000 tons to a record 4.5 million based on strong imports, particularly from the United States.

Egyptian corn is raised 500,000 tons to 7.0 million due to the brisk pace of imports.

EU corn is up 1.0 million tons to 14.0 million based on licenses.

Kenyan corn is slashed 600,000 tons to 200,000 on a sluggish pace and despite reports of tight supplies and high prices.

June 2014

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

TY Exports

21,50521,50513,70529,49622,30718,628 Argentina

5,9255,9256,6256,3957,2794,897 Australia

22,01021,51020,51026,07812,67711,591 Brazil

4,6004,6004,9004,6693,8534,427 Canada

8,0557,7556,5308,9147,1775,865 European Union

2,6502,6503,7505,5414,8583,437 India

7,1107,1106,1854,3655,9971,029 Russia

2,1102,3101,8256282,3452,013 Serbia

2,5252,3252,3252,4131,8512,857 South Africa

18,16018,16022,48015,52717,4477,490 Ukraine

7,1207,1207,6657,5297,4654,540 Others

101,770100,97096,500111,55593,25666,774 Subtotal

47,28547,28553,03520,58940,19149,183 United States

149,055148,255149,535132,144133,447115,957 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,9103,9104,0103,2803,6912,949 Algeria

1,2051,2051,2051,2401,211650 Brazil

1,6251,6251,7251,3271,5231,271 Chile

9,8009,80010,8005,6047,9242,697 China

4,7304,7305,0304,0884,1034,155 Colombia

1,2001,2001,1001,0461,054999 Dominican Republic

6,5306,5307,0555,0967,2505,840 Egypt

13,30513,30514,30511,7666,9088,635 European Union

2,6002,6002,8002,7191,7243,041 Indonesia

5,8005,8005,5004,8005,7004,000 Iran

1,8651,8651,7401,5641,5301,446 Israel

18,90018,90018,50017,74317,73018,590 Japan

1,3001,3001,2001,2021,158917 Jordan

9,5909,5909,5908,2657,7268,168 Korea, South

1,2501,2501,1501,220829543 Libya

3,4003,4003,2003,0483,3092,809 Malaysia

11,40011,40011,9007,62312,81910,760 Mexico

2,6002,6002,4001,8312,4792,059 Morocco

2,4252,4252,4252,4041,9282,079 Peru

10,00510,00510,32512,39010,4858,138 Saudi Arabia

1,0001,0007507671,2821,959 Syria

4,3504,3504,3504,3984,4784,277 Taiwan

2,5001,8001,6501,922782496 Turkey

2,6002,6002,6002,1462,5961,251 Venezuela

2,0002,0002,2001,7001,6001,000 Vietnam

15,34015,33014,92613,84814,90213,895 Others

141,230140,520142,436123,037126,721112,624 Subtotal

4,7254,6353,8482,6443,586884 Unaccounted

3,1003,1003,2516,4633,1402,449 United States

149,055148,255149,535132,144133,447115,957 World Total


June 2014

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

Production

35,16635,16633,46537,24630,10533,258 Argentina

11,80711,80712,44711,16612,25711,485 Australia

77,11377,11379,11384,25375,88460,380 Brazil

23,06523,06528,73524,42722,92122,668 Canada

226,580226,580224,310212,192198,635183,771 China

13,05013,05013,05012,28612,26411,193 Ethiopia

153,083152,238158,341146,073149,881142,829 European Union

41,73040,70042,71039,94042,25043,370 India

9,2009,2009,1008,5008,8506,800 Indonesia

30,14030,14029,84028,88125,68929,226 Mexico

19,20019,20019,20018,57317,42120,720 Nigeria

38,00037,50035,73528,65833,07716,416 Russia

14,04314,04315,05312,87313,26811,310 South Africa

9,57511,37513,07510,59511,29910,184 Turkey

35,30034,30039,91829,52733,47621,503 Ukraine

153,058153,113149,037146,923146,014144,115 Others

890,110888,590903,129852,113833,291769,228 Subtotal

368,588368,588369,431286,005323,728330,236 United States

1,258,6981,257,1781,272,5601,138,1181,157,0191,099,464 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

13,63113,63112,79512,05010,51011,033 Argentina

59,90359,90358,37855,80353,65352,548 Brazil

20,92020,92022,14020,26220,28021,201 Canada

235,300235,300224,875209,671196,192188,448 China

13,07812,97812,88012,60512,73613,332 Egypt

13,15013,15013,15012,15011,85010,700 Ethiopia

160,070160,070163,295153,295151,460154,642 European Union

39,35038,85037,40035,27537,75038,850 India

19,10019,10018,70018,03017,99018,875 Japan

40,94040,94039,88536,19537,98539,785 Mexico

19,30019,30019,15018,70017,32120,670 Nigeria

31,20030,90029,01925,13427,72818,131 Russia

12,02312,02312,11011,61011,25011,206 South Africa

13,23013,83013,43012,95511,75511,075 Turkey

17,08516,58516,30714,66115,55913,772 Ukraine

231,239231,189223,209218,541213,602206,951 Others

941,401941,161926,365861,059866,172831,990 Subtotal

309,306309,305311,030276,268290,047298,057 United States

1,250,7071,250,4661,237,3951,137,3271,156,2191,130,047 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,9985,4984,9582,4831,3375,597 Argentina

