urban form, transport infrastructure and individual travel patterns
DESCRIPTION
This essay investigates the literature around factors that influence individual travel behavior. It considers variables in the research, before considering aspects of urban form, transport infrastructure and psychosocial demographics with reference to different areas in the City of Casey. In conclusion, the relative importance of each factor is considered.TRANSCRIPT
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 1
2 3571115
Introduction Consideration
Urban FormTransport Networks
Psychosocial DemographicsConclusion
2012paul melenhorst
IndividualTravel Patterns
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 2
Factors effecting individual travel patterns
Paul Melenhorst
Australia’s current travel patterns are largely the result of
land use and transport planning decisions that were made
in the heady days of post World War II prosperity (Laird and
Newman, 2001, 14) and founded on building road capacity
to meet the demands of a growing car population (Curtis,
2005, 448). Without the benefit of any serious discourse
on the relative merits of compact versus dispersed urban
structure, an auto-centric urban society was seen as a fait
accompli and accepted without question (Kelly, 2011, 11).
This default position has meant that automobiles now
account for about 70% of travel in Australia’s urban
centres (Mees, Sorupia and Stone, 2007, 3) - even
higher, at almost 90% (City of Casey, 2011, 2) in the City
of Casey, the area under scrutiny in this paper. Given
this background, an analysis of factors influencing travel
patterns must be made in the context of a society heavily
biased in favour of car mobility.
Decisions that people make about how they will travel are
based on accessibility – the relationship between land use
and transport networks and the capacity of these networks
to fulfil activities and opportunities (Francis and Ramsay,
2011, 3). However, spatial variables, a person’s cultural
heritage, health, social status, gender and age will also
impact on individual travel patterns, perhaps even more
This essay investigates the literature around factors that influence individual travel behavior. It considers variables in the research, before considering aspects of urban form, transport infrastructure and psychosocial demographics with reference to different areas in the City of Casey. In conclusion, the relative importance of each factor is considered.
INTRODUCTION
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 3
so. Factors relating to psycho-social demographics, whilst
less tangible than lack of a bicycle path or the promise of a
new bypass, also contribute to the decision to use horse-
power, pedal power or otherwise and, therefore these
must also be considered.
This travel pattern analysis refers to a 15 km2 area in
the City of Casey that includes Berwick Village (from the
original precinct analysis), the super regional shopping
centre Fountain Gate, and two residential neighbourhoods
in Harkaway and Berwick South. Urban form and transport
networks vary across these precincts from formal grid
layouts in Berwick Village to organic and ‘non-leaking’ cul-
de-sacs (Cozens and Hillier, 2008, 5) in Berwick South.
Whilst spatial factors vary across the area, psychosocial
demographics are more constant.
CONSIDERATIONS
Deconstructing factors that influence travel behaviour is
potentially a ‘wicked’ process with problems of shared
and unstructured jurisdiction, nebulous interrelationships
and potentially a result where there is no agreed position.
Causation is an issue. Ascertaining what actually
influences travel behaviour is an innately difficult
exercise. Rutherford, McCormack and Wilkinson (1996)
conclude in a comparative analysis that whilst evidence
indicates that people travel differently in different mixed-
use neighbourhoods, it does not follow that these
neighbourhood characteristics are necessarily responsible.
And Crane (2000, 8) notes that it is not possible to
determine the relative importance of differences between
individual and group travel behaviour, therefore ‘identifying
how much of the observed behavior is influenced by the
Above: The study area located in Berwick and Metropolitan Melbourne.source: P. Melenhorst. Adapted from Googlemaps
Fountain Gate
Berwick South Berwick Village
Harkaway
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 4
street configuration or any specific design feature alone is
also impossible.’
As well, most current research has a narrow focus,
concentrating on the white majority populace (Curtis and
Perkins, 2006, 14), whereas there are subgroups outside
of this demographic, whose language and semiotics,
religious doctrine will impact differently on how and why
they choose transportation.
