united states world agricultural service production · 11/10/2014 · china’s 2014/15 corn...

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign

Agricultural Service Circular Series WAP 11-14 November 2014

China Corn: Production Down in 2014/15 Due to Lower Estimated Yield

China’s 2014/15 corn production is estimated at 214.0 million tons, down 3.0 million tons or 1.0 percent from last month and down 4.5 million tons or 2.0 percent from last year’s record crop. Area is estimated at 36.8 million hectares, surpassing last year’s record by 1.0 percent. Area has shown a strong upward trend in recent years, particularly in Northeast China, as farmers have switched to corn from less-profitable crops such as soybeans. Yield is estimated at 5.82 tons per hectare, down 1 percent from last month and down 3.4 percent from last year’s record. The revision is based on information from crop models and satellite

imagery, and reports from local government and industry sources. A serious drought developed in July and August in parts of Northeast China and the North China Plain. At its peak in late August, the drought affected approximately 5 million hectares of crops (mostly corn) in the critical reproductive/filling stage. Sharply lower yields have been reported in some of the drought-impacted areas, particularly in Henan and Liaoning provinces. However,

World Agricultural Production

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board

better than average yields are expected in Heilongjiang, northwest China, and central/southern China due to mostly favorable weather during the growing season. Widespread rainfall in September ended the drought and provided limited help to late-maturing corn on the North China Plain. The wetness delayed the start of the harvest season, but generally warm and dry weather in October allowed the harvest to progress rapidly. Local sources report that overall crop quality is very good and better than last year. (For more information, please contact Paulette Sandene at [email protected].) European Union Corn: Rainfall Leads to Record Crop; Harvest Delays in Southeast

European Union (EU) 2014/15 corn production is estimated at a record 73.1 million tons, up 2.0 million tons or 2.9 percent from last month, and up 8.9 million tons or 14 percent from last year. Area is estimated at 9.6 million hectares, up 0.03 million or 0.3 percent from last month, but down 0.2 million hectares or 1.6 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at a record 7.62 tons per hectare, up 2.5 percent from last month, 15.6 percent from last year and 12.3 percent from the 5-year average. Corn yield has benefitted greatly from

above-average rainfall that has dominated European weather every month since June. Continued damp conditions in southeast Europe, including Romania, Bulgaria, and Hungary, have hampered harvest operations. In these areas, if the weather continues to delay harvesting,

farmers will continue harvesting into the winter. As mechanical drying is very expensive, farmers opt for a later harvest, allowing corn to dry in the field and incurring less drying cost from the delay. Production estimates increased the most in southeast Europe. Hungary’s production is estimated up 7 percent from last month and 35 percent from last year, to 9.1 million tons. Romania’s production is estimated up 0.5 million tons or 5 percent from last month, to 11.1 million. Additional large month-to-month increases

include Croatia (up 0.25 million tons), Bulgaria (up 0.2 million), and Germany (up 0.17 million tons). Estimated production from two of EU’s largest corn producers, France and Italy, remains

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November 2014

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unchanged at 17.0 million tons and 8.2 million tons, respectively. (For more information, contact Bryan Purcell at [email protected].) Australia Wheat: Persistent Dry Conditions Lower Production Australia wheat production for 2014/15 is forecast at 24.0 million tons, down 1.0 million tons or 4.0 percent from last month, and down 3.0 million tons or 11 percent from last year. The area

forecast is 13.8 million hectares, unchanged from last month but up 0.3 million hectares or 2.1 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 1.74 tons per hectare, which is below the 5-year average of 1.95 tons per hectare. Since major sowing operations commenced in May, periods of dryness have plagued the Australian wheat-producing states at varying times. September precipitation is the most influential factor for determining Australia’s wheat yield. Nationwide, the wheat crop faces mixed prospects heading into harvest, reflecting below-

average September and October rainfall in the eastern wheat belt while Western Australia, the largest producing state, received beneficial rains. (For more information, please contact Jim Crutchfield at [email protected].) European Union Wheat: Forecast Increases on Record Crop European Union (EU) wheat production for 2014/15 is estimated at a record 155.4 million tons, up 1.4 million tons or 1.0 percent from last month, and up 8.6 percent from last year. Area is estimated at 26.8 million hectares, up 0.25 million from last month, and up 4.1 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at a record 5.79 tons per hectare, equivalent to last month, but 4.3 percent above last year and 6.8 percent above the 5-year average. Harvest reports continue to increase the record 2014/15 wheat crop. The month-to-month increases were based on recent harvest data with the largest being a 0.6- million-ton increase for Poland. Production for Poland is estimated at a record 11.2 million tons, 18 percent higher than last year’s crop and 20 percent above the 5-year average. Record output

3

November 2014



is also estimated for Romania’s wheat at 8.1 million tons, Bulgaria at 4.9 million, the Czech Republic at 5.4 million, Finland at 1.0 million, Germany at 27.7 million, and Sweden at 2.9 million tons. France, the largest wheat producer in the EU, did not harvest a record crop at 39.1 million tons, but produced its largest crop since 2004/05. (For more information, contact Bryan Purcell at [email protected].) Egypt Wheat: Estimated Production Reduced for 2014/15 and 2013/14 Egypt’s wheat production for 2014/15 is estimated at 8.2 million tons, down 0.75 million or 8.4 percent from last month, and down 0.05 million tons or 0.6 percent from last year’s revised estimate. Area is estimated at 1.3 million hectares, down 0.1 million or 7 percent from last month, and down 0.05 million hectares or 4 percent from last year. Estimates for the 2014/15 and 2013/14 seasons have been revised based on information from the USDA Office of Agricultural Affairs, in Cairo. The decrease is attributed to an expected 25 percent increase in production costs, resulting from the Egyptian government’s partial lifting of fuel and fertilizer subsidies. As a result, diesel prices have increased by 63 percent and the price of subsidized fertilizers by 33 percent. The 2013/14 production estimate has been reduced by 0.4 million tons, from 8.65 million to 8.25 million tons, while area remains at 1.35 million hectares. During the 2013/14 season a shortage of subsidized nitrogen fertilizer, due to a reduction in energy supplied to fertilizer plants, resulted in reduced fertilizer applications and lower wheat yields. (For more information, contact Bryan Purcell at [email protected].) Kazakhstan Wheat: Harvest Reports Suggest Curtailed Harvest USDA forecasts Kazakhstan wheat production for 2014/15 at 12.0 million tons, down 0.5 million tons or 4.0 percent from last month and down 1.9 million or 14 percent from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 11.7 million hectares, down 0.5 million from last month and down 1.3 million from last year. Yield is estimated at 1.03 tons per hectare, essentially unchanged from last month, down 4.7 percent from last year, and 6.9 percent below the 5-year average. The decrease in estimated output is based on daily data from the Ministry of Agriculture indicating that harvest operations are winding down in the three major wheat-producing territories, with as much as 10 percent of the sown area still unharvested. Crop development was delayed this season due in part to unusually cool, wet weather during July. As a result, the harvest campaign began later than usual. The harvest was further complicated by wet weather in October, including snow at the end of the month. Ministry reports indicate that cumulative total-grain yield as of November 4 is down about 5 percent from last year. Wheat accounts for approximately 75 percent of total grain output in Kazakhstan. (For more information, please contact Mark Lindeman at [email protected].) Russia Sunflowerseed: Harvest Updates Indicating Lower Yields USDA estimates Russia sunseed production for 2014/15 at 9.0 million tons, down 0.5 million tons or 5.3 percent from last month and down 1.6 million or 15 percent from last year. Area is estimated at 6.5 million hectares against 6.8 million last year. Yield is estimated at 1.38 tons per

4

November 2014




hectare, down 5.3 percent from last month, down 11 percent from last year, but 8.5 percent above the 5-year average. The month-to-month decrease in estimated output is based on harvest reports from the Ministry of Agriculture citing lower yield than earlier forecast by USDA. According to Ministry data, harvest was 85 percent complete by the end of October with yield reported at 1.43 tons per hectare, down 13 percent from the same date last year. Cumulative yield typically declines throughout the course of the harvest campaign as the harvest progresses from the higher- to the lower-yielding territories. The year-to-year drop in yield is attributed chiefly to excessive summer heat in the Central and Volga Districts, which together accounted for over 60 percent of last year’s output. (For more information, please contact Mark Lindeman at [email protected].) European Union Rapeseed: Record Yield and Production

European Union (EU) rapeseed production for 2014/15 is estimated at a record 24.0 million tons, up 0.5 million tons or 2 percent from last month, and up 14 percent from last year. Area is estimated at 6.78 million hectares, down 0.4 percent or 0.03 million from last month, but up 0.4 percent or 0.03 million hectares from last year. Yield is estimated at a record 3.54 tons per hectare MT/Ha, 3 percent above last month, 13 percent above last year, and 15 percent above the 5-year average. Harvest reports continue to increase

the record 2014/15 rapeseed crop. A number of adjustments were made to the EU member nation crop based on latest reported data. The largest November rapeseed change was a 0.3-million-ton increase for Poland. Poland’s crop is estimated at 3.1 million tons on 0.9 million hectares. While the 2014/15 estimate does not reflect a record area for Poland, the 3.31 MT/Ha yield and the 3.1 million ton production estimates are both records. The second largest EU rapeseed change was for the German crop, which increased 0.15 million tons to 6.25 million tons, with a record yield of 4.46 MT/Ha. Typically the EU’s second largest rapeseed producer is France. Production in France is estimated at 5.5 million tons, with a yield of 3.66 tons per hectare. United Kingdom’s crop benefitted from improved 2014 season weather and is estimated to harvest 2.5 million tons from 0.7 million hectares. (For more information, contact Bryan Purcell at [email protected])

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November 2014


World Agricultural Production U.S. Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service / Office of Global Analysis International Production Assessment Division (IPAD / PECAD)

Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building Washington, DC 20250-1051

http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/ Telephone: (202) 720-1156 Fax: (202) 720-1158

This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service’s (FAS) global network of agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Division, FAS, and are reviewed by USDA’s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S. area, yield, and production are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-535), November 10, 2014. Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download an order form at http://www.ntis.gov/products/specialty/usda/fas_a-g.asp, or call NTIS at 1-800-363-2068. The FAS International Production Assessment Division prepared this report. The next issue of World Agricultural Production will be released after 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time, December 10, 2014.