14,39413,89415,98914,5599,82110,836 Brazil

3,6693,6695,5893,0843,3953,549 Canada

79,44679,94678,49168,38660,37050,134 China

12,22111,67613,95812,83715,57916,733 European Union

3,3343,3343,8344,2344,7344,138 Iran

3,4463,9463,3362,3302,4212,149 Ukraine

43,21341,72446,54037,97443,15042,403 Others

165,721163,687172,695145,887140,807135,539 Subtotal

46,85346,81731,88823,53127,82032,288 United States

212,574210,504204,583169,418168,627167,827 World Total

June 2014

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

May

2014/15

Jun

2014/15

TY Imports none

14,265 North America 16,723 14,609 15,586 15,035 15,035

2,900 Central America 2,769 2,470 3,001 3,200 3,200

2,193 Caribbean 2,159 2,327 2,385 2,510 2,510

10,536 South America 11,968 11,804 13,550 13,200 13,200

8,635 European Union - 28 6,908 11,766 14,305 13,305 13,305

1,139 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,038 725 900 880 880

18,690 Middle East 23,362 24,922 23,425 24,260 24,960

12,349 North Africa 15,320 13,037 15,865 15,240 15,240


33,888 East Asia 38,040 36,163 43,370 42,770 42,770

7,558 Southeast Asia 7,317 8,058 9,580 9,280 9,280

876 Others 1,019 942 1,135 1,055 1,055

115,073 Total 129,861 129,500 145,687 143,620 144,330

Production none

382,130 North America 372,338 339,313 428,006 421,793 421,793

106,037 South America 117,979 135,054 125,723 126,346 126,346

142,829 European Union - 28 149,881 146,073 158,341 152,238 153,083

9,996 Other Europe 9,497 6,584 9,434 9,456 9,201


19,559 Middle East 20,382 18,215 20,945 18,688 16,888

12,159 North Africa 11,142 10,129 11,657 11,389 11,389


185,731 East Asia 200,748 214,647 226,756 229,088 229,088

50,624 South Asia 50,314 48,598 51,738 49,548 50,778

26,374 Southeast Asia 28,379 29,138 30,978 31,676 31,676

12,030 Oceania 12,813 11,834 13,088 12,467 12,467

4,586 Others 4,789 4,869 4,868 4,868 4,868

1,099,464 Total 1,157,019 1,138,118 1,272,560 1,257,178 1,258,698


359,043 North America 348,312 332,725 373,055 371,165 371,166

84,120 South America 85,318 89,487 93,833 96,971 96,971

154,642 European Union - 28 151,460 153,295 163,295 160,070 160,070

8,714 Other Europe 8,374 7,104 7,847 7,971 7,921


38,540 Middle East 40,949 42,548 43,826 45,376 44,776

25,390 North Africa 25,266 24,636 26,112 27,260 27,360


221,781 East Asia 228,692 243,025 259,956 270,811 270,811

46,064 South Asia 45,658 43,484 46,173 47,629 48,329

33,139 Southeast Asia 34,612 35,867 37,420 39,020 39,020

7,495 Oceania 6,518 5,857 6,318 6,417 6,417

9,698 Others 9,692 9,634 10,123 10,423 10,423

1,129,276 Total 1,137,668 1,143,205 1,227,753 1,247,974 1,248,825

Ending Stocks none

37,878 North America 33,072 28,239 40,456 53,565 53,601

20,420 South America 13,958 19,115 23,625 21,573 22,955

16,733 European Union - 28 15,579 12,837 13,958 11,676 12,221

1,455 Other Europe 1,023 611 1,282 1,307 1,302


8,087 Middle East 10,492 9,775 11,399 8,376 8,376

4,784 North Africa 5,447 3,756 5,123 4,072 4,372


53,420 East Asia 63,410 71,061 81,101 82,523 82,023

3,071 South Asia 2,959 2,803 4,488 3,272 4,202

3,508 Southeast Asia 3,061 3,225 3,973 4,269 4,269

1,583 Oceania 978 987 872 1,007 1,007

793 Others 792 752 853 999 978

167,827 Total 168,627 169,418 204,583 210,504 212,574



June 2014

World Corn Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

TY Exports

17,00017,0009,50022,78916,50115,198 Argentina

22,00021,50020,50026,04412,67411,582 Brazil

1,5001,5001,2001,8134941,658 Canada

2,0002,0002,0002,1933,2871,096 European Union

2,5002,5003,5004,7684,6743,376 India

2,1002,1002,0002,8582,1881,201 Paraguay

3,5003,5003,8001,9172,02737 Russia

2,1002,3001,8006012,3312,004 Serbia

2,5002,3002,3002,3981,8312,839 South Africa

16,00016,00020,00012,72615,1575,008 Ukraine

4,2404,2404,8454,1444,1702,548 Others

75,44074,94071,44582,25165,33446,547 Subtotal

43,00043,00048,00018,27538,42845,135 United States

118,440117,940119,445100,526103,76291,682 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,5003,5003,5002,9093,2032,683 Algeria

800800800871937287 Brazil

1,3001,3001,500844906526 Chile

3,0003,0004,0002,7025,231979 China

4,2004,2004,5003,2643,2093,511 Colombia

900900900911746838 Cuba

1,2001,2001,1001,0461,054999 Dominican Republic

6,5006,5007,0005,0597,1545,803 Egypt

13,00013,00014,00011,3516,1137,385 European Union

850850750678691676 Guatemala

2,6002,6002,8002,7191,7243,041 Indonesia

4,8004,8005,0003,7004,0003,500 Iran

1,5001,5001,4001,2241,2211,029 Israel

16,00016,00015,50014,41214,89215,648 Japan

9,5009,5009,5008,1747,6368,107 Korea, South

3,4003,4003,2003,0483,3092,809 Malaysia

10,90010,90011,5005,67611,1728,252 Mexico

2,0002,0001,9001,6841,9431,738 Morocco

2,3002,3002,3002,2541,7721,939 Peru

2,5002,5002,3002,0631,8161,933 Saudi Arabia

4,2004,2004,2004,2324,3414,134 Taiwan

850850850846853677 Tunisia

2,0001,5001,5001,656729453 Turkey

2,6002,6002,6002,1462,5961,251 Venezuela

2,0002,0002,2001,7001,6001,000 Vietnam

11,81011,81010,9709,38811,56511,099 Others

114,210113,710115,77094,557100,41390,297 Subtotal

3,4803,4802,8751,7452,584701 Unaccounted

7507508004,224765684 United States

118,440117,940119,445100,526103,76291,682 World Total


June 2014

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

Production

26,00026,00024,00027,00021,00025,200 Argentina

74,00074,00076,00081,50073,00057,400 Brazil

12,50012,50014,20013,06011,35912,043 Canada

220,000220,000217,730205,614192,780177,245 China

6,5006,5006,5006,1586,0694,895 Ethiopia

65,24764,64764,57358,86668,11858,265 European Union

22,00022,00024,19022,26021,76021,730 India

9,2009,2009,1008,5008,8506,800 Indonesia

22,50022,50021,90021,59118,72621,058 Mexico

7,7007,7007,7007,6309,2508,800 Nigeria

7,9007,9007,7007,2617,1307,271 Philippines

13,00012,50011,6358,2136,9623,075 Russia

6,3006,5006,4003,7506,4006,800 Serbia

13,50013,50014,50012,36512,75910,924 South Africa

27,00026,00030,90020,92222,83811,919 Ukraine

93,81193,66691,14690,27488,37786,329 Others

627,158625,113628,174594,964575,378519,754 Subtotal

353,965353,965353,715273,832313,949316,165 United States

981,123979,078981,889868,796889,327835,919 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,0009,0008,3007,9007,0007,300 Argentina

56,50056,50055,00052,50050,50049,500 Brazil

12,20012,20012,20011,60511,63611,761 Canada

222,000222,000212,000200,000188,000180,000 China

12,20012,10012,00011,70011,70012,500 Egypt

76,50076,00075,50069,60069,50064,900 European Union

20,30020,30019,50017,50017,20018,100 India

11,90011,90011,50010,90010,5009,800 Indonesia

16,00016,00015,50014,50014,90015,700 Japan

9,6009,6009,6008,4817,8158,214 Korea, South

32,75032,75031,50027,00029,00029,500 Mexico

8,4008,4008,0007,4007,4007,200 Philippines

9,0008,7007,8006,4004,7003,200 Russia

11,40011,40011,50011,00010,70010,650 South Africa

10,90010,4009,9008,1007,8006,500 Ukraine

151,311150,261145,636141,259140,350133,552 Others

670,711668,961652,899601,623605,781567,325 Subtotal

296,812296,812298,083263,641279,035285,123 United States

967,523965,773950,982865,264884,816852,448 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,5354,0353,5251,3158994,041 Argentina

