us-dprk next steps workshop january 27, 2003 washington dc mia joint recovery ashton ormes please...

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US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: [email protected] Co-Sponsors Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability www.nautilus.org ph 510 2956125 contact: npark @nautilus.org Carnegie Endowment for International Peace www.ceip.org ph 202-939-2294 Contact: mrajkumar @ ceip .org

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Page 1: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOPJanuary 27, 2003 Washington DC

MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes

 Please send comments to Author at:

[email protected] 

Co-SponsorsNautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability

www.nautilus.orgph 510 2956125

contact: [email protected] Endowment for International Peace

www.ceip.orgph 202-939-2294

Contact: [email protected]

Page 2: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

 The Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability wishes to thank the following donors for their support of this conference: 

The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur FoundationThe Richard and Rhoda Goldman Fund

The Ford FoundationPloughshares Fund

 The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace wishes to extend its thanks for the support of this conference to the following organizations: 

The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur FoundationCarnegie Corporation of New York

The Ford FoundationThe Prospect Hill Foundation

Ploughshares FundNew Land Foundation

Page 3: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

About Nautilus

Nautilus Institute is a private, non-profit organization that seeks solutions to global problems. Nautilus’ mission is to apply and refine the strategic tools of cooperative engagement in order to build global security and sustainability. Nautilus undertakes initiatives with specific outcomes that prefigure a global solution to global problems, over a 1-3 year horizon. Nautilus produces the Northeast Asian Peace and Security Network Daily Report and conducts a policy forum and provides special reports on nuclear security issue in East Asia, especially in Korea.  Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability 125 University Ave.Berkeley, CA94710-1616 USAtel: 1 510 295-6100fax: 1 510 295-6130Workshop contact: Nancy Park, [email protected] tel: 1 510 295-6125  

Page 4: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

 

About Carnegie

The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace is a private nonprofit organization dedicated to advancing cooperation among nations and promoting active international engagement by the United States. The Non-Proliferation Project The Non-Proliferation Project is an internationally recognized source of information and analysis on efforts to curb the spread of nuclear, chemical and biological weapons and missile delivery systems. Through publications, conferences, and the Internet, the project promotes greater public awareness of these security issues and encourages effective policies to address weapons proliferation and its underlying causes. The Carnegie Moscow Center's Non-Proliferation Project provides a unique forum for these issues in Russia.

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace1779 Massachusetts Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20036tel: 202-939-2294fax: 202 483-1840 Workshop contact: Miriam Rajkumar email: [email protected] 

Page 5: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC

Session 4 – Access & Information in the DPRK, What Works, What Fails

MIA Joint Recovery

 

Ashton Ormes

Page 6: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

Department of DefenseDefense POW/ Missing

Personnel Office

DE

FE

NS

EPR

IS

ONER OF WAR/MISSING PERSONN

EL

OF

FIC

E

W

RJ

WRJ

Page 7: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

• Estimated numbers of remains are in parenthesis

Apex (270)

Camp 5 (322)

Hungnam Cemetery (49)

Koto ri Cemetery (30)

Pyongyang Cemetery (185)

Suan Camps (220)

Death Valley Camp (233)

Sinhung (100)

Twiggae (244)

Yudamni (199)

Unsan (285)

Kuryong (176)

Kujang (276)

Kunuri (404)

-

Valley #1 Camp (41)

DM Z (89)

Chosin Reservoir Area (1,079)

Unsan/Chongchon Area (1,559)

POW Camp Burial Sites (1,200)

Estimate of Remains of American Servicemen in North Korea

Page 8: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

Battle of Unsan & Battle of Unsan & Chongchon RiverChongchon River

Unsan CountyUnsan County

Changjin CountyChangjin County

North Korea• January 2002 Negotiations

– No Agreement Reached

• June 2002 Negotiations– Agreement Reached for 2002

• Three Operations:– First JRO: Jul 20-Aug 20

– Second JRO: Aug 24–Sep 24

– Third JRO: Sep 28–Oct 29

• Areas of Operations:– Unsan & Changjin Counties

Page 9: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

*Total includes 208 remains unilaterally returned by North Korea between 1990-1994.

Field Operations in Korea

North KoreaCY 2002 JRO Results• 1st JRO

– Completed Aug 20– Area of Operations: Unsan County & Chosin

Reservoir– Remains Recovered: 7

• 2nd JRO– Completed Sep 24– Area of Operations: Same– Remains Recovered: 8

• 3rd JRO– Completed Oct 29– Area of Operations: Same– Remains Recovered: 11

• Total Remains Recovered to date: 386*

Page 10: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors
Page 11: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors
Page 12: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors
Page 13: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors
Page 14: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

Standards of Information and Access

Page 15: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

Types of Access and Information Sought in DPRK

Page 16: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

• Estimated numbers of remains are in parenthesis

Apex (270)

Camp 5 (322)

Hungnam Cemetery (49)

Koto ri Cemetery (30)

Pyongyang Cemetery (185)

Suan Camps (220)

Death Valley Camp (233)

Sinhung (100)

Twiggae (244)

Yudamni (199)

Unsan (285)

Kuryong (176)

Kujang (276)

Kunuri (404)

-

Valley #1 Camp (41)

DM Z (89)

Chosin Reservoir Area (1,079)

Unsan/Chongchon Area (1,559)

POW Camp Burial Sites (1,200)

Estimate of Remains of American Servicemen in North Korea

Page 17: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

Transactions Over Time

Page 18: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

About 28-29 Nov 1950

24 Oct 2001

Page 19: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors

CONCLUSIONS

Know What You Want

Know Your DPRK Interlocutors

Be Persistent and Consistent

Page 20: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors
Page 21: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors
Page 22: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors
Page 23: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors
Page 24: US-DPRK NEXT STEPS WORKSHOP January 27, 2003 Washington DC MIA Joint Recovery Ashton Ormes Please send comments to Author at: Ashton.ormes@osd.mil Co-Sponsors