using digital data to determine the next ice cream flavour
TRANSCRIPT
• OVERVIEW P3
• SUGGESTED NEW FLAVOURS P7
• RESEARCH P13
• POSSIBLE SOCIAL CAMPAIGNS P19
• UNILEVER OVERVIEW P24
• ICE CREAM MARKET OVERVIEW P31
• MARKET OVERVIEW P39
Brief:
Unilever is looking to launch a new flavour of ice cream for Ben & Jerry’s.We have been commissioned to research and identify possible flavours, whilst providing a high level market assessment andaccompanying social marketing strategy.
The research conducted included relatively small sample sizes – e.g. with Brandwatch only one month of data was used – sothe findings here are merely indicative and the purpose of this report is simply to highlight possible research methodsavailable with digital data.
BRIEF OVERVIEW
Research approach:Pooling together multiple data sources to determine key trends and preferences in the icecream category.Key data sources include:
• Brandwatch• Buzzsumo• Topsy• Search data (e.g. Google Keyword Planner)• Facebook ad planner•Google Trends• SEO data
Assumptions:• Primary focus on UK market• A lesser weighting was given to data from Topsy as this is international data and notUK specific• Social analysis includes Ben & Jerry’s owned channels
Written by: Eliot Mannoia 2013, updated in 2014. Please note the brief is fictitious – I was not commissioned by Unilever to undertake this work.
BRIEF OVERVIEW
RESULTS OVERVIEW
ADWORDS BRANDWATCH TOPSY GOOGLE TRENDS
Vanilla X X X X
Chocolate - X X X
Coconut X - - X
Banana X - X -
Pistachio X - - -
Peanut Butter - X - -
Strawberry - - X -
Caramel - - - X
Coffee - X - -
Top four flavours by key data source
FLAVOUR SUGGESTIONS
Research has determined that chocolate and vanilla flavours are the most popular amongst socialnetworks and online sources
We would therefore recommend using them as base flavours and adding trending flavours tothem
The economy is recovering and people are looking to reward themselves. Decadent indulgencesand new formats such as Magnum Minis, the Oreo sandwich, sorbets and frozen yogurts aregaining a lot of interest
Our analysis has revealed these top trending flavours:
• Banana• Coconut• Peanut Butter
FLAVOUR SUGGESTION - TWO
SNICKERS(Obviously don’t call it that)
Vanilla ice creamChocolate pieces
PeanutsCaramel
*Unilever owns Breyers, makers of the ice cream below which is sold in the U.S.
FLAVOURS – AREAS FOR EXPERIMENTATION
Consumers and other brands are talking about:
• SorbetIdea: given the popularity of chocolate and Ben & Jerry’s style of adding solids to ice cream, Unilever could add small chocolate pieces to a strawberry
sorbet
• Deciding not to use genetically modified ingredients generated 561 mentions (from 1st June to 30th June 2014, Topsy), as such, healthier flavoursmight yield some untapped potential. Total ice cream related tweets from that time period amount to over 3m so more research needs to be done tosize up this opportunity
Idea: Vegan, gluten free or no cream and alternative sugar ice creams
• Pending the results of the three new frozen yogurt launches this year, more flavours could be created in this category. Posts on Ben & Jerry’s Facebookpage relating to the new flavours received the most Likes compared to other flavours. Frozen yogurt was also prominent when compared to regular icecream flavours with Google Trends
• Pistachio obtained a significant amount of attention and could be investigated further as an innovative new flavour (1,600 average monthly searchesin the UK, and top six in trending flavours in the UK according to Google Trends)
• Sandwich formats are gaining popularity as people are more and more health conscious and want smaller portions. Oreo’s success could ease thelaunch given the already created positive perception that consumers have on ice cream sandwiches
INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH – TWEETS ACCORDING TO TOPSY
63,780
37,873
11,354
8,984
7,111
6,363
5,632
2,927
2,538
867
CHOCOLATE ICE CREAM
VANILLA ICE CREAM
STRAWBERRY ICE CREAM
BANANA ICE CREAM
CARAMEL ICE CREAM
PEANUT BUTTER ICE CREAM
COFFEE ICE CREAM
COCONUT ICE CREAM
PISTACHIO ICE CREAM
RASPBERRY ICE CREAM
NUMBER OF TWEETS
TOTAL TWEETS BY FLAVOUR (MAY 23RD-JUNE 22ND)
95%
1% 4%
TWEETSMENTIONING FROZEN DESSERTS
ICE CREAM SORBET FROZEN YOGURT*May 23rd-June 22nd
UK RESEARCH – SEARCH ANALYSIS
1,900
1,600
1,300
1,000 880
720 720
170 140 40
835,000
519,000
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
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200
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1,200
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1,600
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2,000
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SEARCH VS. CONTENT - ICE CREAM FLAVOURS
AVG. MONTHLY SEARCHES(EXACT MATCH ONLY) GOOGLERESULTS(UK)
60,500
33,100
18,100 9,900 8,100 8,100 8,100 5,400 4,400 3,600
181,000,000
62,700,000
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
160,000,000
180,000,000
200,000,000
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
GO
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SEARCH VS. CONTENT - GENERAL FLAVOURS
AVG. MONTHLY SEARCHES(EXACT MATCH ONLY) GOOGLERESULTS(UK)*AdWords June 2014 *AdWords June 2014
6400
4,400
27,100
AVERAGE MON T HLY
SEARCHES ON GOOGL E
FROZEN YOGURT SORBET ICE CREAM
Surprisingly chocolate and vanilla ice cream flavour searches weresurpassed by banana, indicating an interest in that flavour. Thenumber of search results reveal that vanilla and caramel ice creamshave the most content available
For simple ‘banana’ searches this flavour falls tonumber two, but still achieves average monthlysearches of 33k
UK RESEARCH – GOOGLE TREND ANALYSISSE
AR
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0
-10
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GOOGLE TREND - MOST PROLIFIC ICE CREAM FLAVOURS OVER TIME
SORBET FROZEN YOGURT CHOCOLATE VANILLA COCONUT CARAMEL PISTACHIO PEANUT BUTTER
Coconut ice cream is the unexpected flavour trending at the top with chocolate andvanilla
T OT AL SHARE OF VOI CE
SORBET FROZEN YOGURT CHOCOLATE
VANILLA COCONUT CARAMEL
PISTACHIO PEANUT BUTTER
UK RESEARCH – SOCIAL MEDIA ANALYSIS
82,586
49,373
31,770 24,078
17,970 11,751
21,844 11,227 9,637
4,371 6,002 4,948 2,551
NU
MB
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OF
ME
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MENTIONS AND SENTIMENT BY FLAVOUR
NEGATIVE NEUTRAL POSITIVE
37,190
15,805
11,854
3,766 3,181 1,833 1,743
OREO BEN & JERRY'S SNICKERS MAGNUM CORNETTO MARS HÄAGEN-DAZS
NU
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ME
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MOST PROLIFIC SOCIAL MEDIA MENTIONS BY BRANDS
*Brandwatch 27th May - 27th June 2014
*Brandwatch 27th May - 27th June 2014
Negative content is in fact mostly neutral or positive.This is because automated sentiment analysis incorrectlygroups phrases such as “I need some ice cream bad!” asnegative
Oreo’s new ice cream sandwich and a recipe for anOreo ice cream cake generated significant buzz in thelast weeks. Noteworthy is also the amount of Snickers’mentions which by itself is close to the amount Ben &Jerry’s achieves
RESEARCH – COMPARATIVE DATA ANALYSIS
Most prolific ice cream flavours by different data sources
I. 3 x vanilla and chocolate present within top three
II. 2 x coconut is present in top three
III. 2 x banana is present in top four
IV. 2 x pistachio, peanut butter, strawberry and caramel are within the top five
ADWORDS (UK) BRANDWATCH MENTIONS (UK) TOPSY (INT.)