And this is a contested area with researchers sometimes
disagreeing over key factors (Lewis, 1999; Crane, 2000;
Crane and Chatman, 2003; Mees, 2010; Gordon and
Richardson, 2001). This is still an area that requires further
research in developing a sufficient understanding of the
relationship of urban and transport infrastructure and
demographics to travel patterns.
With these considerations in mind, two major groups of
factors are associated with transportation patterns; the
spatial variables of urban form and transport infrastructure;
and community variables defined as psychosocial
demographics.
factors effecting
travel patterns
psycho-social
factors
urbanform
factors
transportnetworkfactors
safety
sustain-ability
status & income`
gender
age
autonomy
socio-economics
household composition
status quo
locationstructure & layout
land use mix
physical features
develop-ment
density
road hierarchy &
networkparking
road &fuel
pricing
active transit
structures
publictransit
structures
technology advances
Above: Cognitive map of major variables influencing travel patterns.source: P. Melenhorst
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 5
URBAN FORM
The urban form and design of a city – its location, land use
mix, size and morphology, density and physical features –
all impact on the decisions people make when travelling
and commuting. Cervaro and Kockelman (1997, 199)
have referred to these as the ‘three Ds’ of density, diversity
and design, with the more recent addition of destination
accessibility and distance to transit (City of New York,
2010, 22) being used to analyse travel patterns. Casey’s
urban form is mostly conventional low density, single
use urban infrastructure with areas like Fountain Gate,
Harkaway and Berwick South located beyond any local
walkable catchments.
Location
Casey demonstrates a strong correlation between location
and vehicle dependence. As a sprawling suburb, particularly
Harkaway and Berwick South tend to be removed from
activity centres, therefore more dependent on motorised
transport. Curtis and Perkins (2006, 9), referring to a
study by Soltani and Primerano (2005) note sparse low-
density communities, away from local shopping and other
activities, restrict the capacity of residents ‘to walk or cycle
for their daily travel requirements’. This is in contrast to
residents who are close to activity and transit nodes where
higher rates of walking or cycling are observed (Naess and
Jensen, 2004).
Marchetti (1994), quantifies this by establishes a maximum
‘budget time’ of approximately one hour that people
will travel in order to get to work. When a destination is
more than one hour from the origin – the ‘Marchetti wall’ -
people will tend to move to a faster transportation mode.
Casey is 45km from Melbourne’s monocentric CAD with
no transport mode falling inside this theoretical wall.
Land Use Mix and Density
Land use diversity also influences individual travel patterns
through the accessibility of facilities and services such
as ‘employment, education, health and other services’
(Francis and Ramsay, 2011, 3). Sixty percent of car trip
from within Casey are to destinations outside of the City
(ABS, 2006a), which suggests land use mix is poor,
Right. TOD (transport oriented design) guidelines suggest a walking catchment of five minutes (400 metres) from a railway node. Marchetti (1994) suggests that an average travel time budget is about one hour wide. This is the event horizon at which people are hesitant to travel much further. Presuming that journeys terminate at a concentric hub, people will stop walking at about 8km which is about average walking speed; stop using public transit at about 30km which is the average speed of a train; and stop driving at about 50km which is the average speed of a car.
Commuting distances from the precincts under question to Melbourne’s CAD are about 45km, placing the City of Casey outside this theoretical wall.source: P. Melenhorst. Data from Newman and Kenworthy (2011)
8km
50km
30km
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 6Residential streets without active transport infrastructure
Top: Cul-de-sac strreet in Berwick south (source: P. Melenhorst)
Centre: Residential streets surrounding Fountain Gate(source: realestate.com.au)
Bottom: Low density residential zoning in Harkaway(source: P. Melenhorst)
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 7
limiting opportunities for active transport. Fountain Gate,
as a Principal Activity Centre, is particularly poor, forcing
users to use motorized transport because of the lack of
residential and public realm uses. (PDP 2009)
As well as an accessible mix, the positioning of services is
important. Blom (1992) notes, for example, that a labour-
intensive office development is better placed at a destination
transport node, than, say, an equivalent residential urban
development. This is because egress travel supports short
car or bicycle trips to the point of departure (parking at a
railway station or locking a bicycle), whereas these are not
options at the destination, such as an office building. Casey’s
transit points are origin nodes for travel to Melbourne’s CAD.
