u.s. global investors · the baltic dry freight index is an economic indicator that portrays an...
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www.usfunds.com
U.S. Global InvestorsSearching for Opportunities, Managing Risk
Frank E. HolmesCEO and CIO
Susan McGeePresident and General Counsel
Catherine RademacherCFO
Terry BadgerDirector of Communications February 6, 2009
09-093
GROW 2Q09 Earnings
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Today’s Presenters
Frank Holmes Susan McGee Catherine Rademacher Terry Badger
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Forward-Looking StatementsDuring this webcast we may make forward-looking statements about our relative business outlook. Any forward-looking statements and all other statements made during this webcast that don’t pertain to historical facts are subject to risks and uncertainties that may materially affect actual results. Please refer to our press release and the corresponding Form 10-Q filing for more detail on factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from any described today in forward-looking statements. Any such statements are made as of today, and U.S. Global Investors accepts no obligation to update them in the future.
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Strengths and Weaknesses
GROW is debt-free and has a strong balance sheet
No toxic derivatives in funds
Significant corporate events to position company for better markets
But company and funds both negatively impacted by massive global deleveraging
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$0.16$(0.11)EPS (diluted)
$2.5M$(1.7M)Net Income
$13.9M$2.8MRevenue
20072008
Quarter ended December 31
Financial Snapshots
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Assets Under Management
(Average in billions)
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-29%Industry Peers*
-65%U.S. Global Investors (GROW)
Calendar 4Q08 vs. 4Q07
* Latest quarterly results filed by Affiliated Managers, Alliance Bernstein, BlackRock, CalamosAsset Mgmt, Cohen & Steers, Federated Investors, Franklin Resources, Invesco, Janus Capital Group, Legg Mason, Pzena Investment Mgmt, T. Rowe Price and Waddell & Reed.
Source: Bloomberg
AUM Growth
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-198%-196%Industry Peers*
-169%-168%U.S. Global Investors (GROW)
EPSNet Income
* Latest quarterly results filed by Affiliated Managers, Alliance Bernstein, BlackRock, CalamosAsset Mgmt, Cohen & Steers, Federated Investors, Franklin Resources, Invesco, Janus Capital Group, Legg Mason, Pzena Investment Mgmt, T. Rowe Price and Waddell & Reed.
Source: Bloomberg
Earnings
Calendar 4Q08 vs 4Q07
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20%19%Industry Peers*
38%7%U.S. Global Investors (GROW)
3-Year CAGR**1-Year
* Latest quarterly results filed by Affiliated Managers, Alliance Bernstein, BlackRock, CalamosAsset Mgmt, Cohen & Steers, Federated Investors, Franklin Resources, Invesco, Janus Capital Group, Legg Mason, Pzena Investment Mgmt, T. Rowe Price and Waddell & Reed.
** Compounded Annual Growth RateTrailing twelve months, quarter ending December 31, 2008
Source: Bloomberg
Return on Equity
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70%Major Banks**
30%Industry Peers*
0%GROW
LT debt to total capital (average)
* Latest quarterly results filed by Affiliated Managers, Alliance Bernstein, BlackRock, CalamosAsset Mgmt, Cohen & Steers, Federated Investors, Franklin Resources, Invesco, Janus Capital Group, Legg Mason, Pzena Investment Mgmt, T. Rowe Price and Waddell & Reed.
** Major banks: Bank of America, Citigroup, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, U.S. Bancorp, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs.