BANANA ICE CREAM 1900 CHOCOLATE ICE CREAM 82586 CHOCOLATE ICE CREAM 63,780
COCONUT ICE CREAM 1300 VANILLA ICE CREAM 31770 VANILLA ICE CREAM 37,873
VANILLA ICE CREAM 1000 PEANUT BUTTER ICE CREAM 24078 STRAWBERRY ICE CREAM 11,354
PEANUT BUTTER ICE CREAM 880 COFFEE ICE CREAM 21844 BANANA ICE CREAM 8,984
CHOCOLATE ICE CREAM 720 STRAWBERRY ICE CREAM 17970 CARAMEL ICE CREAM 7,111
STRAWBERRY ICE CREAM 720 CARAMEL ICE CREAM 11751 PEANUT BUTTER ICE CREAM 6,363
COFFEE ICE CREAM 390 BANANA ICE CREAM 9637 COFFEE ICE CREAM 5,632
RASPBERRY ICE CREAM 170 COCONUT ICE CREAM 6002 COCONUT ICE CREAM 2,927
CARAMEL ICE CREAM 140 RASPBERRY ICE CREAM 4371 RASPBERRY ICE CREAM 867
*June 2014 *27th May - 27th June 2014 *May 23rd-June 22nd 2014
ICE CREAM MARKET AUDIENCE
• 66% female*
• Core age 18 – 22 years old*
• Health/beauty & fitness rather than pets & animals**
• Food & drinks rather than fashion**
• Music rather than movies**
• Most prolific topics**:• Ice cream cake/cake (138k mentions)• Chocolate (62k mentions)
• People that visit the Ben & Jerry’s UK website also visit Byronhamburgers.com, and Blinkbox.com***
*Facebook**Brandwatch social media data (over 1.3m mentions)***Similarweb.com
TWITTER CAMPAIGN
Paid sponsored tweets targeted by:
• Relevant keywords in timeline• Expressed interest in ice cream or the aforementioned audience profile• UK residents• Larger budget spend towards women• Similarity to existing followers• Link and coordinate with YouTube and Facebook
content/activities• Measure and optimise
Organic tweets generated by:
• Tweeting engaging content on @benandjerrysUK• Targeting key influencers with free advance ice cream samples• Offering discounts for retweets• Measuring performance and testing different content variations
YOUTUBE CAMPAIGN
Key strategies:
• Create engaging content targeted to key audience• Embed videos on Ben & Jerry’s UK website to drive people to their site• Advertise with YouTube (video completion rates on the increase)• Use Google Analytics to track traffic sources, page visit durations and average number of pages per visit• Measure performance and test different content variations• Use videos to direct people to the Facebook page to participate in competitions
FACEBOOK CAMPAIGN
Key strategies:
• Mirror engaging YouTube content via Ben & Jerry’s Facebook page – with Facebook’s consistent reach on mobile their native video player can play a strong role in engaging the audience
• Advertise with Facebook to key audience(s)• Drive interaction for competitions with community managers utilising Twitter and all other channels – including of course traditional channels• Consider adjacent communities that the audience engages with, such as health, beauty, food, drinks and music communities• Measure performance and test different content variations
ICE CREAM MARKET OVERVIEW - PRODUCT SEGMENTATION
Unilever
*Jim Riley
BEN & JERRY’S OVERVIEW
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GOOGLE TREND - INTEREST OVER TIME
BEN AND JERRY'S HAAGEN DAZS
BEN & JERRY 'S
VANILLA CHOCOLATE CARAMEL FRUIT
*Company website June 2014
A comparison of base flavours – keyouttakes, Ben & Jerry’s has morechocolate based flavours thanHaagen Dazs (13 vs. 7). Howeverproportionally they are very similar