Conversion Table

Metric tons to bushels

Wheat, soybeans = MT * 36.7437 Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * 39.36825 Barley = MT * 45.929625 Oats = MT * 68.894438

Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Cotton = MT * 4.592917

Metric tons to hundredweight

Rice = MT * 22.04622

Area & weight

1 hectare = 2.471044 acres 1 kilogram = 2.204622 pounds

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November 2014

http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/

For further information, contact: U.S. Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service Office of Global Analysis

International Production Assessment Division Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building

Washington, DC 20250-1051

Telephone: (202) 720-1156 Fax: (202) 720-1158 GENERAL INFORMATION Acting Director Paul Provance 202-720-2974 [email protected] USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Glenn Bethel 202-720-1280 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/Satellite Imagery Dath Mita, PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected] Archives Manager/Technical Lead Sr. Analyst/ Global Special Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Projects Manager/Technical Lead Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected] GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] Program Analyst Mary Jackson 202-720-0886 [email protected] Management Analyst Rishan Chaudhry 202-720-1157 [email protected] Administrative Assistant/COTR Terri Lagarde 202-720-1157 [email protected] COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION South América, Argentina and Colombia Denise McWilliams, PhD 202-720-0107 [email protected] Western and Central Europe, Bryan Purcell 202-690-0138 [email protected] and North Africa Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Mark Lindeman 202-690-0143 [email protected] and other FSU-12 countries

Canada, Caribbean, Sri Lanka, Arnella Trent 202-720-0881 [email protected] and Bangladesh

East Asia, China, and Japan Paulette Sandene 202-690-0133 [email protected] India, Pakistan, and Nepal Dath Mita, PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected] Sub-Saharan Africa, Mexico, Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected] Nigeria and South Africa S.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Michael Shean 202-720-7366 [email protected] Cambodia, and Vietnam Brazil, Venezuela, Central America, Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected] Australia, New Zealand, Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Papua New Guinea, and South Pacific Islands Middle East, Afghanistan, Iraq, Bill Baker, PhD 202-260-8109 [email protected] Iran, Syria Western United States Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] Eastern United States Paul Provance 202-720-2974 [email protected] Crop Analyst Vacant

November 2014



The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

(WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

FAS Reports and Databases:

Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports: http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports: http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

Export Sales Report: http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports): http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service: http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

National Agricultural Statistics Service: http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

November 2014

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Million Metric Tons

Table 01 World Crop Production Summary

World

-

Total

Foreign

North

America

North

America

North

America

Europea

n Union -

Former

Soviet

Former

Soviet

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

South

America

South

America

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

All

Others

none

-

none

-

United

States

Mexico

-

Canada

-

none

-

Russia

-

Ukraine

-

China

-

India

-

Indo-

nesia

Paki-

stan

Thai-

land

Argen-

tina

Brazil

-

South

Africa

Turkey

-

none

-

Aus-

tralia

Commodity

---Million metric tons---

Wheat

2012/13 85.815.51.922.94.49.3nr23.3nr94.9121.015.837.7133.93.227.261.3596.6657.9

2013/14 prel. 96.218.01.827.05.310.5nr24.0nr93.5121.922.352.1143.13.437.558.1656.6714.7

2014/15 proj.

Oct 89.915.01.825.06.312.0nr25.0nr95.9126.024.559.0154.03.827.555.4665.7721.1

Nov 88.715.01.824.06.312.0nr25.0nr95.9126.024.559.0155.43.727.555.1664.7719.9

Coarse Grains

2012/13 166.310.612.911.484.337.24.75.68.539.9212.229.528.7145.928.924.4285.3850.91,136.3

2013/14 prel. 170.813.115.312.482.434.55.05.69.142.7225.139.935.7158.432.128.7369.4910.91,280.3

2014/15 proj.

Oct 172.99.314.111.278.131.15.05.69.237.3223.735.840.5163.730.121.8383.1889.31,272.4

Nov 172.99.314.111.278.130.65.05.69.237.3220.737.840.5167.131.321.8381.4892.41,273.8

Rice, Milled

2012/13 141.40.5nr0.88.01.020.25.836.6105.2143.00.10.72.10.1nr6.3465.5471.9

2013/14 prel. 144.80.5nr0.68.31.020.56.736.0106.5142.50.10.61.90.1nr6.1470.3476.4

2014/15 proj.

Oct 145.10.5nr0.68.41.020.56.537.0102.0144.00.10.72.00.1nr7.1468.4475.5

Nov 144.80.5nr0.58.41.020.56.537.0102.0144.00.10.72.00.1nr7.1468.0475.0

Total Grains

2012/13 393.426.614.735.196.747.624.934.745.1240.1476.245.467.1281.832.251.6353.01,913.12,266.1

2013/14 prel. 411.831.617.140.096.046.025.436.345.1242.8489.562.388.4303.535.666.2433.72,037.72,471.4

2014/15 proj.

Oct 407.824.815.936.992.844.125.537.146.2235.2493.760.4100.2319.734.149.3445.52,023.52,469.0

Nov 406.324.815.935.792.843.625.537.146.2235.2490.762.4100.2324.435.149.3443.62,025.12,468.7

Oilseeds

2012/13 48.82.21.45.784.853.70.65.110.836.859.812.710.928.20.919.093.3381.4474.7

2013/14 prel. 48.42.41.95.290.357.50.65.111.538.358.916.713.631.70.923.299.0406.2505.2

2014/15 proj.

Oct 48.92.51.94.497.259.10.65.212.138.057.515.713.534.21.020.4116.3412.1528.4

Nov 48.82.51.94.297.259.10.65.212.138.057.315.713.034.91.020.4117.2411.7528.9

Cotton

2012/13 16.92.70.04.66.00.80.09.30.028.535.0nrnr1.51.0nr17.3106.2123.6

2013/14 prel. 15.92.30.04.18.01.20.09.50.031.032.8nrnr1.60.9nr12.9107.4120.3

2014/15 proj.

Oct 15.23.20.12.37.01.10.09.80.031.030.5nrnr1.81.2nr16.3103.1119.4

Nov 15.93.20.12.27.01.10.09.80.031.030.0nrnr1.81.2nr16.4103.2119.6

1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.

November 2014

Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Nov Percent

2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

216.28World 0.725.12-0.17-1.26719.86220.80 221.77 221.36 3.04 3.24 3.25 3.25 657.94 714.74 721.12

19.73United States -5.12-2.98-0.48-0.2755.1318.35 18.81 18.77 3.11 3.17 2.95 2.94 61.30 58.11 55.39

196.55Total Foreign 1.238.10-0.15-0.99664.73202.46 202.96 202.59 3.04 3.24 3.28 3.28 596.64 656.63 665.72

none

24.27China 3.344.070.000.00126.0024.12 24.10 24.10 4.99 5.06 5.23 5.23 121.02 121.93 126.00

South Asia

29.86 India 2.572.400.000.0095.9130.00 30.60 30.60 3.18 3.12 3.13 3.13 94.88 93.51 95.91

8.66 Pakistan 4.171.000.000.0025.008.64 8.83 8.83 2.69 2.78 2.83 2.83 23.30 24.00 25.00

2.51 Afghanistan 0.500.030.000.005.032.55 2.56 2.56 2.01 1.96 1.96 1.96 5.05 5.00 5.03

Former Soviet Union - 12

21.30 Russia 13.266.910.000.0059.0023.40 23.75 23.75 1.77 2.23 2.48 2.48 37.72 52.09 59.00

5.63 Ukraine 9.972.220.000.0024.506.57 6.30 6.30 2.80 3.39 3.89 3.89 15.76 22.28 24.50

12.40 Kazakhstan -13.92-1.94-4.00-0.5012.0012.95 12.20 11.70 0.79 1.08 1.02 1.03 9.84 13.94 12.50

1.40 Uzbekistan 5.150.350.000.007.151.40 1.40 1.40 4.79 4.86 5.11 5.11 6.70 6.80 7.15

25.95European Union - 28 8.5712.270.931.43155.4025.77 26.58 26.83 5.16 5.55 5.79 5.79 133.85 143.13 153.98

5.30 France 1.540.590.000.0039.105.32 5.31 5.31 7.15 7.24 7.37 7.37 37.89 38.51 39.10

3.06 Germany 11.132.770.730.2027.703.13 3.22 3.23 7.33 7.98 8.54 8.57 22.41 24.93 27.50

1.99 United Kingdom 39.254.680.000.0016.601.63 1.98 1.98 6.66 7.33 8.41 8.41 13.26 11.92 16.60

2.08 Poland 17.891.705.660.6011.202.14 2.20 2.34 4.14 4.45 4.82 4.80 8.61 9.50 10.60

2.17 Spain -15.77-1.203.230.206.402.12 2.15 2.20 2.35 3.58 2.89 2.91 5.09 7.60 6.20

1.87 Italy -3.05-0.22-1.41-0.107.001.86 1.84 1.85 4.09 3.88 3.86 3.79 7.63 7.22 7.10

0.62 Denmark 21.950.910.000.005.050.57 0.70 0.70 7.42 7.29 7.27 7.27 4.56 4.14 5.05

1.06 Hungary 0.200.01-3.53-0.195.051.09 1.11 1.10 3.74 4.62 4.71 4.59 3.97 5.04 5.24

1.99 Romania 8.000.603.850.308.102.10 2.08 2.10 2.66 3.57 3.76 3.86 5.30 7.50 7.80

1.19 Bulgaria 0.000.000.000.004.901.19 1.17 1.17 3.76 4.12 4.18 4.18 4.46 4.90 4.90

9.50Canada -26.67-10.000.000.0027.5010.44 9.30 9.30 2.86 3.59 2.96 2.96 27.21 37.50 27.50

12.98Australia -11.15-3.01-4.00-1.0024.0013.51 13.80 13.80 1.76 2.00 1.81 1.74 22.86 27.01 25.00

Middle East

7.80 Turkey -16.67-3.000.000.0015.007.70 7.71 7.71 1.99 2.34 1.95 1.95 15.50 18.00 15.00

7.00 Iran -10.34-1.500.000.0013.007.00 6.80 6.80 1.97 2.07 1.91 1.91 13.80 14.50 13.00

1.60 Syria -37.50-1.500.000.002.501.55 1.30 1.30 2.31 2.58 1.92 1.92 3.70 4.00 2.50

North Africa

1.35 Egypt -0.61-0.05-8.38-0.758.201.35 1.40 1.30 6.30 6.11 6.39 6.31 8.50 8.25 8.95

3.14 Morocco -27.14-1.900.000.005.103.28 3.06 3.06 1.23 2.13 1.67 1.67 3.87 7.00 5.10

3.60Argentina 14.291.500.000.0012.003.50 4.10 4.10 2.58 3.00 2.93 2.93 9.30 10.50 12.00

17.61Others 0.550.26-0.35-0.1747.4518.73 19.17 19.15 2.49 2.52 2.48 2.48 43.79 47.19 47.61

World and Selected Countries and Regions

November 2014

Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

315.83World -0.51-6.540.111.381,273.77322.69 317.23 317.12 3.60 3.97 4.01 4.02 1,136.26 1,280.30 1,272.39

39.21United States 3.2311.92-0.44-1.69381.3739.87 37.65 37.64 7.28 9.27 10.18 10.13 285.31 369.45 383.06

276.62Total Foreign -2.03-18.460.353.08892.40282.82 279.58 279.48 3.08 3.22 3.18 3.19 850.94 910.86 889.32

none

37.08China -1.96-4.42-1.34-3.00220.6538.38 38.87 38.87 5.72 5.86 5.75 5.68 212.19 225.07 223.65

