u.s. fish and wildlife service...u.s. drought monitor california december 3, 2013 (released...

12
U.S. Monthly Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Valid fo r December 31, 2013 Released November 0, 2013 ,<:J \ Removal / Improvement KEY: - Drought persi sts or Intensifies Drought rema i ns but Depicts large-scale trends based on subjectively derived probabilities guided by short- and Improves - - - such as crops - that can be affected by such events. ongoing• drought areas are Drought removal li kely approximated from tho Drought Monitor (01 to 04 intensity). For weekly drought updates, see the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. - Drought development NOTE: The tan areas imply at least a 1-category improvement in the l ikely Drought Monitor intensity levels by the end of the period although drought will remain. The green areas i'npty drought removal by the end of the period (DO or none) 1

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Page 1: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02

U.S. Monthly Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period

Valid fo r December 31, 2013 Released November 0, 2013

,<:J

\ ~-/1)~ Removal /

Improvement

KEY:

-

Drought persists or Intensifies

Drought remains but Depicts large-scale trends based on subjectively derived probabilities guided by short- and

Improves :;n-::ea~t~~~ati~~ ~r:cd~~~~=J~o;~c;~~ ~=;~t;~e:v:~~~~ u~:~~~~:~~~;v!:~~:~~:ss -

-

- such as crops - that can be affected by such events. •ongoing• drought areas are Drought remova l likely approximated from tho Drought Monitor (01 to 04 intensity). For weekly drought updates,

see the latest U.S. Drought Monitor.

-

Drought development NOTE: The tan areas imply at least a 1-category improvement in the likely Drought Monitor intensity levels by the end of the period although drought wil l remain .

The green areas i'npty drought removal by the end of the period (DO or none)

1

Page 2: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02

U.S. Drought Monitor

California December 3, 2013

(Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013)

V.lld 7 a.m. EST

Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area)

None 00 01 02

Current 261 l24 11 .62 5494 2759 000

laSI W8ek 261 l24 11.62 54.94 2759 000

3UonthsAgo 000 "" <15 91 .58 11.36 000

start or ClriendarYear 31.75 1293 3282 22.50 000 000

"""'' Start of WttarYear 263 1 42 11 83 n.n 11.36 0.00

OneYearAoo 23.15 1749 "'76 25.54 005 000

lnlens1tv:

00.Abnormal '°f Ory - D3Extreme01t1u91lt

0 1 WoderateOro1,19ht - D•Exc:eplionaJDrought

- 02Severe0ro11ght

The DrouQht Mooitor focuses oo t:road-scale condlions. ux:a/ conditions msy vary see accompanymg text summsry rorrorecast.statements.

Author: Michael Brew er NC DC/NOAA

http ://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

California Drought Index

0 0 4

• 03

• 02

• DI

• DD

• Nothins

2

Page 3: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02

• l ;

·~-"" THREE-MONTH OUTLDO~ PRECIPITATlON PROBABILITY !.:! MONTH LEAD VALlD JfM 201"1 HADE 21 NOV 2013

California Snow Water Content

PERCEIH OF APRIL 1 AVERAGE, DECH BER 06, 2013 .. > Northern Section - Trinity t hrough Feather & Truckee = 2so~~~~~~~~~~..--r~~~~~~~~..--r~~~~~~~~..--.-~r---.-... ... ..; ... .. -- - -- ...

\ k 200tt--t~-t---1f---t-~+--t~-t-~f---t-~+--.t~-t-~f---t-~+--t~-t'c~f---t-~+--t~-t-~f---HI = ~ .. I \... 'c; , ~.\ ~ 15011--+~+--+~+--+~+--+,r---+--+~-+--+~-+---+~+---+~-+---+~+---'"t~-+---+~-+---+t---H

~ I ~

- - Drg 76-77 - - Met 82-83 - ·- Prov 12-13 - Curr 13•14 '"""'Averaiie

3

Page 4: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02

:::.: ~-------------------------------------------!~~~!:! 72 .00

66.00

1200.0 if ii. 1080.0 .. C> g 960.0

: 840.0 E ::i

~ 720.0

~ -l 600 .0 ~

! 4 80.0 ~

360.0

240 .0

120 .0

°" 01 0 .0 ~2 3tlfw!