HAAGEN DAZS
VANILLA CHOCOLATE CARAMEL FRUIT
*Company website June 2014
BEN & JERRY’S WEBSITE TRAFFIC
www.similarweb.com
Traffic sources to Ben & Jerry’s website from April to June 2014. With almost 80% of searchgenerated website traffic derived from organic search Ben & Jerry’s has an engaged andinterested audience
BEN & JERRY’S WEBSITE TRAFFIC
Key social traffic sources and referring sites – for inclusion in the strategic digital planning andexecution of the launch
BEN & JERRY’S OVERVIEW
The frozen yogurt range relatedposts on Ben & Jerry’s Facebookpage are generating significantlyhigher levels of Likes compared toother flavour related posts
50,651
17,267
13,974
4,872
4,123
2,624
1,106
796
654
615
381
351
- 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000
GREEK STYLE RASPBERRY/CHOCO
GREEK STYLE STRAWBERRY
GREEK STYLE HONEY
KARAMEL SUTRA
PEANUT BUTTER CUP
COOKIE DOUGH
PHISH FOOD
CARAMEL CHEW CHEW
BLONDIE BROWNIE
BAKED ALASKA
CHOCOLATE FUDGE BROWNIE
HALF BAKED
NUMBER OF LIKES
LIKES PER POST BY FLAVOUR ON B&J'S FACEBOOK PAGE
*Facebook June 2014
2,054
1,792
1,472
1,348
1,056
1,035
1,029
959
787
285
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
PHISH FOOD
CHOCOLATEFUDGEBROWNIE
STRAWBERRYCHEESECAKE
CHERRYGARCIA
S'MORES
COOKIEDOUGH
HALFBAKED
PEANUT BUTTER CUP
CHUNKYMONKEY
KARAMEL SUTRA
NUMBER OF TWEETS
MOST TWEETED ABOUT FLAVOURSChocolate based ice creams are themost tweeted about Ben & Jerry’sflavours
*Topsy May 23rd-June 22nd 2014
BEN & JERRY’S OVERVIEW
People search for Phish Food themost, almost twice as much as thenext popular flavour
Cookie Dough, Strawberry Cheesecakeand S’mores results include numerousrecipes and products which are not Ben& Jerry’s specific. As such the mostprolific definitive Ben & Jerry’s productmentions are Chunky Monkey (bananaflavour), Phish Food and Cherry Garciagiven their unique names
1,000
590
480
320
260
260
210
210
140
110
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200
PHISH FOOD
CHERRYGARCIA
KARAMEL SUTRA
PEANUT BUTTER MEUP
BLONDIE BROWNIE
CARAMEL CHEW CHEW
CHOCOLATEFUDGEBROWNIE
CHUNKYMONKEY
COOKIEDOUGH
PEANUT BUTTER CUP
AVG. MONTHLY SEARCHES
MOST SEARCHED FLAVOURS
*AdWords June 2014
10,053
3,177
1,894
1,613
1,488
433
404
167
140
28
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
COOKIEDOUGH
STRAWBERRYCHEESECAKE
S'MORES
PEANUT BUTTER CUP
CHUNKYMONKEY
MINT CHOCOLATECHUNK
PHISH FOOD
CHERRYGARCIA
CHOCOLATEFUDGEBROWNIE
KARAMEL SUTRA
TOPNUMBER OF SHARES(ARTICLES, INFOGRAPHICS, GUEST POSTS, GIVEAWAYS, INTERVIEWS, VIDEOS)
FLAVOURS WITH THE MOST SHARED CONTENT
*Buzzsumo January - June 2014
UK ICE CREAM MARKET OVERVIEW - COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
“Unilever remains the leading company in ice cream in 2013 with a value share of 28%.
Unilever’s leading ice cream brand Magnum continues to be a strong performer, thanks to proactive new product developments that respond well tothe growing popularity of indulgence and mini formats…
…In 2013 ice cream is expected to register 5% growth in value terms.
Indulgence is still the main driver of the category, with consumers searching for an affordable treat to reward themselves in times of economichardship.
