urinal selection predictability
TRANSCRIPT
• According to Em Griffin- A set of systematic, informed
hunches about the way things work.
• Theories function to explain and predict unusual events,
and they are applied constantly in our day to day life.
• When using a public restroom, men are often presented
with many options in terms of which urinal they will use.
Despite the abundance of options, men tend to pick
specific urinals for every state of occupancy the restroom
is experiencing.
The second most popular urinal was urinal # 1
However this is not the case! Urinal # 5 was by far the most popular,
Using the restroom is a private matter and it can be said that men
generally like their privacy respected, especially in the restroom.
That said, upon entering an empty restroom, men significantly tend to use
the urinal farthest from the door. I term this the door rule.
This is likely due to the wall protecting a man’s privacy from the right side,
while at the same time maintaining as much distance from the door as
possible.
0 Occupants
Well, upon entering a public restroom with 1
other person present, the situation completely
changes. The door rule no longer applies,
instead, men place as many possible stalls
between himself and the other male. This I term
the male space rule.
1 Occupant
When a man enters a public restroom and there are 2 other occupants
already present, the man generally uses urinal #3. This is again an application
of the male space rule maximizing privacy by keeping a 1 urinal buffer between
himself and the other men.
2 Occupants
When a man enters a public restroom with 3 other occupants
present, the 1 urinal buffer option is no longer available. He thus
falls back onto the door rule, in which he selects urinal # 4,
optimizing all potential privacy.
3 Occupants
This theory all began at Arizona Stadium during a Wildcats
football game. I went to use the restroom and was
surprised to see they had installed automatic sensors to
flush the urinals, and even better, each urinal was equipped
with a flush counter, giving a readout of the number of
times it had been flushed.
Interested, I checked out all the counters on the urinals and
was surprised at how much they varied.
From here I began thinking of my own preferences,
noting which urinals I used and considering why I
made the decision. After much contemplation and
field studies in public restrooms across the county, I
finalized the theory.
So I had an unusual event that needed explaining.
Why did urinal #5 flush nearly twice as much as
urinals #2 and #4? All the urinals were completely
equal in quality so what led to the differences?
The theory revolves around the idea that men’s restrooms are private
areas, and that men using these facilities try to maximize the privacy
they have.
With that in mind, the theory unfolds, door rule taking form. I recall
numerous occasions in badly designed bar restrooms in which I,
forced to take the urinal closest to the door, had to make awkward
eye contact with everyone in the bar every time the door swung
open.From experiences such as these, I think men tend to shy away from
urinal # 1 and instead when presented with an empty bathroom,
head for the far urinal.
Maximizing
Privacy
Door Rule
Male
Space Rule
The next step was figuring out what most men do when
there is another man present.
For this step I just put myself in the restroom patrons
shoes. You couldn’t just go take the stall right next to
the other male. It would be an unnecessary breech of
privacy. Instead, I make claim that most men would
pick the urinal farthest from the current patron.
The idea of a personal bubble is
common in our society.
Men’s public restroom urination predictability theory is a
product of data. The theory was born from the flush
counters on automatic urinals.
The unusual event was the amount of variance in flushes
between the different toilettes.
The theory looks to explain how those numbers came to
be.
15,729 10,212 12,647 10,372 19,354
Men’s public restroom urination predictability theory
predicts future behavior very accurately. Since it is a data
based theory, it can be applied to predict future events.
The flush counters provide the number of times each urinal
has been flushed in the past and that data can be used to
gleam insight into future usage. The theory allows one to
know with good certainty which urinal someone is going to
use, thus predicting that event.
Men’s public restroom urination predictability theory is fairly
simple. It consists of 2 rules which men tend to follow in
their selection of urinals, with the male space rule being
dominant of the two.
• Male Space Rule
• Door Rule
• Men’s public restroom urination predictability theory can
be easily tested. Urinal’s with flush counters at different
stadiums and public restrooms could be compared to the
Arizona Stadium counters to see if Arizona Stadium is
representative of the entire Country.