South America

16.88 Brazil -5.22-4.300.000.0078.1116.83 16.18 16.18 4.99 4.90 4.83 4.83 84.25 82.41 78.11

6.84 Argentina -11.17-3.85-1.61-0.5030.625.93 5.38 5.27 5.45 5.81 5.79 5.82 37.25 34.47 31.12

31.34European Union - 28 5.478.672.053.36167.0931.34 31.03 31.00 4.66 5.05 5.28 5.39 145.89 158.43 163.74

3.99 France 13.143.71-0.47-0.1531.974.04 4.19 4.19 7.50 7.00 7.66 7.63 29.94 28.26 32.12

3.46 Germany 9.372.103.170.7624.553.40 3.29 3.29 6.64 6.60 7.23 7.47 22.99 22.45 23.80

5.53 Poland 4.550.851.090.2119.555.22 5.27 5.18 3.58 3.58 3.67 3.78 19.80 18.70 19.34

3.79 Spain -23.89-3.990.000.0012.713.95 3.92 3.92 3.01 4.23 3.25 3.25 11.41 16.69 12.71

1.40 Italy 14.751.230.000.009.531.24 1.22 1.22 6.47 6.70 7.79 7.79 9.08 8.31 9.53

1.67 Hungary 29.972.565.720.6011.081.72 1.76 1.74 3.78 4.95 5.95 6.38 6.30 8.53 10.48

1.15 United Kingdom -3.13-0.267.980.597.921.42 1.21 1.25 5.44 5.77 6.08 6.36 6.25 8.17 7.33

3.40 Romania 3.170.414.280.5513.413.37 3.28 3.33 2.23 3.85 3.92 4.03 7.59 13.00 12.86


14.18 Russia 13.334.770.000.0040.5015.49 16.20 16.20 2.02 2.31 2.50 2.50 28.66 35.74 40.50

8.55 Ukraine -5.33-2.135.592.0037.798.78 8.40 8.40 3.45 4.55 4.26 4.50 29.53 39.92 35.79

1.95 Kazakhstan -4.87-0.17-2.91-0.103.342.26 2.39 2.29 1.17 1.55 1.44 1.46 2.28 3.51 3.44

78.22Africa 0.690.770.000.00112.7980.73 81.90 81.90 1.43 1.39 1.38 1.38 112.22 112.02 112.79

12.73 Nigeria -3.13-0.600.000.0018.6013.25 13.25 13.25 1.46 1.45 1.40 1.40 18.57 19.20 18.60

3.44 South Africa -8.12-1.250.000.0014.103.31 3.42 3.42 3.75 4.64 4.13 4.13 12.87 15.34 14.10

5.18 Ethiopia -5.10-0.700.000.0013.055.40 5.41 5.41 2.37 2.55 2.41 2.41 12.29 13.75 13.05

0.98 Egypt -0.75-0.050.000.006.620.94 0.94 0.94 6.83 7.09 7.07 7.07 6.67 6.67 6.62

25.08India -12.64-5.400.000.0037.3125.38 23.71 23.71 1.59 1.68 1.57 1.57 39.94 42.71 37.31

Southeast Asia

3.00 Indonesia 1.100.100.000.009.203.12 3.12 3.12 2.83 2.92 2.95 2.95 8.50 9.10 9.20

2.56 Philippines 4.890.370.000.007.902.58 2.63 2.63 2.84 2.91 3.01 3.01 7.26 7.53 7.90

1.11 Thailand 0.000.000.000.004.961.15 1.13 1.13 4.20 4.31 4.38 4.38 4.66 4.96 4.96

8.92Mexico -2.37-0.763.981.2031.349.39 9.00 9.12 3.24 3.42 3.35 3.44 28.88 32.10 30.14

5.35Canada -24.31-6.990.000.0021.755.39 4.37 4.37 4.57 5.33 4.98 4.98 24.43 28.74 21.75

5.20Australia -9.40-1.160.000.0011.215.29 5.33 5.33 2.20 2.34 2.10 2.10 11.41 12.37 11.21

4.16Turkey -29.06-3.800.000.009.284.24 4.28 4.28 2.55 3.08 2.17 2.17 10.60 13.08 9.28

26.23Others -0.23-0.160.180.1268.5726.55 25.69 25.71 2.40 2.59 2.66 2.67 63.00 68.73 68.45


November 2014

Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

177.59World 0.111.13-0.04-0.37990.32180.05 177.14 177.24 4.89 5.49 5.59 5.59 867.97 989.19 990.69

35.36United States 3.4612.25-0.47-1.72365.9735.48 33.63 33.63 7.73 9.97 10.93 10.88 273.19 353.72 367.68

142.23Total Foreign -1.75-11.120.221.34624.36144.57 143.51 143.61 4.18 4.40 4.34 4.35 594.77 635.47 623.01

none

35.03China -2.06-4.49-1.38-3.00214.0036.32 36.80 36.80 5.87 6.02 5.90 5.82 205.61 218.49 217.00

22.73South America -4.83-5.560.000.00109.5721.96 21.27 21.29 5.27 5.24 5.15 5.15 119.77 115.13 109.57

15.80 Brazil -5.42-4.300.000.0075.0015.70 15.00 15.00 5.16 5.05 5.00 5.00 81.50 79.30 75.00

4.00 Argentina -8.00-2.000.000.0023.003.40 3.25 3.25 6.75 7.35 7.08 7.08 27.00 25.00 23.00

0.31 Bolivia 0.000.000.000.000.730.32 0.32 0.32 2.26 2.30 2.30 2.30 0.70 0.73 0.73

6.90Mexico 0.170.042.220.5023.007.05 6.90 6.95 3.13 3.26 3.26 3.31 21.59 22.96 22.50

9.72European Union - 28 13.818.862.872.0473.059.74 9.56 9.59 6.06 6.59 7.43 7.62 58.87 64.19 71.02

1.64 France 15.652.300.000.0017.001.75 1.75 1.75 9.22 8.38 9.71 9.71 15.15 14.70 17.00

0.97 Italy 15.311.090.000.008.200.90 0.86 0.86 7.82 7.90 9.53 9.53 7.59 7.11 8.20

1.19 Hungary 35.322.387.060.609.101.25 1.26 1.23 3.98 5.36 6.75 7.43 4.74 6.73 8.50

2.73 Romania 2.780.304.720.5011.102.60 2.50 2.55 2.23 4.15 4.24 4.35 6.10 10.80 10.60

0.54 Poland 0.000.003.230.134.000.61 0.58 0.60 7.35 6.51 6.74 6.67 4.00 4.00 3.88

8.91India -13.19-3.190.000.0021.009.50 8.60 8.60 2.50 2.55 2.44 2.44 22.26 24.19 21.00

1.42Canada -19.01-2.700.000.0011.501.48 1.25 1.25 9.21 9.59 9.20 9.20 13.06 14.20 11.50

3.00Indonesia 1.100.100.000.009.203.12 3.12 3.12 2.83 2.92 2.95 2.95 8.50 9.10 9.20

4.37Ukraine -12.62-3.908.002.0027.004.83 4.60 4.60 4.79 6.40 5.43 5.87 20.92 30.90 25.00

1.30Serbia 7.030.450.000.006.851.25 1.28 1.28 2.88 5.12 5.37 5.37 3.75 6.40 6.85

0.75Egypt -0.86-0.050.000.005.750.71 0.71 0.71 7.73 8.12 8.10 8.10 5.80 5.80 5.75

2.56Philippines 4.890.370.000.007.902.58 2.63 2.63 2.84 2.91 3.01 3.01 7.26 7.53 7.90

1.16Vietnam 3.930.200.000.005.401.17 1.20 1.20 4.15 4.43 4.50 4.50 4.80 5.20 5.40

1.08Thailand 0.000.000.000.004.901.12 1.10 1.10 4.26 4.38 4.45 4.45 4.60 4.90 4.90

1.94Russia 3.140.370.000.0012.002.32 2.60 2.60 4.24 5.01 4.62 4.62 8.21 11.64 12.00

Sub-Saharan Africa

3.24 South Africa -8.47-1.250.000.0013.503.10 3.20 3.20 3.82 4.76 4.22 4.22 12.37 14.75 13.50

4.16 Nigeria -2.60-0.200.000.007.504.25 4.25 4.25 1.83 1.81 1.76 1.76 7.63 7.70 7.50

2.01 Ethiopia -2.61-0.170.000.006.502.07 2.15 2.15 3.06 3.23 3.02 3.02 6.16 6.67 6.50

0.96 Zimbabwe 62.500.500.000.001.300.95 1.30 1.30 1.01 0.84 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.80 1.30

0.53Turkey -9.80-0.500.000.004.600.58 0.55 0.55 8.38 8.79 8.36 8.36 4.40 5.10 4.60

30.49Others 0.010.01-0.32-0.2059.8430.46 30.45 30.45 1.91 1.96 1.97 1.96 58.25 59.83 60.03


November 2014

Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

50.18World -3.78-5.500.460.64139.7650.56 49.08 48.89 2.59 2.87 2.83 2.86 129.83 145.26 139.12

1.33United States -18.44-0.87-2.01-0.083.851.23 1.00 0.99 3.60 3.84 3.95 3.89 4.77 4.72 3.93

48.85Total Foreign -3.29-4.630.530.72135.9149.33 48.09 47.90 2.56 2.85 2.81 2.84 125.06 140.54 135.19

none

7.63Russia 26.714.110.000.0019.508.02 8.20 8.20 1.83 1.92 2.38 2.38 13.95 15.39 19.50

12.51European Union - 28 0.220.130.860.5159.7712.36 12.48 12.39 4.39 4.83 4.75 4.82 54.90 59.64 59.26

1.68 Germany 12.131.261.090.1311.631.57 1.60 1.59 6.19 6.59 7.19 7.33 10.39 10.37 11.50

1.68 France 12.461.29-1.28-0.1511.601.64 1.77 1.77 6.74 6.31 6.65 6.56 11.34 10.32 11.75

2.68 Spain -30.42-3.060.000.007.002.77 2.76 2.76 2.23 3.63 2.54 2.54 5.98 10.06 7.00

1.00 United Kingdom -1.30-0.097.690.507.001.21 1.05 1.08 5.51 5.84 6.19 6.48 5.52 7.09 6.50

0.72 Denmark -14.62-0.580.000.003.400.69 0.60 0.60 5.56 5.78 5.67 5.67 4.01 3.98 3.40

1.16 Poland 12.070.35-9.72-0.353.250.82 1.00 0.85 3.60 3.54 3.60 3.82 4.18 2.90 3.60

0.38 Czech Republic 23.900.381.130.021.980.35 0.35 0.35 4.23 4.57 5.58 5.64 1.62 1.59 1.95

0.45 Finland -6.93-0.130.000.001.800.50 0.50 0.50 3.50 3.90 3.60 3.60 1.59 1.93 1.80

0.37 Sweden -17.23-0.330.000.001.600.39 0.33 0.33 4.61 5.01 4.85 4.85 1.70 1.93 1.60

0.25 Italy 24.270.170.000.000.850.19 0.22 0.22 3.82 3.62 3.86 3.86 0.94 0.68 0.85

0.28 Hungary 18.430.200.000.001.280.27 0.29 0.30 3.61 4.06 4.44 4.26 1.00 1.08 1.28

0.15 Austria 8.990.070.000.000.800.14 0.15 0.15 4.38 5.13 5.33 5.33 0.66 0.73 0.80

3.29Ukraine 24.321.840.000.009.403.23 3.20 3.20 2.11 2.34 2.94 2.94 6.94 7.56 9.40