However, all three stations are located in retail/commercial
rather than residential areas so distance to transit measures
are more than 600 metres, discouraging walking.
As well as land use mix, population and development
density is a common yardstick for calculating travel
usage. The City of Casey’s urban density is relatively
uniform averaging 10 dwellings per hectare (Buxton and
Scheurer 2007, 15) with Harkaway less than one dwelling
per hectare. Such low density means that services are
fragmented and often only within reach by motorized
transport. Increasing land use density would improve
accessibility as services and infrastructure are clustered
into more concentrated areas. With this higher degree of
access, there tends to be shorter trips, which, it is argued,
may incentivise people to shift travel mode to walking.
Newman and Kenworthy (2011) cite increases in urban
density as one reason why the modal split is changing
from motorized transport to active and public transport.
This corresponds to Casey where densities are low and
motorized transport usage high.
There are various authors such as Kockelman (1991, 12)
and Crane (2000, 6) however who note that density as a
single variable, is a simplistic algorithm that fails to capture
complex interrelationships between urban form factors.
Crane explains that density, land use mix and location will
decrease the distance between trip origin and destination,
as they are physically closer together, however, whilst the
amount people drive (VMT) will decrease, it does not also
follow that travel modes will change or the number of trips
decrease.
And McLoughlin (1991) and Lewis (1999) have argued
that, for outer urban areas, such as Berwick South and
Harkaway, increases in density will have little impact on
urban sprawl issues like car usage as infrastructure and
services such as roads remain almost constant. To reduce
such an allocation would “make a direct assault on those
qualities that make Melbourne liveable” (Lewis, 1999, 117).
Furthermore, Mees (2010, 41) indicates that there is little
evidence tying urban density and sustainable transport
share together with cities from across North America and
Australia showing no correlation between density and
public/active transport percentages. What in fact maybe
occurring is what Curtis and Perkins (2006, 6) refer to
as ‘locational self-selection’ where suburbs with higher
densities, mixed use and good permeability attract like-
minded residents, who already walk, cycle and use public
transport, rather than changing individual travel patterns to
more sustainable modes.
TRANSPORT NETWORKS
The transport networks of a city – the road hierarchy,
the type of road network, pricing, sustainable transport
networks, and advances in technology – all impact on the
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 8
decisions people make when traveling and commuting.
Road Hierarchy and Network
A comprehensive matrix of arterial roads, local streets
and laneways, and off-road cycle and pedestrian tracks
will cater for multi-modal transit and encourage a mix of
motorized and sustainable travel.
As one of Australia’s fastest growing municipalities,
Casey’s road networks are acknowledged as congested
with arterial road usage increasing travel times, (thereby
reducing productive and social time), increasing operating
costs and user uncertainty (Curtin, 2012, 13) and negatively
impacting on adjacent local communities by encouraging
inappropriate through traffic. Efficient and comprehensive
road infrastructure, however, improves service as volume-
capacity ratios are decreased, which will impact on an
individual’s road mobility and therefore travel patterns.
This is a double-edged sword, though, as increased road
capacity also has the function of increasing traffic volumes –
additional roads attract additional drivers – which ultimately
contributes to congestion (Hansen et al, 1999).
As well as the road hierarchy, the type of road network in
a precinct will influence vehicle and sustainable transport
behaviour with a gridded network, as opposed to organic
networks and leaking and non-leaking cul-de-sacs more
able to ‘facilitate walking, cycling and the use of public
transport… and enable relatively direct local vehicle trips’
(WAPC, 2009, 34).
Gridded networks also potentially reduce local trips in a
community. Kulash (1990) has established a reduction of
43% (expressed in VMT – vehicle miles travelled) due to the
higher degree of accessibility provided by such a network,
and McNally and Ryan (1993) suggest a reduction of
10.6% in VMT when a conventional network becomes a
‘highly interconnected street system’.