• The theory is also falsifiable. A number of variables could
be at work not consistent with actual use. Possibly the
stalls with low flushes got clogged and spent a few days
non-operational, etc.
• The theory can be applied to every occasion one finds
themselves at a public restroom. In looking to abide by
the social normal you would apply the men’s public
restroom urination predictability theory. A lot of men do
this naturally, subconsciously, but for those that don’t,
application of the theory would help avoid awkward social
moments.
• With practical utility in mind, I have 3 real life examples of
when this theory could be applied.
Kyle Saunders works at a local restaurant which
performs regular maintenance checks on all bathroom
utilities. However, the men’s urinal farthest away from
the door is constantly broken. If Kyle Saunders applied
the men’s public restroom urination predictability theory
at his restaurant, he would recommend to management
that they perform the maintenance checks more
frequently on those urinals which are used more.
These preventative measures save companies a lot of
money, and on a large scale, can really impact a
companies bottom line.
• Although there are only 4 urinals in the restaurant Kyle
works, the theory still applies. The rules are not
dependent on the number of urinals. The men’s public
restroom urination predictability theory would say that the
farthest urinal from the door should receive the most
regular maintenance checks, followed by the 1st urinal.
This theory could help Kyle predict culpability. In the case of water leaking all
over the restroom floor, which urinal would most likely be the culprit.
Increased usage results in increased wear and tear, and applying the men’s
public restroom urination predictability theory could save valuable time in
repair jobs where the leak source is unidentified.
Frank Quill is a family acquaintance who suffers from
Asperger's syndrome. This syndrome effects social
behavior and Frank has trouble staying within the social
norms. This theory could be applied to his life as a logical
rule set which would help him avoid many awkward
situations.
The Men’s public restroom urination predictability theory
serves all men who currently find their urinal selection out
of the norm, and by applying it to his life, Frank would be
able to enjoy maximum privacy in public restrooms.
• Frank’s odd social behavior could get him into trouble in
the real world. Particular to this would be the male space
rule.
• If Frank entered the restroom to find one other male at
the farthest urinal, using the urinal directly adjacent to the
other male could give the wrong intentions, as well as
being dangerous. Men react differently when their
personal space is violated, and it can be assumed that
some react violently.
The final real life example is taken from a field study at the Leucadian, a local
bar.
Kyle Saunders found himself heading to the restroom and was presented
with an empty bathroom yet was preoccupied and chose out of the social
norm. Kyle chose the urinal closest to the door. What consequences would
this have?Due to poor bathroom
design, whoever uses
the closest urinal to
the door is left
standing behind a
waist high barrier
looking at the entire
bar every time the
door swings open. A
side note would be the
inclination humans
have at glancing up
every time a door
opens. Getting eye
contact from 40
strangers as you
urinate is very
unsettling.
• Learning from the process of developing my theory, I
realized that the rules in my theory; door rule and male
space rule, can be applied to many different facets of
human communication. Whether your deciding where to
sit in a bar, or picking a seat at the movie theater, a spot
to set up a romantic picnic, or where you lay your towel
down at the beach. The fundamentals don’t really
change. When presented with options, people tend to
pick those that offer the most privacy.
• Through the developing of my theory I also realized how
theories can spread to bigger ideas. I found my theory
constantly evolving and being tweaked until it fit the
unusual event perfectly. As well, through the process of
developing my theory I gained insight into completely
different theories.
• For instance, in the development process, stemming off
from my theory, I theorized that all decisions, even those
as generally subconscious such as urinal selection, have
motive behind them. There is a reason one makes
decisions, even if not thought through. And that led my to
the idea that the human brain rationalizes every decision
we make.
It was interesting moving from the beginning of the project
to the end. I spent a lot of time initially trying to think of a
theory and found myself having a lot of trouble with it.
After the project, I have theories spilling out of my ears.
Just in going through the process of development, I found
myself branching out and seeing potential theories
everywhere.