u.s. aircraft campaigns daniel j. jacob. observation platforms for atmospheric composition surface...

24
U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob

Upload: elisabeth-holland

Post on 19-Jan-2016

219 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNSU.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS

Daniel J. Jacob

Page 2: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITIONOBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION

SURFACE SITES, SHIPS

SONDES, LIDARS

AIRCRAFT SATELLITES

Horizontal coverage

- - + +

Temporal coverage

+ + - +

Vertical range - + = (up to ~20 km)

= (interferences)

Vertical resolution

none + + -

Chemical detail + - + -Surface fluxes + - + +

(by inversion)

Cost + + = -

Page 3: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

AIRCRAFT FLIGHT STRATEGIESAIRCRAFT FLIGHT STRATEGIES

Characterization of emissions, surface uptake

Process studies:• photochemistry• plume evolution• transport mechanisms

Satellitevalidation Air mass

characterization• global and regional chemical budgets• long-range transport

Remote sensing:• mapping of surface,atmosphere• satellite validation

Page 4: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

NASA GTE TROPOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY MISSIONSNASA GTE TROPOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY MISSIONS

Other important global tropospheric missions: NASA/SONEX (North Atlantic), NSF/TOPSE (Arctic), NSF/ACE (Atlantic, Pacific),NOAA/ITCT-2K2 (E. Pacific)…

Page 5: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

100 E 130 E 160 E 190 E 220 E 250 E 280 E

Longitude

0 N

10 N

20 N

30 N

40 N

50 N

60 N

La

titu

de

DC-8 FlightsP-3B Flightsoutbound

inbound

THE NASA/TRACE-P AIRCRAFT MISSION (Mar—Apr 2001)THE NASA/TRACE-P AIRCRAFT MISSION (Mar—Apr 2001)Characterize Asian chemical outflow and evolution;

place top-down constraints on sources

Two instrumented aircraft (DC-8 and P-3) operating out of Hong Kong and Yokota AFB (Japan)

Page 6: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

THE NASA DC-8 “Flying Laboratory”THE NASA DC-8 “Flying Laboratory”

Page 7: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

NASA DC-8 – the insideNASA DC-8 – the inside

Page 8: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

TRACE-P DC-8 PAYLOADTRACE-P DC-8 PAYLOADEmphasis:high altitude outflow,large-scale mapping,photochemistry

PAN, carbonyls, alcohols

aerosols

NO, NO2

OH, HO2

Actinicfluxes

Carbonyls, alcohols

O3+aerosolDIAL

NMHCs,Halocarbons,DMS

HCHO

CO2, O3

Aerosols, SO2, HNO3

H2O, CO, CH4,N2O

H2O2, CH3OOH, HCHO

Page 9: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

TRACE-P P-3 PAYLOADTRACE-P P-3 PAYLOAD

Emphasis:low altitude outflow,sulfur/aerosols,fluxes to ocean

Aerosols

H2O NO, NO2

NMHCs,Halocarbons,DMS

SO2, DMS

PAN, PPNActinic fluxes

CO, CH4

Vertical winds

O3, CO2

aerosolsH2SO4, MSA,OH, HNO3,HO2, RO2

Page 10: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

TRACE-P INVOLVED THE INTEGRATION OF AIRCRAFT, TRACE-P INVOLVED THE INTEGRATION OF AIRCRAFT, SATELLITES, MODELS, AND EMISSION INVENTORIESSATELLITES, MODELS, AND EMISSION INVENTORIES

TRACE-P CO DATA(G.W. Sachse)Bottom-up

emissions(customized for TRACE-P)

Fossil and biofuel Daily biomass burning(satellite fire counts)

Chemical Transport Model (CTM)

MOPITT CO

Inverse analysis

validation

chemicalforecasts

top-downconstraints

OPTIMIZATION OF SOURCES

Example: improving constraints on Asian CO sources

Streets et al. [2003] Heald et al. [2003a]

Page 11: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

MOPITT VALIDATION DURING TRACE-PMOPITT VALIDATION DURING TRACE-P

• Seven DC-8 vertical profiles (0.15-10 km) coincident with MOPITT overpass• Spirals of 20 km diam. matching MOPITT FOV• Double spirals to verify stationarity of features• One DC-8 transect along orbit track