2.75Canada -29.76-3.050.000.007.202.65 2.10 2.10 2.91 3.87 3.43 3.43 8.01 10.25 7.20

3.64Australia -20.38-1.950.000.007.603.92 3.80 3.80 2.05 2.43 2.00 2.00 7.47 9.55 7.60

3.30Turkey -45.21-3.300.000.004.003.33 3.40 3.40 1.67 2.19 1.18 1.18 5.50 7.30 4.00

0.49China 3.330.050.000.001.550.45 0.45 0.45 3.32 3.33 3.44 3.44 1.63 1.50 1.55

1.68Iran 0.000.000.000.003.201.58 1.58 1.58 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 3.40 3.20 3.20

1.89Morocco -37.04-1.000.000.001.701.69 1.44 1.44 0.63 1.60 1.18 1.18 1.20 2.70 1.70

1.60Kazakhstan -1.54-0.04-3.85-0.102.501.84 2.00 1.90 0.94 1.38 1.30 1.32 1.50 2.54 2.60

1.02Ethiopia -6.88-0.130.000.001.801.05 1.02 1.02 1.75 1.84 1.76 1.76 1.78 1.93 1.80

0.56Belarus 25.450.430.000.002.100.57 0.60 0.60 3.44 2.94 3.50 3.50 1.92 1.67 2.10

0.77India 3.430.060.000.001.810.78 0.81 0.81 2.10 2.24 2.23 2.23 1.62 1.75 1.81

1.50Argentina -28.42-1.350.000.003.401.27 0.90 0.90 3.33 3.74 3.78 3.78 5.00 4.75 3.40

0.33Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.550.22 0.22 0.22 3.15 2.56 2.56 2.56 1.03 0.55 0.55

0.60Iraq 5.930.060.000.001.001.07 1.15 1.15 0.83 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.50 0.94 1.00

1.00Algeria -13.33-0.2030.000.301.300.90 0.80 0.80 1.50 1.67 1.25 1.63 1.50 1.50 1.00

4.29Others -3.58-0.280.200.027.544.41 3.95 3.95 1.68 1.77 1.91 1.91 7.22 7.82 7.52


November 2014

Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

9.45World -5.60-1.32-0.39-0.0922.269.68 9.43 9.41 2.23 2.44 2.37 2.37 21.10 23.58 22.35

0.41United States 7.780.07-1.17-0.011.010.41 0.42 0.42 2.19 2.30 2.44 2.43 0.89 0.94 1.02

9.04Total Foreign -6.16-1.39-0.36-0.0821.259.27 9.01 8.99 2.24 2.44 2.37 2.36 20.21 22.64 21.32

none

2.86Russia 1.380.070.000.005.003.01 3.00 3.00 1.41 1.64 1.67 1.67 4.03 4.93 5.00

0.99Canada -30.98-1.210.000.002.691.11 0.89 0.89 2.85 3.50 3.03 3.03 2.81 3.89 2.69

2.67European Union - 28 -4.32-0.36-0.94-0.088.022.62 2.62 2.61 2.96 3.19 3.09 3.08 7.91 8.38 8.09

0.51 Poland 12.500.1511.110.141.350.43 0.45 0.48 2.86 2.76 2.70 2.84 1.47 1.20 1.22

0.31 Finland -10.50-0.13-8.33-0.101.100.35 0.36 0.34 3.40 3.50 3.38 3.28 1.07 1.23 1.20

0.44 Spain -13.79-0.130.000.000.830.43 0.44 0.44 1.54 2.22 1.86 1.86 0.68 0.96 0.83

0.15 Germany -0.160.00-6.02-0.040.630.13 0.14 0.14 5.22 4.74 4.93 4.63 0.76 0.63 0.67

0.20 Sweden -18.41-0.16-18.60-0.160.700.20 0.20 0.17 3.82 4.40 4.41 4.24 0.74 0.86 0.86

0.12 United Kingdom -17.01-0.1611.890.090.800.18 0.13 0.14 5.14 5.48 5.50 5.71 0.63 0.96 0.72

0.08 France 5.790.030.000.000.460.09 0.10 0.10 4.83 4.60 4.57 4.57 0.40 0.43 0.46

0.12 Italy -13.22-0.030.000.000.200.09 0.08 0.08 2.43 2.52 2.40 2.40 0.29 0.23 0.20

0.05 Denmark 2.940.010.000.000.280.06 0.06 0.06 4.94 4.86 4.67 4.67 0.25 0.27 0.28

0.19 Romania 1.410.010.000.000.360.18 0.19 0.19 1.75 1.97 1.95 1.95 0.34 0.36 0.36

0.05 Czech Republic 16.550.022.530.000.160.04 0.04 0.04 3.37 3.16 3.76 3.86 0.17 0.14 0.16

0.05 Hungary 2.940.000.000.000.140.05 0.05 0.05 2.64 2.67 2.64 2.64 0.14 0.14 0.14

0.03 Austria 3.450.000.000.000.090.02 0.02 0.02 3.72 3.78 3.91 3.91 0.09 0.09 0.09

0.02 Ireland -5.26-0.010.000.000.180.03 0.03 0.03 6.54 7.31 7.20 7.20 0.16 0.19 0.18

0.07 Lithuania -0.610.000.000.000.160.07 0.07 0.07 2.31 2.23 2.25 2.25 0.16 0.16 0.16

0.73Australia -13.27-0.180.000.001.150.74 0.73 0.73 1.54 1.78 1.58 1.58 1.12 1.33 1.15

0.30Ukraine 24.200.110.000.000.580.24 0.24 0.24 2.09 1.94 2.47 2.47 0.63 0.47 0.58

0.20China 3.450.020.000.000.600.20 0.20 0.20 3.00 2.90 3.00 3.00 0.60 0.58 0.60

0.13Belarus 27.840.100.000.000.450.13 0.14 0.14 3.22 2.65 3.21 3.21 0.42 0.35 0.45

0.17Brazil 0.000.000.000.000.380.17 0.17 0.17 2.14 2.24 2.24 2.24 0.36 0.38 0.38

0.26Argentina 3.370.020.000.000.460.22 0.23 0.23 1.91 2.07 2.00 2.00 0.50 0.45 0.46

0.13Chile 14.750.090.000.000.700.14 0.13 0.13 5.35 4.49 5.60 5.60 0.68 0.61 0.70

0.07Norway 0.000.000.000.000.240.07 0.07 0.07 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 0.24 0.24 0.24

0.09Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.210.09 0.09 0.09 2.36 2.33 2.33 2.33 0.21 0.21 0.21

0.15Kazakhstan -18.03-0.060.000.000.250.22 0.20 0.20 1.33 1.39 1.25 1.25 0.20 0.31 0.25

0.03Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.070.03 0.03 0.03 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.28Others 0.000.000.000.000.460.28 0.28 0.28 1.61 1.63 1.63 1.63 0.44 0.46 0.46


November 2014

Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

5.03World -8.01-1.27-2.58-0.3914.555.44 5.36 5.17 2.74 2.91 2.79 2.82 13.77 15.82 14.94

0.10United States -5.67-0.010.000.000.180.11 0.10 0.10 1.64 1.72 1.76 1.76 0.17 0.19 0.18

4.93Total Foreign -8.04-1.26-2.62-0.3914.375.32 5.25 5.06 2.76 2.93 2.81 2.84 13.60 15.62 14.75

none

2.37European Union - 28 -13.20-1.35-4.18-0.398.842.56 2.38 2.19 3.69 3.98 3.88 4.05 8.76 10.19 9.23

1.04 Poland -13.64-0.45-14.93-0.502.851.16 1.15 0.95 2.77 2.85 2.92 3.00 2.89 3.30 3.35

0.71 Germany -16.70-0.782.630.103.900.79 0.63 0.64 5.47 5.96 6.03 6.13 3.88 4.68 3.80

0.16 Spain -21.67-0.080.000.000.300.16 0.16 0.16 1.60 2.47 1.89 1.89 0.26 0.38 0.30

0.06 Lithuania 25.000.020.000.000.120.05 0.05 0.05 2.80 1.96 2.40 2.40 0.16 0.10 0.12

0.04 Latvia 15.790.010.000.000.090.03 0.03 0.03 3.35 2.62 2.93 2.93 0.12 0.08 0.09

0.03 France -9.79-0.010.000.000.130.03 0.03 0.03 5.00 4.93 4.96 4.96 0.16 0.14 0.13

0.07 Denmark -0.750.000.000.000.530.09 0.09 0.09 5.91 6.14 6.24 6.24 0.38 0.53 0.53

0.03 Czech Republic -20.45-0.0411.110.010.140.04 0.03 0.03 4.90 4.76 5.04 5.60 0.15 0.18 0.13

0.05 Austria 4.260.010.000.000.250.06 0.06 0.06 4.18 4.20 4.45 4.45 0.21 0.24 0.25

0.02 Sweden 0.670.000.000.000.150.02 0.02 0.02 6.36 7.45 7.50 7.50 0.14 0.15 0.15

0.04 Hungary -4.76-0.010.000.000.100.04 0.04 0.04 2.23 3.00 2.86 2.86 0.08 0.11 0.10

0.02 Slovakia -34.48-0.030.000.000.060.02 0.02 0.02 3.06 3.95 3.80 3.80 0.05 0.09 0.06

0.02 Finland 15.380.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 3.10 2.17 2.50 2.50 0.07 0.03 0.03

0.01 United Kingdom 0.000.000.000.000.040.01 0.01 0.01 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 0.04 0.04 0.04

0.01 Romania 9.090.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 2.00 2.75 3.00 3.00 0.02 0.02 0.02

0.02 Greece 0.000.000.000.000.030.02 0.02 0.02 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.02 Portugal 0.000.000.000.000.020.02 0.02 0.02 0.77 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.02 0.02 0.02

1.42Russia 4.170.140.000.003.501.78 2.00 2.00 1.50 1.89 1.75 1.75 2.13 3.36 3.50

0.39Belarus 23.460.150.000.000.800.32 0.33 0.33 2.76 2.01 2.42 2.42 1.08 0.65 0.80

0.30Ukraine -29.47-0.190.000.000.450.28 0.18 0.18 2.27 2.29 2.50 2.50 0.68 0.64 0.45

0.12Canada -9.52-0.020.000.000.190.09 0.08 0.08 2.74 2.47 2.53 2.53 0.34 0.21 0.19

0.14Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.350.14 0.14 0.14 2.59 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.37 0.35 0.35