However, gridded networks, with their connectivity
and permeability, are more prone to safety issues for
pedestrians than cul-de-sac networks where it is less easy
to transit through (Town et al., 2003 ; Poyner and Webb,
1991). Cozens and Hillier (2008, 11) note that ‘permeable
street layouts are subject to higher levels of crime than
less permeable layouts, such as non-leaking cul-de-sacs’
which may be a factor in people choosing to drive over
walking, particularly at night.
Parking and Road Pricing
Parking levies and increased pricing aims to reduce
congestion in inner city areas by discouraging commuters
from driving. These ‘push’ techniques - are aimed at making
car usage less appealing and includes increased taxes
on fuel, tolls on roads, decreased parking and increased
parking prices. For example, the Victorian Government’s
introduction of a levy in Melbourne’s CAD has seen ‘a
significant increase in the number of people coming to the
city by public transport (Hamer, Currie and Young, 2011,
13). And studies by Hensher and King (2001), and Handy
et al (2005) have found that the cost of parking in inner city
areas to be the most significant determinant in transport
modal switch to public transit.
Outside of central activity districts, such as the City
of Casey, where there is competition between activity
centres, this may not be the case. Clark (2005, 3) notes
that ‘market mechanisms that seek to price people out of
their cars may have the contrary effect of increasing car
use, at least in the short term, as people opt to drive to
destinations that have free parking’.
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 9
Clockwise from top: People queing at the Fountain Gate bus stop. There are 5200 car parking spaces at Fountain Gate, Victoria’s second largest shopping centre, yet no seating and weather cover at this bus stop.(source: Public Transport Users Association)
Fountain Gate is enclosed on three sides by arterial roads, cutting the precinct off from active transport.(source: fitzroys.com.au)
Residential streets, however no active transport access – on the Casey line.(source: railpage.com.au)
Narre Warren railway station, as a transit node cannot cope with vehicle traffic volumes.(source: railpage.com.au)
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 10
This would certainly be the case in Berwick Village and
Fountain Gate, where currently parking is free. Parking
deterrents would drive, quite literally, people to competing
strip shops and shopping malls that have free peak parking
demand facilities.
Sustainable Transport Infrastructure
A complex of public transport routes and services allow
people to choose transport options that best align with
their travel requirements. Casey’s transport infrastructure
polarizes users through limited sustainable transport
infrastructure with its railways stations located in low-
density commercial/retail areas, rather than dense, mixed
use precincts. There is the only one dedicated cycling route,
the Hallam Bypass Trail (City of Casey, n. d.), However this
does not connect to any transit nodes, limiting its use for
commuting. Footpaths are comprehensive in Berwick
Village but the cul-de-sacs of Berwick South are not
comprehensive and Harkaway and Fountain Gate are very
limited PTUA (Public Transport Users Association statistics
(2010). The Fountain Gate precinct is particularly difficult
for active transport users to navigate, being surrounded on
three sides by primary and district distributor roads, and
access through vehicle access. And it is not located on a
railway line with the nearest station 1.5km away.
Mess and Dodson (2011, 2) note that the way a public
transport network is structured is integral as to how it will
be used describing good public transport as being reliable
and fast, and having a diversity of line haul, cross town and
local feeder services (Curtin University, 2012b). As well,
‘pull’ techniques (Van Wee and van der Hoorn, 1996, 82)
such as a logical ticketing system, end of journey bicycle
facilities, legible wayfinding, sufficient cover from weather,
adequate parking and a good general amenity can
mitigate travel behaviour. (Queensland Transport, 2008).
This ‘transit leverage’ effect is confirmed by Newman and
Kenworthy (2011), indicating an inverse proportionality
between car use and public transport use. And Holtzclaw
(1994) notes that a doubling of transit accessibility (the
number of bus and rails seats per hour) can reduce VMT
per household by eight percent.