13,75013,25015,45014,1509,21210,278 Brazil

78,10078,60077,20067,57059,33549,415 China

5,9105,8106,1635,0906,6665,222 European Union

2,6112,6112,4611,0611,3161,112 Mexico

3,0173,3413,0923,0673,6763,418 South Africa

2,3912,8912,2411,1911,0511,121 Ukraine

28,48227,33829,79723,83727,33126,846 Others

138,796137,876139,929117,281109,486101,453 Subtotal

43,85143,85129,11820,85925,12228,644 United States

182,647181,727169,047138,140134,608130,097 World Total

June 2014

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

May

2014/15

Jun

2014/15

TY Imports none

9,920 North America 12,684 10,393 12,700 12,150 12,150

2,889 Central America 2,766 2,470 3,000 3,200 3,200

8,372 South America 9,886 9,643 12,070 11,620 11,620

7,385 European Union - 28 6,113 11,351 14,000 13,000 13,000


9,942 Middle East 10,686 10,738 12,425 12,825 13,325

11,265 North Africa 13,799 11,145 13,900 13,550 13,550


29,024 East Asia 32,282 29,673 33,330 32,830 32,830

7,541 Southeast Asia 7,304 8,040 9,560 9,260 9,260

2,193 Caribbean 2,159 2,327 2,385 2,510 2,510

574 Others 590 672 790 710 710

90,981 Total 101,178 98,781 116,570 114,460 114,960

Production none

349,266 North America 344,034 308,483 389,815 388,965 388,965

93,105 South America 103,988 119,769 110,880 111,670 111,670

58,265 European Union - 28 68,118 58,866 64,573 64,647 65,247

8,291 Other Europe 7,810 4,915 7,690 7,736 7,481


6,448 Middle East 7,164 6,330 6,946 6,688 6,688

6,780 North Africa 5,722 5,891 6,001 5,951 5,951


178,955 East Asia 194,585 207,760 219,859 222,199 222,199

27,663 South Asia 28,536 29,705 31,830 29,460 29,660

3,549 Central America 3,698 3,740 3,743 3,743 3,743

26,135 Southeast Asia 28,138 28,893 30,733 31,431 31,431

1,168 Others 1,312 1,369 1,204 1,282 1,282

835,919 Total 889,327 868,796 981,889 979,078 981,123


326,384 North America 319,671 302,246 341,783 341,762 341,762

73,823 South America 75,021 78,431 82,695 85,520 85,520

64,900 European Union - 28 69,500 69,600 75,500 76,000 76,500

6,741 Other Europe 6,392 5,194 5,845 5,985 5,935


16,885 Middle East 17,348 18,081 18,410 19,835 20,835

18,525 North Africa 18,000 18,150 18,900 19,350 19,450


209,870 East Asia 217,047 229,434 243,505 254,035 254,035

23,981 South Asia 23,770 24,480 26,870 27,670 27,870

32,893 Southeast Asia 34,357 35,609 37,160 38,760 38,760

6,375 Central America 6,425 6,200 6,625 6,825 6,825

3,420 Others 3,369 3,556 3,585 3,735 3,735

853,500 Total 867,736 869,486 943,519 964,323 966,773

Ending Stocks none

31,019 North America 27,803 23,469 34,328 48,511 48,511

18,056 South America 12,608 17,193 21,308 19,038 20,438

5,222 European Union - 28 6,666 5,090 6,163 5,810 5,910

1,212 Other Europe 771 353 1,018 1,029 1,024


3,918 Middle East 4,548 3,541 4,107 3,190 3,190

2,102 North Africa 2,960 1,969 2,860 2,601 2,901


52,082 East Asia 61,836 69,729 79,313 80,707 80,207

1,549 South Asia 1,680 2,080 3,640 2,510 2,780

3,504 Southeast Asia 3,058 3,220 3,968 4,264 4,264

547 Central America 564 507 600 693 693

250 Others 241 264 263 306 285

130,097 Total 134,608 138,140 169,047 181,727 182,647



June 2014

World Barley Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

TY Exports

2,5002,5003,0003,6473,6311,531 Argentina

4,7004,7005,7004,6215,8194,088 Australia

1,2001,2001,8001,3161,4371,052 Canada

5,8005,5004,1006,4733,6464,581 European Union

1001002005425230 India

400400400151659224 Kazakhstan

15151520510 Moldova

3,5003,5002,3002,3663,668969 Russia

10102526149 Serbia

2,0002,0002,3002,6592,1662,446 Ukraine

556515112035 Others

20,23019,93019,90521,97221,21714,975 Subtotal

250250300162179181 United States

20,48020,18020,20522,13421,39615,156 World Total

none

TY Imports

400400500364479262 Algeria

100100502510025 Belarus

400400400369274362 Brazil

3,0003,0003,3002,1842,5411,656 China

275275275232301251 Colombia

1,0001,0005001,1001,700500 Iran

300300275244276287 Israel

1,3001,3001,3001,3561,2571,359 Japan

750750750831750544 Jordan

400400400388376317 Kuwait

550550500573183179 Libya

1001001004714426 Mexico

600600500147536222 Morocco

1001001001039783 Peru

200200300278372411 Russia

7,5007,5008,00010,2008,6006,200 Saudi Arabia

500500250300200300 Syria

100100400764218281 Tunisia

5003001502664639 Turkey

550550550541524334 United Arab Emirates

9359359009511,4281,265 Others

19,56019,36019,50021,26320,40214,903 Subtotal

420320255440525105 Unaccounted

500500450431469148 United States

20,48020,18020,20522,13421,39615,156 World Total


June 2014

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

Production

1,6501,6501,4981,5001,3501,500 Algeria

3,8503,8504,7505,0004,5002,950 Argentina

8,1008,1009,6007,4668,2217,995 Australia

1,4001,4001,7002,1002,0131,966 Belarus

7,2007,20010,2508,0127,8927,627 Canada

1,4001,4001,5001,6261,6371,972 China

1,8001,8001,8001,7821,5921,703 Ethiopia

55,88455,63959,60754,89751,88353,691 European Union

1,7301,7001,7501,6201,6601,350 India

3,2003,2003,2003,4002,9003,580 Iran

2,6002,6002,5391,5002,5931,313 Kazakhstan

1,7501,7502,7001,2002,3402,570 Morocco

16,00016,00015,38913,95216,9388,350 Russia

4,0005,8007,3005,5007,0005,900 Turkey

7,0007,0007,5616,9359,0988,484 Ukraine

9,1779,1779,2978,7318,5348,264 Others

126,741128,266140,441125,221130,151119,215 Subtotal

4,2674,2674,6834,7963,3923,925 United States

131,008132,533145,124130,017133,543123,140 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,2502,2502,2502,0001,8001,600 Algeria

3,3003,3003,7003,0003,3004,200 Australia

1,6001,6001,8002,2002,1002,000 Belarus

6,8006,8007,9006,8096,9167,464 Canada

4,5004,5004,7004,0003,8004,050 China

1,8501,8501,8501,7251,6001,725 Ethiopia

51,00051,50053,70051,00051,20056,610 European Union

1,7501,7501,2001,5251,5501,350 India

4,3004,3004,1004,6004,1003,900 Iran

2,3002,3002,1001,3751,8251,475 Kazakhstan

3,0003,0002,4001,9003,1003,050 Morocco

13,20013,20012,80012,10014,3009,500 Russia

8,7258,7258,5258,1257,2256,325 Saudi Arabia

5,1506,7506,9506,2006,7506,000 Turkey

5,0005,0005,1005,1006,3006,000 Ukraine

16,84916,84916,83615,92715,39314,700 Others

131,893133,893137,023127,058131,013131,715 Subtotal

4,6594,6584,6804,6664,1924,537 United States

136,552138,551141,703131,724135,205136,252 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7427429421,1941,4351,236 Algeria