Volume sales are growing at a slower rate, by an anticipated 2% in 2013, which shows how premiumisation is impacting the category.
Indulgent ice cream tends to have a higher price point, a factor that is driving up value sales at a faster rate than volume sales.”
Euromonitor December 2013
UK ICE CREAM MARKET OVERVIEW - TRENDS
“The UK's ice cream, sorbet and frozen yogurt market has grownby 19% in the past five years, and is now worth £1.1 bn ($1.7bn).
But volume sales are forecast to drop slightly to 343 million litres,says Amy Price, senior food analyst at market research firm Mintel.
Consumers are buying in smaller amounts - large one-litre plasticboxes of ice cream are now less commonplace, while single-serving 150ml and 450-500mlcardboard tubs are more readily available.”
BBC May 2013
49% 51%
35%31%
25%
BUY TUBS ICE CREAM
STICKS
LOVE A CONE LOLLIES DESSERTS
FROM VANS
PE
RC
EN
TA
GE
OF
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*BBC 2013
UK ICE CREAM CONSUMPTION PREFERENCES
UK ICE CREAM MARKET OVERVIEW – FACEBOOK AUDIENCE
520,000
1,240,000
800,000
420,000
240,000 146,000 126,000 84,000 52,000 80,000
13-17 18-22 23-27 28-32 33-37 38-42 43-47 48-52 53-57 58+
FA
CE
BO
OK
USE
RS
*Facebook June 2014
FACEBOOK USERS IN THE UK WITH AN EXPRESSED INTEREST IN ICE CREAM
Twice as many women have expressed an interestin ice cream on Facebook compared to men(supporting data from Brandwatch confirmFacebook figures)
From all Facebook users 18-22 year olds are the ones thathave expressed the most interest in ice cream
67% 33%
*Facebook June 2014
UK ICE CREAM MARKET OVERVIEW – SOCIAL MENTIONS
54%
14%
1,300,404
PE
RC
EN
TA
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OF
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VOLUME AND SENTIMENT OF ICE CREAM MENTIONS
POSITIVE NEGATIVE NEUTRAL
32%
INSIGHT ALL TWEETS RETWEETS TWEETS IMPRESSIONS
1 #icecream 29,660 5,345 24,315 56,917,764
2 #gameinsight 6,787 - 6,787 281,085
3 #android 6,710 87 6,623 654,832
TOP HASHTAGS
AUTHOR VOLUME
1 AnIceCreamCone 3,150
2 IceCreamBuy 2,290
3 1Aspell ingbee 1,670
TOP AUTHORS
As mentioned before, negativecontent is in fact mostlyneutral or positive. This isbecause automated sentimentanalysis incorrectly groupsphrases such as “I need someice cream bad!” as negative
Top authors and topics to assistwith launch strategy
*Brandwatch June 2014
UK ICE CREAM MARKET OVERVIEW – SOCIAL MENTIONS
SITE NAME VOLUME
twitter.com 1,198,368
www.facebook.com 93,701
www.tripadvisor.co.uk 784
www.yelp.co.uk 368
forums.moneysavingexpert.com 289
cruiseforums.cruisecritic.co.uk 232
www.thedibb.co.uk 156
forums.digitalspy.co.uk 149
www.mumsnet.com 129
www.dailymail.co.uk 111
I CE CREAM CHAN N EL BREAKD OWN
Twi tter Facebook Forum
News Blog General
Review Image Video
Twitter is the most prolificchannel for ice creamconversations, followed byFacebook
*Brandwatch June 2014
UK & US ICE CREAM MARKET OVERVIEW – SOCIAL MENTIONS
Ice cream market 27th May – 27th June
Twitter data: professions, interestsand topics by gender to assist withlaunch strategy
*Brandwatch June 2014
UK MARKET OVERVIEW – ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
3.95
3.17 3.232.76
3.43
-5.17
1.661.12
0.25
1.70
-6.00
-4.00
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
PE
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EN
TA
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GP
D G
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GDP GROWTH (ANNUAL %)
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
PE
RC
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TA