Transit leverage extends to good pedestrian infrastructure
that encourages walking as a component of commuting
(Cervero, 2002), however it is questionable whether
improved bicycle infrastructure reduces car usage. Mees,
Sorupia and Stone (2007, 3) argue that cycling, as a transit
mode does not appear to effect car use, rather impacting
on the share of walking and public transport users. This is
because there is a disconnect between a bicycle’s average
commuting length and people’s actual average commute
lengths. Ironically, Gordon and Richardson (1998, 10) note
that there is stronger correlation between cycling and car
use than between cycling and transit, giving the example
of the cyclist who drives 30 miles in order to ride along a
beach promenade!
Advances in Technology
Continued advances in fuel technologies (Parbo, 1997,
108), engine efficiency and power trains (Granovskii,
Dincer and Rosen, 2006, 411) have already made
cars less environmentally damaging. However, these
incremental changes will not substantially change mode
share away from cars (and, in fact, may encourage driving,
if environmental issues become less critical).
What is more significant are long term waves of
innovation (known as Kondratiev Cycles (Nogrady, 2010)
corresponding with major technological innovations that
include transportation. Marchetti (1993, 88) notes how
dominant transportation modes, based on increased
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 11
speed, have changed with each new innovation cycle
(e.g. horse to carriage to automobile) and predicts the
introduction of a new form of transportation, such as the
Maglev (magnetic levitation vehicle) replacing trains and
cars. Obviously this is speculative, however the underlying
position that innovation impels changes in transportation
usage is an important factor to consider.
PSYCHOSOCIAL DEMOGRAPHICS
Much of the research suggests the decisions people make
when choosing transportation are not so much guided by
urban networks, but grounded in cultural predispositions,
political bias and a person’s age, gender and heritage.
This factor is expressed in issues of safety, income and
household composition, gender and age, status and
status quo.
Transport and Safety
Perceptions of safety or risk will influence personal travel
choice. Despite the inherent dangers of higher speed
motorized travel, cars are often seen as offering the safety
of a ‘comfortable cocoon’ (Hiscock et al (2002, 119), and
an ‘ontological security’ that is not available with public
transport. Obversely, public travel is perceived as riskier,
particularly at night. A national police survey (Victoria
Police, 2011) found that only 35.7% of people felt safe
using public transport at night compared with 82.6% of
people during the day.
Some of this reticence is however justified, particularly in
Victoria (and well represented by the City of Casey) where
transit crime is double that for NSW (More danger on
trains in Melbourne than in London or New York, 2008).
Bus transit has similar problems with Loukaitou-Sideris
Uniting
No Religion
Catholic
Presbyterian
R E L I G I O U S A F F I L I A T I O N I N C A S E Y
Anglican
EnglandNew ZealandSri LankaScotland
Australia
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C O U N T R Y O F B I R T H I N C A S E Y
0-4
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A G E D I S T R I B U T I O N I N C A S E Y
5-14
15-24
males
females
indigenous
P E R S O N A L C H A R A C T E R I S T I C S I N C A S E Y
hours not stated
part-time
full-time
unemployed
L A B O U R F O R C E E M P L O Y M E N T I N C A S E Y
away from work Clerical/
administrative
Technicians/trades
Community
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O C C U P A T I O N I N B E R W I C K
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O C C U P I E D P R I V A T E D W E L L I N G S I N C A S E Y
Other tenure
Rented
Separated/divorced
Married Widowed
M A R I T A L S T A T U S I N C A S E Y
Never /married
Uniting
No Religion
Catholic
Presbyterian
R E L I G I O U S A F F I L I A T I O N I N C A S E Y
Anglican
EnglandNew ZealandSri LankaScotland
Australia
India
C O U N T R Y O F B I R T H I N C A S E Y
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A G E D I S T R I B U T I O N I N C A S E Y
5-14
15-24
males
females
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P E R S O N A L C H A R A C T E R I S T I C S I N C A S E Y
hours not stated
part-time
full-time