0.02Argentina -23.08-0.010.000.000.040.04 0.03 0.03 1.74 1.49 1.60 1.60 0.04 0.05 0.04

0.05Kazakhstan 16.280.010.000.000.050.04 0.04 0.04 1.00 1.10 1.25 1.25 0.05 0.04 0.05

0.06Australia 0.000.000.000.000.020.04 0.04 0.04 0.70 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.04 0.02 0.02

0.00Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.05Others 9.800.010.000.000.110.05 0.05 0.05 2.26 2.17 2.33 2.33 0.10 0.10 0.11


November 2014

Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

37.97World 1.580.960.510.3261.9040.62 40.00 39.96 1.52 1.50 1.54 1.55 57.78 60.94 61.58

2.02United States 4.860.481.090.1110.362.64 2.50 2.50 3.11 3.74 4.10 4.15 6.29 9.88 10.25

35.95Total Foreign 0.940.480.400.2051.5437.98 37.51 37.47 1.43 1.34 1.37 1.38 51.49 51.06 51.33

none

Sub-Saharan Africa

4.77 Nigeria -3.08-0.200.000.006.305.00 5.00 5.00 1.25 1.30 1.26 1.26 5.94 6.50 6.30

4.10 Sudan 55.621.250.000.003.505.60 5.60 5.60 1.10 0.40 0.63 0.63 4.52 2.25 3.50

1.71 Ethiopia -7.79-0.340.000.004.001.85 1.80 1.80 2.11 2.35 2.22 2.22 3.60 4.34 4.00

1.79 Burkina -2.06-0.040.000.001.901.80 1.80 1.80 1.08 1.08 1.06 1.06 1.92 1.94 1.90

0.84 Tanzania 0.960.010.000.000.840.90 0.90 0.90 1.00 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.84 0.83 0.84

3.11 Niger -6.76-0.090.000.001.203.00 3.00 3.00 0.44 0.43 0.40 0.40 1.38 1.29 1.20

0.37 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.320.35 0.35 0.35 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.34 0.32 0.32

0.62 Mozambique 19.680.040.000.000.230.63 0.62 0.62 0.39 0.30 0.36 0.36 0.24 0.19 0.23

0.23 Ghana 8.300.020.000.000.300.23 0.25 0.25 1.21 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.28 0.28 0.30

0.06 South Africa -16.04-0.040.000.000.230.08 0.08 0.08 2.33 3.39 2.81 2.81 0.15 0.27 0.23

South Asia

6.30 India -4.76-0.250.000.005.005.90 5.50 5.50 0.84 0.89 0.91 0.91 5.30 5.25 5.00

0.24 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.150.24 0.24 0.24 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.15 0.15 0.15

South America

1.05 Argentina -11.90-0.50-11.90-0.503.701.00 0.96 0.85 4.48 4.20 4.38 4.35 4.70 4.20 4.20

0.80 Brazil 0.000.000.000.002.400.85 0.90 0.90 2.62 2.82 2.67 2.67 2.10 2.40 2.40

1.64Mexico -9.41-0.8010.000.707.702.07 1.83 1.90 3.76 4.10 3.83 4.05 6.17 8.50 7.00

0.62China 0.000.000.000.002.700.65 0.67 0.67 4.10 4.15 4.03 4.03 2.56 2.70 2.70

0.65Australia 80.670.890.000.002.000.49 0.66 0.66 3.44 2.25 3.03 3.03 2.23 1.11 2.00

0.14Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.760.14 0.14 0.14 5.29 5.29 5.29 5.29 0.76 0.76 0.76

0.11European Union - 28 16.420.100.420.000.720.12 0.13 0.13 4.34 5.13 5.36 5.38 0.50 0.62 0.71

0.04 France 38.710.110.000.000.390.05 0.06 0.06 5.71 5.47 6.05 6.05 0.24 0.28 0.39

0.04 Italy 0.000.000.000.000.230.04 0.04 0.04 4.27 6.22 6.22 6.22 0.16 0.23 0.23

6.77Others 5.920.430.000.007.617.08 7.07 7.07 1.15 1.01 1.08 1.08 7.82 7.18 7.61


November 2014


Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

158.17World -0.28-1.32-0.09-0.43475.05160.74 161.05 160.88 4.45 4.42 4.40 4.40 471.88 476.37 475.48

1.08United States 15.600.950.170.017.071.00 1.18 1.18 8.37 8.62 8.50 8.51 6.35 6.12 7.06

157.09Total Foreign -0.48-2.27-0.09-0.44467.98159.74 159.87 159.70 4.42 4.39 4.37 4.37 465.53 470.25 468.42

none

East Asia

30.14 China 1.031.470.000.00144.0030.31 30.60 30.60 6.78 6.72 6.72 6.72 143.00 142.53 144.00

1.58 Japan -1.69-0.130.000.007.701.60 1.59 1.59 6.74 6.73 6.65 6.65 7.76 7.83 7.70

0.85 Korea, South -1.18-0.053.210.134.180.83 0.83 0.82 6.37 6.76 6.54 6.83 4.01 4.23 4.05

0.58 Korea, North -9.57-0.180.000.001.700.57 0.57 0.57 4.62 5.07 4.63 4.63 1.74 1.88 1.70

South Asia

42.41 India -4.26-4.540.000.00102.0043.94 43.50 43.50 3.72 3.64 3.52 3.52 105.24 106.54 102.00

11.65 Bangladesh 0.610.210.000.0034.6011.77 11.80 11.80 4.35 4.38 4.40 4.40 33.82 34.39 34.60

2.40 Pakistan -2.99-0.200.000.006.502.76 2.76 2.76 3.63 3.64 3.53 3.53 5.80 6.70 6.50

Southeast Asia

12.19 Indonesia 2.781.000.000.0037.0012.00 12.16 12.16 4.72 4.72 4.79 4.79 36.55 36.00 37.00

7.86 Vietnam 0.710.200.000.0028.207.78 7.78 7.78 5.60 5.76 5.80 5.80 27.54 28.00 28.20

10.84 Thailand 0.200.040.000.0020.5010.92 10.90 10.90 2.82 2.84 2.85 2.85 20.20 20.46 20.50

7.04 Burma 1.610.190.000.0012.157.05 7.07 7.07 2.60 2.65 2.69 2.69 11.72 11.96 12.15

4.70 Philippines 2.880.340.000.0012.204.80 4.89 4.89 3.86 3.92 3.96 3.96 11.43 11.86 12.20

2.98 Cambodia 3.700.180.000.004.902.97 3.05 3.05 2.45 2.49 2.51 2.51 4.67 4.73 4.90

0.93 Laos 5.800.090.000.001.550.87 0.90 0.90 2.81 2.68 2.73 2.73 1.66 1.47 1.55

0.69 Malaysia 2.560.050.000.001.800.69 0.69 0.69 3.79 3.91 4.02 4.02 1.69 1.76 1.80

South America

2.39 Brazil 0.600.050.000.008.352.40 2.45 2.45 4.95 5.09 5.01 5.01 8.04 8.30 8.35

0.39 Peru -2.60-0.060.000.002.100.41 0.40 0.40 7.72 7.72 7.61 7.61 2.10 2.16 2.10

Sub-Saharan Africa

2.00 Nigeria -8.01-0.220.000.002.552.50 2.30 2.30 1.88 1.76 1.76 1.76 2.37 2.77 2.55

1.55 Madagascar 19.080.440.000.002.751.30 1.45 1.45 2.94 2.78 2.97 2.97 2.91 2.31 2.75

0.45European Union - 28 0.830.020.000.001.950.44 0.44 0.44 6.73 6.37 6.46 6.46 2.10 1.94 1.95

0.24 Italy 0.420.000.000.000.970.22 0.22 0.22 6.60 6.36 6.30 6.30 1.09 0.96 0.97

0.11 Spain 0.170.000.000.000.600.11 0.11 0.11 7.96 7.53 7.68 7.68 0.63 0.60 0.60

0.77Egypt -5.26-0.25-8.16-0.404.500.77 0.80 0.65 8.80 8.94 8.93 10.03 4.68 4.75 4.90

0.53Iran 2.000.030.000.001.680.59 0.60 0.60 4.43 4.24 4.25 4.25 1.54 1.65 1.68

12.17Others -3.62-0.94-0.69-0.1725.1112.47 12.36 12.35 3.10 3.16 3.09 3.07 24.99 26.05 25.28

Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process

Production is on a milled basis, after the milling process

November 2014


Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

--World Total 4.6923.690.100.52528.90-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 474.70 505.21 528.39

--Total Foreign 1.365.53-0.10-0.41411.72-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 381.38 406.19 412.13

--Oilseed, Copra -0.88-0.050.000.005.53-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5.80 5.58 5.53

--Oilseed, Palm Kernel 5.090.800.000.0016.57-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 14.79 15.76 16.57

none

226.86Major OilSeeds 4.7422.940.100.52506.81229.53 234.63 234.47 2.00 2.11 2.16 2.16 454.11 483.87 506.29

36.70United States 18.3418.160.800.93117.1835.44 39.52 39.52 2.54 2.79 2.94 2.97 93.32 99.02 116.26

none

190.15Foreign Oilseeds 1.244.77-0.10-0.41389.63194.09 195.11 194.95 1.90 1.98 2.00 2.00 360.79 384.85 390.03

56.61South America 5.298.600.000.00171.0659.49 60.89 60.89 2.72 2.73 2.81 2.81 153.70 162.47 171.06

28.77 Brazil 7.676.910.000.0097.0731.46 32.73 32.73 2.94 2.87 2.97 2.97 84.67 90.16 97.07

21.76 Argentina 2.741.570.000.0059.0821.99 22.24 22.24 2.47 2.61 2.66 2.66 53.68 57.50 59.08

3.34 Paraguay 2.430.200.000.008.453.22 3.28 3.28 2.53 2.56 2.58 2.58 8.44 8.25 8.45

1.26 Bolivia -0.75-0.020.000.002.651.18 1.20 1.20 2.29 2.26 2.21 2.21 2.88 2.67 2.65

25.43China -2.81-1.66-0.34-0.1957.2624.84 24.28 24.28 2.35 2.37 2.37 2.36 59.79 58.92 57.45

39.64South Asia -0.23-0.100.000.0042.8541.38 40.68 40.68 1.05 1.04 1.05 1.05 41.51 42.95 42.85

35.35 India -0.59-0.220.000.0037.3537.18 36.48 36.48 1.02 1.01 1.02 1.02 36.10 37.57 37.35

3.96 Pakistan 2.350.120.000.005.243.87 3.87 3.87 1.30 1.32 1.35 1.35 5.15 5.12 5.24

11.40European Union - 28 10.213.232.050.7034.9212.04 11.94 11.95 2.47 2.63 2.87 2.92 28.15 31.69 34.22