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CONSUMER PRICE INDEX VS. INFLATION
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
UK economy growing Inflation dropping
UK MARKET OVERVIEW – ECONOMICS & INFRASTRUCTURE
-4.00
-3.00
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
PE
RC
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MP
TIO
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HOUSEHOLD FINAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
(ANNUAL % GROWTH)
54 60
65 70
74 77
80 83 84 85
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MOBILE VS. BROADBAND PENETRATION IN THE UK
MOBILE CELLULAR SUBSCRIPTIONS FIXED BROADBAND INTERNET SUBSCRIBERS
Consumer spending increases, albeit still not to pre-crash levels
Broadband internet subscribers on a steady growth trajectory as infrastructure improves
UK MARKET OVERVIEW – MOBILE & SOCIAL MEDIA
62.2
50.9
30.2
2013 2012 2011
MIL
LIO
NS
*Think with Google (UK population 64.1 million June 2014)
NUMBER OF MOBILE PHONESOWNED
57.4%
16.8%9.7% 5.4% 4.3% 3.7% 1.9%
PE
RC
EN
TA
GE
OF
VIS
ITS
*Statcounter May 2013 to May 2014
SEVEN MOST USED SOCIAL MEDIA CHANNELS
IN THE UK
Mobile phone ownership almost equals the entire UK population.Assuming babies and some elderly people do not own phones,the mobile phone market in the UK is considerably saturated
British people prefer Facebook over any other social media channel,followed by Twitter and Tumblr
REFERENCES
The dos and don’ts of frozen yoghurtTribune April 2014http://tribune.com.pk/story/692505/the-dos-and-donts-of-frozen-yoghurt/
How do different marketing channels affect customer purchase decisions?http://gweb-think-tools.appspot.com/customer-journey-to-purchase/
Our Mobile Planet: United Kingdomhttp://services.google.com/fh/files/misc/omp-2013-uk-en.pdf
Craziest ice cream flavours to try this summerhttp://www.kashmirdispatch.com/more-news/170624163-craziest-ice-cream-flavours-to-try-this-summer.htm
Ice Cream - UKhttp://www.reportbuyer.com/food_drink/chilled_frozen_food/ice_cream_uk.html
Consumers who choose to watch ads, remember them betterhttp://think.withgoogle.com/databoard/#lang=en-us&study=39&topic=110
How is ice cream made at Ben & Jerry's? by Curiosity Questhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QEFLZEbr0Lc
BenandJerrysHomemadehttps://www.youtube.com/user/BenandJerrysHomemade
Ben & Jerry's Facebook pagehttps://www.facebook.com/benjerryuk
Ben & Jerry's Twitter handle@benandjerrysUK
Video Ad Completion Rates on the Rise
http://mobilemarketingmagazine.com/celtra-report-q12014
Magic Moments: How Pepsi got the Max out of Facebook
https://www.facebook.com/business/success/pepsimax
Tagboardhttps://tagboard.com/benandjerrys
Buzzsumohttp://buzzsumo.com/
Twitonomyhttp://www.twitonomy.com/dashboard.php
Brand impressionshttp://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/tools/brand-impressions.html
Talkwalkerhttp://www.talkwalker.com/
World Bankhttp://data.worldbank.org/country/united-kingdom
UK GDP growth estimate for 2013 revised down to 1.7%http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-26783197
Haagen-Dazs Experiments With Veggie Ice Creamhttp://www.npr.org/2014/04/23/306102488/the-last-word-in-business
UK population grows by more than 400,000http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-27972335
Segmentation & Pricing - the Ice-Cream Price Pyramidhttp://www.tutor2u.net/blog/index.php/business-studies/comments/segmentation-pricing-the-ice-cream-price-pyramid
Twitter for marketinghttps://business.twitter.com/en-gb/audiences-twitter
Eliot Mannoia ...and on other major social networks