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L A B O U R F O R C E E M P L O Y M E N T I N C A S E Y
away from work Clerical/
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Technicians/trades
Community
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Machineryoperators
O C C U P A T I O N I N B E R W I C K
ProfessionalsSales
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Being purchased
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O C C U P I E D P R I V A T E D W E L L I N G S I N C A S E Y
Other tenure
Rented
Separated/divorced
Married Widowed
M A R I T A L S T A T U S I N C A S E Y
Never /married
Uniting
No Religion
Catholic
Presbyterian
R E L I G I O U S A F F I L I A T I O N I N C A S E Y
Anglican
EnglandNew ZealandSri LankaScotland
Australia
India
C O U N T R Y O F B I R T H I N C A S E Y
0-4
25-54
55-64
65+
A G E D I S T R I B U T I O N I N C A S E Y
5-14
15-24
males
females
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P E R S O N A L C H A R A C T E R I S T I C S I N C A S E Y
hours not stated
part-time
full-time
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L A B O U R F O R C E E M P L O Y M E N T I N C A S E Y
away from work Clerical/
administrative
Technicians/trades
Community
Labourers
Managers
Machineryoperators
O C C U P A T I O N I N B E R W I C K
ProfessionalsSales
Not stated
Being purchased
Fully owned
O C C U P I E D P R I V A T E D W E L L I N G S I N C A S E Y
Other tenure
Rented
Separated/divorced
Married Widowed
M A R I T A L S T A T U S I N C A S E Y
Never /married
Uniting
No Religion
Catholic
Presbyterian
R E L I G I O U S A F F I L I A T I O N I N C A S E Y
Anglican
EnglandNew ZealandSri LankaScotland
Australia
India
C O U N T R Y O F B I R T H I N C A S E Y
0-4
25-54
55-64
65+
A G E D I S T R I B U T I O N I N C A S E Y
5-14
15-24
males
females
indigenous
P E R S O N A L C H A R A C T E R I S T I C S I N C A S E Y
hours not stated
part-time
full-time
unemployed
L A B O U R F O R C E E M P L O Y M E N T I N C A S E Y
away from work Clerical/
administrative
Technicians/trades
Community
Labourers
Managers
Machineryoperators
O C C U P A T I O N I N B E R W I C K
ProfessionalsSales
Not stated
Being purchased
Fully owned
O C C U P I E D P R I V A T E D W E L L I N G S I N C A S E Y
Other tenure
Rented
Separated/divorced
Married Widowed
M A R I T A L S T A T U S I N C A S E Y
Never /married
Above: Census data indicates that Casey is a homogenous demographic (source: P. Melenhorst Data from ABS 2006 Census QuickStats)
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 12
(1999) noting that most serious crimes committed at bus
stops occur late at night when passive surveillance is at
its lowest.
Household Income and Composition
Individual travel patterns are also influenced by household
income and composition. Income dictates housing and
rental decisions that impact on the transport decisions
people make. This trade off is particularly salient in newly
established outer suburbs, such as Berwick South,
where housing costs are less but sustainable transport
infrastructure is limited (Crane and Chatman, 2003). The
Vampire Index (Vulnerability Assessment for Mortgage,
Petrol and Inflation Risks and Expenditure) (Dodson
and Snipe, 2006, 21) indicates that parts of the City of
Casey are prone to pressures from fluctuations in housing
mortgage rates and fuel prices, particularly with such high
VMT numbers.
The addition of children and students with the requirements
of childcare and school also impact on personal transport
decisions. Casey’s median age is 33 years (compared with
an Australian average of 37 years), therefore a greater
reliance on motorized transport is expected. Casey also
has lower than average levels of unemployment at 3.6%
and part time work at 26.8% (ABS, 2006b), which are two
groups more likely to use non-motorized transport. (Ryley,
2005)
Status and Lifestyle
Another factor driving the attachment to the car is the
lifestyle associations of ownership. Curtis (2005, 444)
notes the burgeoning popularity of the car in the 1950s
was not just a transport phenomenon but intimately tied to
ideas of prosperity and modernity, with ‘public-transport
provision seen as serving only a social welfare function’.
This is largely still the attitude with Mees, Sorupia and
Stone (2007, 19) citing places such as Hobart where even
policy-makers see buses as ‘a social service for people
with no alternative’ rather than as a viable transit option.