Example (March 20)

TRACE-P validation spirals + transectMOPITTunderpass

Page 12: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

MOPITT VALIDATION PROFILES DURING TRACE-PMOPITT VALIDATION PROFILES DURING TRACE-P

Aircraft Aircraft w/av. kernels

MOPITT (v3, x = ±100 km)

Averagingkernels

Page 13: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

TRACE-P VALIDATION PROFILES:TRACE-P VALIDATION PROFILES:MOPITT vs. DC-8 CO columnsMOPITT vs. DC-8 CO columns

DC-8 w/avKer r2 > 0.99 DC-8 950-300 hPa r2 =0.98

CO column,

1018 molecules cm-2

MOPITT 2.25 ± 0.19

DC-8

w/avKer

2.12 ± 0.23

DC-8

950-300 hPa

1.58 ± 0.19

6% positive bias in MOPITT column data

Jacob et al. [2003]

Page 14: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

COMPARATIVE INVERSE ANALYSIS OF ASIAN CO SOURCES COMPARATIVE INVERSE ANALYSIS OF ASIAN CO SOURCES USING DAILY MOPITT AND TRACE-P DATA USING DAILY MOPITT AND TRACE-P DATA

• MOPITT and TRACE-P both show underestimate of anthropogenic emissions (40% for China, likely due to under-reporting of industrial coal use)

• MOPITT and TRACE-P both show overestimate of biomass burning emissions in southeast Asia ;very low values from TRACE-P could reflect transport bias

• MOPITT has higher information content than TRACE-P because it observes source regions and Indian outflow

• MOPITT information degrades if data are averaged weekly or monthly • Ensemble modeling of MOPITT data indicates 10-40% uncertainty on retrieved sources

Heald et al. [2004]

CO observations from Spring 2001, GEOS-CHEM CTM as forward model

TRACE-P Aircraft CO MOPITT CO Columns

4 degreesof freedom

10 degreesof freedom

(from validation)

Page 15: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

ASIAN HALOCARBON EMISSIONS (CHASIAN HALOCARBON EMISSIONS (CH33CClCCl33, CCl, CCl44, ,

Halon 1211, CFCs) DEDUCED FROM TRACE-P DATAHalon 1211, CFCs) DEDUCED FROM TRACE-P DATA

CH3CCl3 CCl4

TRACE-P PBL halocarbon observationsBack-trajectories for top 5% of CH3CCl3 PBL data; Seoul and Shangai are principal sources

Halocarbon emissions deduced from relationships with CO

• Eastern Asian source of CCl4 deduced from TRACE-P data is 5 times higher than UNEP estimate; other halocarbons are consistent with UNEP• Correction to CCl4 emission implies a 40% increase in total ODP-equivalent emissions from eastern Asia

Palmer et al. [2003]

Page 16: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

TRANSPACIFIC TRANSPORT OF ASIAN TRANSPACIFIC TRANSPORT OF ASIAN CO AND OZONE IN TRACE-P: CO AND OZONE IN TRACE-P:

Feb 26-27, 2001 PLUMEFeb 26-27, 2001 PLUME

MOPITT 500 hPa CO, Feb 26

TRACE-P profiles,Feb 26-27

COOzone

1

1

2

23

3

45

4

5

Heald et al. [2003b]

Ozone CO

Aircraft track

Asian plume

Page 17: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

NOAA/ITCT-2K2 AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGN IN APRIL-MAY 2002 NOAA/ITCT-2K2 AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGN IN APRIL-MAY 2002 Monterey, CAMonterey, CA

High-ozone Asian pollution plumes observed in lower free troposphere but not at surface (Trinidad Head);strong stratospheric influence (Trinidad Head sondes)

CO

O3

PAN

HNO3

May 5 plume at 6 km:High CO and PAN,no O3 enhancement

May 17 subsidingplume at 2.5 km:High CO and O3,PAN NOxHNO3

Hudman et al. [2004]

Observations by D. Parrish, J. Roberts, T. Ryesrson (NOAA/AL)