9839831,7589831,1951,502 Canada

4,3843,9395,2505,0936,0697,938 European Union

1,2481,2481,3481,7481,3481,348 Iran

6156151,1157268481,386 Russia

2,8532,8534,0783,1032,7281,253 Saudi Arabia

8648648598731,172794 Ukraine

5,3035,2817,1205,4236,4996,860 Others

16,99216,52522,47019,14321,29422,317 Subtotal

1,7781,7961,8441,7501,3061,945 United States

18,77018,32124,31420,89322,60024,262 World Total

6/11/2014 10:24:59 AM

June 2014

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

May

2014/15

Jun

2014/15

TY Imports none

227 North America 619 499 575 625 625

922 South America 851 1,064 985 985 985

288 European Union - 28 364 52 50 50 50

189 Other Europe 209 127 175 175 175


8,604 Middle East 12,557 13,956 10,910 11,360 11,560

960 North Africa 1,458 1,885 1,950 1,675 1,675

77 Sub-Saharan Africa 105 57 75 80 80

3,107 East Asia 3,924 3,663 4,725 4,425 4,425

8 South Asia 68 7 30 30 30

15 Oceania 19 9 15 15 15

15,051 Total 20,871 21,694 19,950 19,860 20,060

Production none

12,224 North America 11,771 13,840 15,483 12,017 12,017

3,869 South America 5,539 6,094 5,890 4,985 4,985

53,691 European Union - 28 51,883 54,897 59,607 55,639 55,884

1,142 Other Europe 1,189 1,193 1,268 1,244 1,244


11,459 Middle East 11,675 10,285 12,434 10,435 8,635

4,546 North Africa 4,410 3,309 4,727 4,509 4,509


2,215 East Asia 1,939 1,928 1,810 1,702 1,702

1,990 South Asia 2,267 2,152 2,457 2,407 2,437

8,303 Oceania 8,538 7,905 10,008 8,510 8,510

123,140 Total 133,543 130,017 145,124 132,533 131,008


12,701 North America 11,808 12,375 13,280 12,158 12,159

2,927 South America 3,062 3,351 3,465 3,595 3,595

56,610 European Union - 28 51,200 51,000 53,700 51,500 51,000

1,339 Other Europe 1,366 1,298 1,423 1,397 1,397


19,884 Middle East 22,016 22,585 23,746 23,871 22,271

5,882 North Africa 6,186 5,555 6,280 6,978 6,978


5,772 East Asia 5,555 5,806 6,455 6,255 6,255

1,992 South Asia 2,197 2,063 1,912 2,468 2,468

4,550 Oceania 3,650 3,425 4,125 3,725 3,725

134,486 Total 135,451 132,252 140,591 138,332 136,233

Ending Stocks none

3,647 North America 2,621 3,014 3,833 2,960 2,942

809 South America 562 686 1,067 960 942

7,938 European Union - 28 6,069 5,093 5,250 3,939 4,384

193 Other Europe 204 227 221 233 233


4,092 Middle East 5,847 6,139 7,212 5,136 5,136

2,612 North Africa 2,426 1,720 2,189 1,390 1,390


680 East Asia 984 768 843 715 715

205 South Asia 266 128 233 117 157

1,040 Oceania 576 585 483 583 583

24,262 Total 22,600 20,893 24,314 18,321 18,770



June 2014

World Sorghum Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

TY Exports

2,0002,0001,2003,0592,1631,893 Argentina

1,0001,0007001,4251,185575 Australia

757575757575 Ethiopia

50505023113231 India

505050507560 Nigeria

15015015012411334 Ukraine

30303026230 Uruguay

135135165151141148 Others

3,4903,4902,4205,1413,9072,816 Subtotal

4,0004,0004,7002,1281,5493,827 United States

7,4907,4907,1207,2695,4566,643 World Total

none

TY Imports

505050502530 Botswana

250250150404544729 Chile

3,7003,7003,400631844 China

250250250591592391 Colombia

505050503035 Ethiopia

200200200291126922 European Union

1,5001,5001,6001,8971,4811,418 Japan

3003002001,7891,3692,379 Mexico

100100100175125200 Sudan

1001001001168497 Taiwan

365355471634613521 Others

6,8656,8556,5716,6285,0736,726 Subtotal

625635548398380-84 Unaccounted

00124331 United States

7,4907,4907,1207,2695,4566,643 World Total


June 2014

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

Production

4,8004,8004,2004,7004,2004,400 Argentina

2,0502,0501,2002,0052,2391,935 Australia

2,4002,4002,4002,1022,2222,314 Brazil

1,9001,9001,9401,9241,5001,990 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1001,1501,099 Cameroon

9009007451,172648680 Chad

2,8002,8002,7002,5562,0512,456 China

4,0004,0004,0003,6043,9513,960 Ethiopia

6,0006,0005,2505,3006,0307,000 India

1,2001,2001,2001,2121,1911,257 Mali

7,0007,0007,3006,1746,4257,385 Mexico

1,2001,2001,2871,3768071,300 Niger

6,5006,5006,5005,9436,9006,750 Nigeria

3,8003,8002,2494,5244,6052,630 Sudan

800800800839807800 Tanzania

7,1707,1707,0796,9057,0726,432 Others

53,67053,67050,00051,43651,79852,388 Subtotal

9,1449,1449,8826,2725,4478,779 United States

62,81462,81459,88257,70857,24561,167 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,6002,6002,6002,3001,9001,900 Argentina

1,0051,0056058051,1051,405 Australia

2,3002,3002,3002,3002,1752,075 Brazil

1,9001,9001,9001,9001,5001,900 Burkina

1,1751,1751,1751,1101,1751,109 Cameroon

9009008501,150650700 Chad

6,3006,3005,7003,2002,2002,200 China

4,0004,0004,0003,7003,7003,700 Ethiopia

5,8005,8005,2005,1506,0006,800 India

1,5001,5001,6001,9001,4751,460 Japan

1,2001,2001,2001,2001,3001,300 Mali

7,3007,3007,5008,1008,1009,400 Mexico

1,3001,3001,3001,2009501,250 Niger

6,5006,5006,4505,9006,8006,700 Nigeria

4,0004,0002,5504,7004,5003,000 Sudan

8,8998,8998,6669,3139,5019,765 Others

57,31857,32854,51152,71354,53554,682 Subtotal

4,9534,9535,2084,7833,9535,278 United States

62,27162,28159,71957,49658,48859,960 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

884884684784167950 Argentina

472472372272472425 Brazil

876876701326366467 China

389389414439560354 Ethiopia

295295145145223327 India

281281281281418724 Mexico

277277382588609399 Sudan

1,4651,4381,5441,6281,2381,536 Others

4,9394,9124,5234,4634,0535,182 Subtotal

615615488385583697 United States

5,5545,5275,0114,8484,6365,879 World Total

June 2014

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

May

2014/15

Jun

2014/15

TY Imports none

2,380 North America 1,372 2,032 201 300 300

1,218 South America 1,200 1,071 465 565 565

922 European Union - 28 126 291 200 200 200

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

121 Middle East 101 194 75 60 60

120 North Africa 54 0 5 5 5


1,523 East Asia 1,655 2,650 5,105 5,305 5,305

17 Southeast Asia 13 18 20 20 20

21 Others 14 11 11 10 10

6,727 Total 5,076 6,871 6,572 6,855 6,865

Production none

16,164 North America 11,872 12,446 17,182 16,144 16,144

287 Central America 312 339 335 335 335

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

7,351 South America 7,124 7,484 7,342 7,962 7,962

629 European Union - 28 671 495 594 570 570

853 Middle East 764 814 800 800 800

708 North Africa 847 763 763 763 763


2,460 East Asia 2,054 2,560 2,704 2,804 2,804

7,145 South Asia 6,175 5,445 5,395 6,145 6,145


1,935 Oceania 2,239 2,005 1,200 2,050 2,050

61 Others 176 208 250 250 250

61,167 Total 57,245 57,708 59,882 62,814 62,814


14,678 North America 12,053 12,883 12,708 12,253 12,253

300 Central America 320 325 335 335 335

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,739 South America 6,006 6,085 6,077 6,212 6,212