2.32 France 19.471.180.000.007.242.25 2.25 2.25 3.07 2.69 3.22 3.22 7.14 6.06 7.24

1.33 Germany 8.170.482.440.156.301.49 1.46 1.42 3.67 3.92 4.22 4.43 4.88 5.82 6.15

0.84 Poland 10.700.308.990.263.100.96 0.86 0.94 2.65 2.91 3.30 3.31 2.22 2.80 2.85

1.30 Romania 10.730.324.880.163.331.47 1.51 1.52 1.34 2.06 2.11 2.20 1.75 3.01 3.18

0.81 Hungary 16.070.333.650.092.410.84 0.89 0.89 2.18 2.48 2.63 2.73 1.77 2.08 2.33

0.76 United Kingdom 16.600.35-3.50-0.092.480.72 0.72 0.68 3.38 2.97 3.57 3.65 2.56 2.13 2.57

19.87Former Soviet Union - 12 -4.90-1.71-1.91-0.6533.1521.07 21.74 21.64 1.41 1.65 1.55 1.53 27.95 34.86 33.80

8.45 Russia -4.29-0.58-3.70-0.5013.009.11 9.40 9.40 1.29 1.49 1.44 1.38 10.87 13.58 13.50

7.46 Ukraine -6.13-1.030.000.0015.707.95 8.20 8.20 1.70 2.10 1.91 1.91 12.71 16.73 15.70

1.35 Uzbekistan -2.31-0.04-2.31-0.041.571.29 1.29 1.29 1.31 1.25 1.25 1.22 1.77 1.61 1.61

10.52Canada -12.28-2.850.000.0020.369.86 10.03 10.03 1.81 2.36 2.03 2.03 19.04 23.21 20.36

16.75Africa 0.880.13-0.22-0.0315.1716.10 16.35 16.34 0.89 0.93 0.93 0.93 14.96 15.04 15.20

3.29 Nigeria -0.22-0.010.000.003.573.23 3.24 3.24 1.15 1.11 1.10 1.10 3.79 3.58 3.57

3.47Southeast Asia 0.480.020.000.005.003.46 3.46 3.46 1.35 1.44 1.45 1.45 4.70 4.98 5.00

1.14 Indonesia -0.56-0.010.000.001.781.12 1.09 1.09 1.54 1.61 1.63 1.63 1.76 1.79 1.78

3.80Australia -19.71-1.02-6.42-0.294.153.16 3.09 3.02 1.51 1.64 1.44 1.37 5.72 5.17 4.44

2.67Others 2.190.120.880.055.702.69 2.65 2.65 1.97 2.07 2.13 2.15 5.27 5.58 5.65

World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel)

Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and rapeseed)

November 2014

Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

109.42World 9.4927.050.280.86312.06113.20 117.82 117.82 2.45 2.52 2.64 2.65 268.06 285.01 311.20

30.82United States 17.8816.340.800.86107.7330.86 33.75 33.75 2.69 2.96 3.17 3.19 82.79 91.39 106.87

78.61Total Foreign 5.5310.710.000.00204.3382.34 84.07 84.07 2.36 2.35 2.43 2.43 185.27 193.62 204.33

none

South America

27.70 Brazil 8.427.300.000.0094.0030.10 31.50 31.50 2.96 2.88 2.98 2.98 82.00 86.70 94.00

19.40 Argentina 1.851.000.000.0055.0019.80 20.00 20.00 2.54 2.73 2.75 2.75 49.30 54.00 55.00

3.16 Paraguay 1.230.100.000.008.203.10 3.10 3.10 2.60 2.61 2.65 2.65 8.20 8.10 8.20

1.09 Bolivia 4.170.100.000.002.501.00 1.10 1.10 2.42 2.40 2.27 2.27 2.63 2.40 2.50

1.30 Uruguay -2.86-0.100.000.003.401.45 1.25 1.25 2.81 2.41 2.72 2.72 3.65 3.50 3.40

East Asia

7.17 China -3.28-0.400.000.0011.806.85 6.70 6.70 1.82 1.78 1.76 1.76 13.05 12.20 11.80

0.08 Korea, South -17.53-0.030.000.000.130.08 0.07 0.07 1.52 1.93 1.72 1.72 0.12 0.15 0.13

0.12 Korea, North 1.230.000.000.000.170.12 0.12 0.12 1.46 1.41 1.40 1.40 0.17 0.16 0.17

0.13 Japan 3.540.010.000.000.210.13 0.13 0.13 1.80 1.56 1.64 1.64 0.24 0.20 0.21

10.80India 0.000.000.000.0011.0012.20 11.00 11.00 1.06 0.90 1.00 1.00 11.50 11.00 11.00

1.68Canada 13.510.700.000.005.901.82 2.20 2.20 3.03 2.86 2.68 2.68 5.09 5.20 5.90


1.35 Russia 52.810.860.000.002.501.20 1.80 1.80 1.39 1.36 1.39 1.39 1.88 1.64 2.50

1.41 Ukraine 26.170.730.000.003.501.35 1.75 1.75 1.71 2.05 2.00 2.00 2.41 2.77 3.50

Southeast Asia

0.45 Indonesia 0.000.000.000.000.620.45 0.45 0.45 1.33 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.60 0.62 0.62

0.12 Vietnam 7.950.010.000.000.190.12 0.13 0.13 1.42 1.47 1.46 1.46 0.17 0.18 0.19

0.05 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.070.04 0.04 0.04 1.70 1.67 1.75 1.75 0.09 0.07 0.07

0.17 Burma 0.000.000.000.000.250.17 0.17 0.17 1.23 1.47 1.47 1.47 0.21 0.25 0.25

0.42European Union - 28 28.150.350.000.001.580.47 0.59 0.59 2.25 2.62 2.68 2.68 0.95 1.23 1.58

0.15 Italy 39.190.240.000.000.860.18 0.25 0.25 2.76 3.54 3.51 3.51 0.42 0.62 0.86

0.04 France 27.270.030.000.000.140.04 0.07 0.07 2.81 2.62 2.00 2.00 0.10 0.11 0.14

Sub-Saharan Africa

0.52 South Africa -2.54-0.020.000.000.920.50 0.56 0.56 1.52 1.88 1.64 1.64 0.79 0.94 0.92

0.57 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.450.44 0.44 0.44 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 0.58 0.45 0.45

0.15 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.170.15 0.15 0.15 1.00 1.11 1.11 1.11 0.15 0.17 0.17

0.17Serbia 5.000.020.000.000.420.17 0.17 0.17 1.70 2.42 2.55 2.55 0.28 0.40 0.42

0.14Mexico 14.170.040.000.000.290.16 0.17 0.17 1.75 1.60 1.76 1.76 0.25 0.25 0.29

0.07Iran 4.840.010.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 2.35 2.45 2.44 2.44 0.17 0.19 0.20

0.39Others 3.860.030.000.000.890.40 0.42 0.42 2.06 2.13 2.13 2.13 0.81 0.86 0.89


November 2014

Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

33.43World -0.15-0.07-0.81-0.3745.0231.82 33.46 33.38 1.39 1.42 1.36 1.35 46.31 45.09 45.39

3.79United States 28.801.100.820.044.913.05 4.00 4.00 1.36 1.25 1.22 1.23 5.14 3.81 4.87

29.64Total Foreign -2.82-1.17-1.00-0.4140.1128.77 29.46 29.38 1.39 1.44 1.38 1.37 41.17 41.28 40.52

none

5.30China -8.40-1.08-1.62-0.1911.764.80 4.40 4.40 2.59 2.67 2.72 2.67 13.72 12.84 11.95

South Asia

12.00 India 1.930.250.000.0013.2011.70 12.75 12.75 1.01 1.11 1.04 1.04 12.10 12.95 13.20

3.00 Pakistan 4.880.200.000.004.303.00 3.05 3.05 1.33 1.37 1.41 1.41 4.00 4.10 4.30


1.35 Uzbekistan -2.31-0.04-2.31-0.041.571.29 1.29 1.29 1.31 1.25 1.25 1.22 1.77 1.61 1.61

0.60 Turkmenistan 0.000.000.000.000.590.58 0.58 0.58 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.63 0.59 0.59

0.20 Tajikistan -10.29-0.02-4.85-0.010.160.19 0.18 0.18 1.08 0.92 0.94 0.90 0.22 0.18 0.17

0.15 Kazakhstan -4.51-0.010.000.000.130.14 0.13 0.13 1.10 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.16 0.13 0.13

South America

0.90 Brazil -11.03-0.320.000.002.581.12 1.00 1.00 2.48 2.59 2.58 2.58 2.23 2.90 2.58

0.36 Argentina -10.71-0.050.000.000.380.56 0.50 0.50 0.72 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.26 0.42 0.38

Middle East

0.41 Turkey 36.490.270.000.001.010.33 0.43 0.43 2.12 2.24 2.35 2.35 0.87 0.74 1.01

0.13 Syria -64.86-0.180.000.000.100.11 0.06 0.06 2.72 2.51 1.62 1.62 0.34 0.28 0.10

0.11 Iran 6.670.010.000.000.100.10 0.11 0.11 1.14 0.90 0.87 0.87 0.12 0.09 0.10

0.45Australia -46.15-0.60-16.17-0.140.700.44 0.30 0.24 3.20 2.98 2.78 2.98 1.42 1.30 0.84

0.36European Union - 28 19.000.090.000.000.570.31 0.34 0.34 1.36 1.54 1.67 1.67 0.48 0.48 0.57

0.29 Greece 17.250.070.000.000.470.25 0.27 0.27 1.33 1.63 1.77 1.77 0.38 0.40 0.47

0.07 Spain 28.210.020.000.000.100.06 0.08 0.08 1.47 1.22 1.33 1.33 0.10 0.08 0.10

Sub-Saharan Africa

0.58 Burkina 4.060.01-0.830.000.360.63 0.58 0.65 0.56 0.55 0.63 0.56 0.33 0.35 0.36

0.52 Mali 17.430.040.000.000.280.48 0.57 0.57 0.47 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.25 0.24 0.28

0.21 Cameroon 4.000.010.000.000.260.22 0.22 0.22 1.10 1.14 1.18 1.18 0.23 0.25 0.26

0.06 Sudan 0.000.000.000.000.050.06 0.06 0.06 1.07 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.06 0.05 0.05

0.24 Zimbabwe 9.200.01-32.62-0.050.100.23 0.30 0.23 0.41 0.38 0.47 0.41 0.10 0.09 0.14

0.30 Nigeria -6.15-0.010.000.000.120.29 0.30 0.30 0.47 0.45 0.41 0.41 0.14 0.13 0.12

0.25 Benin 4.210.01-1.000.000.200.27 0.28 0.28 0.73 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.18 0.19 0.20

0.08 Uganda 65.570.0421.690.020.100.05 0.07 0.05 1.16 1.22 1.28 1.94 0.09 0.06 0.08

0.14Egypt 20.300.030.000.000.160.13 0.16 0.16 1.04 1.02 1.03 1.03 0.15 0.13 0.16

0.16Mexico 29.940.090.000.000.410.12 0.18 0.18 2.27 2.64 2.33 2.33 0.35 0.31 0.41

0.30Burma 0.000.000.000.000.190.30 0.30 0.30 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.19 0.19 0.19