Source: Baseline, latest available figures
Leverage for Financials
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GROW vs. Financial ETFs
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Significant Event: Trust Merger
Combining two fund trusts into one trust for efficiencyUpdating management fees on some fundsPerformance fees to align interestsNew distribution plan
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Significant Event: Subadvisory Changes
Assumed day-to-day management of Eastern European Fund and Global Emerging Markets Fund
Ended advisory relationship with Endeavour Financial
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Income Statement
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Income Statement
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Income Statement
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Balance Sheets
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Balance Sheets
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Key Sectors in 2009
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Our Strategy for Enduring a Credit Crisis
Goal: Stabilize volatility of funds
Reasons: Massive headwinds from billions of dollars of hedge fund redemptionsGovernment response has yet to generate sustained confidence in the planCredit contraction has gone global
Tactics: Raise cash levels, utilize covered writing until our proprietary macro indicators turn positive
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Navigating the Turmoil
Frequent communication with shareholders about markets and factors affecting the funds
Loyal shareholders – voted for new contract during volatile market
Higher cash positions to help manage extreme volatility
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U.S. Recessions
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Fiscal Stimulus Around the World
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U.S. Money Supply and Nominal GDP
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U.S. Money Supply
Source: U.S. Global Research
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China’s Money Supply
Source: U.S. Global Research
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Composition of China’s Fiscal Stimulus
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China’s Infrastructure Spending
Morgan Stanley estimates infrastructure spending in Asia ex-Japan will reach US$3.1 trillion over the next five years (2008-12E), about 6.2% of GDP. By comparison, annual spending in the US was just 1.7-2% of GDP over the past 10 years.
E = MS estimates Source: CEIC, Morgan Stanley Research
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Demographics is the Key
• Half of the global population (>3 billion) is estimated to live in urban areas• Projected urban population is larger than the entire world population in 1965
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Rapid Urbanization in China & India
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China is Redefining Urbanization Scale
Source: McKinsey, September 2008
From 2005-25, Chinese cities will add more than 350 million people…
There will be more than 200 Chinese cities with more than 1 million inhabitants…
There will be up to 50,000 new skyscrapers…
There could be up to 170 new mass transit systems…
By 2025, two-thirds of China’s citizens will live in cities…
… the population of the entire United States
… in Europe today there are only 35 cities of that size
… the equivalent of building ten New Yorks
… in Europe today there are about 70
… that’s nearly 1 billion people
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Infrastructure Boost
Source: Federal Transportation and Infrastructure Committee
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New Emphasis on U.S. Infrastructure
“We will build the roads and bridges, the electric grids and digital lines that feed our commerce and bind us together.”
— President Obama, Inaugural Speech
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Obama Stimulus Plan
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U.S. Infrastructure Spending
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Oil Consumption — Infrastructure Driver?
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Emerging Markets are Still Growing
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Total Non-OPEC Oil Supply Growth
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OPEC Spare Capacity on the Rise Near-Term
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Gold and Silver Bullish Sentiment
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Gold is moneySafe Haven during deflation and inflationNew buyers are generalists
Gold’s Broadened Appeal
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Rising Interest in Gold as a Store of Value
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Rotation of Commodities
Source: Steele and U.S. Global Research
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Please consider carefully the fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. For this and other important information, obtain a fund prospectus by visiting www.usfunds.com or by calling 1-800-US-FUNDS (1-800-873-8637). Read it carefully before investing. Distributed by U.S. Global Brokerage, Inc.
All opinions expressed and data provided are subject to change without notice. Some of these opinions may not be appropriate to every investor.
The Eastern European Fund invests more than 25% of its investments in companies principally engaged in the oil & gasor banking industries. In particular, the fund will invest at least 25% of its total assets in the following industries: energy equipment and services; oil, gas and consumable fuels; and commercial banking. However, the fund will not invest more than 50% of its total assets in any one of those industries. The risk of concentrating investments in this group of industrieswill make the fund more susceptible to risk in these industries than funds which do not concentrate their investments in an industry and may make the fund’s performance more volatile.
Disclosures
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Foreign and emerging market investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and less public disclosure, as well as economic and political risk. By investing in a specific geographic region, a regional fund’s returns and share price may be more volatile than those of a less concentrated portfolio. Gold funds may be susceptible to adverse economic, political or regulatory developments due to concentrating in a single theme. The price of gold is subject to substantial price fluctuations over short periods of time and may be affected by unpredicted international monetary and political policies. We suggest investing no more than 5% to 10% of your portfolio in gold or gold stocks.
The Baltic Dry Freight Index is an economic indicator that portrays an assessed price of moving major raw materials by sea as compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange.
There were no clients of U.S. Global Investors which held any of the securities mentioned in this presentation as of 12/31/08. 09-094
Disclosures