1,535 European Union - 28 760 795 795 770 770

962 Middle East 789 1,052 885 885 885

857 North Africa 908 756 756 756 756


3,764 East Asia 3,771 5,221 7,410 7,910 7,910

6,955 South Asia 6,155 5,305 5,355 5,955 5,955


1,405 Oceania 1,105 805 605 1,005 1,005

30 Others 55 80 105 105 105

59,942 Total 56,984 58,711 58,804 61,632 61,632

Ending Stocks none

1,421 North America 1,001 666 769 896 896

32 Central America 25 39 40 40 40

1,429 South America 695 1,105 1,135 1,455 1,455

21 European Union - 28 14 27 21 16 16

35 Middle East 56 65 55 30 30

69 North Africa 60 66 73 80 80


549 East Asia 451 413 787 961 961

327 South Asia 223 145 145 295 295

361 Oceania 230 270 165 210 210

9 Others 17 24 19 14 14

5,879 Total 4,636 4,848 5,011 5,527 5,554



June 2014

World Oats Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

TY Exports

5551126 Argentina

200200200225174209 Australia

555639 Brazil

1,8001,8001,8001,3591,7631,496 Canada

1001005042106129 Chile

150150275126176113 European Union

1010104181 Russia

101010664 Others

2,2802,2802,3551,7692,2581,967 Subtotal


2,3102,3102,3851,7862,2852,004 World Total

none

TY Imports

000005 Albania

101010794 Algeria

000000 Argentina

555233 Bosnia and Herzegovina

10101091119 Canada

100100100876858 China

555112 Colombia

202020192211 Ecuador

555434 European Union

505050515464 Japan

100100100111134103 Mexico

40404036497 Norway

252525111115 South Africa

505050465649 Switzerland

5556811 Uruguay

00021312 Others

425425425392442367 Subtotal

18518516051114169 Unaccounted

1,7001,7001,8001,3431,7291,468 United States

2,3102,3102,3851,7862,2852,004 World Total


June 2014

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

Production

1101101101106788 Algeria

460460445496345660 Argentina

1,2001,2001,2501,1151,2621,128 Australia

400400450600448442 Belarus

380380380361354379 Brazil

3,0003,0003,8902,8123,1582,451 Canada

700700595680451564 Chile

580580580600600525 China

8,0758,0758,3507,9067,9277,500 European Union

250250305200258134 Kazakhstan

9090908451111 Mexico

236236236236231299 Norway

5,0005,0004,9324,0275,3323,218 Russia

210210210210218204 Turkey

500500467630506458 Ukraine

327327326315372296 Others

21,51821,51822,61620,38221,58018,457 Subtotal

1,0311,0319569297791,178 United States

22,54922,54923,57221,31122,35919,635 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1201201201197589 Algeria

475475425500350650 Argentina

1,0001,0009509501,100900 Australia

400400475575450475 Belarus

375375375350350370 Brazil

1,6501,6501,7501,5181,3561,530 Canada

575575575575325475 Chile

700700675675625625 China

8,0008,0008,1007,8007,8007,793 European Union

250250275225225130 Kazakhstan

190190185195185185 Mexico

270270270295270295 Norway

5,0005,0004,9004,3005,0003,450 Russia

215215215215215210 Turkey

500500475600500475 Ukraine

489489490451519467 Others

20,36920,36920,40219,39619,58418,124 Subtotal

2,5522,5522,6472,7812,5492,789 United States

22,92122,92123,04922,17722,13320,913 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

17417417474134146 Australia

6166161,056506810733 Canada

565631622338 Chile

12412414413912784 China

709709779799796832 European Union

215215225203485167 Russia

636368815240 Ukraine

189189215198230207 Others

2,1462,1462,6922,0622,6572,247 Subtotal

594540420527798982 United States

2,7402,6863,1122,5893,4553,229 World Total

June 2014

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

May

2014/15

Jun

2014/15

TY Imports none

1,590 North America 1,874 1,463 1,910 1,810 1,810

24 South America 31 26 30 30 30

4 European Union - 28 3 4 5 5 5

66 Other Europe 110 86 95 95 95


4 Middle East 4 0 0 0 0



122 East Asia 122 138 150 150 150

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,835 Total 2,171 1,735 2,225 2,125 2,125

Production none

3,740 North America 3,988 3,825 4,936 4,121 4,121

1,644 South America 1,191 1,577 1,463 1,585 1,585

7,500 European Union - 28 7,927 7,906 8,350 8,075 8,075

428 Other Europe 373 369 369 369 369


204 Middle East 218 210 210 210 210

125 North Africa 163 166 166 166 166


527 East Asia 602 602 582 582 582

1,176 Oceania 1,291 1,133 1,281 1,230 1,230

19,635 Total 22,359 21,311 23,572 22,549 22,549


4,504 North America 4,090 4,494 4,582 4,392 4,392

1,563 South America 1,092 1,490 1,448 1,500 1,500

7,793 European Union - 28 7,800 7,800 8,100 8,000 8,000

486 Other Europe 478 474 452 462 462


210 Middle East 215 215 215 215 215

126 North Africa 172 175 176 176 176


685 East Asia 685 730 725 750 750

948 Oceania 1,129 968 981 1,030 1,030

20,908 Total 21,894 22,124 22,902 22,761 22,761

Ending Stocks none

1,720 North America 1,611 1,034 1,482 1,162 1,216

126 South America 93 131 115 120 120

832 European Union - 28 796 799 779 709 709

50 Other Europe 48 31 43 45 45


10 Middle East 17 12 7 2 2



95 East Asia 134 144 151 133 133

146 Oceania 134 74 174 174 174

3,229 Total 3,455 2,589 3,112 2,686 2,740



June 2014

World Rye Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

TY Exports

2525252525150 Belarus

100100100181159221 Canada


100100757828422 Russia

55251692 Ukraine

000043 Others

330330375422540469 Subtotal


335335380429548472 World Total

none

TY Imports


151515341119 Israel

5050502746101 Japan

101010121111 Korea, South

151515211112 Norway

252525250150 Russia

555922 Switzerland

000180 Others

170170170197391331 Subtotal

15151010-17-7 Unaccounted

150150200222174148 United States

335335380429548472 World Total


June 2014

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

May

2014/15

Jun

none

Production

1,3001,3001,5001,600804735 Belarus

190190210337241237 Canada

70706062592 Chile

8,7638,76310,1858,7626,9007,576 European Union

3,5003,5003,3602,1322,9671,642 Russia

350350350370366365 Turkey

400400638676579464 Ukraine

163163168183181197 Others

14,73614,73616,47114,12212,09711,218 Subtotal

181181195176161189 United States

14,91714,91716,66614,29812,25811,407 World Total

none

Total Consumption

404052404540 Argentina

1,3501,3501,4501,500700650 Belarus

9595105124101136 Canada

70706062592 Chile

9,2009,2009,7008,7007,4008,204 European Union

5050502555105 Japan

505040503040 Kazakhstan

3,5003,5003,1002,0002,8501,850 Russia

350350350375375350 Turkey

430430625625625650 Ukraine

118118118170142155 Others

15,26715,26715,65513,70512,35612,216 Subtotal

330330412397318330 United States

15,59715,59716,06714,10212,67412,546 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

18818826323816379 Belarus

212126462551 Canada

6906901,1777927451,013 European Union

7777514 Japan

288288363153129250 Russia

181818182432 Turkey

119119154166132189 Ukraine

666335 Others

1,3371,3372,0141,4231,2261,633 Subtotal


1,3521,3522,0321,4331,2371,653 World Total

June 2014

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

May

2014/15

Jun

2014/15

TY Imports none

148 North America 174 222 200 150 150

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

36 European Union - 28 302 68 50 50 50

14 Other Europe 13 31 20 20 20


19 Middle East 14 34 15 15 15


112 East Asia 57 39 60 60 60

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

479 Total 565 419 370 320 320

Production none

426 North America 402 513 405 371 371

45 South America 107 105 115 113 113

7,576 European Union - 28 6,900 8,762 10,185 8,763 8,763

76 Other Europe 62 47 47 47 47


365 Middle East 366 370 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

33 Oceania 40 40 20 20 20

11,407 Total 12,258 14,298 16,666 14,917 14,917


466 North America 419 521 517 425 425

45 South America 107 105 115 113 113

8,204 European Union - 28 7,400 8,700 9,700 9,200 9,200

89 Other Europe 75 78 67 67 67


369 Middle East 386 409 365 365 365


116 East Asia 66 37 60 60 60

30 Oceania 40 40 20 20 20

12,512 Total 12,700 14,068 16,062 15,583 15,583

Ending Stocks none

71 North America 36 56 44 36 36

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,013 European Union - 28 745 792 1,177 690 690