This message of inadequacy and deficiency – public
transport’s perception as slow, infrequent and unreliable
(Hamilton et al, 1991) – makes it unable to meet people’s
desire to determine their own travel patterns. This is unlike
the automobile, which has perceived benefits of autonomy
and prestige (Hiscock et al, 2002, 119) and, ironically,
notions of mass-produced individuality and escape from a
car-induced congestion (Cullinane, 2002).
Gender and Age
Individual travel patterns are also influenced by gender and
age, with women and retirees more likely to demonstrate
sustainable travel behaviour, but for different reasons.
Women are more prepared to make changes to their travel
patterns for environmental reasons (Curtis and Perkins,
2006, 13), which is borne out by ABS statistics from 1976-
2006 (Mees Sorupia and Stone, 2007) that indicate both
driving and cycling mode shares are disproportionately
represented by males. And the elderly also make changes,
however this is a function of the ‘empty nester’ syndrome
where retirees migrate from outer suburbs back into higher
density inner suburbs and as a result drive less (Leinberger,
2007; Puentes and Tomer, 2009). This could also be
because they are now not commuting. Berwick Village has
a number of retirement villages in close proximity to both
transit and activity nodes, which aligns with this trend.
Territoriality and the Status Quo
A socio-demographic factor not as often considered is
the underlying territoriality of humans. Lee et al. (2006,
18) argues that current transportation patterns and the
intransigence of consumer preference for the car are
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 13
Left. The VAMPIRE (Vulnerability
Risks and Expenditure) index provides valuable information for considering the overall stress on a household. This map of Melbourne has green representing the lowest level of vulnerability and red indicating the highest. Source: Dodson and Sipe (2006)
Casey has a heterogenous spread with disproportionate representation under the highest levels of stress.The percentage of families paying off high mortgages in the south of Berwick is a key factor contributing to this situation. Source: P. Melenhorst
City of CaseyVampire index
19 -22
17 - 19
15 - 17
10 -15
1 - 10
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 14Top: An insightful bumper sticker that makes the connection between the current economic paradigm and the requirements of auto-consumption.(source: Joost, www. flickr.com)
Middle, bottom: Current car marketing offers consumers perceived benefits of autonomy prestige and escape over sustainable transit alternatives.(source: mitsubishi.com.au, nissan.comau, toyota.com.au)
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 15
simply a reflection of people’s preference for dispersed
auto-driven socialization, rather than the New Urbanist
argument for a compact, intimate community. Gordon
(Moore and Henderson, 1998, 3) from the University
of Southern California, referring to US Department of
Transportation statistics that count 60 percent of trips by
car for social reasons (church, family, sport, recreation),
asserts that we don’t actually want the community
intimacy that is required for active transport. Rather,
‘people are getting the neighbourhoods they want’ where
the automobile or even the Internet are used to meet the
demand for community.
CONCLUSION
Current knowledge indicates that spatial factors such as
urban form and transport networks, and psychosocial
variables such as economic status, gender, ethnicity, and
identification with a peer group contribute to moulding
individual travel behaviour.
Whilst these factors have been identified, evidence is still
emerging and often contested, such as ‘the relationship
between design and physical activity’ (City of New York,
2010, 24), the component influences of density compared
to land use diversity, or urban design compared to
distance to transit nodes. This also includes the impact
of variables such as sprawl, bicycle infrastructure and
parking, and planning typologies such as New Urbanism
and Smart Growth.
Despite disputed terrain, however, it would seem that
psychosocial demographics are more significant in
moulding travel patterns than the urban structure of a city.
Stead et al. (2000) suggest this, concluding that ‘about
half the variation in travel patterns (is) explained by socio-
economic patterns and around a third explained by land
use characteristics’. This fits with observations and ABS
data for the City of Casey that finds individual transport
patterns to be fairly uniform across precincts despite the
variation in urban form and transport networks. Regardless
of the ranking of importance, however, all of these factors
shape a city’s accessibility and influence the travel patterns
of its residents.
Paul Melenhorst © 2012 16
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