united states department of agriculture national ...€¦ · march previous previous 2016 forecast...
TRANSCRIPT
12:00 P.M.
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
Prospective Plantings
Grain Stocks
Rice Stocks
Executive Summary
Lance Honig, Chief
Crops Branch
March 31, 2016
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
Field Crops Stocks
Principal Crops Planted Acres Corn
Feed Grain Acres Soybeans
Food Grain Acres Sorghum
Oilseed Acres All Wheat
Other Crop Acres Barley
Oats
Rough Rice
Contents
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
March Ag Survey Off-Farm Grain
Stock Survey
Survey Type Farmer Reported Reported
Collection Method Mail, Phone, Internet,
Personal Interview
Mail, Phone, Internet,
Personal Interview
Crops Included Acreage Intentions,
On-Farm Stocks
Grains and Oilseed
On Hand
States All except AK and HI All except AK, HI, and
NV
Sample Size 83,374 ~ 8,600 Facilities
Collection Period Feb 22– Mar 17 Feb 22 – Mar 17
Survey Overview
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Percent
Acreage Intentions vs. Actual Planted AcresUsual Planting Progress
Corn Soybeans
March Survey
June Survey
4 weeks
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
Year Principal Crops Change From
Previous Year
Million Acres
2007 320.4 +4.7
2008 325.6 +5.3
2009 319.0 -6.6
2010 315.4 -3.6
2011 314.3 -1.1
2012 324.3 +10.0
2013 324.9 +0.6
2014 326.4 +1.6
2015 318.5 -7.9
2016 317.3 -1.2
Principal Crops Planted Acreage United States
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
317
290
295
300
305
310
315
320
325
330
335
340
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million AcresPrincipal Crops
United States
Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
W Wheat, -3,245
S Wheat, -1,899
Sorghum, -1,243
Barley, -418
Soybeans, -414
Oats, -337
Dry Beans, -205
Sunflowers, -166
Peanuts, -149
Hay, -132
Potatoes, -70
Canola, -30
Tobacco, -12
Sugarbeets, -0.2
D Wheat, 59
Rice, 450
Cotton, 982
Corn, 5,602
Change in Planted Acres (000) 2016 Compared With 2015
Harvested Acres for Hay & Tobacco
2016 Estimates Not Available for Proso Millet, Rye, & Sugarcane.
93.6
60.0
65.0
70.0
75.0
80.0
85.0
90.0
95.0
100.0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million AcresCorn AcresUnited States
Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
82.2
50.0
55.0
60.0
65.0
70.0
75.0
80.0
85.0
90.0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million AcresSoybean Acres
United States
Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
9.56
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million AcresAll Cotton Acres
United States
Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
NASS Estimate
Low Of Expectations
Average Of Expectations
High Of Expectations
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
36.2
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million AcresWinter Wheat Acres
United States
Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
11.3
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million AcresOther Spring Wheat Acres
United States
Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
2.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million AcresDurum Wheat Acres
United States
Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
% Change % Change
From From
March Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Feed Grains
Corn Mil Ac 93.6 NA +6.4
Sorghum Mil Ac 7.22 NA -14.7
Oats Mil Ac 2.75 NA -10.9
Barley Mil Ac 3.14 NA -11.7
Crop Unit
March 2016 Prospective Plantings
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
% Change % Change
From From
March Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Food Grains
Wheat, All Mil Ac 49.6 NA -9.3
Wheat, Winter Mil Ac 36.2 -1.1 -8.2
Wheat, Spring Mil Ac 11.3 NA -14.3
Wheat, Durum Mil Ac 2.00 NA +3.0
Rice Mil Ac 3.06 NA +17.2
Crop Unit
March 2016 Prospective Plantings
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
% Change % Change
From From
March Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Oilseeds
Soybeans Mil Ac 82.2 NA -0.5
Peanuts Mil Ac 1.48 NA -9.2
Sunflower Mil Ac 1.69 NA -8.9
Canola Mil Ac 1.75 NA -1.7
Flaxseed Thou Ac 390 NA -15.8
All Cotton Mil Ac 9.56 NA +11.4
Crop Unit
March 2016 Prospective Plantings
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
March 2016 Prospective Plantings
% Change % Change
From From
March Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Other Crops
All Hay Mil Ac 54.3 NA -0.2
Sugarbeets Mil Ac 1.16 NA -<0.1
Tobacco Thou Ac 314 NA -3.7
Spring Potatoes Thou Ac 55.0 NA -21.5
Dry Edible Beans Mil Ac 1.56 NA -11.6
Chickpeas Thou Ac 246 NA +18.6
Lentils Thou Ac 850 NA +72.4
Dry Edible Peas Mil Ac 1.42 NA +24.5
A. Winter Peas Thou Ac 31.0 NA -8.8
Sweet Potatoes Thou Ac 169 NA +8.0
Crop Unit
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
% Change % Change
From From
March Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Year
Stocks
Corn Bil Bu 7.81 NA +0.8
Soybeans Bil Bu 1.53 NA +15.4
Sorghum Mil Bu 201 NA +67.5
Rice Mil Cwt 108 NA -4.1
Crop Unit
March 2016 Grain Stocks
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
% Change % Change
From From
March Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Year
Stocks
Wheat, All Bil Bu 1.37 NA +20.3
Barley Mil Bu 137 NA +16.0
Oats Mil Bu 75.3 NA +26.7
Crop Unit
March 2016 Grain Stocks
12.5
14.3
13.7
14.7
14.1
13.4
11.7
14.7
15.4 15.3
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16
Billion BushelsCorn Stocks
United States
Supply Dec Mar Jun SepUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
3.65
3.253.17
3.50 3.48
3.313.21
3.50
4.024.12
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16
Billion BushelsSoybean Stocks
United States
Supply Dec Mar Jun SepUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
2.38
2.51
2.822.87
3.14
2.86
2.99
2.85
2.62
2.80
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16
Billion BushelsAll Wheat Stocks
United States
Supply Sep Dec Mar JunUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
232 233228
245
262
211
235
220
249
235
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16
Million HundredweightRough Rice Stocks
United States
Supply Dec Mar Jun AugUSDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
USDA-NASS
3-31-16
Release Date Report Title
April 1
CAIR: Cotton System
CAIR: Fats & Oils
CAIR: Grain Crushings
April 12 Crop Production
April 22 Cattle on Feed
April 29 Agricultural Prices
May 2
CAIR: Cotton System
CAIR: Fats & Oil
CAIR: Flour Milling
CAIR: Flour Milling- Annual
CAIR: Grain Crushings
Upcoming Reports
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
All Reports Available At www.nass.usda.gov
For Questions 202-720-2127
800-727-9540