u.s. hrs production - wheat · top importers of u.s. hrs five-year average (2012/13 – 2016/17)...
TRANSCRIPT
U.S. HRS PRODUCTION
0
184
367
551
735
0
5
10
15
20
Million Bushels
Source: USDA April 2018Xldata/both/S&D prod, consump, carryover
Million Tons
U.S. HRS DOMESTIC USE
0
184
367
551
0
5
10
15
03-0
4
04-0
5
05-0
6
06-0
7
07-0
8
08-
09
09-
10
10-
11
11-
12
12-
13
13-
14
14-1
5
15-1
6
16-1
7
Proj
17-
18
Million Bushels
Source: USDA April 2018Xldata/both/S&D prod, consump, carryover
Million Tons
U.S. HRS EXPORTS
00
5
10
15
03-0
4
04-0
5
05-0
6
06-0
7
07-0
8
08-
09
09-
10
10-
11
11-
12
12-
13
13-1
4
14-1
5
15-1
6
16-1
7
Proj
17-
18
Million Bushels
Source: USDA April 2018Xldata/both/S&D prod, consump, carryover
Million Tons
U.S. HRS STOCKS
0
184
367
551
0
5
10
15
03-0
4
04-0
5
05-0
6
06-0
7
07-0
8
08-
09
09-
10
10-
11
11-
12
12-
13
13-
14
14-1
5
15-1
6
16-1
7
Proj
17-
18
Million Bushels
Source: USDA April 2018Xldata/both/S&D prod, consump, carryover
Million Tons
U.S. SPRING WHEAT PRODUCTION
Planted Harvested Yield Production
2006 14.9 13.9 33.2 461
2007 13.3 12.9 37.0 479
2008 14.1 13.5 40.5 548
2009 13.3 13.0 45.1 584
2010 13.7 13.4 46.1 616
2011 12.4 12.1 37.7 455
2012 12.3 12.1 45.0 542
2013 11.6 11.3 47.1 533
2014 13.0 12.7 46.7 595
2015 13.4 13.1 46.2 603
2016 11.6 11.3 47.2 532
2017 11.0 10.2 41.0 416
5 Yr Avg 12.4 12.1 46.4 561
10 Yr Avg 12.9 12.5 43.9 549
Source: USDA Nov 2017Includes all spring wheat xldata/HRS acres
Acres-Bushels
U.S. SPRING WHEAT PLANTINGS & PRODUCTION
0
130
260
390
520
650
0
4
8
12
16
20
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Planted Harvested Production
Source: USDA Nov 2017Xldata/HRS/Acres
* Typically includes 30-60 million bushels of white spring wheat.
Million Acres Million Bushels
U.S. HARD RED SPRING SUPPLY & DEMAND Million Bushels
12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 Proj17-18
Change
BegStocks
151 165 169 212 272 235 -14%
Production 503 491 556 568 491 385 -22%Imports 43 77 66 48 42 74 +76%Tot Supply 697 733 791 828 805 694 -14%Dom Use 301 318 306 304 249 269 +8%Exports 232 246 270 252 321 235 -27%Tot Use 533 564 576 556 570 504 -12%End Stocks
165 169 212 272 235 190 -19%
S/U Ratio 31% 30% 37% 49% 41% 38%
Source: USDA April 2018Xldata/HRS/S&D
U.S. SPRING WHEAT PLANTINGS BY STATE
Million Hectares
Source: USDA Prospective Plantings
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
0.0
2.5
4.9
7.4
North Dakota Montana South Dakota Minnesota
14 15 16 17 18
Million Acres
U.S. SPRING WHEAT PRODUCTION BY STATE
0
110
220
331
441
0
3
6
9
12
North Dakota Montana South Dakota Minnesota
Million Tons 13 14 15 16 17 Million Bushels
Source: USDA Small Grains Summary
EXPORT PACE – U.S. HRS WHEAT(Shipment and sales as of April 5, 2018)
0.0
73.5
147.0
220.4
293.9
367.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
Total Europe Asia Africa LatinAmerica
16-17 17-18Million Tons Million Bushels
4/10/18
COMPARATIVE U.S. WHEAT PROTEIN12% Moisture Basis
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
HRS Wheat Current 5 Yr Avg
HRW Wheat Current Five Yr Avg
Protein Content
10/17/1616 17
COMPARATIVE U.S. WHEAT PROTEIN12% Moisture Basis
12.0
12.5
13.0
13.5
14.0
14.5
15.0
15.5
97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
U.S. HRS Curent 5 Yr Avg CWRS Current Five Yr Avg
Protein Content
10/17/16
TOP IMPORTERS OF U.S. HRS IN MARKETING YEAR 2016-17
0.0
0.4
0.7
1.1
1.4
1.8
0
13
26
39
52
65
Million Bushels Million Ton
USDA Export InspectionsXldata/Both/Exports/Top 10 & 5 yr avg
TOP IMPORTERS OF U.S. HRS FIVE-YEAR AVERAGE (2012/13 – 2016/17)
0.0
0.3
0.5
0.8
1.1
1.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
Million Bushels Million Ton
USDA Export InspectionsXldata/Both/Exports/Top 10 & 5 yr avg
EXPORT TRENDS – BY REGIONU.S. Hard Red Spring Wheat
0.0
1.0
2.0
2.9
3.9
4.9
5.9
0
36
72
108
144
180
216
Europe Africa/MidEast
C. & S.America
Asia
12/1313/1414/1515/1616-17
Million Bushels Million Tons
EXPORT TRENDS – ASIAU.S. Hard Red Spring Wheat
0.0
0.3
0.5
0.8
1.1
1.4
1.6
1.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Philippines Japan Korea Taiwan
12/1313/1414/1515/1616-17
Million Bushels Million Tons
EXPORT TRENDS – EUROPEU.S. Hard Red Spring Wheat
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0
7
14
21
Italy Spain UK Belgium
12/1313/1414/1515/1616-17
Million Bushels Million Tons
EXPORT TRENDS – C. & S. AMERICAU.S. Hard Red Spring Wheat
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0
7
14
21
Venezuela Dom. Rep. Colombia El Salvador Mexico
12/1313/1414/1515/1616-17
Million Bushels Million Tons
EXPORT TRENDS – AFRICA/MID EASTU.S. Hard Red Spring Wheat
-0.03
0.02
0.07
0.12
0.17
0.22
0.27
0
2
4
6
8
10
Ghana Nigeria Mozambique Egypt
12/1313/1414/1515/1616-17
Million Bushels Million Tons