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


32 Middle East 24 18 18 18 18


14 East Asia 5 7 7 7 7

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,653 Total 1,237 1,433 2,032 1,352 1,352



June 2014

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 34 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 35 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 36 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 37 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 41 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 43 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 45 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 46

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..47 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 48 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 49 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 50 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 51

DG F/SA &F

Grain: World Markets and Trade, April 2014

33 June 2014

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

111.4 115.852.59.97.44.524.5 2003/04 12.0

147.7 123.959.314.77.15.626.2 2004/05 28.3

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.0

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.6

133.8 119.551.022.65.35.225.9 2012/13 10.6

143.3 117.049.030.03.85.625.8 2013/14 10.7

146.3 122.053.528.05.55.526.5 2014/15 12.4

Coarse Grains

134.1 147.7111.94.08.24.033.2 2003/04 13.6

169.1 155.2118.94.83.05.033.9 2004/05 25.6

149.5 150.7112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8

140.0 150.6112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.6

138.7 157.1121.64.520.34.332.6 2007/08 13.0

164.9 154.2116.15.73.14.834.0 2008/09 21.3

157.5 152.4114.83.02.94.832.9 2009/10 26.2

142.8 154.6116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.7

149.9 151.5113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.6

146.1 153.3113.97.411.84.631.4 2012/13 12.8

158.3 163.3121.98.214.35.031.5 2013/14 14.0

153.1 160.1118.38.113.35.030.8 2014/15 12.2

Wheat and Coarse Grains

245.5 263.5164.313.915.64.357.7 2003/04 25.6

316.8 279.1178.219.510.05.360.1 2004/05 53.9

282.3 278.9175.420.09.44.859.1 2005/06 46.8

265.7 276.8173.118.513.24.757.0 2006/07 30.4

259.5 274.2174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.8

316.8 281.8176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.6

297.3 278.0172.325.38.25.058.9 2009/10 42.8

279.5 277.5169.429.313.15.056.2 2010/11 28.7

288.1 278.7170.723.214.35.156.0 2011/12 29.1

279.9 272.8164.930.017.14.957.4 2012/13 23.4

301.7 280.3170.938.218.15.357.2 2013/14 24.6

299.3 282.1171.836.118.85.257.3 2014/15 24.6

June 2014

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.7 123.523.01.07.05.024.2 2013/14 58.2

124.0 122.021.01.03.05.124.2 2014/15 62.2

Coarse Grains

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8

159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4

212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4

224.3 224.9159.10.110.85.938.2 2013/14 78.5

226.6 235.3167.20.19.85.938.6 2014/15 79.4


210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3

267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3

333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3

346.0 348.4182.11.117.85.662.3 2013/14 136.7

350.6 357.3188.21.112.85.662.8 2014/15 141.6

June 2014

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

2.8 4.50.50.01.42.71.0 2003/04 0.7

4.6 5.20.90.31.44.31.1 2004/05 1.2

3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.80.90.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.10.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 5.01.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.63.70.9 2010/11 1.2

3.6 4.81.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.5 4.70.90.71.64.10.9 2012/13 1.0

4.4 4.91.11.31.84.61.0 2013/14 1.1

3.7 4.81.00.91.84.10.9 2014/15 1.0

Coarse Grains

6.6 7.96.90.10.73.12.1 2003/04 0.7

10.4 9.58.40.60.55.02.1 2004/05 1.5

10.2 9.88.61.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3

9.9 9.78.60.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.5

9.5 8.47.02.40.84.62.1 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

9.4 7.86.61.80.94.72.0 2013/14 1.3

9.2 7.96.62.10.94.52.0 2014/15 1.3


9.4 12.47.30.12.03.03.1 2003/04 1.4

15.1 14.89.30.91.94.83.2 2004/05 2.7

14.0 14.99.51.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4

13.4 14.39.31.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.77.70.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.71.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.1

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.6

13.1 13.28.02.92.74.52.9 2011/12 2.4

10.1 11.86.91.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

13.9 12.87.73.12.84.63.0 2013/14 2.4

12.9 12.77.63.02.74.42.9 2014/15 2.3

June 2014

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

115.5 76.224.438.26.62.350.6 2008/09 22.6

114.0 78.326.137.35.42.252.6 2009/10 26.5

81.1 75.624.013.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.6

115.0 79.927.939.78.02.349.8 2011/12 27.0

77.3 71.520.925.47.21.843.9 2012/13 14.7

103.8 72.822.236.77.92.247.6 2013/14 16.8

102.2 72.822.035.67.82.247.4 2014/15 18.4

Coarse Grains

79.2 58.241.617.20.72.630.3 2008/09 9.4

67.7 55.039.115.00.42.527.2 2009/10 7.4

47.5 41.828.48.81.22.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.7 54.338.624.61.02.927.1 2011/12 6.2

69.1 51.136.219.90.72.527.9 2012/13 5.2

88.7 57.741.629.90.93.029.7 2013/14 7.2

85.4 60.344.226.20.92.830.1 2014/15 7.0

June 2014

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

22.7 7.62.611.80.01.713.7 2011/12 6.2

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.00.01.113.0 2013/14 2.1

14.5 7.32.57.00.01.112.7 2014/15 2.3

Russia

56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.8 2011/12 10.9

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 5.0

52.1 34.012.518.51.22.223.4 2013/14 5.7

53.0 33.512.019.51.22.223.8 2014/15 6.9

Ukraine

22.3 15.06.15.40.13.46.7 2011/12 5.4

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.50.13.46.6 2013/14 4.0

20.0 11.53.58.50.13.26.3 2014/15 4.1

Uzbekistan

6.3 7.81.60.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.4

6.7 8.01.70.41.94.81.4 2012/13 1.6

6.8 8.31.80.32.14.91.4 2013/14 1.9

6.8 8.61.90.32.14.91.4 2014/15 1.9

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

7.4 11.52.10.24.72.33.2 2011/12 3.1

7.3 11.72.20.34.12.33.1 2012/13 2.6

8.7 12.22.50.44.52.63.3 2013/14 3.1

7.9 11.92.10.34.42.43.2 2014/15 3.2

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

115.0 79.927.939.78.02.349.8 2011/12 27.0

77.3 71.520.925.47.21.843.9 2012/13 14.7

103.8 72.822.236.77.92.247.6 2013/14 16.8

102.2 72.822.035.67.82.247.4 2014/15 18.4

June 2014


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.5 2011/12 0.2

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.2

2.5 2.11.80.30.01.41.8 2013/14 0.3

2.6 2.32.00.40.01.32.0 2014/15 0.2

Russia

16.9 14.39.83.50.42.27.7 2011/12 0.8

14.0 12.17.72.20.31.87.6 2012/13 0.7

15.4 12.88.42.50.31.98.0 2013/14 1.1

16.0 13.28.63.50.22.08.2 2014/15 0.6

Ukraine

9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2

6.9 5.13.52.10.02.13.3 2012/13 0.9

7.6 5.13.42.50.02.33.2 2013/14 0.9

7.0 5.03.42.00.02.33.0 2014/15 0.9

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2011/12 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2012/13 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2014/15 0.0


