update for vtrans2025 multimodal advisory committee

1Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems

University of Virginia

Update for VTrans2025Multimodal Advisory Committee

August 8, 2006



Overview

• Statewide Corridor Analysis

– Corridor comparison at the statewide level

• Demographic Comparisons

– Population Density

– Jobs / Employed Residents (JER) Ratio

– Median Commute Times

– Accessibility

– Minimum required commute (MRC)



MaturityPotential

Statewide Corridor Analysis

• Given a need for cost-effective, multimodal solutions, the objectives are to

– Characterize current multimodal maturity

– Characterize potential multimodal success

– Identify corridors (statewide, regional, and local) of multimodal statewide significance

– Prioritize and allocate multimodal investments among corridors



Statewide Corridor Analysis

• Six ‘pronged’ characterization

– Multimodal vision and planning

– Budgeting and programming

– Demographic, geographic, and land-use characteristics

– Existing infrastructure

– Technology/Knowledge



Demographic Analysis

• Lends itself to studies of accessibility, defined as ease of access from origins to destinations– Population density– Jobs / Employed Residents (JER) Ratio– Modeshare – Median Commute Times– Accessibility

• Source data– 2000 Census– 2000 CTPP– 2001 NHTS– Land-use?



Demographic AnalysisPopulation of VA Transportation Corridors

936

1460

2186

1645

326115

2904

2436

1294

1732

1130

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

M01(I81)

M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06(I77)

M07(I95)

M08(I64)

M09(US17)

M10(I66)

M11(US13)




Number of Tracts in VA Transportation Corridors

191

363

419393

71

23

603586

305 315277

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

M01(I81)

M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06(I77)

M07(I95)

M08(I64)

M09(US17)

M10(I66)

M11(US13)




Land Area of VA Transportation Corridors

7181

8189

5893

9946

13941976

6178

8072

4387

1658

2662

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

M01

(I81)

M02

(US460)

M03

(US29)

M04

(US58)

M05

(US220)

M06

(I77)

M07

(I95)

M08

(I64)

M09

(US17)

M10

(I66)

M11

(US13)




• Recommend to include Loudoun County in the M10 (I66) corridor– Population 255K, 6th greatest in

Virginia – Fastest growing county in

Virginia• 51% increase since 2000• Next highest is Alleghany at

29%• Median increase is less than

3%

COUNTY July 1,2005 April 1,2000 Growth

Loudoun County 255,518 169,599 151%Powhatan County 26,598 22,377 119%King William County 14,732 13,146 112%Amelia County 12,273 11,400 108%Northumberland County 12,874 12,259 105%Rappahannock County 7,271 6,983 104%Cumberland County 9,378 9,017 104%Westmoreland County 17,227 16,718 103%Charles City County 7,119 6,926 103%Buckingham County 16,058 15,623 103%Surry County 7,013 6,829 103%King and Queen County 6,796 6,630 103%Craig County 5,154 5,091 101%Lunenburg County 13,194 13,146 100%Lancaster County 11,593 11,567 100%Mathews County 9,194 9,207 100%Charlotte County 12,404 12,472 99%Highland County 2,475 2,536 98%Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program

Population and growth rate for counties not defined within VA statewide transportation corridors




Modeshare in M07 (I95) Corridor

74.3%

13.0%

2.3%

3.6%

0.4%

0.2%

2.0%

3.3%

0.9%

0.1%

1.0%

10.0%

100.0%

DroveAlone

Carpool Bus Metro CommuterRail

Bike Walk Work atHome

Other




Modal Split in VA Corridors

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)

Percent Modeshare

Drove Alone Carpool Bus Metro Commuter Rail Bike Walk Work at Home Other




Modal Split (Excluding 'Drive Alone' and 'Carpool') in VA Corridors

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03 (US29) M04 (US58) M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09 (US17) M10 (I66) M11 (US13)

Percent Modeshare

Bus Metro Commuter Rail Bike Walk Work at Home Other



A1

O1

O3

O4

O2


Accessibility




Commuters Who Drive Alone by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors

Virginia Beach(51810046008)

Fairfax(51059491400)

Spotsylvania(51177020200)

Norfolk(51710000900)

Fairfax(51059491400)

Wythe(51197990400)

Roanoke(51161031200)


Fairfax(51059491400)

Campbell(51031020400)

Frederick(51069050800)

Accomack(51001990600)

Arlington(51013100200)

Norfolk(51710005602)

Newport News(51700032001)

Dinwiddie(51053840200)

Giles(51071990300)Henry

(51089011300)Henry(51089011200)

Albemarle(51003011100)

Roanoke(51770002100)

Rockingham(51165011400)

Southampton(51175200300)

Fairfax(51059422200)

P ortsmouth(51740212200)


Fairfax(51059422200)