1.51Others 9.460.070.000.000.761.34 1.36 1.36 0.53 0.52 0.56 0.56 0.79 0.70 0.76


November 2014

Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

23.94World -1.48-0.590.070.0339.2223.71 23.20 23.20 1.68 1.68 1.69 1.69 40.12 39.81 39.19

0.65United States 20.870.401.240.032.290.42 0.53 0.53 4.72 4.49 4.27 4.33 3.06 1.89 2.26

23.29Total Foreign -2.59-0.980.000.0036.9323.29 22.67 22.67 1.59 1.63 1.63 1.63 37.06 37.92 36.93

none

4.64China -2.78-0.470.000.0016.504.71 4.70 4.70 3.60 3.60 3.51 3.51 16.69 16.97 16.50

South Asia

5.00 India -11.50-0.650.000.005.005.40 4.80 4.80 1.00 1.05 1.04 1.04 5.00 5.65 5.00

0.11 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.100.11 0.11 0.11 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.10 0.10 0.10

10.96Sub-Saharan Africa 0.040.000.000.009.9210.52 10.53 10.53 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.94 10.09 9.91 9.92

2.42 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.003.002.50 2.50 2.50 1.27 1.20 1.20 1.20 3.07 3.00 3.00

0.71 Senegal 2.110.020.000.000.730.77 0.77 0.77 0.98 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.69 0.71 0.73

0.41 Chad 0.000.000.000.000.400.50 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.37 0.40 0.40

0.35 Ghana 0.000.000.000.000.440.40 0.40 0.40 1.38 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.48 0.44 0.44

1.62 Sudan 0.000.000.000.000.851.00 1.00 1.00 0.64 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.03 0.85 0.85

0.48 Congo (Kinshasa) 0.000.000.000.000.370.48 0.48 0.48 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.37 0.37 0.37

0.36 Burkina 0.000.000.000.000.270.35 0.35 0.35 0.73 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.26 0.27 0.27

0.22 Guinea 0.000.000.000.000.260.21 0.21 0.21 1.38 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.30 0.26 0.26

0.41 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.550.40 0.40 0.40 1.39 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.57 0.55 0.55

0.34 Mali 0.000.000.000.000.330.35 0.35 0.35 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.33 0.33 0.33

0.35 Malawi -1.57-0.010.000.000.380.36 0.37 0.37 1.09 1.05 1.03 1.03 0.39 0.38 0.38

0.08 Cote d'Ivoire 0.000.000.000.000.090.08 0.08 0.08 1.21 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.09 0.09 0.09

0.30 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.300.30 0.30 0.30 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.30 0.30 0.30

0.10 Central African Republic 0.000.000.000.000.150.10 0.10 0.10 1.55 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.15 0.15 0.15

0.13 Benin 0.000.000.000.000.090.13 0.13 0.13 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.08 0.09 0.09

0.39 Mozambique 0.000.000.000.000.110.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.11 0.11 0.11

0.74 Niger -4.11-0.020.000.000.350.74 0.74 0.74 0.39 0.49 0.47 0.47 0.29 0.37 0.35

0.05 South Africa 9.090.010.000.000.120.05 0.06 0.06 1.19 2.12 2.00 2.00 0.06 0.11 0.12

Southeast Asia

0.68 Indonesia -0.86-0.010.000.001.150.66 0.63 0.63 1.68 1.77 1.83 1.83 1.15 1.16 1.15

0.88 Burma 0.000.000.000.001.400.89 0.89 0.89 1.56 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.37 1.40 1.40

0.22 Vietnam 3.770.020.000.000.550.23 0.24 0.24 2.28 2.30 2.29 2.29 0.49 0.53 0.55

0.03 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.050.03 0.03 0.03 1.53 1.67 1.67 1.67 0.05 0.05 0.05

South America

0.38 Argentina 22.200.220.000.001.200.33 0.34 0.34 2.67 2.94 3.53 3.53 1.02 0.98 1.20

0.10 Brazil -20.33-0.070.000.000.290.11 0.10 0.10 3.36 3.37 2.90 2.90 0.33 0.36 0.29

0.06Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.190.06 0.06 0.06 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 0.19 0.19 0.19

0.06Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.100.06 0.06 0.06 1.98 1.75 1.75 1.75 0.12 0.10 0.10

0.18Others -3.74-0.020.000.000.490.20 0.20 0.20 2.58 2.57 2.51 2.51 0.47 0.51 0.49


November 2014

Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

23.77World -7.06-3.03-0.87-0.3539.8524.65 23.99 23.93 1.51 1.74 1.68 1.66 35.98 42.87 40.20

0.75United States 20.720.190.000.001.110.60 0.61 0.61 1.67 1.54 1.82 1.82 1.24 0.92 1.11

23.02Total Foreign -7.68-3.22-0.90-0.3538.7324.05 23.38 23.32 1.51 1.74 1.67 1.66 34.73 41.95 39.08

none

12.61Former Soviet Union - 12 -14.10-3.28-2.92-0.6019.9513.52 13.30 13.20 1.40 1.72 1.55 1.51 17.66 23.23 20.55

6.13 Russia -14.72-1.55-5.26-0.509.006.80 6.50 6.50 1.30 1.55 1.46 1.38 7.96 10.55 9.50

5.50 Ukraine -13.79-1.600.000.0010.005.60 5.60 5.60 1.64 2.07 1.79 1.79 9.00 11.60 10.00

0.30 Moldova -9.82-0.050.000.000.450.30 0.30 0.30 0.99 1.67 1.50 1.50 0.30 0.50 0.45

0.68 Kazakhstan -12.74-0.07-16.67-0.100.500.82 0.90 0.80 0.59 0.70 0.67 0.63 0.40 0.57 0.60

1.94South America 11.900.320.000.003.001.69 1.72 1.72 1.85 1.59 1.74 1.74 3.58 2.68 3.00

1.62 Argentina 19.050.400.000.002.501.30 1.40 1.40 1.91 1.62 1.79 1.79 3.10 2.10 2.50

0.02 Uruguay 25.710.010.000.000.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.10 1.40 1.47 1.47 0.02 0.04 0.04

0.17 Bolivia -44.44-0.120.000.000.150.18 0.10 0.10 1.47 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.25 0.27 0.15

0.07 Brazil 2.560.010.000.000.200.13 0.13 0.13 1.57 1.50 1.54 1.54 0.11 0.20 0.20

0.05 Paraguay 31.250.030.000.000.110.05 0.06 0.06 1.78 1.60 1.69 1.69 0.10 0.08 0.11

0.89China 2.040.050.000.002.500.97 0.98 0.98 2.61 2.54 2.56 2.56 2.32 2.45 2.50

4.29European Union - 28 -1.14-0.102.330.208.784.51 4.20 4.24 1.65 1.97 2.04 2.07 7.09 8.88 8.58

0.68 France 1.270.020.000.001.600.77 0.68 0.68 2.31 2.05 2.37 2.37 1.57 1.58 1.60

0.61 Hungary 12.240.181.540.031.650.59 0.60 0.61 2.14 2.47 2.71 2.70 1.30 1.47 1.63

0.75 Spain -17.20-0.180.000.000.850.85 0.80 0.80 0.85 1.21 1.06 1.06 0.64 1.03 0.85

0.11 Italy -2.47-0.010.000.000.240.11 0.11 0.11 1.71 2.25 2.19 2.19 0.19 0.24 0.24

0.09 Slovakia 11.640.0213.440.030.210.08 0.08 0.08 2.19 2.28 2.30 2.54 0.20 0.19 0.19

1.27South Asia -6.30-0.080.000.001.191.15 1.09 1.09 1.10 1.10 1.09 1.09 1.40 1.27 1.19

0.80 India -2.99-0.020.000.000.650.75 0.73 0.73 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.70 0.67 0.65

0.47 Pakistan -10.00-0.060.000.000.540.40 0.36 0.36 1.49 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.70 0.60 0.54

0.60Turkey -14.29-0.200.000.001.200.69 0.53 0.53 1.88 2.03 2.26 2.26 1.13 1.40 1.20

0.51South Africa -6.21-0.050.000.000.800.60 0.61 0.61 1.10 1.42 1.31 1.31 0.56 0.85 0.80

0.54Burma 0.000.000.000.000.490.54 0.54 0.54 0.65 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.35 0.49 0.49

0.18Serbia 23.530.1010.530.050.530.19 0.19 0.19 2.00 2.30 2.57 2.76 0.35 0.43 0.48

0.04Canada 15.380.010.000.000.060.03 0.03 0.03 2.18 1.86 1.76 1.76 0.09 0.05 0.06

0.03Australia 43.750.010.000.000.050.03 0.04 0.04 1.47 1.19 1.28 1.28 0.04 0.03 0.05

0.14Others -0.490.000.000.000.200.16 0.16 0.16 1.27 1.30 1.30 1.30 0.18 0.20 0.20


November 2014

Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Nov 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

36.30World -0.60-0.430.500.3570.6636.15 36.16 36.13 1.75 1.97 1.94 1.96 63.64 71.09 70.31

0.70United States 14.040.140.000.001.150.51 0.63 0.63 1.55 1.96 1.82 1.82 1.09 1.00 1.15

35.59Total Foreign -0.81-0.570.510.3569.5235.64 35.53 35.50 1.76 1.97 1.95 1.96 62.56 70.08 69.17

none

6.33European Union - 28 13.732.902.130.5024.006.75 6.81 6.78 3.10 3.12 3.45 3.54 19.63 21.10 23.50

1.31 Germany 8.170.472.460.156.251.46 1.44 1.40 3.69 3.95 4.25 4.46 4.82 5.78 6.10

1.61 France 25.861.130.000.005.501.44 1.50 1.50 3.40 3.04 3.66 3.66 5.46 4.37 5.50

0.76 United Kingdom 16.600.35-3.50-0.092.480.72 0.72 0.68 3.38 2.97 3.57 3.65 2.56 2.13 2.57

0.84 Poland 10.710.309.000.263.100.96 0.86 0.94 2.65 2.92 3.31 3.31 2.22 2.80 2.84

0.40 Czech Republic 6.380.095.860.091.540.42 0.39 0.40 2.77 3.45 3.73 3.84 1.11 1.44 1.45

0.13 Denmark -4.55-0.03-7.54-0.050.650.18 0.19 0.17 3.71 3.85 3.80 3.94 0.48 0.68 0.70

0.17 Hungary 25.950.1410.000.060.660.20 0.23 0.22 2.40 2.59 2.61 3.00 0.40 0.52 0.60

0.11 Romania 54.930.397.840.081.100.29 0.43 0.42 1.53 2.45 2.37 2.65 0.17 0.71 1.02

0.11 Slovakia -0.270.000.000.000.370.14 0.13 0.13 1.99 2.73 2.98 2.98 0.21 0.37 0.37

0.11 Sweden -10.51-0.040.000.000.300.12 0.10 0.10 2.97 2.73 3.14 3.14 0.32 0.33 0.30

0.26 Lithuania 0.360.000.000.000.550.26 0.25 0.25 2.43 2.13 2.22 2.22 0.63 0.55 0.55

0.12 Latvia -22.56-0.07-9.80-0.030.230.13 0.11 0.11 2.58 2.32 2.32 2.19 0.30 0.30 0.26

0.06 Austria -3.55-0.012.700.010.190.06 0.05 0.05 2.64 3.40 3.49 3.58 0.15 0.20 0.19

0.06 Finland -23.53-0.02-27.78-0.030.070.05 0.06 0.05 1.25 1.60 1.64 1.44 0.08 0.09 0.09

0.09 Estonia -2.300.000.000.000.170.09 0.09 0.09 1.82 2.02 1.98 1.98 0.16 0.17 0.17

7.43China 1.670.240.000.0014.707.52 7.50 7.50 1.88 1.92 1.96 1.96 14.01 14.46 14.70