3.4 3.52.70.00.22.51.3 2011/12 0.5

3.5 3.72.80.00.12.71.3 2012/13 0.4

3.4 3.52.70.00.12.61.3 2013/14 0.4

3.0 3.22.40.00.22.51.2 2014/15 0.3


32.2 26.319.06.70.72.314.3 2011/12 2.8

26.1 22.515.44.60.41.913.9 2012/13 2.2

29.2 23.816.55.30.52.014.5 2013/14 2.7

28.8 24.016.65.90.42.014.5 2014/15 2.1

June 2014


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2011/12 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2014/15 0.0

Russia

7.0 4.74.02.00.04.31.6 2011/12 0.4

8.2 6.45.61.90.14.21.9 2012/13 0.3

11.6 7.86.93.80.15.02.3 2013/14 0.4

13.0 9.08.03.50.15.02.6 2014/15 0.9

Ukraine

22.8 7.86.515.20.06.43.5 2011/12 1.1

20.9 8.16.812.70.04.84.4 2012/13 1.2

30.9 9.98.520.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.2

27.0 10.99.516.00.15.64.8 2014/15 2.4

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0


3.7 3.32.90.30.24.00.9 2011/12 1.0

2.6 3.02.60.40.22.71.0 2012/13 0.5

3.8 3.53.10.40.34.01.0 2013/14 0.7

3.6 3.53.20.40.33.90.9 2014/15 0.6


34.1 16.414.017.50.35.56.2 2011/12 2.4

32.4 18.115.515.00.34.47.4 2012/13 2.1

47.0 21.819.124.20.45.78.2 2013/14 3.4

44.2 24.121.219.90.45.28.5 2014/15 4.0

June 2014

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3

17.2 6.00.19.50.03.64.8 2010/11 4.1

15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.7

9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3

10.5 6.10.12.00.03.03.5 2013/14 2.7

12.5 6.20.16.50.03.04.2 2014/15 2.6

Australia

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.63.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 7.44.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.1

21.8 5.21.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.1

27.4 5.82.518.60.12.013.5 2010/11 8.2

29.9 6.53.224.70.12.213.9 2011/12 7.1

22.5 6.73.418.70.11.812.8 2012/13 4.3

27.0 7.03.619.50.12.013.5 2013/14 4.9

25.5 6.63.218.50.11.913.6 2014/15 5.5

Canada

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.92.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 7.83.118.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.6

27.0 7.22.519.00.42.89.7 2009/10 7.7

23.3 7.62.716.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.4

25.3 9.94.717.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9

27.2 9.64.419.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 11.26.022.00.43.610.4 2013/14 9.8

28.5 9.84.521.00.52.99.8 2014/15 8.0

Total Wheat Competitors

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

52.3 19.15.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.5

61.0 20.67.340.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.0

60.8 18.24.439.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.1

June 2014


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


67.9 19.35.344.70.62.526.6 2010/11 19.7

70.7 22.38.054.90.62.627.6 2011/12 13.7

59.0 22.58.141.20.62.325.9 2012/13 9.6

75.0 24.29.743.50.62.727.4 2013/14 17.5

66.5 22.57.846.00.62.427.6 2014/15 16.1

India

69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.22.80.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4

86.9 81.43.10.90.03.029.1 2011/12 20.0

94.9 83.83.46.80.03.229.9 2012/13 24.2

93.5 93.94.86.00.03.130.0 2013/14 17.8

95.9 93.94.53.50.03.130.6 2014/15 16.3

Turkey

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2

18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1

15.5 17.50.73.43.62.07.8 2012/13 1.2

18.0 17.80.94.34.02.37.7 2013/14 1.2

15.0 17.30.33.25.51.97.7 2014/15 1.2

June 2014


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

22.5 6.74.815.40.08.02.8 2006/07 1.7

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.1

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

24.0 8.35.513.50.07.13.4 2013/14 3.5

26.0 9.06.016.00.07.13.7 2014/15 4.5

Brazil

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

73.0 50.543.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 9.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 14.2

76.0 55.046.020.50.85.115.0 2013/14 15.5

74.0 56.547.520.00.85.014.8 2014/15 13.8

China

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

217.7 212.0154.00.14.06.036.1 2013/14 77.2

220.0 222.0162.00.13.06.036.5 2014/15 78.1

South Africa

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 3.7

June 2014


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 3.1

14.5 11.55.23.00.04.53.2 2013/14 3.1

13.5 11.45.32.20.04.23.2 2014/15 3.0

Total Corn Competitors

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.5

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.2

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.3

258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 68.9

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2

299.5 256.2183.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 73.1

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 86.1

332.2 286.8210.737.14.85.857.7 2013/14 99.3

333.5 298.9220.838.33.85.758.2 2014/15 99.4

June 2014


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.6 3.72.46.00.02.44.0 2013/14 0.4

8.1 3.32.04.70.02.13.8 2014/15 0.5

Canada

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

10.9 7.86.43.00.12.84.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.3 7.96.71.60.03.92.7 2013/14 1.8

7.2 6.85.61.20.03.22.3 2014/15 1.0

European Union

56.4 55.938.93.40.24.113.9 2006/07 5.8

57.8 54.538.93.80.34.213.9 2007/08 5.7

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.54.90.14.412.5 2012/13 5.1

59.6 53.738.55.80.14.812.3 2013/14 5.3

55.9 51.035.55.80.14.612.2 2014/15 4.4

June 2014


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 1.0

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.2 2.62.31.70.04.21.0 2013/14 0.7

4.8 2.62.32.00.04.41.1 2014/15 0.9

Australia

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.0 0.80.81.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.3

1.2 0.60.60.70.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.1 1.01.01.00.03.10.7 2014/15 0.2

June 2014

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice (Working Statistics)

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

19,53838,26910,57127,69527,4163,4433,34161,671nr319,798 2012/13

16,14433,8685,98731,20032,1144,8004,62757,961nr318,274 2013/14

15,62232,5494,35425,50025,1744,1004,35452,847nr318,591 2014/15

Corn

20,859263,641109,95118,27518,5794,2244,125273,832nr835,360 2012/13

29,118298,083134,62648,00048,262800889353,715nr1035,478 2013/14

43,851296,812133,35643,00043,182750762353,965nr1034,115 2014/15

Sorghum

3854,7832,3642,1281,9302432436,272nr32,005 2012/13

4885,2082,7944,7004,572119,882nr42,643 2013/14

6154,9532,2864,0004,064009,144nr42,266 2014/15

Barley

1,7504,6661,2911621934315074,796nr41,313 2012/13

1,8444,6801,3063003034503944,683nr41,214 2013/14

1,7784,6591,3062502185005444,267nr41,133 2014/15

Oats

5272,7811,67817191,3431,600929nr2423 2012/13

4202,6471,56030221,8001,606956nr2417 2013/14

5942,5521,43330291,7001,7241,031nr2445 2014/15

Rye

1039715978222228176nr2100 2012/13

1841217256200231195nr2113 2013/14

153308856150152181nr2105 2014/15

Rice, Milled

1,1563,752nr3,2713,4006756696,3369,05181,084 2012/13

1,0413,966nr3,1002,9637006996,1158,6139999 2013/14

1,1934,096nr3,2503,2627006996,8119,66181,154 2014/15

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

June 2014

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.5 1985/86

1,347.9 469.21,299.4645.6174.72.4565.2 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.3 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.7 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6545.7 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1663.0205.22.6545.7 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.3655.7188.22.5535.9 1993/94