Giles(51071990100)

Roanoke(51770001100)


Fairfax(51059422200)


Roanoke(51770001100)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Percent Commuters Who Drive Alone by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors

Roanoke(51770002200)


Fairfax(51059422200)


Roanoke(51770002200)

P ulaski(51155210100)

Fairfax(51059422200)



Fairfax(51059422200)



Norfolk(51710006901)

Danville(51590001000)

Norfolk(51710005100)

Henry(51089010700) Wythe

(51197990200)Chesterfield(51041100300)

Henrico(51087200125)

Norfolk(51710000600)

P rince William(51153900700)


Montgomery(51121020100)

Norfolk(51710004800)

Lynchburg(51680000203) Norfolk

(51710004800)

Roanoke(51770001100)

Carroll(51035990200)

Stafford(51179010201)

Norfolk(51710004800)

Stafford(51179010201)


Norfolk(51710004800)

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Commuters Who Carpool by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors

Warren(51187020600)

Norfolk(51710000900)


Norfolk(51710000900)

Henry(51089011000)

Wythe(51197990400)


Norfolk(51710000900)

Norfolk(51710000900)


Norfolk(51710000900)

Shenandoah(51171040200) Norfolk

(51710006604)

Lynchburg(51680001300)

Chesapeake(51550021009)

Franklin(51067020200)

Giles(51071990400)


Henrico(51087200302)

Suffolk(51800065500)

Fairfax(51059461900)

P ortsmouth(51740212400)Harrisonburg

(51660000203)Southampton(51175200300)

Fairfax(51059422200)


Roanoke(51770001100)

Bland(51021990100)

Fairfax(51059422200)



Fairfax(51059422200)


0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Percent Commuters Who Carpool by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors

Roanoke(51770001000)

P etersburg(51730810400)

Amherst(51009010502)

Norfolk(51710003502)

Martinsville(51690000200)

Carroll(51035990500)

P etersburg(51730810400)

P etersburg(51730810400) Norfolk

(51710003502)

Alexandria(51510201203)

Norfolk(51710003502)

Augusta(51015070800)


Fairfax(51059451300)

Danville(51590001400) Roanoke

(51161031100)

Giles(51071990400) Arlington

(51013102100)Isle of Wight(51093280300)

Norfolk(51710000600)

Fairfax(51059450700)

Northampton(51131990200)

Harrisonburg(51660000203) Southampton

(51175200300)Fairfax(51059422200)


Roanoke(51770001600)

P ulaski(51155210600)

Fairfax(51059422200)



Fairfax(51059422200)


0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Commuters Who Ride a Bus by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors


P rince George(51149850200)


Norfolk(51710002900) Roanoke

(51770000900)

Carroll(51035990400)


Richmond(51760060400)



Norfolk(51710002900)

Staunton(51790000100)


Danville(51590001100)


Roanoke(51161030900)

Bland(51021990100)

Arlington(51013101100) Fluvanna

(51065020200)York(51199050500)



P ulaski(51155210500)


Fairfax(51059422200)


Roanoke(51161030201)

Bland(51021990100)




Fairfax(51059422200)


1

10

100

1000

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Percent of Commuters Who Ride a Bus by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors

Roanoke(51770001100)

Norfolk(51710004800)


Norfolk(51710004800)

Roanoke(51770001100)

Bland(51021990200)

Richmond(51760030100)

Richmond(51760030100)

Norfolk(51710004800)

Fairfax(51059451400)

Norfolk(51710004800)


Buchanan(51027990700)

Fairfax(51059422000)


Henry(51089011300)

Bland(51021990100)

Chesterfield(51041100600)

Henrico(51087200125)




P ulaski(51155210500)


Fairfax(51059422200)


Roanoke(51161030201)

Bland(51021990100)




Fairfax(51059422200)


0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Commuters Who Ride METRO by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors






Franklin(51067020500)



Chesapeake(51550020805)Warren

(51187020100)





Brunswick(51025990100)

Bland(51021990100)

Roanoke(51161030201)


Fairfax(51059491000)


P ulaski(51155210500)

Fairfax(51059422200)

Fairfax(51059422200)

1

10

100

1000

10000

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Percent of Commuters Who Ride METRO by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors



Suffolk(51800065300)

Richmond(51760020100)


Franklin(51067020500)



Suffolk(51800065300)Clarke

(51043010300)





Brunswick(51025990100)

Bland(51021990100)

Roanoke(51161030201)


Fairfax(51059431900)


P ulaski(51155210500)

Fairfax(51059422200)

Fairfax(51059422200)

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Commuters Who Take Commuter Rail by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors

Suffolk(51800075400)

Fairfax(51059430100)

Spotsylvania(51177020200)

Henrico(51087200108)