South Asia

6.75 India 2.740.200.000.007.507.13 7.20 7.20 1.01 1.02 1.04 1.04 6.80 7.30 7.50

0.38 Pakistan -6.25-0.020.000.000.300.36 0.35 0.35 0.92 0.89 0.86 0.86 0.35 0.32 0.30

0.31 Bangladesh 0.000.000.000.000.230.31 0.31 0.31 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.23 0.23 0.23

8.80Canada -19.82-3.560.000.0014.408.01 7.80 7.80 1.58 2.24 1.85 1.85 13.87 17.96 14.40

3.27Australia -12.23-0.46-4.35-0.153.302.66 2.70 2.70 1.27 1.42 1.28 1.22 4.14 3.76 3.45


0.55 Ukraine -6.46-0.150.000.002.201.00 0.85 0.85 2.38 2.36 2.59 2.59 1.30 2.35 2.20

0.97 Russia 7.680.110.000.001.501.11 1.10 1.10 1.07 1.25 1.36 1.36 1.04 1.39 1.50

0.42 Belarus 3.550.020.000.000.700.40 0.43 0.43 1.67 1.68 1.65 1.65 0.71 0.68 0.70

0.08Paraguay 133.330.070.000.000.130.05 0.09 0.09 1.37 1.15 1.40 1.40 0.11 0.05 0.13

0.30Others 17.120.080.000.000.560.35 0.40 0.40 1.25 1.38 1.41 1.41 0.37 0.48 0.56


November 2014

Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production

Country / Region

Production


2012/13

Prel.

2013/14

2014/15 Proj.

Oct Nov MMT Percent MMT Percent



Oilseed, Copra

0.00 0.00 -0.05 -2.08 Philippines 2.65 2.352.352.40

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Indonesia 1.56 1.581.581.58

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 India 0.67 0.670.670.67

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Vietnam 0.24 0.240.240.24

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mexico 0.21 0.210.210.21

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.13 0.130.130.13

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thailand 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sri Lanka 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solomon Islands 0.03 0.030.030.03

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.03 0.030.030.03

0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.90 World 5.80 5.535.535.58

Oilseed, Palm Kernel

0.00 0.00 0.56 6.88 Indonesia 7.48 8.708.708.14

0.00 0.00 0.20 3.92 Malaysia 4.87 5.305.305.10

0.00 0.00 0.01 1.39 Nigeria 0.70 0.730.730.73

0.00 0.00 0.01 2.27 Thailand 0.43 0.450.450.44

0.00 0.00 0.01 4.17 Colombia 0.21 0.250.250.24

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.13 0.130.130.13

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cameroon 0.11 0.110.110.11

0.00 0.00 0.01 9.09 Ecuador 0.11 0.120.120.11

0.00 0.00 0.01 10.00 Honduras 0.10 0.110.110.10

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brazil 0.10 0.100.100.10

0.00 0.00 0.81 5.14 World 14.79 16.5716.5715.76

Oil, Palm

0.00 0.00 2.50 8.06 Indonesia 28.50 33.5033.5031.00

0.00 0.00 1.09 5.41 Malaysia 19.32 21.2521.2520.16

0.00 0.00 0.10 4.65 Thailand 2.14 2.252.252.15

0.00 0.00 0.03 2.88 Colombia 0.97 1.071.071.04

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.91 0.930.930.93

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.61 0.630.630.63

0.00 0.00 0.01 1.79 Ecuador 0.54 0.580.580.57

0.00 0.00 0.01 2.33 Honduras 0.41 0.440.440.43

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.39 0.400.400.40

0.00 0.00 0.01 2.86 Guatemala 0.32 0.360.360.35

0.00 0.00 3.73 6.26 World 55.97 63.2963.2959.56


November 2014

Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production


MBalesPercent

Yield

(Kilograms per hectare)

Nov 2012/13 MBales

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million 480 lb. bales)


2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Oct Oct

Prel.

2013/14 Nov

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

34.34World -0.58-0.700.200.24119.6132.71 34.25 34.30 783 801 759 759 123.56 120.31 119.37

3.77United States 27.023.490.870.1416.403.05 4.00 4.00 999 921 885 893 17.31 12.91 16.26

30.57Total Foreign -3.90-4.190.090.10103.2129.66 30.25 30.30 757 788 742 742 106.25 107.40 103.12

none

5.30China -8.40-2.75-1.64-0.5030.004.80 4.40 4.40 1,438 1,486 1,509 1,484 35.00 32.75 30.50

South Asia

12.00 India 0.000.000.000.0031.0011.70 12.75 12.75 517 577 529 529 28.50 31.00 31.00

3.00 Pakistan 3.160.300.000.009.803.00 3.05 3.05 675 689 700 700 9.30 9.50 9.80


1.32 Uzbekistan -2.44-0.10-2.44-0.104.001.29 1.29 1.29 745 695 695 678 4.50 4.10 4.10

0.60 Turkmenistan -3.33-0.050.000.001.450.58 0.55 0.55 581 568 579 579 1.60 1.50 1.45

0.20 Tajikistan -11.11-0.05-5.88-0.030.400.19 0.18 0.18 599 516 529 498 0.55 0.45 0.43

0.15 Kazakhstan -4.41-0.020.000.000.330.14 0.13 0.13 611 536 544 544 0.42 0.34 0.33

Sub-Saharan Africa

0.58 Burkina 4.000.058.330.101.300.63 0.58 0.65 441 435 454 439 1.18 1.25 1.20

0.52 Mali 17.650.150.000.001.000.48 0.57 0.57 362 386 382 382 0.87 0.85 1.00

0.24 Zimbabwe 8.700.020.000.000.250.23 0.23 0.23 236 218 237 237 0.26 0.23 0.25

0.25 Benin 4.350.039.090.050.600.27 0.28 0.28 479 464 428 467 0.55 0.58 0.55

0.38 Cote d'Ivoire 6.670.050.000.000.800.36 0.39 0.39 398 460 447 447 0.69 0.75 0.80

0.21 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.500.22 0.22 0.22 477 495 495 495 0.46 0.50 0.50

0.30 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.300.29 0.30 0.30 236 225 218 218 0.33 0.30 0.30

0.06 Sudan 0.000.000.000.000.090.06 0.06 0.06 454 356 356 356 0.13 0.09 0.09

South America

0.90 Brazil -12.50-1.000.000.007.001.12 1.00 1.00 1,452 1,555 1,524 1,524 6.00 8.00 7.00

0.36 Argentina -11.89-0.150.000.001.080.56 0.50 0.50 454 474 468 468 0.75 1.22 1.08

0.05 Paraguay 28.570.010.000.000.050.02 0.03 0.03 363 381 392 392 0.08 0.04 0.05

Middle East

0.41 Turkey 36.960.850.000.003.150.33 0.43 0.43 1,407 1,517 1,595 1,595 2.65 2.30 3.15

0.13 Syria -50.00-0.300.000.000.300.10 0.06 0.06 1,263 1,306 1,089 1,089 0.73 0.60 0.30

0.11 Iran -6.25-0.020.000.000.300.12 0.11 0.11 591 606 594 594 0.29 0.32 0.30

0.45Australia -46.34-1.90-4.35-0.102.200.44 0.25 0.24 2,251 2,047 2,003 2,038 4.60 4.10 2.30

0.36European Union - 28 11.630.190.000.001.790.31 0.34 0.34 909 1,119 1,136 1,136 1.49 1.60 1.79

0.29 Greece 5.920.080.000.001.450.25 0.27 0.27 912 1,217 1,191 1,191 1.19 1.37 1.45

0.07 Spain 47.730.110.000.000.330.06 0.08 0.08 893 748 943 943 0.29 0.22 0.33

0.14Egypt 20.690.090.000.000.530.13 0.16 0.16 746 729 737 737 0.49 0.44 0.53

0.16Mexico 32.030.301.670.021.220.12 0.18 0.18 1,455 1,691 1,493 1,476 1.04 0.92 1.20

2.42Others 3.120.1220.660.653.802.21 2.25 2.24 345 363 304 369 3.83 3.68 3.15


November 2014

TABLE 18 The table below presents a record of the differences between the November projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error” means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.1 percent. The average difference between the November projection and the final estimate is 5.5 million tons, ranging from 0.1 million to 18.1 million tons. The November projection has been below the estimate 24 times and above 9 times.

RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/

COMMODITY AND REGION

Root mean square error

90 percent confidence

interval

Difference between forecast and final estimate

Average Smallest Largest

Years Below final

Above final

Percent ---Million metric tons---

WHEAT

World 1.2 2.1 5.5 0.1 18.1 24 9

U.S. 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 15 11

Foreign 1.4 2.4 5.5 0.0 18.2 24 9

COARSE GRAINS 2/

World 1.5 2.5 11.5 0.2 29.0 26 7

U.S. 1.4 2.3 2.4 0.0 7.5 18 15

Foreign 2.1 3.5 11.3 0.2 28.2 26 7

RICE (Milled)

World 2.2 3.8 6.0 0.1 16.8 28 5

U.S. 3.0 5.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 17 15

Foreign 2.2 3.8 6.0 0.2 16.9 28 5

SOYBEANS

World 4.1 7.0 5.5 0.1 25.1 20 13

U.S. 2.2 3.8 1.1 0.1 4.2 15 18

Foreign 6.8 11.6 5.4 0.0 26.4 18 15

COTTON ---Million 480-lb. bales---

World 3.4 5.8 2.4 0.1 8.7 22 11

U.S. 2.9 4.9 0.4 0.0 0.9 18 14

Foreign 4.0 6.8 2.4 0.1 8.0 22 11

UNITED STATES -------Million bushels-------

CORN 1.4 2.3 86 0 250 18 14

SORGHUM 4.2 7.2 15 1 53 15 18

BARLEY 1.5 2.5 4 0 24 12 10

OATS 1.2 2.0 2 0 18 7 9

1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2013/14. Final for grains, soybeans and cotton is defined as the first November estimates following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2012/13, and for 2013/14 last month’s estimate. 2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain

November 2014 Office of Global Analysis, FAS, USDA

November 2014

united states world agricultural service production · 11/10/2014 · china’s 2014/15 corn...

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