1,392.5 362.71,395.8668.9200.12.6534.0 1994/95

1,338.5 319.41,381.9640.1187.52.5527.0 1995/96

1,490.3 367.11,442.6672.9198.32.7545.9 1996/97

1,491.6 414.41,444.3683.9190.32.8535.2 1997/98

1,481.8 448.01,448.2683.2198.72.8520.3 1998/99

1,465.3 444.51,468.2688.8214.02.9506.2 1999/00

1,447.3 419.41,472.5698.9205.02.8509.4 2000/01

1,481.0 404.11,496.4712.0208.42.9511.8 2001/02

1,444.4 342.31,506.2709.7209.32.9502.6 2002/03

1,471.7 278.71,535.3715.6206.02.9510.6 2003/04

1,642.6 335.81,585.5754.3214.53.2514.1 2004/05

1,599.9 320.21,615.5754.8222.63.1516.4 2005/06

1,585.0 275.71,629.5746.6230.03.1516.7 2006/07

1,692.5 294.11,674.0759.8244.93.2533.8 2007/08

1,793.1 363.51,723.7772.1253.63.3538.8 2008/09

1,805.2 400.31,768.3779.7254.23.4533.2 2009/10

1,750.3 366.01,784.6772.6250.03.3523.1 2010/11

1,853.0 365.91,853.1805.4287.23.4538.4 2011/12

1,795.4 344.71,816.6806.6279.13.4532.0 2012/13

1,986.5 390.61,940.6871.3308.53.7540.8 2013/14

1,960.3 401.21,949.8880.2301.13.6541.8 2014/15

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

June 2014

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 163.7573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.3576.6103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.4 209.5578.2106.8102.02.7219.2 1998/99

586.8 210.9585.4102.8111.92.8212.5 1999/00

583.3 207.3586.9109.0102.22.7215.6 2000/01

583.8 204.4586.6109.8108.02.7214.5 2001/02

569.6 169.9604.1113.6106.62.7213.4 2002/03

555.3 135.7589.599.5103.62.7207.6 2003/04

626.7 156.5605.9108.3113.32.9215.8 2004/05

618.9 154.4620.9114.7114.22.8217.6 2005/06

596.5 134.5616.5110.5115.42.8211.6 2006/07

612.7 129.4617.8102.2116.22.8217.1 2007/08

683.5 169.2643.6121.4143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.1 201.9654.4120.8135.43.0225.4 2009/10

650.8 198.2654.5115.6134.13.0217.0 2010/11

696.0 197.3696.9146.3153.83.2220.8 2011/12

657.3 175.3679.3136.7147.03.0216.0 2012/13

714.0 186.0703.2133.1159.03.2220.5 2013/14

701.6 188.6699.1129.3152.03.2222.6 2014/15

Coarse Grains

868.9 221.3841.4551.491.92.7323.6 1992/93

797.7 182.7836.3546.186.52.5314.9 1993/94

869.5 198.5853.7567.698.62.7320.7 1994/95

801.0 163.7835.8544.988.32.6310.3 1995/96

908.9 203.4869.2573.394.32.9318.8 1996/97

881.3 217.1867.7580.085.82.9308.8 1997/98

891.3 238.5870.0576.496.73.0301.1 1998/99

878.5 233.6882.8586.0102.13.0293.7 1999/00

864.0 212.2885.5589.9102.82.9293.8 2000/01

897.2 199.6909.7602.2100.43.0297.4 2001/02

874.8 172.4902.0596.1102.73.0289.1 2002/03

916.4 143.0945.8616.1102.33.0303.0 2003/04

1,015.9 179.3979.6646.0101.23.4298.3 2004/05

981.0 165.8994.5640.1108.43.3298.7 2005/06

988.5 141.21,013.1636.0114.53.2305.1 2006/07

1,079.8 164.81,056.2657.5128.73.4316.7 2007/08

1,109.5 194.31,080.0650.7110.43.5314.7 2008/09

1,118.1 198.41,113.9658.9118.83.6307.8 2009/10

1,099.5 167.81,130.0657.0116.03.6306.1 2010/11

1,157.0 168.61,156.2659.1133.43.6317.6 2011/12

1,138.1 169.41,137.3670.0132.13.6316.0 2012/13

1,272.6 204.61,237.4738.2149.54.0320.4 2013/14

1,258.7 212.61,250.7750.8149.13.9319.2 2014/15

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

June 2014

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.3535.4371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.3536.4365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.8 166.3559.8387.966.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 167.2573.5401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.868.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.4 194.4605.4423.172.04.4139.0 1999/00

591.8 175.3610.9427.975.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.6436.972.74.4137.3 2001/02

603.9 126.9628.5434.076.84.4137.4 2002/03

627.4 104.7649.6446.479.04.4141.7 2003/04

716.8 131.3690.2476.576.04.9145.4 2004/05

700.7 124.5707.5479.182.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.6 110.7730.4479.991.34.8150.3 2006/07

795.5 131.7774.5499.298.25.0160.4 2007/08

800.9 147.5785.2482.983.65.0158.7 2008/09

825.6 146.6826.4491.692.75.2158.7 2009/10

835.9 130.1852.4503.591.75.1164.6 2010/11

889.3 134.6884.8508.4103.85.2172.2 2011/12

868.8 138.1865.3518.8100.54.9177.2 2012/13

981.9 169.0951.0576.0119.45.5177.4 2013/14

981.1 182.6967.5594.6118.45.5177.3 2014/15

Barley

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01

143.4 29.2136.895.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.2 27.5135.994.716.32.554.8 2002/03

142.1 23.4146.2102.514.82.458.3 2003/04

152.1 33.0142.5100.117.02.657.5 2004/05

136.2 28.1141.097.417.42.555.3 2005/06

136.9 21.4143.698.314.62.456.4 2006/07

133.0 20.5133.991.118.52.455.9 2007/08

155.1 31.5144.1100.418.22.855.3 2008/09

151.1 37.4145.2101.417.32.854.4 2009/10

123.1 24.3136.391.315.22.647.2 2010/11

133.5 22.6135.291.721.42.749.4 2011/12

130.0 20.9131.788.822.12.650.3 2012/13

145.1 24.3141.796.720.22.950.6 2013/14

131.0 18.8136.691.020.52.749.1 2014/15

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

June 2014

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.7399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.6378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04

596.6 73.9408.629.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05

622.3 76.3415.529.1417.94.0154.0 2005/06

625.6 75.2421.631.9420.54.0154.6 2006/07

642.5 80.8427.329.6432.94.2154.7 2007/08

668.3 92.4437.629.4449.14.2158.1 2008/09

656.6 94.6438.731.8440.94.2155.8 2009/10

671.4 99.6445.036.6449.94.2158.2 2010/11

696.1 106.8459.839.9466.94.3160.2 2011/12

703.2 110.2468.239.0471.64.4158.0 2012/13

712.0 112.1475.540.7477.54.4160.8 2013/14

716.8 110.7482.241.3480.74.4161.6 2014/15

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

June 2014

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


June 2014

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2014/15 starts in 2014); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2014/15 starts in 2015). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


June 2014

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade May 2014. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production June 2014. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov Questions may be directed to the following staff: Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 [email protected] Wheat Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Debbie Rubas (202) 720-1072 [email protected] Rice Jeffrey Albanese (202) 649-3852 [email protected] Rice Rick O’Meara (202) 720-4933 [email protected] Coarse Grains Lisa Bennett (202) 720-0929 [email protected] Coarse Grains Gene Kim (202) 720-8398 [email protected] Coarse Grains


June 2014

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