unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...tipping point the tipping point is the...

21
Unveiling tipping points in long-term and experimental studies in peatlands Mariusz Lamentowicz Katarzyna Marcisz, Michał Słowiński, Vincent E.J. Jassey Laboratory of Climate Change Ecology Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland Penard.de You can listen my talk using this LINK

Upload: others

Post on 13-Sep-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Unveiling tipping points in long-term and experimental studies in peatlands

Mariusz LamentowiczKatarzyna Marcisz, Michał Słowiński, Vincent E.J. Jassey

Laboratory of Climate Change EcologyAdam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland

Penard.de

You can listen my talk using this LINK

Page 2: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Tipping point

The tipping point is the corresponding critical point inforcing and a feature of the system at which the future stateof the system is qualitatively altered.

Lenton et al. 2008 PNAS

The tipping point in case of peatland ecosystems can bedefined as the critical point where they lose resilience andshift into a degraded state.

Page 3: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Questions

•What the tipping point (TP) means in case of peatland ecosystem?•Where was the hydrological baseline located in the last 2000 years? •When the baseline was lost?•How experimentally assessed TP relate to the palaeoecological inference?

Page 4: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Peat archive formation is a long-term process depending on water table

Fig. K. Tobolski

Fig. K. Tobolski

Page 5: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

8000 years?!?

wow!

Page 6: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

•Climate

•Drainage

•Mining

•Afforestation

Drivers of peatlands hydrological disturbances

Page 7: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate
Page 8: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Study sites

Lamentowicz i in. 2019. Biol Lett.

Mechacz

Kusowo

Page 9: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Last 2000 years in high-resolution

Page 10: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Proxies

• Testate amoebae-based water tablereconstruction,

• Plant remains –macrofossils

Sphagnum Sphagnum, Shrubs and sedges

Hyalosphenia papilio Assulina muscorum

Penard.de

Time scales

Page 11: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Lamentowicz i in. 2019 Biol Lett.

Tipping point in vegetation community composition

Baker, M., S. King, R., 2010. A new method for detecting and interpreting biodiversity and ecologicalcommunity thresholds. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 1, 25–37.

Page 12: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Tipping point in vegetation community composition

Page 13: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate
Page 14: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

14

Manipulation of the water table in a N Poland

Dry treatment

Ambient treatment

Wet treatment

Linje mire

We monitored ecosystem CO2 respiration and its potential drivers such as plant and fungal communities and enzyme activities.

Page 15: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

From water level manipulation to water level gradient

Wat

er T

able

Dep

th (c

m)

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

Date

13/01 13/03 13/05 13/07 13/09 13/11 14/01 14/03 14/05 14/07 14/09 14/11 15/01

WetAmbientDry

Fluctuations of water table depth spanned over gradient from -40 cm to -5 cmJassey et al. 2018. GCB

Page 16: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Jassey et al. 2018. GCB

Response of vegetation to water level gradient

Page 17: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Response of peatland functions to water level gradient

Water table depth (cm)

r2 = 0.28Threshold = -25.4 cm

-40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -50.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

Soil

resp

iratio

n (µ

mol

CO2

m-2

min-1

)ü Important shifts in soil respiration and soil activity when the water level crossed -25 cm

Soil respiration

r2 = 0.47Threshold = -25.8 cm

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

-40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5

Enzy

me

activ

ities

(z s

core

s)

Water table depth (cm)

Enzyme activity

Jassey et al. 2018. GCB

Page 18: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Where is the tipping point located?

Ø 11,7 cm (2ky - palaeoecology)

Ø 20-25 cm (2-years experiment)

Fig. Kazimierz Tobolski

Plan

t cov

er (%

)

0

20

40

60

80

100WetAmbientDry

a

bb

bc

a aa

b a a a

bc

a

a

b

c

a

b

a

c a a

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Water Table Depth (cm)

Tota

l vas

cula

r pla

nt c

over

(%)

12 months 15 months 18 months 27 months 12 months 15 months 18 months 27 months

-40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5

R2 = 0.67Threshold = -20.5 cm

Page 19: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Carbon emission and water table

Jurasinski, 2015

Net GHG balance

GLOBAL WARMING POTENTIAL IS THE LOWEST ca 10 cm DWT!

Page 20: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

• The inferred hydrological tipping point was WTD=12 cm for peat archives covering the last 2000 years (Lamentowicz et al. 2019),

• Experimental study provided value WTD=20-25 cm when substantial changes in ecosystem respiration, vegetation and soil fungal communities occurred in 2-years of manipulation (Jassey et al. 2018),

• Many of European peatlands crossed the long-term tipping point ca 200 years ago and lost resilience in response to drainage and climate change (Swindles et al. 2019).

• We conclude that the water table ca 12 cm indicates Sphagnum peatland resilience in the long-term ecological context and it is an important value in terms of greenhouse gasses balance and global warming potential.

Summary

Page 21: Unveilingtipping points in long-term and experimental ...Tipping point The tipping point is the corresponding critical point in forcing anda feature ofthe system at whichthe futurestate

Thank you for your attention

[email protected]

@utriculator