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A Joint Report by the Nuclear Energy Agency and the International Atomic Energy Agency U ranium 2016: Resources, Production and Demand N E A NUCLEAR ENERGY AGENCY

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  • A Joint Report by the Nuclear Energy Agency

    and the International Atomic Energy Agency

    Uranium 2016:Resources, Productionand Demand

    Uranium

    2016: Resources, P

    roduction and Dem

    and

    NEANUCLEAR ENERGY AGENCY

  • A Joint Report by the Nuclear Energy Agency and the International Atomic Energy Agency

    Uranium 2016: Resources, Production and Demand

    OECD 2016 NEA No. 7301

    NUCLEAR ENERGY AGENCY ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT

  • ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT

    The OECD is a unique forum where the governments of 35 democracies work together to address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalisation. The OECD is also at the forefront of efforts to understand and to help governments respond to new developments and concerns, such as corporate governance, the information economy and the challenges of an ageing population. The Organisation provides a setting where governments can compare policy experiences, seek answers to common problems, identify good practice and work to co-ordinate domestic and international policies.

    The OECD member countries are: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Chile, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea, Latvia, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The European Commission takes part in the work of the OECD.

    OECD Publishing disseminates widely the results of the Organisations statistics gathering and research on economic, social and environmental issues, as well as the conventions, guidelines and standards agreed by its members.

    This work is published on the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD.

    NUCLEAR ENERGY AGENCY

    The OECD Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) was established on 1 February 1958. Current NEA membership consists of 31 countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Russia, the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The European Commission and the International Atomic Energy Agency also take part in the work of the Agency.

    The mission of the NEA is:

    to assist its member countries in maintaining and further developing, through internationalco-operation, the scientific, technological and legal bases required for a safe, environmentallyfriendly and economical use of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes;

    to provide authoritative assessments and to forge common understandings on key issues, as inputto government decisions on nuclear energy policy and to broader OECD policy analyses in areassuch as energy and sustainable development.

    Specific areas of competence of the NEA include the safety and regulation of nuclear activities, radioactive waste management, radiological protection, nuclear science, economic and technical analyses of the nuclear fuel cycle, nuclear law and liability, and public information. The NEA Data Bank provides nuclear data and computer program services for participating countries.

    This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area.

    Corrigenda to OECD publications may be found online at: www.oecd.org/publishing/corrigenda.

    OECD 2016 (March 2017 revised version)

    You can copy, download or print OECD content for your own use, and you can include excerpts from OECD publications, databases and multimedia products in your own documents, presentations, blogs, websites and teaching materials, provided that suitable acknowledgment of the OECD as source and copyright owner is given. All requests for public or commercial use and translation rights should be submitted to [email protected]. Requests for permission to photocopy portions of this material for public or commercial use shall be addressed directly to the Copyright Clearance Center (CCC) at [email protected] or the Centre franais d'exploitation du droit de copie (CFC) [email protected].

    Cover photos: Atucha 2 NPP, Argentina (Nucleoelctrica Argentina S.A.); uranium ore: uranophane (Areva); Cigar Lake mine, Canada (Cameco).

  • PREFACE AND ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

    URANIUM 2016: RESOURCES, PRODUCTION AND DEMAND, NEA No. 7301, OECD 2016 3

    Preface

    Since the mid-1960s, with the co-operation of their member countries and states, the OECD Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have jointly prepared periodic updates (currently every two years) on world uranium resources, production and demand. Such updates have been published in what are commonly known as the Red Books. The 26th edition of the Red Book reflects information current as of 1 January 2015.

    This 26th edition features a comprehensive assessment of uranium supply and demand in 2015 and projections to the year 2035. The basis of this assessment is a comparison of uranium resource estimates (according to categories of geological certainty and production cost) and mine production capability with anticipated uranium requirements arising from projected installed nuclear capacity. In cases where longer-term projections of installed nuclear capacity were not provided by national authorities, projected demand figures were developed with input from expert authorities. Current data on resources, exploration, production and uranium stocks are also presented, along with historical summaries of exploration and production, and plans for future mine production. Available information on secondary sources of uranium is provided and the potential impact of secondary sources on the market is assessed. Individual country reports offer detailed information on recent developments in uranium exploration and production, on environmental activities, regulatory requirements and on relevant national uranium policies.

    This publication has been prepared on the basis of data obtained through questionnaires sent by the NEA to OECD member countries and by the IAEA to other countries. It contains official data provided by 37 countries and 12 national reports prepared by the NEA and the IAEA. The opinions expressed in Chapters 1 and 2 do not necessarily reflect the position of the member countries or international organisations concerned. This report is published on the responsibility of the OECD Secretary-General.

    Acknowledgements

    The Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) gratefully acknowledge the co-operation of those organisations that replied to the questionnaire (see Appendix 1).

  • TABLE OF CONTENTS

    URANIUM 2016: RESOURCES, PRODUCTION AND DEMAND, NEA No. 7301, OECD 2016 5

    Table of contents

    Executive summary ...................................................................................................................... 9 Chapter 1. Uranium supply ........................................................................................................ 15

    Uranium resources .................................................................................................................. 15 Identified conventional resources .......................................................................................... 15 Distribution of resources by production method ................................................................... 27 Distribution of resources by processing method.................................................................... 28 Distribution of resources by deposit type .............................................................................. 29 Proximity of resources to production centres ........................................................................ 30 Additional conventional resources ........................................................................................ 31 Undiscovered resources ......................................................................................................... 32 Other resources and materials .............................................................................................. 34 Thorium ................................................................................................................................. 38

    Uranium exploration ............................................................................................................... 45 Non-domestic......................................................................................................................... 45 Domestic ................................................................................................................................ 46 Current activities and recent developments .......................................................................... 49

    Uranium production ................................................................................................................ 59 Present status of uranium production ................................................................................... 63 Ownership ............................................................................................................................. 65 Employment .......................................................................................................................... 66 Production methods ....................