Page 18: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

DIURNAL AND CONVECTIVE INFLUENCES ON HODIURNAL AND CONVECTIVE INFLUENCES ON HOxx

RADICALS OVER PACIFICRADICALS OVER PACIFICPEM-Tropics B DC-8 flight NW of Tahiti on April 7, 1999

Fly back-and forth “shoelace” pattern for 4 hours

Background:12% RH80 ppt H2O2

60 ppt CH3OOH

Conv. influence:35% RH80 ppt H2O2

290 ppt CH3OOH

Observations (W. Brune)Photochemical modelModel with k(CH3O2+HO2) x3+

• HOx at sunrise behaves as expected;• strong HOx source from photolysis of convected CH3OOH;• need additional HOx sink to match observations

Ravetta et al. [2002]

Page 19: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

ICARTT: COORDINATED ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY CAMPAIGN OVER ICARTT: COORDINATED ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY CAMPAIGN OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA AND NORTH ATLANTIC IN SUMMER 2004EASTERN NORTH AMERICA AND NORTH ATLANTIC IN SUMMER 2004

International, multi-agency (U.S.) collaboration targeted at U.S. regional air quality, pollution outflow, transatlantic transport, aerosol radiative forcing

Terra

ERS

MISR, MODIS, MOPITT

ERS-2

GOME

Envisat

SCIAMACHY

Aqua

AIRS, MODIS

NASA DC-8

UK BAE-143

DLR Falcon

NOAA-P3DOE G-1

NASAProteus

Page 20: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

NRT

O3

HNO3

CH2O

CO

HIGH FREE HIGH FREE TROPOSPHERIC TROPOSPHERIC

OZONE OVER OZONE OVER SE U.S. SE U.S.

OBSERVED OBSERVED IN ICARTTIN ICARTT

July 12 DC-8 flight from St. Louis

High ozone appears tropospheric in origin

Page 21: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

PREDICTED UPPER TROPOSPHERIC OZONE MAXIMUM PREDICTED UPPER TROPOSPHERIC OZONE MAXIMUM OVER MIDDLE EAST IN SUMMER: HOW TO TEST?OVER MIDDLE EAST IN SUMMER: HOW TO TEST?

GEOS-CHEM tropospheric ozone column, July 1997

Comparison to MOZAIC observations aboard commercialaircraft, 1995-2000

Jul (red), Jan (blue),model (solid), obs (dotted)

Li et al. [2001]

Page 22: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

FUTURE TROPOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY MISSIONS: FUTURE TROPOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY MISSIONS: INSTRUMENT NEEDSINSTRUMENT NEEDS

• Fast instrumentation for NH3, bulk aerosol composition including organics

• Improved precision/accuracy for HOx radical measurements, capability for CH3O2 measurements

• Improved confidence in measurements of SO2, bulk aerosol composition, aldehydes, peroxides

• CO lidar

Page 23: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

THE FUTURE OF U.S. AIRCRAFT MISSIONSTHE FUTURE OF U.S. AIRCRAFT MISSIONS

•DC-8 to remain an important platform in near future: NASA INTEX-B in spring 2006

•Probing the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere using aircraft with 18-20 km ceilings and tropospheric measurement capability: NSF HIAPER, NASA WB-57

• Routine and cheap vertical profiling using small aircraft (e.g., Cessna)

• Air sampling packages on commercial aircraft (European MOZAIC program has been a big success)

• Global monitoring using remotely piloted vehicles (RPVs)

Page 24: U.S. AIRCRAFT CAMPAIGNS Daniel J. Jacob. OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION SURFACE SITES, SHIPS SONDES, LIDARS AIRCRAFTSATELLITES Horizontal

RPV Capability Development Timeline

HALE-ROA Capability Set • 14 days @ 60-70K ft• 400-lb Payload• Autonomous Operations

10-Year Capability Set • 100 days @ 75K ft• 1000-lb Payload• Autonomous Operations• Collaborative Engagement

Full Capability Set • Heavy Lift• 100 days @ > 60K ft• Autonomous Operations• Collaborative Engagement

Current SOA: • 60K ft @ 14 hrs - 200-lb• 100K ft @ 1 hrs - 100-lb• Pre-Programmed

Required Technologies @ TRL 6

FY09 FY14 FY19Current timeline