u.s. department of the interior u.s. geological survey importance of ground-water flow and travel...

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U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Loading from an Agricultural Basin in Connecticut Basin in Connecticut John R. Mullaney U.S. Geological Survey, Connecticut Water Science Center, East Harford, Connecticut [email protected] In Cooperation with the Connecticut Department of Environmental Protection

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Page 1: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

U.S. Department of the InteriorU.S. Geological Survey

Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an

Agricultural Basin in ConnecticutAgricultural Basin in Connecticut

Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an

Agricultural Basin in ConnecticutAgricultural Basin in Connecticut John R. MullaneyU.S. Geological Survey, Connecticut Water Science Center, East Harford, Connecticut [email protected]

In Cooperation with the Connecticut Department of Environmental Protection

John R. MullaneyU.S. Geological Survey, Connecticut Water Science Center, East Harford, Connecticut [email protected]

In Cooperation with the Connecticut Department of Environmental Protection

Page 2: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Framework and Purpose

Long Island Sound Watershed in Connecticut

TMDL for nitrogen 58.5% reduction by 2015

10 percent reduction in nonpoint source required

Page 3: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Framework and Purpose (Cont.)

To gain understanding of the contribution of nitrogen from ground-water discharge

Provide information on the effect of ground-water travel time on surface-water quality

Explore scenarios to determine the most effective way to implement BMPs Largest load and shortest ground-water travel time

Page 4: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Broad Brook Basin on the Connecticut List of Impaired Waters

Page 5: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Land Use/Land CoverLand Use/Land Cover

42 percent agricultural

13 percent urban

45 percent forest and wetland

42 percent agricultural

13 percent urban

45 percent forest and wetland

Page 6: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Surficial Geology-Glacial Deposits7.8 in./yr

23.8 in/yrRecharge rate

Sampling site

Page 7: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Load Estimation

“ESTIMATOR” Developed by Cohn and others for USGS Log-linear regression equation for load estimation

)2cos()2sin()()(

)()()(

652

43

2210

TTTT

QlnQlnCXQln

Page 8: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Load Estimation-Nitrogen

LOA

D I

N L

BS

/YR

Page 9: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Base-flow Separation- GW Discharge

Page 10: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Base-Flow Separation (GW Discharge Averaged 80% of Flow 1993-2004)

Page 11: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Selection of Base-Flow Samples

Page 12: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Load Estimation- Nitrate in Base Flow

Page 13: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Nitrate Load in Base Flow (Averaged 71 % of N Load 1993-2004)

Page 14: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Wells/Well ClustersNutrients, Age Dating, Dissolved Gases

Page 15: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Ground-Water Age Dating, Dissolved Gases

Done using 3H, 3H-3He, SF6

Apparent ages ranged from 2.4 to >50 years

Dissolved gas analysis indicated denitrification generally not occurring

Page 16: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

MODFLOW Ground-Water ModelingMODPATH Particle Tracking

Page 17: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Simulated Particle Tracks

Page 18: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Simulated Recharge Age of Discharge

X

X

50% pre- 1995

8% pre- 1960

Page 19: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Simulated Nitrogen Loading to the Water Table

Land Use/Cover(modified from Civco and Hurd)

Estimated nitrate concentration

mg/L

Estimated loading to the water table (2002)

lbs.

Developed 3.0 13,320

Turf and Grass 1.5 440

Other Grasses and Agriculture 7.0 137,000

Forest and Wetland 0.14 1,400

Utility Right of Way and Barren Land

1.0 900

Page 20: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Future Scenarios Analysis

Page 21: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Conclusions

Nitrogen load is dominated by ground-water discharge during base flow

Base-flow load of nitrogen is dominated by agricultural land use on glacial stratified deposits

It is important to differentiate the recharge rates to different aquifers in the basin

Page 22: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Importance of Ground-Water Flow and Travel Time on Nitrogen Loading from an Agricultural Basin in

Conclusions (Cont.)

Ground-water travel times can be greater than 50 years

Under realistic scenarios for reduction– for a 50-percent reduction in nitrate load to the water table from agricultural and urban land: A 25% reduction in base-flow nitrogen load will occur by

2016 A 45% reduction will occur by 2046

BMPs can be targeted to land uses with shortest travel time and largest nitrate loads

For more info contact: [email protected]