x

'-x

'==

I Normal I 60 .00

54 .00

48.00

42 .00

36.00

30 .00

24 .00

I Grit Dry I 18.00

12 .00

6 .00

0 .00

10/01 11/01 12 /01 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05101 06/01 07/0 1 08.101 09101 09130

Waler Year 2014 - Day (mm/dd)

Forecast WY Percent of Average: 73 % Observed WY lo Dale Percent of Average: 23 %

:ll Year WY>t>lumeAverage - WY'.o Date Obs -WY t,o DateA-.g Dai ly Obs - ESP WY>blume Forecast X

Crea1ed : 121W2l13 al 11 :J2AM PST (ID= CEGC 1) NOAA/ NWS I Calibrnia Nevada River Foreca51 Cen&r

c .. ~ 0 :I .. i Q.

~ ~ .. .. -C> C> C> .. l: ~

4

Page 5: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02

bbreviated Restoration Flow Release

purpose of this document is to improve TRRP ReltOBtiC>n Flow ttydrosr-.ph Recomm!ndKions

~11nnin1 writh wate r year 20H . by prOYidina;an abbr~ted portfof10of pest hydr~ Orlty a brie 5Ummary of e1<h hydroeraph Is provided; these may be m<We tw~lydocumented In future years

~ portfoUo ln1tlallv includes thow hydrotraphs thAt kaYr bu n e ructrd, «Mtina wtth W.tar YH r j ~004, ~us some hydroaraphs nt:ver enacted. but ~~loped under prior flow sd1edulin1

(roces.sesand have some dearee of •nalyses comp~ted

p>ms>ile d by Eric Pe te rson

~ saw:d 9/ 23/2013 3 SO PM by Enc Pe tenon

ntents t.ndMdTables

ttre mely We t Yu r Hydro•• phs

ROD, Extremely Wet

I l!t Yu r HVdrotraphs _

ROD. W e t

llOOOck We t(WY20'11 )..

lmal "" Hvd•<>v•Ph>

ROD, Normal _ _ __

~I Modified Normal (W'\'2008 ) RipM r.anDescendinaumb, Normal(WY2012) ___ _

R1panan/W11dl ife PeMi: plus Monit.orln&. Normal CW\'2010)

OOOds Mode l cal ibration, Nor11181 (WY200S) _ _ _

Joint Physlca l·Rlparlan, Normal _ _ -· _

Year Hydrocraphs -

I

ROD Ory (WV2007) _

Monitorin& BeM:hes l>l'Y (WY2009)

Sprlna Habitat &ern:h. Ory (WY2013)

I Joint Physical-Ripar.-n Alt l . Dry

Joint Physic.al-Riparia n Att 2, Ory

fritiully Ory Hydroiraphs

tROO, CriDC~ly Dry _ _ __

nstralne d Hydrorraphs. _ ·-

lnfrastructJJre Constraine d, Extremely Wd IWY2006~ - ___ _

Volume Constraine d. Normal (WY2004 _

5

Page 6: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02

~ § ii:

Extremely Wet-ROD Extremely Wet-Riparian Initiation Wet-ROD

Normal-Multi-peak 1 Normal-Multi-peak 2 Normal-Joint Physical-Riparian Initiation Dry-ROD Dry-Multi-peak Dry-Joint Physical-Riparian Initiation Alt 2 Extremely Dry-ROD

ROD James Lee ROD Andreas Krause Andreas Krause Seth Naman Seth Naman

ROD Seth Naman Seth Naman Krause-Lee ROD Seth Naman

Flow Schedule Proposals (Grit Dry) 12,000

10,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

A ~ · - · -

0

t ~ t ~ ~

ury JPRl Alt 2

- Wet

- - ~'Ob& Wet

2014 Flow Scheduler

-------,--

t- - - ~ · - - -- --

,, ,, ! ~

00

ury Mull:i-Peak

- Wet

,, ~ ~

,, ,,

! m ~ ,.. ~

~ ob

· Normal JPRl Wet

..., ._ c

1

- - ~'Ob- - - . ~&l'f~m..11

-c

~

---- 0Drtlf'RIA1t2 0ROOExWot Oo.-,M<dl!-Peak

0 FlOOW" Q Nonnal lf'R!

0 R00 No<mal 0 1"""1al Mult>-Peak t

0 R00 Ort 0 Nonna! Mulb-Peak 2

0 R0001tDrt OwetAltt

0wetAA2

OwerMulrt-Peak l

0 Wet Molt1-P.e,ak 2

OexwinRiplntt

- t ·-_ __ __ __ _ _) __ __ __ __ _ _

c ~ "" ,..

