using arcgis for intelligence analysis - esrigeospatial analysis considerations • too much data to...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Using ArcGIS for Intelligence AnalysisTony Mason
Suzanne FossVinh Lam
![Page 2: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Agenda
• Background
• Concepts of Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis
• Pattern of Life Analysis
• Scenario based demonstration
• Conclusions
• Q&A
![Page 3: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
The Improvised Explosive Device threat
60% (~2200) of Operation Iraqi Freedom casualties90% (~1100) of Operation Enduring Freedom casualties
![Page 4: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
ArcGIS countering the threat
- ArcGIS is used as an integral part of Pattern Of Life analysis
- ArcGIS renders critical geospatial intelligence for the reporting and prediction of social network and cell behavior
- Exploitation of a cell’s network enables a commander with the tools to get ‘Left of Boom’ (Proactive vice Reactive)
![Page 5: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
ArcGIS as an Intel Analysis tool
- Geospatial reference of the battlespace
- Situational Awareness viewer via a thorough and updated Common Operational Picture
- Trend Analysis tool for geographically relevant data through the compilation of shared databases between analysts
- Medium to fuse spatial and temporal data fostering Pattern of Life analysis.
![Page 6: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Pattern of Life
• Identification of an person’s day to day interactions with their environment.
- Family and Associates
- Frequented locations
- Personal habits
• Pattern of Life can be used to predict a person’s behavior based on habit or schedule.
• ArcGIS enhances Pattern of Life analysis by providing a geospatial reference of person’s movements.
![Page 7: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Pattern of Life Analysis
Pattern of Life Analysis is the fusion of Link Analysis and Geospatial Analysis
![Page 8: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Link Analysis
• Link Chart as a common visualization of the relationships between data entities.
• Link charts describe entities (e.g. ‘person’, ‘building’)
• Labelled and symbolized by type, and show the “links” between entities via a series of annotated lines.
• Clusters or significant nodes identify points of interest
![Page 9: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Link Chart
Start with one Contact of Interest
![Page 10: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Link Chart
Link Analysis shows new Contacts of Interest
![Page 11: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Link Chart
Link Analysis of new Contacts shows a connection
![Page 12: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Link Chart
Draw conclusions from relationships
![Page 13: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Link Chart
Prediction of Pattern of Life leads to interception
![Page 14: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Geospatial Analysis Considerations
• Too much data to map- If all link chart information were mapped the analyst
would be overwhelmed with useless visual information- Key points of interest are mapped
- (e.g. cell phone data, places visited, frequency of visits, etc.)
• Using GIS to understand entity relationships- Geo-processing tools allows analysts to manipulate and
extract underlying data and display it geospatially
![Page 15: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Geospatial Analysis Considerations
Too much data to map
![Page 16: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Geospatial Analysis Considerations
Geo-processing brings order to chaos
![Page 17: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
GIS Pattern of Life Analysis
• GIS provides the Where and When to the Who
• GIS allows the analyst to visualize an entities proximity, pattern, and history
• Multiple entities can be linked together
• Multiple feature layers can be combined into one layer representing a social network of entities
![Page 18: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
GIS Pattern of Life
Show potential routes
![Page 19: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
GIS Pattern of Life
Proximity of persons suspects have called
Coffee Shop
Warehouse
![Page 20: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
GIS Pattern of Life
Common Routes
![Page 21: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
GIS Pattern of Life
Meeting locations
Coffee Shop
Warehouse
Residence
![Page 22: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Scenario Based DemonstrationSuzanne Foss
Vinh Lam
![Page 23: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
The Scenario
• Report of significant increase in IED casualty rates• Analyze IED incident data• Narrow search area for smuggled IED materials• Analyze suspect daily activities • Analyze suspect phone call patterns• Investigate suspect social network with link analysis• Analyze new suspects’ daily activities• Predict next meeting time and location• Reduce the IED threat in the area
![Page 24: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
The Scenario
• Report of significant increase in IED casualty rates• Analyze IED incident data• Narrow search area for smuggled IED materials• Analyze suspect daily activities • Analyze suspect phone call patterns• Investigate suspect social network with link analysis• Analyze new suspects’ daily activities• Predict next meeting time and location• Reduce the IED threat in the area
![Page 25: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
The Scenario Recap
• Analyze IED incident data- Data visualization
- Spatially visualize- Different symbology- Graphs
- Link documents to incidents- Automation using models
![Page 26: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
The Scenario Recap
• Narrow search area for smuggled IED materials- Geoprocessing
- Spatial analysis- Proximity between data locations- Quickly analyze with varying distances
![Page 27: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
The Scenario
• Analyze suspect daily activities- Temporal analysis
- Study suspect activities daily, weekly, monthly, etc.- Identify patterns- Identify non-normal behavior
![Page 28: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
The Scenario
• Report of significant increase in IED casualty rates• Analyze IED incident data• Narrow search area for smuggled IED materials• Analyze suspect daily activities • Analyze suspect phone call patterns• Investigate suspect social network with link analysis• Analyze new suspects’ daily activities• Predict next meeting time and location• Reduce the IED threat in the area
![Page 29: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Section Wrap-up
• Call Data & Pattern of Life- Gray Suspect using second phone to make
calls
• Link analysis - Gray Suspect’s discovered phone calls only
to Jalalabad and Pakistan warehouse owner
- Expansion of call link data illuminates connection between warehouse owner and Gray Suspect’s brother
Additional pattern of life analysis needed to confirm where the network comes together
![Page 30: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Warehouse OwnerJalalabadSuspect
Gray Suspect
Gray Suspect’s Brother
![Page 31: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
The Scenario
• Report of significant increase in IED casualty rates• Analyze IED incident data• Narrow search area for smuggled IED materials• Analyze suspect daily activities • Analyze suspect phone call patterns• Investigate suspect social network with link analysis• Analyze new suspects’ daily activities• Predict next meeting time and location• Reduce the IED threat in the area
![Page 32: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Conclusion
![Page 33: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Results
• Entire threat is eliminated simultaneously
- Identification of spatial and temporal relationships leads to predictive analysis.
• Post mission analysis- Current database can be queried
against data collected from mission completion.
![Page 34: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Summary
• Pattern of Life analysis leverages geospatial analysis and link analysis
• Fusion of spatial and temporal data
• Template based approach
![Page 35: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Pattern of Life Template SummaryWhat is in it?
• Sample data- IED incidents- Supporting IED materials- Suspects’ pattern of life- Suspects’ phone calls
Coming soon to ArcGIS.com
• Tools- Create data graphs- Proximity analysis- Temporal analysis- Coincidence analysis- Share data with i2
![Page 36: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Questions
![Page 37: Using ArcGIS for Intelligence Analysis - EsriGeospatial Analysis Considerations • Too much data to map - If all link chart information were mapped the analyst would be overwhelmed](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062303/5fc09f9d9f42e94c067afab7/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)