Fairfax(51059430100)

Bland(51021990100)

Roanoke(51161031100)

Suffolk(51800075400)

Fairfax(51059430100)

Bedford(51019030603)

Roanoke(51161031100)


Fairfax(51059422200)




Roanoke(51161030201)


Fairfax(51059422200)


P ulaski(51155210500)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Percent of Commuters Who Take Commuter Rail by Census Tract Among VA Transportation Corridors

Roanoke(51161031100)

Bedford(51019030603)


Suffolk(51800075400)

Roanoke(51161031100)

Stafford(51179010403)

Henrico(51087200108)

Stafford(51179010403)


Suffolk(51800075400)

P ulaski(51155210500)


Fairfax(51059422200)


Roanoke(51161030201)

Bland(51021990100)




Fairfax(51059422200) Southampton

(51175200300)0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Commuters Who Bike to Work by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors

Harrisonburg(51660000400)


Charlottesville(51540000502)


Henry(51089010600)

P ulaski(51155210100)

Richmond(51760040400)

Richmond(51760040400)




P ulaski(51155210500)


Fairfax(51059422200)


Roanoke(51161030201)

Bland(51021990100)




Fairfax(51059422200)


0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Percent of Commuters Who Bike to Work by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors

Staunton(51790000100)

Norfolk(51710003900)


Norfolk(51710003900)

Roanoke(51770001100)

P ulaski(51155210100)

Richmond(51760041200)

Richmond(51760041200)

Norfolk(51710003900)


Norfolk(51710003900)

P ulaski(51155210500)


Fairfax(51059422200)


Roanoke(51161030201)

Bland(51021990100)




Fairfax(51059422200)


0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Commuters Who Walk to Work by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors

Norfolk(51710000900)


Norfolk(51710000900)

Norfolk(51710000900)

P rince George(51149850200)

P ulaski(51155210300)

Salem(51775010200)

Norfolk(51710000900)

Charlottesville(51540000700)

Norfolk(51710000900)



Manassas P ark(51685920100)

Norfolk(51710003900)Albemarle

(51003011000)Arlington(51013100900)Carroll

(51035990300)

Roanoke(51770001100)

Virginia Beach(51810046008)P rince William

(51153900100)Roanoke(51770001100)

Shenandoah(51171040200)

Southampton(51175200300)Fairfax

(51059422200)P ortsmouth(51740212200)



Bland(51021990200)

Henry(51089010900)


Fairfax(51059422200)


Bristol(51520020400)

1

10

100

1000

10000

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Percent of Commuters Who Walk to Work by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors





Roanoke(51770001100)

P ulaski(51155210300)

Stafford(51179010201)


Stafford(51179010201)



Augusta(51015071100)



Norfolk(51710003600)

Franklin(51067020300) Giles

(51071990100)



Norfolk(51710000600) Fairfax

(51059416000)



Fairfax(51059422200)


Henry(51089010900)

Wythe(51197990400)




Fairfax(51059422200)


0.001

0.01

0.1

1

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Employees Who Work at Home by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors

Norfolk(51710000900)

Fairfax(51059480500)

Norfolk(51710000900)

Norfolk(51710000900)

Fairfax(51059480500)Wythe

(51197990300)

Franklin(51067020100)

Norfolk(51710000900)

Fairfax(51059480500)

Norfolk(51710000900)


Norfolk(51710003800)

P rince William(51153901404)Norfolk

(51710003800)Albemarle(51003010700)


Carroll(51035990100)

Roanoke(51161030100)

Henry(51089010900)

Falls Church(51610500100)

Norfolk(51710004400)



Fairfax(51059422200)




P ulaski(51155210500)

Henry(51089011000)


Fairfax(51059422200)


P ulaski(51155210500)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)




Percent of Employees Who Work at Home by Census TractAmong VA Transportation Corridors




Norfolk(51710000900)

Franklin(51067020100)

Giles(51071990100)

Fairfax(51059480100)

Norfolk(51710000900)

Norfolk(51710000900)

Fairfax(51059480100)

Norfolk(51710000900)

Winchester(51840000100)

Wise(51195990800)

Fairfax(51059490900) Virginia Beach

(51810045810)

Martinsville(51690000100)

Giles(51071990200)

Fairfax(51059421600)

Alleghany(51005080201)


Fauquier(51061990401)

Norfolk(51710003700)

P ulaski(51155210500)


Fairfax(51059422200)


Henry(51089011000)

P ulaski(51155210500)




Fairfax(51059422200) Southampton

(51175200300)0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

M01 (I81) M02(US460)

M03(US29)

M04(US58)

M05(US220)

M06 (I77) M07 (I95) M08 (I64) M09(US17)

M10 (I66) M11(US13)

update for vtrans2025 multimodal advisory committee

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