::i "'

·Nonna! Multi -Peak 1 Wet

- ~l'!li-b,\ak 2

· Norma1 Multi-Peak 2 Ex Wet

- . - ~eb"&t Dry

6

Page 7: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02

Flow Schedule Proposals (Dry) 12 ,000

10 ,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

JPRI Alt 2 --Wet

- · - ~'bbEx Wet.

2014 Flow Scheduler

Peak Increase - Os Multi-Peak - Os, mimic Met

>. iD' iD' >. >. <:

j ::< ~ ~ i -'!

<h >b

"' ry onn Multi -Peak JPRI

--Wet Wet

<:

~

- -~b- - · - · ~l\ti\'~~1

<:

~

0ROOExWol

ROOWll

ROD Hormel

0 oryJPR1M:2

0•>'1-­o--0-........... , o-......... ,

ROOerto..y Ow11tA111

<: "! 1 1 1 ol "' ~ "'

Multi-Peak 1 Wet

- · - ~l'ill·ti.ial<2

Ow"""' 0 Wet Mult-PHt I o---, Dex_...,,,.

1 1 ~ "'

0

~ Mulb-Peak 2 Ex Wet

- - IIBbnibit Dry

Flow Schedule Proposals (Normal) 12,000

10,000

8,000

2,000

0

.? ! .? ~ ~

JPRI Al 2 --Wet

- - ~'bb Ex. We<

2014 Flow Scheduler

Peak Increase - Q s

Multi-Peak - Os, mimic Met

>. >. >. >. iD' <:

~ ~ ~ "' -'! ~ ~ >b <h 'f! ~

ry or PAull-Peak JPRI

--Wet Wet

<:

~

- . - ~'bbWel - - ~1111·~~1

Qoooexw .. D•oo-0000""'""' ORODllr/

D•oocrtt..,

===jl Oo>'/JPR1AJt2

O°"'...., ... ,, 0 Normal JPRI

0 Normal Multt-Pek 1

0 Normal Multt-Pek 2

Ow"""' ow .. Alt2

D Wet Nulb-Pel!lt. l

0 Wet MutJ-f•eok. 2

0ExW.t:Rlplnit

Descending Limb <-0.1ft/day stage@ NFH

-<: c "! 1 ~ 1 1 ~ 1 1 ol 0 ~ ;:; ~ ~

or MultJ-Peak 1 Mul1-Peak 2 Wet Ex Wet.

- - - ~111\W' 2 - - IIBb"'bit Dr/

7

Page 8: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02

~ § u:

~ Ii u:

Flow Schedule Proposals (Wet) 2014 Flow Scheduler

12,000

10000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0

~ ~ ~ "' "' "' "' ~

.. " .. ::; ~ ~

~ 11; <b '£2 :::: "' c c .. -'! 1 ~ J, "' ~ "' ry ry ormo

JPRI Alt2 Multi-Peak JPRI --Wet --Wet Wet

- · - ~bbEx. Wet - . - ~bbw.t - . - Wi'il'i'~~~~I

~ c

1 :tl

::j ,.,,

ormo

r QROOExWe< ~ ROOWet

OROONormal QROOD<y

D •oocnto.y

~ ~ ~

Multi -Peak 1 Wet

- · - ~i'i!'i·'O;r2

Dfy .JPRlAll 2

Nomlal~flreak l

0 .................. , 0wetAlll

0wetAJt2

0 Wet Multi-Peak 1

(!]Wet Multi-Peak 2

O<xwet..,,Jnk

~ ~ /(, ;:;

ormo

"' i Multi-Peak 2 Ex Wet

- . - ~i!30n&;t D.y

Flow Schedule Proposals (Ex Wet) 12 ,000

10,000

8,000

6000

4,000

2,000

·- J--~ ! ~ ~ /(,

"' JPRI Alt2 --Wet

- · - ~bbEx. Wet

2014 Flow Scheduler

r l - l

"' "' ~ .. " i ::; ~ <b

"' f.tult1-Peak --Wet

- · - ~bbw.t

I

i I

"' ~

l, I \ I I

\

orma JPRI Wet

\

- - Wi'i!'i·~~~I

\ \

-0 RODExWet

D •oowet O ROO,Wmal 0 ROOD<y

0 ROOOttD<y

....... . ..L

orma Multi-Peak 1 Wet

- · - ~i'iMiW 2

' ...... .

Oo..,JPRJA/t2 Oo.y...., ..... 0 Normal JPRJ

CJ Hormol Multl·Peok 1

0 Normal Multi·Peok 2

QwetAlll 0wetAlt2

OwetMull:t-Peakl

0wetMulb-Peali:2

{!) Ex Wet Rip JnFt

0

Multi-Peak 2 Ex Wet

- · - ~80°&.t D.y

8

Page 9: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02

9

Page 10: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02
Page 11: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02

.. t I •

UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR U.S. BUREAU OF RECLAMATION-CENTRAL VALLEY PROJECT-CALIFORNIA

DAILY CVP WATER SUPPLY REPORT DECEMBER 9, 2013 RUN DATE: December 10, 2013

RESERVOIR RELEASES IN CUBIC FEET/SECOND

RESERVOIR DAM WY 2013 WY 2014

TRINITY LEWISTON 322 317

SACRAMENTO KESWICK 4,616 3,974

FEATHER OROVILLE (SWP) 2,075 1,250 +--

AMERICAN NIMBUS 1,914 1,266 --+-

STANISLAUS GOODWIN 278 205

SAN JOAQUIN FRIANT 351 1 0 --~

STORAGE IN MAJOR RESERVOIRS IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET

RESERVOIR CAPACITY 15YRAVG WY 2013 WY 2014

TRINITY 2,448 1,529 1,900 1,206 ---+- -

SHASTA 4,552 2,557 _i__

3,015 1,687

OROVILLE (SWP)

---+-- 3,538 1,810 2,277 1,373 --r-

FOLSOM 977 413 584 221 +-- r--

NEWMELONES 2,420 '·~f 1,542 1,040

FED. SAN LUIS --+ 295 966 561 588 -+- -t--

MILLERTON 520 230 263 0 t +-

TOT. N. CVP 11,360 6,563 7,629 4,449

15YR MEDIAN

300

4 ,616

2,000

1,914

%OF 15 YR AVG

79

66

76

53

69

53

0

68

ACCUMULATED INFLOW FOR WATER YEAR TO DATE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET

RESERVOIR CURRENT DRIEST WETTEST 15 YR %OF 15 WY 2014 WY 1977 WY 1983 AVG YR AVG

TRINITY 18 21 123 71

~ + SHASTA 403 531 773 636 63

FOLSOM 68 94 601 183 37 -+--

NEWMELONES 69 0 262 96 72

+-MILLERTON 33 58 323 117 28

ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION FOR WATER YEAR TO DATE IN INCHES

CURRENT DRIEST WETTEST AVG %OF LAST RESERVOIR WY 2014 WY 1977 WY 1983 (N YRS) AVG 24HRS

TRINITY AT 1.87 1.25 11.94 8.23 23 0.00 FISH HATCHERY

51 ) -1-SACRAMENTO AT 2.53 1.63 16.17 14.38 18 0.00 SHASTA DAM

56 ) ---+-

AMERICAN AT 5.61 3.27 27.02 14.84 38 0.00 BLUE CANYON

38 ) STANISLAUS AT

_,_ --=-+- -NEWMELONES

2.32 0.00 11 .21 j 5.58 42 0.00

2.07 J 35} t 0.00 J SAN JOAQUIN AT 1.80 19.80 8.00 26

HUNTINGTON LK ~

Page 12: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service...U.S. Drought Monitor California December 3, 2013 (Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013) V.lld 7 a.m. EST Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area) None 00 01 02